Skip to contents

Score summaries comparing insight.cast with official FluSight team submissions. They let the vignette run without refitting models or downloading Hub data.

Usage

flusight_scores

Format

flusight_scores is a data frame with one row per model and these columns:

model_id

Model identifier.

wis

Mean weighted interval score.

interval_coverage_50

Empirical coverage of the 50 percent interval.

interval_coverage_95

Empirical coverage of the 95 percent interval.

wis_relative_skill

Pairwise relative WIS.

wis_scaled_relative_skill

Relative WIS scaled to the FluSight-ensemble; values below one are better.

count

Number of forecast tasks scored.

model_group

One of "FluSight ensemble", "FluSight baseline", "FluSight model", or "insight.cast model".

display

Whether the vignette's concise comparison displays the model. All models remain available for custom filtering.

Source

Forecasts and target data from the FluSight Forecast Hub, version 1.2.0.

Details

flusight_scores contains scores pooled across locations. flusight_scores_by_location contains scores stratified by location.