Vaxflux Model
In [1]:
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from pprint import pprint
import arviz as az
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
import numpyro
import pandas as pd
from vaxflux import (
CovariateCategories,
LogisticCurve,
PartiallyPooledGaussianCovariate,
SeasonRange,
SeasonVaryingPartiallyPooledGaussianCovariate,
VaxfluxModel,
VaxfluxObservations,
daily_date_ranges,
)
from vaxflux.data import sample_dataset
numpyro.set_host_device_count(8)
az.style.use("arviz-docgrid")
from pprint import pprint
import arviz as az
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
import numpyro
import pandas as pd
from vaxflux import (
CovariateCategories,
LogisticCurve,
PartiallyPooledGaussianCovariate,
SeasonRange,
SeasonVaryingPartiallyPooledGaussianCovariate,
VaxfluxModel,
VaxfluxObservations,
daily_date_ranges,
)
from vaxflux.data import sample_dataset
numpyro.set_host_device_count(8)
az.style.use("arviz-docgrid")
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seasons = [
SeasonRange(season="2022/23", start_date="2022-10-03", end_date="2023-02-05"),
SeasonRange(season="2023/24", start_date="2023-10-02", end_date="2024-02-04"),
SeasonRange(season="2024/25", start_date="2024-10-07", end_date="2025-02-02"),
]
dates = daily_date_ranges(seasons, range_days=6)
seasons = [
SeasonRange(season="2022/23", start_date="2022-10-03", end_date="2023-02-05"),
SeasonRange(season="2023/24", start_date="2023-10-02", end_date="2024-02-04"),
SeasonRange(season="2024/25", start_date="2024-10-07", end_date="2025-02-02"),
]
dates = daily_date_ranges(seasons, range_days=6)
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age_covariate_categories = CovariateCategories(
covariate="age",
categories=["youth", "adult", "elderly"],
)
age_covariate_categories = CovariateCategories(
covariate="age",
categories=["youth", "adult", "elderly"],
)
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covariates = [
PartiallyPooledGaussianCovariate(
parameter="m",
covariate=None,
mu_mu=0.0,
mu_sigma=0.75,
sigma=0.75,
),
PartiallyPooledGaussianCovariate(
parameter="r",
covariate=None,
mu_mu=-2.5,
mu_sigma=1.5,
sigma=1.5,
),
PartiallyPooledGaussianCovariate(
parameter="s",
covariate=None,
mu_mu=35.0,
mu_sigma=20.0,
sigma=20.0,
),
SeasonVaryingPartiallyPooledGaussianCovariate(
parameter="m",
covariate="age",
mu_mu=1.0,
mu_sigma=1.0,
sigma=1.0,
),
]
covariates = [
PartiallyPooledGaussianCovariate(
parameter="m",
covariate=None,
mu_mu=0.0,
mu_sigma=0.75,
sigma=0.75,
),
PartiallyPooledGaussianCovariate(
parameter="r",
covariate=None,
mu_mu=-2.5,
mu_sigma=1.5,
sigma=1.5,
),
PartiallyPooledGaussianCovariate(
parameter="s",
covariate=None,
mu_mu=35.0,
mu_sigma=20.0,
sigma=20.0,
),
SeasonVaryingPartiallyPooledGaussianCovariate(
parameter="m",
covariate="age",
mu_mu=1.0,
mu_sigma=1.0,
sigma=1.0,
),
]
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curve = LogisticCurve()
curve
curve = LogisticCurve()
curve
Out[5]:
<vaxflux._curves.LogisticCurve at 0x14228bed0>
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params = []
params_grid = {
"2022/23": {
"m": -0.5,
"r": -3.2,
"s": 40.0,
"adult": {
"m": 1.0,
},
"elderly": {
"m": 1.8,
},
},
"2023/24": {
"m": -0.6,
"r": -3.1,
"s": 42.5,
"adult": {
"m": 1.05,
},
"elderly": {
"m": 1.78,
},
},
"2024/25": {
"m": -0.4,
"r": -3.3,
"s": 41.0,
"adult": {
"m": 1.03,
},
"elderly": {
"m": 1.81,
},
},
}
for curve_param in curve.parameters:
for season_range in seasons:
for age_category in age_covariate_categories.categories:
season_params = params_grid[season_range.season]
param_value = season_params[curve_param] + season_params.get(
age_category, {}
).get(curve_param, 0)
params.append(
(
curve_param,
season_range.season,
age_category,
param_value,
),
)
pprint(params)
params = []
params_grid = {
"2022/23": {
"m": -0.5,
"r": -3.2,
"s": 40.0,
"adult": {
"m": 1.0,
},
"elderly": {
"m": 1.8,
},
},
"2023/24": {
"m": -0.6,
"r": -3.1,
"s": 42.5,
"adult": {
"m": 1.05,
},
"elderly": {
"m": 1.78,
},
},
"2024/25": {
"m": -0.4,
"r": -3.3,
"s": 41.0,
"adult": {
"m": 1.03,
},
"elderly": {
"m": 1.81,
},
},
}
for curve_param in curve.parameters:
for season_range in seasons:
for age_category in age_covariate_categories.categories:
season_params = params_grid[season_range.season]
param_value = season_params[curve_param] + season_params.get(
age_category, {}
).get(curve_param, 0)
params.append(
(
curve_param,
season_range.season,
age_category,
param_value,
),
)
pprint(params)
[('m', '2022/23', 'youth', -0.5),
('m', '2022/23', 'adult', 0.5),
('m', '2022/23', 'elderly', 1.3),
('m', '2023/24', 'youth', -0.6),
('m', '2023/24', 'adult', 0.45000000000000007),
('m', '2023/24', 'elderly', 1.1800000000000002),
('m', '2024/25', 'youth', -0.4),
('m', '2024/25', 'adult', 0.63),
('m', '2024/25', 'elderly', 1.4100000000000001),
('r', '2022/23', 'youth', -3.2),
('r', '2022/23', 'adult', -3.2),
('r', '2022/23', 'elderly', -3.2),
('r', '2023/24', 'youth', -3.1),
('r', '2023/24', 'adult', -3.1),
('r', '2023/24', 'elderly', -3.1),
('r', '2024/25', 'youth', -3.3),
('r', '2024/25', 'adult', -3.3),
('r', '2024/25', 'elderly', -3.3),
('s', '2022/23', 'youth', 40.0),
('s', '2022/23', 'adult', 40.0),
('s', '2022/23', 'elderly', 40.0),
('s', '2023/24', 'youth', 42.5),
('s', '2023/24', 'adult', 42.5),
('s', '2023/24', 'elderly', 42.5),
('s', '2024/25', 'youth', 41.0),
('s', '2024/25', 'adult', 41.0),
('s', '2024/25', 'elderly', 41.0)]
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observations = VaxfluxObservations.from_dataframe(
sample_dataset(
curve,
seasons,
dates,
[age_covariate_categories],
params,
epsilon=0.0005,
)
)
observations.data.head()
observations = VaxfluxObservations.from_dataframe(
sample_dataset(
curve,
seasons,
dates,
[age_covariate_categories],
params,
epsilon=0.0005,
)
)
observations.data.head()
Out[7]:
| season | season_start_date | season_end_date | start_date | end_date | report_date | age | type | value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2022/23 | 2022-10-03 | 2023-02-05 | 2022-10-03 | 2022-10-09 | 2022-10-09 | youth | incidence | 0.016363 |
| 1 | 2022/23 | 2022-10-03 | 2023-02-05 | 2022-10-03 | 2022-10-09 | 2022-10-09 | adult | incidence | 0.025353 |
| 2 | 2022/23 | 2022-10-03 | 2023-02-05 | 2022-10-03 | 2022-10-09 | 2022-10-09 | elderly | incidence | 0.033812 |
| 3 | 2022/23 | 2022-10-03 | 2023-02-05 | 2022-10-10 | 2022-10-16 | 2022-10-16 | youth | incidence | 0.017795 |
| 4 | 2022/23 | 2022-10-03 | 2023-02-05 | 2022-10-10 | 2022-10-16 | 2022-10-16 | adult | incidence | 0.030507 |
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plot_data = observations.data.copy()
plot_data["start_date"] = pd.to_datetime(plot_data["start_date"])
plot_data["end_date"] = pd.to_datetime(plot_data["end_date"])
plot_data["mid_date"] = (
plot_data["start_date"] + (plot_data["end_date"] - plot_data["start_date"]) / 2
)
plot_data = plot_data.sort_values("mid_date")
plot_data["prevalence"] = plot_data.groupby(["season", "age"])["value"].cumsum()
fig, (ax_inc, ax_prev) = plt.subplots(2, 1, figsize=(10, 8), sharex=True)
for (season, age), group in plot_data.groupby(["season", "age"]):
label = f"{season} | {age}"
ax_inc.plot(group["mid_date"], group["value"], label=label)
ax_prev.plot(group["mid_date"], group["prevalence"], label=label)
ax_inc.set_title("Sample observations by season and age")
ax_inc.set_ylabel("Incidence")
ax_prev.set_title("Cumulative prevalence by season and age")
ax_prev.set_ylabel("Prevalence")
ax_prev.set_xlabel("Date")
handles, labels = ax_inc.get_legend_handles_labels()
fig.legend(handles, labels, loc="center left", bbox_to_anchor=(1.0, 0.5))
for label in ax_prev.get_xticklabels():
label.set_rotation(30)
fig.tight_layout(rect=(0, 0, 0.85, 1))
plt.show()
plot_data = observations.data.copy()
plot_data["start_date"] = pd.to_datetime(plot_data["start_date"])
plot_data["end_date"] = pd.to_datetime(plot_data["end_date"])
plot_data["mid_date"] = (
plot_data["start_date"] + (plot_data["end_date"] - plot_data["start_date"]) / 2
)
plot_data = plot_data.sort_values("mid_date")
plot_data["prevalence"] = plot_data.groupby(["season", "age"])["value"].cumsum()
fig, (ax_inc, ax_prev) = plt.subplots(2, 1, figsize=(10, 8), sharex=True)
for (season, age), group in plot_data.groupby(["season", "age"]):
label = f"{season} | {age}"
ax_inc.plot(group["mid_date"], group["value"], label=label)
ax_prev.plot(group["mid_date"], group["prevalence"], label=label)
ax_inc.set_title("Sample observations by season and age")
ax_inc.set_ylabel("Incidence")
ax_prev.set_title("Cumulative prevalence by season and age")
ax_prev.set_ylabel("Prevalence")
ax_prev.set_xlabel("Date")
handles, labels = ax_inc.get_legend_handles_labels()
fig.legend(handles, labels, loc="center left", bbox_to_anchor=(1.0, 0.5))
for label in ax_prev.get_xticklabels():
label.set_rotation(30)
fig.tight_layout(rect=(0, 0, 0.85, 1))
plt.show()
/var/folders/2z/h3pc0p7s3ng1tvxrgsw5kr680000gp/T/ipykernel_18099/996366010.py:28: UserWarning: The figure layout has changed to tight fig.tight_layout(rect=(0, 0, 0.85, 1))
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model = (
VaxfluxModel(curve=curve)
.add_seasons(seasons)
.add_dates(dates)
.add_covariate_categories(age_covariate_categories)
.add_covariates(covariates)
.add_observations(observations)
.add_observation_process(
kind="normal",
noise=0.005,
partially_pool_by_season=False,
prevalence_penalty=10.0,
)
)
model
model = (
VaxfluxModel(curve=curve)
.add_seasons(seasons)
.add_dates(dates)
.add_covariate_categories(age_covariate_categories)
.add_covariates(covariates)
.add_observations(observations)
.add_observation_process(
kind="normal",
noise=0.005,
partially_pool_by_season=False,
prevalence_penalty=10.0,
)
)
model
Out[9]:
<vaxflux.VaxfluxModel object at 0x142289590>
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model.render_model(render_params=True)
model.render_model(render_params=True)
Out[10]:
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prior_samples = 250
vaxflux_prior_idata = model.sample(samples=None, prior_samples=prior_samples)
vaxflux_prior_idata
prior_samples = 250
vaxflux_prior_idata = model.sample(samples=None, prior_samples=prior_samples)
vaxflux_prior_idata
Out[11]:
arviz.InferenceData
-
- chain: 1
- draw: 250
- season: 3
- age_categories: 3
- date_ranges_2022_23: 18
- incidence_2022_23_age_adult_prevalence_penalty_dim_0: 0
- incidence_2022_23_age_elderly_prevalence_penalty_dim_0: 0
- incidence_2022_23_age_youth_prevalence_penalty_dim_0: 0
- date_ranges_2023_24: 18
- incidence_2023_24_age_adult_prevalence_penalty_dim_0: 0
- incidence_2023_24_age_elderly_prevalence_penalty_dim_0: 0
- incidence_2023_24_age_youth_prevalence_penalty_dim_0: 0
- date_ranges_2024_25: 17
- incidence_2024_25_age_adult_prevalence_penalty_dim_0: 0
- incidence_2024_25_age_elderly_prevalence_penalty_dim_0: 0
- incidence_2024_25_age_youth_prevalence_penalty_dim_0: 0
- days_2022_23: 126
- days_2023_24: 126
- days_2024_25: 119
- age_categories_short: 2
- observation: 159
- chain(chain)int640
array([0])
- draw(draw)int640 1 2 3 4 5 ... 245 246 247 248 249
array([ 0, 1, 2, ..., 247, 248, 249])
- season(season)<U7'2022/23' '2023/24' '2024/25'
array(['2022/23', '2023/24', '2024/25'], dtype='<U7')
- age_categories(age_categories)<U7'youth' 'adult' 'elderly'
array(['youth', 'adult', 'elderly'], dtype='<U7')
- date_ranges_2022_23(date_ranges_2022_23)<U21'2022-10-03_2022-10-09' ... '202...
array(['2022-10-03_2022-10-09', '2022-11-21_2022-11-27', '2022-10-10_2022-10-16', '2023-01-30_2023-02-05', '2022-12-26_2023-01-01', '2022-12-05_2022-12-11', '2023-01-02_2023-01-08', '2022-12-19_2022-12-25', '2023-01-09_2023-01-15', '2023-01-16_2023-01-22', '2022-12-12_2022-12-18', '2022-10-31_2022-11-06', '2023-01-23_2023-01-29', '2022-10-17_2022-10-23', '2022-11-07_2022-11-13', '2022-11-28_2022-12-04', '2022-10-24_2022-10-30', '2022-11-14_2022-11-20'], dtype='<U21') - incidence_2022_23_age_adult_prevalence_penalty_dim_0(incidence_2022_23_age_adult_prevalence_penalty_dim_0)int64
array([], dtype=int64)
- incidence_2022_23_age_elderly_prevalence_penalty_dim_0(incidence_2022_23_age_elderly_prevalence_penalty_dim_0)int64
array([], dtype=int64)
- incidence_2022_23_age_youth_prevalence_penalty_dim_0(incidence_2022_23_age_youth_prevalence_penalty_dim_0)int64
array([], dtype=int64)
- date_ranges_2023_24(date_ranges_2023_24)<U21'2023-12-11_2023-12-17' ... '202...
array(['2023-12-11_2023-12-17', '2023-10-23_2023-10-29', '2023-11-06_2023-11-12', '2024-01-08_2024-01-14', '2023-11-20_2023-11-26', '2023-10-30_2023-11-05', '2023-12-25_2023-12-31', '2023-12-18_2023-12-24', '2024-01-15_2024-01-21', '2024-01-22_2024-01-28', '2023-12-04_2023-12-10', '2023-11-13_2023-11-19', '2023-10-09_2023-10-15', '2024-01-29_2024-02-04', '2024-01-01_2024-01-07', '2023-10-16_2023-10-22', '2023-10-02_2023-10-08', '2023-11-27_2023-12-03'], dtype='<U21') - incidence_2023_24_age_adult_prevalence_penalty_dim_0(incidence_2023_24_age_adult_prevalence_penalty_dim_0)int64
array([], dtype=int64)
- incidence_2023_24_age_elderly_prevalence_penalty_dim_0(incidence_2023_24_age_elderly_prevalence_penalty_dim_0)int64
array([], dtype=int64)
- incidence_2023_24_age_youth_prevalence_penalty_dim_0(incidence_2023_24_age_youth_prevalence_penalty_dim_0)int64
array([], dtype=int64)
- date_ranges_2024_25(date_ranges_2024_25)<U21'2025-01-13_2025-01-19' ... '202...
array(['2025-01-13_2025-01-19', '2024-11-25_2024-12-01', '2024-10-07_2024-10-13', '2024-12-16_2024-12-22', '2024-10-28_2024-11-03', '2024-12-02_2024-12-08', '2024-11-18_2024-11-24', '2024-10-21_2024-10-27', '2024-12-09_2024-12-15', '2024-12-23_2024-12-29', '2025-01-27_2025-02-02', '2024-11-04_2024-11-10', '2024-10-14_2024-10-20', '2025-01-06_2025-01-12', '2024-11-11_2024-11-17', '2025-01-20_2025-01-26', '2024-12-30_2025-01-05'], dtype='<U21') - incidence_2024_25_age_adult_prevalence_penalty_dim_0(incidence_2024_25_age_adult_prevalence_penalty_dim_0)int64
array([], dtype=int64)
- incidence_2024_25_age_elderly_prevalence_penalty_dim_0(incidence_2024_25_age_elderly_prevalence_penalty_dim_0)int64
array([], dtype=int64)
- incidence_2024_25_age_youth_prevalence_penalty_dim_0(incidence_2024_25_age_youth_prevalence_penalty_dim_0)int64
array([], dtype=int64)
- days_2022_23(days_2022_23)<U10'2022-10-03' ... '2023-02-05'
array(['2022-10-03', '2022-10-04', '2022-10-05', '2022-10-06', '2022-10-07', '2022-10-08', '2022-10-09', '2022-10-10', '2022-10-11', '2022-10-12', '2022-10-13', '2022-10-14', '2022-10-15', '2022-10-16', '2022-10-17', '2022-10-18', '2022-10-19', '2022-10-20', '2022-10-21', '2022-10-22', '2022-10-23', '2022-10-24', '2022-10-25', '2022-10-26', '2022-10-27', '2022-10-28', '2022-10-29', '2022-10-30', '2022-10-31', '2022-11-01', '2022-11-02', '2022-11-03', '2022-11-04', '2022-11-05', '2022-11-06', '2022-11-07', '2022-11-08', '2022-11-09', '2022-11-10', '2022-11-11', '2022-11-12', '2022-11-13', '2022-11-14', '2022-11-15', '2022-11-16', '2022-11-17', '2022-11-18', '2022-11-19', '2022-11-20', '2022-11-21', '2022-11-22', '2022-11-23', '2022-11-24', '2022-11-25', '2022-11-26', '2022-11-27', '2022-11-28', '2022-11-29', '2022-11-30', '2022-12-01', '2022-12-02', '2022-12-03', '2022-12-04', '2022-12-05', '2022-12-06', '2022-12-07', '2022-12-08', '2022-12-09', '2022-12-10', '2022-12-11', '2022-12-12', '2022-12-13', '2022-12-14', '2022-12-15', '2022-12-16', '2022-12-17', '2022-12-18', '2022-12-19', '2022-12-20', '2022-12-21', '2022-12-22', '2022-12-23', '2022-12-24', '2022-12-25', '2022-12-26', '2022-12-27', '2022-12-28', '2022-12-29', '2022-12-30', '2022-12-31', '2023-01-01', '2023-01-02', '2023-01-03', '2023-01-04', '2023-01-05', '2023-01-06', '2023-01-07', '2023-01-08', '2023-01-09', '2023-01-10', '2023-01-11', '2023-01-12', '2023-01-13', '2023-01-14', '2023-01-15', '2023-01-16', '2023-01-17', '2023-01-18', '2023-01-19', '2023-01-20', '2023-01-21', '2023-01-22', '2023-01-23', '2023-01-24', '2023-01-25', '2023-01-26', '2023-01-27', '2023-01-28', '2023-01-29', '2023-01-30', '2023-01-31', '2023-02-01', '2023-02-02', '2023-02-03', '2023-02-04', '2023-02-05'], dtype='<U10') - days_2023_24(days_2023_24)<U10'2023-10-02' ... '2024-02-04'
array(['2023-10-02', '2023-10-03', '2023-10-04', '2023-10-05', '2023-10-06', '2023-10-07', '2023-10-08', '2023-10-09', '2023-10-10', '2023-10-11', '2023-10-12', '2023-10-13', '2023-10-14', '2023-10-15', '2023-10-16', '2023-10-17', '2023-10-18', '2023-10-19', '2023-10-20', '2023-10-21', '2023-10-22', '2023-10-23', '2023-10-24', '2023-10-25', '2023-10-26', '2023-10-27', '2023-10-28', '2023-10-29', '2023-10-30', '2023-10-31', '2023-11-01', '2023-11-02', '2023-11-03', '2023-11-04', '2023-11-05', '2023-11-06', '2023-11-07', '2023-11-08', '2023-11-09', '2023-11-10', '2023-11-11', '2023-11-12', '2023-11-13', '2023-11-14', '2023-11-15', '2023-11-16', '2023-11-17', '2023-11-18', '2023-11-19', '2023-11-20', '2023-11-21', '2023-11-22', '2023-11-23', '2023-11-24', '2023-11-25', '2023-11-26', '2023-11-27', '2023-11-28', '2023-11-29', '2023-11-30', '2023-12-01', '2023-12-02', '2023-12-03', '2023-12-04', '2023-12-05', '2023-12-06', '2023-12-07', '2023-12-08', '2023-12-09', '2023-12-10', '2023-12-11', '2023-12-12', '2023-12-13', '2023-12-14', '2023-12-15', '2023-12-16', '2023-12-17', '2023-12-18', '2023-12-19', '2023-12-20', '2023-12-21', '2023-12-22', '2023-12-23', '2023-12-24', '2023-12-25', '2023-12-26', '2023-12-27', '2023-12-28', '2023-12-29', '2023-12-30', '2023-12-31', '2024-01-01', '2024-01-02', '2024-01-03', '2024-01-04', '2024-01-05', '2024-01-06', '2024-01-07', '2024-01-08', '2024-01-09', '2024-01-10', '2024-01-11', '2024-01-12', '2024-01-13', '2024-01-14', '2024-01-15', '2024-01-16', '2024-01-17', '2024-01-18', '2024-01-19', '2024-01-20', '2024-01-21', '2024-01-22', '2024-01-23', '2024-01-24', '2024-01-25', '2024-01-26', '2024-01-27', '2024-01-28', '2024-01-29', '2024-01-30', '2024-01-31', '2024-02-01', '2024-02-02', '2024-02-03', '2024-02-04'], dtype='<U10') - days_2024_25(days_2024_25)<U10'2024-10-07' ... '2025-02-02'
array(['2024-10-07', '2024-10-08', '2024-10-09', '2024-10-10', '2024-10-11', '2024-10-12', '2024-10-13', '2024-10-14', '2024-10-15', '2024-10-16', '2024-10-17', '2024-10-18', '2024-10-19', '2024-10-20', '2024-10-21', '2024-10-22', '2024-10-23', '2024-10-24', '2024-10-25', '2024-10-26', '2024-10-27', '2024-10-28', '2024-10-29', '2024-10-30', '2024-10-31', '2024-11-01', '2024-11-02', '2024-11-03', '2024-11-04', '2024-11-05', '2024-11-06', '2024-11-07', '2024-11-08', '2024-11-09', '2024-11-10', '2024-11-11', '2024-11-12', '2024-11-13', '2024-11-14', '2024-11-15', '2024-11-16', '2024-11-17', '2024-11-18', '2024-11-19', '2024-11-20', '2024-11-21', '2024-11-22', '2024-11-23', '2024-11-24', '2024-11-25', '2024-11-26', '2024-11-27', '2024-11-28', '2024-11-29', '2024-11-30', '2024-12-01', '2024-12-02', '2024-12-03', '2024-12-04', '2024-12-05', '2024-12-06', '2024-12-07', '2024-12-08', '2024-12-09', '2024-12-10', '2024-12-11', '2024-12-12', '2024-12-13', '2024-12-14', '2024-12-15', '2024-12-16', '2024-12-17', '2024-12-18', '2024-12-19', '2024-12-20', '2024-12-21', '2024-12-22', '2024-12-23', '2024-12-24', '2024-12-25', '2024-12-26', '2024-12-27', '2024-12-28', '2024-12-29', '2024-12-30', '2024-12-31', '2025-01-01', '2025-01-02', '2025-01-03', '2025-01-04', '2025-01-05', '2025-01-06', '2025-01-07', '2025-01-08', '2025-01-09', '2025-01-10', '2025-01-11', '2025-01-12', '2025-01-13', '2025-01-14', '2025-01-15', '2025-01-16', '2025-01-17', '2025-01-18', '2025-01-19', '2025-01-20', '2025-01-21', '2025-01-22', '2025-01-23', '2025-01-24', '2025-01-25', '2025-01-26', '2025-01-27', '2025-01-28', '2025-01-29', '2025-01-30', '2025-01-31', '2025-02-01', '2025-02-02'], dtype='<U10') - age_categories_short(age_categories_short)<U7'adult' 'elderly'
array(['adult', 'elderly'], dtype='<U7')
- observation(observation)<U41'2022/23|2022-10-03|2022-10-09|a...
array(['2022/23|2022-10-03|2022-10-09|age=youth', '2022/23|2022-10-03|2022-10-09|age=adult', '2022/23|2022-10-03|2022-10-09|age=elderly', '2022/23|2022-10-10|2022-10-16|age=youth', '2022/23|2022-10-10|2022-10-16|age=adult', '2022/23|2022-10-10|2022-10-16|age=elderly', '2022/23|2022-10-17|2022-10-23|age=youth', '2022/23|2022-10-17|2022-10-23|age=adult', '2022/23|2022-10-17|2022-10-23|age=elderly', '2022/23|2022-10-24|2022-10-30|age=youth', '2022/23|2022-10-24|2022-10-30|age=adult', '2022/23|2022-10-24|2022-10-30|age=elderly', '2022/23|2022-10-31|2022-11-06|age=youth', '2022/23|2022-10-31|2022-11-06|age=adult', '2022/23|2022-10-31|2022-11-06|age=elderly', '2022/23|2022-11-07|2022-11-13|age=youth', '2022/23|2022-11-07|2022-11-13|age=adult', '2022/23|2022-11-07|2022-11-13|age=elderly', '2022/23|2022-11-14|2022-11-20|age=youth', '2022/23|2022-11-14|2022-11-20|age=adult', '2022/23|2022-11-14|2022-11-20|age=elderly', '2022/23|2022-11-21|2022-11-27|age=youth', '2022/23|2022-11-21|2022-11-27|age=adult', '2022/23|2022-11-21|2022-11-27|age=elderly', '2022/23|2022-11-28|2022-12-04|age=youth', '2022/23|2022-11-28|2022-12-04|age=adult', '2022/23|2022-11-28|2022-12-04|age=elderly', '2022/23|2022-12-05|2022-12-11|age=youth', '2022/23|2022-12-05|2022-12-11|age=adult', '2022/23|2022-12-05|2022-12-11|age=elderly', '2022/23|2022-12-12|2022-12-18|age=youth', '2022/23|2022-12-12|2022-12-18|age=adult', '2022/23|2022-12-12|2022-12-18|age=elderly', '2022/23|2022-12-19|2022-12-25|age=youth', '2022/23|2022-12-19|2022-12-25|age=adult', '2022/23|2022-12-19|2022-12-25|age=elderly', '2022/23|2022-12-26|2023-01-01|age=youth', '2022/23|2022-12-26|2023-01-01|age=adult', '2022/23|2022-12-26|2023-01-01|age=elderly', '2022/23|2023-01-02|2023-01-08|age=youth', '2022/23|2023-01-02|2023-01-08|age=adult', '2022/23|2023-01-02|2023-01-08|age=elderly', '2022/23|2023-01-09|2023-01-15|age=youth', '2022/23|2023-01-09|2023-01-15|age=adult', '2022/23|2023-01-09|2023-01-15|age=elderly', '2022/23|2023-01-16|2023-01-22|age=youth', '2022/23|2023-01-16|2023-01-22|age=adult', '2022/23|2023-01-16|2023-01-22|age=elderly', '2022/23|2023-01-23|2023-01-29|age=youth', '2022/23|2023-01-23|2023-01-29|age=adult', '2022/23|2023-01-23|2023-01-29|age=elderly', '2022/23|2023-01-30|2023-02-05|age=youth', '2022/23|2023-01-30|2023-02-05|age=adult', '2022/23|2023-01-30|2023-02-05|age=elderly', '2023/24|2023-10-02|2023-10-08|age=youth', '2023/24|2023-10-02|2023-10-08|age=adult', '2023/24|2023-10-02|2023-10-08|age=elderly', '2023/24|2023-10-09|2023-10-15|age=youth', '2023/24|2023-10-09|2023-10-15|age=adult', '2023/24|2023-10-09|2023-10-15|age=elderly', '2023/24|2023-10-16|2023-10-22|age=youth', '2023/24|2023-10-16|2023-10-22|age=adult', '2023/24|2023-10-16|2023-10-22|age=elderly', '2023/24|2023-10-23|2023-10-29|age=youth', '2023/24|2023-10-23|2023-10-29|age=adult', '2023/24|2023-10-23|2023-10-29|age=elderly', '2023/24|2023-10-30|2023-11-05|age=youth', '2023/24|2023-10-30|2023-11-05|age=adult', '2023/24|2023-10-30|2023-11-05|age=elderly', '2023/24|2023-11-06|2023-11-12|age=youth', '2023/24|2023-11-06|2023-11-12|age=adult', '2023/24|2023-11-06|2023-11-12|age=elderly', '2023/24|2023-11-13|2023-11-19|age=youth', '2023/24|2023-11-13|2023-11-19|age=adult', '2023/24|2023-11-13|2023-11-19|age=elderly', '2023/24|2023-11-20|2023-11-26|age=youth', '2023/24|2023-11-20|2023-11-26|age=adult', '2023/24|2023-11-20|2023-11-26|age=elderly', '2023/24|2023-11-27|2023-12-03|age=youth', '2023/24|2023-11-27|2023-12-03|age=adult', '2023/24|2023-11-27|2023-12-03|age=elderly', '2023/24|2023-12-04|2023-12-10|age=youth', '2023/24|2023-12-04|2023-12-10|age=adult', '2023/24|2023-12-04|2023-12-10|age=elderly', '2023/24|2023-12-11|2023-12-17|age=youth', '2023/24|2023-12-11|2023-12-17|age=adult', '2023/24|2023-12-11|2023-12-17|age=elderly', '2023/24|2023-12-18|2023-12-24|age=youth', '2023/24|2023-12-18|2023-12-24|age=adult', '2023/24|2023-12-18|2023-12-24|age=elderly', '2023/24|2023-12-25|2023-12-31|age=youth', '2023/24|2023-12-25|2023-12-31|age=adult', '2023/24|2023-12-25|2023-12-31|age=elderly', '2023/24|2024-01-01|2024-01-07|age=youth', '2023/24|2024-01-01|2024-01-07|age=adult', '2023/24|2024-01-01|2024-01-07|age=elderly', '2023/24|2024-01-08|2024-01-14|age=youth', '2023/24|2024-01-08|2024-01-14|age=adult', '2023/24|2024-01-08|2024-01-14|age=elderly', '2023/24|2024-01-15|2024-01-21|age=youth', '2023/24|2024-01-15|2024-01-21|age=adult', '2023/24|2024-01-15|2024-01-21|age=elderly', '2023/24|2024-01-22|2024-01-28|age=youth', '2023/24|2024-01-22|2024-01-28|age=adult', '2023/24|2024-01-22|2024-01-28|age=elderly', '2023/24|2024-01-29|2024-02-04|age=youth', '2023/24|2024-01-29|2024-02-04|age=adult', '2023/24|2024-01-29|2024-02-04|age=elderly', '2024/25|2024-10-07|2024-10-13|age=youth', '2024/25|2024-10-07|2024-10-13|age=adult', '2024/25|2024-10-07|2024-10-13|age=elderly', '2024/25|2024-10-14|2024-10-20|age=youth', '2024/25|2024-10-14|2024-10-20|age=adult', '2024/25|2024-10-14|2024-10-20|age=elderly', '2024/25|2024-10-21|2024-10-27|age=youth', '2024/25|2024-10-21|2024-10-27|age=adult', '2024/25|2024-10-21|2024-10-27|age=elderly', '2024/25|2024-10-28|2024-11-03|age=youth', '2024/25|2024-10-28|2024-11-03|age=adult', '2024/25|2024-10-28|2024-11-03|age=elderly', '2024/25|2024-11-04|2024-11-10|age=youth', '2024/25|2024-11-04|2024-11-10|age=adult', '2024/25|2024-11-04|2024-11-10|age=elderly', '2024/25|2024-11-11|2024-11-17|age=youth', '2024/25|2024-11-11|2024-11-17|age=adult', '2024/25|2024-11-11|2024-11-17|age=elderly', '2024/25|2024-11-18|2024-11-24|age=youth', '2024/25|2024-11-18|2024-11-24|age=adult', '2024/25|2024-11-18|2024-11-24|age=elderly', '2024/25|2024-11-25|2024-12-01|age=youth', '2024/25|2024-11-25|2024-12-01|age=adult', '2024/25|2024-11-25|2024-12-01|age=elderly', '2024/25|2024-12-02|2024-12-08|age=youth', '2024/25|2024-12-02|2024-12-08|age=adult', '2024/25|2024-12-02|2024-12-08|age=elderly', '2024/25|2024-12-09|2024-12-15|age=youth', '2024/25|2024-12-09|2024-12-15|age=adult', '2024/25|2024-12-09|2024-12-15|age=elderly', '2024/25|2024-12-16|2024-12-22|age=youth', '2024/25|2024-12-16|2024-12-22|age=adult', '2024/25|2024-12-16|2024-12-22|age=elderly', '2024/25|2024-12-23|2024-12-29|age=youth', '2024/25|2024-12-23|2024-12-29|age=adult', '2024/25|2024-12-23|2024-12-29|age=elderly', '2024/25|2024-12-30|2025-01-05|age=youth', '2024/25|2024-12-30|2025-01-05|age=adult', '2024/25|2024-12-30|2025-01-05|age=elderly', '2024/25|2025-01-06|2025-01-12|age=youth', '2024/25|2025-01-06|2025-01-12|age=adult', '2024/25|2025-01-06|2025-01-12|age=elderly', '2024/25|2025-01-13|2025-01-19|age=youth', '2024/25|2025-01-13|2025-01-19|age=adult', '2024/25|2025-01-13|2025-01-19|age=elderly', '2024/25|2025-01-20|2025-01-26|age=youth', '2024/25|2025-01-20|2025-01-26|age=adult', '2024/25|2025-01-20|2025-01-26|age=elderly', '2024/25|2025-01-27|2025-02-02|age=youth', '2024/25|2025-01-27|2025-02-02|age=adult', '2024/25|2025-01-27|2025-02-02|age=elderly'], dtype='<U41')
- covariate_values_m_age(chain, draw, season, age_categories)float320.0 -1.348 1.675 ... -0.6757 1.681
array([[[[ 0. , -1.3483216 , 1.6752692 ], [ 0. , 0.14971426, 1.725445 ], [ 0. , 1.3576345 , 1.7192695 ]], [[ 0. , 3.0671432 , 0.5221411 ], [ 0. , 2.8730965 , 0.87940574], [ 0. , 0.69798636, 0.78679985]], [[ 0. , 0.6835271 , 2.63392 ], [ 0. , -0.568536 , 1.8671687 ], [ 0. , 0.13306653, 2.861137 ]], ..., [[ 0. , 0.27992716, 2.7147627 ], [ 0. , 1.3070412 , 5.505289 ], [ 0. , 1.968259 , 5.5515347 ]], [[ 0. , 0.907177 , 1.4231551 ], [ 0. , 0.16023207, 1.8314981 ], [ 0. , 1.325241 , 2.5367615 ]], [[ 0. , 2.2788696 , 2.8670616 ], [ 0. , -2.6321607 , 3.0528533 ], [ 0. , -0.67568195, 1.6805619 ]]]], dtype=float32) - covariate_values_m_season(chain, draw, season)float32-0.7382 0.1388 ... 0.676 -0.01918
array([[[-7.38221347e-01, 1.38782129e-01, -6.84699118e-01], [ 1.03546917e+00, -7.83956528e-01, 1.13434303e+00], [ 6.69967175e-01, 1.95202038e-01, 3.22395802e-01], [-1.01400226e-01, 8.59069377e-02, 4.64326069e-02], [ 8.81939754e-02, -1.83374941e-01, -1.03806591e+00], [-6.38906479e-01, -4.34279621e-01, -3.46844673e-01], [ 5.47094464e-01, -2.13556409e-01, -1.51872301e+00], [ 2.97395676e-01, -7.26205826e-01, 6.76043272e-01], [-8.70764375e-01, -7.16529548e-01, -8.94944012e-01], [ 1.56667978e-01, 1.16014048e-01, 1.44355386e-01], [ 1.56095278e+00, 1.46698189e+00, 1.36360765e+00], [ 1.40506017e+00, 1.31583071e+00, -2.41230186e-02], [ 3.79780233e-01, -4.08421040e-01, 4.09031957e-01], [ 7.33284891e-01, 8.15086722e-01, 5.01231670e-01], [-1.03758121e+00, -1.04131615e+00, -1.00877547e+00], [-7.34672785e-01, -8.98506582e-01, -1.97995436e+00], [-3.29430029e-02, 3.55910026e-02, 2.58054048e-01], [ 6.88557208e-01, 8.67355645e-01, 1.11270356e+00], [ 6.78927228e-02, -8.63493323e-01, -2.87352920e+00], [-8.55956450e-02, -7.40553439e-02, -3.41853917e-01], ... [-2.23737526e+00, -2.88476086e+00, -1.64590704e+00], [-7.81183064e-01, -1.45583129e+00, 4.53396421e-03], [-6.21331453e-01, -8.21138442e-01, -5.07290602e-01], [ 1.73170698e+00, 1.93275106e+00, 1.36951220e+00], [ 1.83178091e+00, 1.39321864e+00, 2.27285790e+00], [-5.80736041e-01, 1.09734523e+00, -1.87213135e+00], [ 4.02363628e-01, 4.06843066e-01, 3.37491244e-01], [-3.28688174e-02, -7.95807660e-01, -1.27515262e-02], [-2.40832710e+00, -2.40846157e+00, -2.69633627e+00], [-4.93249744e-01, -1.59813201e+00, 6.98255673e-02], [ 1.97872762e-02, 2.40240887e-01, 1.79237857e-01], [-5.91188788e-01, -3.07430714e-01, -2.16664463e-01], [ 1.47928044e-01, -1.94487736e-01, -2.68267125e-01], [-9.19913828e-01, -9.43724811e-01, -8.81572902e-01], [-1.45665109e-01, -2.08735868e-01, -5.63860297e-01], [ 5.91010034e-01, 4.79168415e-01, 8.50346088e-01], [ 7.10411370e-01, 1.64156044e+00, 1.47580469e+00], [ 1.44452393e+00, 6.28443122e-01, 6.56893730e-01], [ 2.89418757e-01, 6.76046908e-01, -1.91759765e-02]]], dtype=float32) - covariate_values_r_season(chain, draw, season)float32-3.226 -2.072 ... 3.762 -1.557
array([[[-3.2258692e+00, -2.0721884e+00, -3.1752603e+00], [-3.6750770e+00, -3.2028935e+00, 9.4474116e-03], [-2.8014231e+00, -2.9718330e+00, -2.6726527e+00], [-3.3354273e+00, -3.5842202e+00, -5.2230144e+00], [ 1.8541861e+00, 1.8619568e+00, -9.4934827e-01], [-2.4763641e+00, -4.5197549e+00, -6.4033694e+00], [-2.4813511e+00, -2.7877647e-01, -2.8260860e+00], [-2.4717715e+00, -2.3560259e+00, -2.7242458e+00], [-2.3425744e+00, -8.6061031e-01, 5.1207983e-01], [-3.3900108e+00, -3.0123951e+00, -2.9529266e+00], [-3.1017237e+00, -6.2363472e+00, -2.0350688e+00], [-2.2799642e+00, 3.2784921e-01, -9.0990394e-01], [-2.1813819e+00, -2.3054144e+00, -2.5769081e+00], [-1.7528852e+00, 2.1193524e-01, -1.2629030e+00], [-9.6035582e-01, 1.1556919e+00, -9.8177247e-02], [-3.4547801e+00, -2.7200813e+00, -3.7970054e+00], [-2.7860042e-01, -5.0153623e+00, -2.1996949e+00], [-7.4330086e-01, -2.5530236e+00, -3.0927238e+00], [-2.1131928e+00, -6.9478720e-01, -9.4509995e-01], [-5.0649629e+00, -2.8444917e+00, -1.7452277e+00], ... [ 3.4369450e-02, 3.8568690e-01, 3.4511080e-01], [-3.0854766e+00, -3.1115561e+00, -3.1267264e+00], [-7.5174940e-01, -2.0959055e+00, 1.2346796e+00], [-7.7291614e-01, -5.2485347e-01, -4.7842523e-01], [-4.0340266e+00, -3.9825137e+00, -3.9793363e+00], [-6.8448305e+00, -6.6917319e+00, -7.4437094e+00], [-1.8581098e+00, -2.4421167e+00, -6.4565945e-01], [ 5.3238553e-01, -3.1354291e+00, -1.0072795e+00], [-5.4851027e+00, -2.6954556e-01, 2.4539673e+00], [-7.5060457e-01, -3.5154049e+00, -1.8776331e+00], [-3.8041627e+00, -3.8270316e+00, -3.8092046e+00], [ 1.0784000e+00, -4.1419068e-01, -3.1929839e+00], [-3.9654839e-01, -3.2249424e+00, -1.3936158e+00], [ 8.3205342e-01, 9.0274262e-01, 4.5837688e-01], [-1.6049246e+00, -2.0472109e+00, -3.0444765e+00], [-1.0544381e+00, -5.0807476e-01, -8.3206844e-01], [-2.5425777e+00, -2.3064559e+00, -2.3984239e+00], [-1.3312608e+00, 3.7209394e+00, 5.0988036e-01], [-6.5742688e+00, -8.2132416e+00, -7.0818549e-01], [-1.1342672e+00, 3.7620046e+00, -1.5570627e+00]]], dtype=float32) - covariate_values_s_season(chain, draw, season)float3260.07 65.8 67.16 ... 24.66 26.7
array([[[ 60.07309 , 65.80169 , 67.158226 ], [ 41.85238 , 126.863716 , 38.49154 ], [ -1.3848752 , 19.864319 , 3.4514854 ], [ 51.452557 , -7.2802525 , 46.15737 ], [ 44.773407 , 25.931288 , 32.826027 ], [ 84.39958 , 36.99696 , 75.0154 ], [ 51.325626 , 103.69134 , 44.22407 ], [ 24.503937 , 66.863594 , 28.744905 ], [ 38.81663 , 44.212433 , 41.55805 ], [ 6.8263397 , 6.975675 , 7.006524 ], [ 3.085049 , 15.5147915 , -7.5876594 ], [ 64.060745 , 85.44619 , 75.86618 ], [ 2.105541 , -6.0741816 , 12.37597 ], [ 45.553215 , 71.241486 , 63.011112 ], [ 40.645287 , 47.658104 , 38.696865 ], [ 52.260567 , 53.915237 , 54.882713 ], [ 50.218018 , 43.379097 , 52.95836 ], [ 38.962395 , 12.919242 , 0.78783387], [ 40.180717 , 5.466273 , 13.888645 ], [ -8.123406 , -30.983513 , 41.050274 ], ... [ 38.090343 , 33.316288 , 47.989887 ], [ 31.439001 , 58.76006 , 31.975132 ], [ 52.602142 , 55.88392 , 47.364803 ], [ 52.263603 , 24.860222 , 49.759563 ], [ 44.951 , 53.169037 , 4.214867 ], [ 59.089767 , 69.17345 , 77.695755 ], [100.657936 , -9.359931 , 15.970388 ], [ 74.60119 , 81.331604 , 75.63571 ], [ 1.7324135 , 45.139297 , 25.158216 ], [ 63.591633 , 97.99725 , 71.527054 ], [ 39.486507 , 40.754066 , 16.722431 ], [ 54.36142 , 52.60991 , 58.85026 ], [ 58.249733 , 66.24435 , 42.230164 ], [ -3.8707905 , 19.661919 , 18.9738 ], [ 57.215454 , 56.299107 , 55.438576 ], [ 69.89958 , 55.940636 , 64.77802 ], [ -0.9667706 , 7.8386254 , -6.4941607 ], [ 76.50749 , 79.88503 , 83.36561 ], [ 50.47592 , 56.687027 , 49.92547 ], [ 21.25058 , 24.65996 , 26.70129 ]]], dtype=float32) - incidence_2022_23_age_adult(chain, draw, date_ranges_2022_23)float320.002616 0.00747 ... 0.001226
array([[[2.6158553e-03, 7.4700918e-03, 3.2541784e-03, ..., 7.6594059e-03, 4.7759647e-03, 7.0179827e-03], [3.4549866e-02, 4.2896681e-02, 3.7218977e-02, ..., 4.1615933e-02, 4.1454311e-02, 4.3539546e-02], [8.2681820e-02, 1.2302286e-02, 7.4927174e-02, ..., 8.2604280e-03, 4.9105581e-02, 1.8076761e-02], ..., [5.7040510e-09, 2.3732618e-03, 3.6240781e-08, ..., 1.4726706e-02, 1.4629323e-06, 3.7494040e-04], [2.2278994e-03, 2.2303436e-03, 2.2285674e-03, ..., 2.2302670e-03, 2.2295846e-03, 2.2303136e-03], [7.1298974e-03, 1.2916159e-04, 6.2696673e-02, ..., 1.3568877e-05, 4.1089669e-01, 1.2255249e-03]]], dtype=float32) - incidence_2022_23_age_adult_prevalence_penalty(chain, draw, incidence_2022_23_age_adult_prevalence_penalty_dim_0)float32
array([], shape=(1, 250, 0), dtype=float32)
- incidence_2022_23_age_elderly(chain, draw, date_ranges_2022_23)float320.01702 0.04861 ... 0.4243 0.001266
array([[[1.7022653e-02, 4.8611552e-02, 2.1176536e-02, ..., 4.9843509e-02, 3.1079544e-02, 4.5669455e-02], [2.9010268e-02, 3.6018781e-02, 3.1251423e-02, ..., 3.4943387e-02, 3.4807678e-02, 3.6558572e-02], [1.0035448e-01, 1.4931813e-02, 9.0942331e-02, ..., 1.0026037e-02, 5.9601553e-02, 2.1940541e-02], ..., [7.5762667e-09, 3.1522273e-03, 4.8135934e-08, ..., 1.9560387e-02, 1.9431043e-06, 4.9800548e-04], [2.3088006e-03, 2.3113335e-03, 2.3094928e-03, ..., 2.3112544e-03, 2.3105470e-03, 2.3113026e-03], [7.3630391e-03, 1.3338507e-04, 6.4746805e-02, ..., 1.4012568e-05, 4.2433271e-01, 1.2655986e-03]]], dtype=float32) - incidence_2022_23_age_elderly_prevalence_penalty(chain, draw, incidence_2022_23_age_elderly_prevalence_penalty_dim_0)float32
array([], shape=(1, 250, 0), dtype=float32)
- incidence_2022_23_age_youth(chain, draw, date_ranges_2022_23)float320.007662 0.02188 ... 0.0007546
array([[[7.6617785e-03, 2.1879723e-02, 9.5314123e-03, ..., 2.2434222e-02, 1.3988688e-02, 2.0555506e-02], [2.5918381e-02, 3.2179933e-02, 2.7920678e-02, ..., 3.1219151e-02, 3.1097909e-02, 3.2662198e-02], [6.8823017e-02, 1.0240226e-02, 6.2368173e-02, ..., 6.8758479e-03, 4.0874701e-02, 1.5046806e-02], ..., [5.2451425e-09, 2.1823258e-03, 3.3325101e-08, ..., 1.3541897e-02, 1.3452350e-06, 3.4477530e-04], [1.9743452e-03, 1.9765112e-03, 1.9749373e-03, ..., 1.9764437e-03, 1.9758388e-03, 1.9764847e-03], [4.3898490e-03, 7.9524274e-05, 3.8602088e-02, ..., 8.3543027e-06, 2.5298741e-01, 7.5455074e-04]]], dtype=float32) - incidence_2022_23_age_youth_prevalence_penalty(chain, draw, incidence_2022_23_age_youth_prevalence_penalty_dim_0)float32
array([], shape=(1, 250, 0), dtype=float32)
- incidence_2023_24_age_adult(chain, draw, date_ranges_2023_24)float320.1025 0.002662 0.01471 ... 0.0 0.0
array([[[1.02501884e-01, 2.66217301e-03, 1.47059858e-02, ..., 1.11003837e-03, 1.91196450e-04, 1.04560815e-01], [2.29653604e-02, 3.76554253e-03, 6.49966719e-03, ..., 2.85457284e-03, 1.63213245e-03, 1.42253442e-02], [8.49606283e-03, 3.60417776e-02, 2.96350978e-02, ..., 3.62504609e-02, 3.04518305e-02, 1.53274992e-02], ..., [0.00000000e+00, 0.00000000e+00, 0.00000000e+00, ..., 0.00000000e+00, 0.00000000e+00, 0.00000000e+00], [3.26116395e-04, 3.26111593e-04, 3.26115900e-04, ..., 3.26108566e-04, 3.26100737e-04, 3.26117966e-04], [0.00000000e+00, 2.54225006e-06, 0.00000000e+00, ..., 0.00000000e+00, 0.00000000e+00, 0.00000000e+00]]], dtype=float32) - incidence_2023_24_age_adult_prevalence_penalty(chain, draw, incidence_2023_24_age_adult_prevalence_penalty_dim_0)float32
array([], shape=(1, 250, 0), dtype=float32)
- incidence_2023_24_age_elderly(chain, draw, date_ranges_2023_24)float320.1552 0.004032 0.02227 ... 0.0 0.0
array([[[1.5524957e-01, 4.0321327e-03, 2.2273719e-02, ..., 1.6812665e-03, 2.8958655e-04, 1.5836802e-01], [1.3519542e-02, 2.2167477e-03, 3.8263069e-03, ..., 1.6804661e-03, 9.6082460e-04, 8.3743576e-03], [1.8486572e-02, 7.8423269e-02, 6.4482972e-02, ..., 7.8877345e-02, 6.6260107e-02, 3.3351094e-02], ..., [0.0000000e+00, 0.0000000e+00, 0.0000000e+00, ..., 0.0000000e+00, 0.0000000e+00, 0.0000000e+00], [4.3698304e-04, 4.3697661e-04, 4.3698240e-04, ..., 4.3697256e-04, 4.3696209e-04, 4.3698514e-04], [0.0000000e+00, 2.0039184e-05, 0.0000000e+00, ..., 0.0000000e+00, 0.0000000e+00, 0.0000000e+00]]], dtype=float32) - incidence_2023_24_age_elderly_prevalence_penalty(chain, draw, incidence_2023_24_age_elderly_prevalence_penalty_dim_0)float32
array([], shape=(1, 250, 0), dtype=float32)
- incidence_2023_24_age_youth(chain, draw, date_ranges_2023_24)float320.09587 0.00249 0.01375 ... 0.0 0.0
array([[[9.5869347e-02, 2.4899133e-03, 1.3754413e-02, ..., 1.0382116e-03, 1.7882479e-04, 9.7795039e-02], [8.0900798e-03, 1.3264993e-03, 2.2896579e-03, ..., 1.0055893e-03, 5.7495642e-04, 5.0112065e-03], [1.1432241e-02, 4.8497554e-02, 3.9876770e-02, ..., 4.8778355e-02, 4.0975761e-02, 2.0624572e-02], ..., [0.0000000e+00, 0.0000000e+00, 0.0000000e+00, ..., 0.0000000e+00, 0.0000000e+00, 0.0000000e+00], [3.0932060e-04, 3.0931600e-04, 3.0932011e-04, ..., 3.0931315e-04, 3.0930573e-04, 3.0932206e-04], [0.0000000e+00, 1.3602141e-05, 0.0000000e+00, ..., 0.0000000e+00, 0.0000000e+00, 0.0000000e+00]]], dtype=float32) - incidence_2023_24_age_youth_prevalence_penalty(chain, draw, incidence_2023_24_age_youth_prevalence_penalty_dim_0)float32
array([], shape=(1, 250, 0), dtype=float32)
- incidence_2024_25_age_adult(chain, draw, date_ranges_2024_25)float320.03048 0.04381 ... 1.623e-06
array([[[3.0478200e-02, 4.3814119e-02, 1.1647773e-02, ..., 3.4106601e-02, 2.5200184e-02, 4.0927291e-02], [0.0000000e+00, 3.3818138e-05, 7.7846521e-15, ..., 8.0953372e-01, 0.0000000e+00, 0.0000000e+00], [3.5324201e-04, 9.7337365e-03, 7.3596507e-02, ..., 2.2937698e-02, 2.1802190e-04, 9.2533999e-04], ..., [0.0000000e+00, 6.1170382e-21, 0.0000000e+00, ..., 4.5980943e-31, 0.0000000e+00, 4.2659852e-01], [0.0000000e+00, 5.3577167e-01, 4.3305726e-10, ..., 1.3075336e-02, 0.0000000e+00, 0.0000000e+00], [8.3650690e-08, 2.5599506e-03, 3.5670942e-03, ..., 3.9800644e-02, 8.3650704e-09, 1.6228175e-06]]], dtype=float32) - incidence_2024_25_age_adult_prevalence_penalty(chain, draw, incidence_2024_25_age_adult_prevalence_penalty_dim_0)float32
array([], shape=(1, 250, 0), dtype=float32)
- incidence_2024_25_age_elderly(chain, draw, date_ranges_2024_25)float320.03396 0.04882 ... 4.096e-06
array([[[3.39598320e-02, 4.88191694e-02, 1.29783405e-02, ..., 3.80027220e-02, 2.80788913e-02, 4.56025675e-02], [0.00000000e+00, 3.42193416e-05, 7.87700576e-15, ..., 8.19137692e-01, 0.00000000e+00, 0.00000000e+00], [5.54283150e-04, 1.52735114e-02, 1.15482591e-01, ..., 3.59922610e-02, 3.42104991e-04, 1.45197997e-03], ..., [0.00000000e+00, 6.30678729e-21, 0.00000000e+00, ..., 4.74072640e-31, 0.00000000e+00, 4.39831495e-01], [0.00000000e+00, 5.85566580e-01, 4.73305839e-10, ..., 1.42905638e-02, 0.00000000e+00, 0.00000000e+00], [2.11146883e-07, 6.46169949e-03, 9.00388043e-03, ..., 1.00462809e-01, 2.11146904e-08, 4.09623453e-06]]], dtype=float32) - incidence_2024_25_age_elderly_prevalence_penalty(chain, draw, incidence_2024_25_age_elderly_prevalence_penalty_dim_0)float32
array([], shape=(1, 250, 0), dtype=float32)
- incidence_2024_25_age_youth(chain, draw, date_ranges_2024_25)float320.01543 0.02218 ... 2.414e-06
array([[[1.5429348e-02, 2.2180552e-02, 5.8965930e-03, ..., 1.7266195e-02, 1.2757393e-02, 2.0719118e-02], [0.0000000e+00, 2.9683273e-05, 6.8328411e-15, ..., 7.1055400e-01, 0.0000000e+00, 0.0000000e+00], [3.3475310e-04, 9.2242677e-03, 6.9744423e-02, ..., 2.1737127e-02, 2.0661049e-04, 8.7690720e-04], ..., [0.0000000e+00, 5.1378890e-21, 0.0000000e+00, ..., 3.8620818e-31, 0.0000000e+00, 3.5831320e-01], [0.0000000e+00, 4.0145129e-01, 3.2448788e-10, ..., 9.7972909e-03, 0.0000000e+00, 0.0000000e+00], [1.2441487e-07, 3.8074511e-03, 5.3053894e-03, ..., 5.9196070e-02, 1.2441488e-08, 2.4136393e-06]]], dtype=float32) - incidence_2024_25_age_youth_prevalence_penalty(chain, draw, incidence_2024_25_age_youth_prevalence_penalty_dim_0)float32
array([], shape=(1, 250, 0), dtype=float32)
- m_2022_23_age_adult(chain, draw)float32-2.087 4.103 1.353 ... 2.352 2.568
array([[-2.0865428 , 4.1026125 , 1.3534943 , 1.0052512 , 1.7399559 , -1.1847519 , 2.3508563 , 1.1024213 , -0.8447771 , 1.3458887 , 2.188279 , 2.8605375 , -0.2380929 , 2.1270278 , 1.2816744 , -0.57630175, 1.5106416 , 0.6247942 , 1.4514619 , 0.84961605, 3.0893717 , 1.6118972 , 1.0577089 , 1.740521 , 1.3317325 , 3.2351499 , 0.8913944 , 0.98764956, 2.1869035 , 1.2293379 , -1.12075 , 0.7758163 , 3.095151 , -2.4881222 , 1.0738028 , 1.6800313 , 0.7933191 , 1.4578178 , 1.0724543 , 1.3218405 , 2.0019903 , -0.0269922 , 0.13478917, 2.0204036 , 2.4146168 , 1.3755997 , 3.5506213 , -0.27534163, 0.8117225 , 0.852975 , 0.8003502 , 2.2803073 , 3.719372 , 3.550212 , 1.4710773 , 0.51931274, -0.9899455 , 1.3829489 , -3.1383555 , 3.9061072 , 0.95966566, 0.20417523, 3.1687112 , -4.5681067 , -0.6382232 , 2.9455972 , 5.0890694 , -0.12419987, -1.8593947 , 1.59335 , 0.76066685, -0.90623903, -0.87718797, 0.7967831 , -0.2685542 , 1.4551928 , -1.0825983 , -0.51197433, 0.5216979 , -1.0158751 , -2.547521 , 0.6141694 , -2.270284 , 1.4087132 , 1.27067 , -1.0374963 , -1.1091877 , -0.7824721 , 2.9556863 , 3.2124367 , 3.0059304 , 1.7170088 , -0.3234224 , 1.631669 , 2.6116002 , 0.256251 , 1.5611665 , -0.98735267, 3.959022 , 3.6899462 , ... 1.2876885 , 0.9317636 , -1.377758 , 2.482709 , 3.2789102 , 0.53036976, 2.4833314 , 0.57520235, -1.2064431 , -0.15196967, 1.0810903 , 2.4480622 , 1.4194283 , 2.3681989 , 0.74194694, 4.434514 , 3.2421331 , -1.0938752 , 1.92554 , 1.5170684 , -0.5561954 , 2.5788758 , -0.49621814, 0.91922104, 1.8549366 , 1.7766607 , -1.5419575 , 3.4298136 , 1.4518348 , -1.0296609 , 2.6164422 , 1.0830238 , 1.6856668 , -1.9864256 , -2.4438617 , 2.716281 , 1.3459866 , -0.92204624, 0.44627926, 2.006812 , -0.83123887, 0.61184424, 5.33244 , 1.478883 , 2.0679657 , -2.0870337 , 0.43549728, 1.4372472 , 0.5143584 , -0.76605886, 2.2184744 , 3.8520293 , -0.14091194, 0.15751323, 1.0162294 , -0.4980445 , 0.55744183, 2.3380027 , 2.029459 , 2.4415333 , 2.632011 , 0.87653476, 0.79112023, 2.2077875 , 3.1854548 , -1.4069567 , 3.1285975 , -1.4702467 , 1.0662206 , 2.8783731 , 3.0840821 , 3.7507584 , 3.006132 , 1.2362735 , 0.9968238 , 0.04144835, -0.6979556 , 2.7862287 , 2.4869776 , 2.401641 , 1.9531993 , -0.5704573 , 0.31091544, 1.8719429 , -0.05786753, 0.6223873 , 0.26861146, -0.36918288, 0.35748714, -0.13689071, -0.85697085, 0.7024819 , 0.99033856, 2.3517008 , 2.5682883 ]], dtype=float32) - m_2022_23_age_adult_daily(chain, draw, days_2022_23)float32-2.087 -2.087 ... 2.568 2.568
array([[[-2.0865428 , -2.0865428 , -2.0865428 , ..., -2.0865428 , -2.0865428 , -2.0865428 ], [ 4.1026125 , 4.1026125 , 4.1026125 , ..., 4.1026125 , 4.1026125 , 4.1026125 ], [ 1.3534943 , 1.3534943 , 1.3534943 , ..., 1.3534943 , 1.3534943 , 1.3534943 ], ..., [ 0.99033856, 0.99033856, 0.99033856, ..., 0.99033856, 0.99033856, 0.99033856], [ 2.3517008 , 2.3517008 , 2.3517008 , ..., 2.3517008 , 2.3517008 , 2.3517008 ], [ 2.5682883 , 2.5682883 , 2.5682883 , ..., 2.5682883 , 2.5682883 , 2.5682883 ]]], dtype=float32) - m_2022_23_age_elderly(chain, draw)float320.937 1.558 3.304 ... 2.868 3.156
array([[ 9.37047899e-01, 1.55761027e+00, 3.30388713e+00, 2.05040956e+00, 2.06442881e+00, 4.18499112e-01, -2.25513124e+00, 2.83186126e+00, -1.78594875e+00, -1.24872708e+00, -3.63008022e-01, 5.12314177e+00, -4.97295797e-01, 3.31694102e+00, 4.21028018e-01, 4.54221630e+00, 1.49005985e+00, 3.58292937e+00, -2.87274718e-01, -8.64724636e-01, 1.10615468e+00, 4.88583422e+00, 2.08351398e+00, 7.57373124e-02, 1.13753223e+00, 2.15603423e+00, 1.77760446e+00, 4.88414288e-01, -1.69698882e+00, 1.39108515e+00, 2.38095689e+00, -6.38221741e-01, -2.62903047e+00, -2.85018206e-01, -1.15108538e+00, -1.94773090e+00, 1.83039796e+00, 2.60376960e-01, 5.90075016e-01, 2.42683053e+00, 2.95113254e+00, 2.05185699e+00, -7.62826145e-01, -9.39950570e-02, 4.13949043e-01, 2.14242554e+00, 2.65408039e-01, 4.54511344e-01, 3.10310268e+00, 5.47865450e-01, 1.41073239e+00, 1.62724125e+00, -4.62498993e-01, 2.16664147e+00, 2.45028973e+00, 1.52805829e+00, 1.07697725e-01, 1.89828837e+00, -1.72341585e+00, 3.00506878e+00, ... -9.66830909e-01, -1.31959653e+00, 3.82645750e+00, -1.88107729e+00, 5.25327635e+00, 2.78488207e+00, 6.28239214e-01, 6.31036401e-01, 2.19431114e+00, 1.21463001e+00, 1.15773714e+00, -6.56995475e-01, 2.73309499e-01, 5.77217937e-01, 3.25550795e+00, 4.06114340e-01, -5.24490654e-01, -6.24879217e+00, -1.41236985e+00, 1.55255842e+00, 4.97955620e-01, 8.80016565e-01, -2.77749825e+00, -1.65765882e-01, -1.89758599e-01, 3.46376002e-01, -1.00593841e+00, -2.05657482e-01, -5.84245503e-01, 1.23045743e+00, 1.24553192e+00, 2.61205745e+00, 2.71050096e+00, 2.18254471e+00, -7.01401353e-01, 6.84541464e-01, -4.27371949e-01, 9.83669758e-01, 1.67168915e-01, -3.23631525e+00, -7.68607914e-01, -1.49566507e+00, 7.98217010e+00, -7.35924006e-01, -1.10406852e+00, 1.36370587e+00, 1.45885885e+00, -1.90418267e+00, 1.89394414e+00, 3.01275277e+00, 2.95556605e-01, 8.81136835e-01, 2.72210658e-01, 1.11340213e+00, 3.13546085e+00, 3.42517400e+00, 2.86767912e+00, 3.15648031e+00]], dtype=float32) - m_2022_23_age_elderly_daily(chain, draw, days_2022_23)float320.937 0.937 0.937 ... 3.156 3.156
array([[[0.9370479, 0.9370479, 0.9370479, ..., 0.9370479, 0.9370479, 0.9370479], [1.5576103, 1.5576103, 1.5576103, ..., 1.5576103, 1.5576103, 1.5576103], [3.3038871, 3.3038871, 3.3038871, ..., 3.3038871, 3.3038871, 3.3038871], ..., [3.425174 , 3.425174 , 3.425174 , ..., 3.425174 , 3.425174 , 3.425174 ], [2.867679 , 2.867679 , 2.867679 , ..., 2.867679 , 2.867679 , 2.867679 ], [3.1564803, 3.1564803, 3.1564803, ..., 3.1564803, 3.1564803, 3.1564803]]], dtype=float32) - m_2022_23_age_youth(chain, draw)float32-0.7382 1.035 0.67 ... 1.445 0.2894
array([[-7.38221347e-01, 1.03546917e+00, 6.69967175e-01, -1.01400226e-01, 8.81939754e-02, -6.38906479e-01, 5.47094464e-01, 2.97395676e-01, -8.70764375e-01, 1.56667978e-01, 1.56095278e+00, 1.40506017e+00, 3.79780233e-01, 7.33284891e-01, -1.03758121e+00, -7.34672785e-01, -3.29430029e-02, 6.88557208e-01, 6.78927228e-02, -8.55956450e-02, 8.32651258e-01, 1.63982880e+00, 7.97555506e-01, -3.52764130e-02, -3.05017292e-01, 2.41207764e-01, 2.92229027e-01, -8.36691618e-01, 1.81573436e-01, 3.55634801e-02, 3.09659988e-01, -1.97218955e+00, -7.57314086e-01, -1.76365602e+00, -1.45444643e+00, -3.95089865e-01, 4.56831336e-01, -2.61197776e-01, -6.52015805e-01, 6.19494617e-01, -5.65979909e-03, 3.94558422e-02, -1.22079901e-01, 1.00760497e-01, -3.45846623e-01, -1.48177966e-01, 8.38915884e-01, -7.20996916e-01, 2.72183251e-02, 5.42784154e-01, -7.04480112e-02, 9.02220488e-01, -1.18295170e-01, 1.39435077e+00, -3.74694983e-03, 1.81737328e+00, -7.99849093e-01, 2.56401539e-01, -2.85171223e+00, 1.48188758e+00, ... 3.30985248e-01, -1.23713106e-01, 5.59343219e-01, -1.20757246e+00, 7.34617174e-01, 1.96418178e+00, -7.15935409e-01, 2.02992231e-01, 1.89714525e-02, 1.68044281e+00, 3.48315269e-01, -6.98880434e-01, 2.66561925e-01, -6.14837289e-01, 1.48550332e+00, -7.55931735e-01, -4.80750591e-01, -4.61597025e-01, -2.88886428e-01, 3.92755747e-01, 7.46892631e-01, 1.56085038e+00, -1.74483609e+00, 6.72461450e-01, 8.52589071e-01, -1.11002192e-01, -1.05063951e+00, 1.32934666e+00, -7.04588830e-01, 8.59531403e-01, -1.72943223e+00, -2.72729509e-02, 6.77477658e-01, 1.51534319e+00, 3.45748872e-01, -2.13299304e-01, -7.52415955e-01, 3.67985398e-01, -4.69502807e-01, -2.23737526e+00, -7.81183064e-01, -6.21331453e-01, 1.73170698e+00, 1.83178091e+00, -5.80736041e-01, 4.02363628e-01, -3.28688174e-02, -2.40832710e+00, -4.93249744e-01, 1.97872762e-02, -5.91188788e-01, 1.47928044e-01, -9.19913828e-01, -1.45665109e-01, 5.91010034e-01, 7.10411370e-01, 1.44452393e+00, 2.89418757e-01]], dtype=float32) - m_2022_23_age_youth_daily(chain, draw, days_2022_23)float32-0.7382 -0.7382 ... 0.2894 0.2894
array([[[-0.73822135, -0.73822135, -0.73822135, ..., -0.73822135, -0.73822135, -0.73822135], [ 1.0354692 , 1.0354692 , 1.0354692 , ..., 1.0354692 , 1.0354692 , 1.0354692 ], [ 0.6699672 , 0.6699672 , 0.6699672 , ..., 0.6699672 , 0.6699672 , 0.6699672 ], ..., [ 0.71041137, 0.71041137, 0.71041137, ..., 0.71041137, 0.71041137, 0.71041137], [ 1.4445239 , 1.4445239 , 1.4445239 , ..., 1.4445239 , 1.4445239 , 1.4445239 ], [ 0.28941876, 0.28941876, 0.28941876, ..., 0.28941876, 0.28941876, 0.28941876]]], dtype=float32) - m_2023_24_age_adult(chain, draw)float320.2885 2.089 ... 0.7887 -1.956
array([[ 2.88496375e-01, 2.08913994e+00, -3.73333931e-01, 1.29554534e+00, -8.81781518e-01, -1.06054068e-01, 1.30318749e+00, 9.83741879e-02, -6.79817617e-01, -1.95938453e-01, 2.09717798e+00, 2.75767612e+00, -1.03002763e+00, 2.26411152e+00, 9.58749413e-01, 4.71240282e-02, 1.58828568e+00, 2.65267968e+00, 5.19809127e-01, -8.64105463e-01, 3.28347731e+00, 6.46918595e-01, 1.18310416e+00, 9.93670702e-01, 1.95027232e+00, 2.49209213e+00, 3.72121239e+00, -1.24863178e-01, 2.30592489e+00, 2.32752323e+00, -3.26526260e+00, 1.44662142e-01, 3.01535511e+00, -8.65840554e-01, 1.71952760e+00, 2.52598143e+00, 4.43456411e-01, 1.08941841e+00, 3.28897059e-01, 6.02051616e-01, 1.80915153e+00, -1.19838762e+00, 1.11669242e+00, 2.16743708e+00, 2.19025397e+00, 1.50384688e+00, 3.74435186e+00, -3.92722130e-01, -2.43004188e-01, 2.20848417e+00, 1.54143405e+00, 2.61650634e+00, 1.17231131e+00, 1.51964784e+00, 1.65352726e+00, 1.98367786e+00, 5.03775358e-01, -6.36601388e-01, 1.33753628e-01, 3.58705568e+00, ... -3.13043773e-01, 1.66617930e+00, 3.02576566e+00, -6.76787972e-01, 3.11631823e+00, 3.86349297e+00, 1.31845403e+00, 3.64822102e+00, -2.79843301e-01, 1.77266407e+00, 1.90741515e+00, 3.58006120e-01, -3.72829080e-01, 2.65175486e+00, 3.77979803e+00, -3.48110437e-01, 8.04118633e-01, 1.01270187e+00, -1.36071181e+00, -2.52695501e-01, 4.59983230e-01, -3.63194227e-01, 9.33975160e-01, 2.97721052e+00, 3.44990224e-01, 1.07246828e+00, 2.07073426e+00, 2.85798740e+00, -2.34799117e-01, 3.37711334e+00, 2.05333322e-01, 2.19070601e+00, 1.92583811e+00, 2.99350739e+00, -1.69741952e+00, 3.14133644e+00, 3.04273033e+00, -3.44451427e-01, 5.08945704e-01, 6.33408785e-01, 1.86488080e+00, 8.83168161e-01, 3.19300818e+00, 1.77199578e+00, 1.10247397e+00, 3.99051160e-01, 1.58784246e+00, -1.73062515e+00, -2.19008923e-02, -9.46542919e-01, -5.87948442e-01, 3.55350137e-01, -1.51271284e-01, -9.51000571e-01, 2.53497779e-01, 2.94860172e+00, 7.88675189e-01, -1.95611382e+00]], dtype=float32) - m_2023_24_age_adult_daily(chain, draw, days_2023_24)float320.2885 0.2885 ... -1.956 -1.956
array([[[ 0.28849638, 0.28849638, 0.28849638, ..., 0.28849638, 0.28849638, 0.28849638], [ 2.08914 , 2.08914 , 2.08914 , ..., 2.08914 , 2.08914 , 2.08914 ], [-0.37333393, -0.37333393, -0.37333393, ..., -0.37333393, -0.37333393, -0.37333393], ..., [ 2.9486017 , 2.9486017 , 2.9486017 , ..., 2.9486017 , 2.9486017 , 2.9486017 ], [ 0.7886752 , 0.7886752 , 0.7886752 , ..., 0.7886752 , 0.7886752 , 0.7886752 ], [-1.9561138 , -1.9561138 , -1.9561138 , ..., -1.9561138 , -1.9561138 , -1.9561138 ]]], dtype=float32) - m_2023_24_age_elderly(chain, draw)float321.864 0.09545 2.062 ... 2.46 3.729
array([[ 1.8642272 , 0.09544921, 2.0623708 , 2.1906042 , 2.326411 , 0.622433 , 0.35290366, 1.1724683 , -1.5673113 , 0.102948 , 4.4457436 , 1.5981197 , -0.3466836 , 2.7263093 , -0.6054431 , 0.27353543, 1.6047173 , 3.5660195 , -1.6068997 , 0.03615077, 2.9882092 , 2.5922415 , 4.557334 , -0.07650854, 1.7938929 , 2.5241187 , 2.900429 , 0.96816975, 0.64327145, 3.6750774 , 0.26983285, -3.503802 , -2.3147593 , 0.7618309 , -0.6165806 , -0.2886676 , 1.3575301 , 0.40222073, 0.21278912, 2.8515496 , 3.777096 , 0.7269716 , 0.85097146, 0.25077522, 0.06004083, 1.7157372 , 0.24338377, -0.34500545, 1.0782734 , 2.317316 , 0.93374074, 2.0867717 , 0.7428136 , 2.3716953 , 0.9158195 , 2.5772145 , 2.2493486 , -0.08710353, 0.47737345, 2.3977056 , 0.9077139 , 1.907913 , -2.8697007 , 1.6325543 , -0.0569579 , 2.2869155 , 1.6705751 , 1.9008682 , 1.434495 , 3.8026106 , 0.28182483, 1.8382359 , -2.0521612 , 1.1447849 , 0.30176407, 0.92279655, 0.07115597, -1.9629693 , 2.0884998 , -0.4345628 , 2.4289465 , 0.9960568 , -3.1170874 , 2.4845042 , 1.5434668 , 1.2038704 , 1.4460738 , -0.5308894 , 0.623971 , 4.796979 , -0.49464968, 0.9008955 , -0.46851957, 5.792279 , -0.02596152, 1.883228 , 1.5834631 , 2.5409713 , -0.40335202, 3.7850957 , ... 1.4618676 , 2.7267594 , 1.1191851 , 1.4244764 , -0.36024603, 0.01460031, 3.2062175 , -0.6876283 , 0.9534763 , 0.3686329 , 3.7754211 , 1.6324452 , 2.1147757 , 0.2982788 , 0.26328158, 2.36766 , 2.0218844 , 2.017541 , 0.2282033 , 0.4295776 , -2.3796954 , 3.371036 , -0.8481019 , 2.213468 , 0.6494039 , 1.2640935 , 2.1237826 , -0.01091242, 0.99976 , -2.2340958 , 3.4673824 , 0.6519193 , -3.3769557 , 0.2634096 , -2.471599 , 1.9163506 , 3.5920978 , -1.5638173 , 0.31734693, 2.6215835 , -2.180759 , -0.30763113, 0.45374954, 1.5842435 , 1.899697 , 2.1637347 , 2.5395968 , 0.5722877 , -0.22107792, 0.734492 , 1.5081042 , 3.9996562 , 0.7427149 , -0.3479156 , 0.9560493 , -1.8439069 , 0.44957018, -0.5451636 , -1.9156915 , -0.919368 , 1.7607942 , -0.31400204, -0.47939324, -2.2790139 , 0.51257706, 0.16475426, 1.819339 , 1.285055 , 2.7806287 , 2.637586 , 2.4588923 , -0.83865947, 0.6604227 , -0.9879643 , 2.4819844 , 0.8831314 , -3.4062076 , -1.2647331 , -1.4033289 , 2.0942035 , -3.03646 , 1.2852076 , 1.0896803 , -0.06790763, -1.43559 , 1.1861275 , 1.6520457 , 1.5465205 , 0.4960655 , 0.2446881 , 0.2720998 , 4.8967595 , 7.1468496 , 2.4599414 , 3.7289002 ]], dtype=float32) - m_2023_24_age_elderly_daily(chain, draw, days_2023_24)float321.864 1.864 1.864 ... 3.729 3.729
array([[[1.8642272 , 1.8642272 , 1.8642272 , ..., 1.8642272 , 1.8642272 , 1.8642272 ], [0.09544921, 0.09544921, 0.09544921, ..., 0.09544921, 0.09544921, 0.09544921], [2.0623708 , 2.0623708 , 2.0623708 , ..., 2.0623708 , 2.0623708 , 2.0623708 ], ..., [7.1468496 , 7.1468496 , 7.1468496 , ..., 7.1468496 , 7.1468496 , 7.1468496 ], [2.4599414 , 2.4599414 , 2.4599414 , ..., 2.4599414 , 2.4599414 , 2.4599414 ], [3.7289002 , 3.7289002 , 3.7289002 , ..., 3.7289002 , 3.7289002 , 3.7289002 ]]], dtype=float32) - m_2023_24_age_youth(chain, draw)float320.1388 -0.784 ... 0.6284 0.676
array([[ 0.13878213, -0.7839565 , 0.19520204, 0.08590694, -0.18337494, -0.43427962, -0.21355641, -0.7262058 , -0.71652955, 0.11601405, 1.4669819 , 1.3158307 , -0.40842104, 0.8150867 , -1.0413162 , -0.8985066 , 0.035591 , 0.86735564, -0.8634933 , -0.07405534, 0.9899029 , 0.27848196, 0.8470725 , -0.1072016 , 0.0305996 , 0.1269245 , 1.9236767 , -0.5275975 , 0.7666924 , 1.2931335 , -1.007341 , -1.4513218 , -0.17940152, -0.83530307, -0.33310327, -0.41016996, 0.31644255, -0.10770674, -0.9461456 , 0.6473996 , -0.07979961, -1.3485703 , 0.95127314, 0.8755006 , -0.5674779 , -0.05717871, 1.0279945 , -0.75117534, -0.1819624 , 1.81278 , -0.38932228, 1.2682209 , 0.3067739 , 1.667325 , -0.1857581 , 1.9839765 , -0.82590353, 0.17190324, -0.28971896, 0.92088026, 0.9624918 , 0.1952146 , -2.3827677 , -0.83218074, -0.58342856, 0.35358843, -0.9815361 , -1.1579459 , 0.5731871 , 0.03370737, 0.46194267, -0.72146827, -3.4518476 , -0.2877275 , -0.85195 , -0.93261725, 0.11463816, -0.651084 , 0.549235 , -1.3062593 , -0.66538876, 0.24074373, -2.8406367 , 1.5840615 , 0.7068023 , 0.52250487, -0.9536151 , -2.1810026 , 0.57768315, 3.0739145 , 0.28019753, -1.6339351 , -1.0013802 , 0.13494399, 0.2862481 , 0.20197262, 0.15133516, -0.15779227, -1.7166545 , 1.1610972 , ... -0.10885154, 1.0917425 , -0.04069351, 0.74775976, 0.4336649 , -0.38000202, 0.83741647, -1.3631352 , -0.19343677, -0.75776374, 2.1140294 , -0.11050824, 0.26992854, -1.2815403 , -1.454956 , 0.7024224 , 0.04201217, 1.226376 , 1.3700082 , -1.1017827 , 0.77986354, 0.5820273 , -1.4693444 , -0.58509743, 0.13996768, -0.54801965, -1.4718572 , 1.0609959 , -0.5625413 , -1.2168883 , 2.0700376 , 0.20131631, -0.06799467, 0.20021188, -1.5939645 , 0.10314696, 0.5417322 , -0.2713044 , -0.06815223, 0.7570774 , -1.1714607 , 1.0288795 , 1.2785661 , 0.23997118, 0.7978035 , -0.0219127 , 3.0586452 , 0.33846444, -0.8971249 , 0.543193 , 0.31360832, 1.1125474 , -0.5434915 , 0.01775297, -0.5978446 , -0.27216852, -0.3520056 , -1.4093281 , -1.8915837 , -0.74004334, -0.42423362, 0.40251935, -0.86726916, -0.22020403, 1.5798546 , 0.36063138, 1.2681477 , -0.07373606, 1.3904845 , 0.5090407 , 1.4556575 , 0.08218379, -0.19988531, -0.7899643 , -0.24433084, 0.03865349, -2.8847609 , -1.4558313 , -0.82113844, 1.932751 , 1.3932186 , 1.0973452 , 0.40684307, -0.79580766, -2.4084616 , -1.598132 , 0.24024089, -0.3074307 , -0.19448774, -0.9437248 , -0.20873587, 0.47916842, 1.6415604 , 0.6284431 , 0.6760469 ]], dtype=float32) - m_2023_24_age_youth_daily(chain, draw, days_2023_24)float320.1388 0.1388 ... 0.676 0.676
array([[[ 0.13878213, 0.13878213, 0.13878213, ..., 0.13878213, 0.13878213, 0.13878213], [-0.7839565 , -0.7839565 , -0.7839565 , ..., -0.7839565 , -0.7839565 , -0.7839565 ], [ 0.19520204, 0.19520204, 0.19520204, ..., 0.19520204, 0.19520204, 0.19520204], ..., [ 1.6415604 , 1.6415604 , 1.6415604 , ..., 1.6415604 , 1.6415604 , 1.6415604 ], [ 0.6284431 , 0.6284431 , 0.6284431 , ..., 0.6284431 , 0.6284431 , 0.6284431 ], [ 0.6760469 , 0.6760469 , 0.6760469 , ..., 0.6760469 , 0.6760469 , 0.6760469 ]]], dtype=float32) - m_2024_25_age_adult(chain, draw)float320.6729 1.832 ... 1.982 -0.6949
array([[ 6.7293543e-01, 1.8323294e+00, 4.5546234e-01, 1.1193514e+00, -1.1877010e+00, -2.1307647e-02, 2.5057788e+00, 1.9094938e+00, -1.4950970e+00, -6.6636813e-01, 1.7706763e+00, 1.4264425e+00, -2.3080507e-01, 1.8146892e+00, 2.2669468e+00, -1.2089801e+00, 1.8018992e+00, 1.3494211e+00, -1.5253994e+00, -1.4274800e-01, 4.1201363e+00, 1.4557706e+00, 2.0958717e+00, 1.4928794e+00, 3.9579716e+00, 3.7775311e+00, 1.9396684e+00, 1.4851758e+00, 1.5581520e+00, 1.4891803e+00, 2.1412671e+00, 2.9973946e+00, 7.4078852e-01, -8.0829036e-01, 6.8736911e-01, 5.3249866e-02, 6.7954326e-01, 3.7729988e-01, -1.2520342e+00, 1.0908005e+00, 2.0070894e+00, -7.9920626e-01, 4.8633009e-01, 9.5834833e-01, 4.5129700e+00, 1.7507522e+00, 3.4810741e+00, -4.3246579e-01, 1.8921587e+00, 7.5705743e-01, 1.8010017e+00, 1.9168849e+00, -2.7312653e+00, 1.7453698e+00, 8.1227249e-01, 1.1068118e+00, -7.1627510e-01, 1.7750708e+00, -7.3366320e-01, 3.5090492e+00, -4.4521797e-01, 1.8782914e-01, 1.6506981e+00, -1.7487454e+00, 6.9616842e-01, 9.7641975e-01, 1.1253618e+00, -2.0181458e+00, -1.7685443e-02, 1.6729769e+00, 1.9005404e+00, -1.0262477e+00, -6.4212251e-01, 2.2884541e+00, -2.3361180e+00, 1.5924425e+00, -1.3831053e+00, 6.1561108e-02, 1.0228479e+00, -1.1629595e+00, ... 2.8186083e+00, 1.4419640e+00, 8.5078287e-01, -6.2691849e-01, 1.5421679e+00, -4.0492469e-01, 3.6424503e+00, 1.4282141e+00, 1.4540008e+00, -8.0765384e-01, 2.6904879e+00, 8.9927590e-01, 2.7731538e-01, 1.9763234e+00, 1.3923304e+00, 8.6091661e-01, -5.8678532e-01, -1.6996330e+00, 2.2906110e+00, 3.4379360e-01, 1.9928610e+00, 4.3976013e-02, 3.5449126e+00, 2.5947613e-01, 1.3404962e+00, 1.2058170e+00, -5.2935374e-01, 2.7974052e+00, -3.7484050e+00, 1.5964520e-01, -1.5761936e-01, 1.7279050e+00, 4.4369394e-01, 1.1700292e+00, 3.2574461e+00, 2.6691966e+00, 8.0545682e-01, 8.9064640e-01, 4.6196032e-01, 2.5610821e+00, 2.9741132e-01, 3.9697886e-03, 2.6687851e+00, 2.0553463e+00, -1.6449404e-01, 4.7619599e-01, 4.0416813e+00, 2.9007120e+00, -4.7841084e-01, 3.2453291e+00, -1.3458824e+00, -1.5798151e-02, 1.8177501e+00, 1.6050365e+00, 2.2044818e+00, 4.0380168e+00, 2.6094227e+00, 4.4934258e+00, 3.7933505e-01, 3.4641800e+00, 3.2175734e+00, 2.1369011e+00, 1.2252704e+00, 2.8167944e+00, 3.2404881e+00, 3.6152345e-01, 2.7614963e+00, -1.9018676e+00, 1.9894664e+00, -2.5888419e-01, 2.5651070e-01, 2.2935259e+00, 3.7662387e-03, -1.3048527e+00, 8.5664868e-01, 3.4440637e+00, 1.9821347e+00, -6.9485795e-01]], dtype=float32) - m_2024_25_age_adult_daily(chain, draw, days_2024_25)float320.6729 0.6729 ... -0.6949 -0.6949
array([[[ 0.6729354 , 0.6729354 , 0.6729354 , ..., 0.6729354 , 0.6729354 , 0.6729354 ], [ 1.8323294 , 1.8323294 , 1.8323294 , ..., 1.8323294 , 1.8323294 , 1.8323294 ], [ 0.45546234, 0.45546234, 0.45546234, ..., 0.45546234, 0.45546234, 0.45546234], ..., [ 3.4440637 , 3.4440637 , 3.4440637 , ..., 3.4440637 , 3.4440637 , 3.4440637 ], [ 1.9821347 , 1.9821347 , 1.9821347 , ..., 1.9821347 , 1.9821347 , 1.9821347 ], [-0.69485795, -0.69485795, -0.69485795, ..., -0.69485795, -0.69485795, -0.69485795]]], dtype=float32) - m_2024_25_age_elderly(chain, draw)float321.035 1.921 3.184 ... 3.194 1.661
array([[ 1.03457046e+00, 1.92114282e+00, 3.18353271e+00, 2.15986776e+00, 1.11384988e+00, 7.09579825e-01, 8.92420769e-01, 3.22310662e+00, -1.61644697e+00, -1.06948507e+00, 1.66991544e+00, -2.36153305e-01, 1.28544390e+00, 2.17618275e+00, -3.47382605e-01, -2.51337099e+00, 2.21376824e+00, 3.25169587e+00, -2.82845807e+00, -1.48753643e+00, 3.93096185e+00, 2.12161875e+00, 3.01726055e+00, -1.82949960e-01, 3.56882501e+00, 2.85138631e+00, 3.86390638e+00, 1.51228666e+00, -1.35092759e+00, 1.12314129e+00, 8.37222099e-01, -2.84420419e+00, -1.02913475e+00, 8.09770346e-01, -9.83562112e-01, -9.83405530e-01, 9.66605783e-01, 3.75608265e-01, 1.77559018e-01, 2.89869237e+00, 2.68005180e+00, 3.09800655e-01, -2.40741625e-01, 2.98669279e-01, 2.58169103e+00, 4.12234592e+00, 3.77221733e-01, -1.66845322e-03, 6.30916715e-01, 1.25656259e+00, 1.81473911e+00, 1.76610029e+00, -2.90803045e-01, 2.40147305e+00, 1.69925928e+00, 1.44995642e+00, -7.26238906e-01, 1.28491390e+00, -1.77090812e+00, 2.18472624e+00, ... -1.91846347e+00, -9.80843127e-01, 4.03013515e+00, -2.55361795e+00, 1.23622167e+00, -9.08896327e-01, -1.75485969e-01, 1.47048187e+00, 1.74581838e+00, 1.10683084e+00, 2.28742456e+00, 4.48754370e-01, 5.16202211e-01, -3.72071862e-02, 3.24611259e+00, 8.02258074e-01, -8.17655027e-01, 2.70952916e+00, 2.74533701e+00, 4.23574924e+00, -1.66151702e+00, -1.70699811e+00, 1.78039420e+00, 2.06829262e+00, 3.61792743e-02, -4.40112382e-01, 1.56569767e+00, 5.90761185e-01, -1.28138676e-01, 1.34402347e+00, 4.31858420e-01, 3.40240407e+00, 2.16301847e+00, 5.47681451e-01, -4.21016723e-01, 9.99598145e-01, -9.26811457e-01, 2.25365996e+00, 6.61701262e-01, -3.86268806e+00, 1.02320857e-01, -1.32493353e+00, -6.76230073e-01, 4.79418516e-01, -3.91926765e+00, 1.71203840e+00, 6.05638981e-01, -1.87008524e+00, 2.81718540e+00, 2.59723687e+00, 1.57664263e+00, 4.12256986e-01, 3.54679883e-01, -8.55893195e-02, 3.01105523e+00, 7.02733946e+00, 3.19365525e+00, 1.66138589e+00]], dtype=float32) - m_2024_25_age_elderly_daily(chain, draw, days_2024_25)float321.035 1.035 1.035 ... 1.661 1.661
array([[[1.0345705, 1.0345705, 1.0345705, ..., 1.0345705, 1.0345705, 1.0345705], [1.9211428, 1.9211428, 1.9211428, ..., 1.9211428, 1.9211428, 1.9211428], [3.1835327, 3.1835327, 3.1835327, ..., 3.1835327, 3.1835327, 3.1835327], ..., [7.0273395, 7.0273395, 7.0273395, ..., 7.0273395, 7.0273395, 7.0273395], [3.1936553, 3.1936553, 3.1936553, ..., 3.1936553, 3.1936553, 3.1936553], [1.6613859, 1.6613859, 1.6613859, ..., 1.6613859, 1.6613859, 1.6613859]]], dtype=float32) - m_2024_25_age_youth(chain, draw)float32-0.6847 1.134 ... 0.6569 -0.01918
array([[-6.84699118e-01, 1.13434303e+00, 3.22395802e-01, 4.64326069e-02, -1.03806591e+00, -3.46844673e-01, -1.51872301e+00, 6.76043272e-01, -8.94944012e-01, 1.44355386e-01, 1.36360765e+00, -2.41230186e-02, 4.09031957e-01, 5.01231670e-01, -1.00877547e+00, -1.97995436e+00, 2.58054048e-01, 1.11270356e+00, -2.87352920e+00, -3.41853917e-01, 1.83494949e+00, 1.92641199e+00, 9.66271400e-01, 1.10567831e-01, 1.83150756e+00, 2.55802393e-01, 1.53653824e+00, -3.31090577e-03, 6.30216897e-01, -1.37569726e-01, 6.37925446e-01, 3.19140524e-01, -2.51036525e-01, -7.94580340e-01, -7.16475487e-01, -4.05296087e-01, 3.13550472e-01, -1.03332408e-01, -1.04344833e+00, 6.08647346e-01, -4.83103730e-02, 2.42450349e-02, 1.11899234e-03, -7.79873073e-01, 1.75383604e+00, 2.43933603e-01, 8.06453705e-01, -6.83936298e-01, 1.91756070e-01, 4.51245666e-01, -4.39024359e-01, 9.07800019e-01, -4.92837936e-01, 1.57940161e+00, 4.66651648e-01, 1.51987398e+00, -9.50665355e-01, 3.71335238e-01, -2.70433307e+00, 8.77270162e-01, ... -6.27208173e-01, -5.55704720e-02, 3.70417058e-01, -9.87276495e-01, 1.01415706e+00, -1.24485064e+00, -1.53347659e+00, 5.93557835e-01, -9.76581395e-01, 1.50585842e+00, 3.39313954e-01, -6.27633870e-01, 3.68753493e-01, -8.49877119e-01, 1.33646822e+00, -4.35455739e-01, -5.62847443e-02, -7.45973170e-01, 5.31842649e-01, 2.68949032e+00, -1.36221230e+00, -7.17358351e-01, 6.16231561e-01, 1.55986810e+00, -1.43475935e-01, -8.77086699e-01, 1.20231993e-01, 1.58922708e+00, -1.54606104e-01, 8.30110252e-01, -1.70491302e+00, -1.10480547e-01, 1.22070394e-01, 6.28907979e-02, 3.57337110e-02, -2.10701853e-01, 1.20080806e-01, 3.19293797e-01, -1.67550504e-01, -1.64590704e+00, 4.53396421e-03, -5.07290602e-01, 1.36951220e+00, 2.27285790e+00, -1.87213135e+00, 3.37491244e-01, -1.27515262e-02, -2.69633627e+00, 6.98255673e-02, 1.79237857e-01, -2.16664463e-01, -2.68267125e-01, -8.81572902e-01, -5.63860297e-01, 8.50346088e-01, 1.47580469e+00, 6.56893730e-01, -1.91759765e-02]], dtype=float32) - m_2024_25_age_youth_daily(chain, draw, days_2024_25)float32-0.6847 -0.6847 ... -0.01918
array([[[-0.6846991 , -0.6846991 , -0.6846991 , ..., -0.6846991 , -0.6846991 , -0.6846991 ], [ 1.134343 , 1.134343 , 1.134343 , ..., 1.134343 , 1.134343 , 1.134343 ], [ 0.3223958 , 0.3223958 , 0.3223958 , ..., 0.3223958 , 0.3223958 , 0.3223958 ], ..., [ 1.4758047 , 1.4758047 , 1.4758047 , ..., 1.4758047 , 1.4758047 , 1.4758047 ], [ 0.65689373, 0.65689373, 0.65689373, ..., 0.65689373, 0.65689373, 0.65689373], [-0.01917598, -0.01917598, -0.01917598, ..., -0.01917598, -0.01917598, -0.01917598]]], dtype=float32) - m_age(chain, draw, season, age_categories_short)float32-1.348 1.675 ... -0.6757 1.681
array([[[[-1.3483216 , 1.6752692 ], [ 0.14971426, 1.725445 ], [ 1.3576345 , 1.7192695 ]], [[ 3.0671432 , 0.5221411 ], [ 2.8730965 , 0.87940574], [ 0.69798636, 0.78679985]], [[ 0.6835271 , 2.63392 ], [-0.568536 , 1.8671687 ], [ 0.13306653, 2.861137 ]], ..., [[ 0.27992716, 2.7147627 ], [ 1.3070412 , 5.505289 ], [ 1.968259 , 5.5515347 ]], [[ 0.907177 , 1.4231551 ], [ 0.16023207, 1.8314981 ], [ 1.325241 , 2.5367615 ]], [[ 2.2788696 , 2.8670616 ], [-2.6321607 , 3.0528533 ], [-0.67568195, 1.6805619 ]]]], dtype=float32) - m_age_mu(chain, draw, age_categories_short)float32-0.1279 1.713 ... -0.1009 2.45
array([[[-1.27907470e-01, 1.71252966e+00], [ 1.14477909e+00, 6.92273617e-01], [-2.83851981e-01, 2.02133751e+00], [ 1.10060489e+00, 2.12919927e+00], [ 1.09135926e+00, 2.03307891e+00], [-1.23352073e-01, 1.05726731e+00], [ 2.37171459e+00, 3.06775302e-01], [ 1.07063937e+00, 1.27136028e+00], [-6.24216259e-01, -8.85080457e-01], [ 1.87404513e+00, -2.19629049e-01], [ 6.20141327e-01, 3.05196792e-01], [ 1.45522833e+00, 2.33150244e-01], [-6.85213387e-01, 3.03212464e-01], [ 1.47884929e+00, 1.91613936e+00], [ 1.31696236e+00, 5.38702428e-01], [ 6.82265997e-01, 7.25112557e-01], [ 1.55538929e+00, 1.56520879e+00], [-4.81474340e-01, 2.53730774e+00], [ 1.36668146e+00, -5.97155809e-01], [ 5.87207079e-02, -4.51783061e-01], ... [ 6.65039301e-01, 8.92170846e-01], [ 3.17190218e+00, 4.36678886e-01], [ 3.34813952e+00, 5.99969141e-02], [ 1.14772570e+00, -3.23185802e-01], [ 9.21098664e-02, 1.40966284e+00], [ 8.74894798e-01, -7.57513463e-01], [ 6.28057241e-01, 3.34222823e-01], [-4.92693782e-02, 9.36343014e-01], [ 2.04048681e+00, 1.02639341e+00], [ 1.13267958e+00, 7.39592612e-01], [ 8.02301049e-01, 2.66661000e+00], [ 7.96596348e-01, -4.23743457e-01], [ 5.59457839e-01, 9.70122337e-01], [ 2.07905710e-01, 7.20915258e-01], [ 9.02768612e-01, 1.18519068e+00], [-7.33180046e-01, -7.68974185e-01], [-2.28416830e-01, 1.52089381e+00], [-1.24138985e-02, 2.65292597e+00], [ 6.77296638e-01, 1.79946637e+00], [-1.00860663e-01, 2.44959521e+00]]], dtype=float32) - m_age_sigma(chain, draw, age_categories_short)float320.9951 0.04119 ... 1.883 0.4744
array([[[9.95101750e-01, 4.11905870e-02], [1.74224925e+00, 2.22108811e-01], [1.11989665e+00, 5.13929665e-01], [7.27989301e-02, 2.46587079e-02], [1.18034029e+00, 3.77424985e-01], [6.37659609e-01, 1.42138090e-03], [1.90318024e+00, 1.47708452e+00], [2.94695437e-01, 9.56663728e-01], [6.02138281e-01, 9.40779671e-02], [1.72109926e+00, 9.26232278e-01], [2.87658215e-01, 1.77284968e+00], [8.93983245e-02, 2.45362449e+00], [7.56541789e-02, 1.41633105e+00], [8.75058621e-02, 2.70575762e-01], [1.34744692e+00, 4.19102788e-01], [3.45855147e-01, 2.08383441e+00], [7.32017122e-03, 3.20738465e-01], [1.65378261e+00, 2.29777980e+00], [2.96174046e-02, 5.30369580e-01], [1.21361983e+00, 6.30554378e-01], ... [1.47794887e-01, 2.28728667e-01], [1.20881641e+00, 1.81463325e+00], [8.49184453e-01, 1.79687560e-01], [1.83869839e+00, 6.75206900e-01], [1.09486520e+00, 2.97591376e+00], [3.69083315e-01, 1.83034492e+00], [2.19544721e+00, 1.83980191e+00], [3.76776978e-02, 2.15126798e-01], [3.91927332e-01, 1.10384059e+00], [1.12115943e+00, 1.77051976e-01], [6.28155768e-01, 2.54830599e-01], [1.01241589e+00, 1.88951600e+00], [4.27199423e-01, 9.51209784e-01], [1.30123448e+00, 3.38531286e-02], [1.65195361e-01, 3.29506546e-02], [4.84550297e-02, 8.46980035e-01], [2.75613636e-01, 2.72284913e+00], [1.45811439e+00, 1.92738998e+00], [5.61526299e-01, 4.14462417e-01], [1.88345432e+00, 4.74428564e-01]]], dtype=float32) - m_season(chain, draw, season)float32-0.7382 0.1388 ... 0.676 -0.01918
array([[[-7.38221347e-01, 1.38782129e-01, -6.84699118e-01], [ 1.03546917e+00, -7.83956528e-01, 1.13434303e+00], [ 6.69967175e-01, 1.95202038e-01, 3.22395802e-01], [-1.01400226e-01, 8.59069377e-02, 4.64326069e-02], [ 8.81939754e-02, -1.83374941e-01, -1.03806591e+00], [-6.38906479e-01, -4.34279621e-01, -3.46844673e-01], [ 5.47094464e-01, -2.13556409e-01, -1.51872301e+00], [ 2.97395676e-01, -7.26205826e-01, 6.76043272e-01], [-8.70764375e-01, -7.16529548e-01, -8.94944012e-01], [ 1.56667978e-01, 1.16014048e-01, 1.44355386e-01], [ 1.56095278e+00, 1.46698189e+00, 1.36360765e+00], [ 1.40506017e+00, 1.31583071e+00, -2.41230186e-02], [ 3.79780233e-01, -4.08421040e-01, 4.09031957e-01], [ 7.33284891e-01, 8.15086722e-01, 5.01231670e-01], [-1.03758121e+00, -1.04131615e+00, -1.00877547e+00], [-7.34672785e-01, -8.98506582e-01, -1.97995436e+00], [-3.29430029e-02, 3.55910026e-02, 2.58054048e-01], [ 6.88557208e-01, 8.67355645e-01, 1.11270356e+00], [ 6.78927228e-02, -8.63493323e-01, -2.87352920e+00], [-8.55956450e-02, -7.40553439e-02, -3.41853917e-01], ... [-2.23737526e+00, -2.88476086e+00, -1.64590704e+00], [-7.81183064e-01, -1.45583129e+00, 4.53396421e-03], [-6.21331453e-01, -8.21138442e-01, -5.07290602e-01], [ 1.73170698e+00, 1.93275106e+00, 1.36951220e+00], [ 1.83178091e+00, 1.39321864e+00, 2.27285790e+00], [-5.80736041e-01, 1.09734523e+00, -1.87213135e+00], [ 4.02363628e-01, 4.06843066e-01, 3.37491244e-01], [-3.28688174e-02, -7.95807660e-01, -1.27515262e-02], [-2.40832710e+00, -2.40846157e+00, -2.69633627e+00], [-4.93249744e-01, -1.59813201e+00, 6.98255673e-02], [ 1.97872762e-02, 2.40240887e-01, 1.79237857e-01], [-5.91188788e-01, -3.07430714e-01, -2.16664463e-01], [ 1.47928044e-01, -1.94487736e-01, -2.68267125e-01], [-9.19913828e-01, -9.43724811e-01, -8.81572902e-01], [-1.45665109e-01, -2.08735868e-01, -5.63860297e-01], [ 5.91010034e-01, 4.79168415e-01, 8.50346088e-01], [ 7.10411370e-01, 1.64156044e+00, 1.47580469e+00], [ 1.44452393e+00, 6.28443122e-01, 6.56893730e-01], [ 2.89418757e-01, 6.76046908e-01, -1.91759765e-02]]], dtype=float32) - m_season_mu(chain, draw)float320.08216 0.3579 ... 1.038 1.06
array([[ 0.08215583, 0.3578943 , 0.6744342 , 0.15279353, -0.571987 , -0.27721378, -0.84481055, 0.47911963, -0.9254793 , 0.0917168 , 1.2562871 , 0.35691968, -0.19895425, 0.8252888 , -1.035865 , 0.00459681, -0.20269296, 0.93608403, 0.02119562, -0.10174222, 0.56343776, 1.4201345 , 0.83469725, -0.02983304, 0.08286764, 0.23967335, 0.13065062, -0.45007077, 0.49556068, 0.6050262 , -0.18741816, -0.36697075, -0.39915222, -1.1002634 , -0.4948632 , -0.39390847, 0.39866954, -0.13872713, -0.6321906 , 0.28398404, 0.06371984, -0.25092757, 0.18036346, -1.0618974 , 0.2028544 , -0.22800317, 0.7160867 , -0.65382105, -0.02278019, 0.508478 , -0.2333458 , 0.8820739 , -0.23230425, 1.5563452 , 0.00605782, 1.8361799 , -0.9280982 , 0.31076074, -0.39234906, 1.103036 , 1.2225543 , -0.75347805, -0.43607822, -0.7305745 , -1.1604534 , 0.76260245, -0.91512454, -1.3521253 , -0.34994465, 0.02610338, 0.34149158, -0.7051993 , -1.3706452 , -0.16659136, -0.4245071 , -0.9576492 , 0.07658651, 0.00831202, 0.4828805 , -1.2474208 , -0.6694571 , 0.2356951 , -0.28622648, 1.1515701 , 0.40340757, 0.3507846 , -0.9547093 , -0.23805329, 0.6933644 , 1.0953376 , 0.06706032, 0.5968563 , -0.63654405, 0.3542776 , 0.19406979, 0.2177913 , -0.24557604, -0.22218171, 0.6364835 , 1.1683466 , ... -0.28235123, 1.0133163 , -0.4616917 , 0.74676645, 0.171405 , -0.19544885, 1.2330984 , 0.8512356 , -0.17980306, -0.19093081, 1.3752617 , 0.18083064, -0.28836566, -0.49807906, -0.6128164 , 0.07359672, -0.05985822, 0.52718556, 0.9881687 , -1.1264844 , 0.51015073, 0.41019493, -1.4454001 , 0.38369617, 0.11970463, -0.4914901 , -0.6855237 , 1.1137486 , -0.02256114, -1.4866247 , 1.6499112 , 0.48432812, -0.01483274, -0.4088777 , -1.4728705 , -0.15077792, 0.03679238, -0.4952071 , -0.0994856 , 0.49744487, -1.0322686 , 0.8854414 , -0.40891048, -0.15069859, 0.43829697, -0.5353559 , 1.4872671 , 0.34617618, -0.6261475 , 0.48534173, -0.16268077, 1.1308609 , -0.7500316 , -0.3706415 , -0.7486896 , 0.04645975, -0.03917806, -0.5809367 , 0.00581375, 0.43072632, 0.47532308, -0.05517648, -0.6550698 , -0.89324266, 1.5442857 , -0.05245057, 0.66798556, -0.90728164, 0.06500603, 0.5915468 , 0.8752293 , 0.03159995, -0.20032488, -0.8667801 , 0.29777876, -0.4626241 , -1.3136728 , -0.4927205 , -0.18371817, 1.8326105 , 1.3486099 , -0.4978586 , 0.37700242, -0.18186364, -1.7147502 , -0.75195396, 0.15992819, -0.4463595 , 0.17869952, -0.9036336 , -0.32014427, 0.73718596, 0.73008186, 1.0379248 , 1.0598208 ]], dtype=float32) - m_season_sigma(chain, draw)float320.549 0.8592 ... 0.6131 0.7269
array([[0.54899806, 0.85923934, 0.5018503 , 0.2511186 , 0.38200587, 0.1977495 , 1.0253173 , 1.0990028 , 0.18699126, 0.29739785, 0.17635383, 0.49559176, 0.5147091 , 0.3222283 , 0.02572576, 0.9239052 , 0.919404 , 0.36575505, 1.2933528 , 0.16063347, 1.5737327 , 0.8302572 , 0.14424296, 0.09094023, 1.0422742 , 0.16131356, 1.3688846 , 0.32325536, 0.4773864 , 0.93332183, 0.4825582 , 0.7238754 , 0.17451285, 0.5205762 , 0.97279847, 0.01521402, 0.06945374, 0.06440936, 0.4104974 , 0.30959457, 0.14396045, 0.7903031 , 0.40529457, 1.0588914 , 1.3220485 , 0.24731497, 0.2028566 , 0.09042156, 0.17410554, 1.2068415 , 0.23107368, 0.41591427, 0.36377034, 0.09946243, 0.30841658, 0.42784277, 0.13876145, 0.09966795, 1.6217453 , 1.2019691 , 0.3796996 , 0.6251627 , 0.7465518 , 0.6866372 , 0.67147005, 0.7717388 , 0.80764896, 0.7445543 , 0.78229856, 0.05714733, 0.27094656, 0.11176182, 0.64684343, 0.5670088 , 1.0571864 , 0.6145635 , 0.26065665, 0.51774335, 0.09003115, 0.22814307, 0.15056469, 0.06333883, 1.7848787 , 0.4678378 , 0.3041267 , 0.29390448, 0.29162055, 0.92166364, 0.25044957, 0.8199157 , 0.676534 , 1.6420666 , 0.7753961 , 0.27010444, 0.35489613, 0.18777739, 0.36737853, 0.9548914 , 1.184402 , 0.02659774, ... 0.2675015 , 0.07072347, 1.2862343 , 0.19774637, 0.17489177, 0.29075304, 0.25857556, 1.6440732 , 0.06897626, 0.6813363 , 0.8956052 , 0.44682264, 1.0003746 , 1.7589991 , 0.8760377 , 0.5379016 , 0.5543684 , 0.8294239 , 0.29901755, 0.04601797, 0.3648577 , 0.14721693, 0.11918487, 1.1814133 , 0.02559794, 0.25626647, 1.0304595 , 0.2811536 , 1.4442207 , 0.39927113, 0.53923583, 0.23496775, 0.06689607, 0.692437 , 0.25355506, 0.32815236, 0.65948194, 0.44282404, 0.05410789, 0.10440321, 0.26196176, 0.08427322, 1.3613334 , 0.8945884 , 0.7009084 , 0.44250286, 1.0137225 , 0.01393523, 0.20746082, 0.13010548, 0.3831938 , 0.16263007, 0.15030618, 0.27307454, 0.3146571 , 0.5287069 , 1.4515387 , 0.92171896, 1.3399562 , 0.95242864, 0.9483607 , 0.801988 , 0.29623908, 0.68718725, 0.21639286, 0.8921177 , 0.28670606, 0.6121427 , 0.5314448 , 0.34482452, 0.47712678, 0.6805895 , 0.02126243, 0.87051266, 0.78692293, 0.78097296, 1.1842566 , 0.49424988, 0.6978644 , 0.63493526, 0.532513 , 0.6221365 , 0.04016508, 0.69517165, 0.81061757, 0.7117062 , 0.11539789, 0.1395118 , 0.2415063 , 0.03394818, 0.26380673, 0.3601832 , 0.7751502 , 0.6131492 , 0.72694534]], dtype=float32) - observation_mean(chain, draw, observation)float320.007662 0.002616 ... 0.0 0.0
array([[[7.6617785e-03, 2.6158553e-03, 1.7022653e-02, ..., 1.0315229e-02, 2.0376079e-02, 2.2703711e-02], [2.5918381e-02, 3.4549866e-02, 2.9010268e-02, ..., 0.0000000e+00, 0.0000000e+00, 0.0000000e+00], [6.8823017e-02, 8.2681820e-02, 1.0035448e-01, ..., 1.2748406e-04, 1.3452519e-04, 2.1108770e-04], ..., [5.2451425e-09, 5.7040510e-09, 7.5762667e-09, ..., 0.0000000e+00, 0.0000000e+00, 0.0000000e+00], [1.9743452e-03, 2.2278994e-03, 2.3088006e-03, ..., 0.0000000e+00, 0.0000000e+00, 0.0000000e+00], [4.3898490e-03, 7.1298974e-03, 7.3630391e-03, ..., 0.0000000e+00, 0.0000000e+00, 0.0000000e+00]]], dtype=float32) - observation_sigma(chain, draw)float320.001508 0.002782 ... 0.007465
array([[1.5076539e-03, 2.7818917e-03, 1.3856636e-04, 4.6538753e-03, 8.3491748e-04, 9.1215763e-03, 8.0048625e-04, 1.5272873e-03, 4.0480196e-03, 1.1068048e-02, 7.2252993e-03, 6.0716429e-04, 3.5758405e-03, 7.0440373e-03, 1.6644546e-03, 2.8062994e-03, 2.2441819e-03, 4.0314863e-03, 3.5874750e-03, 1.9887909e-04, 5.2797352e-03, 1.2291372e-03, 7.0190598e-04, 2.1518783e-03, 3.6007701e-03, 3.1487835e-03, 6.3026976e-03, 4.3354294e-04, 8.1748348e-03, 2.0349838e-03, 3.2305394e-03, 2.5130850e-03, 1.1686516e-02, 2.4894585e-03, 2.0576774e-03, 9.4882457e-04, 1.2323118e-03, 1.4474163e-04, 4.3224120e-03, 4.8971357e-04, 1.9779054e-03, 6.2407306e-03, 1.9303882e-02, 4.3224986e-03, 1.7780649e-05, 3.6703472e-03, 1.0701562e-02, 1.1237540e-03, 2.1329613e-03, 2.1889968e-05, 2.8590232e-02, 4.5083123e-04, 9.9103048e-04, 1.9416626e-03, 5.3869705e-03, 1.0756633e-04, 2.8751745e-05, 7.2198813e-03, 2.5119146e-03, 1.5810906e-03, 5.1078615e-03, 8.5445065e-03, 4.1892980e-03, 4.3548387e-03, 2.3052769e-03, 6.5886840e-04, 1.8169369e-03, 4.1643302e-03, 4.0633008e-03, 2.9982894e-03, 7.4595455e-03, 5.3851446e-03, 4.9664616e-03, 3.7186321e-02, 3.7929332e-03, 2.3267795e-03, 2.6403307e-03, 3.1697331e-03, 1.3508207e-02, 7.5055580e-03, ... 7.1077264e-04, 6.8726414e-03, 2.6071439e-03, 2.9270444e-04, 6.9586965e-03, 2.9740189e-03, 1.6483581e-03, 1.9209886e-03, 4.0550926e-03, 4.6904995e-03, 2.0360227e-03, 2.2692052e-03, 6.2427373e-04, 9.7841187e-04, 9.0428442e-04, 3.6695017e-04, 9.1021210e-03, 8.3927112e-03, 5.1756058e-04, 9.0047266e-05, 4.8242016e-03, 1.5386307e-03, 4.0896977e-03, 7.5389827e-03, 2.5737952e-03, 6.8256655e-03, 8.2920073e-03, 2.3857902e-03, 2.9461021e-03, 1.0301388e-03, 7.0363740e-03, 4.1142283e-03, 7.1085445e-03, 7.0410199e-03, 1.2304741e-02, 6.7396741e-04, 8.4545393e-04, 9.6605706e-04, 6.6558812e-03, 2.5447379e-03, 5.8326323e-04, 4.4053174e-03, 4.2065559e-03, 4.7151283e-03, 3.9475462e-03, 8.2872836e-03, 3.9069578e-03, 1.0491945e-03, 5.3064507e-03, 3.0145587e-03, 7.4577490e-03, 1.8227256e-03, 6.1859621e-04, 7.6075568e-04, 1.2360957e-04, 5.8627427e-03, 5.0614541e-03, 9.4583761e-03, 2.5458415e-03, 1.4241764e-03, 7.0498371e-03, 7.8525749e-04, 1.1502107e-03, 3.3869673e-03, 1.0307564e-02, 3.9674429e-04, 1.2466001e-02, 7.1792402e-03, 5.7532643e-03, 2.5546264e-03, 9.7151827e-03, 2.1381159e-03, 1.0293113e-03, 1.8598480e-02, 4.2688227e-03, 2.1108286e-02, 7.0188125e-04, 7.4645719e-03]], dtype=float32) - observation_sim(chain, draw, observation)float320.00774 0.001468 ... -0.001392
array([[[ 0.0077402 , 0.00146774, 0.0161373 , ..., 0.01186563, 0.02489134, 0.02167042], [ 0.01813331, 0.03430765, 0.02587322, ..., -0.00597804, -0.00756178, -0.00307873], [ 0.06891681, 0.08259269, 0.09976549, ..., 0.00016649, 0.00028179, 0.00130162], ..., [-0.04221394, -0.0583362 , -0.0095557 , ..., -0.04409825, -0.12763818, -0.08246184], [ 0.00271514, 0.00535461, 0.00040711, ..., -0.00134567, -0.00079242, -0.0015199 ], [ 0.01007822, -0.01500938, 0.00115767, ..., 0.02954588, 0.00166268, -0.00139159]]], dtype=float32) - r_2022_23_age_adult(chain, draw)float32-3.226 -3.675 ... -6.574 -1.134
array([[-3.2258692 , -3.675077 , -2.801423 , -3.3354273 , 1.854186 , -2.4763641 , -2.4813511 , -2.4717715 , -2.3425744 , -3.3900108 , -3.1017237 , -2.2799642 , -2.181382 , -1.7528852 , -0.9603558 , -3.45478 , -0.27860042, -0.74330086, -2.1131928 , -5.064963 , 0.8178882 , -2.2080662 , -1.6923413 , -1.6643325 , -1.0746152 , 0.5226558 , -0.9935362 , -2.934579 , 0.24678016, 1.3811959 , -1.7374923 , -4.5947056 , -4.349004 , -1.6253672 , -0.28665257, -1.0812035 , -0.19498822, -4.057787 , -2.8415446 , -4.082396 , -1.85108 , -1.950601 , -4.334297 , -2.9536505 , -0.8884868 , -1.0029407 , -4.6014833 , -4.418056 , 0.975902 , -0.96692 , -2.9739861 , -1.4122392 , -4.4206614 , -4.193811 , -0.87815624, 0.3007044 , -0.9231215 , -4.7775917 , -2.6589432 , 2.1207352 , -1.8312585 , -2.382582 , -1.9104278 , -1.5449644 , -0.6361681 , -1.9710625 , 7.183504 , 2.8355615 , -3.7350788 , -1.0117258 , -3.6719608 , -2.3477387 , -5.6628804 , -0.87857085, -3.8874633 , -1.0553813 , -4.2558794 , -2.0450351 , -2.2142503 , -3.6691554 , -3.7497244 , -3.5602608 , -1.9427093 , 1.4261266 , -4.0679245 , -2.0463092 , -3.381195 , -0.8567023 , -3.0869646 , -1.8840284 , -2.718448 , -3.047099 , -2.16889 , -6.588819 , 0.35926026, -2.7823722 , -5.50386 , -2.4808939 , -1.4041566 , -3.305368 , ... -4.549921 , -0.11917495, -1.7684481 , -0.3692505 , -1.5585139 , -1.2468797 , -5.1296787 , 1.2756772 , 0.685671 , -0.47745368, -1.6820208 , -2.2120025 , -3.2042937 , -0.3837823 , -3.4383168 , -2.0022504 , -2.4786189 , -0.3520088 , -3.8519073 , -4.847036 , -2.1024644 , 0.03659914, -3.0469894 , -2.094421 , -2.3659005 , -2.6907516 , -0.4514631 , -3.0390253 , -2.332432 , -2.0350544 , -4.7005806 , 1.9340688 , -4.009473 , -1.5237134 , -3.3479967 , -3.5756671 , -2.824634 , -1.6067848 , -0.83620185, -2.7055674 , -6.0459785 , -5.5885477 , -1.983881 , -3.4944432 , -1.3636268 , -4.7588215 , -2.0912812 , -0.5159559 , -1.6432607 , -1.879859 , -1.8202076 , -7.075837 , -4.289124 , -1.8471214 , 1.3138758 , -1.831688 , -1.158709 , -4.2410135 , -2.5712366 , -1.6742097 , -0.58746934, -3.317279 , -0.9978567 , -1.8035516 , -6.633717 , -2.0842938 , -1.6753837 , -3.244542 , -1.117615 , -4.5428944 , -7.224897 , -2.6891823 , 1.8801534 , -2.0085378 , -2.9396715 , 0.03436945, -3.0854766 , -0.7517494 , -0.77291614, -4.0340266 , -6.8448305 , -1.8581098 , 0.5323855 , -5.4851027 , -0.75060457, -3.8041627 , 1.0784 , -0.3965484 , 0.8320534 , -1.6049246 , -1.0544381 , -2.5425777 , -1.3312608 , -6.574269 , -1.1342672 ]], dtype=float32) - r_2022_23_age_adult_daily(chain, draw, days_2022_23)float32-3.226 -3.226 ... -1.134 -1.134
array([[[-3.2258692, -3.2258692, -3.2258692, ..., -3.2258692, -3.2258692, -3.2258692], [-3.675077 , -3.675077 , -3.675077 , ..., -3.675077 , -3.675077 , -3.675077 ], [-2.801423 , -2.801423 , -2.801423 , ..., -2.801423 , -2.801423 , -2.801423 ], ..., [-1.3312608, -1.3312608, -1.3312608, ..., -1.3312608, -1.3312608, -1.3312608], [-6.574269 , -6.574269 , -6.574269 , ..., -6.574269 , -6.574269 , -6.574269 ], [-1.1342672, -1.1342672, -1.1342672, ..., -1.1342672, -1.1342672, -1.1342672]]], dtype=float32) - r_2022_23_age_elderly(chain, draw)float32-3.226 -3.675 ... -6.574 -1.134
array([[-3.2258692 , -3.675077 , -2.801423 , -3.3354273 , 1.854186 , -2.4763641 , -2.4813511 , -2.4717715 , -2.3425744 , -3.3900108 , -3.1017237 , -2.2799642 , -2.181382 , -1.7528852 , -0.9603558 , -3.45478 , -0.27860042, -0.74330086, -2.1131928 , -5.064963 , 0.8178882 , -2.2080662 , -1.6923413 , -1.6643325 , -1.0746152 , 0.5226558 , -0.9935362 , -2.934579 , 0.24678016, 1.3811959 , -1.7374923 , -4.5947056 , -4.349004 , -1.6253672 , -0.28665257, -1.0812035 , -0.19498822, -4.057787 , -2.8415446 , -4.082396 , -1.85108 , -1.950601 , -4.334297 , -2.9536505 , -0.8884868 , -1.0029407 , -4.6014833 , -4.418056 , 0.975902 , -0.96692 , -2.9739861 , -1.4122392 , -4.4206614 , -4.193811 , -0.87815624, 0.3007044 , -0.9231215 , -4.7775917 , -2.6589432 , 2.1207352 , -1.8312585 , -2.382582 , -1.9104278 , -1.5449644 , -0.6361681 , -1.9710625 , 7.183504 , 2.8355615 , -3.7350788 , -1.0117258 , -3.6719608 , -2.3477387 , -5.6628804 , -0.87857085, -3.8874633 , -1.0553813 , -4.2558794 , -2.0450351 , -2.2142503 , -3.6691554 , -3.7497244 , -3.5602608 , -1.9427093 , 1.4261266 , -4.0679245 , -2.0463092 , -3.381195 , -0.8567023 , -3.0869646 , -1.8840284 , -2.718448 , -3.047099 , -2.16889 , -6.588819 , 0.35926026, -2.7823722 , -5.50386 , -2.4808939 , -1.4041566 , -3.305368 , ... -4.549921 , -0.11917495, -1.7684481 , -0.3692505 , -1.5585139 , -1.2468797 , -5.1296787 , 1.2756772 , 0.685671 , -0.47745368, -1.6820208 , -2.2120025 , -3.2042937 , -0.3837823 , -3.4383168 , -2.0022504 , -2.4786189 , -0.3520088 , -3.8519073 , -4.847036 , -2.1024644 , 0.03659914, -3.0469894 , -2.094421 , -2.3659005 , -2.6907516 , -0.4514631 , -3.0390253 , -2.332432 , -2.0350544 , -4.7005806 , 1.9340688 , -4.009473 , -1.5237134 , -3.3479967 , -3.5756671 , -2.824634 , -1.6067848 , -0.83620185, -2.7055674 , -6.0459785 , -5.5885477 , -1.983881 , -3.4944432 , -1.3636268 , -4.7588215 , -2.0912812 , -0.5159559 , -1.6432607 , -1.879859 , -1.8202076 , -7.075837 , -4.289124 , -1.8471214 , 1.3138758 , -1.831688 , -1.158709 , -4.2410135 , -2.5712366 , -1.6742097 , -0.58746934, -3.317279 , -0.9978567 , -1.8035516 , -6.633717 , -2.0842938 , -1.6753837 , -3.244542 , -1.117615 , -4.5428944 , -7.224897 , -2.6891823 , 1.8801534 , -2.0085378 , -2.9396715 , 0.03436945, -3.0854766 , -0.7517494 , -0.77291614, -4.0340266 , -6.8448305 , -1.8581098 , 0.5323855 , -5.4851027 , -0.75060457, -3.8041627 , 1.0784 , -0.3965484 , 0.8320534 , -1.6049246 , -1.0544381 , -2.5425777 , -1.3312608 , -6.574269 , -1.1342672 ]], dtype=float32) - r_2022_23_age_elderly_daily(chain, draw, days_2022_23)float32-3.226 -3.226 ... -1.134 -1.134
array([[[-3.2258692, -3.2258692, -3.2258692, ..., -3.2258692, -3.2258692, -3.2258692], [-3.675077 , -3.675077 , -3.675077 , ..., -3.675077 , -3.675077 , -3.675077 ], [-2.801423 , -2.801423 , -2.801423 , ..., -2.801423 , -2.801423 , -2.801423 ], ..., [-1.3312608, -1.3312608, -1.3312608, ..., -1.3312608, -1.3312608, -1.3312608], [-6.574269 , -6.574269 , -6.574269 , ..., -6.574269 , -6.574269 , -6.574269 ], [-1.1342672, -1.1342672, -1.1342672, ..., -1.1342672, -1.1342672, -1.1342672]]], dtype=float32) - r_2022_23_age_youth(chain, draw)float32-3.226 -3.675 ... -6.574 -1.134
array([[-3.2258692 , -3.675077 , -2.801423 , -3.3354273 , 1.854186 , -2.4763641 , -2.4813511 , -2.4717715 , -2.3425744 , -3.3900108 , -3.1017237 , -2.2799642 , -2.181382 , -1.7528852 , -0.9603558 , -3.45478 , -0.27860042, -0.74330086, -2.1131928 , -5.064963 , 0.8178882 , -2.2080662 , -1.6923413 , -1.6643325 , -1.0746152 , 0.5226558 , -0.9935362 , -2.934579 , 0.24678016, 1.3811959 , -1.7374923 , -4.5947056 , -4.349004 , -1.6253672 , -0.28665257, -1.0812035 , -0.19498822, -4.057787 , -2.8415446 , -4.082396 , -1.85108 , -1.950601 , -4.334297 , -2.9536505 , -0.8884868 , -1.0029407 , -4.6014833 , -4.418056 , 0.975902 , -0.96692 , -2.9739861 , -1.4122392 , -4.4206614 , -4.193811 , -0.87815624, 0.3007044 , -0.9231215 , -4.7775917 , -2.6589432 , 2.1207352 , -1.8312585 , -2.382582 , -1.9104278 , -1.5449644 , -0.6361681 , -1.9710625 , 7.183504 , 2.8355615 , -3.7350788 , -1.0117258 , -3.6719608 , -2.3477387 , -5.6628804 , -0.87857085, -3.8874633 , -1.0553813 , -4.2558794 , -2.0450351 , -2.2142503 , -3.6691554 , -3.7497244 , -3.5602608 , -1.9427093 , 1.4261266 , -4.0679245 , -2.0463092 , -3.381195 , -0.8567023 , -3.0869646 , -1.8840284 , -2.718448 , -3.047099 , -2.16889 , -6.588819 , 0.35926026, -2.7823722 , -5.50386 , -2.4808939 , -1.4041566 , -3.305368 , ... -4.549921 , -0.11917495, -1.7684481 , -0.3692505 , -1.5585139 , -1.2468797 , -5.1296787 , 1.2756772 , 0.685671 , -0.47745368, -1.6820208 , -2.2120025 , -3.2042937 , -0.3837823 , -3.4383168 , -2.0022504 , -2.4786189 , -0.3520088 , -3.8519073 , -4.847036 , -2.1024644 , 0.03659914, -3.0469894 , -2.094421 , -2.3659005 , -2.6907516 , -0.4514631 , -3.0390253 , -2.332432 , -2.0350544 , -4.7005806 , 1.9340688 , -4.009473 , -1.5237134 , -3.3479967 , -3.5756671 , -2.824634 , -1.6067848 , -0.83620185, -2.7055674 , -6.0459785 , -5.5885477 , -1.983881 , -3.4944432 , -1.3636268 , -4.7588215 , -2.0912812 , -0.5159559 , -1.6432607 , -1.879859 , -1.8202076 , -7.075837 , -4.289124 , -1.8471214 , 1.3138758 , -1.831688 , -1.158709 , -4.2410135 , -2.5712366 , -1.6742097 , -0.58746934, -3.317279 , -0.9978567 , -1.8035516 , -6.633717 , -2.0842938 , -1.6753837 , -3.244542 , -1.117615 , -4.5428944 , -7.224897 , -2.6891823 , 1.8801534 , -2.0085378 , -2.9396715 , 0.03436945, -3.0854766 , -0.7517494 , -0.77291614, -4.0340266 , -6.8448305 , -1.8581098 , 0.5323855 , -5.4851027 , -0.75060457, -3.8041627 , 1.0784 , -0.3965484 , 0.8320534 , -1.6049246 , -1.0544381 , -2.5425777 , -1.3312608 , -6.574269 , -1.1342672 ]], dtype=float32) - r_2022_23_age_youth_daily(chain, draw, days_2022_23)float32-3.226 -3.226 ... -1.134 -1.134
array([[[-3.2258692, -3.2258692, -3.2258692, ..., -3.2258692, -3.2258692, -3.2258692], [-3.675077 , -3.675077 , -3.675077 , ..., -3.675077 , -3.675077 , -3.675077 ], [-2.801423 , -2.801423 , -2.801423 , ..., -2.801423 , -2.801423 , -2.801423 ], ..., [-1.3312608, -1.3312608, -1.3312608, ..., -1.3312608, -1.3312608, -1.3312608], [-6.574269 , -6.574269 , -6.574269 , ..., -6.574269 , -6.574269 , -6.574269 ], [-1.1342672, -1.1342672, -1.1342672, ..., -1.1342672, -1.1342672, -1.1342672]]], dtype=float32) - r_2023_24_age_adult(chain, draw)float32-2.072 -3.203 ... -8.213 3.762
array([[ -2.0721884 , -3.2028935 , -2.971833 , -3.5842202 , 1.8619568 , -4.519755 , -0.27877647, -2.356026 , -0.8606103 , -3.0123951 , -6.236347 , 0.3278492 , -2.3054144 , 0.21193524, 1.1556919 , -2.7200813 , -5.0153623 , -2.5530236 , -0.6947872 , -2.8444917 , 3.1228135 , -4.7059255 , -2.2743375 , -1.0933504 , -3.834515 , -2.2403061 , 1.6144444 , -2.588958 , -0.1254644 , -3.3409944 , -4.9877834 , -5.8568926 , -3.527671 , -1.5614493 , -0.79670733, -2.7181587 , -3.5273602 , -3.6633563 , 0.9136639 , -5.222743 , 2.9649646 , 3.577329 , -3.055039 , 1.1764585 , -0.48738047, -1.4912181 , -2.3077867 , -1.5844678 , -1.8167084 , -3.575942 , -0.44380724, -0.98939925, 0.7534721 , -2.246327 , -0.5933002 , 1.6668286 , -3.0606208 , -4.753214 , -2.704469 , -2.275281 , -4.940195 , -2.2865531 , -4.110572 , -1.6392679 , -0.51704675, -1.9214857 , -1.3993056 , 1.5239826 , -3.27033 , -0.84608126, -3.6871452 , -2.1134615 , -9.963683 , -2.9728515 , -3.7967994 , -2.1542752 , -2.9638476 , 0.35958156, -3.169995 , -5.3995805 , ... -0.89485997, -11.001511 , -2.8573346 , -1.8578057 , 2.094595 , -3.059083 , -2.2762642 , -1.5706956 , -3.2690787 , -0.5293956 , -1.6178496 , -0.6027656 , -1.927146 , -4.261162 , -0.86901486, -4.4050455 , -0.53161377, -2.086023 , -2.1061242 , -3.0895777 , 4.283666 , -5.4242525 , -1.9559225 , -6.981597 , -4.4118414 , -1.2312504 , -2.9303422 , -1.4041337 , -2.745785 , -2.39024 , -0.47420207, -2.4731147 , -1.5286272 , -0.38516855, -6.220406 , -4.815447 , -3.0165648 , 1.0121942 , -1.4815654 , -3.230877 , -3.2326195 , -4.1407847 , -1.8056083 , -0.63329667, -0.8041967 , -0.47104043, -2.337528 , -5.7122307 , -2.2859914 , -1.6982285 , -0.14093696, -1.1271034 , -4.255652 , -5.6609197 , -2.3262858 , 1.1359254 , -4.4345574 , -0.75163317, 0.3856869 , -3.111556 , -2.0959055 , -0.52485347, -3.9825137 , -6.691732 , -2.4421167 , -3.1354291 , -0.26954556, -3.515405 , -3.8270316 , -0.41419068, -3.2249424 , 0.9027426 , -2.047211 , -0.50807476, -2.3064559 , 3.7209394 , -8.213242 , 3.7620046 ]], dtype=float32) - r_2023_24_age_adult_daily(chain, draw, days_2023_24)float32-2.072 -2.072 ... 3.762 3.762
array([[[-2.0721884, -2.0721884, -2.0721884, ..., -2.0721884, -2.0721884, -2.0721884], [-3.2028935, -3.2028935, -3.2028935, ..., -3.2028935, -3.2028935, -3.2028935], [-2.971833 , -2.971833 , -2.971833 , ..., -2.971833 , -2.971833 , -2.971833 ], ..., [ 3.7209394, 3.7209394, 3.7209394, ..., 3.7209394, 3.7209394, 3.7209394], [-8.213242 , -8.213242 , -8.213242 , ..., -8.213242 , -8.213242 , -8.213242 ], [ 3.7620046, 3.7620046, 3.7620046, ..., 3.7620046, 3.7620046, 3.7620046]]], dtype=float32) - r_2023_24_age_elderly(chain, draw)float32-2.072 -3.203 ... -8.213 3.762
array([[ -2.0721884 , -3.2028935 , -2.971833 , -3.5842202 , 1.8619568 , -4.519755 , -0.27877647, -2.356026 , -0.8606103 , -3.0123951 , -6.236347 , 0.3278492 , -2.3054144 , 0.21193524, 1.1556919 , -2.7200813 , -5.0153623 , -2.5530236 , -0.6947872 , -2.8444917 , 3.1228135 , -4.7059255 , -2.2743375 , -1.0933504 , -3.834515 , -2.2403061 , 1.6144444 , -2.588958 , -0.1254644 , -3.3409944 , -4.9877834 , -5.8568926 , -3.527671 , -1.5614493 , -0.79670733, -2.7181587 , -3.5273602 , -3.6633563 , 0.9136639 , -5.222743 , 2.9649646 , 3.577329 , -3.055039 , 1.1764585 , -0.48738047, -1.4912181 , -2.3077867 , -1.5844678 , -1.8167084 , -3.575942 , -0.44380724, -0.98939925, 0.7534721 , -2.246327 , -0.5933002 , 1.6668286 , -3.0606208 , -4.753214 , -2.704469 , -2.275281 , -4.940195 , -2.2865531 , -4.110572 , -1.6392679 , -0.51704675, -1.9214857 , -1.3993056 , 1.5239826 , -3.27033 , -0.84608126, -3.6871452 , -2.1134615 , -9.963683 , -2.9728515 , -3.7967994 , -2.1542752 , -2.9638476 , 0.35958156, -3.169995 , -5.3995805 , ... -0.89485997, -11.001511 , -2.8573346 , -1.8578057 , 2.094595 , -3.059083 , -2.2762642 , -1.5706956 , -3.2690787 , -0.5293956 , -1.6178496 , -0.6027656 , -1.927146 , -4.261162 , -0.86901486, -4.4050455 , -0.53161377, -2.086023 , -2.1061242 , -3.0895777 , 4.283666 , -5.4242525 , -1.9559225 , -6.981597 , -4.4118414 , -1.2312504 , -2.9303422 , -1.4041337 , -2.745785 , -2.39024 , -0.47420207, -2.4731147 , -1.5286272 , -0.38516855, -6.220406 , -4.815447 , -3.0165648 , 1.0121942 , -1.4815654 , -3.230877 , -3.2326195 , -4.1407847 , -1.8056083 , -0.63329667, -0.8041967 , -0.47104043, -2.337528 , -5.7122307 , -2.2859914 , -1.6982285 , -0.14093696, -1.1271034 , -4.255652 , -5.6609197 , -2.3262858 , 1.1359254 , -4.4345574 , -0.75163317, 0.3856869 , -3.111556 , -2.0959055 , -0.52485347, -3.9825137 , -6.691732 , -2.4421167 , -3.1354291 , -0.26954556, -3.515405 , -3.8270316 , -0.41419068, -3.2249424 , 0.9027426 , -2.047211 , -0.50807476, -2.3064559 , 3.7209394 , -8.213242 , 3.7620046 ]], dtype=float32) - r_2023_24_age_elderly_daily(chain, draw, days_2023_24)float32-2.072 -2.072 ... 3.762 3.762
array([[[-2.0721884, -2.0721884, -2.0721884, ..., -2.0721884, -2.0721884, -2.0721884], [-3.2028935, -3.2028935, -3.2028935, ..., -3.2028935, -3.2028935, -3.2028935], [-2.971833 , -2.971833 , -2.971833 , ..., -2.971833 , -2.971833 , -2.971833 ], ..., [ 3.7209394, 3.7209394, 3.7209394, ..., 3.7209394, 3.7209394, 3.7209394], [-8.213242 , -8.213242 , -8.213242 , ..., -8.213242 , -8.213242 , -8.213242 ], [ 3.7620046, 3.7620046, 3.7620046, ..., 3.7620046, 3.7620046, 3.7620046]]], dtype=float32) - r_2023_24_age_youth(chain, draw)float32-2.072 -3.203 ... -8.213 3.762
array([[ -2.0721884 , -3.2028935 , -2.971833 , -3.5842202 , 1.8619568 , -4.519755 , -0.27877647, -2.356026 , -0.8606103 , -3.0123951 , -6.236347 , 0.3278492 , -2.3054144 , 0.21193524, 1.1556919 , -2.7200813 , -5.0153623 , -2.5530236 , -0.6947872 , -2.8444917 , 3.1228135 , -4.7059255 , -2.2743375 , -1.0933504 , -3.834515 , -2.2403061 , 1.6144444 , -2.588958 , -0.1254644 , -3.3409944 , -4.9877834 , -5.8568926 , -3.527671 , -1.5614493 , -0.79670733, -2.7181587 , -3.5273602 , -3.6633563 , 0.9136639 , -5.222743 , 2.9649646 , 3.577329 , -3.055039 , 1.1764585 , -0.48738047, -1.4912181 , -2.3077867 , -1.5844678 , -1.8167084 , -3.575942 , -0.44380724, -0.98939925, 0.7534721 , -2.246327 , -0.5933002 , 1.6668286 , -3.0606208 , -4.753214 , -2.704469 , -2.275281 , -4.940195 , -2.2865531 , -4.110572 , -1.6392679 , -0.51704675, -1.9214857 , -1.3993056 , 1.5239826 , -3.27033 , -0.84608126, -3.6871452 , -2.1134615 , -9.963683 , -2.9728515 , -3.7967994 , -2.1542752 , -2.9638476 , 0.35958156, -3.169995 , -5.3995805 , ... -0.89485997, -11.001511 , -2.8573346 , -1.8578057 , 2.094595 , -3.059083 , -2.2762642 , -1.5706956 , -3.2690787 , -0.5293956 , -1.6178496 , -0.6027656 , -1.927146 , -4.261162 , -0.86901486, -4.4050455 , -0.53161377, -2.086023 , -2.1061242 , -3.0895777 , 4.283666 , -5.4242525 , -1.9559225 , -6.981597 , -4.4118414 , -1.2312504 , -2.9303422 , -1.4041337 , -2.745785 , -2.39024 , -0.47420207, -2.4731147 , -1.5286272 , -0.38516855, -6.220406 , -4.815447 , -3.0165648 , 1.0121942 , -1.4815654 , -3.230877 , -3.2326195 , -4.1407847 , -1.8056083 , -0.63329667, -0.8041967 , -0.47104043, -2.337528 , -5.7122307 , -2.2859914 , -1.6982285 , -0.14093696, -1.1271034 , -4.255652 , -5.6609197 , -2.3262858 , 1.1359254 , -4.4345574 , -0.75163317, 0.3856869 , -3.111556 , -2.0959055 , -0.52485347, -3.9825137 , -6.691732 , -2.4421167 , -3.1354291 , -0.26954556, -3.515405 , -3.8270316 , -0.41419068, -3.2249424 , 0.9027426 , -2.047211 , -0.50807476, -2.3064559 , 3.7209394 , -8.213242 , 3.7620046 ]], dtype=float32) - r_2023_24_age_youth_daily(chain, draw, days_2023_24)float32-2.072 -2.072 ... 3.762 3.762
array([[[-2.0721884, -2.0721884, -2.0721884, ..., -2.0721884, -2.0721884, -2.0721884], [-3.2028935, -3.2028935, -3.2028935, ..., -3.2028935, -3.2028935, -3.2028935], [-2.971833 , -2.971833 , -2.971833 , ..., -2.971833 , -2.971833 , -2.971833 ], ..., [ 3.7209394, 3.7209394, 3.7209394, ..., 3.7209394, 3.7209394, 3.7209394], [-8.213242 , -8.213242 , -8.213242 , ..., -8.213242 , -8.213242 , -8.213242 ], [ 3.7620046, 3.7620046, 3.7620046, ..., 3.7620046, 3.7620046, 3.7620046]]], dtype=float32) - r_2024_25_age_adult(chain, draw)float32-3.175 0.009447 ... -0.7082 -1.557
array([[-3.1752603e+00, 9.4474116e-03, -2.6726527e+00, -5.2230144e+00, -9.4934827e-01, -6.4033694e+00, -2.8260860e+00, -2.7242458e+00, 5.1207983e-01, -2.9529266e+00, -2.0350688e+00, -9.0990394e-01, -2.5769081e+00, -1.2629030e+00, -9.8177247e-02, -3.7970054e+00, -2.1996949e+00, -3.0927238e+00, -9.4509995e-01, -1.7452277e+00, -2.2876685e+00, -2.4415002e+00, -1.9242532e+00, -1.3343252e+00, -2.2949214e+00, -4.0588121e+00, 1.8404412e+00, -2.3917749e+00, 6.3995850e-01, -6.9276743e+00, -5.1610625e-01, -2.8284147e+00, -3.3448391e+00, -1.6642642e+00, -7.6072842e-01, -4.4438848e+00, -5.8889127e+00, -4.4510336e+00, 2.0982037e+00, -3.1728439e+00, -6.0718648e-02, -3.2290676e-01, -3.2878554e+00, -3.4998200e+00, -1.0669775e+00, -1.0413935e+00, -3.6781042e+00, -3.3158655e+00, -8.6185914e-01, -2.7075691e+00, -6.6677365e+00, 2.0181909e-01, -3.6170270e+00, -2.8186996e+00, -2.7197478e+00, -2.5652137e-01, -6.5234470e-01, -4.7738175e+00, -2.6392946e+00, 3.7534811e+00, -5.3615727e+00, -3.8077290e+00, -1.6256776e+00, -1.5793524e+00, -3.1338813e+00, -2.2208939e+00, -3.6776137e-01, -1.9689696e+00, -3.3077226e+00, -2.9857278e+00, -3.8333843e+00, -2.0463634e+00, -1.6881548e+01, -5.0010610e-01, -3.7228136e+00, -2.4151974e+00, -3.0793307e+00, 1.2306583e+00, -1.6663487e+00, -4.5910888e+00, ... -2.5787762e-01, -2.1534259e+00, -2.3938742e+00, -3.4926453e+00, -1.3173053e+00, -3.0705974e+00, -2.8488543e+00, -2.7114263e+00, -1.4523773e+00, -4.7064364e-01, -1.9788082e+00, -2.9117231e+00, -2.4601948e+00, -4.2251706e+00, 2.0410883e+00, -4.2494035e+00, -1.3726822e+00, -2.1937947e+00, -3.4859512e+00, -1.7226119e+00, -2.0109415e+00, -6.6771274e+00, -2.9490442e+00, -6.1143575e+00, -4.1225953e+00, -1.2409096e+00, -2.6088247e+00, -1.2521933e+00, -5.0003843e+00, -2.2263026e+00, -9.3561083e-01, -4.9404535e+00, -2.2139840e+00, -2.7467940e+00, -3.8927987e+00, -4.2245464e+00, -2.3954964e+00, 1.1501458e+00, 2.0441286e-01, -4.1323180e+00, 8.3616778e-02, -4.0111957e+00, -2.0753250e+00, -6.9439048e-01, -1.1076502e+00, -7.7249122e-01, -1.0147482e+00, -6.6475358e+00, -1.9841132e+00, -1.3368026e+00, 3.0470651e-01, -1.0629331e+00, 7.7050405e+00, -6.1645355e+00, -2.5043199e+00, 3.1692019e-01, -1.1833329e+00, -4.7981557e-01, 3.4511080e-01, -3.1267264e+00, 1.2346796e+00, -4.7842523e-01, -3.9793363e+00, -7.4437094e+00, -6.4565945e-01, -1.0072795e+00, 2.4539673e+00, -1.8776331e+00, -3.8092046e+00, -3.1929839e+00, -1.3936158e+00, 4.5837688e-01, -3.0444765e+00, -8.3206844e-01, -2.3984239e+00, 5.0988036e-01, -7.0818549e-01, -1.5570627e+00]], dtype=float32) - r_2024_25_age_adult_daily(chain, draw, days_2024_25)float32-3.175 -3.175 ... -1.557 -1.557
array([[[-3.1752603 , -3.1752603 , -3.1752603 , ..., -3.1752603 , -3.1752603 , -3.1752603 ], [ 0.00944741, 0.00944741, 0.00944741, ..., 0.00944741, 0.00944741, 0.00944741], [-2.6726527 , -2.6726527 , -2.6726527 , ..., -2.6726527 , -2.6726527 , -2.6726527 ], ..., [ 0.50988036, 0.50988036, 0.50988036, ..., 0.50988036, 0.50988036, 0.50988036], [-0.7081855 , -0.7081855 , -0.7081855 , ..., -0.7081855 , -0.7081855 , -0.7081855 ], [-1.5570627 , -1.5570627 , -1.5570627 , ..., -1.5570627 , -1.5570627 , -1.5570627 ]]], dtype=float32) - r_2024_25_age_elderly(chain, draw)float32-3.175 0.009447 ... -0.7082 -1.557
array([[-3.1752603e+00, 9.4474116e-03, -2.6726527e+00, -5.2230144e+00, -9.4934827e-01, -6.4033694e+00, -2.8260860e+00, -2.7242458e+00, 5.1207983e-01, -2.9529266e+00, -2.0350688e+00, -9.0990394e-01, -2.5769081e+00, -1.2629030e+00, -9.8177247e-02, -3.7970054e+00, -2.1996949e+00, -3.0927238e+00, -9.4509995e-01, -1.7452277e+00, -2.2876685e+00, -2.4415002e+00, -1.9242532e+00, -1.3343252e+00, -2.2949214e+00, -4.0588121e+00, 1.8404412e+00, -2.3917749e+00, 6.3995850e-01, -6.9276743e+00, -5.1610625e-01, -2.8284147e+00, -3.3448391e+00, -1.6642642e+00, -7.6072842e-01, -4.4438848e+00, -5.8889127e+00, -4.4510336e+00, 2.0982037e+00, -3.1728439e+00, -6.0718648e-02, -3.2290676e-01, -3.2878554e+00, -3.4998200e+00, -1.0669775e+00, -1.0413935e+00, -3.6781042e+00, -3.3158655e+00, -8.6185914e-01, -2.7075691e+00, -6.6677365e+00, 2.0181909e-01, -3.6170270e+00, -2.8186996e+00, -2.7197478e+00, -2.5652137e-01, -6.5234470e-01, -4.7738175e+00, -2.6392946e+00, 3.7534811e+00, -5.3615727e+00, -3.8077290e+00, -1.6256776e+00, -1.5793524e+00, -3.1338813e+00, -2.2208939e+00, -3.6776137e-01, -1.9689696e+00, -3.3077226e+00, -2.9857278e+00, -3.8333843e+00, -2.0463634e+00, -1.6881548e+01, -5.0010610e-01, -3.7228136e+00, -2.4151974e+00, -3.0793307e+00, 1.2306583e+00, -1.6663487e+00, -4.5910888e+00, ... -2.5787762e-01, -2.1534259e+00, -2.3938742e+00, -3.4926453e+00, -1.3173053e+00, -3.0705974e+00, -2.8488543e+00, -2.7114263e+00, -1.4523773e+00, -4.7064364e-01, -1.9788082e+00, -2.9117231e+00, -2.4601948e+00, -4.2251706e+00, 2.0410883e+00, -4.2494035e+00, -1.3726822e+00, -2.1937947e+00, -3.4859512e+00, -1.7226119e+00, -2.0109415e+00, -6.6771274e+00, -2.9490442e+00, -6.1143575e+00, -4.1225953e+00, -1.2409096e+00, -2.6088247e+00, -1.2521933e+00, -5.0003843e+00, -2.2263026e+00, -9.3561083e-01, -4.9404535e+00, -2.2139840e+00, -2.7467940e+00, -3.8927987e+00, -4.2245464e+00, -2.3954964e+00, 1.1501458e+00, 2.0441286e-01, -4.1323180e+00, 8.3616778e-02, -4.0111957e+00, -2.0753250e+00, -6.9439048e-01, -1.1076502e+00, -7.7249122e-01, -1.0147482e+00, -6.6475358e+00, -1.9841132e+00, -1.3368026e+00, 3.0470651e-01, -1.0629331e+00, 7.7050405e+00, -6.1645355e+00, -2.5043199e+00, 3.1692019e-01, -1.1833329e+00, -4.7981557e-01, 3.4511080e-01, -3.1267264e+00, 1.2346796e+00, -4.7842523e-01, -3.9793363e+00, -7.4437094e+00, -6.4565945e-01, -1.0072795e+00, 2.4539673e+00, -1.8776331e+00, -3.8092046e+00, -3.1929839e+00, -1.3936158e+00, 4.5837688e-01, -3.0444765e+00, -8.3206844e-01, -2.3984239e+00, 5.0988036e-01, -7.0818549e-01, -1.5570627e+00]], dtype=float32) - r_2024_25_age_elderly_daily(chain, draw, days_2024_25)float32-3.175 -3.175 ... -1.557 -1.557
array([[[-3.1752603 , -3.1752603 , -3.1752603 , ..., -3.1752603 , -3.1752603 , -3.1752603 ], [ 0.00944741, 0.00944741, 0.00944741, ..., 0.00944741, 0.00944741, 0.00944741], [-2.6726527 , -2.6726527 , -2.6726527 , ..., -2.6726527 , -2.6726527 , -2.6726527 ], ..., [ 0.50988036, 0.50988036, 0.50988036, ..., 0.50988036, 0.50988036, 0.50988036], [-0.7081855 , -0.7081855 , -0.7081855 , ..., -0.7081855 , -0.7081855 , -0.7081855 ], [-1.5570627 , -1.5570627 , -1.5570627 , ..., -1.5570627 , -1.5570627 , -1.5570627 ]]], dtype=float32) - r_2024_25_age_youth(chain, draw)float32-3.175 0.009447 ... -0.7082 -1.557
array([[-3.1752603e+00, 9.4474116e-03, -2.6726527e+00, -5.2230144e+00, -9.4934827e-01, -6.4033694e+00, -2.8260860e+00, -2.7242458e+00, 5.1207983e-01, -2.9529266e+00, -2.0350688e+00, -9.0990394e-01, -2.5769081e+00, -1.2629030e+00, -9.8177247e-02, -3.7970054e+00, -2.1996949e+00, -3.0927238e+00, -9.4509995e-01, -1.7452277e+00, -2.2876685e+00, -2.4415002e+00, -1.9242532e+00, -1.3343252e+00, -2.2949214e+00, -4.0588121e+00, 1.8404412e+00, -2.3917749e+00, 6.3995850e-01, -6.9276743e+00, -5.1610625e-01, -2.8284147e+00, -3.3448391e+00, -1.6642642e+00, -7.6072842e-01, -4.4438848e+00, -5.8889127e+00, -4.4510336e+00, 2.0982037e+00, -3.1728439e+00, -6.0718648e-02, -3.2290676e-01, -3.2878554e+00, -3.4998200e+00, -1.0669775e+00, -1.0413935e+00, -3.6781042e+00, -3.3158655e+00, -8.6185914e-01, -2.7075691e+00, -6.6677365e+00, 2.0181909e-01, -3.6170270e+00, -2.8186996e+00, -2.7197478e+00, -2.5652137e-01, -6.5234470e-01, -4.7738175e+00, -2.6392946e+00, 3.7534811e+00, -5.3615727e+00, -3.8077290e+00, -1.6256776e+00, -1.5793524e+00, -3.1338813e+00, -2.2208939e+00, -3.6776137e-01, -1.9689696e+00, -3.3077226e+00, -2.9857278e+00, -3.8333843e+00, -2.0463634e+00, -1.6881548e+01, -5.0010610e-01, -3.7228136e+00, -2.4151974e+00, -3.0793307e+00, 1.2306583e+00, -1.6663487e+00, -4.5910888e+00, ... -2.5787762e-01, -2.1534259e+00, -2.3938742e+00, -3.4926453e+00, -1.3173053e+00, -3.0705974e+00, -2.8488543e+00, -2.7114263e+00, -1.4523773e+00, -4.7064364e-01, -1.9788082e+00, -2.9117231e+00, -2.4601948e+00, -4.2251706e+00, 2.0410883e+00, -4.2494035e+00, -1.3726822e+00, -2.1937947e+00, -3.4859512e+00, -1.7226119e+00, -2.0109415e+00, -6.6771274e+00, -2.9490442e+00, -6.1143575e+00, -4.1225953e+00, -1.2409096e+00, -2.6088247e+00, -1.2521933e+00, -5.0003843e+00, -2.2263026e+00, -9.3561083e-01, -4.9404535e+00, -2.2139840e+00, -2.7467940e+00, -3.8927987e+00, -4.2245464e+00, -2.3954964e+00, 1.1501458e+00, 2.0441286e-01, -4.1323180e+00, 8.3616778e-02, -4.0111957e+00, -2.0753250e+00, -6.9439048e-01, -1.1076502e+00, -7.7249122e-01, -1.0147482e+00, -6.6475358e+00, -1.9841132e+00, -1.3368026e+00, 3.0470651e-01, -1.0629331e+00, 7.7050405e+00, -6.1645355e+00, -2.5043199e+00, 3.1692019e-01, -1.1833329e+00, -4.7981557e-01, 3.4511080e-01, -3.1267264e+00, 1.2346796e+00, -4.7842523e-01, -3.9793363e+00, -7.4437094e+00, -6.4565945e-01, -1.0072795e+00, 2.4539673e+00, -1.8776331e+00, -3.8092046e+00, -3.1929839e+00, -1.3936158e+00, 4.5837688e-01, -3.0444765e+00, -8.3206844e-01, -2.3984239e+00, 5.0988036e-01, -7.0818549e-01, -1.5570627e+00]], dtype=float32) - r_2024_25_age_youth_daily(chain, draw, days_2024_25)float32-3.175 -3.175 ... -1.557 -1.557
array([[[-3.1752603 , -3.1752603 , -3.1752603 , ..., -3.1752603 , -3.1752603 , -3.1752603 ], [ 0.00944741, 0.00944741, 0.00944741, ..., 0.00944741, 0.00944741, 0.00944741], [-2.6726527 , -2.6726527 , -2.6726527 , ..., -2.6726527 , -2.6726527 , -2.6726527 ], ..., [ 0.50988036, 0.50988036, 0.50988036, ..., 0.50988036, 0.50988036, 0.50988036], [-0.7081855 , -0.7081855 , -0.7081855 , ..., -0.7081855 , -0.7081855 , -0.7081855 ], [-1.5570627 , -1.5570627 , -1.5570627 , ..., -1.5570627 , -1.5570627 , -1.5570627 ]]], dtype=float32) - r_season(chain, draw, season)float32-3.226 -2.072 ... 3.762 -1.557
array([[[-3.2258692e+00, -2.0721884e+00, -3.1752603e+00], [-3.6750770e+00, -3.2028935e+00, 9.4474116e-03], [-2.8014231e+00, -2.9718330e+00, -2.6726527e+00], [-3.3354273e+00, -3.5842202e+00, -5.2230144e+00], [ 1.8541861e+00, 1.8619568e+00, -9.4934827e-01], [-2.4763641e+00, -4.5197549e+00, -6.4033694e+00], [-2.4813511e+00, -2.7877647e-01, -2.8260860e+00], [-2.4717715e+00, -2.3560259e+00, -2.7242458e+00], [-2.3425744e+00, -8.6061031e-01, 5.1207983e-01], [-3.3900108e+00, -3.0123951e+00, -2.9529266e+00], [-3.1017237e+00, -6.2363472e+00, -2.0350688e+00], [-2.2799642e+00, 3.2784921e-01, -9.0990394e-01], [-2.1813819e+00, -2.3054144e+00, -2.5769081e+00], [-1.7528852e+00, 2.1193524e-01, -1.2629030e+00], [-9.6035582e-01, 1.1556919e+00, -9.8177247e-02], [-3.4547801e+00, -2.7200813e+00, -3.7970054e+00], [-2.7860042e-01, -5.0153623e+00, -2.1996949e+00], [-7.4330086e-01, -2.5530236e+00, -3.0927238e+00], [-2.1131928e+00, -6.9478720e-01, -9.4509995e-01], [-5.0649629e+00, -2.8444917e+00, -1.7452277e+00], ... [ 3.4369450e-02, 3.8568690e-01, 3.4511080e-01], [-3.0854766e+00, -3.1115561e+00, -3.1267264e+00], [-7.5174940e-01, -2.0959055e+00, 1.2346796e+00], [-7.7291614e-01, -5.2485347e-01, -4.7842523e-01], [-4.0340266e+00, -3.9825137e+00, -3.9793363e+00], [-6.8448305e+00, -6.6917319e+00, -7.4437094e+00], [-1.8581098e+00, -2.4421167e+00, -6.4565945e-01], [ 5.3238553e-01, -3.1354291e+00, -1.0072795e+00], [-5.4851027e+00, -2.6954556e-01, 2.4539673e+00], [-7.5060457e-01, -3.5154049e+00, -1.8776331e+00], [-3.8041627e+00, -3.8270316e+00, -3.8092046e+00], [ 1.0784000e+00, -4.1419068e-01, -3.1929839e+00], [-3.9654839e-01, -3.2249424e+00, -1.3936158e+00], [ 8.3205342e-01, 9.0274262e-01, 4.5837688e-01], [-1.6049246e+00, -2.0472109e+00, -3.0444765e+00], [-1.0544381e+00, -5.0807476e-01, -8.3206844e-01], [-2.5425777e+00, -2.3064559e+00, -2.3984239e+00], [-1.3312608e+00, 3.7209394e+00, 5.0988036e-01], [-6.5742688e+00, -8.2132416e+00, -7.0818549e-01], [-1.1342672e+00, 3.7620046e+00, -1.5570627e+00]]], dtype=float32) - r_season_mu(chain, draw)float32-3.72 -2.067 ... -5.157 -0.1703
array([[-3.7200263 , -2.066847 , -2.6173978 , -2.1244133 , 0.18888453, -4.61232 , -1.971294 , -2.5100436 , -1.7126911 , -3.2301304 , -4.046659 , -1.9273462 , -2.5125277 , -1.8880123 , -0.80190593, -3.061313 , -3.9772944 , -0.7762067 , -2.1008542 , -3.4468267 , -0.91560113, -2.5560803 , -2.185985 , -1.378719 , -2.9716208 , -2.6638596 , -0.8078901 , -1.8921422 , 0.1657636 , -1.6456409 , -2.426632 , -3.4580102 , -3.4931476 , -1.5515851 , -0.40863174, -3.4324155 , -3.6993277 , -3.8151217 , -0.98722404, -4.3840647 , -1.8256366 , -0.31652614, -4.4215803 , -1.9694082 , -0.9362322 , -1.4409907 , -3.6211367 , -2.7928367 , -1.2882905 , -2.7766063 , -2.880552 , -1.614894 , -3.255544 , -3.9126318 , -1.7313981 , 0.16319105, -1.8601792 , -4.7660065 , -2.6550424 , -0.33806327, -5.056463 , -3.4038546 , -2.5991569 , -1.6352994 , -1.6840851 , -1.9597433 , 0.01818473, -1.5275381 , -3.6346474 , -1.6739398 , -3.5167944 , -2.0061674 , -7.94875 , -1.9508162 , -4.147702 , -2.3523016 , -3.0330358 , -2.920582 , -1.9250575 , -3.8939414 , -4.4625425 , -2.8684018 , -2.296387 , -1.1465063 , -3.4263692 , -2.0774255 , -3.277519 , -3.631559 , -0.86361843, -3.211362 , -3.1245897 , -3.0402076 , -1.9734254 , -2.9197505 , -1.9704856 , -3.2975898 , -3.8569388 , -2.6249452 , -3.6173112 , -4.0778995 , ... -4.3497844 , -2.2263057 , -1.7430847 , -2.3698926 , -4.3126006 , -2.928784 , -4.8649 , -1.167387 , 0.74056935, -0.4831012 , -0.93323684, -1.8282603 , -4.2102537 , 0.30628103, -1.5013009 , -2.176763 , -2.3116798 , 0.26214695, -3.3988795 , -3.4204452 , -2.589976 , -0.11676197, -3.0263321 , -2.9044325 , -1.7505862 , -3.0263965 , -0.54120505, -2.540914 , -1.8334273 , -2.0184858 , -4.265434 , 0.7905336 , -3.778374 , -1.2800951 , -1.670692 , -2.9594164 , -2.241235 , -1.0661657 , -3.4030476 , -2.4779444 , -5.293061 , -4.2025995 , -1.881501 , -2.9692059 , -1.3482963 , -4.3642764 , -2.4416835 , -0.49576887, -2.862967 , -1.4454079 , -2.19405 , -3.9056516 , -4.267331 , -2.4572742 , 0.8529103 , -1.6847434 , -3.314706 , -2.008127 , -4.691476 , -2.4344556 , -0.62702996, -1.9990532 , -0.87610394, -1.0755913 , -5.85084 , -1.5984358 , -1.540813 , -1.1113439 , -1.1006173 , -4.2477922 , -4.57493 , -2.4984787 , 0.6610163 , -2.100198 , -0.10365236, 0.30583468, -3.149938 , 0.43265125, -1.8976078 , -4.0091553 , -6.277815 , -2.1875308 , -1.9146578 , -2.5956979 , -0.31302905, -3.8185456 , -1.9718502 , -2.618221 , -0.07468408, -2.9605157 , 0.0322171 , -3.4023068 , -0.11003306, -5.1566925 , -0.17030321]], dtype=float32) - r_season_sigma(chain, draw)float321.125 1.744 0.1616 ... 2.597 1.573
array([[1.1250181 , 1.7438043 , 0.16158298, 1.8344439 , 1.2772275 , 2.175897 , 1.347396 , 0.23698837, 0.9852844 , 0.5476442 , 2.253992 , 1.1256148 , 0.22478436, 1.2927694 , 0.90907735, 0.4558345 , 2.1063697 , 1.2921058 , 1.4637392 , 1.0344867 , 2.0879607 , 2.0174024 , 0.39099854, 0.29941726, 1.5145416 , 3.4436462 , 2.5542734 , 1.2738912 , 0.24318726, 3.437623 , 2.0840783 , 1.6878332 , 0.413214 , 0.21370585, 0.3349439 , 1.0788461 , 2.0949771 , 0.73915595, 2.212277 , 1.1071874 , 1.9002745 , 2.2420945 , 1.318564 , 1.6523508 , 0.2090766 , 0.8357486 , 0.905118 , 1.7104741 , 2.3883271 , 1.1333296 , 2.6691666 , 1.6018907 , 1.6980109 , 2.4835498 , 0.7913134 , 1.427884 , 2.7728868 , 0.03290053, 0.05768904, 2.1115713 , 1.3237275 , 0.7311809 , 1.8554565 , 0.0985029 , 1.4423143 , 0.19741084, 3.0346267 , 2.3896751 , 0.7075308 , 0.7653776 , 0.5866442 , 0.1345081 , 3.5563679 , 1.3430406 , 0.79028094, 0.69582 , 1.1640451 , 3.3208797 , 1.1215655 , 1.2796563 , 0.6279772 , 1.7951269 , 0.39535144, 1.2629015 , 0.54654187, 0.22202629, 1.2163963 , 1.3821356 , 1.5604615 , 2.1342242 , 0.3900216 , 0.16602345, 0.90020245, 1.5685483 , 2.0717182 , 1.251709 , 1.0266892 , 0.41392562, 2.4402862 , 2.0725586 , ... 0.5297652 , 3.1257536 , 0.05622881, 2.019266 , 1.332719 , 1.1059458 , 2.0458088 , 0.9035944 , 0.15371326, 0.0141504 , 1.5913448 , 1.0189644 , 0.73398465, 0.8251665 , 1.3572488 , 0.12342778, 0.3269456 , 0.9051427 , 3.7347615 , 1.2721968 , 0.76542634, 0.968672 , 0.18483448, 1.9370093 , 0.5883532 , 0.50036645, 0.06069311, 0.81596756, 0.9579267 , 0.321405 , 0.17176783, 1.1384645 , 0.5699325 , 0.60342586, 1.1957707 , 0.6839304 , 1.1857371 , 4.351558 , 2.6805794 , 1.6512405 , 1.9100798 , 1.3698322 , 0.64110607, 1.2903638 , 0.23234572, 1.3040679 , 0.9148801 , 0.82480675, 1.089176 , 1.7092758 , 1.3112003 , 2.0748034 , 0.40106225, 1.0804187 , 0.6529984 , 1.3051128 , 2.4712205 , 3.5863302 , 2.202959 , 0.42650142, 0.06171523, 1.7615485 , 0.46766695, 1.974865 , 0.78298366, 0.8443057 , 0.3480315 , 0.94241434, 0.05864133, 3.3007686 , 1.2471653 , 0.61885655, 0.846579 , 1.2187973 , 1.3469386 , 0.33791867, 0.08357608, 1.6930516 , 1.0836866 , 0.05049222, 0.8917979 , 0.7402526 , 1.1449087 , 2.372956 , 1.6134722 , 0.01965535, 1.7427019 , 1.3300838 , 2.1687784 , 1.8025655 , 0.83254266, 1.2508775 , 3.2577155 , 2.59738 , 1.5730057 ]], dtype=float32) - s_2022_23_age_adult(chain, draw)float3260.07 41.85 -1.385 ... 50.48 21.25
array([[ 60.07309 , 41.85238 , -1.3848752 , 51.452557 , 44.773407 , 84.39958 , 51.325626 , 24.503937 , 38.81663 , 6.8263397 , 3.085049 , 64.060745 , 2.105541 , 45.553215 , 40.645287 , 52.260567 , 50.218018 , 38.962395 , 40.180717 , -8.123406 , 28.5517 , 32.35862 , 31.251633 , 15.868168 , 7.974743 , 88.11076 , 156.84784 , -0.9253625 , 26.890747 , 29.948109 , 12.7592325 , 62.619686 , 14.065478 , 23.742212 , 44.36705 , 31.417448 , 50.02656 , 28.394993 , 15.870935 , 44.790306 , 24.502384 , 30.376083 , 84.76357 , 65.33207 , 13.711488 , 19.780577 , 48.513657 , 34.380867 , 28.103128 , 9.855236 , 54.438656 , 2.4494305 , 20.147566 , 27.16482 , 22.220987 , 70.10333 , 29.733078 , -8.278848 , 42.596687 , 7.036182 , 30.00865 , 47.5602 , 41.360188 , 6.5721183 , 24.251976 , 65.37638 , 13.064386 , 31.350092 , 71.75246 , 65.9723 , 39.443745 , 62.721226 , 62.09365 , 38.81121 , 32.186653 , 33.941975 , 40.70801 , 22.563671 , -4.8667407 , 1.2791901 , ... 61.059334 , -15.028335 , 3.294714 , -3.0913253 , -15.044998 , -40.915173 , 35.656593 , -18.051708 , 5.159923 , 13.554489 , 33.710705 , 43.020145 , 58.09177 , 54.67967 , 74.51326 , 13.062732 , 78.915504 , -42.719654 , 23.018059 , 22.17594 , 20.828243 , 19.995548 , -1.2827883 , 17.875628 , 46.3394 , 10.590699 , 0.49732214, 41.793873 , 33.393135 , 55.714226 , 58.529316 , 44.269833 , 14.68437 , -14.300682 , 68.17146 , 33.726578 , 51.690914 , 7.1907554 , 40.101715 , 17.205921 , 17.893589 , 32.475266 , 94.15623 , 19.286205 , 23.792559 , -3.1121724 , 2.784101 , 51.03321 , 37.393112 , 7.983298 , 80.92189 , 42.38655 , -2.7739596 , -9.035683 , 24.758215 , 5.854893 , 100.50381 , 25.611563 , 38.090343 , 31.439001 , 52.602142 , 52.263603 , 44.951 , 59.089767 , 100.657936 , 74.60119 , 1.7324135 , 63.591633 , 39.486507 , 54.36142 , 58.249733 , -3.8707905 , 57.215454 , 69.89958 , -0.9667706 , 76.50749 , 50.47592 , 21.25058 ]], dtype=float32) - s_2022_23_age_adult_daily(chain, draw, days_2022_23)float3260.07 60.07 60.07 ... 21.25 21.25
array([[[60.07309 , 60.07309 , 60.07309 , ..., 60.07309 , 60.07309 , 60.07309 ], [41.85238 , 41.85238 , 41.85238 , ..., 41.85238 , 41.85238 , 41.85238 ], [-1.3848752, -1.3848752, -1.3848752, ..., -1.3848752, -1.3848752, -1.3848752], ..., [76.50749 , 76.50749 , 76.50749 , ..., 76.50749 , 76.50749 , 76.50749 ], [50.47592 , 50.47592 , 50.47592 , ..., 50.47592 , 50.47592 , 50.47592 ], [21.25058 , 21.25058 , 21.25058 , ..., 21.25058 , 21.25058 , 21.25058 ]]], dtype=float32) - s_2022_23_age_elderly(chain, draw)float3260.07 41.85 -1.385 ... 50.48 21.25
array([[ 60.07309 , 41.85238 , -1.3848752 , 51.452557 , 44.773407 , 84.39958 , 51.325626 , 24.503937 , 38.81663 , 6.8263397 , 3.085049 , 64.060745 , 2.105541 , 45.553215 , 40.645287 , 52.260567 , 50.218018 , 38.962395 , 40.180717 , -8.123406 , 28.5517 , 32.35862 , 31.251633 , 15.868168 , 7.974743 , 88.11076 , 156.84784 , -0.9253625 , 26.890747 , 29.948109 , 12.7592325 , 62.619686 , 14.065478 , 23.742212 , 44.36705 , 31.417448 , 50.02656 , 28.394993 , 15.870935 , 44.790306 , 24.502384 , 30.376083 , 84.76357 , 65.33207 , 13.711488 , 19.780577 , 48.513657 , 34.380867 , 28.103128 , 9.855236 , 54.438656 , 2.4494305 , 20.147566 , 27.16482 , 22.220987 , 70.10333 , 29.733078 , -8.278848 , 42.596687 , 7.036182 , 30.00865 , 47.5602 , 41.360188 , 6.5721183 , 24.251976 , 65.37638 , 13.064386 , 31.350092 , 71.75246 , 65.9723 , 39.443745 , 62.721226 , 62.09365 , 38.81121 , 32.186653 , 33.941975 , 40.70801 , 22.563671 , -4.8667407 , 1.2791901 , ... 61.059334 , -15.028335 , 3.294714 , -3.0913253 , -15.044998 , -40.915173 , 35.656593 , -18.051708 , 5.159923 , 13.554489 , 33.710705 , 43.020145 , 58.09177 , 54.67967 , 74.51326 , 13.062732 , 78.915504 , -42.719654 , 23.018059 , 22.17594 , 20.828243 , 19.995548 , -1.2827883 , 17.875628 , 46.3394 , 10.590699 , 0.49732214, 41.793873 , 33.393135 , 55.714226 , 58.529316 , 44.269833 , 14.68437 , -14.300682 , 68.17146 , 33.726578 , 51.690914 , 7.1907554 , 40.101715 , 17.205921 , 17.893589 , 32.475266 , 94.15623 , 19.286205 , 23.792559 , -3.1121724 , 2.784101 , 51.03321 , 37.393112 , 7.983298 , 80.92189 , 42.38655 , -2.7739596 , -9.035683 , 24.758215 , 5.854893 , 100.50381 , 25.611563 , 38.090343 , 31.439001 , 52.602142 , 52.263603 , 44.951 , 59.089767 , 100.657936 , 74.60119 , 1.7324135 , 63.591633 , 39.486507 , 54.36142 , 58.249733 , -3.8707905 , 57.215454 , 69.89958 , -0.9667706 , 76.50749 , 50.47592 , 21.25058 ]], dtype=float32) - s_2022_23_age_elderly_daily(chain, draw, days_2022_23)float3260.07 60.07 60.07 ... 21.25 21.25
array([[[60.07309 , 60.07309 , 60.07309 , ..., 60.07309 , 60.07309 , 60.07309 ], [41.85238 , 41.85238 , 41.85238 , ..., 41.85238 , 41.85238 , 41.85238 ], [-1.3848752, -1.3848752, -1.3848752, ..., -1.3848752, -1.3848752, -1.3848752], ..., [76.50749 , 76.50749 , 76.50749 , ..., 76.50749 , 76.50749 , 76.50749 ], [50.47592 , 50.47592 , 50.47592 , ..., 50.47592 , 50.47592 , 50.47592 ], [21.25058 , 21.25058 , 21.25058 , ..., 21.25058 , 21.25058 , 21.25058 ]]], dtype=float32) - s_2022_23_age_youth(chain, draw)float3260.07 41.85 -1.385 ... 50.48 21.25
array([[ 60.07309 , 41.85238 , -1.3848752 , 51.452557 , 44.773407 , 84.39958 , 51.325626 , 24.503937 , 38.81663 , 6.8263397 , 3.085049 , 64.060745 , 2.105541 , 45.553215 , 40.645287 , 52.260567 , 50.218018 , 38.962395 , 40.180717 , -8.123406 , 28.5517 , 32.35862 , 31.251633 , 15.868168 , 7.974743 , 88.11076 , 156.84784 , -0.9253625 , 26.890747 , 29.948109 , 12.7592325 , 62.619686 , 14.065478 , 23.742212 , 44.36705 , 31.417448 , 50.02656 , 28.394993 , 15.870935 , 44.790306 , 24.502384 , 30.376083 , 84.76357 , 65.33207 , 13.711488 , 19.780577 , 48.513657 , 34.380867 , 28.103128 , 9.855236 , 54.438656 , 2.4494305 , 20.147566 , 27.16482 , 22.220987 , 70.10333 , 29.733078 , -8.278848 , 42.596687 , 7.036182 , 30.00865 , 47.5602 , 41.360188 , 6.5721183 , 24.251976 , 65.37638 , 13.064386 , 31.350092 , 71.75246 , 65.9723 , 39.443745 , 62.721226 , 62.09365 , 38.81121 , 32.186653 , 33.941975 , 40.70801 , 22.563671 , -4.8667407 , 1.2791901 , ... 61.059334 , -15.028335 , 3.294714 , -3.0913253 , -15.044998 , -40.915173 , 35.656593 , -18.051708 , 5.159923 , 13.554489 , 33.710705 , 43.020145 , 58.09177 , 54.67967 , 74.51326 , 13.062732 , 78.915504 , -42.719654 , 23.018059 , 22.17594 , 20.828243 , 19.995548 , -1.2827883 , 17.875628 , 46.3394 , 10.590699 , 0.49732214, 41.793873 , 33.393135 , 55.714226 , 58.529316 , 44.269833 , 14.68437 , -14.300682 , 68.17146 , 33.726578 , 51.690914 , 7.1907554 , 40.101715 , 17.205921 , 17.893589 , 32.475266 , 94.15623 , 19.286205 , 23.792559 , -3.1121724 , 2.784101 , 51.03321 , 37.393112 , 7.983298 , 80.92189 , 42.38655 , -2.7739596 , -9.035683 , 24.758215 , 5.854893 , 100.50381 , 25.611563 , 38.090343 , 31.439001 , 52.602142 , 52.263603 , 44.951 , 59.089767 , 100.657936 , 74.60119 , 1.7324135 , 63.591633 , 39.486507 , 54.36142 , 58.249733 , -3.8707905 , 57.215454 , 69.89958 , -0.9667706 , 76.50749 , 50.47592 , 21.25058 ]], dtype=float32) - s_2022_23_age_youth_daily(chain, draw, days_2022_23)float3260.07 60.07 60.07 ... 21.25 21.25
array([[[60.07309 , 60.07309 , 60.07309 , ..., 60.07309 , 60.07309 , 60.07309 ], [41.85238 , 41.85238 , 41.85238 , ..., 41.85238 , 41.85238 , 41.85238 ], [-1.3848752, -1.3848752, -1.3848752, ..., -1.3848752, -1.3848752, -1.3848752], ..., [76.50749 , 76.50749 , 76.50749 , ..., 76.50749 , 76.50749 , 76.50749 ], [50.47592 , 50.47592 , 50.47592 , ..., 50.47592 , 50.47592 , 50.47592 ], [21.25058 , 21.25058 , 21.25058 , ..., 21.25058 , 21.25058 , 21.25058 ]]], dtype=float32) - s_2023_24_age_adult(chain, draw)float3265.8 126.9 19.86 ... 56.69 24.66
array([[ 65.80169 , 126.863716 , 19.864319 , -7.2802525, 25.931288 , 36.99696 , 103.69134 , 66.863594 , 44.212433 , 6.975675 , 15.5147915, 85.44619 , -6.0741816, 71.241486 , 47.658104 , 53.915237 , 43.379097 , 12.919242 , 5.466273 , -30.983513 , 41.831013 , 131.69945 , 21.57465 , 29.79307 , 6.0002184, 73.66759 , 28.66632 , 20.953815 , 24.51784 , 33.44177 , 28.320452 , 75.31095 , -6.7041817, 31.77645 , 32.787735 , 20.685707 , 54.99989 , 71.334114 , 11.152596 , 56.57124 , 14.906746 , 20.059168 , 83.78013 , 62.88427 , 20.16996 , 30.196556 , 47.1061 , 12.411039 , 49.069702 , 12.568561 , 7.300834 , 0.9863408, 25.300909 , 24.29751 , -1.5978594, 74.88016 , 7.052106 , 8.148637 , 75.33439 , 32.261734 , -2.9223337, 45.486526 , 33.908882 , 27.494343 , 13.762572 , 69.8299 , -37.305817 , 32.248123 , 25.38622 , 70.854385 , 34.482548 , -53.999676 , 51.7645 , 58.896835 , 27.670965 , 33.964172 , 46.47007 , 15.94068 , -3.6246128, -18.158674 , -17.547832 , 46.177933 , 41.654617 , -28.943472 , 53.794716 , 31.118832 , 50.596333 , 63.902378 , 16.161308 , 42.36953 , 48.023445 , -24.926092 , 39.048164 , 27.914686 , 41.174538 , 15.608359 , 32.04955 , 30.680826 , 114.40555 , 47.139038 , ... 46.720703 , 47.024303 , 9.727128 , 62.05773 , 26.018002 , 55.064384 , 50.94424 , 17.004549 , 25.43027 , 55.508076 , 51.52618 , 48.02469 , 84.20202 , 43.94923 , -33.416862 , 46.714714 , -17.565983 , 63.90957 , 43.100685 , 9.711408 , -35.113132 , 54.23956 , -4.3661256, 24.424494 , 2.5579636, -19.191174 , 20.313072 , 3.9195383, 37.76638 , 57.107758 , 37.071377 , 54.37594 , 15.124549 , 88.44622 , 158.25064 , 12.685646 , 19.665552 , 55.93773 , 21.633894 , 3.1980062, 5.2243915, 43.81796 , 44.539856 , 13.871125 , 43.205845 , 41.307644 , 38.78482 , 53.16342 , -17.89996 , 19.823097 , -53.48957 , 33.75117 , 14.917829 , 51.627438 , -14.346699 , 79.24536 , -12.322873 , 26.908981 , 30.403332 , 27.043139 , 16.082758 , 12.210823 , 31.757936 , -3.7443829, 32.74584 , 39.423676 , 31.123898 , 78.730774 , 47.258755 , -3.06727 , -10.676407 , -5.9650393, 24.775368 , 30.228035 , 18.07717 , 33.316288 , 58.76006 , 55.88392 , 24.860222 , 53.169037 , 69.17345 , -9.359931 , 81.331604 , 45.139297 , 97.99725 , 40.754066 , 52.60991 , 66.24435 , 19.661919 , 56.299107 , 55.940636 , 7.8386254, 79.88503 , 56.687027 , 24.65996 ]], dtype=float32) - s_2023_24_age_adult_daily(chain, draw, days_2023_24)float3265.8 65.8 65.8 ... 24.66 24.66
array([[[ 65.80169 , 65.80169 , 65.80169 , ..., 65.80169 , 65.80169 , 65.80169 ], [126.863716, 126.863716, 126.863716, ..., 126.863716, 126.863716, 126.863716], [ 19.864319, 19.864319, 19.864319, ..., 19.864319, 19.864319, 19.864319], ..., [ 79.88503 , 79.88503 , 79.88503 , ..., 79.88503 , 79.88503 , 79.88503 ], [ 56.687027, 56.687027, 56.687027, ..., 56.687027, 56.687027, 56.687027], [ 24.65996 , 24.65996 , 24.65996 , ..., 24.65996 , 24.65996 , 24.65996 ]]], dtype=float32) - s_2023_24_age_elderly(chain, draw)float3265.8 126.9 19.86 ... 56.69 24.66
array([[ 65.80169 , 126.863716 , 19.864319 , -7.2802525, 25.931288 , 36.99696 , 103.69134 , 66.863594 , 44.212433 , 6.975675 , 15.5147915, 85.44619 , -6.0741816, 71.241486 , 47.658104 , 53.915237 , 43.379097 , 12.919242 , 5.466273 , -30.983513 , 41.831013 , 131.69945 , 21.57465 , 29.79307 , 6.0002184, 73.66759 , 28.66632 , 20.953815 , 24.51784 , 33.44177 , 28.320452 , 75.31095 , -6.7041817, 31.77645 , 32.787735 , 20.685707 , 54.99989 , 71.334114 , 11.152596 , 56.57124 , 14.906746 , 20.059168 , 83.78013 , 62.88427 , 20.16996 , 30.196556 , 47.1061 , 12.411039 , 49.069702 , 12.568561 , 7.300834 , 0.9863408, 25.300909 , 24.29751 , -1.5978594, 74.88016 , 7.052106 , 8.148637 , 75.33439 , 32.261734 , -2.9223337, 45.486526 , 33.908882 , 27.494343 , 13.762572 , 69.8299 , -37.305817 , 32.248123 , 25.38622 , 70.854385 , 34.482548 , -53.999676 , 51.7645 , 58.896835 , 27.670965 , 33.964172 , 46.47007 , 15.94068 , -3.6246128, -18.158674 , -17.547832 , 46.177933 , 41.654617 , -28.943472 , 53.794716 , 31.118832 , 50.596333 , 63.902378 , 16.161308 , 42.36953 , 48.023445 , -24.926092 , 39.048164 , 27.914686 , 41.174538 , 15.608359 , 32.04955 , 30.680826 , 114.40555 , 47.139038 , ... 46.720703 , 47.024303 , 9.727128 , 62.05773 , 26.018002 , 55.064384 , 50.94424 , 17.004549 , 25.43027 , 55.508076 , 51.52618 , 48.02469 , 84.20202 , 43.94923 , -33.416862 , 46.714714 , -17.565983 , 63.90957 , 43.100685 , 9.711408 , -35.113132 , 54.23956 , -4.3661256, 24.424494 , 2.5579636, -19.191174 , 20.313072 , 3.9195383, 37.76638 , 57.107758 , 37.071377 , 54.37594 , 15.124549 , 88.44622 , 158.25064 , 12.685646 , 19.665552 , 55.93773 , 21.633894 , 3.1980062, 5.2243915, 43.81796 , 44.539856 , 13.871125 , 43.205845 , 41.307644 , 38.78482 , 53.16342 , -17.89996 , 19.823097 , -53.48957 , 33.75117 , 14.917829 , 51.627438 , -14.346699 , 79.24536 , -12.322873 , 26.908981 , 30.403332 , 27.043139 , 16.082758 , 12.210823 , 31.757936 , -3.7443829, 32.74584 , 39.423676 , 31.123898 , 78.730774 , 47.258755 , -3.06727 , -10.676407 , -5.9650393, 24.775368 , 30.228035 , 18.07717 , 33.316288 , 58.76006 , 55.88392 , 24.860222 , 53.169037 , 69.17345 , -9.359931 , 81.331604 , 45.139297 , 97.99725 , 40.754066 , 52.60991 , 66.24435 , 19.661919 , 56.299107 , 55.940636 , 7.8386254, 79.88503 , 56.687027 , 24.65996 ]], dtype=float32) - s_2023_24_age_elderly_daily(chain, draw, days_2023_24)float3265.8 65.8 65.8 ... 24.66 24.66
array([[[ 65.80169 , 65.80169 , 65.80169 , ..., 65.80169 , 65.80169 , 65.80169 ], [126.863716, 126.863716, 126.863716, ..., 126.863716, 126.863716, 126.863716], [ 19.864319, 19.864319, 19.864319, ..., 19.864319, 19.864319, 19.864319], ..., [ 79.88503 , 79.88503 , 79.88503 , ..., 79.88503 , 79.88503 , 79.88503 ], [ 56.687027, 56.687027, 56.687027, ..., 56.687027, 56.687027, 56.687027], [ 24.65996 , 24.65996 , 24.65996 , ..., 24.65996 , 24.65996 , 24.65996 ]]], dtype=float32) - s_2023_24_age_youth(chain, draw)float3265.8 126.9 19.86 ... 56.69 24.66
array([[ 65.80169 , 126.863716 , 19.864319 , -7.2802525, 25.931288 , 36.99696 , 103.69134 , 66.863594 , 44.212433 , 6.975675 , 15.5147915, 85.44619 , -6.0741816, 71.241486 , 47.658104 , 53.915237 , 43.379097 , 12.919242 , 5.466273 , -30.983513 , 41.831013 , 131.69945 , 21.57465 , 29.79307 , 6.0002184, 73.66759 , 28.66632 , 20.953815 , 24.51784 , 33.44177 , 28.320452 , 75.31095 , -6.7041817, 31.77645 , 32.787735 , 20.685707 , 54.99989 , 71.334114 , 11.152596 , 56.57124 , 14.906746 , 20.059168 , 83.78013 , 62.88427 , 20.16996 , 30.196556 , 47.1061 , 12.411039 , 49.069702 , 12.568561 , 7.300834 , 0.9863408, 25.300909 , 24.29751 , -1.5978594, 74.88016 , 7.052106 , 8.148637 , 75.33439 , 32.261734 , -2.9223337, 45.486526 , 33.908882 , 27.494343 , 13.762572 , 69.8299 , -37.305817 , 32.248123 , 25.38622 , 70.854385 , 34.482548 , -53.999676 , 51.7645 , 58.896835 , 27.670965 , 33.964172 , 46.47007 , 15.94068 , -3.6246128, -18.158674 , -17.547832 , 46.177933 , 41.654617 , -28.943472 , 53.794716 , 31.118832 , 50.596333 , 63.902378 , 16.161308 , 42.36953 , 48.023445 , -24.926092 , 39.048164 , 27.914686 , 41.174538 , 15.608359 , 32.04955 , 30.680826 , 114.40555 , 47.139038 , ... 46.720703 , 47.024303 , 9.727128 , 62.05773 , 26.018002 , 55.064384 , 50.94424 , 17.004549 , 25.43027 , 55.508076 , 51.52618 , 48.02469 , 84.20202 , 43.94923 , -33.416862 , 46.714714 , -17.565983 , 63.90957 , 43.100685 , 9.711408 , -35.113132 , 54.23956 , -4.3661256, 24.424494 , 2.5579636, -19.191174 , 20.313072 , 3.9195383, 37.76638 , 57.107758 , 37.071377 , 54.37594 , 15.124549 , 88.44622 , 158.25064 , 12.685646 , 19.665552 , 55.93773 , 21.633894 , 3.1980062, 5.2243915, 43.81796 , 44.539856 , 13.871125 , 43.205845 , 41.307644 , 38.78482 , 53.16342 , -17.89996 , 19.823097 , -53.48957 , 33.75117 , 14.917829 , 51.627438 , -14.346699 , 79.24536 , -12.322873 , 26.908981 , 30.403332 , 27.043139 , 16.082758 , 12.210823 , 31.757936 , -3.7443829, 32.74584 , 39.423676 , 31.123898 , 78.730774 , 47.258755 , -3.06727 , -10.676407 , -5.9650393, 24.775368 , 30.228035 , 18.07717 , 33.316288 , 58.76006 , 55.88392 , 24.860222 , 53.169037 , 69.17345 , -9.359931 , 81.331604 , 45.139297 , 97.99725 , 40.754066 , 52.60991 , 66.24435 , 19.661919 , 56.299107 , 55.940636 , 7.8386254, 79.88503 , 56.687027 , 24.65996 ]], dtype=float32) - s_2023_24_age_youth_daily(chain, draw, days_2023_24)float3265.8 65.8 65.8 ... 24.66 24.66
array([[[ 65.80169 , 65.80169 , 65.80169 , ..., 65.80169 , 65.80169 , 65.80169 ], [126.863716, 126.863716, 126.863716, ..., 126.863716, 126.863716, 126.863716], [ 19.864319, 19.864319, 19.864319, ..., 19.864319, 19.864319, 19.864319], ..., [ 79.88503 , 79.88503 , 79.88503 , ..., 79.88503 , 79.88503 , 79.88503 ], [ 56.687027, 56.687027, 56.687027, ..., 56.687027, 56.687027, 56.687027], [ 24.65996 , 24.65996 , 24.65996 , ..., 24.65996 , 24.65996 , 24.65996 ]]], dtype=float32) - s_2024_25_age_adult(chain, draw)float3267.16 38.49 3.451 ... 49.93 26.7
array([[ 67.158226 , 38.49154 , 3.4514854 , 46.15737 , 32.826027 , 75.0154 , 44.22407 , 28.744905 , 41.55805 , 7.006524 , -7.5876594 , 75.86618 , 12.37597 , 63.011112 , 38.696865 , 54.882713 , 52.95836 , 0.78783387, 13.888645 , 41.050274 , 39.153057 , 59.209522 , 27.538414 , 18.881935 , 50.60817 , 50.60501 , 89.67696 , 5.4314995 , 72.522865 , 33.47175 , -4.841214 , 100.20614 , -6.8491 , 54.75067 , 39.280037 , 10.690177 , 52.357788 , 34.654625 , 43.710926 , 27.64657 , 16.273842 , 47.42959 , 86.63574 , 74.433975 , 19.120825 , 8.14597 , 78.47634 , 29.274477 , 34.67476 , 15.291714 , 10.799161 , 6.69555 , 26.466223 , 1.2545176 , 16.13916 , 60.65857 , 1.6701038 , -1.4425818 , 62.105145 , 26.575066 , 62.40153 , 14.963086 , 36.321304 , 11.245298 , 35.964947 , 64.07702 , -1.05474 , 30.090837 , 28.70851 , 62.98466 , 30.475565 , 116.20915 , 59.163574 , 57.609577 , 36.416584 , 35.328815 , 41.815247 , 34.197334 , -8.00237 , 21.504349 , ... 48.429314 , -19.015512 , 13.448652 , 1.5003523 , 12.555947 , -3.0619087 , 8.399386 , 11.508985 , 6.184569 , 21.892797 , 10.906351 , 21.973228 , 56.039448 , 51.5126 , 59.69522 , 25.16875 , 88.12043 , 147.21881 , 21.245543 , 31.7094 , 2.8688595 , 22.741901 , 1.4567528 , 11.399846 , 48.665245 , 24.859373 , 1.5788939 , 42.837444 , 41.836548 , 69.73493 , 53.316277 , 15.187331 , 29.328232 , 61.738388 , 57.636173 , 24.107302 , 51.942627 , 41.21752 , 49.340828 , -19.578384 , 25.740602 , 30.37613 , 67.06152 , 31.576674 , 15.023992 , -3.0328906 , 8.774642 , 46.927204 , 42.864357 , 28.143364 , 59.454075 , 31.386541 , -12.162105 , -7.832598 , -47.103756 , 29.014805 , 45.541405 , 26.091675 , 47.989887 , 31.975132 , 47.364803 , 49.759563 , 4.214867 , 77.695755 , 15.970388 , 75.63571 , 25.158216 , 71.527054 , 16.722431 , 58.85026 , 42.230164 , 18.9738 , 55.438576 , 64.77802 , -6.4941607 , 83.36561 , 49.92547 , 26.70129 ]], dtype=float32) - s_2024_25_age_adult_daily(chain, draw, days_2024_25)float3267.16 67.16 67.16 ... 26.7 26.7
array([[[67.158226 , 67.158226 , 67.158226 , ..., 67.158226 , 67.158226 , 67.158226 ], [38.49154 , 38.49154 , 38.49154 , ..., 38.49154 , 38.49154 , 38.49154 ], [ 3.4514854, 3.4514854, 3.4514854, ..., 3.4514854, 3.4514854, 3.4514854], ..., [83.36561 , 83.36561 , 83.36561 , ..., 83.36561 , 83.36561 , 83.36561 ], [49.92547 , 49.92547 , 49.92547 , ..., 49.92547 , 49.92547 , 49.92547 ], [26.70129 , 26.70129 , 26.70129 , ..., 26.70129 , 26.70129 , 26.70129 ]]], dtype=float32) - s_2024_25_age_elderly(chain, draw)float3267.16 38.49 3.451 ... 49.93 26.7
array([[ 67.158226 , 38.49154 , 3.4514854 , 46.15737 , 32.826027 , 75.0154 , 44.22407 , 28.744905 , 41.55805 , 7.006524 , -7.5876594 , 75.86618 , 12.37597 , 63.011112 , 38.696865 , 54.882713 , 52.95836 , 0.78783387, 13.888645 , 41.050274 , 39.153057 , 59.209522 , 27.538414 , 18.881935 , 50.60817 , 50.60501 , 89.67696 , 5.4314995 , 72.522865 , 33.47175 , -4.841214 , 100.20614 , -6.8491 , 54.75067 , 39.280037 , 10.690177 , 52.357788 , 34.654625 , 43.710926 , 27.64657 , 16.273842 , 47.42959 , 86.63574 , 74.433975 , 19.120825 , 8.14597 , 78.47634 , 29.274477 , 34.67476 , 15.291714 , 10.799161 , 6.69555 , 26.466223 , 1.2545176 , 16.13916 , 60.65857 , 1.6701038 , -1.4425818 , 62.105145 , 26.575066 , 62.40153 , 14.963086 , 36.321304 , 11.245298 , 35.964947 , 64.07702 , -1.05474 , 30.090837 , 28.70851 , 62.98466 , 30.475565 , 116.20915 , 59.163574 , 57.609577 , 36.416584 , 35.328815 , 41.815247 , 34.197334 , -8.00237 , 21.504349 , ... 48.429314 , -19.015512 , 13.448652 , 1.5003523 , 12.555947 , -3.0619087 , 8.399386 , 11.508985 , 6.184569 , 21.892797 , 10.906351 , 21.973228 , 56.039448 , 51.5126 , 59.69522 , 25.16875 , 88.12043 , 147.21881 , 21.245543 , 31.7094 , 2.8688595 , 22.741901 , 1.4567528 , 11.399846 , 48.665245 , 24.859373 , 1.5788939 , 42.837444 , 41.836548 , 69.73493 , 53.316277 , 15.187331 , 29.328232 , 61.738388 , 57.636173 , 24.107302 , 51.942627 , 41.21752 , 49.340828 , -19.578384 , 25.740602 , 30.37613 , 67.06152 , 31.576674 , 15.023992 , -3.0328906 , 8.774642 , 46.927204 , 42.864357 , 28.143364 , 59.454075 , 31.386541 , -12.162105 , -7.832598 , -47.103756 , 29.014805 , 45.541405 , 26.091675 , 47.989887 , 31.975132 , 47.364803 , 49.759563 , 4.214867 , 77.695755 , 15.970388 , 75.63571 , 25.158216 , 71.527054 , 16.722431 , 58.85026 , 42.230164 , 18.9738 , 55.438576 , 64.77802 , -6.4941607 , 83.36561 , 49.92547 , 26.70129 ]], dtype=float32) - s_2024_25_age_elderly_daily(chain, draw, days_2024_25)float3267.16 67.16 67.16 ... 26.7 26.7
array([[[67.158226 , 67.158226 , 67.158226 , ..., 67.158226 , 67.158226 , 67.158226 ], [38.49154 , 38.49154 , 38.49154 , ..., 38.49154 , 38.49154 , 38.49154 ], [ 3.4514854, 3.4514854, 3.4514854, ..., 3.4514854, 3.4514854, 3.4514854], ..., [83.36561 , 83.36561 , 83.36561 , ..., 83.36561 , 83.36561 , 83.36561 ], [49.92547 , 49.92547 , 49.92547 , ..., 49.92547 , 49.92547 , 49.92547 ], [26.70129 , 26.70129 , 26.70129 , ..., 26.70129 , 26.70129 , 26.70129 ]]], dtype=float32) - s_2024_25_age_youth(chain, draw)float3267.16 38.49 3.451 ... 49.93 26.7
array([[ 67.158226 , 38.49154 , 3.4514854 , 46.15737 , 32.826027 , 75.0154 , 44.22407 , 28.744905 , 41.55805 , 7.006524 , -7.5876594 , 75.86618 , 12.37597 , 63.011112 , 38.696865 , 54.882713 , 52.95836 , 0.78783387, 13.888645 , 41.050274 , 39.153057 , 59.209522 , 27.538414 , 18.881935 , 50.60817 , 50.60501 , 89.67696 , 5.4314995 , 72.522865 , 33.47175 , -4.841214 , 100.20614 , -6.8491 , 54.75067 , 39.280037 , 10.690177 , 52.357788 , 34.654625 , 43.710926 , 27.64657 , 16.273842 , 47.42959 , 86.63574 , 74.433975 , 19.120825 , 8.14597 , 78.47634 , 29.274477 , 34.67476 , 15.291714 , 10.799161 , 6.69555 , 26.466223 , 1.2545176 , 16.13916 , 60.65857 , 1.6701038 , -1.4425818 , 62.105145 , 26.575066 , 62.40153 , 14.963086 , 36.321304 , 11.245298 , 35.964947 , 64.07702 , -1.05474 , 30.090837 , 28.70851 , 62.98466 , 30.475565 , 116.20915 , 59.163574 , 57.609577 , 36.416584 , 35.328815 , 41.815247 , 34.197334 , -8.00237 , 21.504349 , ... 48.429314 , -19.015512 , 13.448652 , 1.5003523 , 12.555947 , -3.0619087 , 8.399386 , 11.508985 , 6.184569 , 21.892797 , 10.906351 , 21.973228 , 56.039448 , 51.5126 , 59.69522 , 25.16875 , 88.12043 , 147.21881 , 21.245543 , 31.7094 , 2.8688595 , 22.741901 , 1.4567528 , 11.399846 , 48.665245 , 24.859373 , 1.5788939 , 42.837444 , 41.836548 , 69.73493 , 53.316277 , 15.187331 , 29.328232 , 61.738388 , 57.636173 , 24.107302 , 51.942627 , 41.21752 , 49.340828 , -19.578384 , 25.740602 , 30.37613 , 67.06152 , 31.576674 , 15.023992 , -3.0328906 , 8.774642 , 46.927204 , 42.864357 , 28.143364 , 59.454075 , 31.386541 , -12.162105 , -7.832598 , -47.103756 , 29.014805 , 45.541405 , 26.091675 , 47.989887 , 31.975132 , 47.364803 , 49.759563 , 4.214867 , 77.695755 , 15.970388 , 75.63571 , 25.158216 , 71.527054 , 16.722431 , 58.85026 , 42.230164 , 18.9738 , 55.438576 , 64.77802 , -6.4941607 , 83.36561 , 49.92547 , 26.70129 ]], dtype=float32) - s_2024_25_age_youth_daily(chain, draw, days_2024_25)float3267.16 67.16 67.16 ... 26.7 26.7
array([[[67.158226 , 67.158226 , 67.158226 , ..., 67.158226 , 67.158226 , 67.158226 ], [38.49154 , 38.49154 , 38.49154 , ..., 38.49154 , 38.49154 , 38.49154 ], [ 3.4514854, 3.4514854, 3.4514854, ..., 3.4514854, 3.4514854, 3.4514854], ..., [83.36561 , 83.36561 , 83.36561 , ..., 83.36561 , 83.36561 , 83.36561 ], [49.92547 , 49.92547 , 49.92547 , ..., 49.92547 , 49.92547 , 49.92547 ], [26.70129 , 26.70129 , 26.70129 , ..., 26.70129 , 26.70129 , 26.70129 ]]], dtype=float32) - s_season(chain, draw, season)float3260.07 65.8 67.16 ... 24.66 26.7
array([[[ 60.07309 , 65.80169 , 67.158226 ], [ 41.85238 , 126.863716 , 38.49154 ], [ -1.3848752 , 19.864319 , 3.4514854 ], [ 51.452557 , -7.2802525 , 46.15737 ], [ 44.773407 , 25.931288 , 32.826027 ], [ 84.39958 , 36.99696 , 75.0154 ], [ 51.325626 , 103.69134 , 44.22407 ], [ 24.503937 , 66.863594 , 28.744905 ], [ 38.81663 , 44.212433 , 41.55805 ], [ 6.8263397 , 6.975675 , 7.006524 ], [ 3.085049 , 15.5147915 , -7.5876594 ], [ 64.060745 , 85.44619 , 75.86618 ], [ 2.105541 , -6.0741816 , 12.37597 ], [ 45.553215 , 71.241486 , 63.011112 ], [ 40.645287 , 47.658104 , 38.696865 ], [ 52.260567 , 53.915237 , 54.882713 ], [ 50.218018 , 43.379097 , 52.95836 ], [ 38.962395 , 12.919242 , 0.78783387], [ 40.180717 , 5.466273 , 13.888645 ], [ -8.123406 , -30.983513 , 41.050274 ], ... [ 38.090343 , 33.316288 , 47.989887 ], [ 31.439001 , 58.76006 , 31.975132 ], [ 52.602142 , 55.88392 , 47.364803 ], [ 52.263603 , 24.860222 , 49.759563 ], [ 44.951 , 53.169037 , 4.214867 ], [ 59.089767 , 69.17345 , 77.695755 ], [100.657936 , -9.359931 , 15.970388 ], [ 74.60119 , 81.331604 , 75.63571 ], [ 1.7324135 , 45.139297 , 25.158216 ], [ 63.591633 , 97.99725 , 71.527054 ], [ 39.486507 , 40.754066 , 16.722431 ], [ 54.36142 , 52.60991 , 58.85026 ], [ 58.249733 , 66.24435 , 42.230164 ], [ -3.8707905 , 19.661919 , 18.9738 ], [ 57.215454 , 56.299107 , 55.438576 ], [ 69.89958 , 55.940636 , 64.77802 ], [ -0.9667706 , 7.8386254 , -6.4941607 ], [ 76.50749 , 79.88503 , 83.36561 ], [ 50.47592 , 56.687027 , 49.92547 ], [ 21.25058 , 24.65996 , 26.70129 ]]], dtype=float32) - s_season_mu(chain, draw)float3257.93 63.59 22.28 ... 50.99 24.73
array([[ 57.933823 , 63.588825 , 22.27723 , 19.388239 , 39.144314 , 51.298958 , 48.889465 , 36.32928 , 43.061745 , 6.9098773 , 12.626576 , 82.69222 , 3.3876114 , 23.303667 , 44.09285 , 52.335815 , 46.078617 , 22.32155 , -0.1357742 , 14.990061 , 37.700348 , 45.8336 , 25.492899 , 37.54057 , 37.03412 , 48.05488 , 48.56871 , 26.511244 , 19.571564 , 34.23308 , 3.5300171 , 69.23447 , 6.349827 , 42.161446 , 36.653988 , 39.62202 , 53.732513 , 48.01975 , 15.025816 , 37.92989 , 18.152716 , 40.82066 , 84.73073 , 67.188614 , 31.697098 , 21.268578 , 36.248817 , 21.967564 , 41.567516 , 19.25661 , 33.92661 , 2.1764693 , 26.0009 , 26.74882 , 25.61701 , 63.193317 , 24.372849 , 11.804915 , 67.0114 , 13.907568 , 29.27315 , 26.347704 , 24.468893 , 18.45601 , 33.504253 , 66.30795 , 13.621337 , 31.669044 , 50.708923 , 63.980377 , 31.04003 , 26.145693 , 53.623974 , 45.93396 , 32.264847 , 35.617023 , 43.14996 , 20.187496 , -12.324255 , 26.76448 , ... 56.969303 , 16.572203 , 6.2799034 , -14.891396 , 41.073704 , -3.2859545 , 19.25165 , -10.447004 , 10.839155 , 19.164738 , 12.477002 , 34.851967 , 55.062687 , 45.596424 , 60.79379 , 19.062868 , 84.90745 , 59.673237 , 21.09807 , 20.048737 , 22.816545 , 18.61419 , 0.81393594, 11.328707 , 46.17984 , 24.269186 , 14.567273 , 41.985874 , 31.824438 , 58.600296 , 54.909447 , 14.360519 , 21.467169 , -1.7404227 , 45.36074 , 8.740939 , 51.516537 , 16.516113 , 51.163815 , -15.108891 , 29.72803 , 31.190079 , 75.43964 , 18.873888 , 15.426756 , 17.056818 , 3.2984083 , 64.32475 , 37.372387 , 30.135956 , 76.33201 , 42.554485 , -9.551892 , -9.388144 , 39.483097 , 19.796598 , 55.118084 , 24.765285 , 36.87369 , 50.737095 , 53.932865 , 44.77502 , 31.985952 , 67.14098 , 20.460651 , 76.04633 , 15.587564 , 51.727047 , 36.216587 , 60.01921 , 46.205265 , 16.26507 , 56.477547 , 58.436543 , 20.702435 , 75.21186 , 50.99399 , 24.729212 ]], dtype=float32) - s_season_sigma(chain, draw)float326.571 31.3 16.83 ... 6.613 2.812
array([[ 6.571272 , 31.301113 , 16.832844 , 30.44924 , 7.372449 , 26.509514 , 21.826405 , 19.894869 , 5.386717 , 0.11350039, 10.917775 , 10.015256 , 9.597235 , 59.23932 , 3.2693706 , 3.130578 , 5.404288 , 12.552249 , 15.571629 , 23.82214 , 8.239241 , 50.329014 , 4.1831846 , 15.435032 , 81.2016 , 25.709919 , 43.303795 , 28.523436 , 31.109175 , 1.8933823 , 13.923569 , 19.238794 , 8.073965 , 15.899376 , 20.698156 , 9.844753 , 1.876499 , 24.040226 , 11.459095 , 20.619957 , 6.168646 , 23.005764 , 1.0966281 , 3.0939088 , 23.776928 , 22.776825 , 35.01209 , 12.763272 , 8.112765 , 14.978567 , 18.938036 , 4.2447042 , 10.4646845 , 20.161772 , 17.86315 , 9.88739 , 15.461504 , 23.755934 , 20.851318 , 19.901718 , 26.967901 , 21.785397 , 9.81996 , 15.418576 , 19.64457 , 2.3837636 , 26.34004 , 1.074178 , 17.109434 , 5.5968733 , 6.1672163 , 41.353325 , 9.037051 , 9.8172865 , 5.1772246 , 1.185646 , 4.682417 , 13.43685 , 5.8213406 , 25.192339 , 31.986576 , 5.8166018 , 1.7734975 , 27.480837 , 41.076183 , 13.30728 , 11.83197 , 11.00682 , 7.7119436 , 3.61902 , 17.557076 , 54.61159 , 8.6059675 , 19.125235 , 10.786152 , 23.556057 , 1.9843912 , 1.4395697 , 21.73229 , 15.154931 , ... 21.00422 , 5.7886553 , 28.52352 , 9.790188 , 2.8779402 , 34.91038 , 26.198858 , 5.5325093 , 8.186045 , 8.981556 , 4.84042 , 8.222735 , 14.645327 , 6.7695594 , 21.458649 , 12.037443 , 12.267139 , 14.222421 , 28.035664 , 6.1039133 , 14.224565 , 31.57207 , 25.648031 , 23.416441 , 19.295956 , 17.46001 , 6.485938 , 15.695637 , 12.787226 , 1.3938951 , 7.3422565 , 6.464881 , 6.4538813 , 11.173229 , 47.987408 , 5.6709967 , 12.00918 , 34.003555 , 15.173113 , 6.7773376 , 6.13559 , 2.219055 , 18.268847 , 19.310623 , 1.3941857 , 10.31726 , 12.2246275 , 3.5873594 , 20.411005 , 6.473933 , 34.211445 , 15.689337 , 19.328001 , 0.50421584, 26.722229 , 9.892371 , 13.221033 , 26.226185 , 7.8501935 , 20.641535 , 10.638134 , 14.887789 , 17.599651 , 11.799397 , 22.03499 , 6.0728908 , 26.90432 , 18.654636 , 19.034798 , 10.634076 , 1.7672216 , 41.252605 , 15.869713 , 47.118973 , 3.98144 , 10.323459 , 19.245956 , 10.498712 , 14.716585 , 15.518345 , 19.479513 , 48.675114 , 4.369242 , 13.400081 , 41.348835 , 24.33857 , 17.21584 , 11.678311 , 16.603722 , 1.0624269 , 11.994754 , 12.040548 , 6.26018 , 6.6132326 , 2.8121276 ]], dtype=float32)
- created_at :
- 2026-03-31T21:16:20.753426+00:00
- arviz_version :
- 0.23.4
- inference_library :
- numpyro
- inference_library_version :
- 0.20.1
<xarray.Dataset> Size: 4MB Dimensions: (chain: 1, draw: 250, season: 3, age_categories: 3, date_ranges_2022_23: 18, incidence_2022_23_age_adult_prevalence_penalty_dim_0: 0, ... incidence_2024_25_age_youth_prevalence_penalty_dim_0: 0, days_2022_23: 126, days_2023_24: 126, days_2024_25: 119, age_categories_short: 2, observation: 159) Coordinates: (12/21) * chain (chain) int64 8B 0 * draw (draw) int64 2kB ... * season (season) <U7 84B ... * age_categories (age_categories) <U7 84B ... * date_ranges_2022_23 (date_ranges_2022_23) <U21 2kB ... * incidence_2022_23_age_adult_prevalence_penalty_dim_0 (incidence_2022_23_age_adult_prevalence_penalty_dim_0) int64 0B ... ... ... * incidence_2024_25_age_youth_prevalence_penalty_dim_0 (incidence_2024_25_age_youth_prevalence_penalty_dim_0) int64 0B ... * days_2022_23 (days_2022_23) <U10 5kB ... * days_2023_24 (days_2023_24) <U10 5kB ... * days_2024_25 (days_2024_25) <U10 5kB ... * age_categories_short (age_categories_short) <U7 56B ... * observation (observation) <U41 26kB ... Data variables: (12/91) covariate_values_m_age (chain, draw, season, age_categories) float32 9kB ... covariate_values_m_season (chain, draw, season) float32 3kB ... covariate_values_r_season (chain, draw, season) float32 3kB ... covariate_values_s_season (chain, draw, season) float32 3kB ... incidence_2022_23_age_adult (chain, draw, date_ranges_2022_23) float32 18kB ... incidence_2022_23_age_adult_prevalence_penalty (chain, draw, incidence_2022_23_age_adult_prevalence_penalty_dim_0) float32 0B ... ... ... s_2024_25_age_elderly_daily (chain, draw, days_2024_25) float32 119kB ... s_2024_25_age_youth (chain, draw) float32 1kB ... s_2024_25_age_youth_daily (chain, draw, days_2024_25) float32 119kB ... s_season (chain, draw, season) float32 3kB ... s_season_mu (chain, draw) float32 1kB ... s_season_sigma (chain, draw) float32 1kB ... Attributes: created_at: 2026-03-31T21:16:20.753426+00:00 arviz_version: 0.23.4 inference_library: numpyro inference_library_version: 0.20.1xarray.Dataset
In [12]:
Copied!
vaxflux_prior_idata.prior_observations
vaxflux_prior_idata.prior_observations
Out[12]:
| chain | draw | season | season_start_date | season_end_date | start_date | end_date | report_date | age | type | value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 2022/23 | 2022-10-03 | 2023-02-05 | 2022-10-03 | 2022-10-09 | 2022-10-09 | youth | incidence | 7.661778e-03 |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 2022/23 | 2022-10-03 | 2023-02-05 | 2022-11-21 | 2022-11-27 | 2022-11-27 | youth | incidence | 2.187972e-02 |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 2022/23 | 2022-10-03 | 2023-02-05 | 2022-10-10 | 2022-10-16 | 2022-10-16 | youth | incidence | 9.531412e-03 |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 2022/23 | 2022-10-03 | 2023-02-05 | 2023-01-30 | 2023-02-05 | 2023-02-05 | youth | incidence | 6.533121e-03 |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 2022/23 | 2022-10-03 | 2023-02-05 | 2022-12-26 | 2023-01-01 | 2023-01-01 | youth | incidence | 1.709607e-02 |
| ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... |
| 39745 | 0 | 249 | 2024/25 | 2024-10-07 | 2025-02-02 | 2024-10-14 | 2024-10-20 | 2024-10-20 | elderly | incidence | 3.720328e-02 |
| 39746 | 0 | 249 | 2024/25 | 2024-10-07 | 2025-02-02 | 2025-01-06 | 2025-01-12 | 2025-01-12 | elderly | incidence | 9.501604e-07 |
| 39747 | 0 | 249 | 2024/25 | 2024-10-07 | 2025-02-02 | 2024-11-11 | 2024-11-17 | 2024-11-17 | elderly | incidence | 1.004628e-01 |
| 39748 | 0 | 249 | 2024/25 | 2024-10-07 | 2025-02-02 | 2025-01-20 | 2025-01-26 | 2025-01-26 | elderly | incidence | 2.111469e-08 |
| 39749 | 0 | 249 | 2024/25 | 2024-10-07 | 2025-02-02 | 2024-12-30 | 2025-01-05 | 2025-01-05 | elderly | incidence | 4.096235e-06 |
39750 rows × 11 columns
In [13]:
Copied!
vaxflux_prior_idata.plot_prior_predictive()
plt.show()
vaxflux_prior_idata.plot_prior_predictive()
plt.show()
In [14]:
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warmup = 250
samples = 250
chains = 4
vaxflux_idata = model.sample(
warmup=warmup, samples=samples, prior_samples=None, chains=chains
)
vaxflux_idata
warmup = 250
samples = 250
chains = 4
vaxflux_idata = model.sample(
warmup=warmup, samples=samples, prior_samples=None, chains=chains
)
vaxflux_idata
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0%| | 0/500 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
0%| | 0/500 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
Out[14]:
arviz.InferenceData
-
- chain: 4
- draw: 250
- season: 3
- age_categories: 3
- date_ranges_2022_23: 18
- date_ranges_2023_24: 18
- date_ranges_2024_25: 17
- days_2022_23: 126
- days_2023_24: 126
- days_2024_25: 119
- age_categories_short: 2
- observation: 159
- chain(chain)int640 1 2 3
array([0, 1, 2, 3])
- draw(draw)int640 1 2 3 4 5 ... 245 246 247 248 249
array([ 0, 1, 2, ..., 247, 248, 249])
- season(season)<U7'2022/23' '2023/24' '2024/25'
array(['2022/23', '2023/24', '2024/25'], dtype='<U7')
- age_categories(age_categories)<U7'youth' 'adult' 'elderly'
array(['youth', 'adult', 'elderly'], dtype='<U7')
- date_ranges_2022_23(date_ranges_2022_23)<U21'2022-10-03_2022-10-09' ... '202...
array(['2022-10-03_2022-10-09', '2022-11-21_2022-11-27', '2022-10-10_2022-10-16', '2023-01-30_2023-02-05', '2022-12-26_2023-01-01', '2022-12-05_2022-12-11', '2023-01-02_2023-01-08', '2022-12-19_2022-12-25', '2023-01-09_2023-01-15', '2023-01-16_2023-01-22', '2022-12-12_2022-12-18', '2022-10-31_2022-11-06', '2023-01-23_2023-01-29', '2022-10-17_2022-10-23', '2022-11-07_2022-11-13', '2022-11-28_2022-12-04', '2022-10-24_2022-10-30', '2022-11-14_2022-11-20'], dtype='<U21') - date_ranges_2023_24(date_ranges_2023_24)<U21'2023-12-11_2023-12-17' ... '202...
array(['2023-12-11_2023-12-17', '2023-10-23_2023-10-29', '2023-11-06_2023-11-12', '2024-01-08_2024-01-14', '2023-11-20_2023-11-26', '2023-10-30_2023-11-05', '2023-12-25_2023-12-31', '2023-12-18_2023-12-24', '2024-01-15_2024-01-21', '2024-01-22_2024-01-28', '2023-12-04_2023-12-10', '2023-11-13_2023-11-19', '2023-10-09_2023-10-15', '2024-01-29_2024-02-04', '2024-01-01_2024-01-07', '2023-10-16_2023-10-22', '2023-10-02_2023-10-08', '2023-11-27_2023-12-03'], dtype='<U21') - date_ranges_2024_25(date_ranges_2024_25)<U21'2025-01-13_2025-01-19' ... '202...
array(['2025-01-13_2025-01-19', '2024-11-25_2024-12-01', '2024-10-07_2024-10-13', '2024-12-16_2024-12-22', '2024-10-28_2024-11-03', '2024-12-02_2024-12-08', '2024-11-18_2024-11-24', '2024-10-21_2024-10-27', '2024-12-09_2024-12-15', '2024-12-23_2024-12-29', '2025-01-27_2025-02-02', '2024-11-04_2024-11-10', '2024-10-14_2024-10-20', '2025-01-06_2025-01-12', '2024-11-11_2024-11-17', '2025-01-20_2025-01-26', '2024-12-30_2025-01-05'], dtype='<U21') - days_2022_23(days_2022_23)<U10'2022-10-03' ... '2023-02-05'
array(['2022-10-03', '2022-10-04', '2022-10-05', '2022-10-06', '2022-10-07', '2022-10-08', '2022-10-09', '2022-10-10', '2022-10-11', '2022-10-12', '2022-10-13', '2022-10-14', '2022-10-15', '2022-10-16', '2022-10-17', '2022-10-18', '2022-10-19', '2022-10-20', '2022-10-21', '2022-10-22', '2022-10-23', '2022-10-24', '2022-10-25', '2022-10-26', '2022-10-27', '2022-10-28', '2022-10-29', '2022-10-30', '2022-10-31', '2022-11-01', '2022-11-02', '2022-11-03', '2022-11-04', '2022-11-05', '2022-11-06', '2022-11-07', '2022-11-08', '2022-11-09', '2022-11-10', '2022-11-11', '2022-11-12', '2022-11-13', '2022-11-14', '2022-11-15', '2022-11-16', '2022-11-17', '2022-11-18', '2022-11-19', '2022-11-20', '2022-11-21', '2022-11-22', '2022-11-23', '2022-11-24', '2022-11-25', '2022-11-26', '2022-11-27', '2022-11-28', '2022-11-29', '2022-11-30', '2022-12-01', '2022-12-02', '2022-12-03', '2022-12-04', '2022-12-05', '2022-12-06', '2022-12-07', '2022-12-08', '2022-12-09', '2022-12-10', '2022-12-11', '2022-12-12', '2022-12-13', '2022-12-14', '2022-12-15', '2022-12-16', '2022-12-17', '2022-12-18', '2022-12-19', '2022-12-20', '2022-12-21', '2022-12-22', '2022-12-23', '2022-12-24', '2022-12-25', '2022-12-26', '2022-12-27', '2022-12-28', '2022-12-29', '2022-12-30', '2022-12-31', '2023-01-01', '2023-01-02', '2023-01-03', '2023-01-04', '2023-01-05', '2023-01-06', '2023-01-07', '2023-01-08', '2023-01-09', '2023-01-10', '2023-01-11', '2023-01-12', '2023-01-13', '2023-01-14', '2023-01-15', '2023-01-16', '2023-01-17', '2023-01-18', '2023-01-19', '2023-01-20', '2023-01-21', '2023-01-22', '2023-01-23', '2023-01-24', '2023-01-25', '2023-01-26', '2023-01-27', '2023-01-28', '2023-01-29', '2023-01-30', '2023-01-31', '2023-02-01', '2023-02-02', '2023-02-03', '2023-02-04', '2023-02-05'], dtype='<U10') - days_2023_24(days_2023_24)<U10'2023-10-02' ... '2024-02-04'
array(['2023-10-02', '2023-10-03', '2023-10-04', '2023-10-05', '2023-10-06', '2023-10-07', '2023-10-08', '2023-10-09', '2023-10-10', '2023-10-11', '2023-10-12', '2023-10-13', '2023-10-14', '2023-10-15', '2023-10-16', '2023-10-17', '2023-10-18', '2023-10-19', '2023-10-20', '2023-10-21', '2023-10-22', '2023-10-23', '2023-10-24', '2023-10-25', '2023-10-26', '2023-10-27', '2023-10-28', '2023-10-29', '2023-10-30', '2023-10-31', '2023-11-01', '2023-11-02', '2023-11-03', '2023-11-04', '2023-11-05', '2023-11-06', '2023-11-07', '2023-11-08', '2023-11-09', '2023-11-10', '2023-11-11', '2023-11-12', '2023-11-13', '2023-11-14', '2023-11-15', '2023-11-16', '2023-11-17', '2023-11-18', '2023-11-19', '2023-11-20', '2023-11-21', '2023-11-22', '2023-11-23', '2023-11-24', '2023-11-25', '2023-11-26', '2023-11-27', '2023-11-28', '2023-11-29', '2023-11-30', '2023-12-01', '2023-12-02', '2023-12-03', '2023-12-04', '2023-12-05', '2023-12-06', '2023-12-07', '2023-12-08', '2023-12-09', '2023-12-10', '2023-12-11', '2023-12-12', '2023-12-13', '2023-12-14', '2023-12-15', '2023-12-16', '2023-12-17', '2023-12-18', '2023-12-19', '2023-12-20', '2023-12-21', '2023-12-22', '2023-12-23', '2023-12-24', '2023-12-25', '2023-12-26', '2023-12-27', '2023-12-28', '2023-12-29', '2023-12-30', '2023-12-31', '2024-01-01', '2024-01-02', '2024-01-03', '2024-01-04', '2024-01-05', '2024-01-06', '2024-01-07', '2024-01-08', '2024-01-09', '2024-01-10', '2024-01-11', '2024-01-12', '2024-01-13', '2024-01-14', '2024-01-15', '2024-01-16', '2024-01-17', '2024-01-18', '2024-01-19', '2024-01-20', '2024-01-21', '2024-01-22', '2024-01-23', '2024-01-24', '2024-01-25', '2024-01-26', '2024-01-27', '2024-01-28', '2024-01-29', '2024-01-30', '2024-01-31', '2024-02-01', '2024-02-02', '2024-02-03', '2024-02-04'], dtype='<U10') - days_2024_25(days_2024_25)<U10'2024-10-07' ... '2025-02-02'
array(['2024-10-07', '2024-10-08', '2024-10-09', '2024-10-10', '2024-10-11', '2024-10-12', '2024-10-13', '2024-10-14', '2024-10-15', '2024-10-16', '2024-10-17', '2024-10-18', '2024-10-19', '2024-10-20', '2024-10-21', '2024-10-22', '2024-10-23', '2024-10-24', '2024-10-25', '2024-10-26', '2024-10-27', '2024-10-28', '2024-10-29', '2024-10-30', '2024-10-31', '2024-11-01', '2024-11-02', '2024-11-03', '2024-11-04', '2024-11-05', '2024-11-06', '2024-11-07', '2024-11-08', '2024-11-09', '2024-11-10', '2024-11-11', '2024-11-12', '2024-11-13', '2024-11-14', '2024-11-15', '2024-11-16', '2024-11-17', '2024-11-18', '2024-11-19', '2024-11-20', '2024-11-21', '2024-11-22', '2024-11-23', '2024-11-24', '2024-11-25', '2024-11-26', '2024-11-27', '2024-11-28', '2024-11-29', '2024-11-30', '2024-12-01', '2024-12-02', '2024-12-03', '2024-12-04', '2024-12-05', '2024-12-06', '2024-12-07', '2024-12-08', '2024-12-09', '2024-12-10', '2024-12-11', '2024-12-12', '2024-12-13', '2024-12-14', '2024-12-15', '2024-12-16', '2024-12-17', '2024-12-18', '2024-12-19', '2024-12-20', '2024-12-21', '2024-12-22', '2024-12-23', '2024-12-24', '2024-12-25', '2024-12-26', '2024-12-27', '2024-12-28', '2024-12-29', '2024-12-30', '2024-12-31', '2025-01-01', '2025-01-02', '2025-01-03', '2025-01-04', '2025-01-05', '2025-01-06', '2025-01-07', '2025-01-08', '2025-01-09', '2025-01-10', '2025-01-11', '2025-01-12', '2025-01-13', '2025-01-14', '2025-01-15', '2025-01-16', '2025-01-17', '2025-01-18', '2025-01-19', '2025-01-20', '2025-01-21', '2025-01-22', '2025-01-23', '2025-01-24', '2025-01-25', '2025-01-26', '2025-01-27', '2025-01-28', '2025-01-29', '2025-01-30', '2025-01-31', '2025-02-01', '2025-02-02'], dtype='<U10') - age_categories_short(age_categories_short)<U7'adult' 'elderly'
array(['adult', 'elderly'], dtype='<U7')
- observation(observation)<U41'2022/23|2022-10-03|2022-10-09|a...
array(['2022/23|2022-10-03|2022-10-09|age=youth', '2022/23|2022-10-03|2022-10-09|age=adult', '2022/23|2022-10-03|2022-10-09|age=elderly', '2022/23|2022-10-10|2022-10-16|age=youth', '2022/23|2022-10-10|2022-10-16|age=adult', '2022/23|2022-10-10|2022-10-16|age=elderly', '2022/23|2022-10-17|2022-10-23|age=youth', '2022/23|2022-10-17|2022-10-23|age=adult', '2022/23|2022-10-17|2022-10-23|age=elderly', '2022/23|2022-10-24|2022-10-30|age=youth', '2022/23|2022-10-24|2022-10-30|age=adult', '2022/23|2022-10-24|2022-10-30|age=elderly', '2022/23|2022-10-31|2022-11-06|age=youth', '2022/23|2022-10-31|2022-11-06|age=adult', '2022/23|2022-10-31|2022-11-06|age=elderly', '2022/23|2022-11-07|2022-11-13|age=youth', '2022/23|2022-11-07|2022-11-13|age=adult', '2022/23|2022-11-07|2022-11-13|age=elderly', '2022/23|2022-11-14|2022-11-20|age=youth', '2022/23|2022-11-14|2022-11-20|age=adult', '2022/23|2022-11-14|2022-11-20|age=elderly', '2022/23|2022-11-21|2022-11-27|age=youth', '2022/23|2022-11-21|2022-11-27|age=adult', '2022/23|2022-11-21|2022-11-27|age=elderly', '2022/23|2022-11-28|2022-12-04|age=youth', '2022/23|2022-11-28|2022-12-04|age=adult', '2022/23|2022-11-28|2022-12-04|age=elderly', '2022/23|2022-12-05|2022-12-11|age=youth', '2022/23|2022-12-05|2022-12-11|age=adult', '2022/23|2022-12-05|2022-12-11|age=elderly', '2022/23|2022-12-12|2022-12-18|age=youth', '2022/23|2022-12-12|2022-12-18|age=adult', '2022/23|2022-12-12|2022-12-18|age=elderly', '2022/23|2022-12-19|2022-12-25|age=youth', '2022/23|2022-12-19|2022-12-25|age=adult', '2022/23|2022-12-19|2022-12-25|age=elderly', '2022/23|2022-12-26|2023-01-01|age=youth', '2022/23|2022-12-26|2023-01-01|age=adult', '2022/23|2022-12-26|2023-01-01|age=elderly', '2022/23|2023-01-02|2023-01-08|age=youth', '2022/23|2023-01-02|2023-01-08|age=adult', '2022/23|2023-01-02|2023-01-08|age=elderly', '2022/23|2023-01-09|2023-01-15|age=youth', '2022/23|2023-01-09|2023-01-15|age=adult', '2022/23|2023-01-09|2023-01-15|age=elderly', '2022/23|2023-01-16|2023-01-22|age=youth', '2022/23|2023-01-16|2023-01-22|age=adult', '2022/23|2023-01-16|2023-01-22|age=elderly', '2022/23|2023-01-23|2023-01-29|age=youth', '2022/23|2023-01-23|2023-01-29|age=adult', '2022/23|2023-01-23|2023-01-29|age=elderly', '2022/23|2023-01-30|2023-02-05|age=youth', '2022/23|2023-01-30|2023-02-05|age=adult', '2022/23|2023-01-30|2023-02-05|age=elderly', '2023/24|2023-10-02|2023-10-08|age=youth', '2023/24|2023-10-02|2023-10-08|age=adult', '2023/24|2023-10-02|2023-10-08|age=elderly', '2023/24|2023-10-09|2023-10-15|age=youth', '2023/24|2023-10-09|2023-10-15|age=adult', '2023/24|2023-10-09|2023-10-15|age=elderly', '2023/24|2023-10-16|2023-10-22|age=youth', '2023/24|2023-10-16|2023-10-22|age=adult', '2023/24|2023-10-16|2023-10-22|age=elderly', '2023/24|2023-10-23|2023-10-29|age=youth', '2023/24|2023-10-23|2023-10-29|age=adult', '2023/24|2023-10-23|2023-10-29|age=elderly', '2023/24|2023-10-30|2023-11-05|age=youth', '2023/24|2023-10-30|2023-11-05|age=adult', '2023/24|2023-10-30|2023-11-05|age=elderly', '2023/24|2023-11-06|2023-11-12|age=youth', '2023/24|2023-11-06|2023-11-12|age=adult', '2023/24|2023-11-06|2023-11-12|age=elderly', '2023/24|2023-11-13|2023-11-19|age=youth', '2023/24|2023-11-13|2023-11-19|age=adult', '2023/24|2023-11-13|2023-11-19|age=elderly', '2023/24|2023-11-20|2023-11-26|age=youth', '2023/24|2023-11-20|2023-11-26|age=adult', '2023/24|2023-11-20|2023-11-26|age=elderly', '2023/24|2023-11-27|2023-12-03|age=youth', '2023/24|2023-11-27|2023-12-03|age=adult', '2023/24|2023-11-27|2023-12-03|age=elderly', '2023/24|2023-12-04|2023-12-10|age=youth', '2023/24|2023-12-04|2023-12-10|age=adult', '2023/24|2023-12-04|2023-12-10|age=elderly', '2023/24|2023-12-11|2023-12-17|age=youth', '2023/24|2023-12-11|2023-12-17|age=adult', '2023/24|2023-12-11|2023-12-17|age=elderly', '2023/24|2023-12-18|2023-12-24|age=youth', '2023/24|2023-12-18|2023-12-24|age=adult', '2023/24|2023-12-18|2023-12-24|age=elderly', '2023/24|2023-12-25|2023-12-31|age=youth', '2023/24|2023-12-25|2023-12-31|age=adult', '2023/24|2023-12-25|2023-12-31|age=elderly', '2023/24|2024-01-01|2024-01-07|age=youth', '2023/24|2024-01-01|2024-01-07|age=adult', '2023/24|2024-01-01|2024-01-07|age=elderly', '2023/24|2024-01-08|2024-01-14|age=youth', '2023/24|2024-01-08|2024-01-14|age=adult', '2023/24|2024-01-08|2024-01-14|age=elderly', '2023/24|2024-01-15|2024-01-21|age=youth', '2023/24|2024-01-15|2024-01-21|age=adult', '2023/24|2024-01-15|2024-01-21|age=elderly', '2023/24|2024-01-22|2024-01-28|age=youth', '2023/24|2024-01-22|2024-01-28|age=adult', '2023/24|2024-01-22|2024-01-28|age=elderly', '2023/24|2024-01-29|2024-02-04|age=youth', '2023/24|2024-01-29|2024-02-04|age=adult', '2023/24|2024-01-29|2024-02-04|age=elderly', '2024/25|2024-10-07|2024-10-13|age=youth', '2024/25|2024-10-07|2024-10-13|age=adult', '2024/25|2024-10-07|2024-10-13|age=elderly', '2024/25|2024-10-14|2024-10-20|age=youth', '2024/25|2024-10-14|2024-10-20|age=adult', '2024/25|2024-10-14|2024-10-20|age=elderly', '2024/25|2024-10-21|2024-10-27|age=youth', '2024/25|2024-10-21|2024-10-27|age=adult', '2024/25|2024-10-21|2024-10-27|age=elderly', '2024/25|2024-10-28|2024-11-03|age=youth', '2024/25|2024-10-28|2024-11-03|age=adult', '2024/25|2024-10-28|2024-11-03|age=elderly', '2024/25|2024-11-04|2024-11-10|age=youth', '2024/25|2024-11-04|2024-11-10|age=adult', '2024/25|2024-11-04|2024-11-10|age=elderly', '2024/25|2024-11-11|2024-11-17|age=youth', '2024/25|2024-11-11|2024-11-17|age=adult', '2024/25|2024-11-11|2024-11-17|age=elderly', '2024/25|2024-11-18|2024-11-24|age=youth', '2024/25|2024-11-18|2024-11-24|age=adult', '2024/25|2024-11-18|2024-11-24|age=elderly', '2024/25|2024-11-25|2024-12-01|age=youth', '2024/25|2024-11-25|2024-12-01|age=adult', '2024/25|2024-11-25|2024-12-01|age=elderly', '2024/25|2024-12-02|2024-12-08|age=youth', '2024/25|2024-12-02|2024-12-08|age=adult', '2024/25|2024-12-02|2024-12-08|age=elderly', '2024/25|2024-12-09|2024-12-15|age=youth', '2024/25|2024-12-09|2024-12-15|age=adult', '2024/25|2024-12-09|2024-12-15|age=elderly', '2024/25|2024-12-16|2024-12-22|age=youth', '2024/25|2024-12-16|2024-12-22|age=adult', '2024/25|2024-12-16|2024-12-22|age=elderly', '2024/25|2024-12-23|2024-12-29|age=youth', '2024/25|2024-12-23|2024-12-29|age=adult', '2024/25|2024-12-23|2024-12-29|age=elderly', '2024/25|2024-12-30|2025-01-05|age=youth', '2024/25|2024-12-30|2025-01-05|age=adult', '2024/25|2024-12-30|2025-01-05|age=elderly', '2024/25|2025-01-06|2025-01-12|age=youth', '2024/25|2025-01-06|2025-01-12|age=adult', '2024/25|2025-01-06|2025-01-12|age=elderly', '2024/25|2025-01-13|2025-01-19|age=youth', '2024/25|2025-01-13|2025-01-19|age=adult', '2024/25|2025-01-13|2025-01-19|age=elderly', '2024/25|2025-01-20|2025-01-26|age=youth', '2024/25|2025-01-20|2025-01-26|age=adult', '2024/25|2025-01-20|2025-01-26|age=elderly', '2024/25|2025-01-27|2025-02-02|age=youth', '2024/25|2025-01-27|2025-02-02|age=adult', '2024/25|2025-01-27|2025-02-02|age=elderly'], dtype='<U41')
- covariate_values_m_age(chain, draw, season, age_categories)float320.0 0.9986 1.823 ... 0.0 1.054 1.78
array([[[[0. , 0.99861133, 1.8229351 ], [0. , 1.1094599 , 1.7579372 ], [0. , 0.91567564, 1.725268 ]], [[0. , 1.0023465 , 1.8434275 ], [0. , 1.0690768 , 1.7143362 ], [0. , 1.0340573 , 1.6711742 ]], [[0. , 1.0275073 , 1.8066318 ], [0. , 1.1037 , 1.7602806 ], [0. , 0.99131453, 1.788857 ]], ..., [[0. , 1.0205381 , 1.8980938 ], [0. , 1.0696278 , 1.7975047 ], [0. , 1.1110352 , 1.8356688 ]], [[0. , 1.0265317 , 1.8532315 ], [0. , 1.0787299 , 1.7816379 ], ... [0. , 1.0933825 , 1.8065516 ], [0. , 1.0964003 , 1.9466888 ]], [[0. , 1.0189859 , 1.8666136 ], [0. , 1.069355 , 1.715876 ], [0. , 1.0342908 , 1.7441239 ]], ..., [[0. , 1.0298107 , 1.7433192 ], [0. , 1.0824817 , 1.7663062 ], [0. , 1.0238543 , 1.7374235 ]], [[0. , 1.026184 , 1.8956089 ], [0. , 1.0993325 , 1.7403722 ], [0. , 1.0666238 , 1.7878817 ]], [[0. , 1.0282967 , 1.8728651 ], [0. , 1.0900445 , 1.7378128 ], [0. , 1.0541366 , 1.7797279 ]]]], dtype=float32) - covariate_values_m_season(chain, draw, season)float32-0.5305 -0.6423 ... -0.6338 -0.3807
array([[[-0.53047806, -0.64232796, -0.3471251 ], [-0.5206302 , -0.64937264, -0.36551067], [-0.5586223 , -0.6554413 , -0.37713006], ..., [-0.5101337 , -0.67039645, -0.33725333], [-0.4973612 , -0.6560382 , -0.33580887], [-0.52376056, -0.64057827, -0.392199 ]], [[-0.5493209 , -0.639344 , -0.3620766 ], [-0.5250664 , -0.6468523 , -0.3236094 ], [-0.545047 , -0.6395854 , -0.42267227], ..., [-0.5705206 , -0.64167863, -0.34444496], [-0.55207324, -0.63495487, -0.35983986], [-0.55752796, -0.6374335 , -0.33863533]], [[-0.5157679 , -0.5945049 , -0.37372676], [-0.59134936, -0.61365545, -0.38309395], [-0.5316243 , -0.6136854 , -0.3958768 ], ..., [-0.56229794, -0.6569814 , -0.3304211 ], [-0.57141656, -0.6400874 , -0.31603196], [-0.54851204, -0.64846647, -0.35688937]], [[-0.53612924, -0.61648643, -0.35124767], [-0.52154666, -0.6424455 , -0.34031683], [-0.55258894, -0.6253142 , -0.34366104], ..., [-0.5548034 , -0.6424006 , -0.3521671 ], [-0.5445817 , -0.6253968 , -0.3880428 ], [-0.52563256, -0.63377565, -0.38068974]]], dtype=float32) - covariate_values_r_season(chain, draw, season)float32-3.192 -3.092 ... -3.1 -3.306
array([[[-3.1921656, -3.0916054, -3.2775383], [-3.1885662, -3.0821452, -3.2872903], [-3.1749265, -3.0935264, -3.2866626], ..., [-3.2040431, -3.0934196, -3.3107615], [-3.2097337, -3.092012 , -3.3153791], [-3.1991606, -3.0901859, -3.3141606]], [[-3.1907425, -3.0940433, -3.303792 ], [-3.1939626, -3.092792 , -3.3046143], [-3.1886454, -3.0849488, -3.2856984], ..., [-3.1707819, -3.063707 , -3.292959 ], [-3.1887007, -3.0752068, -3.2996716], [-3.1888216, -3.0840645, -3.288109 ]], [[-3.186049 , -3.0835624, -3.285512 ], [-3.1786227, -3.1029212, -3.2826397], [-3.1805954, -3.0986342, -3.2792706], ..., [-3.1801667, -3.0879805, -3.323565 ], [-3.1829815, -3.0792265, -3.3262198], [-3.1969905, -3.0824437, -3.3033402]], [[-3.1942437, -3.0771933, -3.268778 ], [-3.1962585, -3.095052 , -3.3388143], [-3.192167 , -3.075635 , -3.287022 ], ..., [-3.177706 , -3.093915 , -3.304794 ], [-3.2023835, -3.0976734, -3.3047128], [-3.205019 , -3.0999234, -3.3058085]]], dtype=float32) - covariate_values_s_season(chain, draw, season)float3239.81 41.92 41.19 ... 41.73 40.87
array([[[39.805546, 41.91523 , 41.18753 ], [40.202858, 41.715145, 41.15166 ], [39.895542, 41.79713 , 41.050137], ..., [39.94468 , 41.237236, 40.9953 ], [39.964466, 41.30212 , 41.085106], [40.107815, 42.32175 , 41.09227 ]], [[39.68019 , 42.25001 , 40.853333], [39.28548 , 42.16407 , 40.590942], [40.511932, 41.86665 , 40.824795], ..., [39.822887, 42.01682 , 40.11026 ], [39.815445, 41.805737, 40.160557], [40.104855, 41.973362, 40.32652 ]], [[40.082012, 41.835457, 40.68511 ], [40.204754, 41.755905, 41.946316], [39.892727, 41.382004, 41.04773 ], ..., [40.66157 , 41.66754 , 40.28737 ], [39.975204, 41.870758, 40.50013 ], [40.146324, 41.766373, 40.894386]], [[40.161083, 42.190807, 41.727753], [39.8784 , 41.302322, 40.33105 ], [39.639874, 42.44664 , 40.839237], ..., [40.078964, 41.77399 , 40.98635 ], [39.921 , 41.78881 , 40.751297], [39.832256, 41.726143, 40.865074]]], dtype=float32) - incidence_2022_23_age_adult(chain, draw, date_ranges_2022_23)float320.02618 0.04149 ... 0.03992 0.04367
array([[[0.02618351, 0.04149178, 0.0310396 , ..., 0.03795544, 0.0398125 , 0.04364049], [0.02604865, 0.0420056 , 0.0309597 , ..., 0.0384835 , 0.03992708, 0.04409616], [0.02613828, 0.0421722 , 0.03115748, ..., 0.03848124, 0.04032279, 0.04440989], ..., [0.02649776, 0.04178382, 0.03131928, ..., 0.03832732, 0.04000589, 0.04386249], [0.02666198, 0.04187476, 0.03146372, ..., 0.03845082, 0.04009455, 0.0439294 ], [0.02599541, 0.04139902, 0.03078835, ..., 0.03797593, 0.0394756 , 0.04343908]], [[0.02589307, 0.04089398, 0.03069349, ..., 0.03737453, 0.03934734, 0.04304856], [0.02692794, 0.04181375, 0.03184152, ..., 0.03815694, 0.04060564, 0.04410087], [0.0257095 , 0.04192302, 0.03059168, ..., 0.03847225, 0.03956664, 0.04393101], ... [0.02576257, 0.04256225, 0.03075107, ..., 0.03903561, 0.03999141, 0.04459693], [0.02609626, 0.04193586, 0.03104127, ..., 0.03833597, 0.04005034, 0.04410479], [0.02589735, 0.04137583, 0.0306963 , ..., 0.03794867, 0.0394112 , 0.04341424]], [[0.02596843, 0.0416089 , 0.0308073 , ..., 0.03814792, 0.03960961, 0.04366651], [0.02642364, 0.04183895, 0.03129513, ..., 0.03831447, 0.04009241, 0.04396974], [0.02627947, 0.04139467, 0.03113359, ..., 0.03783337, 0.03987007, 0.04357936], ..., [0.0260703 , 0.04224783, 0.03107231, ..., 0.03860771, 0.040231 , 0.04442925], [0.02622864, 0.04138169, 0.03101343, ..., 0.03794327, 0.03963634, 0.043453 ], [0.02649568, 0.04158115, 0.0312947 , ..., 0.03812533, 0.03991504, 0.04367292]]], dtype=float32) - incidence_2022_23_age_elderly(chain, draw, date_ranges_2022_23)float320.03341 0.05294 ... 0.05084 0.05563
array([[[0.03340577, 0.05293657, 0.03960134, ..., 0.04842479, 0.05079408, 0.05567796], [0.0332753 , 0.05365917, 0.03954882, ..., 0.04915994, 0.05100401, 0.05632972], [0.03301515, 0.05326752, 0.03935488, ..., 0.04860549, 0.05093154, 0.05609393], ..., [0.03393379, 0.05350957, 0.04010836, ..., 0.04908306, 0.05123269, 0.05617156], [0.03368658, 0.05290744, 0.03975342, ..., 0.0485814 , 0.05065821, 0.05550343], [0.03331305, 0.05305275, 0.03945519, ..., 0.04866607, 0.05058788, 0.05566707]], [[0.03338972, 0.05273373, 0.03957997, ..., 0.04819534, 0.0507393 , 0.05551212], [0.03369403, 0.05232015, 0.03984223, ..., 0.0477445 , 0.05080849, 0.05518194], [0.03275513, 0.05341192, 0.03897525, ..., 0.04901548, 0.05040977, 0.0559702 ], ... [0.03243617, 0.05358767, 0.0387169 , ..., 0.04914749, 0.05035087, 0.05614942], [0.03283713, 0.05276822, 0.03905948, ..., 0.04823845, 0.05039565, 0.0554974 ], [0.0329545 , 0.05265094, 0.03906118, ..., 0.04828985, 0.05015093, 0.05524481]], [[0.03288275, 0.05268763, 0.03901 , ..., 0.04830513, 0.050156 , 0.05529309], [0.03380861, 0.05353224, 0.0400416 , ..., 0.04902273, 0.05129757, 0.05625855], [0.03370558, 0.05309206, 0.03993138, ..., 0.04852439, 0.05113663, 0.0558941 ], ..., [0.03240882, 0.05251962, 0.03862698, ..., 0.04799447, 0.05001243, 0.05523141], [0.03370403, 0.05317584, 0.03985253, ..., 0.04875743, 0.05093305, 0.05583748], [0.03374981, 0.05296545, 0.03986273, ..., 0.04856348, 0.05084319, 0.05562992]]], dtype=float32) - incidence_2022_23_age_youth(chain, draw, date_ranges_2022_23)float320.01577 0.02499 ... 0.0238 0.02604
array([[[0.01577143, 0.02499225, 0.01869646, ..., 0.02286217, 0.02398075, 0.02628651], [0.01570559, 0.02532656, 0.01866663, ..., 0.02320297, 0.02407335, 0.02658703], [0.01546177, 0.02494643, 0.01843081, ..., 0.02276309, 0.02385243, 0.0262701 ], ..., [0.01590805, 0.0250851 , 0.01880266, ..., 0.02300997, 0.02401771, 0.02633304], [0.01602207, 0.02516393, 0.01890759, ..., 0.02310637, 0.02409415, 0.02639864], [0.01570977, 0.02501861, 0.01860628, ..., 0.02294995, 0.02385623, 0.02625147]], [[0.01563687, 0.02469594, 0.01853584, ..., 0.02257054, 0.02376192, 0.02599709], [0.01603911, 0.02490556, 0.01896579, ..., 0.02272745, 0.02418597, 0.02626784], [0.01533917, 0.02501271, 0.01825205, ..., 0.02295387, 0.02360681, 0.02621075], ... [0.01510982, 0.02496287, 0.01803559, ..., 0.0228945 , 0.02345507, 0.02615622], [0.01530215, 0.02459007, 0.01820177, ..., 0.02247919, 0.02348445, 0.02586187], [0.01545195, 0.02468736, 0.01831529, ..., 0.0226425 , 0.02351514, 0.0259036 ]], [[0.0155686 , 0.02494538, 0.0184696 , ..., 0.02287045, 0.02374676, 0.02617896], [0.01582754, 0.02506118, 0.01874552, ..., 0.02295004, 0.02401501, 0.0263375 ], [0.01561996, 0.02460412, 0.01850515, ..., 0.02248735, 0.02369792, 0.02590265], ..., [0.01542272, 0.02499306, 0.01838182, ..., 0.02283963, 0.02379994, 0.02628355], [0.01557792, 0.02457774, 0.01841974, ..., 0.02253557, 0.02354113, 0.02580795], [0.01579897, 0.0247942 , 0.01866055, ..., 0.02273355, 0.02380073, 0.02604149]]], dtype=float32) - incidence_2023_24_age_adult(chain, draw, date_ranges_2023_24)float320.0308 0.04155 ... 0.02446 0.04158
array([[[0.03079859, 0.04154561, 0.04838749, ..., 0.03602427, 0.02437143, 0.04213883], [0.03010291, 0.0411919 , 0.04797923, ..., 0.0356695 , 0.02402168, 0.04150112], [0.03046656, 0.04127291, 0.04796677, ..., 0.0358301 , 0.02429671, 0.04169224], ..., [0.02942201, 0.04087089, 0.04714485, ..., 0.03559475, 0.0242572 , 0.04050707], [0.02975712, 0.04125094, 0.04764357, ..., 0.03589924, 0.02442761, 0.04097338], [0.03155336, 0.04182227, 0.04899709, ..., 0.03616636, 0.02435629, 0.04301552]], [[0.03088744, 0.04099127, 0.04792129, ..., 0.03549868, 0.02398381, 0.04204955], [0.03045608, 0.04060117, 0.04742869, ..., 0.03516635, 0.02375739, 0.04153014], [0.0306196 , 0.04154554, 0.04845108, ..., 0.03597084, 0.02423734, 0.0420756 ], ... [0.0299125 , 0.0408851 , 0.04750971, ..., 0.03546833, 0.02399041, 0.04112129], [0.03073749, 0.04182973, 0.04886882, ..., 0.03616066, 0.02427013, 0.04237535], [0.03089163, 0.04216527, 0.04914311, ..., 0.03650436, 0.02457748, 0.04255729]], [[0.03035297, 0.04074673, 0.04784327, ..., 0.03513932, 0.02348405, 0.04174642], [0.03007818, 0.0416212 , 0.04803065, ..., 0.03624974, 0.02471561, 0.04134303], [0.03104923, 0.04122414, 0.04859823, ..., 0.03548298, 0.0236341 , 0.04262045], ..., [0.03034837, 0.04114661, 0.04779977, ..., 0.03572882, 0.0242393 , 0.04153167], [0.03074509, 0.04157134, 0.04825022, ..., 0.03612992, 0.02456931, 0.04197859], [0.03047395, 0.0412686 , 0.0478281 , ..., 0.0359005 , 0.02446317, 0.04158348]]], dtype=float32) - incidence_2023_24_age_elderly(chain, draw, date_ranges_2023_24)float320.03774 0.0509 ... 0.03001 0.05102
array([[[0.03773629, 0.0509042 , 0.05928728, ..., 0.04413912, 0.02986136, 0.05163105], [0.03709846, 0.05076439, 0.05912901, ..., 0.04395865, 0.02960402, 0.05114546], [0.03750326, 0.0508055 , 0.0590454 , ..., 0.04410559, 0.0299084 , 0.05132168], ..., [0.03713029, 0.05157865, 0.05949633, ..., 0.04492022, 0.03061234, 0.05111952], [0.03718985, 0.05155459, 0.05954397, ..., 0.04486615, 0.03052913, 0.0512077 ], [0.03807845, 0.05047093, 0.05912947, ..., 0.0436454 , 0.02939307, 0.05191093]], [[0.03846284, 0.05104472, 0.05967438, ..., 0.04420503, 0.02986603, 0.05236255], [0.03840904, 0.0512033 , 0.05981369, ..., 0.0443493 , 0.02996113, 0.05237486], [0.03723038, 0.05051525, 0.05891169, ..., 0.04373696, 0.02947018, 0.05115974], ... [0.03763685, 0.05144293, 0.05977822, ..., 0.04462737, 0.03018549, 0.0517401 ], [0.03776518, 0.05139351, 0.06004198, ..., 0.04442829, 0.02981915, 0.05206387], [0.0378267 , 0.05163123, 0.06017557, ..., 0.04469947, 0.03009505, 0.05211126]], [[0.03802598, 0.05104721, 0.05993772, ..., 0.04402229, 0.02942066, 0.05229961], [0.03752389, 0.05192433, 0.05992041, ..., 0.0452232 , 0.03083383, 0.0515773 ], [0.03814698, 0.05064785, 0.05970764, ..., 0.04359427, 0.02903678, 0.05236335], ..., [0.03765429, 0.05105206, 0.05930685, ..., 0.04433002, 0.03007456, 0.05152981], [0.03756645, 0.05079471, 0.05895541, ..., 0.044146 , 0.03002046, 0.05129231], [0.03738824, 0.05063212, 0.05867992, ..., 0.04404604, 0.03001366, 0.05101844]]], dtype=float32) - incidence_2023_24_age_youth(chain, draw, date_ranges_2023_24)float320.01727 0.0233 ... 0.01385 0.02355
array([[[0.01727155, 0.02329838, 0.02713524, ..., 0.02020207, 0.01366727, 0.02363106], [0.01711804, 0.0234238 , 0.02728342, ..., 0.02028349, 0.01365995, 0.02359964], [0.01706319, 0.02311542, 0.0268644 , ..., 0.0200671 , 0.01360768, 0.02335027], ..., [0.01663592, 0.02310939, 0.02665684, ..., 0.02012613, 0.01371561, 0.02290368], [0.01682747, 0.02332715, 0.02694214, ..., 0.0203008 , 0.01381366, 0.02317019], [0.01748902, 0.02318075, 0.02715752, ..., 0.02004586, 0.01349992, 0.02384213]], [[0.01745797, 0.02316879, 0.02708572, ..., 0.02006431, 0.01355595, 0.02376694], [0.01733514, 0.02310957, 0.02699569, ..., 0.02001616, 0.01352235, 0.02363833], [0.01729532, 0.02346678, 0.02736733, ..., 0.02031794, 0.01369033, 0.02376618], ... [0.01699757, 0.02323267, 0.02699706, ..., 0.02015463, 0.01363238, 0.02336689], [0.01730435, 0.02354897, 0.02751178, ..., 0.02035745, 0.01366341, 0.02385614], [0.01715227, 0.02341184, 0.02728622, ..., 0.02026868, 0.0136464 , 0.02362951]], [[0.01773613, 0.02380951, 0.02795623, ..., 0.02053293, 0.01372242, 0.02439365], [0.01697236, 0.02348579, 0.02710248, ..., 0.02045481, 0.01394639, 0.02332882], [0.01776521, 0.02358691, 0.0278061 , ..., 0.02030203, 0.01352255, 0.02438583], ..., [0.01719806, 0.02331729, 0.02708755, ..., 0.0202471 , 0.01373612, 0.0235355 ], [0.01738779, 0.02351055, 0.02728777, ..., 0.02043317, 0.0138951 , 0.02374087], [0.01725772, 0.02337085, 0.02708556, ..., 0.02033083, 0.01385375, 0.02354917]]], dtype=float32) - incidence_2024_25_age_adult(chain, draw, date_ranges_2024_25)float320.01449 0.04039 ... 0.01233 0.02234
array([[[0.01448823, 0.04038815, 0.02610247, ..., 0.04193284, 0.01163569, 0.02160555], [0.01510714, 0.04144403, 0.02702273, ..., 0.04301312, 0.01216936, 0.02239685], [0.01477379, 0.04066664, 0.02658438, ..., 0.04224955, 0.01189663, 0.02192043], ..., [0.01584833, 0.04193378, 0.02796823, ..., 0.04351056, 0.01285637, 0.02317968], [0.01588535, 0.04163 , 0.02778936, ..., 0.04314557, 0.01290634, 0.0231615 ], [0.01567353, 0.04115109, 0.027439 , ..., 0.04265013, 0.01272965, 0.02286851]], [[0.01531388, 0.04112282, 0.02739811, ..., 0.04274745, 0.01239359, 0.02250494], [0.01527927, 0.04121001, 0.02768601, ..., 0.04293994, 0.01236378, 0.02246727], [0.01504422, 0.04169173, 0.02742105, ..., 0.04341199, 0.01210656, 0.02235601], ... [0.01555797, 0.04092172, 0.02811355, ..., 0.04269084, 0.01265643, 0.02264836], [0.01551546, 0.04044874, 0.02767236, ..., 0.04210829, 0.01263598, 0.02253189], [0.01532217, 0.0411391 , 0.02736656, ..., 0.04274949, 0.01239935, 0.02251941]], [[0.01493351, 0.04174251, 0.02634 , ..., 0.04313402, 0.01197004, 0.02233965], [0.01577943, 0.04044672, 0.02804562, ..., 0.04212632, 0.01289617, 0.02276325], [0.01507388, 0.04166495, 0.02741938, ..., 0.0433735 , 0.01213572, 0.02238052], ..., [0.01525567, 0.04077776, 0.0270826 , ..., 0.04233315, 0.01235279, 0.02239353], [0.01518497, 0.04080502, 0.02728685, ..., 0.04245433, 0.01229084, 0.02231254], [0.01522224, 0.04072791, 0.0271666 , ..., 0.04232581, 0.01232729, 0.02234208]]], dtype=float32) - incidence_2024_25_age_elderly(chain, draw, date_ranges_2024_25)float320.01813 0.05053 ... 0.01493 0.02706
array([[[0.01812519, 0.05052673, 0.03265494, ..., 0.05245918, 0.01455658, 0.02702917], [0.01797716, 0.04931748, 0.03215645, ..., 0.05118465, 0.01448126, 0.02665175], [0.01830603, 0.05038958, 0.03294042, ..., 0.05235095, 0.01474098, 0.02716136], ..., [0.01892842, 0.05008351, 0.0334038 , ..., 0.05196674, 0.01535497, 0.02768459], [0.01903223, 0.04987686, 0.03329441, ..., 0.05169268, 0.01546307, 0.02774978], [0.01890385, 0.04963233, 0.03309418, ..., 0.05144032, 0.01535324, 0.02758172]], [[0.0185692 , 0.04986442, 0.0332222 , ..., 0.0518344 , 0.01502814, 0.02728888], [0.0185292 , 0.04997548, 0.03357488, ..., 0.05207336, 0.01499358, 0.02724611], [0.01821282, 0.05047282, 0.03319645, ..., 0.0525554 , 0.01465644, 0.02706462], ... [0.01876046, 0.04934515, 0.03390052, ..., 0.05147843, 0.01526166, 0.02731036], [0.01903923, 0.04963521, 0.03395713, ..., 0.05167167, 0.01550579, 0.02764919], [0.01844026, 0.04951097, 0.0329357 , ..., 0.05144909, 0.01492264, 0.02710215]], [[0.01797306, 0.05023874, 0.03170121, ..., 0.05191347, 0.0144064 , 0.02688663], [0.01931336, 0.04950511, 0.03432667, ..., 0.05156086, 0.01578438, 0.02786127], [0.01815494, 0.05018115, 0.03302382, ..., 0.05223891, 0.01461623, 0.02695503], ..., [0.01843534, 0.0492769 , 0.03272731, ..., 0.05115648, 0.01492744, 0.02706092], [0.01836049, 0.04933827, 0.03299314, ..., 0.05133248, 0.01486112, 0.0269786 ], [0.01843452, 0.04932253, 0.03289945, ..., 0.05125762, 0.01492867, 0.02705682]]], dtype=float32) - incidence_2024_25_age_youth(chain, draw, date_ranges_2024_25)float320.009397 0.0262 ... 0.007556 0.0137
array([[[0.00939695, 0.02619543, 0.01692985, ..., 0.02719731, 0.00754681, 0.01401319], [0.00935948, 0.02567625, 0.01674167, ..., 0.02664836, 0.00753941, 0.01387575], [0.0092623 , 0.02549562, 0.01666686, ..., 0.02648801, 0.00745849, 0.01374284], ..., [0.00964503, 0.02552019, 0.01702099, ..., 0.0264798 , 0.00782417, 0.01410676], [0.00971125, 0.02544981, 0.01698857, ..., 0.02637633, 0.00789007, 0.0141594 ], [0.00938707, 0.02464589, 0.01643355, ..., 0.02554368, 0.00762395, 0.01369623]], [[0.00941647, 0.02528633, 0.01684703, ..., 0.02628531, 0.00762079, 0.01383824], [0.00956267, 0.02579167, 0.01732754, ..., 0.02687435, 0.00773798, 0.01406135], [0.00894507, 0.02478928, 0.01630414, ..., 0.02581212, 0.00719838, 0.01329255], ... [0.00957796, 0.02519265, 0.01730756, ..., 0.02628178, 0.00779168, 0.01394302], [0.00973618, 0.02538218, 0.01736481, ..., 0.02642358, 0.00792927, 0.01413909], [0.00945343, 0.02538188, 0.01688454, ..., 0.02637546, 0.00765012, 0.01389396]], [[0.00946237, 0.02644945, 0.01668991, ..., 0.02733116, 0.00758462, 0.01415515], [0.00963996, 0.0247097 , 0.01713362, ..., 0.0257358 , 0.00787853, 0.01390652], [0.00938957, 0.02595325, 0.01707963, ..., 0.02701751, 0.00755939, 0.01394091], ..., [0.00951593, 0.02543567, 0.01689313, ..., 0.02640587, 0.00770522, 0.01396826], [0.00925141, 0.02486038, 0.01662446, ..., 0.02586522, 0.00748817, 0.01359387], [0.00933092, 0.02496537, 0.01665257, ..., 0.02594484, 0.00755638, 0.01369523]]], dtype=float32) - m_2022_23_age_adult(chain, draw)float320.4681 0.4817 ... 0.4816 0.5027
array([[0.46813327, 0.48171633, 0.468885 , 0.49701697, 0.47570795, 0.45430303, 0.49440908, 0.49732363, 0.47774476, 0.48757505, 0.46326137, 0.45131767, 0.5144432 , 0.4658624 , 0.46757877, 0.5432113 , 0.5456882 , 0.51112205, 0.4911675 , 0.5087729 , 0.5114202 , 0.5498913 , 0.4465943 , 0.5407283 , 0.5613717 , 0.48793045, 0.50658655, 0.5123651 , 0.5277411 , 0.4971239 , 0.47250366, 0.50552034, 0.47720087, 0.5362133 , 0.5354959 , 0.4674868 , 0.49852562, 0.4442513 , 0.44360632, 0.44399905, 0.44399905, 0.44456697, 0.44456697, 0.44456697, 0.44456697, 0.44185865, 0.43927354, 0.43714702, 0.43714702, 0.43714702, 0.43889898, 0.43889898, 0.43889898, 0.43889898, 0.43889898, 0.44200993, 0.44200993, 0.44229144, 0.44229144, 0.44229144, 0.44029635, 0.44029635, 0.44029635, 0.44029635, 0.44029635, 0.44029635, 0.438074 , 0.438074 , 0.43975657, 0.43975657, 0.44160903, 0.44146568, 0.43895346, 0.44045866, 0.44096035, 0.44096035, 0.44191355, 0.44191355, 0.44191355, 0.44191355, 0.44290048, 0.44290048, 0.44290048, 0.44208604, 0.44208604, 0.44423622, 0.44423622, 0.44423622, 0.44423622, 0.44540435, 0.44540435, 0.44540435, 0.4403953 , 0.4403953 , 0.4403953 , 0.4403953 , 0.4403953 , 0.4403953 , 0.4403953 , 0.43833524, ... 0.4723837 , 0.5083051 , 0.4642222 , 0.4902479 , 0.5065442 , 0.48546207, 0.50138396, 0.46055263, 0.46229696, 0.5169158 , 0.4804967 , 0.5000284 , 0.46264207, 0.51242006, 0.47083572, 0.49591577, 0.4624086 , 0.46083355, 0.4670202 , 0.5372646 , 0.49738413, 0.5108914 , 0.47799134, 0.48220438, 0.48740405, 0.4692766 , 0.45571268, 0.50161505, 0.44182807, 0.5404432 , 0.47667074, 0.47903472, 0.45517832, 0.50052595, 0.51115274, 0.47291416, 0.48896217, 0.47833425, 0.49564856, 0.535125 , 0.4642622 , 0.48426962, 0.45487177, 0.4842949 , 0.47679377, 0.4627779 , 0.48949498, 0.46520048, 0.5034544 , 0.50173986, 0.46315712, 0.47720873, 0.46988314, 0.49644333, 0.50400627, 0.5297492 , 0.5453755 , 0.4674188 , 0.516378 , 0.4761278 , 0.46401888, 0.42878264, 0.4668973 , 0.481408 , 0.48996478, 0.4384532 , 0.50373596, 0.46442163, 0.4410934 , 0.512152 , 0.46508467, 0.50650823, 0.48530596, 0.5135158 , 0.42676133, 0.44763595, 0.42590904, 0.521305 , 0.4486887 , 0.49969625, 0.45784461, 0.50381887, 0.4931226 , 0.45788652, 0.42136443, 0.50756806, 0.45919222, 0.47738653, 0.47710592, 0.5001222 , 0.44381183, 0.49272656, 0.4750073 , 0.48160225, 0.50266415]], dtype=float32) - m_2022_23_age_adult_daily(chain, draw, days_2022_23)float320.4681 0.4681 ... 0.5027 0.5027
array([[[0.46813327, 0.46813327, 0.46813327, ..., 0.46813327, 0.46813327, 0.46813327], [0.48171633, 0.48171633, 0.48171633, ..., 0.48171633, 0.48171633, 0.48171633], [0.468885 , 0.468885 , 0.468885 , ..., 0.468885 , 0.468885 , 0.468885 ], ..., [0.5104044 , 0.5104044 , 0.5104044 , ..., 0.5104044 , 0.5104044 , 0.5104044 ], [0.5291705 , 0.5291705 , 0.5291705 , ..., 0.5291705 , 0.5291705 , 0.5291705 ], [0.47055453, 0.47055453, 0.47055453, ..., 0.47055453, 0.47055453, 0.47055453]], [[0.43092906, 0.43092906, 0.43092906, ..., 0.43092906, 0.43092906, 0.43092906], [0.5065228 , 0.5065228 , 0.5065228 , ..., 0.5065228 , 0.5065228 , 0.5065228 ], [0.46897477, 0.46897477, 0.46897477, ..., 0.46897477, 0.46897477, 0.46897477], ... [0.4850942 , 0.4850942 , 0.4850942 , ..., 0.4850942 , 0.4850942 , 0.4850942 ], [0.47047108, 0.47047108, 0.47047108, ..., 0.47047108, 0.47047108, 0.47047108], [0.46316522, 0.46316522, 0.46316522, ..., 0.46316522, 0.46316522, 0.46316522]], [[0.47108197, 0.47108197, 0.47108197, ..., 0.47108197, 0.47108197, 0.47108197], [0.49746305, 0.49746305, 0.49746305, ..., 0.49746305, 0.49746305, 0.49746305], [0.46639693, 0.46639693, 0.46639693, ..., 0.46639693, 0.46639693, 0.46639693], ..., [0.4750073 , 0.4750073 , 0.4750073 , ..., 0.4750073 , 0.4750073 , 0.4750073 ], [0.48160225, 0.48160225, 0.48160225, ..., 0.48160225, 0.48160225, 0.48160225], [0.50266415, 0.50266415, 0.50266415, ..., 0.50266415, 0.50266415, 0.50266415]]], dtype=float32) - m_2022_23_age_elderly(chain, draw)float321.292 1.323 1.248 ... 1.351 1.347
array([[1.2924571, 1.3227973, 1.2480094, 1.338814 , 1.2493851, 1.2638551, 1.3331133, 1.3159394, 1.3019588, 1.1948371, 1.2895029, 1.2714026, 1.2680862, 1.2910534, 1.2886668, 1.345952 , 1.3660614, 1.3266029, 1.2848392, 1.23543 , 1.2386332, 1.2852495, 1.2752898, 1.3296573, 1.3690336, 1.3210026, 1.2328978, 1.2449971, 1.3052784, 1.2139313, 1.2746542, 1.2534769, 1.2402849, 1.2557762, 1.2824285, 1.3011994, 1.2520095, 1.2273839, 1.2264848, 1.2272629, 1.2272629, 1.2276821, 1.2276821, 1.2276821, 1.2276821, 1.2217362, 1.218641 , 1.2178371, 1.2178371, 1.2178371, 1.2167082, 1.2167082, 1.2167082, 1.2167082, 1.2167082, 1.2183398, 1.2183398, 1.2132626, 1.2132626, 1.2132626, 1.2171857, 1.2171857, 1.2171857, 1.2171857, 1.2171857, 1.2171857, 1.2186086, 1.2186086, 1.2242482, 1.2242482, 1.2279578, 1.2226336, 1.2214892, 1.2230244, 1.2233665, 1.2233665, 1.2175808, 1.2175808, 1.2175808, 1.2175808, 1.2242947, 1.2242947, 1.2242947, 1.2239835, 1.2239835, 1.222702 , 1.222702 , 1.222702 , 1.222702 , 1.2210941, 1.2210941, 1.2210941, 1.2167802, 1.2167802, 1.2167802, 1.2167802, 1.2167802, 1.2167802, 1.2167802, 1.2141814, 1.2141814, 1.2141814, 1.2141814, 1.2141814, 1.2114967, 1.2114967, 1.2114967, 1.2139119, 1.2111006, 1.2111006, 1.2160517, 1.2135532, 1.2148122, 1.216393 , 1.2647574, 1.2617143, 1.2579932, 1.2396219, 1.3069955, 1.2820761, ... 1.1931045, 1.2174499, 1.2374456, 1.2784755, 1.300262 , 1.2623014, 1.2198701, 1.1965376, 1.3738103, 1.2327743, 1.1791561, 1.2896198, 1.2747905, 1.3162075, 1.299948 , 1.2182524, 1.2940254, 1.2867861, 1.2822663, 1.2556798, 1.2839514, 1.2592413, 1.31829 , 1.2655874, 1.2595932, 1.2409163, 1.2444477, 1.2796364, 1.2199565, 1.300452 , 1.2012675, 1.2260402, 1.3070815, 1.2155087, 1.2745631, 1.2721761, 1.2661359, 1.3436133, 1.2789633, 1.2342536, 1.2164739, 1.246825 , 1.3020456, 1.294301 , 1.2312708, 1.2737072, 1.1558297, 1.1565859, 1.1920784, 1.2959422, 1.2944555, 1.242419 , 1.3182973, 1.2890643, 1.2938302, 1.2263825, 1.3363167, 1.2951448, 1.320925 , 1.2116659, 1.3110816, 1.2444808, 1.4048839, 1.2042568, 1.3214498, 1.2439871, 1.2820479, 1.2718937, 1.3023088, 1.3083935, 1.321939 , 1.2769911, 1.3130085, 1.231473 , 1.3432943, 1.2267084, 1.3157363, 1.3437289, 1.3238695, 1.3840039, 1.1912025, 1.3649244, 1.2075777, 1.2369668, 1.2442887, 1.2194457, 1.2453058, 1.2122724, 1.30073 , 1.3003571, 1.2448694, 1.212647 , 1.3466736, 1.1863414, 1.2874146, 1.3478544, 1.2944276, 1.2171688, 1.2430799, 1.2140632, 1.2900081, 1.2080097, 1.312401 , 1.2252742, 1.2827156, 1.2667086, 1.253356 , 1.2322353, 1.2682436, 1.313592 , 1.2861202, 1.2000275, 1.2218583, 1.236192 , 1.254301 , 1.1885158, 1.3510273, 1.3472326]], dtype=float32) - m_2022_23_age_elderly_daily(chain, draw, days_2022_23)float321.292 1.292 1.292 ... 1.347 1.347
array([[[1.2924571, 1.2924571, 1.2924571, ..., 1.2924571, 1.2924571, 1.2924571], [1.3227973, 1.3227973, 1.3227973, ..., 1.3227973, 1.3227973, 1.3227973], [1.2480094, 1.2480094, 1.2480094, ..., 1.2480094, 1.2480094, 1.2480094], ..., [1.3879602, 1.3879602, 1.3879602, ..., 1.3879602, 1.3879602, 1.3879602], [1.3558704, 1.3558704, 1.3558704, ..., 1.3558704, 1.3558704, 1.3558704], [1.3175929, 1.3175929, 1.3175929, ..., 1.3175929, 1.3175929, 1.3175929]], [[1.274864 , 1.274864 , 1.274864 , ..., 1.274864 , 1.274864 , 1.274864 ], [1.2702119, 1.2702119, 1.2702119, ..., 1.2702119, 1.2702119, 1.2702119], [1.2874718, 1.2874718, 1.2874718, ..., 1.2874718, 1.2874718, 1.2874718], ... [1.2615008, 1.2615008, 1.2615008, ..., 1.2615008, 1.2615008, 1.2615008], [1.2337976, 1.2337976, 1.2337976, ..., 1.2337976, 1.2337976, 1.2337976], [1.2716112, 1.2716112, 1.2716112, ..., 1.2716112, 1.2716112, 1.2716112]], [[1.2630987, 1.2630987, 1.2630987, ..., 1.2630987, 1.2630987, 1.2630987], [1.359407 , 1.359407 , 1.359407 , ..., 1.359407 , 1.359407 , 1.359407 ], [1.3140247, 1.3140247, 1.3140247, ..., 1.3140247, 1.3140247, 1.3140247], ..., [1.1885158, 1.1885158, 1.1885158, ..., 1.1885158, 1.1885158, 1.1885158], [1.3510273, 1.3510273, 1.3510273, ..., 1.3510273, 1.3510273, 1.3510273], [1.3472326, 1.3472326, 1.3472326, ..., 1.3472326, 1.3472326, 1.3472326]]], dtype=float32) - m_2022_23_age_youth(chain, draw)float32-0.5305 -0.5206 ... -0.5446 -0.5256
array([[-0.53047806, -0.5206302 , -0.5586223 , -0.5210621 , -0.5313868 , -0.534091 , -0.53677046, -0.5243889 , -0.50806147, -0.5427965 , -0.56385195, -0.571882 , -0.5247832 , -0.54196155, -0.5343436 , -0.56681556, -0.5614465 , -0.54404587, -0.5426945 , -0.5265985 , -0.5276417 , -0.5603817 , -0.59527785, -0.5357265 , -0.5180496 , -0.49824747, -0.47928265, -0.47644952, -0.48567507, -0.542435 , -0.518878 , -0.4987571 , -0.51649517, -0.5287883 , -0.4792937 , -0.53285915, -0.5438396 , -0.572726 , -0.57390326, -0.57337594, -0.57337594, -0.5722313 , -0.5722313 , -0.5722313 , -0.5722313 , -0.5751252 , -0.5777468 , -0.5776857 , -0.5776857 , -0.5776857 , -0.57655686, -0.57655686, -0.57655686, -0.57655686, -0.57655686, -0.5744041 , -0.5744041 , -0.57449895, -0.57449895, -0.57449895, -0.574637 , -0.574637 , -0.574637 , -0.574637 , -0.574637 , -0.574637 , -0.5749705 , -0.5749705 , -0.57353896, -0.57353896, -0.5736449 , -0.57373995, -0.57538813, -0.5746007 , -0.5751429 , -0.5751429 , -0.5744991 , -0.5744991 , -0.5744991 , -0.5744991 , -0.5716042 , -0.5716042 , -0.5716042 , -0.5714633 , -0.5714633 , -0.57120615, -0.57120615, -0.57120615, -0.57120615, -0.5720518 , -0.5720518 , -0.5720518 , -0.57400614, -0.57400614, -0.57400614, -0.57400614, -0.57400614, -0.57400614, -0.57400614, -0.57529074, ... -0.47563615, -0.5867915 , -0.56438935, -0.53949803, -0.5514322 , -0.5521641 , -0.563492 , -0.58910483, -0.5714513 , -0.49334252, -0.56648546, -0.53071356, -0.5451255 , -0.5264523 , -0.48321173, -0.49316865, -0.55706435, -0.583894 , -0.5856288 , -0.4928471 , -0.52920455, -0.5493106 , -0.5456166 , -0.56951994, -0.5630817 , -0.56625754, -0.5539199 , -0.5168122 , -0.52810264, -0.52994907, -0.57887435, -0.5284806 , -0.54831606, -0.51536214, -0.491716 , -0.52324283, -0.5216949 , -0.5233306 , -0.5530732 , -0.5110382 , -0.56255203, -0.50494224, -0.5766243 , -0.5509267 , -0.56532884, -0.5324886 , -0.5244593 , -0.52502793, -0.5392423 , -0.5215502 , -0.57476574, -0.56061065, -0.53894764, -0.55039626, -0.54125226, -0.5080573 , -0.52139705, -0.56697357, -0.5242123 , -0.5519584 , -0.5380208 , -0.5728094 , -0.5458111 , -0.53042924, -0.5554107 , -0.5747335 , -0.5311262 , -0.5711595 , -0.59158546, -0.46499336, -0.5403708 , -0.4932051 , -0.46942776, -0.4891935 , -0.5873696 , -0.5887938 , -0.5842422 , -0.5550434 , -0.5588742 , -0.49809867, -0.58114314, -0.48771432, -0.47883013, -0.5457017 , -0.56143665, -0.5755015 , -0.55046576, -0.4907062 , -0.5830619 , -0.5444535 , -0.5585082 , -0.54837215, -0.5548034 , -0.5445817 , -0.52563256]], dtype=float32) - m_2022_23_age_youth_daily(chain, draw, days_2022_23)float32-0.5305 -0.5305 ... -0.5256 -0.5256
array([[[-0.53047806, -0.53047806, -0.53047806, ..., -0.53047806, -0.53047806, -0.53047806], [-0.5206302 , -0.5206302 , -0.5206302 , ..., -0.5206302 , -0.5206302 , -0.5206302 ], [-0.5586223 , -0.5586223 , -0.5586223 , ..., -0.5586223 , -0.5586223 , -0.5586223 ], ..., [-0.5101337 , -0.5101337 , -0.5101337 , ..., -0.5101337 , -0.5101337 , -0.5101337 ], [-0.4973612 , -0.4973612 , -0.4973612 , ..., -0.4973612 , -0.4973612 , -0.4973612 ], [-0.52376056, -0.52376056, -0.52376056, ..., -0.52376056, -0.52376056, -0.52376056]], [[-0.5493209 , -0.5493209 , -0.5493209 , ..., -0.5493209 , -0.5493209 , -0.5493209 ], [-0.5250664 , -0.5250664 , -0.5250664 , ..., -0.5250664 , -0.5250664 , -0.5250664 ], [-0.545047 , -0.545047 , -0.545047 , ..., -0.545047 , -0.545047 , -0.545047 ], ... [-0.56229794, -0.56229794, -0.56229794, ..., -0.56229794, -0.56229794, -0.56229794], [-0.57141656, -0.57141656, -0.57141656, ..., -0.57141656, -0.57141656, -0.57141656], [-0.54851204, -0.54851204, -0.54851204, ..., -0.54851204, -0.54851204, -0.54851204]], [[-0.53612924, -0.53612924, -0.53612924, ..., -0.53612924, -0.53612924, -0.53612924], [-0.52154666, -0.52154666, -0.52154666, ..., -0.52154666, -0.52154666, -0.52154666], [-0.55258894, -0.55258894, -0.55258894, ..., -0.55258894, -0.55258894, -0.55258894], ..., [-0.5548034 , -0.5548034 , -0.5548034 , ..., -0.5548034 , -0.5548034 , -0.5548034 ], [-0.5445817 , -0.5445817 , -0.5445817 , ..., -0.5445817 , -0.5445817 , -0.5445817 ], [-0.52563256, -0.52563256, -0.52563256, ..., -0.52563256, -0.52563256, -0.52563256]]], dtype=float32) - m_2023_24_age_adult(chain, draw)float320.4671 0.4197 ... 0.4739 0.4563
array([[0.4671319 , 0.41970414, 0.44825876, 0.42763883, 0.4418068 , 0.45445424, 0.42603457, 0.45146847, 0.43281132, 0.44700712, 0.4429999 , 0.4490952 , 0.50860107, 0.4585008 , 0.45870334, 0.46202862, 0.4379527 , 0.46875054, 0.47455275, 0.47848386, 0.4801504 , 0.47185004, 0.48475617, 0.46296817, 0.49018687, 0.45748007, 0.43274856, 0.4271295 , 0.39456654, 0.46403563, 0.4602067 , 0.39696223, 0.48067135, 0.38470286, 0.4355275 , 0.4286096 , 0.4011792 , 0.44209284, 0.43785214, 0.4368685 , 0.4368685 , 0.43856764, 0.43856764, 0.43856764, 0.43856764, 0.44009072, 0.44058603, 0.43921912, 0.43921912, 0.43921912, 0.4380656 , 0.4380656 , 0.4380656 , 0.4380656 , 0.4380656 , 0.432797 , 0.432797 , 0.43422198, 0.43422198, 0.43422198, 0.4354772 , 0.4354772 , 0.4354772 , 0.4354772 , 0.4354772 , 0.4354772 , 0.43473005, 0.43473005, 0.43331635, 0.43331635, 0.43408513, 0.43501437, 0.43314177, 0.43557632, 0.43169802, 0.43169802, 0.43221903, 0.43221903, 0.43221903, 0.43221903, 0.42700052, 0.42700052, 0.42700052, 0.42284858, 0.42284858, 0.42398316, 0.42398316, 0.42398316, 0.42398316, 0.42675644, 0.42675644, 0.42675644, 0.42866778, 0.42866778, 0.42866778, 0.42866778, 0.42866778, 0.42866778, 0.42866778, 0.42886508, ... 0.48061436, 0.40663463, 0.43790042, 0.44228327, 0.44456637, 0.4113013 , 0.42751634, 0.44220507, 0.39946908, 0.44775212, 0.4043839 , 0.5205861 , 0.5090956 , 0.43017685, 0.49181956, 0.4988324 , 0.3886646 , 0.4934306 , 0.49559647, 0.4399627 , 0.4280488 , 0.46590203, 0.45802706, 0.46270072, 0.45617092, 0.42860073, 0.43853176, 0.42146486, 0.4469387 , 0.4253673 , 0.46486866, 0.4376589 , 0.4609862 , 0.43052053, 0.43088645, 0.42951286, 0.44202703, 0.4016469 , 0.50170565, 0.38940585, 0.49780977, 0.4379282 , 0.47631615, 0.456702 , 0.39415956, 0.4995997 , 0.5066914 , 0.4358582 , 0.53388065, 0.4937122 , 0.44573402, 0.44817317, 0.45245278, 0.4830137 , 0.4638914 , 0.46690184, 0.42694288, 0.433775 , 0.45526528, 0.4646657 , 0.44212353, 0.47770834, 0.39292836, 0.43960363, 0.51175314, 0.43681163, 0.36987007, 0.43385208, 0.44715816, 0.44565105, 0.45242625, 0.4605791 , 0.45864552, 0.44066513, 0.49000758, 0.45215142, 0.4518469 , 0.44719827, 0.46529227, 0.43443328, 0.5065379 , 0.39942998, 0.42415988, 0.44553602, 0.46848792, 0.42446 , 0.44237256, 0.4747324 , 0.4815666 , 0.40997428, 0.40999204, 0.4303372 , 0.44008112, 0.47393566, 0.45626885]], dtype=float32) - m_2023_24_age_adult_daily(chain, draw, days_2023_24)float320.4671 0.4671 ... 0.4563 0.4563
array([[[0.4671319 , 0.4671319 , 0.4671319 , ..., 0.4671319 , 0.4671319 , 0.4671319 ], [0.41970414, 0.41970414, 0.41970414, ..., 0.41970414, 0.41970414, 0.41970414], [0.44825876, 0.44825876, 0.44825876, ..., 0.44825876, 0.44825876, 0.44825876], ..., [0.3992313 , 0.3992313 , 0.3992313 , ..., 0.3992313 , 0.3992313 , 0.3992313 ], [0.42269164, 0.42269164, 0.42269164, ..., 0.42269164, 0.42269164, 0.42269164], [0.50081754, 0.50081754, 0.50081754, ..., 0.50081754, 0.50081754, 0.50081754]], [[0.45188868, 0.45188868, 0.45188868, ..., 0.45188868, 0.45188868, 0.45188868], [0.42151052, 0.42151052, 0.42151052, ..., 0.42151052, 0.42151052, 0.42151052], [0.45315814, 0.45315814, 0.45315814, ..., 0.45315814, 0.45315814, 0.45315814], ... [0.40892893, 0.40892893, 0.40892893, ..., 0.40892893, 0.40892893, 0.40892893], [0.4608752 , 0.4608752 , 0.4608752 , ..., 0.4608752 , 0.4608752 , 0.4608752 ], [0.4825703 , 0.4825703 , 0.4825703 , ..., 0.4825703 , 0.4825703 , 0.4825703 ]], [[0.405347 , 0.405347 , 0.405347 , ..., 0.405347 , 0.405347 , 0.405347 ], [0.45093697, 0.45093697, 0.45093697, ..., 0.45093697, 0.45093697, 0.45093697], [0.44404083, 0.44404083, 0.44404083, ..., 0.44404083, 0.44404083, 0.44404083], ..., [0.44008112, 0.44008112, 0.44008112, ..., 0.44008112, 0.44008112, 0.44008112], [0.47393566, 0.47393566, 0.47393566, ..., 0.47393566, 0.47393566, 0.47393566], [0.45626885, 0.45626885, 0.45626885, ..., 0.45626885, 0.45626885, 0.45626885]]], dtype=float32) - m_2023_24_age_elderly(chain, draw)float321.116 1.065 1.105 ... 1.115 1.104
array([[1.1156092 , 1.0649636 , 1.1048393 , 1.061013 , 1.1144135 , 1.1607363 , 1.1142502 , 1.039554 , 1.1376948 , 1.1085372 , 1.1017208 , 1.1147685 , 1.1388439 , 1.1238258 , 1.1226497 , 1.052493 , 1.0647228 , 1.1379476 , 1.1208657 , 1.1291239 , 1.1385353 , 1.1696565 , 1.0864158 , 1.1358573 , 1.1142507 , 1.1471825 , 1.0951302 , 1.1022409 , 1.1591456 , 1.1754793 , 1.1207311 , 1.0965266 , 1.1345584 , 1.1032834 , 1.1549833 , 1.1994305 , 1.1638933 , 1.1905897 , 1.1891273 , 1.183908 , 1.183908 , 1.1851958 , 1.1851958 , 1.1851958 , 1.1851958 , 1.1876378 , 1.1833005 , 1.1743419 , 1.1743419 , 1.1743419 , 1.1785896 , 1.1785896 , 1.1785896 , 1.1785896 , 1.1785896 , 1.1766603 , 1.1766603 , 1.1778221 , 1.1778221 , 1.1778221 , 1.1762137 , 1.1762137 , 1.1762137 , 1.1762137 , 1.1762137 , 1.1762137 , 1.1718352 , 1.1718352 , 1.1808947 , 1.1808947 , 1.181993 , 1.1862524 , 1.1822147 , 1.1820368 , 1.1790042 , 1.1790042 , 1.1785994 , 1.1785994 , 1.1785994 , 1.1785994 , 1.1743076 , 1.1743076 , 1.1743076 , 1.170945 , 1.170945 , 1.1775367 , 1.1775367 , 1.1775367 , 1.1775367 , 1.1768143 , 1.1768143 , 1.1768143 , 1.1766067 , 1.1766067 , 1.1766067 , 1.1766067 , 1.1766067 , 1.1766067 , 1.1766067 , 1.1734271 , ... 1.1596763 , 1.0697863 , 1.0491719 , 1.0328673 , 1.1702809 , 1.0453873 , 1.149998 , 1.0687557 , 1.1254518 , 1.1558307 , 1.1227691 , 1.191587 , 1.1824999 , 1.1121386 , 1.1470973 , 1.178477 , 1.10474 , 1.084042 , 1.0887809 , 1.2262833 , 1.0669968 , 1.1462913 , 1.0635397 , 1.0981065 , 1.0961622 , 1.0988467 , 1.1271878 , 1.0656171 , 1.0676847 , 1.0597975 , 1.0908035 , 1.1396973 , 1.1370518 , 1.0885681 , 1.120105 , 1.0694051 , 1.126055 , 1.0775833 , 1.1971617 , 1.0820674 , 1.1233659 , 1.0956861 , 1.1253321 , 1.085939 , 1.0549624 , 1.1811643 , 1.166095 , 1.1598868 , 1.2031801 , 1.2263361 , 1.0768654 , 1.0554614 , 1.1508887 , 1.1877925 , 1.2035164 , 1.0813844 , 1.1226039 , 1.0996883 , 1.1242039 , 1.157412 , 1.1482614 , 1.2168069 , 1.1299902 , 1.1726747 , 1.0772581 , 1.0972967 , 1.059299 , 0.95631063, 1.0280354 , 1.1749684 , 1.0177791 , 1.1800566 , 1.1583111 , 1.1385305 , 1.1562042 , 1.1735693 , 1.1285517 , 1.1035432 , 1.1213329 , 1.123642 , 1.1617672 , 1.09284 , 1.053863 , 1.1566958 , 1.1545684 , 1.1182711 , 1.0816957 , 1.1068076 , 1.1174343 , 1.1368213 , 1.0578923 , 1.1664014 , 1.1239055 , 1.1149755 , 1.104037 ]], dtype=float32) - m_2023_24_age_elderly_daily(chain, draw, days_2023_24)float321.116 1.116 1.116 ... 1.104 1.104
array([[[1.1156092, 1.1156092, 1.1156092, ..., 1.1156092, 1.1156092, 1.1156092], [1.0649636, 1.0649636, 1.0649636, ..., 1.0649636, 1.0649636, 1.0649636], [1.1048393, 1.1048393, 1.1048393, ..., 1.1048393, 1.1048393, 1.1048393], ..., [1.1271082, 1.1271082, 1.1271082, ..., 1.1271082, 1.1271082, 1.1271082], [1.1255996, 1.1255996, 1.1255996, ..., 1.1255996, 1.1255996, 1.1255996], [1.1061624, 1.1061624, 1.1061624, ..., 1.1061624, 1.1061624, 1.1061624]], [[1.157965 , 1.157965 , 1.157965 , ..., 1.157965 , 1.157965 , 1.157965 ], [1.1610634, 1.1610634, 1.1610634, ..., 1.1610634, 1.1610634, 1.1610634], [1.0636584, 1.0636584, 1.0636584, ..., 1.0636584, 1.0636584, 1.0636584], ... [1.13079 , 1.13079 , 1.13079 , ..., 1.13079 , 1.13079 , 1.13079 ], [1.1169701, 1.1169701, 1.1169701, ..., 1.1169701, 1.1169701, 1.1169701], [1.1372433, 1.1372433, 1.1372433, ..., 1.1372433, 1.1372433, 1.1372433]], [[1.107379 , 1.107379 , 1.107379 , ..., 1.107379 , 1.107379 , 1.107379 ], [1.1641061, 1.1641061, 1.1641061, ..., 1.1641061, 1.1641061, 1.1641061], [1.0905619, 1.0905619, 1.0905619, ..., 1.0905619, 1.0905619, 1.0905619], ..., [1.1239055, 1.1239055, 1.1239055, ..., 1.1239055, 1.1239055, 1.1239055], [1.1149755, 1.1149755, 1.1149755, ..., 1.1149755, 1.1149755, 1.1149755], [1.104037 , 1.104037 , 1.104037 , ..., 1.104037 , 1.104037 , 1.104037 ]]], dtype=float32) - m_2023_24_age_youth(chain, draw)float32-0.6423 -0.6494 ... -0.6254 -0.6338
array([[-0.64232796, -0.64937264, -0.6554413 , -0.6247991 , -0.660275 , -0.6156289 , -0.64167964, -0.65622914, -0.6187236 , -0.5990543 , -0.63700634, -0.6361956 , -0.61787283, -0.60798746, -0.61022025, -0.6348119 , -0.6414152 , -0.6052715 , -0.6019809 , -0.6153317 , -0.6082471 , -0.603472 , -0.665976 , -0.63689107, -0.63016564, -0.59460986, -0.6133628 , -0.6143637 , -0.6316749 , -0.575873 , -0.61547667, -0.6487492 , -0.6120686 , -0.6728894 , -0.6073155 , -0.6136496 , -0.6324791 , -0.61039656, -0.6111469 , -0.61276513, -0.61276513, -0.61195016, -0.61195016, -0.61195016, -0.61195016, -0.6120532 , -0.6148527 , -0.6172904 , -0.6172904 , -0.6172904 , -0.61604327, -0.61604327, -0.61604327, -0.61604327, -0.61604327, -0.6180795 , -0.6180795 , -0.6144159 , -0.6144159 , -0.6144159 , -0.6140097 , -0.6140097 , -0.6140097 , -0.6140097 , -0.6140097 , -0.6140097 , -0.61462617, -0.61462617, -0.6150707 , -0.6150707 , -0.6141095 , -0.6123241 , -0.61430985, -0.6133636 , -0.6138417 , -0.6138417 , -0.61343384, -0.61343384, -0.61343384, -0.61343384, -0.6175567 , -0.6175567 , -0.6175567 , -0.62083364, -0.62083364, -0.6211392 , -0.6211392 , -0.6211392 , -0.6211392 , -0.6215516 , -0.6215516 , -0.6215516 , -0.6208575 , -0.6208575 , -0.6208575 , -0.6208575 , -0.6208575 , -0.6208575 , -0.6208575 , -0.619056 , ... -0.6161011 , -0.66228634, -0.6811353 , -0.6654707 , -0.63196445, -0.6232057 , -0.61014175, -0.6587156 , -0.6382362 , -0.6501529 , -0.6235515 , -0.61051685, -0.606204 , -0.676914 , -0.60623497, -0.58888036, -0.64366114, -0.59886885, -0.5857727 , -0.59959704, -0.6140433 , -0.6609047 , -0.66644675, -0.60629845, -0.6159005 , -0.6281403 , -0.5801213 , -0.61482054, -0.6222058 , -0.6312242 , -0.64283395, -0.6050029 , -0.6193045 , -0.6342776 , -0.6148856 , -0.6402291 , -0.62874454, -0.6314241 , -0.6120477 , -0.6226473 , -0.60754037, -0.6141952 , -0.6391435 , -0.6430235 , -0.68711984, -0.5797707 , -0.5847072 , -0.6311496 , -0.5990589 , -0.60935915, -0.6308087 , -0.6559732 , -0.60050285, -0.59135085, -0.5981848 , -0.6246638 , -0.6167484 , -0.6247732 , -0.6019412 , -0.59130937, -0.59130716, -0.5521567 , -0.6313486 , -0.6052292 , -0.60819465, -0.62674695, -0.647187 , -0.6372421 , -0.61935693, -0.5993422 , -0.6217548 , -0.6435892 , -0.6466481 , -0.6255022 , -0.5972701 , -0.5892545 , -0.5940257 , -0.6389283 , -0.60874313, -0.62644535, -0.6102443 , -0.6510193 , -0.6825986 , -0.6540917 , -0.6469677 , -0.6176917 , -0.65096414, -0.659117 , -0.5888744 , -0.61796933, -0.6468577 , -0.607746 , -0.6424006 , -0.6253968 , -0.63377565]], dtype=float32) - m_2023_24_age_youth_daily(chain, draw, days_2023_24)float32-0.6423 -0.6423 ... -0.6338 -0.6338
array([[[-0.64232796, -0.64232796, -0.64232796, ..., -0.64232796, -0.64232796, -0.64232796], [-0.64937264, -0.64937264, -0.64937264, ..., -0.64937264, -0.64937264, -0.64937264], [-0.6554413 , -0.6554413 , -0.6554413 , ..., -0.6554413 , -0.6554413 , -0.6554413 ], ..., [-0.67039645, -0.67039645, -0.67039645, ..., -0.67039645, -0.67039645, -0.67039645], [-0.6560382 , -0.6560382 , -0.6560382 , ..., -0.6560382 , -0.6560382 , -0.6560382 ], [-0.64057827, -0.64057827, -0.64057827, ..., -0.64057827, -0.64057827, -0.64057827]], [[-0.639344 , -0.639344 , -0.639344 , ..., -0.639344 , -0.639344 , -0.639344 ], [-0.6468523 , -0.6468523 , -0.6468523 , ..., -0.6468523 , -0.6468523 , -0.6468523 ], [-0.6395854 , -0.6395854 , -0.6395854 , ..., -0.6395854 , -0.6395854 , -0.6395854 ], ... [-0.6569814 , -0.6569814 , -0.6569814 , ..., -0.6569814 , -0.6569814 , -0.6569814 ], [-0.6400874 , -0.6400874 , -0.6400874 , ..., -0.6400874 , -0.6400874 , -0.6400874 ], [-0.64846647, -0.64846647, -0.64846647, ..., -0.64846647, -0.64846647, -0.64846647]], [[-0.61648643, -0.61648643, -0.61648643, ..., -0.61648643, -0.61648643, -0.61648643], [-0.6424455 , -0.6424455 , -0.6424455 , ..., -0.6424455 , -0.6424455 , -0.6424455 ], [-0.6253142 , -0.6253142 , -0.6253142 , ..., -0.6253142 , -0.6253142 , -0.6253142 ], ..., [-0.6424006 , -0.6424006 , -0.6424006 , ..., -0.6424006 , -0.6424006 , -0.6424006 ], [-0.6253968 , -0.6253968 , -0.6253968 , ..., -0.6253968 , -0.6253968 , -0.6253968 ], [-0.63377565, -0.63377565, -0.63377565, ..., -0.63377565, -0.63377565, -0.63377565]]], dtype=float32) - m_2024_25_age_adult(chain, draw)float320.5686 0.6685 ... 0.6786 0.6734
array([[0.5685505 , 0.66854656, 0.6141845 , 0.6447104 , 0.67738235, 0.6762722 , 0.6498318 , 0.70589924, 0.6376335 , 0.689719 , 0.63685966, 0.6412006 , 0.76122266, 0.6507306 , 0.633617 , 0.68222404, 0.6888086 , 0.6727171 , 0.6637846 , 0.6896735 , 0.69258106, 0.6623173 , 0.70730543, 0.6733842 , 0.68744147, 0.667243 , 0.6253574 , 0.63379955, 0.66211545, 0.7185242 , 0.69651663, 0.6691274 , 0.72576785, 0.66730136, 0.6949042 , 0.6581541 , 0.63912535, 0.66989565, 0.6670474 , 0.6660585 , 0.6660585 , 0.6634384 , 0.6634384 , 0.6634384 , 0.6634384 , 0.6613003 , 0.6619395 , 0.66035575, 0.66035575, 0.66035575, 0.65879464, 0.65879464, 0.65879464, 0.65879464, 0.65879464, 0.66225505, 0.66225505, 0.66712147, 0.66712147, 0.66712147, 0.66975 , 0.66975 , 0.66975 , 0.66975 , 0.66975 , 0.66975 , 0.6729251 , 0.6729251 , 0.67347836, 0.67347836, 0.6709868 , 0.67213035, 0.66885626, 0.66847026, 0.66962504, 0.66962504, 0.66599977, 0.66599977, 0.66599977, 0.66599977, 0.6628466 , 0.6628466 , 0.6628466 , 0.6662828 , 0.6662828 , 0.6641778 , 0.6641778 , 0.6641778 , 0.6641778 , 0.6628504 , 0.6628504 , 0.6628504 , 0.66590846, 0.66590846, 0.66590846, 0.66590846, 0.66590846, 0.66590846, 0.66590846, 0.6673372 , ... 0.7415069 , 0.69056785, 0.6638208 , 0.729493 , 0.680695 , 0.71933246, 0.61598456, 0.68706477, 0.66276956, 0.72173166, 0.63258314, 0.72627056, 0.7095883 , 0.66584563, 0.7276172 , 0.6997663 , 0.6724384 , 0.6436584 , 0.6285649 , 0.6848186 , 0.6934295 , 0.6507561 , 0.7022966 , 0.6615962 , 0.6783443 , 0.61030555, 0.7118391 , 0.6951686 , 0.71511763, 0.67716134, 0.68695146, 0.6825937 , 0.69613826, 0.7061027 , 0.65802276, 0.7067635 , 0.6526094 , 0.73629427, 0.7327676 , 0.69417155, 0.6902957 , 0.66959333, 0.76074636, 0.73742974, 0.74326956, 0.71475345, 0.6963258 , 0.713549 , 0.603055 , 0.6675885 , 0.6484448 , 0.7043653 , 0.69043595, 0.69167197, 0.7198057 , 0.6759571 , 0.71686894, 0.6835766 , 0.6692881 , 0.6851467 , 0.6969551 , 0.6886343 , 0.6581943 , 0.70795226, 0.6347151 , 0.6755173 , 0.5926656 , 0.72126657, 0.688902 , 0.62908244, 0.6856219 , 0.6642357 , 0.66664946, 0.67533994, 0.67946136, 0.7288283 , 0.72988045, 0.6983371 , 0.6689489 , 0.64980763, 0.6821362 , 0.6588787 , 0.7292199 , 0.6559479 , 0.6599921 , 0.7015459 , 0.7399284 , 0.7161966 , 0.6668354 , 0.69166666, 0.69850814, 0.6826829 , 0.6716871 , 0.678581 , 0.6734469 ]], dtype=float32) - m_2024_25_age_adult_daily(chain, draw, days_2024_25)float320.5686 0.5686 ... 0.6734 0.6734
array([[[0.5685505 , 0.5685505 , 0.5685505 , ..., 0.5685505 , 0.5685505 , 0.5685505 ], [0.66854656, 0.66854656, 0.66854656, ..., 0.66854656, 0.66854656, 0.66854656], [0.6141845 , 0.6141845 , 0.6141845 , ..., 0.6141845 , 0.6141845 , 0.6141845 ], ..., [0.7737819 , 0.7737819 , 0.7737819 , ..., 0.7737819 , 0.7737819 , 0.7737819 ], [0.7622123 , 0.7622123 , 0.7622123 , ..., 0.7622123 , 0.7622123 , 0.7622123 ], [0.72269666, 0.72269666, 0.72269666, ..., 0.72269666, 0.72269666, 0.72269666]], [[0.6969925 , 0.6969925 , 0.6969925 , ..., 0.6969925 , 0.6969925 , 0.6969925 ], [0.71158856, 0.71158856, 0.71158856, ..., 0.71158856, 0.71158856, 0.71158856], [0.6892705 , 0.6892705 , 0.6892705 , ..., 0.6892705 , 0.6892705 , 0.6892705 ], ... [0.7501131 , 0.7501131 , 0.7501131 , ..., 0.7501131 , 0.7501131 , 0.7501131 ], [0.7169061 , 0.7169061 , 0.7169061 , ..., 0.7169061 , 0.7169061 , 0.7169061 ], [0.6960273 , 0.6960273 , 0.6960273 , ..., 0.6960273 , 0.6960273 , 0.6960273 ]], [[0.62749964, 0.62749964, 0.62749964, ..., 0.62749964, 0.62749964, 0.62749964], [0.7560834 , 0.7560834 , 0.7560834 , ..., 0.7560834 , 0.7560834 , 0.7560834 ], [0.6906297 , 0.6906297 , 0.6906297 , ..., 0.6906297 , 0.6906297 , 0.6906297 ], ..., [0.6716871 , 0.6716871 , 0.6716871 , ..., 0.6716871 , 0.6716871 , 0.6716871 ], [0.678581 , 0.678581 , 0.678581 , ..., 0.678581 , 0.678581 , 0.678581 ], [0.6734469 , 0.6734469 , 0.6734469 , ..., 0.6734469 , 0.6734469 , 0.6734469 ]]], dtype=float32) - m_2024_25_age_elderly(chain, draw)float321.378 1.306 1.412 ... 1.4 1.399
array([[1.3781428, 1.3056635, 1.411727 , 1.4127586, 1.4004859, 1.4462774, 1.4644393, 1.3801085, 1.425822 , 1.4450068, 1.4274446, 1.4231961, 1.5151308, 1.4107717, 1.3982553, 1.387967 , 1.3692203, 1.3564469, 1.4430076, 1.4287971, 1.4105655, 1.4036001, 1.4793828, 1.3888164, 1.3853353, 1.4685497, 1.3455899, 1.352454 , 1.434348 , 1.4193543, 1.4568267, 1.3600962, 1.382559 , 1.3820312, 1.4254488, 1.449933 , 1.4232218, 1.4081653, 1.4120243, 1.4065084, 1.4065084, 1.4129539, 1.4129539, 1.4129539, 1.4129539, 1.4035034, 1.4015207, 1.3994992, 1.3994992, 1.3994992, 1.3984535, 1.3984535, 1.3984535, 1.3984535, 1.3984535, 1.3980727, 1.3980727, 1.4027483, 1.4027483, 1.4027483, 1.4008995, 1.4008995, 1.4008995, 1.4008995, 1.4008995, 1.4008995, 1.4053607, 1.4053607, 1.4098302, 1.4098302, 1.405032 , 1.3999355, 1.3953841, 1.3892908, 1.3946729, 1.3946729, 1.3904881, 1.3904881, 1.3904881, 1.3904881, 1.3976722, 1.3976722, 1.3976722, 1.4083027, 1.4083027, 1.4043552, 1.4043552, 1.4043552, 1.4043552, 1.3966411, 1.3966411, 1.3966411, 1.4014604, 1.4014604, 1.4014604, 1.4014604, 1.4014604, 1.4014604, 1.4014604, 1.4059689, 1.4059689, 1.4059689, 1.4059689, 1.4059689, 1.4020855, 1.4020855, 1.4020855, 1.4043572, 1.3952446, 1.3952446, 1.3991325, 1.4001962, 1.400644 , 1.4042239, 1.4494781, 1.460725 , 1.3938636, 1.4582765, 1.4710402, 1.4492471, ... 1.4113665, 1.3998408, 1.464745 , 1.4422138, 1.4074826, 1.374491 , 1.5241637, 1.5295358, 1.3186035, 1.3604971, 1.3763467, 1.4200685, 1.4294969, 1.464814 , 1.4351822, 1.4916754, 1.575371 , 1.5355617, 1.4351636, 1.4590359, 1.4312196, 1.6340809, 1.558782 , 1.554687 , 1.3825595, 1.4891951, 1.5148605, 1.3904035, 1.4488535, 1.3530649, 1.383874 , 1.3679184, 1.4719476, 1.38391 , 1.4784259, 1.4468614, 1.4366324, 1.4697685, 1.4332304, 1.4360038, 1.3441757, 1.3665128, 1.4429245, 1.5032988, 1.3863255, 1.4245117, 1.3315893, 1.3233886, 1.3723816, 1.4382434, 1.4712831, 1.4688461, 1.452992 , 1.3899188, 1.4312823, 1.4161541, 1.4596081, 1.3705581, 1.4216346, 1.4178729, 1.4658006, 1.5258691, 1.4529973, 1.4192957, 1.3458515, 1.4645512, 1.4568931, 1.5117248, 1.4612567, 1.4550092, 1.430809 , 1.3700362, 1.4041879, 1.4930282, 1.5314541, 1.4466801, 1.5037968, 1.52595 , 1.4416381, 1.3843935, 1.43807 , 1.3439486, 1.4787788, 1.343457 , 1.3708549, 1.4349046, 1.4558924, 1.4634204, 1.2610523, 1.4173341, 1.4718423, 1.383477 , 1.4091735, 1.3930633, 1.4028482, 1.3922681, 1.4178092, 1.4812644, 1.518947 , 1.4898735, 1.4946072, 1.4029475, 1.4302537, 1.3433228, 1.4204111, 1.4351195, 1.4178953, 1.3987982, 1.4637816, 1.5114794, 1.4819155, 1.3759674, 1.4891047, 1.4317558, 1.4470648, 1.3852564, 1.3998389, 1.3990382]], dtype=float32) - m_2024_25_age_elderly_daily(chain, draw, days_2024_25)float321.378 1.378 1.378 ... 1.399 1.399
array([[[1.3781428, 1.3781428, 1.3781428, ..., 1.3781428, 1.3781428, 1.3781428], [1.3056635, 1.3056635, 1.3056635, ..., 1.3056635, 1.3056635, 1.3056635], [1.411727 , 1.411727 , 1.411727 , ..., 1.411727 , 1.411727 , 1.411727 ], ..., [1.4984155, 1.4984155, 1.4984155, ..., 1.4984155, 1.4984155, 1.4984155], [1.495515 , 1.495515 , 1.495515 , ..., 1.495515 , 1.495515 , 1.495515 ], [1.4627134, 1.4627134, 1.4627134, ..., 1.4627134, 1.4627134, 1.4627134]], [[1.446229 , 1.446229 , 1.446229 , ..., 1.446229 , 1.446229 , 1.446229 ], [1.4724042, 1.4724042, 1.4724042, ..., 1.4724042, 1.4724042, 1.4724042], [1.4244559, 1.4244559, 1.4244559, ..., 1.4244559, 1.4244559, 1.4244559], ... [1.5096694, 1.5096694, 1.5096694, ..., 1.5096694, 1.5096694, 1.5096694], [1.5473374, 1.5473374, 1.5473374, ..., 1.5473374, 1.5473374, 1.5473374], [1.4058113, 1.4058113, 1.4058113, ..., 1.4058113, 1.4058113, 1.4058113]], [[1.2927594, 1.2927594, 1.2927594, ..., 1.2927594, 1.2927594, 1.2927594], [1.6063719, 1.6063719, 1.6063719, ..., 1.6063719, 1.6063719, 1.6063719], [1.4004629, 1.4004629, 1.4004629, ..., 1.4004629, 1.4004629, 1.4004629], ..., [1.3852564, 1.3852564, 1.3852564, ..., 1.3852564, 1.3852564, 1.3852564], [1.3998389, 1.3998389, 1.3998389, ..., 1.3998389, 1.3998389, 1.3998389], [1.3990382, 1.3990382, 1.3990382, ..., 1.3990382, 1.3990382, 1.3990382]]], dtype=float32) - m_2024_25_age_youth(chain, draw)float32-0.3471 -0.3655 ... -0.388 -0.3807
array([[-0.3471251 , -0.36551067, -0.37713006, -0.3418902 , -0.37863943, -0.37729424, -0.34719905, -0.3555009 , -0.3822798 , -0.32672745, -0.3855722 , -0.38458842, -0.33409673, -0.37187922, -0.3721971 , -0.43063787, -0.43407816, -0.45322442, -0.32882455, -0.31025398, -0.31454107, -0.3340206 , -0.39508545, -0.39408746, -0.39998433, -0.33452913, -0.370871 , -0.36246076, -0.36200762, -0.3238274 , -0.336345 , -0.3825869 , -0.3755858 , -0.38943774, -0.3497378 , -0.37056142, -0.38030675, -0.3866223 , -0.38599595, -0.38914198, -0.38914198, -0.39045757, -0.39045757, -0.39045757, -0.39045757, -0.3918067 , -0.39364102, -0.39419335, -0.39419335, -0.39419335, -0.3941029 , -0.3941029 , -0.3941029 , -0.3941029 , -0.3941029 , -0.39196876, -0.39196876, -0.3907475 , -0.3907475 , -0.3907475 , -0.391385 , -0.391385 , -0.391385 , -0.391385 , -0.391385 , -0.391385 , -0.3911387 , -0.3911387 , -0.3905703 , -0.3905703 , -0.39408776, -0.39421666, -0.39811385, -0.40042022, -0.39897037, -0.39897037, -0.40153396, -0.40153396, -0.40153396, -0.40153396, -0.39936155, -0.39936155, -0.39936155, -0.3961381 , -0.3961381 , -0.39548007, -0.39548007, -0.39548007, -0.39548007, -0.3961703 , -0.3961703 , -0.3961703 , -0.39438078, -0.39438078, -0.39438078, -0.39438078, -0.39438078, -0.39438078, -0.39438078, -0.39089572, ... -0.33342284, -0.36718845, -0.3585592 , -0.30393395, -0.41383916, -0.3209912 , -0.42197168, -0.34822127, -0.37141368, -0.3285551 , -0.39708087, -0.3508452 , -0.3683041 , -0.33583048, -0.3275066 , -0.317799 , -0.35211793, -0.3753809 , -0.38771743, -0.35504308, -0.32498497, -0.41626355, -0.33464244, -0.38585377, -0.37558275, -0.3956375 , -0.3516338 , -0.3349409 , -0.30444878, -0.3328506 , -0.36665207, -0.35198954, -0.3749442 , -0.32888246, -0.3700354 , -0.3392882 , -0.3449065 , -0.331301 , -0.34097803, -0.3372028 , -0.360782 , -0.37620533, -0.306254 , -0.30701563, -0.28872347, -0.38569683, -0.38693833, -0.38917074, -0.36044285, -0.33887637, -0.36029744, -0.3229633 , -0.3902871 , -0.32220277, -0.31060207, -0.3795686 , -0.33916205, -0.3651315 , -0.3699085 , -0.33849835, -0.37957802, -0.36187103, -0.36294642, -0.33327267, -0.3500627 , -0.41015193, -0.39216852, -0.30701226, -0.3327429 , -0.352307 , -0.37319535, -0.3785226 , -0.3816277 , -0.35993588, -0.3385227 , -0.31561992, -0.31755197, -0.3704964 , -0.34799957, -0.37765902, -0.4184631 , -0.34095088, -0.29591832, -0.4071184 , -0.42126712, -0.3598885 , -0.37503344, -0.36193138, -0.36539492, -0.33363122, -0.35504952, -0.35573435, -0.3521671 , -0.3880428 , -0.38068974]], dtype=float32) - m_2024_25_age_youth_daily(chain, draw, days_2024_25)float32-0.3471 -0.3471 ... -0.3807 -0.3807
array([[[-0.3471251 , -0.3471251 , -0.3471251 , ..., -0.3471251 , -0.3471251 , -0.3471251 ], [-0.36551067, -0.36551067, -0.36551067, ..., -0.36551067, -0.36551067, -0.36551067], [-0.37713006, -0.37713006, -0.37713006, ..., -0.37713006, -0.37713006, -0.37713006], ..., [-0.33725333, -0.33725333, -0.33725333, ..., -0.33725333, -0.33725333, -0.33725333], [-0.33580887, -0.33580887, -0.33580887, ..., -0.33580887, -0.33580887, -0.33580887], [-0.392199 , -0.392199 , -0.392199 , ..., -0.392199 , -0.392199 , -0.392199 ]], [[-0.3620766 , -0.3620766 , -0.3620766 , ..., -0.3620766 , -0.3620766 , -0.3620766 ], [-0.3236094 , -0.3236094 , -0.3236094 , ..., -0.3236094 , -0.3236094 , -0.3236094 ], [-0.42267227, -0.42267227, -0.42267227, ..., -0.42267227, -0.42267227, -0.42267227], ... [-0.3304211 , -0.3304211 , -0.3304211 , ..., -0.3304211 , -0.3304211 , -0.3304211 ], [-0.31603196, -0.31603196, -0.31603196, ..., -0.31603196, -0.31603196, -0.31603196], [-0.35688937, -0.35688937, -0.35688937, ..., -0.35688937, -0.35688937, -0.35688937]], [[-0.35124767, -0.35124767, -0.35124767, ..., -0.35124767, -0.35124767, -0.35124767], [-0.34031683, -0.34031683, -0.34031683, ..., -0.34031683, -0.34031683, -0.34031683], [-0.34366104, -0.34366104, -0.34366104, ..., -0.34366104, -0.34366104, -0.34366104], ..., [-0.3521671 , -0.3521671 , -0.3521671 , ..., -0.3521671 , -0.3521671 , -0.3521671 ], [-0.3880428 , -0.3880428 , -0.3880428 , ..., -0.3880428 , -0.3880428 , -0.3880428 ], [-0.38068974, -0.38068974, -0.38068974, ..., -0.38068974, -0.38068974, -0.38068974]]], dtype=float32) - m_age(chain, draw, season, age_categories_short)float320.9986 1.823 1.109 ... 1.054 1.78
array([[[[0.99861133, 1.8229351 ], [1.1094599 , 1.7579372 ], [0.91567564, 1.725268 ]], [[1.0023465 , 1.8434275 ], [1.0690768 , 1.7143362 ], [1.0340573 , 1.6711742 ]], [[1.0275073 , 1.8066318 ], [1.1037 , 1.7602806 ], [0.99131453, 1.788857 ]], ..., [[1.0205381 , 1.8980938 ], [1.0696278 , 1.7975047 ], [1.1110352 , 1.8356688 ]], [[1.0265317 , 1.8532315 ], [1.0787299 , 1.7816379 ], ... [1.0933825 , 1.8065516 ], [1.0964003 , 1.9466888 ]], [[1.0189859 , 1.8666136 ], [1.069355 , 1.715876 ], [1.0342908 , 1.7441239 ]], ..., [[1.0298107 , 1.7433192 ], [1.0824817 , 1.7663062 ], [1.0238543 , 1.7374235 ]], [[1.026184 , 1.8956089 ], [1.0993325 , 1.7403722 ], [1.0666238 , 1.7878817 ]], [[1.0282967 , 1.8728651 ], [1.0900445 , 1.7378128 ], [1.0541366 , 1.7797279 ]]]], dtype=float32) - m_age_mu(chain, draw, age_categories_short)float320.3149 1.717 0.3191 ... 1.106 1.809
array([[[0.31490144, 1.7168636 ], [0.31911677, 1.8277602 ], [0.2729665 , 1.8595766 ], ..., [1.1540822 , 1.8622557 ], [1.143163 , 1.853137 ], [1.1311437 , 1.754683 ]], [[1.0697583 , 1.80859 ], [1.0319215 , 1.801769 ], [0.9875733 , 1.7891167 ], ..., [1.0071826 , 1.7812054 ], [0.991615 , 1.7799593 ], [1.043478 , 1.7694632 ]], [[1.0588807 , 1.7867303 ], [0.9526509 , 1.8107378 ], [0.915532 , 1.7689402 ], ..., [1.0215744 , 1.813437 ], [1.1787448 , 1.8083634 ], [1.2531391 , 1.783486 ]], [[0.9474916 , 1.8493985 ], [1.1258218 , 2.031165 ], [1.0606489 , 1.6401242 ], ..., [1.0249395 , 1.7527081 ], [1.1170185 , 1.7979659 ], [1.1059202 , 1.8093399 ]]], dtype=float32) - m_age_sigma(chain, draw, age_categories_short)float320.9789 0.07884 ... 0.07167 0.1158
array([[[0.9788732 , 0.07884373], [0.6510038 , 0.12385579], [0.80188304, 0.24090965], ..., [0.16870576, 0.18909815], [0.12033945, 0.14940931], [0.12945192, 0.07626856]], [[0.06404828, 0.02210084], [0.02481937, 0.02931537], [0.23076601, 0.06395512], ..., [0.01252665, 0.05482919], [0.04630754, 0.09726162], [0.01653752, 0.02942054]], [[0.04825701, 0.46579123], [0.1467277 , 0.01299838], [0.1850629 , 0.20186205], ..., [0.02141931, 0.03220101], [0.29953805, 0.07379065], [0.21383992, 0.0999447 ]], [[0.13457231, 0.5988664 ], [0.05699731, 0.47292483], [0.01918455, 0.16929774], ..., [0.04175084, 0.0429212 ], [0.12264686, 0.08680862], [0.07167427, 0.1157743 ]]], dtype=float32) - m_season(chain, draw, season)float32-0.5305 -0.6423 ... -0.6338 -0.3807
array([[[-0.53047806, -0.64232796, -0.3471251 ], [-0.5206302 , -0.64937264, -0.36551067], [-0.5586223 , -0.6554413 , -0.37713006], ..., [-0.5101337 , -0.67039645, -0.33725333], [-0.4973612 , -0.6560382 , -0.33580887], [-0.52376056, -0.64057827, -0.392199 ]], [[-0.5493209 , -0.639344 , -0.3620766 ], [-0.5250664 , -0.6468523 , -0.3236094 ], [-0.545047 , -0.6395854 , -0.42267227], ..., [-0.5705206 , -0.64167863, -0.34444496], [-0.55207324, -0.63495487, -0.35983986], [-0.55752796, -0.6374335 , -0.33863533]], [[-0.5157679 , -0.5945049 , -0.37372676], [-0.59134936, -0.61365545, -0.38309395], [-0.5316243 , -0.6136854 , -0.3958768 ], ..., [-0.56229794, -0.6569814 , -0.3304211 ], [-0.57141656, -0.6400874 , -0.31603196], [-0.54851204, -0.64846647, -0.35688937]], [[-0.53612924, -0.61648643, -0.35124767], [-0.52154666, -0.6424455 , -0.34031683], [-0.55258894, -0.6253142 , -0.34366104], ..., [-0.5548034 , -0.6424006 , -0.3521671 ], [-0.5445817 , -0.6253968 , -0.3880428 ], [-0.52563256, -0.63377565, -0.38068974]]], dtype=float32) - m_season_mu(chain, draw)float32-0.387 -0.6321 ... -0.5667 -0.5859
array([[-0.38701445, -0.63212496, -0.5145481 , -0.541201 , -0.6226831 , -0.5085451 , -0.4174786 , -0.5899996 , -0.30788508, -0.56167257, -0.41379565, -0.48449162, -0.504208 , -0.53637046, -0.47889742, -0.6177913 , -0.581322 , -0.5229041 , -0.45088822, -0.4160954 , -0.43956643, -0.53749615, -0.5592645 , -0.3856794 , -0.60813296, -0.3884822 , -0.42098677, -0.4407269 , -0.40516636, -0.60584044, -0.35110438, -0.36056292, -0.61603904, -0.4596591 , -0.5438493 , -0.47548163, -0.681871 , -0.63250667, -0.616568 , -0.6250793 , -0.6250793 , -0.63454175, -0.63454175, -0.63454175, -0.63454175, -0.64584744, -0.64773464, -0.6255794 , -0.6255794 , -0.6255794 , -0.6358936 , -0.6358936 , -0.6358936 , -0.6358936 , -0.6358936 , -0.63513255, -0.63513255, -0.6400653 , -0.6400653 , -0.6400653 , -0.64414537, -0.64414537, -0.64414537, -0.64414537, -0.64414537, -0.64414537, -0.6405036 , -0.6405036 , -0.638456 , -0.638456 , -0.64175403, -0.6437217 , -0.64899653, -0.64707965, -0.63948566, -0.63948566, -0.637266 , -0.637266 , -0.637266 , -0.637266 , -0.64390695, -0.64390695, -0.64390695, -0.64913756, -0.64913756, -0.661288 , -0.661288 , -0.661288 , -0.661288 , -0.66191584, -0.66191584, -0.66191584, -0.6662804 , -0.6662804 , -0.6662804 , -0.6662804 , -0.6662804 , -0.6662804 , -0.6662804 , -0.66698426, ... -0.44359297, -0.39872405, -0.35471123, -0.3345279 , -0.78961426, -0.48977944, -0.61722815, -0.6540481 , -0.6674878 , -0.27115166, -0.6476425 , -0.4029801 , -0.438057 , -0.5293757 , -0.23634362, -0.43973568, -0.48138383, -0.5800999 , -0.5394925 , -0.72543436, -0.79672474, -0.7480084 , -0.594389 , -0.4855213 , -0.48371568, -0.43962336, -0.51172525, -0.4685213 , -0.52641594, -0.7187883 , -0.44199073, -0.605737 , -0.42237812, -0.7023511 , -0.682488 , -0.79408437, -0.5434894 , -0.49292773, -0.54453844, -0.45477542, -0.56532896, -0.2822832 , -0.6638705 , -0.85181725, -0.7935385 , -0.5968433 , -0.5684237 , -0.5192058 , -0.4376511 , -0.23716319, -0.2986926 , -0.3194347 , -0.4141421 , -0.55737764, -0.49633515, -0.5521343 , -0.37200668, -0.7146782 , -0.7205816 , -0.84418815, -0.88021743, -0.86138123, -0.7466703 , -0.8092767 , -0.75428045, -0.6736417 , -0.7058704 , -0.666453 , -0.80313677, -0.6021505 , -0.14641719, -0.11301013, -0.10114884, -0.21105114, -0.3891206 , -0.50763685, -0.5004521 , -0.5527764 , -0.46770987, -0.5273008 , -0.5233825 , -0.6007536 , -0.66491205, -0.30512998, -0.2728063 , -0.31618467, -0.3510393 , -0.57435566, -0.45215818, -0.47326383, -0.56435037, -0.63631296, -0.532521 , -0.5666818 , -0.58591706]], dtype=float32) - m_season_sigma(chain, draw)float320.1561 0.1599 ... 0.1593 0.1621
array([[0.15611953, 0.1599009 , 0.40474936, 0.10657598, 0.4680637 , 0.10002408, 0.29755342, 0.11502429, 0.4798489 , 0.12994817, 0.22820987, 0.2670042 , 0.10063796, 0.18968278, 0.17336941, 0.40372258, 0.42248183, 0.05689299, 0.1963973 , 0.2950073 , 0.32012096, 0.09855072, 0.7854257 , 0.11617961, 0.925549 , 0.09043766, 0.35273668, 0.35945705, 0.12451181, 0.22321838, 0.22265245, 0.76170516, 0.22756907, 0.13891608, 0.18565679, 0.09465045, 0.3628381 , 0.18396549, 0.19110824, 0.18510547, 0.18510547, 0.18273512, 0.18273512, 0.18273512, 0.18273512, 0.19527577, 0.20182139, 0.18347177, 0.18347177, 0.18347177, 0.18259987, 0.18259987, 0.18259987, 0.18259987, 0.18259987, 0.18561909, 0.18561909, 0.18753755, 0.18753755, 0.18753755, 0.19195996, 0.19195996, 0.19195996, 0.19195996, 0.19195996, 0.19195996, 0.19413897, 0.19413897, 0.18689835, 0.18689835, 0.1803652 , 0.18431744, 0.18389592, 0.18362363, 0.18732023, 0.18732023, 0.19097832, 0.19097832, 0.19097832, 0.19097832, 0.18625194, 0.18625194, 0.18625194, 0.18183109, 0.18183109, 0.18611094, 0.18611094, 0.18611094, 0.18611094, 0.1926995 , 0.1926995 , 0.1926995 , 0.1948405 , 0.1948405 , 0.1948405 , 0.1948405 , 0.1948405 , 0.1948405 , 0.1948405 , 0.19038178, ... 0.2385416 , 0.17740925, 0.20848058, 0.17561522, 0.26823816, 0.25135913, 0.16308339, 0.6367731 , 0.21184236, 0.25535315, 0.19366607, 0.15166399, 0.13090578, 0.25014 , 0.4962951 , 0.6802943 , 0.08566657, 0.21599585, 0.16399458, 0.42151496, 0.4595445 , 0.3421859 , 0.22046731, 0.13509914, 0.13037686, 0.18751317, 0.09646552, 0.29283938, 0.44405878, 0.6418611 , 0.13116752, 0.20543215, 0.08056138, 1.0167978 , 0.56947947, 0.37526345, 0.37120628, 0.20708169, 0.31245628, 0.11393442, 0.33131936, 0.23221613, 0.5244289 , 0.2782236 , 0.4513413 , 0.25973985, 0.23175102, 0.07371108, 0.33021203, 0.34888494, 0.34079355, 0.36435312, 0.22231776, 0.08572321, 0.1763384 , 0.27955398, 0.11098702, 0.2570453 , 0.6285602 , 0.55197674, 0.34290478, 0.7422169 , 0.82236177, 0.37156245, 0.39733362, 0.2386735 , 0.2408305 , 1.3040367 , 0.97072726, 0.31301478, 0.3315546 , 0.7958543 , 0.47403273, 0.45047832, 0.25015524, 0.23880886, 0.21371207, 0.11640152, 0.18900767, 0.13259009, 0.12742135, 0.29341397, 0.17873922, 0.3169846 , 0.25491938, 0.33871698, 0.20992802, 0.10495014, 0.29583177, 0.1726371 , 0.13286342, 0.24723125, 0.22342268, 0.1593435 , 0.16208479]], dtype=float32) - observation_mean(chain, draw, observation)float320.01577 0.02618 ... 0.01197
array([[[0.01577143, 0.02618351, 0.03340577, ..., 0.0060025 , 0.00925467, 0.01157785], [0.01570559, 0.02604865, 0.0332753 , ..., 0.00601471, 0.00970835, 0.01155272], [0.01546177, 0.02613828, 0.03301515, ..., 0.00594826, 0.00948773, 0.01175614], ..., [0.01590805, 0.02649776, 0.03393379, ..., 0.00628608, 0.01032904, 0.01233647], [0.01602207, 0.02666198, 0.03368658, ..., 0.00634867, 0.01038495, 0.0124422 ], [0.01570977, 0.02599541, 0.03331305, ..., 0.00613231, 0.01023908, 0.01234935]], [[0.01563687, 0.02589307, 0.03338972, ..., 0.00610856, 0.00993427, 0.01204602], [0.01603911, 0.02692794, 0.03369403, ..., 0.00620207, 0.00990969, 0.0120175 ], [0.01533917, 0.0257095 , 0.03275513, ..., 0.00573749, 0.00964957, 0.01168196], ... [0.01510982, 0.02576257, 0.03243617, ..., 0.00627891, 0.01019916, 0.01229858], [0.01530215, 0.02609626, 0.03283713, ..., 0.00639655, 0.01019347, 0.01250854], [0.01545195, 0.02589735, 0.0329545 , ..., 0.00613152, 0.009938 , 0.0119604 ]], [[0.0155686 , 0.02596843, 0.03288275, ..., 0.00601992, 0.00950063, 0.01143437], [0.01582754, 0.02642364, 0.03380861, ..., 0.00637829, 0.01044047, 0.0127787 ], [0.01561996, 0.02627947, 0.03370558, ..., 0.00602783, 0.00967699, 0.01165494], ..., [0.01542272, 0.0260703 , 0.03240882, ..., 0.00617915, 0.00990624, 0.01197095], [0.01557792, 0.02622864, 0.03370403, ..., 0.0060032 , 0.00985345, 0.01191403], [0.01579897, 0.02649568, 0.03374981, ..., 0.00606076, 0.00988739, 0.01197388]]], dtype=float32) - observation_sigma(chain, draw)float320.0004748 0.000482 ... 0.0004269
array([[0.00047481, 0.000482 , 0.00043349, 0.00051395, 0.00044261, 0.00048567, 0.00048877, 0.00049562, 0.00044709, 0.00049263, 0.00044679, 0.00045078, 0.00048823, 0.00043728, 0.00043966, 0.00050478, 0.00049202, 0.00044576, 0.00052185, 0.00049739, 0.00050078, 0.00052386, 0.00043992, 0.00049271, 0.00048305, 0.00045692, 0.00046485, 0.00046287, 0.0004587 , 0.00049023, 0.00045136, 0.00045651, 0.00047234, 0.00050169, 0.0004638 , 0.00048802, 0.00051851, 0.00049441, 0.00049293, 0.0004953 , 0.0004953 , 0.00049425, 0.00049425, 0.00049425, 0.00049425, 0.00049246, 0.00049144, 0.00049498, 0.00049498, 0.00049498, 0.00049591, 0.00049591, 0.00049591, 0.00049591, 0.00049591, 0.00049514, 0.00049514, 0.00049823, 0.00049823, 0.00049823, 0.00050118, 0.00050118, 0.00050118, 0.00050118, 0.00050118, 0.00050118, 0.00049959, 0.00049959, 0.00050205, 0.00050205, 0.00050142, 0.00050273, 0.00050172, 0.00050021, 0.00050302, 0.00050302, 0.00050168, 0.00050168, 0.00050168, 0.00050168, 0.00050007, 0.00050007, 0.00050007, 0.00049693, 0.00049693, 0.0004977 , 0.0004977 , 0.0004977 , 0.0004977 , 0.00049742, 0.00049742, 0.00049742, 0.00049605, 0.00049605, 0.00049605, 0.00049605, 0.00049605, 0.00049605, 0.00049605, 0.00049231, ... 0.00044697, 0.00049886, 0.00050726, 0.0004961 , 0.00047454, 0.00045187, 0.00045697, 0.00050834, 0.00047349, 0.00045434, 0.0004636 , 0.00048079, 0.00046908, 0.00046634, 0.00051501, 0.0004783 , 0.00045569, 0.0004672 , 0.00046255, 0.00046862, 0.00044119, 0.00046909, 0.00050757, 0.0004824 , 0.00048552, 0.00048351, 0.00043837, 0.0004846 , 0.00042634, 0.00045568, 0.00048647, 0.00044322, 0.00045355, 0.00047744, 0.00048967, 0.00048325, 0.00040999, 0.00044079, 0.00048814, 0.00046923, 0.00044734, 0.00048147, 0.00044622, 0.00044508, 0.00042625, 0.00048836, 0.00048245, 0.000494 , 0.00049388, 0.00052321, 0.00046702, 0.00045625, 0.0004465 , 0.00051835, 0.00048816, 0.00046062, 0.00046306, 0.00043063, 0.00041488, 0.00044188, 0.00044024, 0.00045562, 0.0004545 , 0.00045111, 0.00046541, 0.00050402, 0.00052103, 0.00049344, 0.00046814, 0.00043038, 0.00050878, 0.00043612, 0.00046384, 0.00047617, 0.00045316, 0.00045749, 0.00047542, 0.00051807, 0.00041854, 0.00047975, 0.00044143, 0.00047777, 0.00050642, 0.00046032, 0.00044554, 0.00044028, 0.0004606 , 0.00044935, 0.00047033, 0.00045257, 0.0004614 , 0.00043519, 0.00046058, 0.0004262 , 0.0004269 ]], dtype=float32) - r_2022_23_age_adult(chain, draw)float32-3.192 -3.189 ... -3.202 -3.205
array([[-3.1921656, -3.1885662, -3.1749265, -3.2048209, -3.1891954, -3.184131 , -3.191719 , -3.2101748, -3.201655 , -3.1769474, -3.1936197, -3.191311 , -3.2059908, -3.1960442, -3.1905394, -3.2125468, -3.2100277, -3.2029278, -3.1883602, -3.2045984, -3.2045963, -3.1921835, -3.1686065, -3.2139838, -3.210606 , -3.1951923, -3.1898248, -3.1904647, -3.209633 , -3.1941636, -3.1877449, -3.1949499, -3.1888952, -3.195237 , -3.1909976, -3.1969838, -3.1792648, -3.1782603, -3.1788387, -3.179905 , -3.179905 , -3.1791196, -3.1791196, -3.1791196, -3.1791196, -3.1805742, -3.1811864, -3.1832812, -3.1832812, -3.1832812, -3.184338 , -3.184338 , -3.184338 , -3.184338 , -3.184338 , -3.1852257, -3.1852257, -3.1836038, -3.1836038, -3.1836038, -3.183582 , -3.183582 , -3.183582 , -3.183582 , -3.183582 , -3.183582 , -3.181892 , -3.181892 , -3.181722 , -3.181722 , -3.1798759, -3.1797245, -3.179038 , -3.1788826, -3.1795387, -3.1795387, -3.1797884, -3.1797884, -3.1797884, -3.1797884, -3.181622 , -3.181622 , -3.181622 , -3.1815464, -3.1815464, -3.1826422, -3.1826422, -3.1826422, -3.1826422, -3.1821163, -3.1821163, -3.1821163, -3.1812012, -3.1812012, -3.1812012, -3.1812012, -3.1812012, -3.1812012, -3.1812012, -3.1812882, ... -3.1882343, -3.1924863, -3.1781132, -3.1887474, -3.190508 , -3.1960452, -3.1958482, -3.167622 , -3.1789596, -3.1988573, -3.1805682, -3.1956153, -3.190128 , -3.1959748, -3.2002375, -3.201575 , -3.174721 , -3.1778948, -3.1708124, -3.2036347, -3.2003248, -3.1850674, -3.1911583, -3.1768253, -3.168136 , -3.1791444, -3.181308 , -3.1979456, -3.1753683, -3.2033217, -3.1844378, -3.2061958, -3.1758547, -3.204721 , -3.1952126, -3.195719 , -3.1829407, -3.1963837, -3.1796134, -3.2094362, -3.1808128, -3.1914668, -3.1769998, -3.187931 , -3.1820538, -3.19026 , -3.1964006, -3.1980517, -3.2007089, -3.194395 , -3.190505 , -3.1901991, -3.1873426, -3.193524 , -3.2056293, -3.2007327, -3.2144055, -3.1752188, -3.2038834, -3.1779387, -3.1827965, -3.1736603, -3.1738763, -3.1885972, -3.1853805, -3.182266 , -3.2015095, -3.1839764, -3.1674924, -3.2124765, -3.180631 , -3.2065043, -3.1979325, -3.2094867, -3.1699455, -3.1651475, -3.1703823, -3.2017453, -3.1712794, -3.2044013, -3.1769147, -3.1957254, -3.196705 , -3.178256 , -3.1730917, -3.201684 , -3.1968474, -3.189848 , -3.1848862, -3.1927986, -3.1662576, -3.1970346, -3.177706 , -3.2023835, -3.205019 ]], dtype=float32) - r_2022_23_age_adult_daily(chain, draw, days_2022_23)float32-3.192 -3.192 ... -3.205 -3.205
array([[[-3.1921656, -3.1921656, -3.1921656, ..., -3.1921656, -3.1921656, -3.1921656], [-3.1885662, -3.1885662, -3.1885662, ..., -3.1885662, -3.1885662, -3.1885662], [-3.1749265, -3.1749265, -3.1749265, ..., -3.1749265, -3.1749265, -3.1749265], ..., [-3.2040431, -3.2040431, -3.2040431, ..., -3.2040431, -3.2040431, -3.2040431], [-3.2097337, -3.2097337, -3.2097337, ..., -3.2097337, -3.2097337, -3.2097337], [-3.1991606, -3.1991606, -3.1991606, ..., -3.1991606, -3.1991606, -3.1991606]], [[-3.1907425, -3.1907425, -3.1907425, ..., -3.1907425, -3.1907425, -3.1907425], [-3.1939626, -3.1939626, -3.1939626, ..., -3.1939626, -3.1939626, -3.1939626], [-3.1886454, -3.1886454, -3.1886454, ..., -3.1886454, -3.1886454, -3.1886454], ... [-3.1801667, -3.1801667, -3.1801667, ..., -3.1801667, -3.1801667, -3.1801667], [-3.1829815, -3.1829815, -3.1829815, ..., -3.1829815, -3.1829815, -3.1829815], [-3.1969905, -3.1969905, -3.1969905, ..., -3.1969905, -3.1969905, -3.1969905]], [[-3.1942437, -3.1942437, -3.1942437, ..., -3.1942437, -3.1942437, -3.1942437], [-3.1962585, -3.1962585, -3.1962585, ..., -3.1962585, -3.1962585, -3.1962585], [-3.192167 , -3.192167 , -3.192167 , ..., -3.192167 , -3.192167 , -3.192167 ], ..., [-3.177706 , -3.177706 , -3.177706 , ..., -3.177706 , -3.177706 , -3.177706 ], [-3.2023835, -3.2023835, -3.2023835, ..., -3.2023835, -3.2023835, -3.2023835], [-3.205019 , -3.205019 , -3.205019 , ..., -3.205019 , -3.205019 , -3.205019 ]]], dtype=float32) - r_2022_23_age_elderly(chain, draw)float32-3.192 -3.189 ... -3.202 -3.205
array([[-3.1921656, -3.1885662, -3.1749265, -3.2048209, -3.1891954, -3.184131 , -3.191719 , -3.2101748, -3.201655 , -3.1769474, -3.1936197, -3.191311 , -3.2059908, -3.1960442, -3.1905394, -3.2125468, -3.2100277, -3.2029278, -3.1883602, -3.2045984, -3.2045963, -3.1921835, -3.1686065, -3.2139838, -3.210606 , -3.1951923, -3.1898248, -3.1904647, -3.209633 , -3.1941636, -3.1877449, -3.1949499, -3.1888952, -3.195237 , -3.1909976, -3.1969838, -3.1792648, -3.1782603, -3.1788387, -3.179905 , -3.179905 , -3.1791196, -3.1791196, -3.1791196, -3.1791196, -3.1805742, -3.1811864, -3.1832812, -3.1832812, -3.1832812, -3.184338 , -3.184338 , -3.184338 , -3.184338 , -3.184338 , -3.1852257, -3.1852257, -3.1836038, -3.1836038, -3.1836038, -3.183582 , -3.183582 , -3.183582 , -3.183582 , -3.183582 , -3.183582 , -3.181892 , -3.181892 , -3.181722 , -3.181722 , -3.1798759, -3.1797245, -3.179038 , -3.1788826, -3.1795387, -3.1795387, -3.1797884, -3.1797884, -3.1797884, -3.1797884, -3.181622 , -3.181622 , -3.181622 , -3.1815464, -3.1815464, -3.1826422, -3.1826422, -3.1826422, -3.1826422, -3.1821163, -3.1821163, -3.1821163, -3.1812012, -3.1812012, -3.1812012, -3.1812012, -3.1812012, -3.1812012, -3.1812012, -3.1812882, ... -3.1882343, -3.1924863, -3.1781132, -3.1887474, -3.190508 , -3.1960452, -3.1958482, -3.167622 , -3.1789596, -3.1988573, -3.1805682, -3.1956153, -3.190128 , -3.1959748, -3.2002375, -3.201575 , -3.174721 , -3.1778948, -3.1708124, -3.2036347, -3.2003248, -3.1850674, -3.1911583, -3.1768253, -3.168136 , -3.1791444, -3.181308 , -3.1979456, -3.1753683, -3.2033217, -3.1844378, -3.2061958, -3.1758547, -3.204721 , -3.1952126, -3.195719 , -3.1829407, -3.1963837, -3.1796134, -3.2094362, -3.1808128, -3.1914668, -3.1769998, -3.187931 , -3.1820538, -3.19026 , -3.1964006, -3.1980517, -3.2007089, -3.194395 , -3.190505 , -3.1901991, -3.1873426, -3.193524 , -3.2056293, -3.2007327, -3.2144055, -3.1752188, -3.2038834, -3.1779387, -3.1827965, -3.1736603, -3.1738763, -3.1885972, -3.1853805, -3.182266 , -3.2015095, -3.1839764, -3.1674924, -3.2124765, -3.180631 , -3.2065043, -3.1979325, -3.2094867, -3.1699455, -3.1651475, -3.1703823, -3.2017453, -3.1712794, -3.2044013, -3.1769147, -3.1957254, -3.196705 , -3.178256 , -3.1730917, -3.201684 , -3.1968474, -3.189848 , -3.1848862, -3.1927986, -3.1662576, -3.1970346, -3.177706 , -3.2023835, -3.205019 ]], dtype=float32) - r_2022_23_age_elderly_daily(chain, draw, days_2022_23)float32-3.192 -3.192 ... -3.205 -3.205
array([[[-3.1921656, -3.1921656, -3.1921656, ..., -3.1921656, -3.1921656, -3.1921656], [-3.1885662, -3.1885662, -3.1885662, ..., -3.1885662, -3.1885662, -3.1885662], [-3.1749265, -3.1749265, -3.1749265, ..., -3.1749265, -3.1749265, -3.1749265], ..., [-3.2040431, -3.2040431, -3.2040431, ..., -3.2040431, -3.2040431, -3.2040431], [-3.2097337, -3.2097337, -3.2097337, ..., -3.2097337, -3.2097337, -3.2097337], [-3.1991606, -3.1991606, -3.1991606, ..., -3.1991606, -3.1991606, -3.1991606]], [[-3.1907425, -3.1907425, -3.1907425, ..., -3.1907425, -3.1907425, -3.1907425], [-3.1939626, -3.1939626, -3.1939626, ..., -3.1939626, -3.1939626, -3.1939626], [-3.1886454, -3.1886454, -3.1886454, ..., -3.1886454, -3.1886454, -3.1886454], ... [-3.1801667, -3.1801667, -3.1801667, ..., -3.1801667, -3.1801667, -3.1801667], [-3.1829815, -3.1829815, -3.1829815, ..., -3.1829815, -3.1829815, -3.1829815], [-3.1969905, -3.1969905, -3.1969905, ..., -3.1969905, -3.1969905, -3.1969905]], [[-3.1942437, -3.1942437, -3.1942437, ..., -3.1942437, -3.1942437, -3.1942437], [-3.1962585, -3.1962585, -3.1962585, ..., -3.1962585, -3.1962585, -3.1962585], [-3.192167 , -3.192167 , -3.192167 , ..., -3.192167 , -3.192167 , -3.192167 ], ..., [-3.177706 , -3.177706 , -3.177706 , ..., -3.177706 , -3.177706 , -3.177706 ], [-3.2023835, -3.2023835, -3.2023835, ..., -3.2023835, -3.2023835, -3.2023835], [-3.205019 , -3.205019 , -3.205019 , ..., -3.205019 , -3.205019 , -3.205019 ]]], dtype=float32) - r_2022_23_age_youth(chain, draw)float32-3.192 -3.189 ... -3.202 -3.205
array([[-3.1921656, -3.1885662, -3.1749265, -3.2048209, -3.1891954, -3.184131 , -3.191719 , -3.2101748, -3.201655 , -3.1769474, -3.1936197, -3.191311 , -3.2059908, -3.1960442, -3.1905394, -3.2125468, -3.2100277, -3.2029278, -3.1883602, -3.2045984, -3.2045963, -3.1921835, -3.1686065, -3.2139838, -3.210606 , -3.1951923, -3.1898248, -3.1904647, -3.209633 , -3.1941636, -3.1877449, -3.1949499, -3.1888952, -3.195237 , -3.1909976, -3.1969838, -3.1792648, -3.1782603, -3.1788387, -3.179905 , -3.179905 , -3.1791196, -3.1791196, -3.1791196, -3.1791196, -3.1805742, -3.1811864, -3.1832812, -3.1832812, -3.1832812, -3.184338 , -3.184338 , -3.184338 , -3.184338 , -3.184338 , -3.1852257, -3.1852257, -3.1836038, -3.1836038, -3.1836038, -3.183582 , -3.183582 , -3.183582 , -3.183582 , -3.183582 , -3.183582 , -3.181892 , -3.181892 , -3.181722 , -3.181722 , -3.1798759, -3.1797245, -3.179038 , -3.1788826, -3.1795387, -3.1795387, -3.1797884, -3.1797884, -3.1797884, -3.1797884, -3.181622 , -3.181622 , -3.181622 , -3.1815464, -3.1815464, -3.1826422, -3.1826422, -3.1826422, -3.1826422, -3.1821163, -3.1821163, -3.1821163, -3.1812012, -3.1812012, -3.1812012, -3.1812012, -3.1812012, -3.1812012, -3.1812012, -3.1812882, ... -3.1882343, -3.1924863, -3.1781132, -3.1887474, -3.190508 , -3.1960452, -3.1958482, -3.167622 , -3.1789596, -3.1988573, -3.1805682, -3.1956153, -3.190128 , -3.1959748, -3.2002375, -3.201575 , -3.174721 , -3.1778948, -3.1708124, -3.2036347, -3.2003248, -3.1850674, -3.1911583, -3.1768253, -3.168136 , -3.1791444, -3.181308 , -3.1979456, -3.1753683, -3.2033217, -3.1844378, -3.2061958, -3.1758547, -3.204721 , -3.1952126, -3.195719 , -3.1829407, -3.1963837, -3.1796134, -3.2094362, -3.1808128, -3.1914668, -3.1769998, -3.187931 , -3.1820538, -3.19026 , -3.1964006, -3.1980517, -3.2007089, -3.194395 , -3.190505 , -3.1901991, -3.1873426, -3.193524 , -3.2056293, -3.2007327, -3.2144055, -3.1752188, -3.2038834, -3.1779387, -3.1827965, -3.1736603, -3.1738763, -3.1885972, -3.1853805, -3.182266 , -3.2015095, -3.1839764, -3.1674924, -3.2124765, -3.180631 , -3.2065043, -3.1979325, -3.2094867, -3.1699455, -3.1651475, -3.1703823, -3.2017453, -3.1712794, -3.2044013, -3.1769147, -3.1957254, -3.196705 , -3.178256 , -3.1730917, -3.201684 , -3.1968474, -3.189848 , -3.1848862, -3.1927986, -3.1662576, -3.1970346, -3.177706 , -3.2023835, -3.205019 ]], dtype=float32) - r_2022_23_age_youth_daily(chain, draw, days_2022_23)float32-3.192 -3.192 ... -3.205 -3.205
array([[[-3.1921656, -3.1921656, -3.1921656, ..., -3.1921656, -3.1921656, -3.1921656], [-3.1885662, -3.1885662, -3.1885662, ..., -3.1885662, -3.1885662, -3.1885662], [-3.1749265, -3.1749265, -3.1749265, ..., -3.1749265, -3.1749265, -3.1749265], ..., [-3.2040431, -3.2040431, -3.2040431, ..., -3.2040431, -3.2040431, -3.2040431], [-3.2097337, -3.2097337, -3.2097337, ..., -3.2097337, -3.2097337, -3.2097337], [-3.1991606, -3.1991606, -3.1991606, ..., -3.1991606, -3.1991606, -3.1991606]], [[-3.1907425, -3.1907425, -3.1907425, ..., -3.1907425, -3.1907425, -3.1907425], [-3.1939626, -3.1939626, -3.1939626, ..., -3.1939626, -3.1939626, -3.1939626], [-3.1886454, -3.1886454, -3.1886454, ..., -3.1886454, -3.1886454, -3.1886454], ... [-3.1801667, -3.1801667, -3.1801667, ..., -3.1801667, -3.1801667, -3.1801667], [-3.1829815, -3.1829815, -3.1829815, ..., -3.1829815, -3.1829815, -3.1829815], [-3.1969905, -3.1969905, -3.1969905, ..., -3.1969905, -3.1969905, -3.1969905]], [[-3.1942437, -3.1942437, -3.1942437, ..., -3.1942437, -3.1942437, -3.1942437], [-3.1962585, -3.1962585, -3.1962585, ..., -3.1962585, -3.1962585, -3.1962585], [-3.192167 , -3.192167 , -3.192167 , ..., -3.192167 , -3.192167 , -3.192167 ], ..., [-3.177706 , -3.177706 , -3.177706 , ..., -3.177706 , -3.177706 , -3.177706 ], [-3.2023835, -3.2023835, -3.2023835, ..., -3.2023835, -3.2023835, -3.2023835], [-3.205019 , -3.205019 , -3.205019 , ..., -3.205019 , -3.205019 , -3.205019 ]]], dtype=float32) - r_2023_24_age_adult(chain, draw)float32-3.092 -3.082 ... -3.098 -3.1
array([[-3.0916054, -3.0821452, -3.0935264, -3.0902605, -3.090389 , -3.0962815, -3.0727973, -3.0812654, -3.0993838, -3.0768585, -3.0890315, -3.0803518, -3.0935237, -3.0921822, -3.0994275, -3.0908499, -3.0877714, -3.0867772, -3.0877767, -3.0904129, -3.095865 , -3.104712 , -3.094696 , -3.10703 , -3.0847366, -3.0888758, -3.0847566, -3.0896363, -3.0871997, -3.1040123, -3.0918412, -3.0707645, -3.099463 , -3.0703144, -3.100728 , -3.087809 , -3.0959954, -3.09105 , -3.0905683, -3.091091 , -3.091091 , -3.0917478, -3.0917478, -3.0917478, -3.0917478, -3.0914645, -3.0926077, -3.092015 , -3.092015 , -3.092015 , -3.0911903, -3.0911903, -3.0911903, -3.0911903, -3.0911903, -3.0916846, -3.0916846, -3.0901394, -3.0901394, -3.0901394, -3.0891798, -3.0891798, -3.0891798, -3.0891798, -3.0891798, -3.0891798, -3.089599 , -3.089599 , -3.0902753, -3.0902753, -3.0907195, -3.0918782, -3.0911748, -3.09125 , -3.0912266, -3.0912266, -3.09176 , -3.09176 , -3.09176 , -3.09176 , -3.092908 , -3.092908 , -3.092908 , -3.0942261, -3.0942261, -3.0944173, -3.0944173, -3.0944173, -3.0944173, -3.0939813, -3.0939813, -3.0939813, -3.0945966, -3.0945966, -3.0945966, -3.0945966, -3.0945966, -3.0945966, -3.0945966, -3.0966253, ... -3.092805 , -3.078171 , -3.0685995, -3.0700881, -3.095042 , -3.0724921, -3.0894482, -3.0700138, -3.0846825, -3.1020746, -3.0728164, -3.1085792, -3.1096747, -3.0692527, -3.096771 , -3.1199641, -3.0659606, -3.084011 , -3.0832648, -3.0941586, -3.0938907, -3.0752563, -3.0916865, -3.073542 , -3.0769835, -3.0953794, -3.0927975, -3.0834858, -3.071022 , -3.0819721, -3.0749178, -3.099669 , -3.084218 , -3.0899613, -3.0775487, -3.082753 , -3.0976899, -3.0818272, -3.1027167, -3.0666354, -3.0932748, -3.0898397, -3.091725 , -3.0858436, -3.0689247, -3.1249156, -3.120624 , -3.0856261, -3.1105127, -3.1117554, -3.085787 , -3.0752873, -3.0947194, -3.111367 , -3.1066353, -3.0856533, -3.0874808, -3.0853794, -3.081865 , -3.0938733, -3.109905 , -3.102686 , -3.0902038, -3.1003323, -3.100855 , -3.0812252, -3.0607247, -3.069091 , -3.061111 , -3.0949273, -3.0785735, -3.1065235, -3.0911183, -3.096208 , -3.1065588, -3.0983286, -3.1024423, -3.0904748, -3.0865417, -3.0764554, -3.099119 , -3.0675313, -3.0735266, -3.0927203, -3.0870504, -3.10004 , -3.0776439, -3.088951 , -3.0913916, -3.076858 , -3.078337 , -3.0920146, -3.093915 , -3.0976734, -3.0999234]], dtype=float32) - r_2023_24_age_adult_daily(chain, draw, days_2023_24)float32-3.092 -3.092 -3.092 ... -3.1 -3.1
array([[[-3.0916054, -3.0916054, -3.0916054, ..., -3.0916054, -3.0916054, -3.0916054], [-3.0821452, -3.0821452, -3.0821452, ..., -3.0821452, -3.0821452, -3.0821452], [-3.0935264, -3.0935264, -3.0935264, ..., -3.0935264, -3.0935264, -3.0935264], ..., [-3.0934196, -3.0934196, -3.0934196, ..., -3.0934196, -3.0934196, -3.0934196], [-3.092012 , -3.092012 , -3.092012 , ..., -3.092012 , -3.092012 , -3.092012 ], [-3.0901859, -3.0901859, -3.0901859, ..., -3.0901859, -3.0901859, -3.0901859]], [[-3.0940433, -3.0940433, -3.0940433, ..., -3.0940433, -3.0940433, -3.0940433], [-3.092792 , -3.092792 , -3.092792 , ..., -3.092792 , -3.092792 , -3.092792 ], [-3.0849488, -3.0849488, -3.0849488, ..., -3.0849488, -3.0849488, -3.0849488], ... [-3.0879805, -3.0879805, -3.0879805, ..., -3.0879805, -3.0879805, -3.0879805], [-3.0792265, -3.0792265, -3.0792265, ..., -3.0792265, -3.0792265, -3.0792265], [-3.0824437, -3.0824437, -3.0824437, ..., -3.0824437, -3.0824437, -3.0824437]], [[-3.0771933, -3.0771933, -3.0771933, ..., -3.0771933, -3.0771933, -3.0771933], [-3.095052 , -3.095052 , -3.095052 , ..., -3.095052 , -3.095052 , -3.095052 ], [-3.075635 , -3.075635 , -3.075635 , ..., -3.075635 , -3.075635 , -3.075635 ], ..., [-3.093915 , -3.093915 , -3.093915 , ..., -3.093915 , -3.093915 , -3.093915 ], [-3.0976734, -3.0976734, -3.0976734, ..., -3.0976734, -3.0976734, -3.0976734], [-3.0999234, -3.0999234, -3.0999234, ..., -3.0999234, -3.0999234, -3.0999234]]], dtype=float32) - r_2023_24_age_elderly(chain, draw)float32-3.092 -3.082 ... -3.098 -3.1
array([[-3.0916054, -3.0821452, -3.0935264, -3.0902605, -3.090389 , -3.0962815, -3.0727973, -3.0812654, -3.0993838, -3.0768585, -3.0890315, -3.0803518, -3.0935237, -3.0921822, -3.0994275, -3.0908499, -3.0877714, -3.0867772, -3.0877767, -3.0904129, -3.095865 , -3.104712 , -3.094696 , -3.10703 , -3.0847366, -3.0888758, -3.0847566, -3.0896363, -3.0871997, -3.1040123, -3.0918412, -3.0707645, -3.099463 , -3.0703144, -3.100728 , -3.087809 , -3.0959954, -3.09105 , -3.0905683, -3.091091 , -3.091091 , -3.0917478, -3.0917478, -3.0917478, -3.0917478, -3.0914645, -3.0926077, -3.092015 , -3.092015 , -3.092015 , -3.0911903, -3.0911903, -3.0911903, -3.0911903, -3.0911903, -3.0916846, -3.0916846, -3.0901394, -3.0901394, -3.0901394, -3.0891798, -3.0891798, -3.0891798, -3.0891798, -3.0891798, -3.0891798, -3.089599 , -3.089599 , -3.0902753, -3.0902753, -3.0907195, -3.0918782, -3.0911748, -3.09125 , -3.0912266, -3.0912266, -3.09176 , -3.09176 , -3.09176 , -3.09176 , -3.092908 , -3.092908 , -3.092908 , -3.0942261, -3.0942261, -3.0944173, -3.0944173, -3.0944173, -3.0944173, -3.0939813, -3.0939813, -3.0939813, -3.0945966, -3.0945966, -3.0945966, -3.0945966, -3.0945966, -3.0945966, -3.0945966, -3.0966253, ... -3.092805 , -3.078171 , -3.0685995, -3.0700881, -3.095042 , -3.0724921, -3.0894482, -3.0700138, -3.0846825, -3.1020746, -3.0728164, -3.1085792, -3.1096747, -3.0692527, -3.096771 , -3.1199641, -3.0659606, -3.084011 , -3.0832648, -3.0941586, -3.0938907, -3.0752563, -3.0916865, -3.073542 , -3.0769835, -3.0953794, -3.0927975, -3.0834858, -3.071022 , -3.0819721, -3.0749178, -3.099669 , -3.084218 , -3.0899613, -3.0775487, -3.082753 , -3.0976899, -3.0818272, -3.1027167, -3.0666354, -3.0932748, -3.0898397, -3.091725 , -3.0858436, -3.0689247, -3.1249156, -3.120624 , -3.0856261, -3.1105127, -3.1117554, -3.085787 , -3.0752873, -3.0947194, -3.111367 , -3.1066353, -3.0856533, -3.0874808, -3.0853794, -3.081865 , -3.0938733, -3.109905 , -3.102686 , -3.0902038, -3.1003323, -3.100855 , -3.0812252, -3.0607247, -3.069091 , -3.061111 , -3.0949273, -3.0785735, -3.1065235, -3.0911183, -3.096208 , -3.1065588, -3.0983286, -3.1024423, -3.0904748, -3.0865417, -3.0764554, -3.099119 , -3.0675313, -3.0735266, -3.0927203, -3.0870504, -3.10004 , -3.0776439, -3.088951 , -3.0913916, -3.076858 , -3.078337 , -3.0920146, -3.093915 , -3.0976734, -3.0999234]], dtype=float32) - r_2023_24_age_elderly_daily(chain, draw, days_2023_24)float32-3.092 -3.092 -3.092 ... -3.1 -3.1
array([[[-3.0916054, -3.0916054, -3.0916054, ..., -3.0916054, -3.0916054, -3.0916054], [-3.0821452, -3.0821452, -3.0821452, ..., -3.0821452, -3.0821452, -3.0821452], [-3.0935264, -3.0935264, -3.0935264, ..., -3.0935264, -3.0935264, -3.0935264], ..., [-3.0934196, -3.0934196, -3.0934196, ..., -3.0934196, -3.0934196, -3.0934196], [-3.092012 , -3.092012 , -3.092012 , ..., -3.092012 , -3.092012 , -3.092012 ], [-3.0901859, -3.0901859, -3.0901859, ..., -3.0901859, -3.0901859, -3.0901859]], [[-3.0940433, -3.0940433, -3.0940433, ..., -3.0940433, -3.0940433, -3.0940433], [-3.092792 , -3.092792 , -3.092792 , ..., -3.092792 , -3.092792 , -3.092792 ], [-3.0849488, -3.0849488, -3.0849488, ..., -3.0849488, -3.0849488, -3.0849488], ... [-3.0879805, -3.0879805, -3.0879805, ..., -3.0879805, -3.0879805, -3.0879805], [-3.0792265, -3.0792265, -3.0792265, ..., -3.0792265, -3.0792265, -3.0792265], [-3.0824437, -3.0824437, -3.0824437, ..., -3.0824437, -3.0824437, -3.0824437]], [[-3.0771933, -3.0771933, -3.0771933, ..., -3.0771933, -3.0771933, -3.0771933], [-3.095052 , -3.095052 , -3.095052 , ..., -3.095052 , -3.095052 , -3.095052 ], [-3.075635 , -3.075635 , -3.075635 , ..., -3.075635 , -3.075635 , -3.075635 ], ..., [-3.093915 , -3.093915 , -3.093915 , ..., -3.093915 , -3.093915 , -3.093915 ], [-3.0976734, -3.0976734, -3.0976734, ..., -3.0976734, -3.0976734, -3.0976734], [-3.0999234, -3.0999234, -3.0999234, ..., -3.0999234, -3.0999234, -3.0999234]]], dtype=float32) - r_2023_24_age_youth(chain, draw)float32-3.092 -3.082 ... -3.098 -3.1
array([[-3.0916054, -3.0821452, -3.0935264, -3.0902605, -3.090389 , -3.0962815, -3.0727973, -3.0812654, -3.0993838, -3.0768585, -3.0890315, -3.0803518, -3.0935237, -3.0921822, -3.0994275, -3.0908499, -3.0877714, -3.0867772, -3.0877767, -3.0904129, -3.095865 , -3.104712 , -3.094696 , -3.10703 , -3.0847366, -3.0888758, -3.0847566, -3.0896363, -3.0871997, -3.1040123, -3.0918412, -3.0707645, -3.099463 , -3.0703144, -3.100728 , -3.087809 , -3.0959954, -3.09105 , -3.0905683, -3.091091 , -3.091091 , -3.0917478, -3.0917478, -3.0917478, -3.0917478, -3.0914645, -3.0926077, -3.092015 , -3.092015 , -3.092015 , -3.0911903, -3.0911903, -3.0911903, -3.0911903, -3.0911903, -3.0916846, -3.0916846, -3.0901394, -3.0901394, -3.0901394, -3.0891798, -3.0891798, -3.0891798, -3.0891798, -3.0891798, -3.0891798, -3.089599 , -3.089599 , -3.0902753, -3.0902753, -3.0907195, -3.0918782, -3.0911748, -3.09125 , -3.0912266, -3.0912266, -3.09176 , -3.09176 , -3.09176 , -3.09176 , -3.092908 , -3.092908 , -3.092908 , -3.0942261, -3.0942261, -3.0944173, -3.0944173, -3.0944173, -3.0944173, -3.0939813, -3.0939813, -3.0939813, -3.0945966, -3.0945966, -3.0945966, -3.0945966, -3.0945966, -3.0945966, -3.0945966, -3.0966253, ... -3.092805 , -3.078171 , -3.0685995, -3.0700881, -3.095042 , -3.0724921, -3.0894482, -3.0700138, -3.0846825, -3.1020746, -3.0728164, -3.1085792, -3.1096747, -3.0692527, -3.096771 , -3.1199641, -3.0659606, -3.084011 , -3.0832648, -3.0941586, -3.0938907, -3.0752563, -3.0916865, -3.073542 , -3.0769835, -3.0953794, -3.0927975, -3.0834858, -3.071022 , -3.0819721, -3.0749178, -3.099669 , -3.084218 , -3.0899613, -3.0775487, -3.082753 , -3.0976899, -3.0818272, -3.1027167, -3.0666354, -3.0932748, -3.0898397, -3.091725 , -3.0858436, -3.0689247, -3.1249156, -3.120624 , -3.0856261, -3.1105127, -3.1117554, -3.085787 , -3.0752873, -3.0947194, -3.111367 , -3.1066353, -3.0856533, -3.0874808, -3.0853794, -3.081865 , -3.0938733, -3.109905 , -3.102686 , -3.0902038, -3.1003323, -3.100855 , -3.0812252, -3.0607247, -3.069091 , -3.061111 , -3.0949273, -3.0785735, -3.1065235, -3.0911183, -3.096208 , -3.1065588, -3.0983286, -3.1024423, -3.0904748, -3.0865417, -3.0764554, -3.099119 , -3.0675313, -3.0735266, -3.0927203, -3.0870504, -3.10004 , -3.0776439, -3.088951 , -3.0913916, -3.076858 , -3.078337 , -3.0920146, -3.093915 , -3.0976734, -3.0999234]], dtype=float32) - r_2023_24_age_youth_daily(chain, draw, days_2023_24)float32-3.092 -3.092 -3.092 ... -3.1 -3.1
array([[[-3.0916054, -3.0916054, -3.0916054, ..., -3.0916054, -3.0916054, -3.0916054], [-3.0821452, -3.0821452, -3.0821452, ..., -3.0821452, -3.0821452, -3.0821452], [-3.0935264, -3.0935264, -3.0935264, ..., -3.0935264, -3.0935264, -3.0935264], ..., [-3.0934196, -3.0934196, -3.0934196, ..., -3.0934196, -3.0934196, -3.0934196], [-3.092012 , -3.092012 , -3.092012 , ..., -3.092012 , -3.092012 , -3.092012 ], [-3.0901859, -3.0901859, -3.0901859, ..., -3.0901859, -3.0901859, -3.0901859]], [[-3.0940433, -3.0940433, -3.0940433, ..., -3.0940433, -3.0940433, -3.0940433], [-3.092792 , -3.092792 , -3.092792 , ..., -3.092792 , -3.092792 , -3.092792 ], [-3.0849488, -3.0849488, -3.0849488, ..., -3.0849488, -3.0849488, -3.0849488], ... [-3.0879805, -3.0879805, -3.0879805, ..., -3.0879805, -3.0879805, -3.0879805], [-3.0792265, -3.0792265, -3.0792265, ..., -3.0792265, -3.0792265, -3.0792265], [-3.0824437, -3.0824437, -3.0824437, ..., -3.0824437, -3.0824437, -3.0824437]], [[-3.0771933, -3.0771933, -3.0771933, ..., -3.0771933, -3.0771933, -3.0771933], [-3.095052 , -3.095052 , -3.095052 , ..., -3.095052 , -3.095052 , -3.095052 ], [-3.075635 , -3.075635 , -3.075635 , ..., -3.075635 , -3.075635 , -3.075635 ], ..., [-3.093915 , -3.093915 , -3.093915 , ..., -3.093915 , -3.093915 , -3.093915 ], [-3.0976734, -3.0976734, -3.0976734, ..., -3.0976734, -3.0976734, -3.0976734], [-3.0999234, -3.0999234, -3.0999234, ..., -3.0999234, -3.0999234, -3.0999234]]], dtype=float32) - r_2024_25_age_adult(chain, draw)float32-3.278 -3.287 ... -3.305 -3.306
array([[-3.2775383, -3.2872903, -3.2866626, -3.3059688, -3.2979965, -3.2960646, -3.2995164, -3.307466 , -3.2949686, -3.3035665, -3.2935665, -3.2949364, -3.3202438, -3.2886715, -3.2937024, -3.291106 , -3.288384 , -3.278509 , -3.2979875, -3.2980635, -3.2967632, -3.307531 , -3.312833 , -3.2834244, -3.296844 , -3.319795 , -3.2864244, -3.289083 , -3.306744 , -3.3142962, -3.3104262, -3.2873158, -3.2995524, -3.2871015, -3.3051867, -3.301985 , -3.2870913, -3.2996092, -3.298334 , -3.2990248, -3.2990248, -3.299893 , -3.299893 , -3.299893 , -3.299893 , -3.3006022, -3.3020544, -3.3012285, -3.3012285, -3.3012285, -3.2998738, -3.2998738, -3.2998738, -3.2998738, -3.2998738, -3.3000703, -3.3000703, -3.3016067, -3.3016067, -3.3016067, -3.2995775, -3.2995775, -3.2995775, -3.2995775, -3.2995775, -3.2995775, -3.2995586, -3.2995586, -3.2976315, -3.2976315, -3.295994 , -3.2954104, -3.2957952, -3.296211 , -3.2972703, -3.2972703, -3.2983873, -3.2983873, -3.2983873, -3.2983873, -3.299194 , -3.299194 , -3.299194 , -3.3000424, -3.3000424, -3.3003347, -3.3003347, -3.3003347, -3.3003347, -3.2999463, -3.2999463, -3.2999463, -3.2985203, -3.2985203, -3.2985203, -3.2985203, -3.2985203, -3.2985203, -3.2985203, -3.2985582, ... -3.3278472, -3.2967107, -3.3077595, -3.3173368, -3.2856565, -3.3171983, -3.2914236, -3.3130295, -3.278537 , -3.3125448, -3.2912462, -3.3182557, -3.3164618, -3.2969086, -3.3108828, -3.3133621, -3.3099623, -3.289697 , -3.2904694, -3.310994 , -3.304258 , -3.2907982, -3.3096097, -3.2839985, -3.2801292, -3.2821329, -3.3111026, -3.3195496, -3.3087826, -3.3081613, -3.2964027, -3.3126805, -3.308788 , -3.3009999, -3.307084 , -3.2866402, -3.2907033, -3.3115432, -3.3069098, -3.3035128, -3.3040926, -3.282479 , -3.3161635, -3.3260708, -3.3183284, -3.304888 , -3.309897 , -3.2969422, -3.2857404, -3.2776766, -3.3295105, -3.3232281, -3.2935483, -3.3234315, -3.3232317, -3.3090086, -3.289028 , -3.291174 , -3.2915783, -3.31093 , -3.2914202, -3.2902043, -3.3024514, -3.3074613, -3.3024094, -3.2672698, -3.2848756, -3.307383 , -3.3078105, -3.2980604, -3.291425 , -3.3036385, -3.2834218, -3.3041177, -3.3230562, -3.3152196, -3.3174646, -3.3101244, -3.2868688, -3.3007183, -3.2922056, -3.3008475, -3.3158057, -3.2930236, -3.2967927, -3.3002796, -3.3308754, -3.3015022, -3.2947586, -3.3123534, -3.3047924, -3.3025658, -3.304794 , -3.3047128, -3.3058085]], dtype=float32) - r_2024_25_age_adult_daily(chain, draw, days_2024_25)float32-3.278 -3.278 ... -3.306 -3.306
array([[[-3.2775383, -3.2775383, -3.2775383, ..., -3.2775383, -3.2775383, -3.2775383], [-3.2872903, -3.2872903, -3.2872903, ..., -3.2872903, -3.2872903, -3.2872903], [-3.2866626, -3.2866626, -3.2866626, ..., -3.2866626, -3.2866626, -3.2866626], ..., [-3.3107615, -3.3107615, -3.3107615, ..., -3.3107615, -3.3107615, -3.3107615], [-3.3153791, -3.3153791, -3.3153791, ..., -3.3153791, -3.3153791, -3.3153791], [-3.3141606, -3.3141606, -3.3141606, ..., -3.3141606, -3.3141606, -3.3141606]], [[-3.303792 , -3.303792 , -3.303792 , ..., -3.303792 , -3.303792 , -3.303792 ], [-3.3046143, -3.3046143, -3.3046143, ..., -3.3046143, -3.3046143, -3.3046143], [-3.2856984, -3.2856984, -3.2856984, ..., -3.2856984, -3.2856984, -3.2856984], ... [-3.323565 , -3.323565 , -3.323565 , ..., -3.323565 , -3.323565 , -3.323565 ], [-3.3262198, -3.3262198, -3.3262198, ..., -3.3262198, -3.3262198, -3.3262198], [-3.3033402, -3.3033402, -3.3033402, ..., -3.3033402, -3.3033402, -3.3033402]], [[-3.268778 , -3.268778 , -3.268778 , ..., -3.268778 , -3.268778 , -3.268778 ], [-3.3388143, -3.3388143, -3.3388143, ..., -3.3388143, -3.3388143, -3.3388143], [-3.287022 , -3.287022 , -3.287022 , ..., -3.287022 , -3.287022 , -3.287022 ], ..., [-3.304794 , -3.304794 , -3.304794 , ..., -3.304794 , -3.304794 , -3.304794 ], [-3.3047128, -3.3047128, -3.3047128, ..., -3.3047128, -3.3047128, -3.3047128], [-3.3058085, -3.3058085, -3.3058085, ..., -3.3058085, -3.3058085, -3.3058085]]], dtype=float32) - r_2024_25_age_elderly(chain, draw)float32-3.278 -3.287 ... -3.305 -3.306
array([[-3.2775383, -3.2872903, -3.2866626, -3.3059688, -3.2979965, -3.2960646, -3.2995164, -3.307466 , -3.2949686, -3.3035665, -3.2935665, -3.2949364, -3.3202438, -3.2886715, -3.2937024, -3.291106 , -3.288384 , -3.278509 , -3.2979875, -3.2980635, -3.2967632, -3.307531 , -3.312833 , -3.2834244, -3.296844 , -3.319795 , -3.2864244, -3.289083 , -3.306744 , -3.3142962, -3.3104262, -3.2873158, -3.2995524, -3.2871015, -3.3051867, -3.301985 , -3.2870913, -3.2996092, -3.298334 , -3.2990248, -3.2990248, -3.299893 , -3.299893 , -3.299893 , -3.299893 , -3.3006022, -3.3020544, -3.3012285, -3.3012285, -3.3012285, -3.2998738, -3.2998738, -3.2998738, -3.2998738, -3.2998738, -3.3000703, -3.3000703, -3.3016067, -3.3016067, -3.3016067, -3.2995775, -3.2995775, -3.2995775, -3.2995775, -3.2995775, -3.2995775, -3.2995586, -3.2995586, -3.2976315, -3.2976315, -3.295994 , -3.2954104, -3.2957952, -3.296211 , -3.2972703, -3.2972703, -3.2983873, -3.2983873, -3.2983873, -3.2983873, -3.299194 , -3.299194 , -3.299194 , -3.3000424, -3.3000424, -3.3003347, -3.3003347, -3.3003347, -3.3003347, -3.2999463, -3.2999463, -3.2999463, -3.2985203, -3.2985203, -3.2985203, -3.2985203, -3.2985203, -3.2985203, -3.2985203, -3.2985582, ... -3.3278472, -3.2967107, -3.3077595, -3.3173368, -3.2856565, -3.3171983, -3.2914236, -3.3130295, -3.278537 , -3.3125448, -3.2912462, -3.3182557, -3.3164618, -3.2969086, -3.3108828, -3.3133621, -3.3099623, -3.289697 , -3.2904694, -3.310994 , -3.304258 , -3.2907982, -3.3096097, -3.2839985, -3.2801292, -3.2821329, -3.3111026, -3.3195496, -3.3087826, -3.3081613, -3.2964027, -3.3126805, -3.308788 , -3.3009999, -3.307084 , -3.2866402, -3.2907033, -3.3115432, -3.3069098, -3.3035128, -3.3040926, -3.282479 , -3.3161635, -3.3260708, -3.3183284, -3.304888 , -3.309897 , -3.2969422, -3.2857404, -3.2776766, -3.3295105, -3.3232281, -3.2935483, -3.3234315, -3.3232317, -3.3090086, -3.289028 , -3.291174 , -3.2915783, -3.31093 , -3.2914202, -3.2902043, -3.3024514, -3.3074613, -3.3024094, -3.2672698, -3.2848756, -3.307383 , -3.3078105, -3.2980604, -3.291425 , -3.3036385, -3.2834218, -3.3041177, -3.3230562, -3.3152196, -3.3174646, -3.3101244, -3.2868688, -3.3007183, -3.2922056, -3.3008475, -3.3158057, -3.2930236, -3.2967927, -3.3002796, -3.3308754, -3.3015022, -3.2947586, -3.3123534, -3.3047924, -3.3025658, -3.304794 , -3.3047128, -3.3058085]], dtype=float32) - r_2024_25_age_elderly_daily(chain, draw, days_2024_25)float32-3.278 -3.278 ... -3.306 -3.306
array([[[-3.2775383, -3.2775383, -3.2775383, ..., -3.2775383, -3.2775383, -3.2775383], [-3.2872903, -3.2872903, -3.2872903, ..., -3.2872903, -3.2872903, -3.2872903], [-3.2866626, -3.2866626, -3.2866626, ..., -3.2866626, -3.2866626, -3.2866626], ..., [-3.3107615, -3.3107615, -3.3107615, ..., -3.3107615, -3.3107615, -3.3107615], [-3.3153791, -3.3153791, -3.3153791, ..., -3.3153791, -3.3153791, -3.3153791], [-3.3141606, -3.3141606, -3.3141606, ..., -3.3141606, -3.3141606, -3.3141606]], [[-3.303792 , -3.303792 , -3.303792 , ..., -3.303792 , -3.303792 , -3.303792 ], [-3.3046143, -3.3046143, -3.3046143, ..., -3.3046143, -3.3046143, -3.3046143], [-3.2856984, -3.2856984, -3.2856984, ..., -3.2856984, -3.2856984, -3.2856984], ... [-3.323565 , -3.323565 , -3.323565 , ..., -3.323565 , -3.323565 , -3.323565 ], [-3.3262198, -3.3262198, -3.3262198, ..., -3.3262198, -3.3262198, -3.3262198], [-3.3033402, -3.3033402, -3.3033402, ..., -3.3033402, -3.3033402, -3.3033402]], [[-3.268778 , -3.268778 , -3.268778 , ..., -3.268778 , -3.268778 , -3.268778 ], [-3.3388143, -3.3388143, -3.3388143, ..., -3.3388143, -3.3388143, -3.3388143], [-3.287022 , -3.287022 , -3.287022 , ..., -3.287022 , -3.287022 , -3.287022 ], ..., [-3.304794 , -3.304794 , -3.304794 , ..., -3.304794 , -3.304794 , -3.304794 ], [-3.3047128, -3.3047128, -3.3047128, ..., -3.3047128, -3.3047128, -3.3047128], [-3.3058085, -3.3058085, -3.3058085, ..., -3.3058085, -3.3058085, -3.3058085]]], dtype=float32) - r_2024_25_age_youth(chain, draw)float32-3.278 -3.287 ... -3.305 -3.306
array([[-3.2775383, -3.2872903, -3.2866626, -3.3059688, -3.2979965, -3.2960646, -3.2995164, -3.307466 , -3.2949686, -3.3035665, -3.2935665, -3.2949364, -3.3202438, -3.2886715, -3.2937024, -3.291106 , -3.288384 , -3.278509 , -3.2979875, -3.2980635, -3.2967632, -3.307531 , -3.312833 , -3.2834244, -3.296844 , -3.319795 , -3.2864244, -3.289083 , -3.306744 , -3.3142962, -3.3104262, -3.2873158, -3.2995524, -3.2871015, -3.3051867, -3.301985 , -3.2870913, -3.2996092, -3.298334 , -3.2990248, -3.2990248, -3.299893 , -3.299893 , -3.299893 , -3.299893 , -3.3006022, -3.3020544, -3.3012285, -3.3012285, -3.3012285, -3.2998738, -3.2998738, -3.2998738, -3.2998738, -3.2998738, -3.3000703, -3.3000703, -3.3016067, -3.3016067, -3.3016067, -3.2995775, -3.2995775, -3.2995775, -3.2995775, -3.2995775, -3.2995775, -3.2995586, -3.2995586, -3.2976315, -3.2976315, -3.295994 , -3.2954104, -3.2957952, -3.296211 , -3.2972703, -3.2972703, -3.2983873, -3.2983873, -3.2983873, -3.2983873, -3.299194 , -3.299194 , -3.299194 , -3.3000424, -3.3000424, -3.3003347, -3.3003347, -3.3003347, -3.3003347, -3.2999463, -3.2999463, -3.2999463, -3.2985203, -3.2985203, -3.2985203, -3.2985203, -3.2985203, -3.2985203, -3.2985203, -3.2985582, ... -3.3278472, -3.2967107, -3.3077595, -3.3173368, -3.2856565, -3.3171983, -3.2914236, -3.3130295, -3.278537 , -3.3125448, -3.2912462, -3.3182557, -3.3164618, -3.2969086, -3.3108828, -3.3133621, -3.3099623, -3.289697 , -3.2904694, -3.310994 , -3.304258 , -3.2907982, -3.3096097, -3.2839985, -3.2801292, -3.2821329, -3.3111026, -3.3195496, -3.3087826, -3.3081613, -3.2964027, -3.3126805, -3.308788 , -3.3009999, -3.307084 , -3.2866402, -3.2907033, -3.3115432, -3.3069098, -3.3035128, -3.3040926, -3.282479 , -3.3161635, -3.3260708, -3.3183284, -3.304888 , -3.309897 , -3.2969422, -3.2857404, -3.2776766, -3.3295105, -3.3232281, -3.2935483, -3.3234315, -3.3232317, -3.3090086, -3.289028 , -3.291174 , -3.2915783, -3.31093 , -3.2914202, -3.2902043, -3.3024514, -3.3074613, -3.3024094, -3.2672698, -3.2848756, -3.307383 , -3.3078105, -3.2980604, -3.291425 , -3.3036385, -3.2834218, -3.3041177, -3.3230562, -3.3152196, -3.3174646, -3.3101244, -3.2868688, -3.3007183, -3.2922056, -3.3008475, -3.3158057, -3.2930236, -3.2967927, -3.3002796, -3.3308754, -3.3015022, -3.2947586, -3.3123534, -3.3047924, -3.3025658, -3.304794 , -3.3047128, -3.3058085]], dtype=float32) - r_2024_25_age_youth_daily(chain, draw, days_2024_25)float32-3.278 -3.278 ... -3.306 -3.306
array([[[-3.2775383, -3.2775383, -3.2775383, ..., -3.2775383, -3.2775383, -3.2775383], [-3.2872903, -3.2872903, -3.2872903, ..., -3.2872903, -3.2872903, -3.2872903], [-3.2866626, -3.2866626, -3.2866626, ..., -3.2866626, -3.2866626, -3.2866626], ..., [-3.3107615, -3.3107615, -3.3107615, ..., -3.3107615, -3.3107615, -3.3107615], [-3.3153791, -3.3153791, -3.3153791, ..., -3.3153791, -3.3153791, -3.3153791], [-3.3141606, -3.3141606, -3.3141606, ..., -3.3141606, -3.3141606, -3.3141606]], [[-3.303792 , -3.303792 , -3.303792 , ..., -3.303792 , -3.303792 , -3.303792 ], [-3.3046143, -3.3046143, -3.3046143, ..., -3.3046143, -3.3046143, -3.3046143], [-3.2856984, -3.2856984, -3.2856984, ..., -3.2856984, -3.2856984, -3.2856984], ... [-3.323565 , -3.323565 , -3.323565 , ..., -3.323565 , -3.323565 , -3.323565 ], [-3.3262198, -3.3262198, -3.3262198, ..., -3.3262198, -3.3262198, -3.3262198], [-3.3033402, -3.3033402, -3.3033402, ..., -3.3033402, -3.3033402, -3.3033402]], [[-3.268778 , -3.268778 , -3.268778 , ..., -3.268778 , -3.268778 , -3.268778 ], [-3.3388143, -3.3388143, -3.3388143, ..., -3.3388143, -3.3388143, -3.3388143], [-3.287022 , -3.287022 , -3.287022 , ..., -3.287022 , -3.287022 , -3.287022 ], ..., [-3.304794 , -3.304794 , -3.304794 , ..., -3.304794 , -3.304794 , -3.304794 ], [-3.3047128, -3.3047128, -3.3047128, ..., -3.3047128, -3.3047128, -3.3047128], [-3.3058085, -3.3058085, -3.3058085, ..., -3.3058085, -3.3058085, -3.3058085]]], dtype=float32) - r_season(chain, draw, season)float32-3.192 -3.092 ... -3.1 -3.306
array([[[-3.1921656, -3.0916054, -3.2775383], [-3.1885662, -3.0821452, -3.2872903], [-3.1749265, -3.0935264, -3.2866626], ..., [-3.2040431, -3.0934196, -3.3107615], [-3.2097337, -3.092012 , -3.3153791], [-3.1991606, -3.0901859, -3.3141606]], [[-3.1907425, -3.0940433, -3.303792 ], [-3.1939626, -3.092792 , -3.3046143], [-3.1886454, -3.0849488, -3.2856984], ..., [-3.1707819, -3.063707 , -3.292959 ], [-3.1887007, -3.0752068, -3.2996716], [-3.1888216, -3.0840645, -3.288109 ]], [[-3.186049 , -3.0835624, -3.285512 ], [-3.1786227, -3.1029212, -3.2826397], [-3.1805954, -3.0986342, -3.2792706], ..., [-3.1801667, -3.0879805, -3.323565 ], [-3.1829815, -3.0792265, -3.3262198], [-3.1969905, -3.0824437, -3.3033402]], [[-3.1942437, -3.0771933, -3.268778 ], [-3.1962585, -3.095052 , -3.3388143], [-3.192167 , -3.075635 , -3.287022 ], ..., [-3.177706 , -3.093915 , -3.304794 ], [-3.2023835, -3.0976734, -3.3047128], [-3.205019 , -3.0999234, -3.3058085]]], dtype=float32) - r_season_mu(chain, draw)float32-3.202 -3.146 ... -3.341 -3.542
array([[-3.2019928, -3.1464007, -3.251587 , -3.2992759, -3.3324513, -3.2737916, -2.940662 , -3.2494245, -3.180291 , -2.5800629, -3.3634398, -3.5046008, -2.7393842, -2.4320192, -2.4905956, -2.6524518, -2.6828291, -2.7538254, -3.295017 , -3.0125527, -2.9912536, -3.345139 , -3.0775177, -3.3938758, -3.2595494, -3.3355963, -3.0863366, -3.1026354, -3.2998085, -3.1553264, -3.2605035, -3.1939144, -3.4994228, -3.337404 , -3.1341126, -3.2292178, -3.1986716, -3.2312844, -3.2160625, -3.1920464, -3.1920464, -3.2134728, -3.2134728, -3.2134728, -3.2134728, -3.2071586, -3.2011597, -3.2474606, -3.2474606, -3.2474606, -3.2745368, -3.2745368, -3.2745368, -3.2745368, -3.2745368, -3.292273 , -3.292273 , -3.279654 , -3.279654 , -3.279654 , -3.2767549, -3.2767549, -3.2767549, -3.2767549, -3.2767549, -3.2767549, -3.2667985, -3.2667985, -3.2625854, -3.2625854, -3.2651467, -3.2592897, -3.26464 , -3.2665098, -3.256691 , -3.256691 , -3.2493412, -3.2493412, -3.2493412, -3.2493412, -3.2540028, -3.2540028, -3.2540028, -3.2546961, -3.2546961, -3.2498791, -3.2498791, -3.2498791, -3.2498791, -3.2668633, -3.2668633, -3.2668633, -3.268045 , -3.268045 , -3.268045 , -3.268045 , -3.268045 , -3.268045 , -3.268045 , -3.2663944, ... -3.3132522, -3.099662 , -2.9809809, -3.354289 , -2.9601934, -3.37587 , -1.9878583, -2.6802568, -3.6225893, -3.2787611, -3.2062106, -3.2001421, -3.261795 , -3.5075643, -3.319733 , -3.155955 , -3.1665463, -3.1470006, -3.218467 , -3.1227217, -3.4035082, -3.4050019, -3.022844 , -3.4621542, -3.5948563, -2.7752652, -3.1813376, -3.2311652, -3.216079 , -3.1215813, -3.2480829, -3.3826287, -3.042332 , -3.0291302, -3.3020205, -3.2415948, -3.2218382, -3.2163506, -3.1939192, -2.5567756, -3.130148 , -3.2269197, -3.0704532, -3.3171933, -3.0898483, -3.2525678, -3.1795263, -3.2791245, -3.2074904, -3.1844451, -3.209329 , -3.1381307, -3.0231147, -3.2691665, -3.5159752, -3.1734056, -3.2184508, -3.0910764, -3.3547266, -3.3549683, -3.7414317, -3.2599394, -3.151319 , -3.2222745, -3.2597487, -3.223674 , -3.1949441, -3.200627 , -3.2080765, -3.1792614, -3.159029 , -3.224509 , -3.1614141, -3.2328095, -3.3017497, -3.1691544, -3.2123156, -3.08979 , -4.072058 , -3.5314286, -3.4148057, -2.721195 , -3.3518975, -3.189596 , -3.0751336, -3.1747577, -3.065687 , -3.2466905, -3.2417777, -3.156783 , -3.1482158, -3.2933474, -2.913317 , -3.3412027, -3.5423446]], dtype=float32) - r_season_sigma(chain, draw)float320.1775 0.08515 ... 0.6298 0.4633
array([[0.17748447, 0.08515257, 0.23374358, 0.17607576, 0.15376888, 0.17639954, 0.3075539 , 0.7493295 , 0.06288253, 0.63824624, 0.2883842 , 0.25362194, 0.40721467, 1.2337568 , 0.91252434, 0.96716166, 0.7108767 , 1.3181677 , 0.07724958, 0.18782309, 0.16642773, 0.19886424, 0.21462664, 0.31721836, 0.5140194 , 0.38344127, 0.12291142, 0.12764359, 0.43918452, 0.08179487, 0.14191666, 0.292629 , 0.45937493, 0.5495788 , 0.10234095, 0.0934546 , 0.4762081 , 0.24038823, 0.24274538, 0.23804848, 0.23804848, 0.24153498, 0.24153498, 0.24153498, 0.24153498, 0.26748756, 0.25789165, 0.23376483, 0.23376483, 0.23376483, 0.22648555, 0.22648555, 0.22648555, 0.22648555, 0.22648555, 0.22637945, 0.22637945, 0.20601836, 0.20601836, 0.20601836, 0.18867967, 0.18867967, 0.18867967, 0.18867967, 0.18867967, 0.18867967, 0.19529277, 0.19529277, 0.2162562 , 0.2162562 , 0.22812669, 0.22476181, 0.22449028, 0.21215189, 0.22246471, 0.22246471, 0.22134149, 0.22134149, 0.22134149, 0.22134149, 0.20714901, 0.20714901, 0.20714901, 0.20024922, 0.20024922, 0.19174854, 0.19174854, 0.19174854, 0.19174854, 0.19078253, 0.19078253, 0.19078253, 0.18384221, 0.18384221, 0.18384221, 0.18384221, 0.18384221, 0.18384221, 0.18384221, 0.2178033 , ... 0.15710531, 0.1390171 , 0.20920128, 0.45688304, 0.3777987 , 0.5201654 , 1.6499507 , 0.8474462 , 0.4532175 , 0.44971493, 0.15232746, 0.10813923, 0.12015777, 0.60722446, 0.19035846, 0.08932845, 0.34706283, 0.11802381, 0.13466111, 0.15401706, 0.56547683, 0.34305358, 0.17505653, 0.43005925, 0.4611154 , 0.274456 , 4.087101 , 0.1066574 , 0.15263537, 0.21509413, 0.2747273 , 0.72753227, 0.18423027, 0.19887984, 0.12406276, 0.15385081, 0.08908279, 0.14514586, 0.10370027, 1.051607 , 0.21744415, 0.13401616, 0.22582772, 0.26364043, 0.16007096, 0.13650037, 0.08511575, 0.20279269, 0.11654329, 0.1279865 , 0.10128015, 0.07075495, 0.47447866, 0.07471505, 0.32580882, 0.16203038, 0.07981937, 0.47855285, 0.12803079, 0.7354059 , 1.3824939 , 0.44405055, 0.12047756, 0.16464084, 0.17018789, 0.06747228, 0.43225726, 0.11170777, 0.1103857 , 0.23651503, 0.11726034, 0.08028112, 0.0722926 , 0.13223413, 0.13439746, 0.17873053, 0.1842534 , 0.42678788, 1.2804261 , 0.37599927, 0.19250906, 0.59873056, 0.2893116 , 0.20806333, 0.17629144, 0.10347143, 0.25794673, 0.07211804, 0.17726734, 0.09115538, 0.10289238, 0.18015507, 0.36822027, 0.62979686, 0.46327448]], dtype=float32) - s_2022_23_age_adult(chain, draw)float3239.81 40.2 39.9 ... 39.92 39.83
array([[39.805546, 40.202858, 39.895542, 40.031776, 39.6489 , 40.341618, 39.625412, 40.249054, 39.51706 , 40.439342, 40.01976 , 40.144352, 39.730274, 39.938118, 39.86447 , 39.603687, 39.535675, 39.369328, 39.890957, 39.973804, 39.915184, 40.05497 , 40.170063, 39.42937 , 39.29383 , 39.90594 , 39.546463, 39.526947, 39.379406, 39.52159 , 39.841877, 39.74723 , 40.218613, 39.189987, 40.335068, 39.7331 , 39.336758, 39.628395, 39.65342 , 39.66683 , 39.66683 , 39.658768, 39.658768, 39.658768, 39.658768, 39.688915, 39.713768, 39.75145 , 39.75145 , 39.75145 , 39.73952 , 39.73952 , 39.73952 , 39.73952 , 39.73952 , 39.731575, 39.731575, 39.693684, 39.693684, 39.693684, 39.672596, 39.672596, 39.672596, 39.672596, 39.672596, 39.672596, 39.68213 , 39.68213 , 39.649513, 39.649513, 39.614864, 39.59656 , 39.597466, 39.569378, 39.555794, 39.555794, 39.57634 , 39.57634 , 39.57634 , 39.57634 , 39.57688 , 39.57688 , 39.57688 , 39.56575 , 39.56575 , 39.549923, 39.549923, 39.549923, 39.549923, 39.524353, 39.524353, 39.524353, 39.503185, 39.503185, 39.503185, 39.503185, 39.503185, 39.503185, 39.503185, 39.506897, 39.506897, 39.506897, 39.506897, 39.506897, 39.529408, 39.529408, 39.529408, 39.503353, 39.528805, 39.528805, 39.545338, 39.51887 , 39.54061 , 39.481266, 40.53615 , 40.642952, 40.055008, 39.944492, 40.172916, 40.0521 , ... 40.523315, 40.346176, 39.931393, 39.67907 , 40.20266 , 40.322945, 39.908123, 40.010998, 39.78311 , 40.198074, 40.12277 , 39.794212, 39.91797 , 39.740124, 40.56364 , 39.35724 , 39.64879 , 40.553093, 39.514 , 40.55593 , 40.089417, 40.18685 , 39.817978, 39.555786, 40.38376 , 40.21706 , 39.82275 , 40.179615, 39.77329 , 40.33927 , 40.42664 , 39.81003 , 40.197533, 40.020138, 40.184505, 39.967655, 40.092236, 39.417484, 39.52042 , 40.478477, 40.094112, 40.36621 , 39.663452, 39.60496 , 40.569267, 39.755554, 39.825516, 39.856293, 40.23715 , 40.511726, 39.81599 , 39.7199 , 39.63695 , 39.769367, 40.060017, 40.19614 , 40.097496, 39.8059 , 39.81422 , 40.203648, 39.93226 , 40.355278, 39.38571 , 40.570934, 39.40612 , 40.058533, 40.005943, 40.301586, 39.697292, 39.84412 , 39.669598, 40.565025, 40.68828 , 39.81037 , 40.00997 , 39.863842, 40.472324, 39.896477, 39.405228, 40.234634, 39.50035 , 40.184982, 39.88012 , 40.055805, 40.48995 , 40.422646, 40.305016, 40.148037, 39.791862, 40.00393 , 39.72356 , 39.764656, 40.133118, 39.49265 , 40.351036, 40.01244 , 40.446365, 39.668987, 40.107113, 40.38336 , 39.948112, 40.01014 , 40.05046 , 39.74578 , 40.125633, 39.65385 , 40.375668, 40.337597, 39.80121 , 40.14743 , 40.243874, 39.937016, 40.499153, 40.398422, 39.463562, 40.078964, 39.921 , 39.832256]], dtype=float32) - s_2022_23_age_adult_daily(chain, draw, days_2022_23)float3239.81 39.81 39.81 ... 39.83 39.83
array([[[39.805546, 39.805546, 39.805546, ..., 39.805546, 39.805546, 39.805546], [40.202858, 40.202858, 40.202858, ..., 40.202858, 40.202858, 40.202858], [39.895542, 39.895542, 39.895542, ..., 39.895542, 39.895542, 39.895542], ..., [39.94468 , 39.94468 , 39.94468 , ..., 39.94468 , 39.94468 , 39.94468 ], [39.964466, 39.964466, 39.964466, ..., 39.964466, 39.964466, 39.964466], [40.107815, 40.107815, 40.107815, ..., 40.107815, 40.107815, 40.107815]], [[39.68019 , 39.68019 , 39.68019 , ..., 39.68019 , 39.68019 , 39.68019 ], [39.28548 , 39.28548 , 39.28548 , ..., 39.28548 , 39.28548 , 39.28548 ], [40.511932, 40.511932, 40.511932, ..., 40.511932, 40.511932, 40.511932], ... [40.66157 , 40.66157 , 40.66157 , ..., 40.66157 , 40.66157 , 40.66157 ], [39.975204, 39.975204, 39.975204, ..., 39.975204, 39.975204, 39.975204], [40.146324, 40.146324, 40.146324, ..., 40.146324, 40.146324, 40.146324]], [[40.161083, 40.161083, 40.161083, ..., 40.161083, 40.161083, 40.161083], [39.8784 , 39.8784 , 39.8784 , ..., 39.8784 , 39.8784 , 39.8784 ], [39.639874, 39.639874, 39.639874, ..., 39.639874, 39.639874, 39.639874], ..., [40.078964, 40.078964, 40.078964, ..., 40.078964, 40.078964, 40.078964], [39.921 , 39.921 , 39.921 , ..., 39.921 , 39.921 , 39.921 ], [39.832256, 39.832256, 39.832256, ..., 39.832256, 39.832256, 39.832256]]], dtype=float32) - s_2022_23_age_elderly(chain, draw)float3239.81 40.2 39.9 ... 39.92 39.83
array([[39.805546, 40.202858, 39.895542, 40.031776, 39.6489 , 40.341618, 39.625412, 40.249054, 39.51706 , 40.439342, 40.01976 , 40.144352, 39.730274, 39.938118, 39.86447 , 39.603687, 39.535675, 39.369328, 39.890957, 39.973804, 39.915184, 40.05497 , 40.170063, 39.42937 , 39.29383 , 39.90594 , 39.546463, 39.526947, 39.379406, 39.52159 , 39.841877, 39.74723 , 40.218613, 39.189987, 40.335068, 39.7331 , 39.336758, 39.628395, 39.65342 , 39.66683 , 39.66683 , 39.658768, 39.658768, 39.658768, 39.658768, 39.688915, 39.713768, 39.75145 , 39.75145 , 39.75145 , 39.73952 , 39.73952 , 39.73952 , 39.73952 , 39.73952 , 39.731575, 39.731575, 39.693684, 39.693684, 39.693684, 39.672596, 39.672596, 39.672596, 39.672596, 39.672596, 39.672596, 39.68213 , 39.68213 , 39.649513, 39.649513, 39.614864, 39.59656 , 39.597466, 39.569378, 39.555794, 39.555794, 39.57634 , 39.57634 , 39.57634 , 39.57634 , 39.57688 , 39.57688 , 39.57688 , 39.56575 , 39.56575 , 39.549923, 39.549923, 39.549923, 39.549923, 39.524353, 39.524353, 39.524353, 39.503185, 39.503185, 39.503185, 39.503185, 39.503185, 39.503185, 39.503185, 39.506897, 39.506897, 39.506897, 39.506897, 39.506897, 39.529408, 39.529408, 39.529408, 39.503353, 39.528805, 39.528805, 39.545338, 39.51887 , 39.54061 , 39.481266, 40.53615 , 40.642952, 40.055008, 39.944492, 40.172916, 40.0521 , ... 40.523315, 40.346176, 39.931393, 39.67907 , 40.20266 , 40.322945, 39.908123, 40.010998, 39.78311 , 40.198074, 40.12277 , 39.794212, 39.91797 , 39.740124, 40.56364 , 39.35724 , 39.64879 , 40.553093, 39.514 , 40.55593 , 40.089417, 40.18685 , 39.817978, 39.555786, 40.38376 , 40.21706 , 39.82275 , 40.179615, 39.77329 , 40.33927 , 40.42664 , 39.81003 , 40.197533, 40.020138, 40.184505, 39.967655, 40.092236, 39.417484, 39.52042 , 40.478477, 40.094112, 40.36621 , 39.663452, 39.60496 , 40.569267, 39.755554, 39.825516, 39.856293, 40.23715 , 40.511726, 39.81599 , 39.7199 , 39.63695 , 39.769367, 40.060017, 40.19614 , 40.097496, 39.8059 , 39.81422 , 40.203648, 39.93226 , 40.355278, 39.38571 , 40.570934, 39.40612 , 40.058533, 40.005943, 40.301586, 39.697292, 39.84412 , 39.669598, 40.565025, 40.68828 , 39.81037 , 40.00997 , 39.863842, 40.472324, 39.896477, 39.405228, 40.234634, 39.50035 , 40.184982, 39.88012 , 40.055805, 40.48995 , 40.422646, 40.305016, 40.148037, 39.791862, 40.00393 , 39.72356 , 39.764656, 40.133118, 39.49265 , 40.351036, 40.01244 , 40.446365, 39.668987, 40.107113, 40.38336 , 39.948112, 40.01014 , 40.05046 , 39.74578 , 40.125633, 39.65385 , 40.375668, 40.337597, 39.80121 , 40.14743 , 40.243874, 39.937016, 40.499153, 40.398422, 39.463562, 40.078964, 39.921 , 39.832256]], dtype=float32) - s_2022_23_age_elderly_daily(chain, draw, days_2022_23)float3239.81 39.81 39.81 ... 39.83 39.83
array([[[39.805546, 39.805546, 39.805546, ..., 39.805546, 39.805546, 39.805546], [40.202858, 40.202858, 40.202858, ..., 40.202858, 40.202858, 40.202858], [39.895542, 39.895542, 39.895542, ..., 39.895542, 39.895542, 39.895542], ..., [39.94468 , 39.94468 , 39.94468 , ..., 39.94468 , 39.94468 , 39.94468 ], [39.964466, 39.964466, 39.964466, ..., 39.964466, 39.964466, 39.964466], [40.107815, 40.107815, 40.107815, ..., 40.107815, 40.107815, 40.107815]], [[39.68019 , 39.68019 , 39.68019 , ..., 39.68019 , 39.68019 , 39.68019 ], [39.28548 , 39.28548 , 39.28548 , ..., 39.28548 , 39.28548 , 39.28548 ], [40.511932, 40.511932, 40.511932, ..., 40.511932, 40.511932, 40.511932], ... [40.66157 , 40.66157 , 40.66157 , ..., 40.66157 , 40.66157 , 40.66157 ], [39.975204, 39.975204, 39.975204, ..., 39.975204, 39.975204, 39.975204], [40.146324, 40.146324, 40.146324, ..., 40.146324, 40.146324, 40.146324]], [[40.161083, 40.161083, 40.161083, ..., 40.161083, 40.161083, 40.161083], [39.8784 , 39.8784 , 39.8784 , ..., 39.8784 , 39.8784 , 39.8784 ], [39.639874, 39.639874, 39.639874, ..., 39.639874, 39.639874, 39.639874], ..., [40.078964, 40.078964, 40.078964, ..., 40.078964, 40.078964, 40.078964], [39.921 , 39.921 , 39.921 , ..., 39.921 , 39.921 , 39.921 ], [39.832256, 39.832256, 39.832256, ..., 39.832256, 39.832256, 39.832256]]], dtype=float32) - s_2022_23_age_youth(chain, draw)float3239.81 40.2 39.9 ... 39.92 39.83
array([[39.805546, 40.202858, 39.895542, 40.031776, 39.6489 , 40.341618, 39.625412, 40.249054, 39.51706 , 40.439342, 40.01976 , 40.144352, 39.730274, 39.938118, 39.86447 , 39.603687, 39.535675, 39.369328, 39.890957, 39.973804, 39.915184, 40.05497 , 40.170063, 39.42937 , 39.29383 , 39.90594 , 39.546463, 39.526947, 39.379406, 39.52159 , 39.841877, 39.74723 , 40.218613, 39.189987, 40.335068, 39.7331 , 39.336758, 39.628395, 39.65342 , 39.66683 , 39.66683 , 39.658768, 39.658768, 39.658768, 39.658768, 39.688915, 39.713768, 39.75145 , 39.75145 , 39.75145 , 39.73952 , 39.73952 , 39.73952 , 39.73952 , 39.73952 , 39.731575, 39.731575, 39.693684, 39.693684, 39.693684, 39.672596, 39.672596, 39.672596, 39.672596, 39.672596, 39.672596, 39.68213 , 39.68213 , 39.649513, 39.649513, 39.614864, 39.59656 , 39.597466, 39.569378, 39.555794, 39.555794, 39.57634 , 39.57634 , 39.57634 , 39.57634 , 39.57688 , 39.57688 , 39.57688 , 39.56575 , 39.56575 , 39.549923, 39.549923, 39.549923, 39.549923, 39.524353, 39.524353, 39.524353, 39.503185, 39.503185, 39.503185, 39.503185, 39.503185, 39.503185, 39.503185, 39.506897, 39.506897, 39.506897, 39.506897, 39.506897, 39.529408, 39.529408, 39.529408, 39.503353, 39.528805, 39.528805, 39.545338, 39.51887 , 39.54061 , 39.481266, 40.53615 , 40.642952, 40.055008, 39.944492, 40.172916, 40.0521 , ... 40.523315, 40.346176, 39.931393, 39.67907 , 40.20266 , 40.322945, 39.908123, 40.010998, 39.78311 , 40.198074, 40.12277 , 39.794212, 39.91797 , 39.740124, 40.56364 , 39.35724 , 39.64879 , 40.553093, 39.514 , 40.55593 , 40.089417, 40.18685 , 39.817978, 39.555786, 40.38376 , 40.21706 , 39.82275 , 40.179615, 39.77329 , 40.33927 , 40.42664 , 39.81003 , 40.197533, 40.020138, 40.184505, 39.967655, 40.092236, 39.417484, 39.52042 , 40.478477, 40.094112, 40.36621 , 39.663452, 39.60496 , 40.569267, 39.755554, 39.825516, 39.856293, 40.23715 , 40.511726, 39.81599 , 39.7199 , 39.63695 , 39.769367, 40.060017, 40.19614 , 40.097496, 39.8059 , 39.81422 , 40.203648, 39.93226 , 40.355278, 39.38571 , 40.570934, 39.40612 , 40.058533, 40.005943, 40.301586, 39.697292, 39.84412 , 39.669598, 40.565025, 40.68828 , 39.81037 , 40.00997 , 39.863842, 40.472324, 39.896477, 39.405228, 40.234634, 39.50035 , 40.184982, 39.88012 , 40.055805, 40.48995 , 40.422646, 40.305016, 40.148037, 39.791862, 40.00393 , 39.72356 , 39.764656, 40.133118, 39.49265 , 40.351036, 40.01244 , 40.446365, 39.668987, 40.107113, 40.38336 , 39.948112, 40.01014 , 40.05046 , 39.74578 , 40.125633, 39.65385 , 40.375668, 40.337597, 39.80121 , 40.14743 , 40.243874, 39.937016, 40.499153, 40.398422, 39.463562, 40.078964, 39.921 , 39.832256]], dtype=float32) - s_2022_23_age_youth_daily(chain, draw, days_2022_23)float3239.81 39.81 39.81 ... 39.83 39.83
array([[[39.805546, 39.805546, 39.805546, ..., 39.805546, 39.805546, 39.805546], [40.202858, 40.202858, 40.202858, ..., 40.202858, 40.202858, 40.202858], [39.895542, 39.895542, 39.895542, ..., 39.895542, 39.895542, 39.895542], ..., [39.94468 , 39.94468 , 39.94468 , ..., 39.94468 , 39.94468 , 39.94468 ], [39.964466, 39.964466, 39.964466, ..., 39.964466, 39.964466, 39.964466], [40.107815, 40.107815, 40.107815, ..., 40.107815, 40.107815, 40.107815]], [[39.68019 , 39.68019 , 39.68019 , ..., 39.68019 , 39.68019 , 39.68019 ], [39.28548 , 39.28548 , 39.28548 , ..., 39.28548 , 39.28548 , 39.28548 ], [40.511932, 40.511932, 40.511932, ..., 40.511932, 40.511932, 40.511932], ... [40.66157 , 40.66157 , 40.66157 , ..., 40.66157 , 40.66157 , 40.66157 ], [39.975204, 39.975204, 39.975204, ..., 39.975204, 39.975204, 39.975204], [40.146324, 40.146324, 40.146324, ..., 40.146324, 40.146324, 40.146324]], [[40.161083, 40.161083, 40.161083, ..., 40.161083, 40.161083, 40.161083], [39.8784 , 39.8784 , 39.8784 , ..., 39.8784 , 39.8784 , 39.8784 ], [39.639874, 39.639874, 39.639874, ..., 39.639874, 39.639874, 39.639874], ..., [40.078964, 40.078964, 40.078964, ..., 40.078964, 40.078964, 40.078964], [39.921 , 39.921 , 39.921 , ..., 39.921 , 39.921 , 39.921 ], [39.832256, 39.832256, 39.832256, ..., 39.832256, 39.832256, 39.832256]]], dtype=float32) - s_2023_24_age_adult(chain, draw)float3241.92 41.72 41.8 ... 41.79 41.73
array([[41.91523 , 41.715145, 41.79713 , 42.07404 , 41.822582, 41.88286 , 42.10096 , 41.855385, 42.05166 , 41.82196 , 42.11976 , 42.157795, 41.479637, 42.078564, 42.10296 , 41.64453 , 41.62194 , 41.691933, 42.04003 , 42.22925 , 42.30923 , 41.65817 , 41.842403, 41.8172 , 41.953594, 41.805008, 42.034718, 42.091824, 41.83703 , 42.313736, 42.052494, 41.604122, 42.27791 , 42.1277 , 41.774185, 41.279285, 41.759052, 41.540096, 41.573124, 41.55748 , 41.55748 , 41.550007, 41.550007, 41.550007, 41.550007, 41.53993 , 41.535557, 41.554375, 41.554375, 41.554375, 41.573803, 41.573803, 41.573803, 41.573803, 41.573803, 41.597065, 41.597065, 41.580387, 41.580387, 41.580387, 41.5874 , 41.5874 , 41.5874 , 41.5874 , 41.5874 , 41.5874 , 41.5981 , 41.5981 , 41.578075, 41.578075, 41.583443, 41.57704 , 41.560005, 41.561543, 41.5161 , 41.5161 , 41.519768, 41.519768, 41.519768, 41.519768, 41.48513 , 41.48513 , 41.48513 , 41.48696 , 41.48696 , 41.474094, 41.474094, 41.474094, 41.474094, 41.456696, 41.456696, 41.456696, 41.431385, 41.431385, 41.431385, 41.431385, 41.431385, 41.431385, 41.431385, 41.438984, 41.438984, 41.438984, 41.438984, 41.438984, 41.434242, 41.434242, 41.434242, 41.456017, 41.47133 , 41.47133 , 41.458363, 41.443104, 41.464813, 41.46979 , 42.104984, 42.189777, 42.249207, 41.59209 , 41.899567, 42.005817, ... 41.979084, 41.559864, 42.30994 , 41.555946, 41.627636, 41.772896, 41.935726, 41.92655 , 41.847725, 41.85199 , 42.166534, 41.467735, 41.713352, 41.670307, 42.048145, 41.72742 , 42.095993, 41.517014, 41.723713, 42.00737 , 41.855648, 42.114536, 41.44293 , 40.99103 , 42.43354 , 42.425285, 42.251217, 41.714054, 42.023495, 41.820522, 41.959282, 42.160465, 41.50537 , 42.019077, 41.36371 , 41.45489 , 42.103943, 41.786835, 41.77937 , 41.72994 , 42.226242, 42.004387, 41.44807 , 41.464207, 42.236446, 41.51609 , 42.062885, 42.106796, 41.93009 , 41.392334, 42.32089 , 42.010513, 41.613094, 41.919785, 41.63802 , 41.331966, 42.411976, 42.00416 , 41.85988 , 42.142845, 41.650673, 41.91112 , 41.81291 , 41.910873, 42.39535 , 41.442936, 41.621635, 41.850708, 41.72063 , 41.7499 , 42.055016, 41.105026, 41.269543, 42.113323, 42.283333, 41.44512 , 41.151314, 41.337666, 41.643272, 41.87373 , 41.811142, 41.872288, 41.62885 , 41.91213 , 41.95787 , 41.909565, 41.760193, 41.42975 , 42.166294, 42.03394 , 42.2515 , 42.115948, 41.824905, 42.159027, 41.64798 , 41.791744, 42.174072, 41.101566, 41.65208 , 41.492058, 42.05017 , 41.84498 , 41.904182, 41.73832 , 42.138878, 42.363728, 41.774967, 41.641598, 42.054375, 41.365314, 41.91704 , 41.577442, 42.20465 , 42.432793, 41.842197, 41.77399 , 41.78881 , 41.726143]], dtype=float32) - s_2023_24_age_adult_daily(chain, draw, days_2023_24)float3241.92 41.92 41.92 ... 41.73 41.73
array([[[41.91523 , 41.91523 , 41.91523 , ..., 41.91523 , 41.91523 , 41.91523 ], [41.715145, 41.715145, 41.715145, ..., 41.715145, 41.715145, 41.715145], [41.79713 , 41.79713 , 41.79713 , ..., 41.79713 , 41.79713 , 41.79713 ], ..., [41.237236, 41.237236, 41.237236, ..., 41.237236, 41.237236, 41.237236], [41.30212 , 41.30212 , 41.30212 , ..., 41.30212 , 41.30212 , 41.30212 ], [42.32175 , 42.32175 , 42.32175 , ..., 42.32175 , 42.32175 , 42.32175 ]], [[42.25001 , 42.25001 , 42.25001 , ..., 42.25001 , 42.25001 , 42.25001 ], [42.16407 , 42.16407 , 42.16407 , ..., 42.16407 , 42.16407 , 42.16407 ], [41.86665 , 41.86665 , 41.86665 , ..., 41.86665 , 41.86665 , 41.86665 ], ... [41.66754 , 41.66754 , 41.66754 , ..., 41.66754 , 41.66754 , 41.66754 ], [41.870758, 41.870758, 41.870758, ..., 41.870758, 41.870758, 41.870758], [41.766373, 41.766373, 41.766373, ..., 41.766373, 41.766373, 41.766373]], [[42.190807, 42.190807, 42.190807, ..., 42.190807, 42.190807, 42.190807], [41.302322, 41.302322, 41.302322, ..., 41.302322, 41.302322, 41.302322], [42.44664 , 42.44664 , 42.44664 , ..., 42.44664 , 42.44664 , 42.44664 ], ..., [41.77399 , 41.77399 , 41.77399 , ..., 41.77399 , 41.77399 , 41.77399 ], [41.78881 , 41.78881 , 41.78881 , ..., 41.78881 , 41.78881 , 41.78881 ], [41.726143, 41.726143, 41.726143, ..., 41.726143, 41.726143, 41.726143]]], dtype=float32) - s_2023_24_age_elderly(chain, draw)float3241.92 41.72 41.8 ... 41.79 41.73
array([[41.91523 , 41.715145, 41.79713 , 42.07404 , 41.822582, 41.88286 , 42.10096 , 41.855385, 42.05166 , 41.82196 , 42.11976 , 42.157795, 41.479637, 42.078564, 42.10296 , 41.64453 , 41.62194 , 41.691933, 42.04003 , 42.22925 , 42.30923 , 41.65817 , 41.842403, 41.8172 , 41.953594, 41.805008, 42.034718, 42.091824, 41.83703 , 42.313736, 42.052494, 41.604122, 42.27791 , 42.1277 , 41.774185, 41.279285, 41.759052, 41.540096, 41.573124, 41.55748 , 41.55748 , 41.550007, 41.550007, 41.550007, 41.550007, 41.53993 , 41.535557, 41.554375, 41.554375, 41.554375, 41.573803, 41.573803, 41.573803, 41.573803, 41.573803, 41.597065, 41.597065, 41.580387, 41.580387, 41.580387, 41.5874 , 41.5874 , 41.5874 , 41.5874 , 41.5874 , 41.5874 , 41.5981 , 41.5981 , 41.578075, 41.578075, 41.583443, 41.57704 , 41.560005, 41.561543, 41.5161 , 41.5161 , 41.519768, 41.519768, 41.519768, 41.519768, 41.48513 , 41.48513 , 41.48513 , 41.48696 , 41.48696 , 41.474094, 41.474094, 41.474094, 41.474094, 41.456696, 41.456696, 41.456696, 41.431385, 41.431385, 41.431385, 41.431385, 41.431385, 41.431385, 41.431385, 41.438984, 41.438984, 41.438984, 41.438984, 41.438984, 41.434242, 41.434242, 41.434242, 41.456017, 41.47133 , 41.47133 , 41.458363, 41.443104, 41.464813, 41.46979 , 42.104984, 42.189777, 42.249207, 41.59209 , 41.899567, 42.005817, ... 41.979084, 41.559864, 42.30994 , 41.555946, 41.627636, 41.772896, 41.935726, 41.92655 , 41.847725, 41.85199 , 42.166534, 41.467735, 41.713352, 41.670307, 42.048145, 41.72742 , 42.095993, 41.517014, 41.723713, 42.00737 , 41.855648, 42.114536, 41.44293 , 40.99103 , 42.43354 , 42.425285, 42.251217, 41.714054, 42.023495, 41.820522, 41.959282, 42.160465, 41.50537 , 42.019077, 41.36371 , 41.45489 , 42.103943, 41.786835, 41.77937 , 41.72994 , 42.226242, 42.004387, 41.44807 , 41.464207, 42.236446, 41.51609 , 42.062885, 42.106796, 41.93009 , 41.392334, 42.32089 , 42.010513, 41.613094, 41.919785, 41.63802 , 41.331966, 42.411976, 42.00416 , 41.85988 , 42.142845, 41.650673, 41.91112 , 41.81291 , 41.910873, 42.39535 , 41.442936, 41.621635, 41.850708, 41.72063 , 41.7499 , 42.055016, 41.105026, 41.269543, 42.113323, 42.283333, 41.44512 , 41.151314, 41.337666, 41.643272, 41.87373 , 41.811142, 41.872288, 41.62885 , 41.91213 , 41.95787 , 41.909565, 41.760193, 41.42975 , 42.166294, 42.03394 , 42.2515 , 42.115948, 41.824905, 42.159027, 41.64798 , 41.791744, 42.174072, 41.101566, 41.65208 , 41.492058, 42.05017 , 41.84498 , 41.904182, 41.73832 , 42.138878, 42.363728, 41.774967, 41.641598, 42.054375, 41.365314, 41.91704 , 41.577442, 42.20465 , 42.432793, 41.842197, 41.77399 , 41.78881 , 41.726143]], dtype=float32) - s_2023_24_age_elderly_daily(chain, draw, days_2023_24)float3241.92 41.92 41.92 ... 41.73 41.73
array([[[41.91523 , 41.91523 , 41.91523 , ..., 41.91523 , 41.91523 , 41.91523 ], [41.715145, 41.715145, 41.715145, ..., 41.715145, 41.715145, 41.715145], [41.79713 , 41.79713 , 41.79713 , ..., 41.79713 , 41.79713 , 41.79713 ], ..., [41.237236, 41.237236, 41.237236, ..., 41.237236, 41.237236, 41.237236], [41.30212 , 41.30212 , 41.30212 , ..., 41.30212 , 41.30212 , 41.30212 ], [42.32175 , 42.32175 , 42.32175 , ..., 42.32175 , 42.32175 , 42.32175 ]], [[42.25001 , 42.25001 , 42.25001 , ..., 42.25001 , 42.25001 , 42.25001 ], [42.16407 , 42.16407 , 42.16407 , ..., 42.16407 , 42.16407 , 42.16407 ], [41.86665 , 41.86665 , 41.86665 , ..., 41.86665 , 41.86665 , 41.86665 ], ... [41.66754 , 41.66754 , 41.66754 , ..., 41.66754 , 41.66754 , 41.66754 ], [41.870758, 41.870758, 41.870758, ..., 41.870758, 41.870758, 41.870758], [41.766373, 41.766373, 41.766373, ..., 41.766373, 41.766373, 41.766373]], [[42.190807, 42.190807, 42.190807, ..., 42.190807, 42.190807, 42.190807], [41.302322, 41.302322, 41.302322, ..., 41.302322, 41.302322, 41.302322], [42.44664 , 42.44664 , 42.44664 , ..., 42.44664 , 42.44664 , 42.44664 ], ..., [41.77399 , 41.77399 , 41.77399 , ..., 41.77399 , 41.77399 , 41.77399 ], [41.78881 , 41.78881 , 41.78881 , ..., 41.78881 , 41.78881 , 41.78881 ], [41.726143, 41.726143, 41.726143, ..., 41.726143, 41.726143, 41.726143]]], dtype=float32) - s_2023_24_age_youth(chain, draw)float3241.92 41.72 41.8 ... 41.79 41.73
array([[41.91523 , 41.715145, 41.79713 , 42.07404 , 41.822582, 41.88286 , 42.10096 , 41.855385, 42.05166 , 41.82196 , 42.11976 , 42.157795, 41.479637, 42.078564, 42.10296 , 41.64453 , 41.62194 , 41.691933, 42.04003 , 42.22925 , 42.30923 , 41.65817 , 41.842403, 41.8172 , 41.953594, 41.805008, 42.034718, 42.091824, 41.83703 , 42.313736, 42.052494, 41.604122, 42.27791 , 42.1277 , 41.774185, 41.279285, 41.759052, 41.540096, 41.573124, 41.55748 , 41.55748 , 41.550007, 41.550007, 41.550007, 41.550007, 41.53993 , 41.535557, 41.554375, 41.554375, 41.554375, 41.573803, 41.573803, 41.573803, 41.573803, 41.573803, 41.597065, 41.597065, 41.580387, 41.580387, 41.580387, 41.5874 , 41.5874 , 41.5874 , 41.5874 , 41.5874 , 41.5874 , 41.5981 , 41.5981 , 41.578075, 41.578075, 41.583443, 41.57704 , 41.560005, 41.561543, 41.5161 , 41.5161 , 41.519768, 41.519768, 41.519768, 41.519768, 41.48513 , 41.48513 , 41.48513 , 41.48696 , 41.48696 , 41.474094, 41.474094, 41.474094, 41.474094, 41.456696, 41.456696, 41.456696, 41.431385, 41.431385, 41.431385, 41.431385, 41.431385, 41.431385, 41.431385, 41.438984, 41.438984, 41.438984, 41.438984, 41.438984, 41.434242, 41.434242, 41.434242, 41.456017, 41.47133 , 41.47133 , 41.458363, 41.443104, 41.464813, 41.46979 , 42.104984, 42.189777, 42.249207, 41.59209 , 41.899567, 42.005817, ... 41.979084, 41.559864, 42.30994 , 41.555946, 41.627636, 41.772896, 41.935726, 41.92655 , 41.847725, 41.85199 , 42.166534, 41.467735, 41.713352, 41.670307, 42.048145, 41.72742 , 42.095993, 41.517014, 41.723713, 42.00737 , 41.855648, 42.114536, 41.44293 , 40.99103 , 42.43354 , 42.425285, 42.251217, 41.714054, 42.023495, 41.820522, 41.959282, 42.160465, 41.50537 , 42.019077, 41.36371 , 41.45489 , 42.103943, 41.786835, 41.77937 , 41.72994 , 42.226242, 42.004387, 41.44807 , 41.464207, 42.236446, 41.51609 , 42.062885, 42.106796, 41.93009 , 41.392334, 42.32089 , 42.010513, 41.613094, 41.919785, 41.63802 , 41.331966, 42.411976, 42.00416 , 41.85988 , 42.142845, 41.650673, 41.91112 , 41.81291 , 41.910873, 42.39535 , 41.442936, 41.621635, 41.850708, 41.72063 , 41.7499 , 42.055016, 41.105026, 41.269543, 42.113323, 42.283333, 41.44512 , 41.151314, 41.337666, 41.643272, 41.87373 , 41.811142, 41.872288, 41.62885 , 41.91213 , 41.95787 , 41.909565, 41.760193, 41.42975 , 42.166294, 42.03394 , 42.2515 , 42.115948, 41.824905, 42.159027, 41.64798 , 41.791744, 42.174072, 41.101566, 41.65208 , 41.492058, 42.05017 , 41.84498 , 41.904182, 41.73832 , 42.138878, 42.363728, 41.774967, 41.641598, 42.054375, 41.365314, 41.91704 , 41.577442, 42.20465 , 42.432793, 41.842197, 41.77399 , 41.78881 , 41.726143]], dtype=float32) - s_2023_24_age_youth_daily(chain, draw, days_2023_24)float3241.92 41.92 41.92 ... 41.73 41.73
array([[[41.91523 , 41.91523 , 41.91523 , ..., 41.91523 , 41.91523 , 41.91523 ], [41.715145, 41.715145, 41.715145, ..., 41.715145, 41.715145, 41.715145], [41.79713 , 41.79713 , 41.79713 , ..., 41.79713 , 41.79713 , 41.79713 ], ..., [41.237236, 41.237236, 41.237236, ..., 41.237236, 41.237236, 41.237236], [41.30212 , 41.30212 , 41.30212 , ..., 41.30212 , 41.30212 , 41.30212 ], [42.32175 , 42.32175 , 42.32175 , ..., 42.32175 , 42.32175 , 42.32175 ]], [[42.25001 , 42.25001 , 42.25001 , ..., 42.25001 , 42.25001 , 42.25001 ], [42.16407 , 42.16407 , 42.16407 , ..., 42.16407 , 42.16407 , 42.16407 ], [41.86665 , 41.86665 , 41.86665 , ..., 41.86665 , 41.86665 , 41.86665 ], ... [41.66754 , 41.66754 , 41.66754 , ..., 41.66754 , 41.66754 , 41.66754 ], [41.870758, 41.870758, 41.870758, ..., 41.870758, 41.870758, 41.870758], [41.766373, 41.766373, 41.766373, ..., 41.766373, 41.766373, 41.766373]], [[42.190807, 42.190807, 42.190807, ..., 42.190807, 42.190807, 42.190807], [41.302322, 41.302322, 41.302322, ..., 41.302322, 41.302322, 41.302322], [42.44664 , 42.44664 , 42.44664 , ..., 42.44664 , 42.44664 , 42.44664 ], ..., [41.77399 , 41.77399 , 41.77399 , ..., 41.77399 , 41.77399 , 41.77399 ], [41.78881 , 41.78881 , 41.78881 , ..., 41.78881 , 41.78881 , 41.78881 ], [41.726143, 41.726143, 41.726143, ..., 41.726143, 41.726143, 41.726143]]], dtype=float32) - s_2024_25_age_adult(chain, draw)float3241.19 41.15 41.05 ... 40.75 40.87
array([[41.18753 , 41.15166 , 41.050137, 41.06374 , 40.951702, 41.065033, 40.650738, 40.887905, 40.82905 , 41.110027, 40.773758, 40.68852 , 40.689835, 40.727375, 40.78481 , 41.377518, 41.35563 , 41.51633 , 41.186474, 41.182 , 41.12944 , 40.757137, 40.82263 , 40.642242, 40.94296 , 40.90541 , 40.895725, 40.839886, 41.617504, 40.61862 , 40.681767, 40.842354, 41.131413, 41.181805, 40.82996 , 41.02787 , 41.05977 , 40.69015 , 40.687847, 40.65952 , 40.65952 , 40.632496, 40.632496, 40.632496, 40.632496, 40.640255, 40.663315, 40.77605 , 40.77605 , 40.77605 , 40.714024, 40.714024, 40.714024, 40.714024, 40.714024, 40.70432 , 40.70432 , 40.674034, 40.674034, 40.674034, 40.652203, 40.652203, 40.652203, 40.652203, 40.652203, 40.652203, 40.6834 , 40.6834 , 40.628494, 40.628494, 40.62509 , 40.627502, 40.612335, 40.577644, 40.54938 , 40.54938 , 40.545246, 40.545246, 40.545246, 40.545246, 40.590294, 40.590294, 40.590294, 40.59901 , 40.59901 , 40.53689 , 40.53689 , 40.53689 , 40.53689 , 40.563828, 40.563828, 40.563828, 40.57054 , 40.57054 , 40.57054 , 40.57054 , 40.57054 , 40.57054 , 40.57054 , 40.539288, 40.539288, 40.539288, 40.539288, 40.539288, 40.55298 , 40.55298 , 40.55298 , 40.55912 , 40.411537, 40.411537, 40.41662 , 40.405727, 40.383842, 40.385918, 41.114826, 41.03827 , 40.908337, 40.991184, 41.45621 , 41.5642 , ... 41.106503, 41.051243, 40.867676, 40.371014, 40.496372, 40.965065, 40.266445, 40.228817, 41.953014, 40.57778 , 41.113487, 41.353207, 41.06724 , 40.51835 , 40.706326, 40.681534, 40.04235 , 40.78534 , 40.806587, 40.797363, 40.512318, 40.700222, 40.870003, 40.801414, 40.87977 , 40.67447 , 40.528637, 41.042213, 41.014782, 40.909515, 41.29262 , 40.868824, 40.89678 , 40.58725 , 40.94791 , 41.06061 , 40.689606, 40.93221 , 40.577267, 40.99787 , 41.176716, 41.109676, 40.975483, 40.97002 , 40.787354, 40.956635, 41.27041 , 41.199135, 41.236885, 40.99664 , 40.513725, 40.584286, 40.495884, 40.981636, 40.46142 , 41.109673, 40.714287, 41.18686 , 41.38437 , 41.34301 , 40.469826, 40.77153 , 40.645535, 40.855583, 40.91298 , 40.59273 , 40.821777, 40.902767, 40.1495 , 40.27286 , 40.59786 , 41.671043, 40.934425, 41.362556, 40.9508 , 40.591267, 40.41157 , 40.63436 , 39.99489 , 41.431103, 40.4675 , 41.49779 , 40.67197 , 40.45775 , 41.08002 , 41.23884 , 40.75013 , 40.702526, 41.222965, 41.36474 , 41.083775, 41.26785 , 40.639595, 41.354275, 40.77755 , 40.64074 , 41.039436, 40.28872 , 40.20125 , 39.863148, 41.282887, 41.004707, 40.790943, 41.54962 , 40.61894 , 41.0393 , 40.698868, 40.640694, 41.4782 , 40.720615, 40.680733, 41.08846 , 40.652687, 40.335133, 40.239407, 40.98635 , 40.751297, 40.865074]], dtype=float32) - s_2024_25_age_adult_daily(chain, draw, days_2024_25)float3241.19 41.19 41.19 ... 40.87 40.87
array([[[41.18753 , 41.18753 , 41.18753 , ..., 41.18753 , 41.18753 , 41.18753 ], [41.15166 , 41.15166 , 41.15166 , ..., 41.15166 , 41.15166 , 41.15166 ], [41.050137, 41.050137, 41.050137, ..., 41.050137, 41.050137, 41.050137], ..., [40.9953 , 40.9953 , 40.9953 , ..., 40.9953 , 40.9953 , 40.9953 ], [41.085106, 41.085106, 41.085106, ..., 41.085106, 41.085106, 41.085106], [41.09227 , 41.09227 , 41.09227 , ..., 41.09227 , 41.09227 , 41.09227 ]], [[40.853333, 40.853333, 40.853333, ..., 40.853333, 40.853333, 40.853333], [40.590942, 40.590942, 40.590942, ..., 40.590942, 40.590942, 40.590942], [40.824795, 40.824795, 40.824795, ..., 40.824795, 40.824795, 40.824795], ... [40.28737 , 40.28737 , 40.28737 , ..., 40.28737 , 40.28737 , 40.28737 ], [40.50013 , 40.50013 , 40.50013 , ..., 40.50013 , 40.50013 , 40.50013 ], [40.894386, 40.894386, 40.894386, ..., 40.894386, 40.894386, 40.894386]], [[41.727753, 41.727753, 41.727753, ..., 41.727753, 41.727753, 41.727753], [40.33105 , 40.33105 , 40.33105 , ..., 40.33105 , 40.33105 , 40.33105 ], [40.839237, 40.839237, 40.839237, ..., 40.839237, 40.839237, 40.839237], ..., [40.98635 , 40.98635 , 40.98635 , ..., 40.98635 , 40.98635 , 40.98635 ], [40.751297, 40.751297, 40.751297, ..., 40.751297, 40.751297, 40.751297], [40.865074, 40.865074, 40.865074, ..., 40.865074, 40.865074, 40.865074]]], dtype=float32) - s_2024_25_age_elderly(chain, draw)float3241.19 41.15 41.05 ... 40.75 40.87
array([[41.18753 , 41.15166 , 41.050137, 41.06374 , 40.951702, 41.065033, 40.650738, 40.887905, 40.82905 , 41.110027, 40.773758, 40.68852 , 40.689835, 40.727375, 40.78481 , 41.377518, 41.35563 , 41.51633 , 41.186474, 41.182 , 41.12944 , 40.757137, 40.82263 , 40.642242, 40.94296 , 40.90541 , 40.895725, 40.839886, 41.617504, 40.61862 , 40.681767, 40.842354, 41.131413, 41.181805, 40.82996 , 41.02787 , 41.05977 , 40.69015 , 40.687847, 40.65952 , 40.65952 , 40.632496, 40.632496, 40.632496, 40.632496, 40.640255, 40.663315, 40.77605 , 40.77605 , 40.77605 , 40.714024, 40.714024, 40.714024, 40.714024, 40.714024, 40.70432 , 40.70432 , 40.674034, 40.674034, 40.674034, 40.652203, 40.652203, 40.652203, 40.652203, 40.652203, 40.652203, 40.6834 , 40.6834 , 40.628494, 40.628494, 40.62509 , 40.627502, 40.612335, 40.577644, 40.54938 , 40.54938 , 40.545246, 40.545246, 40.545246, 40.545246, 40.590294, 40.590294, 40.590294, 40.59901 , 40.59901 , 40.53689 , 40.53689 , 40.53689 , 40.53689 , 40.563828, 40.563828, 40.563828, 40.57054 , 40.57054 , 40.57054 , 40.57054 , 40.57054 , 40.57054 , 40.57054 , 40.539288, 40.539288, 40.539288, 40.539288, 40.539288, 40.55298 , 40.55298 , 40.55298 , 40.55912 , 40.411537, 40.411537, 40.41662 , 40.405727, 40.383842, 40.385918, 41.114826, 41.03827 , 40.908337, 40.991184, 41.45621 , 41.5642 , ... 41.106503, 41.051243, 40.867676, 40.371014, 40.496372, 40.965065, 40.266445, 40.228817, 41.953014, 40.57778 , 41.113487, 41.353207, 41.06724 , 40.51835 , 40.706326, 40.681534, 40.04235 , 40.78534 , 40.806587, 40.797363, 40.512318, 40.700222, 40.870003, 40.801414, 40.87977 , 40.67447 , 40.528637, 41.042213, 41.014782, 40.909515, 41.29262 , 40.868824, 40.89678 , 40.58725 , 40.94791 , 41.06061 , 40.689606, 40.93221 , 40.577267, 40.99787 , 41.176716, 41.109676, 40.975483, 40.97002 , 40.787354, 40.956635, 41.27041 , 41.199135, 41.236885, 40.99664 , 40.513725, 40.584286, 40.495884, 40.981636, 40.46142 , 41.109673, 40.714287, 41.18686 , 41.38437 , 41.34301 , 40.469826, 40.77153 , 40.645535, 40.855583, 40.91298 , 40.59273 , 40.821777, 40.902767, 40.1495 , 40.27286 , 40.59786 , 41.671043, 40.934425, 41.362556, 40.9508 , 40.591267, 40.41157 , 40.63436 , 39.99489 , 41.431103, 40.4675 , 41.49779 , 40.67197 , 40.45775 , 41.08002 , 41.23884 , 40.75013 , 40.702526, 41.222965, 41.36474 , 41.083775, 41.26785 , 40.639595, 41.354275, 40.77755 , 40.64074 , 41.039436, 40.28872 , 40.20125 , 39.863148, 41.282887, 41.004707, 40.790943, 41.54962 , 40.61894 , 41.0393 , 40.698868, 40.640694, 41.4782 , 40.720615, 40.680733, 41.08846 , 40.652687, 40.335133, 40.239407, 40.98635 , 40.751297, 40.865074]], dtype=float32) - s_2024_25_age_elderly_daily(chain, draw, days_2024_25)float3241.19 41.19 41.19 ... 40.87 40.87
array([[[41.18753 , 41.18753 , 41.18753 , ..., 41.18753 , 41.18753 , 41.18753 ], [41.15166 , 41.15166 , 41.15166 , ..., 41.15166 , 41.15166 , 41.15166 ], [41.050137, 41.050137, 41.050137, ..., 41.050137, 41.050137, 41.050137], ..., [40.9953 , 40.9953 , 40.9953 , ..., 40.9953 , 40.9953 , 40.9953 ], [41.085106, 41.085106, 41.085106, ..., 41.085106, 41.085106, 41.085106], [41.09227 , 41.09227 , 41.09227 , ..., 41.09227 , 41.09227 , 41.09227 ]], [[40.853333, 40.853333, 40.853333, ..., 40.853333, 40.853333, 40.853333], [40.590942, 40.590942, 40.590942, ..., 40.590942, 40.590942, 40.590942], [40.824795, 40.824795, 40.824795, ..., 40.824795, 40.824795, 40.824795], ... [40.28737 , 40.28737 , 40.28737 , ..., 40.28737 , 40.28737 , 40.28737 ], [40.50013 , 40.50013 , 40.50013 , ..., 40.50013 , 40.50013 , 40.50013 ], [40.894386, 40.894386, 40.894386, ..., 40.894386, 40.894386, 40.894386]], [[41.727753, 41.727753, 41.727753, ..., 41.727753, 41.727753, 41.727753], [40.33105 , 40.33105 , 40.33105 , ..., 40.33105 , 40.33105 , 40.33105 ], [40.839237, 40.839237, 40.839237, ..., 40.839237, 40.839237, 40.839237], ..., [40.98635 , 40.98635 , 40.98635 , ..., 40.98635 , 40.98635 , 40.98635 ], [40.751297, 40.751297, 40.751297, ..., 40.751297, 40.751297, 40.751297], [40.865074, 40.865074, 40.865074, ..., 40.865074, 40.865074, 40.865074]]], dtype=float32) - s_2024_25_age_youth(chain, draw)float3241.19 41.15 41.05 ... 40.75 40.87
array([[41.18753 , 41.15166 , 41.050137, 41.06374 , 40.951702, 41.065033, 40.650738, 40.887905, 40.82905 , 41.110027, 40.773758, 40.68852 , 40.689835, 40.727375, 40.78481 , 41.377518, 41.35563 , 41.51633 , 41.186474, 41.182 , 41.12944 , 40.757137, 40.82263 , 40.642242, 40.94296 , 40.90541 , 40.895725, 40.839886, 41.617504, 40.61862 , 40.681767, 40.842354, 41.131413, 41.181805, 40.82996 , 41.02787 , 41.05977 , 40.69015 , 40.687847, 40.65952 , 40.65952 , 40.632496, 40.632496, 40.632496, 40.632496, 40.640255, 40.663315, 40.77605 , 40.77605 , 40.77605 , 40.714024, 40.714024, 40.714024, 40.714024, 40.714024, 40.70432 , 40.70432 , 40.674034, 40.674034, 40.674034, 40.652203, 40.652203, 40.652203, 40.652203, 40.652203, 40.652203, 40.6834 , 40.6834 , 40.628494, 40.628494, 40.62509 , 40.627502, 40.612335, 40.577644, 40.54938 , 40.54938 , 40.545246, 40.545246, 40.545246, 40.545246, 40.590294, 40.590294, 40.590294, 40.59901 , 40.59901 , 40.53689 , 40.53689 , 40.53689 , 40.53689 , 40.563828, 40.563828, 40.563828, 40.57054 , 40.57054 , 40.57054 , 40.57054 , 40.57054 , 40.57054 , 40.57054 , 40.539288, 40.539288, 40.539288, 40.539288, 40.539288, 40.55298 , 40.55298 , 40.55298 , 40.55912 , 40.411537, 40.411537, 40.41662 , 40.405727, 40.383842, 40.385918, 41.114826, 41.03827 , 40.908337, 40.991184, 41.45621 , 41.5642 , ... 41.106503, 41.051243, 40.867676, 40.371014, 40.496372, 40.965065, 40.266445, 40.228817, 41.953014, 40.57778 , 41.113487, 41.353207, 41.06724 , 40.51835 , 40.706326, 40.681534, 40.04235 , 40.78534 , 40.806587, 40.797363, 40.512318, 40.700222, 40.870003, 40.801414, 40.87977 , 40.67447 , 40.528637, 41.042213, 41.014782, 40.909515, 41.29262 , 40.868824, 40.89678 , 40.58725 , 40.94791 , 41.06061 , 40.689606, 40.93221 , 40.577267, 40.99787 , 41.176716, 41.109676, 40.975483, 40.97002 , 40.787354, 40.956635, 41.27041 , 41.199135, 41.236885, 40.99664 , 40.513725, 40.584286, 40.495884, 40.981636, 40.46142 , 41.109673, 40.714287, 41.18686 , 41.38437 , 41.34301 , 40.469826, 40.77153 , 40.645535, 40.855583, 40.91298 , 40.59273 , 40.821777, 40.902767, 40.1495 , 40.27286 , 40.59786 , 41.671043, 40.934425, 41.362556, 40.9508 , 40.591267, 40.41157 , 40.63436 , 39.99489 , 41.431103, 40.4675 , 41.49779 , 40.67197 , 40.45775 , 41.08002 , 41.23884 , 40.75013 , 40.702526, 41.222965, 41.36474 , 41.083775, 41.26785 , 40.639595, 41.354275, 40.77755 , 40.64074 , 41.039436, 40.28872 , 40.20125 , 39.863148, 41.282887, 41.004707, 40.790943, 41.54962 , 40.61894 , 41.0393 , 40.698868, 40.640694, 41.4782 , 40.720615, 40.680733, 41.08846 , 40.652687, 40.335133, 40.239407, 40.98635 , 40.751297, 40.865074]], dtype=float32) - s_2024_25_age_youth_daily(chain, draw, days_2024_25)float3241.19 41.19 41.19 ... 40.87 40.87
array([[[41.18753 , 41.18753 , 41.18753 , ..., 41.18753 , 41.18753 , 41.18753 ], [41.15166 , 41.15166 , 41.15166 , ..., 41.15166 , 41.15166 , 41.15166 ], [41.050137, 41.050137, 41.050137, ..., 41.050137, 41.050137, 41.050137], ..., [40.9953 , 40.9953 , 40.9953 , ..., 40.9953 , 40.9953 , 40.9953 ], [41.085106, 41.085106, 41.085106, ..., 41.085106, 41.085106, 41.085106], [41.09227 , 41.09227 , 41.09227 , ..., 41.09227 , 41.09227 , 41.09227 ]], [[40.853333, 40.853333, 40.853333, ..., 40.853333, 40.853333, 40.853333], [40.590942, 40.590942, 40.590942, ..., 40.590942, 40.590942, 40.590942], [40.824795, 40.824795, 40.824795, ..., 40.824795, 40.824795, 40.824795], ... [40.28737 , 40.28737 , 40.28737 , ..., 40.28737 , 40.28737 , 40.28737 ], [40.50013 , 40.50013 , 40.50013 , ..., 40.50013 , 40.50013 , 40.50013 ], [40.894386, 40.894386, 40.894386, ..., 40.894386, 40.894386, 40.894386]], [[41.727753, 41.727753, 41.727753, ..., 41.727753, 41.727753, 41.727753], [40.33105 , 40.33105 , 40.33105 , ..., 40.33105 , 40.33105 , 40.33105 ], [40.839237, 40.839237, 40.839237, ..., 40.839237, 40.839237, 40.839237], ..., [40.98635 , 40.98635 , 40.98635 , ..., 40.98635 , 40.98635 , 40.98635 ], [40.751297, 40.751297, 40.751297, ..., 40.751297, 40.751297, 40.751297], [40.865074, 40.865074, 40.865074, ..., 40.865074, 40.865074, 40.865074]]], dtype=float32) - s_season(chain, draw, season)float3239.81 41.92 41.19 ... 41.73 40.87
array([[[39.805546, 41.91523 , 41.18753 ], [40.202858, 41.715145, 41.15166 ], [39.895542, 41.79713 , 41.050137], ..., [39.94468 , 41.237236, 40.9953 ], [39.964466, 41.30212 , 41.085106], [40.107815, 42.32175 , 41.09227 ]], [[39.68019 , 42.25001 , 40.853333], [39.28548 , 42.16407 , 40.590942], [40.511932, 41.86665 , 40.824795], ..., [39.822887, 42.01682 , 40.11026 ], [39.815445, 41.805737, 40.160557], [40.104855, 41.973362, 40.32652 ]], [[40.082012, 41.835457, 40.68511 ], [40.204754, 41.755905, 41.946316], [39.892727, 41.382004, 41.04773 ], ..., [40.66157 , 41.66754 , 40.28737 ], [39.975204, 41.870758, 40.50013 ], [40.146324, 41.766373, 40.894386]], [[40.161083, 42.190807, 41.727753], [39.8784 , 41.302322, 40.33105 ], [39.639874, 42.44664 , 40.839237], ..., [40.078964, 41.77399 , 40.98635 ], [39.921 , 41.78881 , 40.751297], [39.832256, 41.726143, 40.865074]]], dtype=float32) - s_season_mu(chain, draw)float3242.47 41.27 41.28 ... 40.35 39.95
array([[42.465965, 41.268295, 41.284203, 41.42923 , 41.868137, 40.57406 , 38.49589 , 33.370613, 36.498653, 44.88314 , 37.77372 , 38.004967, 41.480576, 39.369087, 40.31289 , 39.15948 , 41.187565, 37.7075 , 38.772865, 40.736942, 39.54107 , 42.682194, 38.15843 , 42.14492 , 36.892128, 39.79533 , 40.32954 , 39.206936, 41.133568, 41.577698, 45.617554, 38.260265, 43.035988, 41.976933, 41.837543, 39.12336 , 40.11511 , 41.378048, 41.400215, 41.217667, 41.217667, 41.21204 , 41.21204 , 41.21204 , 41.21204 , 41.22928 , 41.147053, 41.0073 , 41.0073 , 41.0073 , 40.84742 , 40.84742 , 40.84742 , 40.84742 , 40.84742 , 40.68484 , 40.68484 , 41.036106, 41.036106, 41.036106, 41.0537 , 41.0537 , 41.0537 , 41.0537 , 41.0537 , 41.0537 , 40.908485, 40.908485, 41.01867 , 41.01867 , 40.980137, 40.97869 , 40.758396, 40.684566, 41.030663, 41.030663, 41.038937, 41.038937, 41.038937, 41.038937, 40.86905 , 40.86905 , 40.86905 , 40.769276, 40.769276, 40.52321 , 40.52321 , 40.52321 , 40.52321 , 40.580395, 40.580395, 40.580395, 40.825695, 40.825695, 40.825695, 40.825695, 40.825695, 40.825695, 40.825695, 40.838425, 40.838425, 40.838425, 40.838425, 40.838425, 41.11608 , 41.11608 , 41.11608 , 41.07618 , 40.9216 , 40.9216 , 40.820232, 40.969105, 41.273533, 41.54568 , 41.597 , 42.030132, 39.526867, 39.796165, 40.347088, 42.112057, ... 41.84193 , 40.768826, 41.65622 , 41.040348, 41.386497, 40.036846, 38.875957, 39.920826, 42.259415, 46.070904, 45.945934, 40.06122 , 40.05021 , 39.343132, 40.12696 , 40.502 , 32.760902, 39.797417, 41.337246, 40.562035, 41.735813, 46.035286, 40.739414, 40.60296 , 41.303276, 40.842705, 39.808064, 41.011776, 41.226456, 40.69549 , 41.49221 , 41.22986 , 40.97278 , 41.122208, 41.11798 , 39.956535, 41.182034, 39.720665, 40.106743, 40.618256, 40.74201 , 41.659225, 40.105743, 41.01545 , 41.447983, 40.943966, 41.088585, 41.034004, 41.142147, 41.202274, 40.571217, 41.016136, 40.39955 , 41.39961 , 41.731403, 40.808975, 39.50467 , 39.59694 , 42.241272, 38.288105, 39.334473, 39.847992, 44.27749 , 41.67506 , 42.917126, 40.141033, 41.35014 , 41.01933 , 41.693848, 41.610455, 40.746586, 41.116116, 41.113358, 41.89655 , 41.090286, 41.56306 , 40.309315, 42.13418 , 39.02545 , 43.60772 , 40.74427 , 41.380764, 38.693855, 42.263103, 42.557243, 42.04455 , 41.13995 , 40.414867, 41.237617, 41.04838 , 34.54069 , 34.44418 , 44.684406, 33.38915 , 48.633923, 48.359455, 45.84032 , 41.011658, 40.938236, 40.479836, 41.268124, 40.846085, 40.192135, 42.928932, 39.488663, 40.878174, 38.972622, 40.32006 , 40.67216 , 40.98747 , 41.559834, 40.36702 , 40.47437 , 39.884956, 40.96617 , 42.073933, 40.349373, 39.945557]], dtype=float32) - s_season_sigma(chain, draw)float322.543 1.12 1.976 ... 1.339 1.184
array([[ 2.5427523 , 1.1199238 , 1.9760007 , 0.7160053 , 3.7750485 , 0.63324255, 3.4237196 , 18.299913 , 3.0275073 , 3.4792733 , 4.192121 , 4.8923965 , 0.7152051 , 3.7430806 , 3.7494695 , 6.607315 , 5.6769633 , 4.507177 , 7.5613923 , 6.0822573 , 5.410049 , 4.9984417 , 4.1543026 , 1.6085055 , 4.9117947 , 1.8366005 , 7.495265 , 7.535987 , 0.77208155, 5.3634305 , 3.8114202 , 2.4196389 , 1.8523947 , 2.43845 , 1.0332524 , 2.6817489 , 1.0687644 , 1.3822145 , 1.4142447 , 1.4764073 , 1.4764073 , 1.5261837 , 1.5261837 , 1.5261837 , 1.5261837 , 1.5279622 , 1.477242 , 1.6905574 , 1.6905574 , 1.6905574 , 1.6239574 , 1.6239574 , 1.6239574 , 1.6239574 , 1.6239574 , 1.578789 , 1.578789 , 1.6444961 , 1.6444961 , 1.6444961 , 1.6310235 , 1.6310235 , 1.6310235 , 1.6310235 , 1.6310235 , 1.6310235 , 1.6803194 , 1.6803194 , 1.7546867 , 1.7546867 , 1.6707331 , 1.6659654 , 1.6805077 , 1.8333628 , 2.0857213 , 2.0857213 , 2.1118548 , 2.1118548 , 2.1118548 , 2.1118548 , 2.1847067 , 2.1847067 , 2.1847067 , 1.9742755 , 1.9742755 , 1.9702911 , 1.9702911 , 1.9702911 , 1.9702911 , 1.9757757 , 1.9757757 , 1.9757757 , 1.8546656 , 1.8546656 , 1.8546656 , 1.8546656 , 1.8546656 , 1.8546656 , 1.8546656 , 1.6934775 , ... 0.85902625, 1.159109 , 1.0097167 , 1.8546268 , 1.6950406 , 1.8234249 , 0.6850463 , 1.2632098 , 0.93427736, 1.7498473 , 2.1339781 , 1.0924027 , 2.401503 , 2.2590737 , 1.0686855 , 1.8405612 , 1.968722 , 0.73432654, 0.66247153, 1.1806188 , 1.0435647 , 0.99077606, 2.0600054 , 0.76747656, 0.6796185 , 1.5634897 , 0.80848753, 0.99463516, 2.3402617 , 1.1953094 , 2.243245 , 0.8353399 , 1.6522777 , 3.1666555 , 1.1021613 , 1.972426 , 4.4809113 , 1.5464456 , 1.3003099 , 7.7452264 , 4.6317654 , 1.9119527 , 1.338812 , 0.57640094, 1.779843 , 1.6190993 , 3.396848 , 0.7564298 , 0.8812144 , 0.5911108 , 1.8265868 , 1.1679242 , 1.5182277 , 1.4522593 , 2.1561093 , 1.4292517 , 4.07315 , 1.1850883 , 3.5101097 , 2.7042644 , 1.3849581 , 0.9417686 , 1.2275517 , 0.6018444 , 2.3101766 , 0.7893863 , 2.5488143 , 9.805638 , 6.8557005 , 2.2957659 , 5.185273 , 8.533966 , 9.174683 , 5.5756187 , 1.629905 , 1.8230422 , 1.0240536 , 0.69652617, 0.9106296 , 2.649413 , 1.8180765 , 3.4264846 , 14.701712 , 1.4924884 , 1.3446196 , 2.1248412 , 0.5257047 , 1.1984102 , 1.1151425 , 3.9637852 , 5.15385 , 1.1367756 , 2.1310706 , 1.3392433 , 1.1843848 ]], dtype=float32)
- created_at :
- 2026-03-31T21:17:54.231612+00:00
- arviz_version :
- 0.23.4
- inference_library :
- numpyro
- inference_library_version :
- 0.20.1
<xarray.Dataset> Size: 15MB Dimensions: (chain: 4, draw: 250, season: 3, age_categories: 3, date_ranges_2022_23: 18, date_ranges_2023_24: 18, date_ranges_2024_25: 17, days_2022_23: 126, days_2023_24: 126, days_2024_25: 119, age_categories_short: 2, observation: 159) Coordinates: * chain (chain) int64 32B 0 1 2 3 * draw (draw) int64 2kB 0 1 2 3 ... 246 247 248 249 * season (season) <U7 84B '2022/23' ... '2024/25' * age_categories (age_categories) <U7 84B 'youth' ... 'elde... * date_ranges_2022_23 (date_ranges_2022_23) <U21 2kB '2022-10-03... * date_ranges_2023_24 (date_ranges_2023_24) <U21 2kB '2023-12-11... * date_ranges_2024_25 (date_ranges_2024_25) <U21 1kB '2025-01-13... * days_2022_23 (days_2022_23) <U10 5kB '2022-10-03' ... '... * days_2023_24 (days_2023_24) <U10 5kB '2023-10-02' ... '... * days_2024_25 (days_2024_25) <U10 5kB '2024-10-07' ... '... * age_categories_short (age_categories_short) <U7 56B 'adult' 'el... * observation (observation) <U41 26kB '2022/23|2022-10-0... Data variables: (12/81) covariate_values_m_age (chain, draw, season, age_categories) float32 36kB ... covariate_values_m_season (chain, draw, season) float32 12kB -0.5305... covariate_values_r_season (chain, draw, season) float32 12kB -3.192 ... covariate_values_s_season (chain, draw, season) float32 12kB 39.81 .... incidence_2022_23_age_adult (chain, draw, date_ranges_2022_23) float32 72kB ... incidence_2022_23_age_elderly (chain, draw, date_ranges_2022_23) float32 72kB ... ... ... s_2024_25_age_elderly_daily (chain, draw, days_2024_25) float32 476kB ... s_2024_25_age_youth (chain, draw) float32 4kB 41.19 ... 40.87 s_2024_25_age_youth_daily (chain, draw, days_2024_25) float32 476kB ... s_season (chain, draw, season) float32 12kB 39.81 .... s_season_mu (chain, draw) float32 4kB 42.47 ... 39.95 s_season_sigma (chain, draw) float32 4kB 2.543 ... 1.184 Attributes: created_at: 2026-03-31T21:17:54.231612+00:00 arviz_version: 0.23.4 inference_library: numpyro inference_library_version: 0.20.1xarray.Dataset -
- chain: 4
- draw: 250
- season: 3
- age_categories: 3
- date_ranges_2022_23: 18
- incidence_2022_23_age_adult_prevalence_penalty_dim_0: 0
- incidence_2022_23_age_elderly_prevalence_penalty_dim_0: 0
- incidence_2022_23_age_youth_prevalence_penalty_dim_0: 0
- date_ranges_2023_24: 18
- incidence_2023_24_age_adult_prevalence_penalty_dim_0: 0
- incidence_2023_24_age_elderly_prevalence_penalty_dim_0: 0
- incidence_2023_24_age_youth_prevalence_penalty_dim_0: 0
- date_ranges_2024_25: 17
- incidence_2024_25_age_adult_prevalence_penalty_dim_0: 0
- incidence_2024_25_age_elderly_prevalence_penalty_dim_0: 0
- incidence_2024_25_age_youth_prevalence_penalty_dim_0: 0
- days_2022_23: 126
- days_2023_24: 126
- days_2024_25: 119
- observation: 159
- chain(chain)int640 1 2 3
array([0, 1, 2, 3])
- draw(draw)int640 1 2 3 4 5 ... 245 246 247 248 249
array([ 0, 1, 2, ..., 247, 248, 249])
- season(season)<U7'2022/23' '2023/24' '2024/25'
array(['2022/23', '2023/24', '2024/25'], dtype='<U7')
- age_categories(age_categories)<U7'youth' 'adult' 'elderly'
array(['youth', 'adult', 'elderly'], dtype='<U7')
- date_ranges_2022_23(date_ranges_2022_23)<U21'2022-10-03_2022-10-09' ... '202...
array(['2022-10-03_2022-10-09', '2022-11-21_2022-11-27', '2022-10-10_2022-10-16', '2023-01-30_2023-02-05', '2022-12-26_2023-01-01', '2022-12-05_2022-12-11', '2023-01-02_2023-01-08', '2022-12-19_2022-12-25', '2023-01-09_2023-01-15', '2023-01-16_2023-01-22', '2022-12-12_2022-12-18', '2022-10-31_2022-11-06', '2023-01-23_2023-01-29', '2022-10-17_2022-10-23', '2022-11-07_2022-11-13', '2022-11-28_2022-12-04', '2022-10-24_2022-10-30', '2022-11-14_2022-11-20'], dtype='<U21') - incidence_2022_23_age_adult_prevalence_penalty_dim_0(incidence_2022_23_age_adult_prevalence_penalty_dim_0)int64
array([], dtype=int64)
- incidence_2022_23_age_elderly_prevalence_penalty_dim_0(incidence_2022_23_age_elderly_prevalence_penalty_dim_0)int64
array([], dtype=int64)
- incidence_2022_23_age_youth_prevalence_penalty_dim_0(incidence_2022_23_age_youth_prevalence_penalty_dim_0)int64
array([], dtype=int64)
- date_ranges_2023_24(date_ranges_2023_24)<U21'2023-12-11_2023-12-17' ... '202...
array(['2023-12-11_2023-12-17', '2023-10-23_2023-10-29', '2023-11-06_2023-11-12', '2024-01-08_2024-01-14', '2023-11-20_2023-11-26', '2023-10-30_2023-11-05', '2023-12-25_2023-12-31', '2023-12-18_2023-12-24', '2024-01-15_2024-01-21', '2024-01-22_2024-01-28', '2023-12-04_2023-12-10', '2023-11-13_2023-11-19', '2023-10-09_2023-10-15', '2024-01-29_2024-02-04', '2024-01-01_2024-01-07', '2023-10-16_2023-10-22', '2023-10-02_2023-10-08', '2023-11-27_2023-12-03'], dtype='<U21') - incidence_2023_24_age_adult_prevalence_penalty_dim_0(incidence_2023_24_age_adult_prevalence_penalty_dim_0)int64
array([], dtype=int64)
- incidence_2023_24_age_elderly_prevalence_penalty_dim_0(incidence_2023_24_age_elderly_prevalence_penalty_dim_0)int64
array([], dtype=int64)
- incidence_2023_24_age_youth_prevalence_penalty_dim_0(incidence_2023_24_age_youth_prevalence_penalty_dim_0)int64
array([], dtype=int64)
- date_ranges_2024_25(date_ranges_2024_25)<U21'2025-01-13_2025-01-19' ... '202...
array(['2025-01-13_2025-01-19', '2024-11-25_2024-12-01', '2024-10-07_2024-10-13', '2024-12-16_2024-12-22', '2024-10-28_2024-11-03', '2024-12-02_2024-12-08', '2024-11-18_2024-11-24', '2024-10-21_2024-10-27', '2024-12-09_2024-12-15', '2024-12-23_2024-12-29', '2025-01-27_2025-02-02', '2024-11-04_2024-11-10', '2024-10-14_2024-10-20', '2025-01-06_2025-01-12', '2024-11-11_2024-11-17', '2025-01-20_2025-01-26', '2024-12-30_2025-01-05'], dtype='<U21') - incidence_2024_25_age_adult_prevalence_penalty_dim_0(incidence_2024_25_age_adult_prevalence_penalty_dim_0)int64
array([], dtype=int64)
- incidence_2024_25_age_elderly_prevalence_penalty_dim_0(incidence_2024_25_age_elderly_prevalence_penalty_dim_0)int64
array([], dtype=int64)
- incidence_2024_25_age_youth_prevalence_penalty_dim_0(incidence_2024_25_age_youth_prevalence_penalty_dim_0)int64
array([], dtype=int64)
- days_2022_23(days_2022_23)<U10'2022-10-03' ... '2023-02-05'
array(['2022-10-03', '2022-10-04', '2022-10-05', '2022-10-06', '2022-10-07', '2022-10-08', '2022-10-09', '2022-10-10', '2022-10-11', '2022-10-12', '2022-10-13', '2022-10-14', '2022-10-15', '2022-10-16', '2022-10-17', '2022-10-18', '2022-10-19', '2022-10-20', '2022-10-21', '2022-10-22', '2022-10-23', '2022-10-24', '2022-10-25', '2022-10-26', '2022-10-27', '2022-10-28', '2022-10-29', '2022-10-30', '2022-10-31', '2022-11-01', '2022-11-02', '2022-11-03', '2022-11-04', '2022-11-05', '2022-11-06', '2022-11-07', '2022-11-08', '2022-11-09', '2022-11-10', '2022-11-11', '2022-11-12', '2022-11-13', '2022-11-14', '2022-11-15', '2022-11-16', '2022-11-17', '2022-11-18', '2022-11-19', '2022-11-20', '2022-11-21', '2022-11-22', '2022-11-23', '2022-11-24', '2022-11-25', '2022-11-26', '2022-11-27', '2022-11-28', '2022-11-29', '2022-11-30', '2022-12-01', '2022-12-02', '2022-12-03', '2022-12-04', '2022-12-05', '2022-12-06', '2022-12-07', '2022-12-08', '2022-12-09', '2022-12-10', '2022-12-11', '2022-12-12', '2022-12-13', '2022-12-14', '2022-12-15', '2022-12-16', '2022-12-17', '2022-12-18', '2022-12-19', '2022-12-20', '2022-12-21', '2022-12-22', '2022-12-23', '2022-12-24', '2022-12-25', '2022-12-26', '2022-12-27', '2022-12-28', '2022-12-29', '2022-12-30', '2022-12-31', '2023-01-01', '2023-01-02', '2023-01-03', '2023-01-04', '2023-01-05', '2023-01-06', '2023-01-07', '2023-01-08', '2023-01-09', '2023-01-10', '2023-01-11', '2023-01-12', '2023-01-13', '2023-01-14', '2023-01-15', '2023-01-16', '2023-01-17', '2023-01-18', '2023-01-19', '2023-01-20', '2023-01-21', '2023-01-22', '2023-01-23', '2023-01-24', '2023-01-25', '2023-01-26', '2023-01-27', '2023-01-28', '2023-01-29', '2023-01-30', '2023-01-31', '2023-02-01', '2023-02-02', '2023-02-03', '2023-02-04', '2023-02-05'], dtype='<U10') - days_2023_24(days_2023_24)<U10'2023-10-02' ... '2024-02-04'
array(['2023-10-02', '2023-10-03', '2023-10-04', '2023-10-05', '2023-10-06', '2023-10-07', '2023-10-08', '2023-10-09', '2023-10-10', '2023-10-11', '2023-10-12', '2023-10-13', '2023-10-14', '2023-10-15', '2023-10-16', '2023-10-17', '2023-10-18', '2023-10-19', '2023-10-20', '2023-10-21', '2023-10-22', '2023-10-23', '2023-10-24', '2023-10-25', '2023-10-26', '2023-10-27', '2023-10-28', '2023-10-29', '2023-10-30', '2023-10-31', '2023-11-01', '2023-11-02', '2023-11-03', '2023-11-04', '2023-11-05', '2023-11-06', '2023-11-07', '2023-11-08', '2023-11-09', '2023-11-10', '2023-11-11', '2023-11-12', '2023-11-13', '2023-11-14', '2023-11-15', '2023-11-16', '2023-11-17', '2023-11-18', '2023-11-19', '2023-11-20', '2023-11-21', '2023-11-22', '2023-11-23', '2023-11-24', '2023-11-25', '2023-11-26', '2023-11-27', '2023-11-28', '2023-11-29', '2023-11-30', '2023-12-01', '2023-12-02', '2023-12-03', '2023-12-04', '2023-12-05', '2023-12-06', '2023-12-07', '2023-12-08', '2023-12-09', '2023-12-10', '2023-12-11', '2023-12-12', '2023-12-13', '2023-12-14', '2023-12-15', '2023-12-16', '2023-12-17', '2023-12-18', '2023-12-19', '2023-12-20', '2023-12-21', '2023-12-22', '2023-12-23', '2023-12-24', '2023-12-25', '2023-12-26', '2023-12-27', '2023-12-28', '2023-12-29', '2023-12-30', '2023-12-31', '2024-01-01', '2024-01-02', '2024-01-03', '2024-01-04', '2024-01-05', '2024-01-06', '2024-01-07', '2024-01-08', '2024-01-09', '2024-01-10', '2024-01-11', '2024-01-12', '2024-01-13', '2024-01-14', '2024-01-15', '2024-01-16', '2024-01-17', '2024-01-18', '2024-01-19', '2024-01-20', '2024-01-21', '2024-01-22', '2024-01-23', '2024-01-24', '2024-01-25', '2024-01-26', '2024-01-27', '2024-01-28', '2024-01-29', '2024-01-30', '2024-01-31', '2024-02-01', '2024-02-02', '2024-02-03', '2024-02-04'], dtype='<U10') - days_2024_25(days_2024_25)<U10'2024-10-07' ... '2025-02-02'
array(['2024-10-07', '2024-10-08', '2024-10-09', '2024-10-10', '2024-10-11', '2024-10-12', '2024-10-13', '2024-10-14', '2024-10-15', '2024-10-16', '2024-10-17', '2024-10-18', '2024-10-19', '2024-10-20', '2024-10-21', '2024-10-22', '2024-10-23', '2024-10-24', '2024-10-25', '2024-10-26', '2024-10-27', '2024-10-28', '2024-10-29', '2024-10-30', '2024-10-31', '2024-11-01', '2024-11-02', '2024-11-03', '2024-11-04', '2024-11-05', '2024-11-06', '2024-11-07', '2024-11-08', '2024-11-09', '2024-11-10', '2024-11-11', '2024-11-12', '2024-11-13', '2024-11-14', '2024-11-15', '2024-11-16', '2024-11-17', '2024-11-18', '2024-11-19', '2024-11-20', '2024-11-21', '2024-11-22', '2024-11-23', '2024-11-24', '2024-11-25', '2024-11-26', '2024-11-27', '2024-11-28', '2024-11-29', '2024-11-30', '2024-12-01', '2024-12-02', '2024-12-03', '2024-12-04', '2024-12-05', '2024-12-06', '2024-12-07', '2024-12-08', '2024-12-09', '2024-12-10', '2024-12-11', '2024-12-12', '2024-12-13', '2024-12-14', '2024-12-15', '2024-12-16', '2024-12-17', '2024-12-18', '2024-12-19', '2024-12-20', '2024-12-21', '2024-12-22', '2024-12-23', '2024-12-24', '2024-12-25', '2024-12-26', '2024-12-27', '2024-12-28', '2024-12-29', '2024-12-30', '2024-12-31', '2025-01-01', '2025-01-02', '2025-01-03', '2025-01-04', '2025-01-05', '2025-01-06', '2025-01-07', '2025-01-08', '2025-01-09', '2025-01-10', '2025-01-11', '2025-01-12', '2025-01-13', '2025-01-14', '2025-01-15', '2025-01-16', '2025-01-17', '2025-01-18', '2025-01-19', '2025-01-20', '2025-01-21', '2025-01-22', '2025-01-23', '2025-01-24', '2025-01-25', '2025-01-26', '2025-01-27', '2025-01-28', '2025-01-29', '2025-01-30', '2025-01-31', '2025-02-01', '2025-02-02'], dtype='<U10') - observation(observation)<U41'2022/23|2022-10-03|2022-10-09|a...
array(['2022/23|2022-10-03|2022-10-09|age=youth', '2022/23|2022-10-03|2022-10-09|age=adult', '2022/23|2022-10-03|2022-10-09|age=elderly', '2022/23|2022-10-10|2022-10-16|age=youth', '2022/23|2022-10-10|2022-10-16|age=adult', '2022/23|2022-10-10|2022-10-16|age=elderly', '2022/23|2022-10-17|2022-10-23|age=youth', '2022/23|2022-10-17|2022-10-23|age=adult', '2022/23|2022-10-17|2022-10-23|age=elderly', '2022/23|2022-10-24|2022-10-30|age=youth', '2022/23|2022-10-24|2022-10-30|age=adult', '2022/23|2022-10-24|2022-10-30|age=elderly', '2022/23|2022-10-31|2022-11-06|age=youth', '2022/23|2022-10-31|2022-11-06|age=adult', '2022/23|2022-10-31|2022-11-06|age=elderly', '2022/23|2022-11-07|2022-11-13|age=youth', '2022/23|2022-11-07|2022-11-13|age=adult', '2022/23|2022-11-07|2022-11-13|age=elderly', '2022/23|2022-11-14|2022-11-20|age=youth', '2022/23|2022-11-14|2022-11-20|age=adult', '2022/23|2022-11-14|2022-11-20|age=elderly', '2022/23|2022-11-21|2022-11-27|age=youth', '2022/23|2022-11-21|2022-11-27|age=adult', '2022/23|2022-11-21|2022-11-27|age=elderly', '2022/23|2022-11-28|2022-12-04|age=youth', '2022/23|2022-11-28|2022-12-04|age=adult', '2022/23|2022-11-28|2022-12-04|age=elderly', '2022/23|2022-12-05|2022-12-11|age=youth', '2022/23|2022-12-05|2022-12-11|age=adult', '2022/23|2022-12-05|2022-12-11|age=elderly', '2022/23|2022-12-12|2022-12-18|age=youth', '2022/23|2022-12-12|2022-12-18|age=adult', '2022/23|2022-12-12|2022-12-18|age=elderly', '2022/23|2022-12-19|2022-12-25|age=youth', '2022/23|2022-12-19|2022-12-25|age=adult', '2022/23|2022-12-19|2022-12-25|age=elderly', '2022/23|2022-12-26|2023-01-01|age=youth', '2022/23|2022-12-26|2023-01-01|age=adult', '2022/23|2022-12-26|2023-01-01|age=elderly', '2022/23|2023-01-02|2023-01-08|age=youth', '2022/23|2023-01-02|2023-01-08|age=adult', '2022/23|2023-01-02|2023-01-08|age=elderly', '2022/23|2023-01-09|2023-01-15|age=youth', '2022/23|2023-01-09|2023-01-15|age=adult', '2022/23|2023-01-09|2023-01-15|age=elderly', '2022/23|2023-01-16|2023-01-22|age=youth', '2022/23|2023-01-16|2023-01-22|age=adult', '2022/23|2023-01-16|2023-01-22|age=elderly', '2022/23|2023-01-23|2023-01-29|age=youth', '2022/23|2023-01-23|2023-01-29|age=adult', '2022/23|2023-01-23|2023-01-29|age=elderly', '2022/23|2023-01-30|2023-02-05|age=youth', '2022/23|2023-01-30|2023-02-05|age=adult', '2022/23|2023-01-30|2023-02-05|age=elderly', '2023/24|2023-10-02|2023-10-08|age=youth', '2023/24|2023-10-02|2023-10-08|age=adult', '2023/24|2023-10-02|2023-10-08|age=elderly', '2023/24|2023-10-09|2023-10-15|age=youth', '2023/24|2023-10-09|2023-10-15|age=adult', '2023/24|2023-10-09|2023-10-15|age=elderly', '2023/24|2023-10-16|2023-10-22|age=youth', '2023/24|2023-10-16|2023-10-22|age=adult', '2023/24|2023-10-16|2023-10-22|age=elderly', '2023/24|2023-10-23|2023-10-29|age=youth', '2023/24|2023-10-23|2023-10-29|age=adult', '2023/24|2023-10-23|2023-10-29|age=elderly', '2023/24|2023-10-30|2023-11-05|age=youth', '2023/24|2023-10-30|2023-11-05|age=adult', '2023/24|2023-10-30|2023-11-05|age=elderly', '2023/24|2023-11-06|2023-11-12|age=youth', '2023/24|2023-11-06|2023-11-12|age=adult', '2023/24|2023-11-06|2023-11-12|age=elderly', '2023/24|2023-11-13|2023-11-19|age=youth', '2023/24|2023-11-13|2023-11-19|age=adult', '2023/24|2023-11-13|2023-11-19|age=elderly', '2023/24|2023-11-20|2023-11-26|age=youth', '2023/24|2023-11-20|2023-11-26|age=adult', '2023/24|2023-11-20|2023-11-26|age=elderly', '2023/24|2023-11-27|2023-12-03|age=youth', '2023/24|2023-11-27|2023-12-03|age=adult', '2023/24|2023-11-27|2023-12-03|age=elderly', '2023/24|2023-12-04|2023-12-10|age=youth', '2023/24|2023-12-04|2023-12-10|age=adult', '2023/24|2023-12-04|2023-12-10|age=elderly', '2023/24|2023-12-11|2023-12-17|age=youth', '2023/24|2023-12-11|2023-12-17|age=adult', '2023/24|2023-12-11|2023-12-17|age=elderly', '2023/24|2023-12-18|2023-12-24|age=youth', '2023/24|2023-12-18|2023-12-24|age=adult', '2023/24|2023-12-18|2023-12-24|age=elderly', '2023/24|2023-12-25|2023-12-31|age=youth', '2023/24|2023-12-25|2023-12-31|age=adult', '2023/24|2023-12-25|2023-12-31|age=elderly', '2023/24|2024-01-01|2024-01-07|age=youth', '2023/24|2024-01-01|2024-01-07|age=adult', '2023/24|2024-01-01|2024-01-07|age=elderly', '2023/24|2024-01-08|2024-01-14|age=youth', '2023/24|2024-01-08|2024-01-14|age=adult', '2023/24|2024-01-08|2024-01-14|age=elderly', '2023/24|2024-01-15|2024-01-21|age=youth', '2023/24|2024-01-15|2024-01-21|age=adult', '2023/24|2024-01-15|2024-01-21|age=elderly', '2023/24|2024-01-22|2024-01-28|age=youth', '2023/24|2024-01-22|2024-01-28|age=adult', '2023/24|2024-01-22|2024-01-28|age=elderly', '2023/24|2024-01-29|2024-02-04|age=youth', '2023/24|2024-01-29|2024-02-04|age=adult', '2023/24|2024-01-29|2024-02-04|age=elderly', '2024/25|2024-10-07|2024-10-13|age=youth', '2024/25|2024-10-07|2024-10-13|age=adult', '2024/25|2024-10-07|2024-10-13|age=elderly', '2024/25|2024-10-14|2024-10-20|age=youth', '2024/25|2024-10-14|2024-10-20|age=adult', '2024/25|2024-10-14|2024-10-20|age=elderly', '2024/25|2024-10-21|2024-10-27|age=youth', '2024/25|2024-10-21|2024-10-27|age=adult', '2024/25|2024-10-21|2024-10-27|age=elderly', '2024/25|2024-10-28|2024-11-03|age=youth', '2024/25|2024-10-28|2024-11-03|age=adult', '2024/25|2024-10-28|2024-11-03|age=elderly', '2024/25|2024-11-04|2024-11-10|age=youth', '2024/25|2024-11-04|2024-11-10|age=adult', '2024/25|2024-11-04|2024-11-10|age=elderly', '2024/25|2024-11-11|2024-11-17|age=youth', '2024/25|2024-11-11|2024-11-17|age=adult', '2024/25|2024-11-11|2024-11-17|age=elderly', '2024/25|2024-11-18|2024-11-24|age=youth', '2024/25|2024-11-18|2024-11-24|age=adult', '2024/25|2024-11-18|2024-11-24|age=elderly', '2024/25|2024-11-25|2024-12-01|age=youth', '2024/25|2024-11-25|2024-12-01|age=adult', '2024/25|2024-11-25|2024-12-01|age=elderly', '2024/25|2024-12-02|2024-12-08|age=youth', '2024/25|2024-12-02|2024-12-08|age=adult', '2024/25|2024-12-02|2024-12-08|age=elderly', '2024/25|2024-12-09|2024-12-15|age=youth', '2024/25|2024-12-09|2024-12-15|age=adult', '2024/25|2024-12-09|2024-12-15|age=elderly', '2024/25|2024-12-16|2024-12-22|age=youth', '2024/25|2024-12-16|2024-12-22|age=adult', '2024/25|2024-12-16|2024-12-22|age=elderly', '2024/25|2024-12-23|2024-12-29|age=youth', '2024/25|2024-12-23|2024-12-29|age=adult', '2024/25|2024-12-23|2024-12-29|age=elderly', '2024/25|2024-12-30|2025-01-05|age=youth', '2024/25|2024-12-30|2025-01-05|age=adult', '2024/25|2024-12-30|2025-01-05|age=elderly', '2024/25|2025-01-06|2025-01-12|age=youth', '2024/25|2025-01-06|2025-01-12|age=adult', '2024/25|2025-01-06|2025-01-12|age=elderly', '2024/25|2025-01-13|2025-01-19|age=youth', '2024/25|2025-01-13|2025-01-19|age=adult', '2024/25|2025-01-13|2025-01-19|age=elderly', '2024/25|2025-01-20|2025-01-26|age=youth', '2024/25|2025-01-20|2025-01-26|age=adult', '2024/25|2025-01-20|2025-01-26|age=elderly', '2024/25|2025-01-27|2025-02-02|age=youth', '2024/25|2025-01-27|2025-02-02|age=adult', '2024/25|2025-01-27|2025-02-02|age=elderly'], dtype='<U41')
- covariate_values_m_age(chain, draw, season, age_categories)float320.0 0.9986 1.823 ... 0.0 1.054 1.78
array([[[[0. , 0.99861133, 1.8229351 ], [0. , 1.1094599 , 1.7579372 ], [0. , 0.91567564, 1.725268 ]], [[0. , 1.0023465 , 1.8434275 ], [0. , 1.0690768 , 1.7143362 ], [0. , 1.0340573 , 1.6711742 ]], [[0. , 1.0275073 , 1.8066318 ], [0. , 1.1037 , 1.7602806 ], [0. , 0.99131453, 1.788857 ]], ..., [[0. , 1.0205381 , 1.8980938 ], [0. , 1.0696278 , 1.7975047 ], [0. , 1.1110352 , 1.8356688 ]], [[0. , 1.0265317 , 1.8532315 ], [0. , 1.0787299 , 1.7816379 ], ... [0. , 1.0933825 , 1.8065516 ], [0. , 1.0964003 , 1.9466888 ]], [[0. , 1.0189859 , 1.8666136 ], [0. , 1.069355 , 1.715876 ], [0. , 1.0342908 , 1.7441239 ]], ..., [[0. , 1.0298107 , 1.7433192 ], [0. , 1.0824817 , 1.7663062 ], [0. , 1.0238543 , 1.7374235 ]], [[0. , 1.026184 , 1.8956089 ], [0. , 1.0993325 , 1.7403722 ], [0. , 1.0666238 , 1.7878817 ]], [[0. , 1.0282967 , 1.8728651 ], [0. , 1.0900445 , 1.7378128 ], [0. , 1.0541366 , 1.7797279 ]]]], dtype=float32) - covariate_values_m_season(chain, draw, season)float32-0.5305 -0.6423 ... -0.6338 -0.3807
array([[[-0.53047806, -0.64232796, -0.3471251 ], [-0.5206302 , -0.64937264, -0.36551067], [-0.5586223 , -0.6554413 , -0.37713006], ..., [-0.5101337 , -0.67039645, -0.33725333], [-0.4973612 , -0.6560382 , -0.33580887], [-0.52376056, -0.64057827, -0.392199 ]], [[-0.5493209 , -0.639344 , -0.3620766 ], [-0.5250664 , -0.6468523 , -0.3236094 ], [-0.545047 , -0.6395854 , -0.42267227], ..., [-0.5705206 , -0.64167863, -0.34444496], [-0.55207324, -0.63495487, -0.35983986], [-0.55752796, -0.6374335 , -0.33863533]], [[-0.5157679 , -0.5945049 , -0.37372676], [-0.59134936, -0.61365545, -0.38309395], [-0.5316243 , -0.6136854 , -0.3958768 ], ..., [-0.56229794, -0.6569814 , -0.3304211 ], [-0.57141656, -0.6400874 , -0.31603196], [-0.54851204, -0.64846647, -0.35688937]], [[-0.53612924, -0.61648643, -0.35124767], [-0.52154666, -0.6424455 , -0.34031683], [-0.55258894, -0.6253142 , -0.34366104], ..., [-0.5548034 , -0.6424006 , -0.3521671 ], [-0.5445817 , -0.6253968 , -0.3880428 ], [-0.52563256, -0.63377565, -0.38068974]]], dtype=float32) - covariate_values_r_season(chain, draw, season)float32-3.192 -3.092 ... -3.1 -3.306
array([[[-3.1921656, -3.0916054, -3.2775383], [-3.1885662, -3.0821452, -3.2872903], [-3.1749265, -3.0935264, -3.2866626], ..., [-3.2040431, -3.0934196, -3.3107615], [-3.2097337, -3.092012 , -3.3153791], [-3.1991606, -3.0901859, -3.3141606]], [[-3.1907425, -3.0940433, -3.303792 ], [-3.1939626, -3.092792 , -3.3046143], [-3.1886454, -3.0849488, -3.2856984], ..., [-3.1707819, -3.063707 , -3.292959 ], [-3.1887007, -3.0752068, -3.2996716], [-3.1888216, -3.0840645, -3.288109 ]], [[-3.186049 , -3.0835624, -3.285512 ], [-3.1786227, -3.1029212, -3.2826397], [-3.1805954, -3.0986342, -3.2792706], ..., [-3.1801667, -3.0879805, -3.323565 ], [-3.1829815, -3.0792265, -3.3262198], [-3.1969905, -3.0824437, -3.3033402]], [[-3.1942437, -3.0771933, -3.268778 ], [-3.1962585, -3.095052 , -3.3388143], [-3.192167 , -3.075635 , -3.287022 ], ..., [-3.177706 , -3.093915 , -3.304794 ], [-3.2023835, -3.0976734, -3.3047128], [-3.205019 , -3.0999234, -3.3058085]]], dtype=float32) - covariate_values_s_season(chain, draw, season)float3239.81 41.92 41.19 ... 41.73 40.87
array([[[39.805546, 41.91523 , 41.18753 ], [40.202858, 41.715145, 41.15166 ], [39.895542, 41.79713 , 41.050137], ..., [39.94468 , 41.237236, 40.9953 ], [39.964466, 41.30212 , 41.085106], [40.107815, 42.32175 , 41.09227 ]], [[39.68019 , 42.25001 , 40.853333], [39.28548 , 42.16407 , 40.590942], [40.511932, 41.86665 , 40.824795], ..., [39.822887, 42.01682 , 40.11026 ], [39.815445, 41.805737, 40.160557], [40.104855, 41.973362, 40.32652 ]], [[40.082012, 41.835457, 40.68511 ], [40.204754, 41.755905, 41.946316], [39.892727, 41.382004, 41.04773 ], ..., [40.66157 , 41.66754 , 40.28737 ], [39.975204, 41.870758, 40.50013 ], [40.146324, 41.766373, 40.894386]], [[40.161083, 42.190807, 41.727753], [39.8784 , 41.302322, 40.33105 ], [39.639874, 42.44664 , 40.839237], ..., [40.078964, 41.77399 , 40.98635 ], [39.921 , 41.78881 , 40.751297], [39.832256, 41.726143, 40.865074]]], dtype=float32) - incidence_2022_23_age_adult(chain, draw, date_ranges_2022_23)float320.02618 0.04149 ... 0.03992 0.04367
array([[[0.02618351, 0.04149178, 0.0310396 , ..., 0.03795544, 0.0398125 , 0.04364049], [0.02604865, 0.0420056 , 0.0309597 , ..., 0.0384835 , 0.03992708, 0.04409616], [0.02613828, 0.0421722 , 0.03115748, ..., 0.03848124, 0.04032279, 0.04440989], ..., [0.02649776, 0.04178382, 0.03131928, ..., 0.03832732, 0.04000589, 0.04386249], [0.02666198, 0.04187476, 0.03146372, ..., 0.03845082, 0.04009455, 0.0439294 ], [0.02599541, 0.04139902, 0.03078835, ..., 0.03797593, 0.0394756 , 0.04343908]], [[0.02589307, 0.04089398, 0.03069349, ..., 0.03737453, 0.03934734, 0.04304856], [0.02692794, 0.04181375, 0.03184152, ..., 0.03815694, 0.04060564, 0.04410087], [0.0257095 , 0.04192302, 0.03059168, ..., 0.03847225, 0.03956664, 0.04393101], ... [0.02576257, 0.04256225, 0.03075107, ..., 0.03903561, 0.03999141, 0.04459693], [0.02609626, 0.04193586, 0.03104127, ..., 0.03833597, 0.04005034, 0.04410479], [0.02589735, 0.04137583, 0.0306963 , ..., 0.03794867, 0.0394112 , 0.04341424]], [[0.02596843, 0.0416089 , 0.0308073 , ..., 0.03814792, 0.03960961, 0.04366651], [0.02642364, 0.04183895, 0.03129513, ..., 0.03831447, 0.04009241, 0.04396974], [0.02627947, 0.04139467, 0.03113359, ..., 0.03783337, 0.03987007, 0.04357936], ..., [0.0260703 , 0.04224783, 0.03107231, ..., 0.03860771, 0.040231 , 0.04442925], [0.02622864, 0.04138169, 0.03101343, ..., 0.03794327, 0.03963634, 0.043453 ], [0.02649568, 0.04158115, 0.0312947 , ..., 0.03812533, 0.03991504, 0.04367292]]], dtype=float32) - incidence_2022_23_age_adult_prevalence_penalty(chain, draw, incidence_2022_23_age_adult_prevalence_penalty_dim_0)float32
array([], shape=(4, 250, 0), dtype=float32)
- incidence_2022_23_age_elderly(chain, draw, date_ranges_2022_23)float320.03341 0.05294 ... 0.05084 0.05563
array([[[0.03340577, 0.05293657, 0.03960134, ..., 0.04842479, 0.05079408, 0.05567796], [0.0332753 , 0.05365917, 0.03954882, ..., 0.04915994, 0.05100401, 0.05632972], [0.03301515, 0.05326752, 0.03935488, ..., 0.04860549, 0.05093154, 0.05609393], ..., [0.03393379, 0.05350957, 0.04010836, ..., 0.04908306, 0.05123269, 0.05617156], [0.03368658, 0.05290744, 0.03975342, ..., 0.0485814 , 0.05065821, 0.05550343], [0.03331305, 0.05305275, 0.03945519, ..., 0.04866607, 0.05058788, 0.05566707]], [[0.03338972, 0.05273373, 0.03957997, ..., 0.04819534, 0.0507393 , 0.05551212], [0.03369403, 0.05232015, 0.03984223, ..., 0.0477445 , 0.05080849, 0.05518194], [0.03275513, 0.05341192, 0.03897525, ..., 0.04901548, 0.05040977, 0.0559702 ], ... [0.03243617, 0.05358767, 0.0387169 , ..., 0.04914749, 0.05035087, 0.05614942], [0.03283713, 0.05276822, 0.03905948, ..., 0.04823845, 0.05039565, 0.0554974 ], [0.0329545 , 0.05265094, 0.03906118, ..., 0.04828985, 0.05015093, 0.05524481]], [[0.03288275, 0.05268763, 0.03901 , ..., 0.04830513, 0.050156 , 0.05529309], [0.03380861, 0.05353224, 0.0400416 , ..., 0.04902273, 0.05129757, 0.05625855], [0.03370558, 0.05309206, 0.03993138, ..., 0.04852439, 0.05113663, 0.0558941 ], ..., [0.03240882, 0.05251962, 0.03862698, ..., 0.04799447, 0.05001243, 0.05523141], [0.03370403, 0.05317584, 0.03985253, ..., 0.04875743, 0.05093305, 0.05583748], [0.03374981, 0.05296545, 0.03986273, ..., 0.04856348, 0.05084319, 0.05562992]]], dtype=float32) - incidence_2022_23_age_elderly_prevalence_penalty(chain, draw, incidence_2022_23_age_elderly_prevalence_penalty_dim_0)float32
array([], shape=(4, 250, 0), dtype=float32)
- incidence_2022_23_age_youth(chain, draw, date_ranges_2022_23)float320.01577 0.02499 ... 0.0238 0.02604
array([[[0.01577143, 0.02499225, 0.01869646, ..., 0.02286217, 0.02398075, 0.02628651], [0.01570559, 0.02532656, 0.01866663, ..., 0.02320297, 0.02407335, 0.02658703], [0.01546177, 0.02494643, 0.01843081, ..., 0.02276309, 0.02385243, 0.0262701 ], ..., [0.01590805, 0.0250851 , 0.01880266, ..., 0.02300997, 0.02401771, 0.02633304], [0.01602207, 0.02516393, 0.01890759, ..., 0.02310637, 0.02409415, 0.02639864], [0.01570977, 0.02501861, 0.01860628, ..., 0.02294995, 0.02385623, 0.02625147]], [[0.01563687, 0.02469594, 0.01853584, ..., 0.02257054, 0.02376192, 0.02599709], [0.01603911, 0.02490556, 0.01896579, ..., 0.02272745, 0.02418597, 0.02626784], [0.01533917, 0.02501271, 0.01825205, ..., 0.02295387, 0.02360681, 0.02621075], ... [0.01510982, 0.02496287, 0.01803559, ..., 0.0228945 , 0.02345507, 0.02615622], [0.01530215, 0.02459007, 0.01820177, ..., 0.02247919, 0.02348445, 0.02586187], [0.01545195, 0.02468736, 0.01831529, ..., 0.0226425 , 0.02351514, 0.0259036 ]], [[0.0155686 , 0.02494538, 0.0184696 , ..., 0.02287045, 0.02374676, 0.02617896], [0.01582754, 0.02506118, 0.01874552, ..., 0.02295004, 0.02401501, 0.0263375 ], [0.01561996, 0.02460412, 0.01850515, ..., 0.02248735, 0.02369792, 0.02590265], ..., [0.01542272, 0.02499306, 0.01838182, ..., 0.02283963, 0.02379994, 0.02628355], [0.01557792, 0.02457774, 0.01841974, ..., 0.02253557, 0.02354113, 0.02580795], [0.01579897, 0.0247942 , 0.01866055, ..., 0.02273355, 0.02380073, 0.02604149]]], dtype=float32) - incidence_2022_23_age_youth_prevalence_penalty(chain, draw, incidence_2022_23_age_youth_prevalence_penalty_dim_0)float32
array([], shape=(4, 250, 0), dtype=float32)
- incidence_2023_24_age_adult(chain, draw, date_ranges_2023_24)float320.0308 0.04155 ... 0.02446 0.04158
array([[[0.03079859, 0.04154561, 0.04838749, ..., 0.03602427, 0.02437143, 0.04213883], [0.03010291, 0.0411919 , 0.04797923, ..., 0.0356695 , 0.02402168, 0.04150112], [0.03046656, 0.04127291, 0.04796677, ..., 0.0358301 , 0.02429671, 0.04169224], ..., [0.02942201, 0.04087089, 0.04714485, ..., 0.03559475, 0.0242572 , 0.04050707], [0.02975712, 0.04125094, 0.04764357, ..., 0.03589924, 0.02442761, 0.04097338], [0.03155336, 0.04182227, 0.04899709, ..., 0.03616636, 0.02435629, 0.04301552]], [[0.03088744, 0.04099127, 0.04792129, ..., 0.03549868, 0.02398381, 0.04204955], [0.03045608, 0.04060117, 0.04742869, ..., 0.03516635, 0.02375739, 0.04153014], [0.0306196 , 0.04154554, 0.04845108, ..., 0.03597084, 0.02423734, 0.0420756 ], ... [0.0299125 , 0.0408851 , 0.04750971, ..., 0.03546833, 0.02399041, 0.04112129], [0.03073749, 0.04182973, 0.04886882, ..., 0.03616066, 0.02427013, 0.04237535], [0.03089163, 0.04216527, 0.04914311, ..., 0.03650436, 0.02457748, 0.04255729]], [[0.03035297, 0.04074673, 0.04784327, ..., 0.03513932, 0.02348405, 0.04174642], [0.03007818, 0.0416212 , 0.04803065, ..., 0.03624974, 0.02471561, 0.04134303], [0.03104923, 0.04122414, 0.04859823, ..., 0.03548298, 0.0236341 , 0.04262045], ..., [0.03034837, 0.04114661, 0.04779977, ..., 0.03572882, 0.0242393 , 0.04153167], [0.03074509, 0.04157134, 0.04825022, ..., 0.03612992, 0.02456931, 0.04197859], [0.03047395, 0.0412686 , 0.0478281 , ..., 0.0359005 , 0.02446317, 0.04158348]]], dtype=float32) - incidence_2023_24_age_adult_prevalence_penalty(chain, draw, incidence_2023_24_age_adult_prevalence_penalty_dim_0)float32
array([], shape=(4, 250, 0), dtype=float32)
- incidence_2023_24_age_elderly(chain, draw, date_ranges_2023_24)float320.03774 0.0509 ... 0.03001 0.05102
array([[[0.03773629, 0.0509042 , 0.05928728, ..., 0.04413912, 0.02986136, 0.05163105], [0.03709846, 0.05076439, 0.05912901, ..., 0.04395865, 0.02960402, 0.05114546], [0.03750326, 0.0508055 , 0.0590454 , ..., 0.04410559, 0.0299084 , 0.05132168], ..., [0.03713029, 0.05157865, 0.05949633, ..., 0.04492022, 0.03061234, 0.05111952], [0.03718985, 0.05155459, 0.05954397, ..., 0.04486615, 0.03052913, 0.0512077 ], [0.03807845, 0.05047093, 0.05912947, ..., 0.0436454 , 0.02939307, 0.05191093]], [[0.03846284, 0.05104472, 0.05967438, ..., 0.04420503, 0.02986603, 0.05236255], [0.03840904, 0.0512033 , 0.05981369, ..., 0.0443493 , 0.02996113, 0.05237486], [0.03723038, 0.05051525, 0.05891169, ..., 0.04373696, 0.02947018, 0.05115974], ... [0.03763685, 0.05144293, 0.05977822, ..., 0.04462737, 0.03018549, 0.0517401 ], [0.03776518, 0.05139351, 0.06004198, ..., 0.04442829, 0.02981915, 0.05206387], [0.0378267 , 0.05163123, 0.06017557, ..., 0.04469947, 0.03009505, 0.05211126]], [[0.03802598, 0.05104721, 0.05993772, ..., 0.04402229, 0.02942066, 0.05229961], [0.03752389, 0.05192433, 0.05992041, ..., 0.0452232 , 0.03083383, 0.0515773 ], [0.03814698, 0.05064785, 0.05970764, ..., 0.04359427, 0.02903678, 0.05236335], ..., [0.03765429, 0.05105206, 0.05930685, ..., 0.04433002, 0.03007456, 0.05152981], [0.03756645, 0.05079471, 0.05895541, ..., 0.044146 , 0.03002046, 0.05129231], [0.03738824, 0.05063212, 0.05867992, ..., 0.04404604, 0.03001366, 0.05101844]]], dtype=float32) - incidence_2023_24_age_elderly_prevalence_penalty(chain, draw, incidence_2023_24_age_elderly_prevalence_penalty_dim_0)float32
array([], shape=(4, 250, 0), dtype=float32)
- incidence_2023_24_age_youth(chain, draw, date_ranges_2023_24)float320.01727 0.0233 ... 0.01385 0.02355
array([[[0.01727155, 0.02329838, 0.02713524, ..., 0.02020207, 0.01366727, 0.02363106], [0.01711804, 0.0234238 , 0.02728342, ..., 0.02028349, 0.01365995, 0.02359964], [0.01706319, 0.02311542, 0.0268644 , ..., 0.0200671 , 0.01360768, 0.02335027], ..., [0.01663592, 0.02310939, 0.02665684, ..., 0.02012613, 0.01371561, 0.02290368], [0.01682747, 0.02332715, 0.02694214, ..., 0.0203008 , 0.01381366, 0.02317019], [0.01748902, 0.02318075, 0.02715752, ..., 0.02004586, 0.01349992, 0.02384213]], [[0.01745797, 0.02316879, 0.02708572, ..., 0.02006431, 0.01355595, 0.02376694], [0.01733514, 0.02310957, 0.02699569, ..., 0.02001616, 0.01352235, 0.02363833], [0.01729532, 0.02346678, 0.02736733, ..., 0.02031794, 0.01369033, 0.02376618], ... [0.01699757, 0.02323267, 0.02699706, ..., 0.02015463, 0.01363238, 0.02336689], [0.01730435, 0.02354897, 0.02751178, ..., 0.02035745, 0.01366341, 0.02385614], [0.01715227, 0.02341184, 0.02728622, ..., 0.02026868, 0.0136464 , 0.02362951]], [[0.01773613, 0.02380951, 0.02795623, ..., 0.02053293, 0.01372242, 0.02439365], [0.01697236, 0.02348579, 0.02710248, ..., 0.02045481, 0.01394639, 0.02332882], [0.01776521, 0.02358691, 0.0278061 , ..., 0.02030203, 0.01352255, 0.02438583], ..., [0.01719806, 0.02331729, 0.02708755, ..., 0.0202471 , 0.01373612, 0.0235355 ], [0.01738779, 0.02351055, 0.02728777, ..., 0.02043317, 0.0138951 , 0.02374087], [0.01725772, 0.02337085, 0.02708556, ..., 0.02033083, 0.01385375, 0.02354917]]], dtype=float32) - incidence_2023_24_age_youth_prevalence_penalty(chain, draw, incidence_2023_24_age_youth_prevalence_penalty_dim_0)float32
array([], shape=(4, 250, 0), dtype=float32)
- incidence_2024_25_age_adult(chain, draw, date_ranges_2024_25)float320.01449 0.04039 ... 0.01233 0.02234
array([[[0.01448823, 0.04038815, 0.02610247, ..., 0.04193284, 0.01163569, 0.02160555], [0.01510714, 0.04144403, 0.02702273, ..., 0.04301312, 0.01216936, 0.02239685], [0.01477379, 0.04066664, 0.02658438, ..., 0.04224955, 0.01189663, 0.02192043], ..., [0.01584833, 0.04193378, 0.02796823, ..., 0.04351056, 0.01285637, 0.02317968], [0.01588535, 0.04163 , 0.02778936, ..., 0.04314557, 0.01290634, 0.0231615 ], [0.01567353, 0.04115109, 0.027439 , ..., 0.04265013, 0.01272965, 0.02286851]], [[0.01531388, 0.04112282, 0.02739811, ..., 0.04274745, 0.01239359, 0.02250494], [0.01527927, 0.04121001, 0.02768601, ..., 0.04293994, 0.01236378, 0.02246727], [0.01504422, 0.04169173, 0.02742105, ..., 0.04341199, 0.01210656, 0.02235601], ... [0.01555797, 0.04092172, 0.02811355, ..., 0.04269084, 0.01265643, 0.02264836], [0.01551546, 0.04044874, 0.02767236, ..., 0.04210829, 0.01263598, 0.02253189], [0.01532217, 0.0411391 , 0.02736656, ..., 0.04274949, 0.01239935, 0.02251941]], [[0.01493351, 0.04174251, 0.02634 , ..., 0.04313402, 0.01197004, 0.02233965], [0.01577943, 0.04044672, 0.02804562, ..., 0.04212632, 0.01289617, 0.02276325], [0.01507388, 0.04166495, 0.02741938, ..., 0.0433735 , 0.01213572, 0.02238052], ..., [0.01525567, 0.04077776, 0.0270826 , ..., 0.04233315, 0.01235279, 0.02239353], [0.01518497, 0.04080502, 0.02728685, ..., 0.04245433, 0.01229084, 0.02231254], [0.01522224, 0.04072791, 0.0271666 , ..., 0.04232581, 0.01232729, 0.02234208]]], dtype=float32) - incidence_2024_25_age_adult_prevalence_penalty(chain, draw, incidence_2024_25_age_adult_prevalence_penalty_dim_0)float32
array([], shape=(4, 250, 0), dtype=float32)
- incidence_2024_25_age_elderly(chain, draw, date_ranges_2024_25)float320.01813 0.05053 ... 0.01493 0.02706
array([[[0.01812519, 0.05052673, 0.03265494, ..., 0.05245918, 0.01455658, 0.02702917], [0.01797716, 0.04931748, 0.03215645, ..., 0.05118465, 0.01448126, 0.02665175], [0.01830603, 0.05038958, 0.03294042, ..., 0.05235095, 0.01474098, 0.02716136], ..., [0.01892842, 0.05008351, 0.0334038 , ..., 0.05196674, 0.01535497, 0.02768459], [0.01903223, 0.04987686, 0.03329441, ..., 0.05169268, 0.01546307, 0.02774978], [0.01890385, 0.04963233, 0.03309418, ..., 0.05144032, 0.01535324, 0.02758172]], [[0.0185692 , 0.04986442, 0.0332222 , ..., 0.0518344 , 0.01502814, 0.02728888], [0.0185292 , 0.04997548, 0.03357488, ..., 0.05207336, 0.01499358, 0.02724611], [0.01821282, 0.05047282, 0.03319645, ..., 0.0525554 , 0.01465644, 0.02706462], ... [0.01876046, 0.04934515, 0.03390052, ..., 0.05147843, 0.01526166, 0.02731036], [0.01903923, 0.04963521, 0.03395713, ..., 0.05167167, 0.01550579, 0.02764919], [0.01844026, 0.04951097, 0.0329357 , ..., 0.05144909, 0.01492264, 0.02710215]], [[0.01797306, 0.05023874, 0.03170121, ..., 0.05191347, 0.0144064 , 0.02688663], [0.01931336, 0.04950511, 0.03432667, ..., 0.05156086, 0.01578438, 0.02786127], [0.01815494, 0.05018115, 0.03302382, ..., 0.05223891, 0.01461623, 0.02695503], ..., [0.01843534, 0.0492769 , 0.03272731, ..., 0.05115648, 0.01492744, 0.02706092], [0.01836049, 0.04933827, 0.03299314, ..., 0.05133248, 0.01486112, 0.0269786 ], [0.01843452, 0.04932253, 0.03289945, ..., 0.05125762, 0.01492867, 0.02705682]]], dtype=float32) - incidence_2024_25_age_elderly_prevalence_penalty(chain, draw, incidence_2024_25_age_elderly_prevalence_penalty_dim_0)float32
array([], shape=(4, 250, 0), dtype=float32)
- incidence_2024_25_age_youth(chain, draw, date_ranges_2024_25)float320.009397 0.0262 ... 0.007556 0.0137
array([[[0.00939695, 0.02619543, 0.01692985, ..., 0.02719731, 0.00754681, 0.01401319], [0.00935948, 0.02567625, 0.01674167, ..., 0.02664836, 0.00753941, 0.01387575], [0.0092623 , 0.02549562, 0.01666686, ..., 0.02648801, 0.00745849, 0.01374284], ..., [0.00964503, 0.02552019, 0.01702099, ..., 0.0264798 , 0.00782417, 0.01410676], [0.00971125, 0.02544981, 0.01698857, ..., 0.02637633, 0.00789007, 0.0141594 ], [0.00938707, 0.02464589, 0.01643355, ..., 0.02554368, 0.00762395, 0.01369623]], [[0.00941647, 0.02528633, 0.01684703, ..., 0.02628531, 0.00762079, 0.01383824], [0.00956267, 0.02579167, 0.01732754, ..., 0.02687435, 0.00773798, 0.01406135], [0.00894507, 0.02478928, 0.01630414, ..., 0.02581212, 0.00719838, 0.01329255], ... [0.00957796, 0.02519265, 0.01730756, ..., 0.02628178, 0.00779168, 0.01394302], [0.00973618, 0.02538218, 0.01736481, ..., 0.02642358, 0.00792927, 0.01413909], [0.00945343, 0.02538188, 0.01688454, ..., 0.02637546, 0.00765012, 0.01389396]], [[0.00946237, 0.02644945, 0.01668991, ..., 0.02733116, 0.00758462, 0.01415515], [0.00963996, 0.0247097 , 0.01713362, ..., 0.0257358 , 0.00787853, 0.01390652], [0.00938957, 0.02595325, 0.01707963, ..., 0.02701751, 0.00755939, 0.01394091], ..., [0.00951593, 0.02543567, 0.01689313, ..., 0.02640587, 0.00770522, 0.01396826], [0.00925141, 0.02486038, 0.01662446, ..., 0.02586522, 0.00748817, 0.01359387], [0.00933092, 0.02496537, 0.01665257, ..., 0.02594484, 0.00755638, 0.01369523]]], dtype=float32) - incidence_2024_25_age_youth_prevalence_penalty(chain, draw, incidence_2024_25_age_youth_prevalence_penalty_dim_0)float32
array([], shape=(4, 250, 0), dtype=float32)
- m_2022_23_age_adult(chain, draw)float320.4681 0.4817 ... 0.4816 0.5027
array([[0.46813327, 0.48171633, 0.468885 , 0.49701697, 0.47570795, 0.45430303, 0.49440908, 0.49732363, 0.47774476, 0.48757505, 0.46326137, 0.45131767, 0.5144432 , 0.4658624 , 0.46757877, 0.5432113 , 0.5456882 , 0.51112205, 0.4911675 , 0.5087729 , 0.5114202 , 0.5498913 , 0.4465943 , 0.5407283 , 0.5613717 , 0.48793045, 0.50658655, 0.5123651 , 0.5277411 , 0.4971239 , 0.47250366, 0.50552034, 0.47720087, 0.5362133 , 0.5354959 , 0.4674868 , 0.49852562, 0.4442513 , 0.44360632, 0.44399905, 0.44399905, 0.44456697, 0.44456697, 0.44456697, 0.44456697, 0.44185865, 0.43927354, 0.43714702, 0.43714702, 0.43714702, 0.43889898, 0.43889898, 0.43889898, 0.43889898, 0.43889898, 0.44200993, 0.44200993, 0.44229144, 0.44229144, 0.44229144, 0.44029635, 0.44029635, 0.44029635, 0.44029635, 0.44029635, 0.44029635, 0.438074 , 0.438074 , 0.43975657, 0.43975657, 0.44160903, 0.44146568, 0.43895346, 0.44045866, 0.44096035, 0.44096035, 0.44191355, 0.44191355, 0.44191355, 0.44191355, 0.44290048, 0.44290048, 0.44290048, 0.44208604, 0.44208604, 0.44423622, 0.44423622, 0.44423622, 0.44423622, 0.44540435, 0.44540435, 0.44540435, 0.4403953 , 0.4403953 , 0.4403953 , 0.4403953 , 0.4403953 , 0.4403953 , 0.4403953 , 0.43833524, ... 0.4723837 , 0.5083051 , 0.4642222 , 0.4902479 , 0.5065442 , 0.48546207, 0.50138396, 0.46055263, 0.46229696, 0.5169158 , 0.4804967 , 0.5000284 , 0.46264207, 0.51242006, 0.47083572, 0.49591577, 0.4624086 , 0.46083355, 0.4670202 , 0.5372646 , 0.49738413, 0.5108914 , 0.47799134, 0.48220438, 0.48740405, 0.4692766 , 0.45571268, 0.50161505, 0.44182807, 0.5404432 , 0.47667074, 0.47903472, 0.45517832, 0.50052595, 0.51115274, 0.47291416, 0.48896217, 0.47833425, 0.49564856, 0.535125 , 0.4642622 , 0.48426962, 0.45487177, 0.4842949 , 0.47679377, 0.4627779 , 0.48949498, 0.46520048, 0.5034544 , 0.50173986, 0.46315712, 0.47720873, 0.46988314, 0.49644333, 0.50400627, 0.5297492 , 0.5453755 , 0.4674188 , 0.516378 , 0.4761278 , 0.46401888, 0.42878264, 0.4668973 , 0.481408 , 0.48996478, 0.4384532 , 0.50373596, 0.46442163, 0.4410934 , 0.512152 , 0.46508467, 0.50650823, 0.48530596, 0.5135158 , 0.42676133, 0.44763595, 0.42590904, 0.521305 , 0.4486887 , 0.49969625, 0.45784461, 0.50381887, 0.4931226 , 0.45788652, 0.42136443, 0.50756806, 0.45919222, 0.47738653, 0.47710592, 0.5001222 , 0.44381183, 0.49272656, 0.4750073 , 0.48160225, 0.50266415]], dtype=float32) - m_2022_23_age_adult_daily(chain, draw, days_2022_23)float320.4681 0.4681 ... 0.5027 0.5027
array([[[0.46813327, 0.46813327, 0.46813327, ..., 0.46813327, 0.46813327, 0.46813327], [0.48171633, 0.48171633, 0.48171633, ..., 0.48171633, 0.48171633, 0.48171633], [0.468885 , 0.468885 , 0.468885 , ..., 0.468885 , 0.468885 , 0.468885 ], ..., [0.5104044 , 0.5104044 , 0.5104044 , ..., 0.5104044 , 0.5104044 , 0.5104044 ], [0.5291705 , 0.5291705 , 0.5291705 , ..., 0.5291705 , 0.5291705 , 0.5291705 ], [0.47055453, 0.47055453, 0.47055453, ..., 0.47055453, 0.47055453, 0.47055453]], [[0.43092906, 0.43092906, 0.43092906, ..., 0.43092906, 0.43092906, 0.43092906], [0.5065228 , 0.5065228 , 0.5065228 , ..., 0.5065228 , 0.5065228 , 0.5065228 ], [0.46897477, 0.46897477, 0.46897477, ..., 0.46897477, 0.46897477, 0.46897477], ... [0.4850942 , 0.4850942 , 0.4850942 , ..., 0.4850942 , 0.4850942 , 0.4850942 ], [0.47047108, 0.47047108, 0.47047108, ..., 0.47047108, 0.47047108, 0.47047108], [0.46316522, 0.46316522, 0.46316522, ..., 0.46316522, 0.46316522, 0.46316522]], [[0.47108197, 0.47108197, 0.47108197, ..., 0.47108197, 0.47108197, 0.47108197], [0.49746305, 0.49746305, 0.49746305, ..., 0.49746305, 0.49746305, 0.49746305], [0.46639693, 0.46639693, 0.46639693, ..., 0.46639693, 0.46639693, 0.46639693], ..., [0.4750073 , 0.4750073 , 0.4750073 , ..., 0.4750073 , 0.4750073 , 0.4750073 ], [0.48160225, 0.48160225, 0.48160225, ..., 0.48160225, 0.48160225, 0.48160225], [0.50266415, 0.50266415, 0.50266415, ..., 0.50266415, 0.50266415, 0.50266415]]], dtype=float32) - m_2022_23_age_elderly(chain, draw)float321.292 1.323 1.248 ... 1.351 1.347
array([[1.2924571, 1.3227973, 1.2480094, 1.338814 , 1.2493851, 1.2638551, 1.3331133, 1.3159394, 1.3019588, 1.1948371, 1.2895029, 1.2714026, 1.2680862, 1.2910534, 1.2886668, 1.345952 , 1.3660614, 1.3266029, 1.2848392, 1.23543 , 1.2386332, 1.2852495, 1.2752898, 1.3296573, 1.3690336, 1.3210026, 1.2328978, 1.2449971, 1.3052784, 1.2139313, 1.2746542, 1.2534769, 1.2402849, 1.2557762, 1.2824285, 1.3011994, 1.2520095, 1.2273839, 1.2264848, 1.2272629, 1.2272629, 1.2276821, 1.2276821, 1.2276821, 1.2276821, 1.2217362, 1.218641 , 1.2178371, 1.2178371, 1.2178371, 1.2167082, 1.2167082, 1.2167082, 1.2167082, 1.2167082, 1.2183398, 1.2183398, 1.2132626, 1.2132626, 1.2132626, 1.2171857, 1.2171857, 1.2171857, 1.2171857, 1.2171857, 1.2171857, 1.2186086, 1.2186086, 1.2242482, 1.2242482, 1.2279578, 1.2226336, 1.2214892, 1.2230244, 1.2233665, 1.2233665, 1.2175808, 1.2175808, 1.2175808, 1.2175808, 1.2242947, 1.2242947, 1.2242947, 1.2239835, 1.2239835, 1.222702 , 1.222702 , 1.222702 , 1.222702 , 1.2210941, 1.2210941, 1.2210941, 1.2167802, 1.2167802, 1.2167802, 1.2167802, 1.2167802, 1.2167802, 1.2167802, 1.2141814, 1.2141814, 1.2141814, 1.2141814, 1.2141814, 1.2114967, 1.2114967, 1.2114967, 1.2139119, 1.2111006, 1.2111006, 1.2160517, 1.2135532, 1.2148122, 1.216393 , 1.2647574, 1.2617143, 1.2579932, 1.2396219, 1.3069955, 1.2820761, ... 1.1931045, 1.2174499, 1.2374456, 1.2784755, 1.300262 , 1.2623014, 1.2198701, 1.1965376, 1.3738103, 1.2327743, 1.1791561, 1.2896198, 1.2747905, 1.3162075, 1.299948 , 1.2182524, 1.2940254, 1.2867861, 1.2822663, 1.2556798, 1.2839514, 1.2592413, 1.31829 , 1.2655874, 1.2595932, 1.2409163, 1.2444477, 1.2796364, 1.2199565, 1.300452 , 1.2012675, 1.2260402, 1.3070815, 1.2155087, 1.2745631, 1.2721761, 1.2661359, 1.3436133, 1.2789633, 1.2342536, 1.2164739, 1.246825 , 1.3020456, 1.294301 , 1.2312708, 1.2737072, 1.1558297, 1.1565859, 1.1920784, 1.2959422, 1.2944555, 1.242419 , 1.3182973, 1.2890643, 1.2938302, 1.2263825, 1.3363167, 1.2951448, 1.320925 , 1.2116659, 1.3110816, 1.2444808, 1.4048839, 1.2042568, 1.3214498, 1.2439871, 1.2820479, 1.2718937, 1.3023088, 1.3083935, 1.321939 , 1.2769911, 1.3130085, 1.231473 , 1.3432943, 1.2267084, 1.3157363, 1.3437289, 1.3238695, 1.3840039, 1.1912025, 1.3649244, 1.2075777, 1.2369668, 1.2442887, 1.2194457, 1.2453058, 1.2122724, 1.30073 , 1.3003571, 1.2448694, 1.212647 , 1.3466736, 1.1863414, 1.2874146, 1.3478544, 1.2944276, 1.2171688, 1.2430799, 1.2140632, 1.2900081, 1.2080097, 1.312401 , 1.2252742, 1.2827156, 1.2667086, 1.253356 , 1.2322353, 1.2682436, 1.313592 , 1.2861202, 1.2000275, 1.2218583, 1.236192 , 1.254301 , 1.1885158, 1.3510273, 1.3472326]], dtype=float32) - m_2022_23_age_elderly_daily(chain, draw, days_2022_23)float321.292 1.292 1.292 ... 1.347 1.347
array([[[1.2924571, 1.2924571, 1.2924571, ..., 1.2924571, 1.2924571, 1.2924571], [1.3227973, 1.3227973, 1.3227973, ..., 1.3227973, 1.3227973, 1.3227973], [1.2480094, 1.2480094, 1.2480094, ..., 1.2480094, 1.2480094, 1.2480094], ..., [1.3879602, 1.3879602, 1.3879602, ..., 1.3879602, 1.3879602, 1.3879602], [1.3558704, 1.3558704, 1.3558704, ..., 1.3558704, 1.3558704, 1.3558704], [1.3175929, 1.3175929, 1.3175929, ..., 1.3175929, 1.3175929, 1.3175929]], [[1.274864 , 1.274864 , 1.274864 , ..., 1.274864 , 1.274864 , 1.274864 ], [1.2702119, 1.2702119, 1.2702119, ..., 1.2702119, 1.2702119, 1.2702119], [1.2874718, 1.2874718, 1.2874718, ..., 1.2874718, 1.2874718, 1.2874718], ... [1.2615008, 1.2615008, 1.2615008, ..., 1.2615008, 1.2615008, 1.2615008], [1.2337976, 1.2337976, 1.2337976, ..., 1.2337976, 1.2337976, 1.2337976], [1.2716112, 1.2716112, 1.2716112, ..., 1.2716112, 1.2716112, 1.2716112]], [[1.2630987, 1.2630987, 1.2630987, ..., 1.2630987, 1.2630987, 1.2630987], [1.359407 , 1.359407 , 1.359407 , ..., 1.359407 , 1.359407 , 1.359407 ], [1.3140247, 1.3140247, 1.3140247, ..., 1.3140247, 1.3140247, 1.3140247], ..., [1.1885158, 1.1885158, 1.1885158, ..., 1.1885158, 1.1885158, 1.1885158], [1.3510273, 1.3510273, 1.3510273, ..., 1.3510273, 1.3510273, 1.3510273], [1.3472326, 1.3472326, 1.3472326, ..., 1.3472326, 1.3472326, 1.3472326]]], dtype=float32) - m_2022_23_age_youth(chain, draw)float32-0.5305 -0.5206 ... -0.5446 -0.5256
array([[-0.53047806, -0.5206302 , -0.5586223 , -0.5210621 , -0.5313868 , -0.534091 , -0.53677046, -0.5243889 , -0.50806147, -0.5427965 , -0.56385195, -0.571882 , -0.5247832 , -0.54196155, -0.5343436 , -0.56681556, -0.5614465 , -0.54404587, -0.5426945 , -0.5265985 , -0.5276417 , -0.5603817 , -0.59527785, -0.5357265 , -0.5180496 , -0.49824747, -0.47928265, -0.47644952, -0.48567507, -0.542435 , -0.518878 , -0.4987571 , -0.51649517, -0.5287883 , -0.4792937 , -0.53285915, -0.5438396 , -0.572726 , -0.57390326, -0.57337594, -0.57337594, -0.5722313 , -0.5722313 , -0.5722313 , -0.5722313 , -0.5751252 , -0.5777468 , -0.5776857 , -0.5776857 , -0.5776857 , -0.57655686, -0.57655686, -0.57655686, -0.57655686, -0.57655686, -0.5744041 , -0.5744041 , -0.57449895, -0.57449895, -0.57449895, -0.574637 , -0.574637 , -0.574637 , -0.574637 , -0.574637 , -0.574637 , -0.5749705 , -0.5749705 , -0.57353896, -0.57353896, -0.5736449 , -0.57373995, -0.57538813, -0.5746007 , -0.5751429 , -0.5751429 , -0.5744991 , -0.5744991 , -0.5744991 , -0.5744991 , -0.5716042 , -0.5716042 , -0.5716042 , -0.5714633 , -0.5714633 , -0.57120615, -0.57120615, -0.57120615, -0.57120615, -0.5720518 , -0.5720518 , -0.5720518 , -0.57400614, -0.57400614, -0.57400614, -0.57400614, -0.57400614, -0.57400614, -0.57400614, -0.57529074, ... -0.47563615, -0.5867915 , -0.56438935, -0.53949803, -0.5514322 , -0.5521641 , -0.563492 , -0.58910483, -0.5714513 , -0.49334252, -0.56648546, -0.53071356, -0.5451255 , -0.5264523 , -0.48321173, -0.49316865, -0.55706435, -0.583894 , -0.5856288 , -0.4928471 , -0.52920455, -0.5493106 , -0.5456166 , -0.56951994, -0.5630817 , -0.56625754, -0.5539199 , -0.5168122 , -0.52810264, -0.52994907, -0.57887435, -0.5284806 , -0.54831606, -0.51536214, -0.491716 , -0.52324283, -0.5216949 , -0.5233306 , -0.5530732 , -0.5110382 , -0.56255203, -0.50494224, -0.5766243 , -0.5509267 , -0.56532884, -0.5324886 , -0.5244593 , -0.52502793, -0.5392423 , -0.5215502 , -0.57476574, -0.56061065, -0.53894764, -0.55039626, -0.54125226, -0.5080573 , -0.52139705, -0.56697357, -0.5242123 , -0.5519584 , -0.5380208 , -0.5728094 , -0.5458111 , -0.53042924, -0.5554107 , -0.5747335 , -0.5311262 , -0.5711595 , -0.59158546, -0.46499336, -0.5403708 , -0.4932051 , -0.46942776, -0.4891935 , -0.5873696 , -0.5887938 , -0.5842422 , -0.5550434 , -0.5588742 , -0.49809867, -0.58114314, -0.48771432, -0.47883013, -0.5457017 , -0.56143665, -0.5755015 , -0.55046576, -0.4907062 , -0.5830619 , -0.5444535 , -0.5585082 , -0.54837215, -0.5548034 , -0.5445817 , -0.52563256]], dtype=float32) - m_2022_23_age_youth_daily(chain, draw, days_2022_23)float32-0.5305 -0.5305 ... -0.5256 -0.5256
array([[[-0.53047806, -0.53047806, -0.53047806, ..., -0.53047806, -0.53047806, -0.53047806], [-0.5206302 , -0.5206302 , -0.5206302 , ..., -0.5206302 , -0.5206302 , -0.5206302 ], [-0.5586223 , -0.5586223 , -0.5586223 , ..., -0.5586223 , -0.5586223 , -0.5586223 ], ..., [-0.5101337 , -0.5101337 , -0.5101337 , ..., -0.5101337 , -0.5101337 , -0.5101337 ], [-0.4973612 , -0.4973612 , -0.4973612 , ..., -0.4973612 , -0.4973612 , -0.4973612 ], [-0.52376056, -0.52376056, -0.52376056, ..., -0.52376056, -0.52376056, -0.52376056]], [[-0.5493209 , -0.5493209 , -0.5493209 , ..., -0.5493209 , -0.5493209 , -0.5493209 ], [-0.5250664 , -0.5250664 , -0.5250664 , ..., -0.5250664 , -0.5250664 , -0.5250664 ], [-0.545047 , -0.545047 , -0.545047 , ..., -0.545047 , -0.545047 , -0.545047 ], ... [-0.56229794, -0.56229794, -0.56229794, ..., -0.56229794, -0.56229794, -0.56229794], [-0.57141656, -0.57141656, -0.57141656, ..., -0.57141656, -0.57141656, -0.57141656], [-0.54851204, -0.54851204, -0.54851204, ..., -0.54851204, -0.54851204, -0.54851204]], [[-0.53612924, -0.53612924, -0.53612924, ..., -0.53612924, -0.53612924, -0.53612924], [-0.52154666, -0.52154666, -0.52154666, ..., -0.52154666, -0.52154666, -0.52154666], [-0.55258894, -0.55258894, -0.55258894, ..., -0.55258894, -0.55258894, -0.55258894], ..., [-0.5548034 , -0.5548034 , -0.5548034 , ..., -0.5548034 , -0.5548034 , -0.5548034 ], [-0.5445817 , -0.5445817 , -0.5445817 , ..., -0.5445817 , -0.5445817 , -0.5445817 ], [-0.52563256, -0.52563256, -0.52563256, ..., -0.52563256, -0.52563256, -0.52563256]]], dtype=float32) - m_2023_24_age_adult(chain, draw)float320.4671 0.4197 ... 0.4739 0.4563
array([[0.4671319 , 0.41970414, 0.44825876, 0.42763883, 0.4418068 , 0.45445424, 0.42603457, 0.45146847, 0.43281132, 0.44700712, 0.4429999 , 0.4490952 , 0.50860107, 0.4585008 , 0.45870334, 0.46202862, 0.4379527 , 0.46875054, 0.47455275, 0.47848386, 0.4801504 , 0.47185004, 0.48475617, 0.46296817, 0.49018687, 0.45748007, 0.43274856, 0.4271295 , 0.39456654, 0.46403563, 0.4602067 , 0.39696223, 0.48067135, 0.38470286, 0.4355275 , 0.4286096 , 0.4011792 , 0.44209284, 0.43785214, 0.4368685 , 0.4368685 , 0.43856764, 0.43856764, 0.43856764, 0.43856764, 0.44009072, 0.44058603, 0.43921912, 0.43921912, 0.43921912, 0.4380656 , 0.4380656 , 0.4380656 , 0.4380656 , 0.4380656 , 0.432797 , 0.432797 , 0.43422198, 0.43422198, 0.43422198, 0.4354772 , 0.4354772 , 0.4354772 , 0.4354772 , 0.4354772 , 0.4354772 , 0.43473005, 0.43473005, 0.43331635, 0.43331635, 0.43408513, 0.43501437, 0.43314177, 0.43557632, 0.43169802, 0.43169802, 0.43221903, 0.43221903, 0.43221903, 0.43221903, 0.42700052, 0.42700052, 0.42700052, 0.42284858, 0.42284858, 0.42398316, 0.42398316, 0.42398316, 0.42398316, 0.42675644, 0.42675644, 0.42675644, 0.42866778, 0.42866778, 0.42866778, 0.42866778, 0.42866778, 0.42866778, 0.42866778, 0.42886508, ... 0.48061436, 0.40663463, 0.43790042, 0.44228327, 0.44456637, 0.4113013 , 0.42751634, 0.44220507, 0.39946908, 0.44775212, 0.4043839 , 0.5205861 , 0.5090956 , 0.43017685, 0.49181956, 0.4988324 , 0.3886646 , 0.4934306 , 0.49559647, 0.4399627 , 0.4280488 , 0.46590203, 0.45802706, 0.46270072, 0.45617092, 0.42860073, 0.43853176, 0.42146486, 0.4469387 , 0.4253673 , 0.46486866, 0.4376589 , 0.4609862 , 0.43052053, 0.43088645, 0.42951286, 0.44202703, 0.4016469 , 0.50170565, 0.38940585, 0.49780977, 0.4379282 , 0.47631615, 0.456702 , 0.39415956, 0.4995997 , 0.5066914 , 0.4358582 , 0.53388065, 0.4937122 , 0.44573402, 0.44817317, 0.45245278, 0.4830137 , 0.4638914 , 0.46690184, 0.42694288, 0.433775 , 0.45526528, 0.4646657 , 0.44212353, 0.47770834, 0.39292836, 0.43960363, 0.51175314, 0.43681163, 0.36987007, 0.43385208, 0.44715816, 0.44565105, 0.45242625, 0.4605791 , 0.45864552, 0.44066513, 0.49000758, 0.45215142, 0.4518469 , 0.44719827, 0.46529227, 0.43443328, 0.5065379 , 0.39942998, 0.42415988, 0.44553602, 0.46848792, 0.42446 , 0.44237256, 0.4747324 , 0.4815666 , 0.40997428, 0.40999204, 0.4303372 , 0.44008112, 0.47393566, 0.45626885]], dtype=float32) - m_2023_24_age_adult_daily(chain, draw, days_2023_24)float320.4671 0.4671 ... 0.4563 0.4563
array([[[0.4671319 , 0.4671319 , 0.4671319 , ..., 0.4671319 , 0.4671319 , 0.4671319 ], [0.41970414, 0.41970414, 0.41970414, ..., 0.41970414, 0.41970414, 0.41970414], [0.44825876, 0.44825876, 0.44825876, ..., 0.44825876, 0.44825876, 0.44825876], ..., [0.3992313 , 0.3992313 , 0.3992313 , ..., 0.3992313 , 0.3992313 , 0.3992313 ], [0.42269164, 0.42269164, 0.42269164, ..., 0.42269164, 0.42269164, 0.42269164], [0.50081754, 0.50081754, 0.50081754, ..., 0.50081754, 0.50081754, 0.50081754]], [[0.45188868, 0.45188868, 0.45188868, ..., 0.45188868, 0.45188868, 0.45188868], [0.42151052, 0.42151052, 0.42151052, ..., 0.42151052, 0.42151052, 0.42151052], [0.45315814, 0.45315814, 0.45315814, ..., 0.45315814, 0.45315814, 0.45315814], ... [0.40892893, 0.40892893, 0.40892893, ..., 0.40892893, 0.40892893, 0.40892893], [0.4608752 , 0.4608752 , 0.4608752 , ..., 0.4608752 , 0.4608752 , 0.4608752 ], [0.4825703 , 0.4825703 , 0.4825703 , ..., 0.4825703 , 0.4825703 , 0.4825703 ]], [[0.405347 , 0.405347 , 0.405347 , ..., 0.405347 , 0.405347 , 0.405347 ], [0.45093697, 0.45093697, 0.45093697, ..., 0.45093697, 0.45093697, 0.45093697], [0.44404083, 0.44404083, 0.44404083, ..., 0.44404083, 0.44404083, 0.44404083], ..., [0.44008112, 0.44008112, 0.44008112, ..., 0.44008112, 0.44008112, 0.44008112], [0.47393566, 0.47393566, 0.47393566, ..., 0.47393566, 0.47393566, 0.47393566], [0.45626885, 0.45626885, 0.45626885, ..., 0.45626885, 0.45626885, 0.45626885]]], dtype=float32) - m_2023_24_age_elderly(chain, draw)float321.116 1.065 1.105 ... 1.115 1.104
array([[1.1156092 , 1.0649636 , 1.1048393 , 1.061013 , 1.1144135 , 1.1607363 , 1.1142502 , 1.039554 , 1.1376948 , 1.1085372 , 1.1017208 , 1.1147685 , 1.1388439 , 1.1238258 , 1.1226497 , 1.052493 , 1.0647228 , 1.1379476 , 1.1208657 , 1.1291239 , 1.1385353 , 1.1696565 , 1.0864158 , 1.1358573 , 1.1142507 , 1.1471825 , 1.0951302 , 1.1022409 , 1.1591456 , 1.1754793 , 1.1207311 , 1.0965266 , 1.1345584 , 1.1032834 , 1.1549833 , 1.1994305 , 1.1638933 , 1.1905897 , 1.1891273 , 1.183908 , 1.183908 , 1.1851958 , 1.1851958 , 1.1851958 , 1.1851958 , 1.1876378 , 1.1833005 , 1.1743419 , 1.1743419 , 1.1743419 , 1.1785896 , 1.1785896 , 1.1785896 , 1.1785896 , 1.1785896 , 1.1766603 , 1.1766603 , 1.1778221 , 1.1778221 , 1.1778221 , 1.1762137 , 1.1762137 , 1.1762137 , 1.1762137 , 1.1762137 , 1.1762137 , 1.1718352 , 1.1718352 , 1.1808947 , 1.1808947 , 1.181993 , 1.1862524 , 1.1822147 , 1.1820368 , 1.1790042 , 1.1790042 , 1.1785994 , 1.1785994 , 1.1785994 , 1.1785994 , 1.1743076 , 1.1743076 , 1.1743076 , 1.170945 , 1.170945 , 1.1775367 , 1.1775367 , 1.1775367 , 1.1775367 , 1.1768143 , 1.1768143 , 1.1768143 , 1.1766067 , 1.1766067 , 1.1766067 , 1.1766067 , 1.1766067 , 1.1766067 , 1.1766067 , 1.1734271 , ... 1.1596763 , 1.0697863 , 1.0491719 , 1.0328673 , 1.1702809 , 1.0453873 , 1.149998 , 1.0687557 , 1.1254518 , 1.1558307 , 1.1227691 , 1.191587 , 1.1824999 , 1.1121386 , 1.1470973 , 1.178477 , 1.10474 , 1.084042 , 1.0887809 , 1.2262833 , 1.0669968 , 1.1462913 , 1.0635397 , 1.0981065 , 1.0961622 , 1.0988467 , 1.1271878 , 1.0656171 , 1.0676847 , 1.0597975 , 1.0908035 , 1.1396973 , 1.1370518 , 1.0885681 , 1.120105 , 1.0694051 , 1.126055 , 1.0775833 , 1.1971617 , 1.0820674 , 1.1233659 , 1.0956861 , 1.1253321 , 1.085939 , 1.0549624 , 1.1811643 , 1.166095 , 1.1598868 , 1.2031801 , 1.2263361 , 1.0768654 , 1.0554614 , 1.1508887 , 1.1877925 , 1.2035164 , 1.0813844 , 1.1226039 , 1.0996883 , 1.1242039 , 1.157412 , 1.1482614 , 1.2168069 , 1.1299902 , 1.1726747 , 1.0772581 , 1.0972967 , 1.059299 , 0.95631063, 1.0280354 , 1.1749684 , 1.0177791 , 1.1800566 , 1.1583111 , 1.1385305 , 1.1562042 , 1.1735693 , 1.1285517 , 1.1035432 , 1.1213329 , 1.123642 , 1.1617672 , 1.09284 , 1.053863 , 1.1566958 , 1.1545684 , 1.1182711 , 1.0816957 , 1.1068076 , 1.1174343 , 1.1368213 , 1.0578923 , 1.1664014 , 1.1239055 , 1.1149755 , 1.104037 ]], dtype=float32) - m_2023_24_age_elderly_daily(chain, draw, days_2023_24)float321.116 1.116 1.116 ... 1.104 1.104
array([[[1.1156092, 1.1156092, 1.1156092, ..., 1.1156092, 1.1156092, 1.1156092], [1.0649636, 1.0649636, 1.0649636, ..., 1.0649636, 1.0649636, 1.0649636], [1.1048393, 1.1048393, 1.1048393, ..., 1.1048393, 1.1048393, 1.1048393], ..., [1.1271082, 1.1271082, 1.1271082, ..., 1.1271082, 1.1271082, 1.1271082], [1.1255996, 1.1255996, 1.1255996, ..., 1.1255996, 1.1255996, 1.1255996], [1.1061624, 1.1061624, 1.1061624, ..., 1.1061624, 1.1061624, 1.1061624]], [[1.157965 , 1.157965 , 1.157965 , ..., 1.157965 , 1.157965 , 1.157965 ], [1.1610634, 1.1610634, 1.1610634, ..., 1.1610634, 1.1610634, 1.1610634], [1.0636584, 1.0636584, 1.0636584, ..., 1.0636584, 1.0636584, 1.0636584], ... [1.13079 , 1.13079 , 1.13079 , ..., 1.13079 , 1.13079 , 1.13079 ], [1.1169701, 1.1169701, 1.1169701, ..., 1.1169701, 1.1169701, 1.1169701], [1.1372433, 1.1372433, 1.1372433, ..., 1.1372433, 1.1372433, 1.1372433]], [[1.107379 , 1.107379 , 1.107379 , ..., 1.107379 , 1.107379 , 1.107379 ], [1.1641061, 1.1641061, 1.1641061, ..., 1.1641061, 1.1641061, 1.1641061], [1.0905619, 1.0905619, 1.0905619, ..., 1.0905619, 1.0905619, 1.0905619], ..., [1.1239055, 1.1239055, 1.1239055, ..., 1.1239055, 1.1239055, 1.1239055], [1.1149755, 1.1149755, 1.1149755, ..., 1.1149755, 1.1149755, 1.1149755], [1.104037 , 1.104037 , 1.104037 , ..., 1.104037 , 1.104037 , 1.104037 ]]], dtype=float32) - m_2023_24_age_youth(chain, draw)float32-0.6423 -0.6494 ... -0.6254 -0.6338
array([[-0.64232796, -0.64937264, -0.6554413 , -0.6247991 , -0.660275 , -0.6156289 , -0.64167964, -0.65622914, -0.6187236 , -0.5990543 , -0.63700634, -0.6361956 , -0.61787283, -0.60798746, -0.61022025, -0.6348119 , -0.6414152 , -0.6052715 , -0.6019809 , -0.6153317 , -0.6082471 , -0.603472 , -0.665976 , -0.63689107, -0.63016564, -0.59460986, -0.6133628 , -0.6143637 , -0.6316749 , -0.575873 , -0.61547667, -0.6487492 , -0.6120686 , -0.6728894 , -0.6073155 , -0.6136496 , -0.6324791 , -0.61039656, -0.6111469 , -0.61276513, -0.61276513, -0.61195016, -0.61195016, -0.61195016, -0.61195016, -0.6120532 , -0.6148527 , -0.6172904 , -0.6172904 , -0.6172904 , -0.61604327, -0.61604327, -0.61604327, -0.61604327, -0.61604327, -0.6180795 , -0.6180795 , -0.6144159 , -0.6144159 , -0.6144159 , -0.6140097 , -0.6140097 , -0.6140097 , -0.6140097 , -0.6140097 , -0.6140097 , -0.61462617, -0.61462617, -0.6150707 , -0.6150707 , -0.6141095 , -0.6123241 , -0.61430985, -0.6133636 , -0.6138417 , -0.6138417 , -0.61343384, -0.61343384, -0.61343384, -0.61343384, -0.6175567 , -0.6175567 , -0.6175567 , -0.62083364, -0.62083364, -0.6211392 , -0.6211392 , -0.6211392 , -0.6211392 , -0.6215516 , -0.6215516 , -0.6215516 , -0.6208575 , -0.6208575 , -0.6208575 , -0.6208575 , -0.6208575 , -0.6208575 , -0.6208575 , -0.619056 , ... -0.6161011 , -0.66228634, -0.6811353 , -0.6654707 , -0.63196445, -0.6232057 , -0.61014175, -0.6587156 , -0.6382362 , -0.6501529 , -0.6235515 , -0.61051685, -0.606204 , -0.676914 , -0.60623497, -0.58888036, -0.64366114, -0.59886885, -0.5857727 , -0.59959704, -0.6140433 , -0.6609047 , -0.66644675, -0.60629845, -0.6159005 , -0.6281403 , -0.5801213 , -0.61482054, -0.6222058 , -0.6312242 , -0.64283395, -0.6050029 , -0.6193045 , -0.6342776 , -0.6148856 , -0.6402291 , -0.62874454, -0.6314241 , -0.6120477 , -0.6226473 , -0.60754037, -0.6141952 , -0.6391435 , -0.6430235 , -0.68711984, -0.5797707 , -0.5847072 , -0.6311496 , -0.5990589 , -0.60935915, -0.6308087 , -0.6559732 , -0.60050285, -0.59135085, -0.5981848 , -0.6246638 , -0.6167484 , -0.6247732 , -0.6019412 , -0.59130937, -0.59130716, -0.5521567 , -0.6313486 , -0.6052292 , -0.60819465, -0.62674695, -0.647187 , -0.6372421 , -0.61935693, -0.5993422 , -0.6217548 , -0.6435892 , -0.6466481 , -0.6255022 , -0.5972701 , -0.5892545 , -0.5940257 , -0.6389283 , -0.60874313, -0.62644535, -0.6102443 , -0.6510193 , -0.6825986 , -0.6540917 , -0.6469677 , -0.6176917 , -0.65096414, -0.659117 , -0.5888744 , -0.61796933, -0.6468577 , -0.607746 , -0.6424006 , -0.6253968 , -0.63377565]], dtype=float32) - m_2023_24_age_youth_daily(chain, draw, days_2023_24)float32-0.6423 -0.6423 ... -0.6338 -0.6338
array([[[-0.64232796, -0.64232796, -0.64232796, ..., -0.64232796, -0.64232796, -0.64232796], [-0.64937264, -0.64937264, -0.64937264, ..., -0.64937264, -0.64937264, -0.64937264], [-0.6554413 , -0.6554413 , -0.6554413 , ..., -0.6554413 , -0.6554413 , -0.6554413 ], ..., [-0.67039645, -0.67039645, -0.67039645, ..., -0.67039645, -0.67039645, -0.67039645], [-0.6560382 , -0.6560382 , -0.6560382 , ..., -0.6560382 , -0.6560382 , -0.6560382 ], [-0.64057827, -0.64057827, -0.64057827, ..., -0.64057827, -0.64057827, -0.64057827]], [[-0.639344 , -0.639344 , -0.639344 , ..., -0.639344 , -0.639344 , -0.639344 ], [-0.6468523 , -0.6468523 , -0.6468523 , ..., -0.6468523 , -0.6468523 , -0.6468523 ], [-0.6395854 , -0.6395854 , -0.6395854 , ..., -0.6395854 , -0.6395854 , -0.6395854 ], ... [-0.6569814 , -0.6569814 , -0.6569814 , ..., -0.6569814 , -0.6569814 , -0.6569814 ], [-0.6400874 , -0.6400874 , -0.6400874 , ..., -0.6400874 , -0.6400874 , -0.6400874 ], [-0.64846647, -0.64846647, -0.64846647, ..., -0.64846647, -0.64846647, -0.64846647]], [[-0.61648643, -0.61648643, -0.61648643, ..., -0.61648643, -0.61648643, -0.61648643], [-0.6424455 , -0.6424455 , -0.6424455 , ..., -0.6424455 , -0.6424455 , -0.6424455 ], [-0.6253142 , -0.6253142 , -0.6253142 , ..., -0.6253142 , -0.6253142 , -0.6253142 ], ..., [-0.6424006 , -0.6424006 , -0.6424006 , ..., -0.6424006 , -0.6424006 , -0.6424006 ], [-0.6253968 , -0.6253968 , -0.6253968 , ..., -0.6253968 , -0.6253968 , -0.6253968 ], [-0.63377565, -0.63377565, -0.63377565, ..., -0.63377565, -0.63377565, -0.63377565]]], dtype=float32) - m_2024_25_age_adult(chain, draw)float320.5686 0.6685 ... 0.6786 0.6734
array([[0.5685505 , 0.66854656, 0.6141845 , 0.6447104 , 0.67738235, 0.6762722 , 0.6498318 , 0.70589924, 0.6376335 , 0.689719 , 0.63685966, 0.6412006 , 0.76122266, 0.6507306 , 0.633617 , 0.68222404, 0.6888086 , 0.6727171 , 0.6637846 , 0.6896735 , 0.69258106, 0.6623173 , 0.70730543, 0.6733842 , 0.68744147, 0.667243 , 0.6253574 , 0.63379955, 0.66211545, 0.7185242 , 0.69651663, 0.6691274 , 0.72576785, 0.66730136, 0.6949042 , 0.6581541 , 0.63912535, 0.66989565, 0.6670474 , 0.6660585 , 0.6660585 , 0.6634384 , 0.6634384 , 0.6634384 , 0.6634384 , 0.6613003 , 0.6619395 , 0.66035575, 0.66035575, 0.66035575, 0.65879464, 0.65879464, 0.65879464, 0.65879464, 0.65879464, 0.66225505, 0.66225505, 0.66712147, 0.66712147, 0.66712147, 0.66975 , 0.66975 , 0.66975 , 0.66975 , 0.66975 , 0.66975 , 0.6729251 , 0.6729251 , 0.67347836, 0.67347836, 0.6709868 , 0.67213035, 0.66885626, 0.66847026, 0.66962504, 0.66962504, 0.66599977, 0.66599977, 0.66599977, 0.66599977, 0.6628466 , 0.6628466 , 0.6628466 , 0.6662828 , 0.6662828 , 0.6641778 , 0.6641778 , 0.6641778 , 0.6641778 , 0.6628504 , 0.6628504 , 0.6628504 , 0.66590846, 0.66590846, 0.66590846, 0.66590846, 0.66590846, 0.66590846, 0.66590846, 0.6673372 , ... 0.7415069 , 0.69056785, 0.6638208 , 0.729493 , 0.680695 , 0.71933246, 0.61598456, 0.68706477, 0.66276956, 0.72173166, 0.63258314, 0.72627056, 0.7095883 , 0.66584563, 0.7276172 , 0.6997663 , 0.6724384 , 0.6436584 , 0.6285649 , 0.6848186 , 0.6934295 , 0.6507561 , 0.7022966 , 0.6615962 , 0.6783443 , 0.61030555, 0.7118391 , 0.6951686 , 0.71511763, 0.67716134, 0.68695146, 0.6825937 , 0.69613826, 0.7061027 , 0.65802276, 0.7067635 , 0.6526094 , 0.73629427, 0.7327676 , 0.69417155, 0.6902957 , 0.66959333, 0.76074636, 0.73742974, 0.74326956, 0.71475345, 0.6963258 , 0.713549 , 0.603055 , 0.6675885 , 0.6484448 , 0.7043653 , 0.69043595, 0.69167197, 0.7198057 , 0.6759571 , 0.71686894, 0.6835766 , 0.6692881 , 0.6851467 , 0.6969551 , 0.6886343 , 0.6581943 , 0.70795226, 0.6347151 , 0.6755173 , 0.5926656 , 0.72126657, 0.688902 , 0.62908244, 0.6856219 , 0.6642357 , 0.66664946, 0.67533994, 0.67946136, 0.7288283 , 0.72988045, 0.6983371 , 0.6689489 , 0.64980763, 0.6821362 , 0.6588787 , 0.7292199 , 0.6559479 , 0.6599921 , 0.7015459 , 0.7399284 , 0.7161966 , 0.6668354 , 0.69166666, 0.69850814, 0.6826829 , 0.6716871 , 0.678581 , 0.6734469 ]], dtype=float32) - m_2024_25_age_adult_daily(chain, draw, days_2024_25)float320.5686 0.5686 ... 0.6734 0.6734
array([[[0.5685505 , 0.5685505 , 0.5685505 , ..., 0.5685505 , 0.5685505 , 0.5685505 ], [0.66854656, 0.66854656, 0.66854656, ..., 0.66854656, 0.66854656, 0.66854656], [0.6141845 , 0.6141845 , 0.6141845 , ..., 0.6141845 , 0.6141845 , 0.6141845 ], ..., [0.7737819 , 0.7737819 , 0.7737819 , ..., 0.7737819 , 0.7737819 , 0.7737819 ], [0.7622123 , 0.7622123 , 0.7622123 , ..., 0.7622123 , 0.7622123 , 0.7622123 ], [0.72269666, 0.72269666, 0.72269666, ..., 0.72269666, 0.72269666, 0.72269666]], [[0.6969925 , 0.6969925 , 0.6969925 , ..., 0.6969925 , 0.6969925 , 0.6969925 ], [0.71158856, 0.71158856, 0.71158856, ..., 0.71158856, 0.71158856, 0.71158856], [0.6892705 , 0.6892705 , 0.6892705 , ..., 0.6892705 , 0.6892705 , 0.6892705 ], ... [0.7501131 , 0.7501131 , 0.7501131 , ..., 0.7501131 , 0.7501131 , 0.7501131 ], [0.7169061 , 0.7169061 , 0.7169061 , ..., 0.7169061 , 0.7169061 , 0.7169061 ], [0.6960273 , 0.6960273 , 0.6960273 , ..., 0.6960273 , 0.6960273 , 0.6960273 ]], [[0.62749964, 0.62749964, 0.62749964, ..., 0.62749964, 0.62749964, 0.62749964], [0.7560834 , 0.7560834 , 0.7560834 , ..., 0.7560834 , 0.7560834 , 0.7560834 ], [0.6906297 , 0.6906297 , 0.6906297 , ..., 0.6906297 , 0.6906297 , 0.6906297 ], ..., [0.6716871 , 0.6716871 , 0.6716871 , ..., 0.6716871 , 0.6716871 , 0.6716871 ], [0.678581 , 0.678581 , 0.678581 , ..., 0.678581 , 0.678581 , 0.678581 ], [0.6734469 , 0.6734469 , 0.6734469 , ..., 0.6734469 , 0.6734469 , 0.6734469 ]]], dtype=float32) - m_2024_25_age_elderly(chain, draw)float321.378 1.306 1.412 ... 1.4 1.399
array([[1.3781428, 1.3056635, 1.411727 , 1.4127586, 1.4004859, 1.4462774, 1.4644393, 1.3801085, 1.425822 , 1.4450068, 1.4274446, 1.4231961, 1.5151308, 1.4107717, 1.3982553, 1.387967 , 1.3692203, 1.3564469, 1.4430076, 1.4287971, 1.4105655, 1.4036001, 1.4793828, 1.3888164, 1.3853353, 1.4685497, 1.3455899, 1.352454 , 1.434348 , 1.4193543, 1.4568267, 1.3600962, 1.382559 , 1.3820312, 1.4254488, 1.449933 , 1.4232218, 1.4081653, 1.4120243, 1.4065084, 1.4065084, 1.4129539, 1.4129539, 1.4129539, 1.4129539, 1.4035034, 1.4015207, 1.3994992, 1.3994992, 1.3994992, 1.3984535, 1.3984535, 1.3984535, 1.3984535, 1.3984535, 1.3980727, 1.3980727, 1.4027483, 1.4027483, 1.4027483, 1.4008995, 1.4008995, 1.4008995, 1.4008995, 1.4008995, 1.4008995, 1.4053607, 1.4053607, 1.4098302, 1.4098302, 1.405032 , 1.3999355, 1.3953841, 1.3892908, 1.3946729, 1.3946729, 1.3904881, 1.3904881, 1.3904881, 1.3904881, 1.3976722, 1.3976722, 1.3976722, 1.4083027, 1.4083027, 1.4043552, 1.4043552, 1.4043552, 1.4043552, 1.3966411, 1.3966411, 1.3966411, 1.4014604, 1.4014604, 1.4014604, 1.4014604, 1.4014604, 1.4014604, 1.4014604, 1.4059689, 1.4059689, 1.4059689, 1.4059689, 1.4059689, 1.4020855, 1.4020855, 1.4020855, 1.4043572, 1.3952446, 1.3952446, 1.3991325, 1.4001962, 1.400644 , 1.4042239, 1.4494781, 1.460725 , 1.3938636, 1.4582765, 1.4710402, 1.4492471, ... 1.4113665, 1.3998408, 1.464745 , 1.4422138, 1.4074826, 1.374491 , 1.5241637, 1.5295358, 1.3186035, 1.3604971, 1.3763467, 1.4200685, 1.4294969, 1.464814 , 1.4351822, 1.4916754, 1.575371 , 1.5355617, 1.4351636, 1.4590359, 1.4312196, 1.6340809, 1.558782 , 1.554687 , 1.3825595, 1.4891951, 1.5148605, 1.3904035, 1.4488535, 1.3530649, 1.383874 , 1.3679184, 1.4719476, 1.38391 , 1.4784259, 1.4468614, 1.4366324, 1.4697685, 1.4332304, 1.4360038, 1.3441757, 1.3665128, 1.4429245, 1.5032988, 1.3863255, 1.4245117, 1.3315893, 1.3233886, 1.3723816, 1.4382434, 1.4712831, 1.4688461, 1.452992 , 1.3899188, 1.4312823, 1.4161541, 1.4596081, 1.3705581, 1.4216346, 1.4178729, 1.4658006, 1.5258691, 1.4529973, 1.4192957, 1.3458515, 1.4645512, 1.4568931, 1.5117248, 1.4612567, 1.4550092, 1.430809 , 1.3700362, 1.4041879, 1.4930282, 1.5314541, 1.4466801, 1.5037968, 1.52595 , 1.4416381, 1.3843935, 1.43807 , 1.3439486, 1.4787788, 1.343457 , 1.3708549, 1.4349046, 1.4558924, 1.4634204, 1.2610523, 1.4173341, 1.4718423, 1.383477 , 1.4091735, 1.3930633, 1.4028482, 1.3922681, 1.4178092, 1.4812644, 1.518947 , 1.4898735, 1.4946072, 1.4029475, 1.4302537, 1.3433228, 1.4204111, 1.4351195, 1.4178953, 1.3987982, 1.4637816, 1.5114794, 1.4819155, 1.3759674, 1.4891047, 1.4317558, 1.4470648, 1.3852564, 1.3998389, 1.3990382]], dtype=float32) - m_2024_25_age_elderly_daily(chain, draw, days_2024_25)float321.378 1.378 1.378 ... 1.399 1.399
array([[[1.3781428, 1.3781428, 1.3781428, ..., 1.3781428, 1.3781428, 1.3781428], [1.3056635, 1.3056635, 1.3056635, ..., 1.3056635, 1.3056635, 1.3056635], [1.411727 , 1.411727 , 1.411727 , ..., 1.411727 , 1.411727 , 1.411727 ], ..., [1.4984155, 1.4984155, 1.4984155, ..., 1.4984155, 1.4984155, 1.4984155], [1.495515 , 1.495515 , 1.495515 , ..., 1.495515 , 1.495515 , 1.495515 ], [1.4627134, 1.4627134, 1.4627134, ..., 1.4627134, 1.4627134, 1.4627134]], [[1.446229 , 1.446229 , 1.446229 , ..., 1.446229 , 1.446229 , 1.446229 ], [1.4724042, 1.4724042, 1.4724042, ..., 1.4724042, 1.4724042, 1.4724042], [1.4244559, 1.4244559, 1.4244559, ..., 1.4244559, 1.4244559, 1.4244559], ... [1.5096694, 1.5096694, 1.5096694, ..., 1.5096694, 1.5096694, 1.5096694], [1.5473374, 1.5473374, 1.5473374, ..., 1.5473374, 1.5473374, 1.5473374], [1.4058113, 1.4058113, 1.4058113, ..., 1.4058113, 1.4058113, 1.4058113]], [[1.2927594, 1.2927594, 1.2927594, ..., 1.2927594, 1.2927594, 1.2927594], [1.6063719, 1.6063719, 1.6063719, ..., 1.6063719, 1.6063719, 1.6063719], [1.4004629, 1.4004629, 1.4004629, ..., 1.4004629, 1.4004629, 1.4004629], ..., [1.3852564, 1.3852564, 1.3852564, ..., 1.3852564, 1.3852564, 1.3852564], [1.3998389, 1.3998389, 1.3998389, ..., 1.3998389, 1.3998389, 1.3998389], [1.3990382, 1.3990382, 1.3990382, ..., 1.3990382, 1.3990382, 1.3990382]]], dtype=float32) - m_2024_25_age_youth(chain, draw)float32-0.3471 -0.3655 ... -0.388 -0.3807
array([[-0.3471251 , -0.36551067, -0.37713006, -0.3418902 , -0.37863943, -0.37729424, -0.34719905, -0.3555009 , -0.3822798 , -0.32672745, -0.3855722 , -0.38458842, -0.33409673, -0.37187922, -0.3721971 , -0.43063787, -0.43407816, -0.45322442, -0.32882455, -0.31025398, -0.31454107, -0.3340206 , -0.39508545, -0.39408746, -0.39998433, -0.33452913, -0.370871 , -0.36246076, -0.36200762, -0.3238274 , -0.336345 , -0.3825869 , -0.3755858 , -0.38943774, -0.3497378 , -0.37056142, -0.38030675, -0.3866223 , -0.38599595, -0.38914198, -0.38914198, -0.39045757, -0.39045757, -0.39045757, -0.39045757, -0.3918067 , -0.39364102, -0.39419335, -0.39419335, -0.39419335, -0.3941029 , -0.3941029 , -0.3941029 , -0.3941029 , -0.3941029 , -0.39196876, -0.39196876, -0.3907475 , -0.3907475 , -0.3907475 , -0.391385 , -0.391385 , -0.391385 , -0.391385 , -0.391385 , -0.391385 , -0.3911387 , -0.3911387 , -0.3905703 , -0.3905703 , -0.39408776, -0.39421666, -0.39811385, -0.40042022, -0.39897037, -0.39897037, -0.40153396, -0.40153396, -0.40153396, -0.40153396, -0.39936155, -0.39936155, -0.39936155, -0.3961381 , -0.3961381 , -0.39548007, -0.39548007, -0.39548007, -0.39548007, -0.3961703 , -0.3961703 , -0.3961703 , -0.39438078, -0.39438078, -0.39438078, -0.39438078, -0.39438078, -0.39438078, -0.39438078, -0.39089572, ... -0.33342284, -0.36718845, -0.3585592 , -0.30393395, -0.41383916, -0.3209912 , -0.42197168, -0.34822127, -0.37141368, -0.3285551 , -0.39708087, -0.3508452 , -0.3683041 , -0.33583048, -0.3275066 , -0.317799 , -0.35211793, -0.3753809 , -0.38771743, -0.35504308, -0.32498497, -0.41626355, -0.33464244, -0.38585377, -0.37558275, -0.3956375 , -0.3516338 , -0.3349409 , -0.30444878, -0.3328506 , -0.36665207, -0.35198954, -0.3749442 , -0.32888246, -0.3700354 , -0.3392882 , -0.3449065 , -0.331301 , -0.34097803, -0.3372028 , -0.360782 , -0.37620533, -0.306254 , -0.30701563, -0.28872347, -0.38569683, -0.38693833, -0.38917074, -0.36044285, -0.33887637, -0.36029744, -0.3229633 , -0.3902871 , -0.32220277, -0.31060207, -0.3795686 , -0.33916205, -0.3651315 , -0.3699085 , -0.33849835, -0.37957802, -0.36187103, -0.36294642, -0.33327267, -0.3500627 , -0.41015193, -0.39216852, -0.30701226, -0.3327429 , -0.352307 , -0.37319535, -0.3785226 , -0.3816277 , -0.35993588, -0.3385227 , -0.31561992, -0.31755197, -0.3704964 , -0.34799957, -0.37765902, -0.4184631 , -0.34095088, -0.29591832, -0.4071184 , -0.42126712, -0.3598885 , -0.37503344, -0.36193138, -0.36539492, -0.33363122, -0.35504952, -0.35573435, -0.3521671 , -0.3880428 , -0.38068974]], dtype=float32) - m_2024_25_age_youth_daily(chain, draw, days_2024_25)float32-0.3471 -0.3471 ... -0.3807 -0.3807
array([[[-0.3471251 , -0.3471251 , -0.3471251 , ..., -0.3471251 , -0.3471251 , -0.3471251 ], [-0.36551067, -0.36551067, -0.36551067, ..., -0.36551067, -0.36551067, -0.36551067], [-0.37713006, -0.37713006, -0.37713006, ..., -0.37713006, -0.37713006, -0.37713006], ..., [-0.33725333, -0.33725333, -0.33725333, ..., -0.33725333, -0.33725333, -0.33725333], [-0.33580887, -0.33580887, -0.33580887, ..., -0.33580887, -0.33580887, -0.33580887], [-0.392199 , -0.392199 , -0.392199 , ..., -0.392199 , -0.392199 , -0.392199 ]], [[-0.3620766 , -0.3620766 , -0.3620766 , ..., -0.3620766 , -0.3620766 , -0.3620766 ], [-0.3236094 , -0.3236094 , -0.3236094 , ..., -0.3236094 , -0.3236094 , -0.3236094 ], [-0.42267227, -0.42267227, -0.42267227, ..., -0.42267227, -0.42267227, -0.42267227], ... [-0.3304211 , -0.3304211 , -0.3304211 , ..., -0.3304211 , -0.3304211 , -0.3304211 ], [-0.31603196, -0.31603196, -0.31603196, ..., -0.31603196, -0.31603196, -0.31603196], [-0.35688937, -0.35688937, -0.35688937, ..., -0.35688937, -0.35688937, -0.35688937]], [[-0.35124767, -0.35124767, -0.35124767, ..., -0.35124767, -0.35124767, -0.35124767], [-0.34031683, -0.34031683, -0.34031683, ..., -0.34031683, -0.34031683, -0.34031683], [-0.34366104, -0.34366104, -0.34366104, ..., -0.34366104, -0.34366104, -0.34366104], ..., [-0.3521671 , -0.3521671 , -0.3521671 , ..., -0.3521671 , -0.3521671 , -0.3521671 ], [-0.3880428 , -0.3880428 , -0.3880428 , ..., -0.3880428 , -0.3880428 , -0.3880428 ], [-0.38068974, -0.38068974, -0.38068974, ..., -0.38068974, -0.38068974, -0.38068974]]], dtype=float32) - observation_mean(chain, draw, observation)float320.01577 0.02618 ... 0.01197
array([[[0.01577143, 0.02618351, 0.03340577, ..., 0.0060025 , 0.00925467, 0.01157785], [0.01570559, 0.02604865, 0.0332753 , ..., 0.00601471, 0.00970835, 0.01155272], [0.01546177, 0.02613828, 0.03301515, ..., 0.00594826, 0.00948773, 0.01175614], ..., [0.01590805, 0.02649776, 0.03393379, ..., 0.00628608, 0.01032904, 0.01233647], [0.01602207, 0.02666198, 0.03368658, ..., 0.00634867, 0.01038495, 0.0124422 ], [0.01570977, 0.02599541, 0.03331305, ..., 0.00613231, 0.01023908, 0.01234935]], [[0.01563687, 0.02589307, 0.03338972, ..., 0.00610856, 0.00993427, 0.01204602], [0.01603911, 0.02692794, 0.03369403, ..., 0.00620207, 0.00990969, 0.0120175 ], [0.01533917, 0.0257095 , 0.03275513, ..., 0.00573749, 0.00964957, 0.01168196], ... [0.01510982, 0.02576257, 0.03243617, ..., 0.00627891, 0.01019916, 0.01229858], [0.01530215, 0.02609626, 0.03283713, ..., 0.00639655, 0.01019347, 0.01250854], [0.01545195, 0.02589735, 0.0329545 , ..., 0.00613152, 0.009938 , 0.0119604 ]], [[0.0155686 , 0.02596843, 0.03288275, ..., 0.00601992, 0.00950063, 0.01143437], [0.01582754, 0.02642364, 0.03380861, ..., 0.00637829, 0.01044047, 0.0127787 ], [0.01561996, 0.02627947, 0.03370558, ..., 0.00602783, 0.00967699, 0.01165494], ..., [0.01542272, 0.0260703 , 0.03240882, ..., 0.00617915, 0.00990624, 0.01197095], [0.01557792, 0.02622864, 0.03370403, ..., 0.0060032 , 0.00985345, 0.01191403], [0.01579897, 0.02649568, 0.03374981, ..., 0.00606076, 0.00988739, 0.01197388]]], dtype=float32) - observation_sim(chain, draw, observation)float320.01436 0.02622 ... 0.01163 0.01016
array([[[0.01436366, 0.02621992, 0.03621456, ..., 0.00476001, 0.00923864, 0.00926457], [0.01709087, 0.0265696 , 0.03308758, ..., 0.00525846, 0.01026844, 0.01343116], [0.01528434, 0.0250984 , 0.03278866, ..., 0.00347775, 0.00976426, 0.01294294], ..., [0.01471184, 0.02526802, 0.03540495, ..., 0.00859299, 0.0092185 , 0.01251267], [0.01514589, 0.02574605, 0.03197781, ..., 0.00558277, 0.00926351, 0.01535165], [0.01541073, 0.02479326, 0.03344189, ..., 0.0057536 , 0.00995922, 0.01448968]], [[0.01519495, 0.02642751, 0.0326349 , ..., 0.00649546, 0.00911992, 0.01160569], [0.01726718, 0.02612188, 0.03201197, ..., 0.00810823, 0.00990491, 0.01223047], [0.01814195, 0.02658672, 0.03370725, ..., 0.0060374 , 0.00827987, 0.01334869], ... [0.01591284, 0.02568023, 0.0301163 , ..., 0.00709293, 0.01268823, 0.01409004], [0.01508192, 0.02643685, 0.03347052, ..., 0.00624801, 0.00914975, 0.01315637], [0.01488125, 0.02445609, 0.03113055, ..., 0.00591467, 0.01055402, 0.01256265]], [[0.01295272, 0.02724 , 0.03262798, ..., 0.00640404, 0.01054815, 0.01207739], [0.01707296, 0.02859046, 0.03438111, ..., 0.00676432, 0.01027021, 0.01209221], [0.01658797, 0.02554351, 0.03374837, ..., 0.00761104, 0.01235912, 0.01347292], ..., [0.01332803, 0.02663502, 0.03344037, ..., 0.00610497, 0.01079492, 0.0115695 ], [0.0154747 , 0.02684267, 0.03330655, ..., 0.00495172, 0.00864779, 0.01067569], [0.01763646, 0.02680333, 0.03394848, ..., 0.00469754, 0.0116334 , 0.01015913]]], dtype=float32) - r_2022_23_age_adult(chain, draw)float32-3.192 -3.189 ... -3.202 -3.205
array([[-3.1921656, -3.1885662, -3.1749265, -3.2048209, -3.1891954, -3.184131 , -3.191719 , -3.2101748, -3.201655 , -3.1769474, -3.1936197, -3.191311 , -3.2059908, -3.1960442, -3.1905394, -3.2125468, -3.2100277, -3.2029278, -3.1883602, -3.2045984, -3.2045963, -3.1921835, -3.1686065, -3.2139838, -3.210606 , -3.1951923, -3.1898248, -3.1904647, -3.209633 , -3.1941636, -3.1877449, -3.1949499, -3.1888952, -3.195237 , -3.1909976, -3.1969838, -3.1792648, -3.1782603, -3.1788387, -3.179905 , -3.179905 , -3.1791196, -3.1791196, -3.1791196, -3.1791196, -3.1805742, -3.1811864, -3.1832812, -3.1832812, -3.1832812, -3.184338 , -3.184338 , -3.184338 , -3.184338 , -3.184338 , -3.1852257, -3.1852257, -3.1836038, -3.1836038, -3.1836038, -3.183582 , -3.183582 , -3.183582 , -3.183582 , -3.183582 , -3.183582 , -3.181892 , -3.181892 , -3.181722 , -3.181722 , -3.1798759, -3.1797245, -3.179038 , -3.1788826, -3.1795387, -3.1795387, -3.1797884, -3.1797884, -3.1797884, -3.1797884, -3.181622 , -3.181622 , -3.181622 , -3.1815464, -3.1815464, -3.1826422, -3.1826422, -3.1826422, -3.1826422, -3.1821163, -3.1821163, -3.1821163, -3.1812012, -3.1812012, -3.1812012, -3.1812012, -3.1812012, -3.1812012, -3.1812012, -3.1812882, ... -3.1882343, -3.1924863, -3.1781132, -3.1887474, -3.190508 , -3.1960452, -3.1958482, -3.167622 , -3.1789596, -3.1988573, -3.1805682, -3.1956153, -3.190128 , -3.1959748, -3.2002375, -3.201575 , -3.174721 , -3.1778948, -3.1708124, -3.2036347, -3.2003248, -3.1850674, -3.1911583, -3.1768253, -3.168136 , -3.1791444, -3.181308 , -3.1979456, -3.1753683, -3.2033217, -3.1844378, -3.2061958, -3.1758547, -3.204721 , -3.1952126, -3.195719 , -3.1829407, -3.1963837, -3.1796134, -3.2094362, -3.1808128, -3.1914668, -3.1769998, -3.187931 , -3.1820538, -3.19026 , -3.1964006, -3.1980517, -3.2007089, -3.194395 , -3.190505 , -3.1901991, -3.1873426, -3.193524 , -3.2056293, -3.2007327, -3.2144055, -3.1752188, -3.2038834, -3.1779387, -3.1827965, -3.1736603, -3.1738763, -3.1885972, -3.1853805, -3.182266 , -3.2015095, -3.1839764, -3.1674924, -3.2124765, -3.180631 , -3.2065043, -3.1979325, -3.2094867, -3.1699455, -3.1651475, -3.1703823, -3.2017453, -3.1712794, -3.2044013, -3.1769147, -3.1957254, -3.196705 , -3.178256 , -3.1730917, -3.201684 , -3.1968474, -3.189848 , -3.1848862, -3.1927986, -3.1662576, -3.1970346, -3.177706 , -3.2023835, -3.205019 ]], dtype=float32) - r_2022_23_age_adult_daily(chain, draw, days_2022_23)float32-3.192 -3.192 ... -3.205 -3.205
array([[[-3.1921656, -3.1921656, -3.1921656, ..., -3.1921656, -3.1921656, -3.1921656], [-3.1885662, -3.1885662, -3.1885662, ..., -3.1885662, -3.1885662, -3.1885662], [-3.1749265, -3.1749265, -3.1749265, ..., -3.1749265, -3.1749265, -3.1749265], ..., [-3.2040431, -3.2040431, -3.2040431, ..., -3.2040431, -3.2040431, -3.2040431], [-3.2097337, -3.2097337, -3.2097337, ..., -3.2097337, -3.2097337, -3.2097337], [-3.1991606, -3.1991606, -3.1991606, ..., -3.1991606, -3.1991606, -3.1991606]], [[-3.1907425, -3.1907425, -3.1907425, ..., -3.1907425, -3.1907425, -3.1907425], [-3.1939626, -3.1939626, -3.1939626, ..., -3.1939626, -3.1939626, -3.1939626], [-3.1886454, -3.1886454, -3.1886454, ..., -3.1886454, -3.1886454, -3.1886454], ... [-3.1801667, -3.1801667, -3.1801667, ..., -3.1801667, -3.1801667, -3.1801667], [-3.1829815, -3.1829815, -3.1829815, ..., -3.1829815, -3.1829815, -3.1829815], [-3.1969905, -3.1969905, -3.1969905, ..., -3.1969905, -3.1969905, -3.1969905]], [[-3.1942437, -3.1942437, -3.1942437, ..., -3.1942437, -3.1942437, -3.1942437], [-3.1962585, -3.1962585, -3.1962585, ..., -3.1962585, -3.1962585, -3.1962585], [-3.192167 , -3.192167 , -3.192167 , ..., -3.192167 , -3.192167 , -3.192167 ], ..., [-3.177706 , -3.177706 , -3.177706 , ..., -3.177706 , -3.177706 , -3.177706 ], [-3.2023835, -3.2023835, -3.2023835, ..., -3.2023835, -3.2023835, -3.2023835], [-3.205019 , -3.205019 , -3.205019 , ..., -3.205019 , -3.205019 , -3.205019 ]]], dtype=float32) - r_2022_23_age_elderly(chain, draw)float32-3.192 -3.189 ... -3.202 -3.205
array([[-3.1921656, -3.1885662, -3.1749265, -3.2048209, -3.1891954, -3.184131 , -3.191719 , -3.2101748, -3.201655 , -3.1769474, -3.1936197, -3.191311 , -3.2059908, -3.1960442, -3.1905394, -3.2125468, -3.2100277, -3.2029278, -3.1883602, -3.2045984, -3.2045963, -3.1921835, -3.1686065, -3.2139838, -3.210606 , -3.1951923, -3.1898248, -3.1904647, -3.209633 , -3.1941636, -3.1877449, -3.1949499, -3.1888952, -3.195237 , -3.1909976, -3.1969838, -3.1792648, -3.1782603, -3.1788387, -3.179905 , -3.179905 , -3.1791196, -3.1791196, -3.1791196, -3.1791196, -3.1805742, -3.1811864, -3.1832812, -3.1832812, -3.1832812, -3.184338 , -3.184338 , -3.184338 , -3.184338 , -3.184338 , -3.1852257, -3.1852257, -3.1836038, -3.1836038, -3.1836038, -3.183582 , -3.183582 , -3.183582 , -3.183582 , -3.183582 , -3.183582 , -3.181892 , -3.181892 , -3.181722 , -3.181722 , -3.1798759, -3.1797245, -3.179038 , -3.1788826, -3.1795387, -3.1795387, -3.1797884, -3.1797884, -3.1797884, -3.1797884, -3.181622 , -3.181622 , -3.181622 , -3.1815464, -3.1815464, -3.1826422, -3.1826422, -3.1826422, -3.1826422, -3.1821163, -3.1821163, -3.1821163, -3.1812012, -3.1812012, -3.1812012, -3.1812012, -3.1812012, -3.1812012, -3.1812012, -3.1812882, ... -3.1882343, -3.1924863, -3.1781132, -3.1887474, -3.190508 , -3.1960452, -3.1958482, -3.167622 , -3.1789596, -3.1988573, -3.1805682, -3.1956153, -3.190128 , -3.1959748, -3.2002375, -3.201575 , -3.174721 , -3.1778948, -3.1708124, -3.2036347, -3.2003248, -3.1850674, -3.1911583, -3.1768253, -3.168136 , -3.1791444, -3.181308 , -3.1979456, -3.1753683, -3.2033217, -3.1844378, -3.2061958, -3.1758547, -3.204721 , -3.1952126, -3.195719 , -3.1829407, -3.1963837, -3.1796134, -3.2094362, -3.1808128, -3.1914668, -3.1769998, -3.187931 , -3.1820538, -3.19026 , -3.1964006, -3.1980517, -3.2007089, -3.194395 , -3.190505 , -3.1901991, -3.1873426, -3.193524 , -3.2056293, -3.2007327, -3.2144055, -3.1752188, -3.2038834, -3.1779387, -3.1827965, -3.1736603, -3.1738763, -3.1885972, -3.1853805, -3.182266 , -3.2015095, -3.1839764, -3.1674924, -3.2124765, -3.180631 , -3.2065043, -3.1979325, -3.2094867, -3.1699455, -3.1651475, -3.1703823, -3.2017453, -3.1712794, -3.2044013, -3.1769147, -3.1957254, -3.196705 , -3.178256 , -3.1730917, -3.201684 , -3.1968474, -3.189848 , -3.1848862, -3.1927986, -3.1662576, -3.1970346, -3.177706 , -3.2023835, -3.205019 ]], dtype=float32) - r_2022_23_age_elderly_daily(chain, draw, days_2022_23)float32-3.192 -3.192 ... -3.205 -3.205
array([[[-3.1921656, -3.1921656, -3.1921656, ..., -3.1921656, -3.1921656, -3.1921656], [-3.1885662, -3.1885662, -3.1885662, ..., -3.1885662, -3.1885662, -3.1885662], [-3.1749265, -3.1749265, -3.1749265, ..., -3.1749265, -3.1749265, -3.1749265], ..., [-3.2040431, -3.2040431, -3.2040431, ..., -3.2040431, -3.2040431, -3.2040431], [-3.2097337, -3.2097337, -3.2097337, ..., -3.2097337, -3.2097337, -3.2097337], [-3.1991606, -3.1991606, -3.1991606, ..., -3.1991606, -3.1991606, -3.1991606]], [[-3.1907425, -3.1907425, -3.1907425, ..., -3.1907425, -3.1907425, -3.1907425], [-3.1939626, -3.1939626, -3.1939626, ..., -3.1939626, -3.1939626, -3.1939626], [-3.1886454, -3.1886454, -3.1886454, ..., -3.1886454, -3.1886454, -3.1886454], ... [-3.1801667, -3.1801667, -3.1801667, ..., -3.1801667, -3.1801667, -3.1801667], [-3.1829815, -3.1829815, -3.1829815, ..., -3.1829815, -3.1829815, -3.1829815], [-3.1969905, -3.1969905, -3.1969905, ..., -3.1969905, -3.1969905, -3.1969905]], [[-3.1942437, -3.1942437, -3.1942437, ..., -3.1942437, -3.1942437, -3.1942437], [-3.1962585, -3.1962585, -3.1962585, ..., -3.1962585, -3.1962585, -3.1962585], [-3.192167 , -3.192167 , -3.192167 , ..., -3.192167 , -3.192167 , -3.192167 ], ..., [-3.177706 , -3.177706 , -3.177706 , ..., -3.177706 , -3.177706 , -3.177706 ], [-3.2023835, -3.2023835, -3.2023835, ..., -3.2023835, -3.2023835, -3.2023835], [-3.205019 , -3.205019 , -3.205019 , ..., -3.205019 , -3.205019 , -3.205019 ]]], dtype=float32) - r_2022_23_age_youth(chain, draw)float32-3.192 -3.189 ... -3.202 -3.205
array([[-3.1921656, -3.1885662, -3.1749265, -3.2048209, -3.1891954, -3.184131 , -3.191719 , -3.2101748, -3.201655 , -3.1769474, -3.1936197, -3.191311 , -3.2059908, -3.1960442, -3.1905394, -3.2125468, -3.2100277, -3.2029278, -3.1883602, -3.2045984, -3.2045963, -3.1921835, -3.1686065, -3.2139838, -3.210606 , -3.1951923, -3.1898248, -3.1904647, -3.209633 , -3.1941636, -3.1877449, -3.1949499, -3.1888952, -3.195237 , -3.1909976, -3.1969838, -3.1792648, -3.1782603, -3.1788387, -3.179905 , -3.179905 , -3.1791196, -3.1791196, -3.1791196, -3.1791196, -3.1805742, -3.1811864, -3.1832812, -3.1832812, -3.1832812, -3.184338 , -3.184338 , -3.184338 , -3.184338 , -3.184338 , -3.1852257, -3.1852257, -3.1836038, -3.1836038, -3.1836038, -3.183582 , -3.183582 , -3.183582 , -3.183582 , -3.183582 , -3.183582 , -3.181892 , -3.181892 , -3.181722 , -3.181722 , -3.1798759, -3.1797245, -3.179038 , -3.1788826, -3.1795387, -3.1795387, -3.1797884, -3.1797884, -3.1797884, -3.1797884, -3.181622 , -3.181622 , -3.181622 , -3.1815464, -3.1815464, -3.1826422, -3.1826422, -3.1826422, -3.1826422, -3.1821163, -3.1821163, -3.1821163, -3.1812012, -3.1812012, -3.1812012, -3.1812012, -3.1812012, -3.1812012, -3.1812012, -3.1812882, ... -3.1882343, -3.1924863, -3.1781132, -3.1887474, -3.190508 , -3.1960452, -3.1958482, -3.167622 , -3.1789596, -3.1988573, -3.1805682, -3.1956153, -3.190128 , -3.1959748, -3.2002375, -3.201575 , -3.174721 , -3.1778948, -3.1708124, -3.2036347, -3.2003248, -3.1850674, -3.1911583, -3.1768253, -3.168136 , -3.1791444, -3.181308 , -3.1979456, -3.1753683, -3.2033217, -3.1844378, -3.2061958, -3.1758547, -3.204721 , -3.1952126, -3.195719 , -3.1829407, -3.1963837, -3.1796134, -3.2094362, -3.1808128, -3.1914668, -3.1769998, -3.187931 , -3.1820538, -3.19026 , -3.1964006, -3.1980517, -3.2007089, -3.194395 , -3.190505 , -3.1901991, -3.1873426, -3.193524 , -3.2056293, -3.2007327, -3.2144055, -3.1752188, -3.2038834, -3.1779387, -3.1827965, -3.1736603, -3.1738763, -3.1885972, -3.1853805, -3.182266 , -3.2015095, -3.1839764, -3.1674924, -3.2124765, -3.180631 , -3.2065043, -3.1979325, -3.2094867, -3.1699455, -3.1651475, -3.1703823, -3.2017453, -3.1712794, -3.2044013, -3.1769147, -3.1957254, -3.196705 , -3.178256 , -3.1730917, -3.201684 , -3.1968474, -3.189848 , -3.1848862, -3.1927986, -3.1662576, -3.1970346, -3.177706 , -3.2023835, -3.205019 ]], dtype=float32) - r_2022_23_age_youth_daily(chain, draw, days_2022_23)float32-3.192 -3.192 ... -3.205 -3.205
array([[[-3.1921656, -3.1921656, -3.1921656, ..., -3.1921656, -3.1921656, -3.1921656], [-3.1885662, -3.1885662, -3.1885662, ..., -3.1885662, -3.1885662, -3.1885662], [-3.1749265, -3.1749265, -3.1749265, ..., -3.1749265, -3.1749265, -3.1749265], ..., [-3.2040431, -3.2040431, -3.2040431, ..., -3.2040431, -3.2040431, -3.2040431], [-3.2097337, -3.2097337, -3.2097337, ..., -3.2097337, -3.2097337, -3.2097337], [-3.1991606, -3.1991606, -3.1991606, ..., -3.1991606, -3.1991606, -3.1991606]], [[-3.1907425, -3.1907425, -3.1907425, ..., -3.1907425, -3.1907425, -3.1907425], [-3.1939626, -3.1939626, -3.1939626, ..., -3.1939626, -3.1939626, -3.1939626], [-3.1886454, -3.1886454, -3.1886454, ..., -3.1886454, -3.1886454, -3.1886454], ... [-3.1801667, -3.1801667, -3.1801667, ..., -3.1801667, -3.1801667, -3.1801667], [-3.1829815, -3.1829815, -3.1829815, ..., -3.1829815, -3.1829815, -3.1829815], [-3.1969905, -3.1969905, -3.1969905, ..., -3.1969905, -3.1969905, -3.1969905]], [[-3.1942437, -3.1942437, -3.1942437, ..., -3.1942437, -3.1942437, -3.1942437], [-3.1962585, -3.1962585, -3.1962585, ..., -3.1962585, -3.1962585, -3.1962585], [-3.192167 , -3.192167 , -3.192167 , ..., -3.192167 , -3.192167 , -3.192167 ], ..., [-3.177706 , -3.177706 , -3.177706 , ..., -3.177706 , -3.177706 , -3.177706 ], [-3.2023835, -3.2023835, -3.2023835, ..., -3.2023835, -3.2023835, -3.2023835], [-3.205019 , -3.205019 , -3.205019 , ..., -3.205019 , -3.205019 , -3.205019 ]]], dtype=float32) - r_2023_24_age_adult(chain, draw)float32-3.092 -3.082 ... -3.098 -3.1
array([[-3.0916054, -3.0821452, -3.0935264, -3.0902605, -3.090389 , -3.0962815, -3.0727973, -3.0812654, -3.0993838, -3.0768585, -3.0890315, -3.0803518, -3.0935237, -3.0921822, -3.0994275, -3.0908499, -3.0877714, -3.0867772, -3.0877767, -3.0904129, -3.095865 , -3.104712 , -3.094696 , -3.10703 , -3.0847366, -3.0888758, -3.0847566, -3.0896363, -3.0871997, -3.1040123, -3.0918412, -3.0707645, -3.099463 , -3.0703144, -3.100728 , -3.087809 , -3.0959954, -3.09105 , -3.0905683, -3.091091 , -3.091091 , -3.0917478, -3.0917478, -3.0917478, -3.0917478, -3.0914645, -3.0926077, -3.092015 , -3.092015 , -3.092015 , -3.0911903, -3.0911903, -3.0911903, -3.0911903, -3.0911903, -3.0916846, -3.0916846, -3.0901394, -3.0901394, -3.0901394, -3.0891798, -3.0891798, -3.0891798, -3.0891798, -3.0891798, -3.0891798, -3.089599 , -3.089599 , -3.0902753, -3.0902753, -3.0907195, -3.0918782, -3.0911748, -3.09125 , -3.0912266, -3.0912266, -3.09176 , -3.09176 , -3.09176 , -3.09176 , -3.092908 , -3.092908 , -3.092908 , -3.0942261, -3.0942261, -3.0944173, -3.0944173, -3.0944173, -3.0944173, -3.0939813, -3.0939813, -3.0939813, -3.0945966, -3.0945966, -3.0945966, -3.0945966, -3.0945966, -3.0945966, -3.0945966, -3.0966253, ... -3.092805 , -3.078171 , -3.0685995, -3.0700881, -3.095042 , -3.0724921, -3.0894482, -3.0700138, -3.0846825, -3.1020746, -3.0728164, -3.1085792, -3.1096747, -3.0692527, -3.096771 , -3.1199641, -3.0659606, -3.084011 , -3.0832648, -3.0941586, -3.0938907, -3.0752563, -3.0916865, -3.073542 , -3.0769835, -3.0953794, -3.0927975, -3.0834858, -3.071022 , -3.0819721, -3.0749178, -3.099669 , -3.084218 , -3.0899613, -3.0775487, -3.082753 , -3.0976899, -3.0818272, -3.1027167, -3.0666354, -3.0932748, -3.0898397, -3.091725 , -3.0858436, -3.0689247, -3.1249156, -3.120624 , -3.0856261, -3.1105127, -3.1117554, -3.085787 , -3.0752873, -3.0947194, -3.111367 , -3.1066353, -3.0856533, -3.0874808, -3.0853794, -3.081865 , -3.0938733, -3.109905 , -3.102686 , -3.0902038, -3.1003323, -3.100855 , -3.0812252, -3.0607247, -3.069091 , -3.061111 , -3.0949273, -3.0785735, -3.1065235, -3.0911183, -3.096208 , -3.1065588, -3.0983286, -3.1024423, -3.0904748, -3.0865417, -3.0764554, -3.099119 , -3.0675313, -3.0735266, -3.0927203, -3.0870504, -3.10004 , -3.0776439, -3.088951 , -3.0913916, -3.076858 , -3.078337 , -3.0920146, -3.093915 , -3.0976734, -3.0999234]], dtype=float32) - r_2023_24_age_adult_daily(chain, draw, days_2023_24)float32-3.092 -3.092 -3.092 ... -3.1 -3.1
array([[[-3.0916054, -3.0916054, -3.0916054, ..., -3.0916054, -3.0916054, -3.0916054], [-3.0821452, -3.0821452, -3.0821452, ..., -3.0821452, -3.0821452, -3.0821452], [-3.0935264, -3.0935264, -3.0935264, ..., -3.0935264, -3.0935264, -3.0935264], ..., [-3.0934196, -3.0934196, -3.0934196, ..., -3.0934196, -3.0934196, -3.0934196], [-3.092012 , -3.092012 , -3.092012 , ..., -3.092012 , -3.092012 , -3.092012 ], [-3.0901859, -3.0901859, -3.0901859, ..., -3.0901859, -3.0901859, -3.0901859]], [[-3.0940433, -3.0940433, -3.0940433, ..., -3.0940433, -3.0940433, -3.0940433], [-3.092792 , -3.092792 , -3.092792 , ..., -3.092792 , -3.092792 , -3.092792 ], [-3.0849488, -3.0849488, -3.0849488, ..., -3.0849488, -3.0849488, -3.0849488], ... [-3.0879805, -3.0879805, -3.0879805, ..., -3.0879805, -3.0879805, -3.0879805], [-3.0792265, -3.0792265, -3.0792265, ..., -3.0792265, -3.0792265, -3.0792265], [-3.0824437, -3.0824437, -3.0824437, ..., -3.0824437, -3.0824437, -3.0824437]], [[-3.0771933, -3.0771933, -3.0771933, ..., -3.0771933, -3.0771933, -3.0771933], [-3.095052 , -3.095052 , -3.095052 , ..., -3.095052 , -3.095052 , -3.095052 ], [-3.075635 , -3.075635 , -3.075635 , ..., -3.075635 , -3.075635 , -3.075635 ], ..., [-3.093915 , -3.093915 , -3.093915 , ..., -3.093915 , -3.093915 , -3.093915 ], [-3.0976734, -3.0976734, -3.0976734, ..., -3.0976734, -3.0976734, -3.0976734], [-3.0999234, -3.0999234, -3.0999234, ..., -3.0999234, -3.0999234, -3.0999234]]], dtype=float32) - r_2023_24_age_elderly(chain, draw)float32-3.092 -3.082 ... -3.098 -3.1
array([[-3.0916054, -3.0821452, -3.0935264, -3.0902605, -3.090389 , -3.0962815, -3.0727973, -3.0812654, -3.0993838, -3.0768585, -3.0890315, -3.0803518, -3.0935237, -3.0921822, -3.0994275, -3.0908499, -3.0877714, -3.0867772, -3.0877767, -3.0904129, -3.095865 , -3.104712 , -3.094696 , -3.10703 , -3.0847366, -3.0888758, -3.0847566, -3.0896363, -3.0871997, -3.1040123, -3.0918412, -3.0707645, -3.099463 , -3.0703144, -3.100728 , -3.087809 , -3.0959954, -3.09105 , -3.0905683, -3.091091 , -3.091091 , -3.0917478, -3.0917478, -3.0917478, -3.0917478, -3.0914645, -3.0926077, -3.092015 , -3.092015 , -3.092015 , -3.0911903, -3.0911903, -3.0911903, -3.0911903, -3.0911903, -3.0916846, -3.0916846, -3.0901394, -3.0901394, -3.0901394, -3.0891798, -3.0891798, -3.0891798, -3.0891798, -3.0891798, -3.0891798, -3.089599 , -3.089599 , -3.0902753, -3.0902753, -3.0907195, -3.0918782, -3.0911748, -3.09125 , -3.0912266, -3.0912266, -3.09176 , -3.09176 , -3.09176 , -3.09176 , -3.092908 , -3.092908 , -3.092908 , -3.0942261, -3.0942261, -3.0944173, -3.0944173, -3.0944173, -3.0944173, -3.0939813, -3.0939813, -3.0939813, -3.0945966, -3.0945966, -3.0945966, -3.0945966, -3.0945966, -3.0945966, -3.0945966, -3.0966253, ... -3.092805 , -3.078171 , -3.0685995, -3.0700881, -3.095042 , -3.0724921, -3.0894482, -3.0700138, -3.0846825, -3.1020746, -3.0728164, -3.1085792, -3.1096747, -3.0692527, -3.096771 , -3.1199641, -3.0659606, -3.084011 , -3.0832648, -3.0941586, -3.0938907, -3.0752563, -3.0916865, -3.073542 , -3.0769835, -3.0953794, -3.0927975, -3.0834858, -3.071022 , -3.0819721, -3.0749178, -3.099669 , -3.084218 , -3.0899613, -3.0775487, -3.082753 , -3.0976899, -3.0818272, -3.1027167, -3.0666354, -3.0932748, -3.0898397, -3.091725 , -3.0858436, -3.0689247, -3.1249156, -3.120624 , -3.0856261, -3.1105127, -3.1117554, -3.085787 , -3.0752873, -3.0947194, -3.111367 , -3.1066353, -3.0856533, -3.0874808, -3.0853794, -3.081865 , -3.0938733, -3.109905 , -3.102686 , -3.0902038, -3.1003323, -3.100855 , -3.0812252, -3.0607247, -3.069091 , -3.061111 , -3.0949273, -3.0785735, -3.1065235, -3.0911183, -3.096208 , -3.1065588, -3.0983286, -3.1024423, -3.0904748, -3.0865417, -3.0764554, -3.099119 , -3.0675313, -3.0735266, -3.0927203, -3.0870504, -3.10004 , -3.0776439, -3.088951 , -3.0913916, -3.076858 , -3.078337 , -3.0920146, -3.093915 , -3.0976734, -3.0999234]], dtype=float32) - r_2023_24_age_elderly_daily(chain, draw, days_2023_24)float32-3.092 -3.092 -3.092 ... -3.1 -3.1
array([[[-3.0916054, -3.0916054, -3.0916054, ..., -3.0916054, -3.0916054, -3.0916054], [-3.0821452, -3.0821452, -3.0821452, ..., -3.0821452, -3.0821452, -3.0821452], [-3.0935264, -3.0935264, -3.0935264, ..., -3.0935264, -3.0935264, -3.0935264], ..., [-3.0934196, -3.0934196, -3.0934196, ..., -3.0934196, -3.0934196, -3.0934196], [-3.092012 , -3.092012 , -3.092012 , ..., -3.092012 , -3.092012 , -3.092012 ], [-3.0901859, -3.0901859, -3.0901859, ..., -3.0901859, -3.0901859, -3.0901859]], [[-3.0940433, -3.0940433, -3.0940433, ..., -3.0940433, -3.0940433, -3.0940433], [-3.092792 , -3.092792 , -3.092792 , ..., -3.092792 , -3.092792 , -3.092792 ], [-3.0849488, -3.0849488, -3.0849488, ..., -3.0849488, -3.0849488, -3.0849488], ... [-3.0879805, -3.0879805, -3.0879805, ..., -3.0879805, -3.0879805, -3.0879805], [-3.0792265, -3.0792265, -3.0792265, ..., -3.0792265, -3.0792265, -3.0792265], [-3.0824437, -3.0824437, -3.0824437, ..., -3.0824437, -3.0824437, -3.0824437]], [[-3.0771933, -3.0771933, -3.0771933, ..., -3.0771933, -3.0771933, -3.0771933], [-3.095052 , -3.095052 , -3.095052 , ..., -3.095052 , -3.095052 , -3.095052 ], [-3.075635 , -3.075635 , -3.075635 , ..., -3.075635 , -3.075635 , -3.075635 ], ..., [-3.093915 , -3.093915 , -3.093915 , ..., -3.093915 , -3.093915 , -3.093915 ], [-3.0976734, -3.0976734, -3.0976734, ..., -3.0976734, -3.0976734, -3.0976734], [-3.0999234, -3.0999234, -3.0999234, ..., -3.0999234, -3.0999234, -3.0999234]]], dtype=float32) - r_2023_24_age_youth(chain, draw)float32-3.092 -3.082 ... -3.098 -3.1
array([[-3.0916054, -3.0821452, -3.0935264, -3.0902605, -3.090389 , -3.0962815, -3.0727973, -3.0812654, -3.0993838, -3.0768585, -3.0890315, -3.0803518, -3.0935237, -3.0921822, -3.0994275, -3.0908499, -3.0877714, -3.0867772, -3.0877767, -3.0904129, -3.095865 , -3.104712 , -3.094696 , -3.10703 , -3.0847366, -3.0888758, -3.0847566, -3.0896363, -3.0871997, -3.1040123, -3.0918412, -3.0707645, -3.099463 , -3.0703144, -3.100728 , -3.087809 , -3.0959954, -3.09105 , -3.0905683, -3.091091 , -3.091091 , -3.0917478, -3.0917478, -3.0917478, -3.0917478, -3.0914645, -3.0926077, -3.092015 , -3.092015 , -3.092015 , -3.0911903, -3.0911903, -3.0911903, -3.0911903, -3.0911903, -3.0916846, -3.0916846, -3.0901394, -3.0901394, -3.0901394, -3.0891798, -3.0891798, -3.0891798, -3.0891798, -3.0891798, -3.0891798, -3.089599 , -3.089599 , -3.0902753, -3.0902753, -3.0907195, -3.0918782, -3.0911748, -3.09125 , -3.0912266, -3.0912266, -3.09176 , -3.09176 , -3.09176 , -3.09176 , -3.092908 , -3.092908 , -3.092908 , -3.0942261, -3.0942261, -3.0944173, -3.0944173, -3.0944173, -3.0944173, -3.0939813, -3.0939813, -3.0939813, -3.0945966, -3.0945966, -3.0945966, -3.0945966, -3.0945966, -3.0945966, -3.0945966, -3.0966253, ... -3.092805 , -3.078171 , -3.0685995, -3.0700881, -3.095042 , -3.0724921, -3.0894482, -3.0700138, -3.0846825, -3.1020746, -3.0728164, -3.1085792, -3.1096747, -3.0692527, -3.096771 , -3.1199641, -3.0659606, -3.084011 , -3.0832648, -3.0941586, -3.0938907, -3.0752563, -3.0916865, -3.073542 , -3.0769835, -3.0953794, -3.0927975, -3.0834858, -3.071022 , -3.0819721, -3.0749178, -3.099669 , -3.084218 , -3.0899613, -3.0775487, -3.082753 , -3.0976899, -3.0818272, -3.1027167, -3.0666354, -3.0932748, -3.0898397, -3.091725 , -3.0858436, -3.0689247, -3.1249156, -3.120624 , -3.0856261, -3.1105127, -3.1117554, -3.085787 , -3.0752873, -3.0947194, -3.111367 , -3.1066353, -3.0856533, -3.0874808, -3.0853794, -3.081865 , -3.0938733, -3.109905 , -3.102686 , -3.0902038, -3.1003323, -3.100855 , -3.0812252, -3.0607247, -3.069091 , -3.061111 , -3.0949273, -3.0785735, -3.1065235, -3.0911183, -3.096208 , -3.1065588, -3.0983286, -3.1024423, -3.0904748, -3.0865417, -3.0764554, -3.099119 , -3.0675313, -3.0735266, -3.0927203, -3.0870504, -3.10004 , -3.0776439, -3.088951 , -3.0913916, -3.076858 , -3.078337 , -3.0920146, -3.093915 , -3.0976734, -3.0999234]], dtype=float32) - r_2023_24_age_youth_daily(chain, draw, days_2023_24)float32-3.092 -3.092 -3.092 ... -3.1 -3.1
array([[[-3.0916054, -3.0916054, -3.0916054, ..., -3.0916054, -3.0916054, -3.0916054], [-3.0821452, -3.0821452, -3.0821452, ..., -3.0821452, -3.0821452, -3.0821452], [-3.0935264, -3.0935264, -3.0935264, ..., -3.0935264, -3.0935264, -3.0935264], ..., [-3.0934196, -3.0934196, -3.0934196, ..., -3.0934196, -3.0934196, -3.0934196], [-3.092012 , -3.092012 , -3.092012 , ..., -3.092012 , -3.092012 , -3.092012 ], [-3.0901859, -3.0901859, -3.0901859, ..., -3.0901859, -3.0901859, -3.0901859]], [[-3.0940433, -3.0940433, -3.0940433, ..., -3.0940433, -3.0940433, -3.0940433], [-3.092792 , -3.092792 , -3.092792 , ..., -3.092792 , -3.092792 , -3.092792 ], [-3.0849488, -3.0849488, -3.0849488, ..., -3.0849488, -3.0849488, -3.0849488], ... [-3.0879805, -3.0879805, -3.0879805, ..., -3.0879805, -3.0879805, -3.0879805], [-3.0792265, -3.0792265, -3.0792265, ..., -3.0792265, -3.0792265, -3.0792265], [-3.0824437, -3.0824437, -3.0824437, ..., -3.0824437, -3.0824437, -3.0824437]], [[-3.0771933, -3.0771933, -3.0771933, ..., -3.0771933, -3.0771933, -3.0771933], [-3.095052 , -3.095052 , -3.095052 , ..., -3.095052 , -3.095052 , -3.095052 ], [-3.075635 , -3.075635 , -3.075635 , ..., -3.075635 , -3.075635 , -3.075635 ], ..., [-3.093915 , -3.093915 , -3.093915 , ..., -3.093915 , -3.093915 , -3.093915 ], [-3.0976734, -3.0976734, -3.0976734, ..., -3.0976734, -3.0976734, -3.0976734], [-3.0999234, -3.0999234, -3.0999234, ..., -3.0999234, -3.0999234, -3.0999234]]], dtype=float32) - r_2024_25_age_adult(chain, draw)float32-3.278 -3.287 ... -3.305 -3.306
array([[-3.2775383, -3.2872903, -3.2866626, -3.3059688, -3.2979965, -3.2960646, -3.2995164, -3.307466 , -3.2949686, -3.3035665, -3.2935665, -3.2949364, -3.3202438, -3.2886715, -3.2937024, -3.291106 , -3.288384 , -3.278509 , -3.2979875, -3.2980635, -3.2967632, -3.307531 , -3.312833 , -3.2834244, -3.296844 , -3.319795 , -3.2864244, -3.289083 , -3.306744 , -3.3142962, -3.3104262, -3.2873158, -3.2995524, -3.2871015, -3.3051867, -3.301985 , -3.2870913, -3.2996092, -3.298334 , -3.2990248, -3.2990248, -3.299893 , -3.299893 , -3.299893 , -3.299893 , -3.3006022, -3.3020544, -3.3012285, -3.3012285, -3.3012285, -3.2998738, -3.2998738, -3.2998738, -3.2998738, -3.2998738, -3.3000703, -3.3000703, -3.3016067, -3.3016067, -3.3016067, -3.2995775, -3.2995775, -3.2995775, -3.2995775, -3.2995775, -3.2995775, -3.2995586, -3.2995586, -3.2976315, -3.2976315, -3.295994 , -3.2954104, -3.2957952, -3.296211 , -3.2972703, -3.2972703, -3.2983873, -3.2983873, -3.2983873, -3.2983873, -3.299194 , -3.299194 , -3.299194 , -3.3000424, -3.3000424, -3.3003347, -3.3003347, -3.3003347, -3.3003347, -3.2999463, -3.2999463, -3.2999463, -3.2985203, -3.2985203, -3.2985203, -3.2985203, -3.2985203, -3.2985203, -3.2985203, -3.2985582, ... -3.3278472, -3.2967107, -3.3077595, -3.3173368, -3.2856565, -3.3171983, -3.2914236, -3.3130295, -3.278537 , -3.3125448, -3.2912462, -3.3182557, -3.3164618, -3.2969086, -3.3108828, -3.3133621, -3.3099623, -3.289697 , -3.2904694, -3.310994 , -3.304258 , -3.2907982, -3.3096097, -3.2839985, -3.2801292, -3.2821329, -3.3111026, -3.3195496, -3.3087826, -3.3081613, -3.2964027, -3.3126805, -3.308788 , -3.3009999, -3.307084 , -3.2866402, -3.2907033, -3.3115432, -3.3069098, -3.3035128, -3.3040926, -3.282479 , -3.3161635, -3.3260708, -3.3183284, -3.304888 , -3.309897 , -3.2969422, -3.2857404, -3.2776766, -3.3295105, -3.3232281, -3.2935483, -3.3234315, -3.3232317, -3.3090086, -3.289028 , -3.291174 , -3.2915783, -3.31093 , -3.2914202, -3.2902043, -3.3024514, -3.3074613, -3.3024094, -3.2672698, -3.2848756, -3.307383 , -3.3078105, -3.2980604, -3.291425 , -3.3036385, -3.2834218, -3.3041177, -3.3230562, -3.3152196, -3.3174646, -3.3101244, -3.2868688, -3.3007183, -3.2922056, -3.3008475, -3.3158057, -3.2930236, -3.2967927, -3.3002796, -3.3308754, -3.3015022, -3.2947586, -3.3123534, -3.3047924, -3.3025658, -3.304794 , -3.3047128, -3.3058085]], dtype=float32) - r_2024_25_age_adult_daily(chain, draw, days_2024_25)float32-3.278 -3.278 ... -3.306 -3.306
array([[[-3.2775383, -3.2775383, -3.2775383, ..., -3.2775383, -3.2775383, -3.2775383], [-3.2872903, -3.2872903, -3.2872903, ..., -3.2872903, -3.2872903, -3.2872903], [-3.2866626, -3.2866626, -3.2866626, ..., -3.2866626, -3.2866626, -3.2866626], ..., [-3.3107615, -3.3107615, -3.3107615, ..., -3.3107615, -3.3107615, -3.3107615], [-3.3153791, -3.3153791, -3.3153791, ..., -3.3153791, -3.3153791, -3.3153791], [-3.3141606, -3.3141606, -3.3141606, ..., -3.3141606, -3.3141606, -3.3141606]], [[-3.303792 , -3.303792 , -3.303792 , ..., -3.303792 , -3.303792 , -3.303792 ], [-3.3046143, -3.3046143, -3.3046143, ..., -3.3046143, -3.3046143, -3.3046143], [-3.2856984, -3.2856984, -3.2856984, ..., -3.2856984, -3.2856984, -3.2856984], ... [-3.323565 , -3.323565 , -3.323565 , ..., -3.323565 , -3.323565 , -3.323565 ], [-3.3262198, -3.3262198, -3.3262198, ..., -3.3262198, -3.3262198, -3.3262198], [-3.3033402, -3.3033402, -3.3033402, ..., -3.3033402, -3.3033402, -3.3033402]], [[-3.268778 , -3.268778 , -3.268778 , ..., -3.268778 , -3.268778 , -3.268778 ], [-3.3388143, -3.3388143, -3.3388143, ..., -3.3388143, -3.3388143, -3.3388143], [-3.287022 , -3.287022 , -3.287022 , ..., -3.287022 , -3.287022 , -3.287022 ], ..., [-3.304794 , -3.304794 , -3.304794 , ..., -3.304794 , -3.304794 , -3.304794 ], [-3.3047128, -3.3047128, -3.3047128, ..., -3.3047128, -3.3047128, -3.3047128], [-3.3058085, -3.3058085, -3.3058085, ..., -3.3058085, -3.3058085, -3.3058085]]], dtype=float32) - r_2024_25_age_elderly(chain, draw)float32-3.278 -3.287 ... -3.305 -3.306
array([[-3.2775383, -3.2872903, -3.2866626, -3.3059688, -3.2979965, -3.2960646, -3.2995164, -3.307466 , -3.2949686, -3.3035665, -3.2935665, -3.2949364, -3.3202438, -3.2886715, -3.2937024, -3.291106 , -3.288384 , -3.278509 , -3.2979875, -3.2980635, -3.2967632, -3.307531 , -3.312833 , -3.2834244, -3.296844 , -3.319795 , -3.2864244, -3.289083 , -3.306744 , -3.3142962, -3.3104262, -3.2873158, -3.2995524, -3.2871015, -3.3051867, -3.301985 , -3.2870913, -3.2996092, -3.298334 , -3.2990248, -3.2990248, -3.299893 , -3.299893 , -3.299893 , -3.299893 , -3.3006022, -3.3020544, -3.3012285, -3.3012285, -3.3012285, -3.2998738, -3.2998738, -3.2998738, -3.2998738, -3.2998738, -3.3000703, -3.3000703, -3.3016067, -3.3016067, -3.3016067, -3.2995775, -3.2995775, -3.2995775, -3.2995775, -3.2995775, -3.2995775, -3.2995586, -3.2995586, -3.2976315, -3.2976315, -3.295994 , -3.2954104, -3.2957952, -3.296211 , -3.2972703, -3.2972703, -3.2983873, -3.2983873, -3.2983873, -3.2983873, -3.299194 , -3.299194 , -3.299194 , -3.3000424, -3.3000424, -3.3003347, -3.3003347, -3.3003347, -3.3003347, -3.2999463, -3.2999463, -3.2999463, -3.2985203, -3.2985203, -3.2985203, -3.2985203, -3.2985203, -3.2985203, -3.2985203, -3.2985582, ... -3.3278472, -3.2967107, -3.3077595, -3.3173368, -3.2856565, -3.3171983, -3.2914236, -3.3130295, -3.278537 , -3.3125448, -3.2912462, -3.3182557, -3.3164618, -3.2969086, -3.3108828, -3.3133621, -3.3099623, -3.289697 , -3.2904694, -3.310994 , -3.304258 , -3.2907982, -3.3096097, -3.2839985, -3.2801292, -3.2821329, -3.3111026, -3.3195496, -3.3087826, -3.3081613, -3.2964027, -3.3126805, -3.308788 , -3.3009999, -3.307084 , -3.2866402, -3.2907033, -3.3115432, -3.3069098, -3.3035128, -3.3040926, -3.282479 , -3.3161635, -3.3260708, -3.3183284, -3.304888 , -3.309897 , -3.2969422, -3.2857404, -3.2776766, -3.3295105, -3.3232281, -3.2935483, -3.3234315, -3.3232317, -3.3090086, -3.289028 , -3.291174 , -3.2915783, -3.31093 , -3.2914202, -3.2902043, -3.3024514, -3.3074613, -3.3024094, -3.2672698, -3.2848756, -3.307383 , -3.3078105, -3.2980604, -3.291425 , -3.3036385, -3.2834218, -3.3041177, -3.3230562, -3.3152196, -3.3174646, -3.3101244, -3.2868688, -3.3007183, -3.2922056, -3.3008475, -3.3158057, -3.2930236, -3.2967927, -3.3002796, -3.3308754, -3.3015022, -3.2947586, -3.3123534, -3.3047924, -3.3025658, -3.304794 , -3.3047128, -3.3058085]], dtype=float32) - r_2024_25_age_elderly_daily(chain, draw, days_2024_25)float32-3.278 -3.278 ... -3.306 -3.306
array([[[-3.2775383, -3.2775383, -3.2775383, ..., -3.2775383, -3.2775383, -3.2775383], [-3.2872903, -3.2872903, -3.2872903, ..., -3.2872903, -3.2872903, -3.2872903], [-3.2866626, -3.2866626, -3.2866626, ..., -3.2866626, -3.2866626, -3.2866626], ..., [-3.3107615, -3.3107615, -3.3107615, ..., -3.3107615, -3.3107615, -3.3107615], [-3.3153791, -3.3153791, -3.3153791, ..., -3.3153791, -3.3153791, -3.3153791], [-3.3141606, -3.3141606, -3.3141606, ..., -3.3141606, -3.3141606, -3.3141606]], [[-3.303792 , -3.303792 , -3.303792 , ..., -3.303792 , -3.303792 , -3.303792 ], [-3.3046143, -3.3046143, -3.3046143, ..., -3.3046143, -3.3046143, -3.3046143], [-3.2856984, -3.2856984, -3.2856984, ..., -3.2856984, -3.2856984, -3.2856984], ... [-3.323565 , -3.323565 , -3.323565 , ..., -3.323565 , -3.323565 , -3.323565 ], [-3.3262198, -3.3262198, -3.3262198, ..., -3.3262198, -3.3262198, -3.3262198], [-3.3033402, -3.3033402, -3.3033402, ..., -3.3033402, -3.3033402, -3.3033402]], [[-3.268778 , -3.268778 , -3.268778 , ..., -3.268778 , -3.268778 , -3.268778 ], [-3.3388143, -3.3388143, -3.3388143, ..., -3.3388143, -3.3388143, -3.3388143], [-3.287022 , -3.287022 , -3.287022 , ..., -3.287022 , -3.287022 , -3.287022 ], ..., [-3.304794 , -3.304794 , -3.304794 , ..., -3.304794 , -3.304794 , -3.304794 ], [-3.3047128, -3.3047128, -3.3047128, ..., -3.3047128, -3.3047128, -3.3047128], [-3.3058085, -3.3058085, -3.3058085, ..., -3.3058085, -3.3058085, -3.3058085]]], dtype=float32) - r_2024_25_age_youth(chain, draw)float32-3.278 -3.287 ... -3.305 -3.306
array([[-3.2775383, -3.2872903, -3.2866626, -3.3059688, -3.2979965, -3.2960646, -3.2995164, -3.307466 , -3.2949686, -3.3035665, -3.2935665, -3.2949364, -3.3202438, -3.2886715, -3.2937024, -3.291106 , -3.288384 , -3.278509 , -3.2979875, -3.2980635, -3.2967632, -3.307531 , -3.312833 , -3.2834244, -3.296844 , -3.319795 , -3.2864244, -3.289083 , -3.306744 , -3.3142962, -3.3104262, -3.2873158, -3.2995524, -3.2871015, -3.3051867, -3.301985 , -3.2870913, -3.2996092, -3.298334 , -3.2990248, -3.2990248, -3.299893 , -3.299893 , -3.299893 , -3.299893 , -3.3006022, -3.3020544, -3.3012285, -3.3012285, -3.3012285, -3.2998738, -3.2998738, -3.2998738, -3.2998738, -3.2998738, -3.3000703, -3.3000703, -3.3016067, -3.3016067, -3.3016067, -3.2995775, -3.2995775, -3.2995775, -3.2995775, -3.2995775, -3.2995775, -3.2995586, -3.2995586, -3.2976315, -3.2976315, -3.295994 , -3.2954104, -3.2957952, -3.296211 , -3.2972703, -3.2972703, -3.2983873, -3.2983873, -3.2983873, -3.2983873, -3.299194 , -3.299194 , -3.299194 , -3.3000424, -3.3000424, -3.3003347, -3.3003347, -3.3003347, -3.3003347, -3.2999463, -3.2999463, -3.2999463, -3.2985203, -3.2985203, -3.2985203, -3.2985203, -3.2985203, -3.2985203, -3.2985203, -3.2985582, ... -3.3278472, -3.2967107, -3.3077595, -3.3173368, -3.2856565, -3.3171983, -3.2914236, -3.3130295, -3.278537 , -3.3125448, -3.2912462, -3.3182557, -3.3164618, -3.2969086, -3.3108828, -3.3133621, -3.3099623, -3.289697 , -3.2904694, -3.310994 , -3.304258 , -3.2907982, -3.3096097, -3.2839985, -3.2801292, -3.2821329, -3.3111026, -3.3195496, -3.3087826, -3.3081613, -3.2964027, -3.3126805, -3.308788 , -3.3009999, -3.307084 , -3.2866402, -3.2907033, -3.3115432, -3.3069098, -3.3035128, -3.3040926, -3.282479 , -3.3161635, -3.3260708, -3.3183284, -3.304888 , -3.309897 , -3.2969422, -3.2857404, -3.2776766, -3.3295105, -3.3232281, -3.2935483, -3.3234315, -3.3232317, -3.3090086, -3.289028 , -3.291174 , -3.2915783, -3.31093 , -3.2914202, -3.2902043, -3.3024514, -3.3074613, -3.3024094, -3.2672698, -3.2848756, -3.307383 , -3.3078105, -3.2980604, -3.291425 , -3.3036385, -3.2834218, -3.3041177, -3.3230562, -3.3152196, -3.3174646, -3.3101244, -3.2868688, -3.3007183, -3.2922056, -3.3008475, -3.3158057, -3.2930236, -3.2967927, -3.3002796, -3.3308754, -3.3015022, -3.2947586, -3.3123534, -3.3047924, -3.3025658, -3.304794 , -3.3047128, -3.3058085]], dtype=float32) - r_2024_25_age_youth_daily(chain, draw, days_2024_25)float32-3.278 -3.278 ... -3.306 -3.306
array([[[-3.2775383, -3.2775383, -3.2775383, ..., -3.2775383, -3.2775383, -3.2775383], [-3.2872903, -3.2872903, -3.2872903, ..., -3.2872903, -3.2872903, -3.2872903], [-3.2866626, -3.2866626, -3.2866626, ..., -3.2866626, -3.2866626, -3.2866626], ..., [-3.3107615, -3.3107615, -3.3107615, ..., -3.3107615, -3.3107615, -3.3107615], [-3.3153791, -3.3153791, -3.3153791, ..., -3.3153791, -3.3153791, -3.3153791], [-3.3141606, -3.3141606, -3.3141606, ..., -3.3141606, -3.3141606, -3.3141606]], [[-3.303792 , -3.303792 , -3.303792 , ..., -3.303792 , -3.303792 , -3.303792 ], [-3.3046143, -3.3046143, -3.3046143, ..., -3.3046143, -3.3046143, -3.3046143], [-3.2856984, -3.2856984, -3.2856984, ..., -3.2856984, -3.2856984, -3.2856984], ... [-3.323565 , -3.323565 , -3.323565 , ..., -3.323565 , -3.323565 , -3.323565 ], [-3.3262198, -3.3262198, -3.3262198, ..., -3.3262198, -3.3262198, -3.3262198], [-3.3033402, -3.3033402, -3.3033402, ..., -3.3033402, -3.3033402, -3.3033402]], [[-3.268778 , -3.268778 , -3.268778 , ..., -3.268778 , -3.268778 , -3.268778 ], [-3.3388143, -3.3388143, -3.3388143, ..., -3.3388143, -3.3388143, -3.3388143], [-3.287022 , -3.287022 , -3.287022 , ..., -3.287022 , -3.287022 , -3.287022 ], ..., [-3.304794 , -3.304794 , -3.304794 , ..., -3.304794 , -3.304794 , -3.304794 ], [-3.3047128, -3.3047128, -3.3047128, ..., -3.3047128, -3.3047128, -3.3047128], [-3.3058085, -3.3058085, -3.3058085, ..., -3.3058085, -3.3058085, -3.3058085]]], dtype=float32) - s_2022_23_age_adult(chain, draw)float3239.81 40.2 39.9 ... 39.92 39.83
array([[39.805546, 40.202858, 39.895542, 40.031776, 39.6489 , 40.341618, 39.625412, 40.249054, 39.51706 , 40.439342, 40.01976 , 40.144352, 39.730274, 39.938118, 39.86447 , 39.603687, 39.535675, 39.369328, 39.890957, 39.973804, 39.915184, 40.05497 , 40.170063, 39.42937 , 39.29383 , 39.90594 , 39.546463, 39.526947, 39.379406, 39.52159 , 39.841877, 39.74723 , 40.218613, 39.189987, 40.335068, 39.7331 , 39.336758, 39.628395, 39.65342 , 39.66683 , 39.66683 , 39.658768, 39.658768, 39.658768, 39.658768, 39.688915, 39.713768, 39.75145 , 39.75145 , 39.75145 , 39.73952 , 39.73952 , 39.73952 , 39.73952 , 39.73952 , 39.731575, 39.731575, 39.693684, 39.693684, 39.693684, 39.672596, 39.672596, 39.672596, 39.672596, 39.672596, 39.672596, 39.68213 , 39.68213 , 39.649513, 39.649513, 39.614864, 39.59656 , 39.597466, 39.569378, 39.555794, 39.555794, 39.57634 , 39.57634 , 39.57634 , 39.57634 , 39.57688 , 39.57688 , 39.57688 , 39.56575 , 39.56575 , 39.549923, 39.549923, 39.549923, 39.549923, 39.524353, 39.524353, 39.524353, 39.503185, 39.503185, 39.503185, 39.503185, 39.503185, 39.503185, 39.503185, 39.506897, 39.506897, 39.506897, 39.506897, 39.506897, 39.529408, 39.529408, 39.529408, 39.503353, 39.528805, 39.528805, 39.545338, 39.51887 , 39.54061 , 39.481266, 40.53615 , 40.642952, 40.055008, 39.944492, 40.172916, 40.0521 , ... 40.523315, 40.346176, 39.931393, 39.67907 , 40.20266 , 40.322945, 39.908123, 40.010998, 39.78311 , 40.198074, 40.12277 , 39.794212, 39.91797 , 39.740124, 40.56364 , 39.35724 , 39.64879 , 40.553093, 39.514 , 40.55593 , 40.089417, 40.18685 , 39.817978, 39.555786, 40.38376 , 40.21706 , 39.82275 , 40.179615, 39.77329 , 40.33927 , 40.42664 , 39.81003 , 40.197533, 40.020138, 40.184505, 39.967655, 40.092236, 39.417484, 39.52042 , 40.478477, 40.094112, 40.36621 , 39.663452, 39.60496 , 40.569267, 39.755554, 39.825516, 39.856293, 40.23715 , 40.511726, 39.81599 , 39.7199 , 39.63695 , 39.769367, 40.060017, 40.19614 , 40.097496, 39.8059 , 39.81422 , 40.203648, 39.93226 , 40.355278, 39.38571 , 40.570934, 39.40612 , 40.058533, 40.005943, 40.301586, 39.697292, 39.84412 , 39.669598, 40.565025, 40.68828 , 39.81037 , 40.00997 , 39.863842, 40.472324, 39.896477, 39.405228, 40.234634, 39.50035 , 40.184982, 39.88012 , 40.055805, 40.48995 , 40.422646, 40.305016, 40.148037, 39.791862, 40.00393 , 39.72356 , 39.764656, 40.133118, 39.49265 , 40.351036, 40.01244 , 40.446365, 39.668987, 40.107113, 40.38336 , 39.948112, 40.01014 , 40.05046 , 39.74578 , 40.125633, 39.65385 , 40.375668, 40.337597, 39.80121 , 40.14743 , 40.243874, 39.937016, 40.499153, 40.398422, 39.463562, 40.078964, 39.921 , 39.832256]], dtype=float32) - s_2022_23_age_adult_daily(chain, draw, days_2022_23)float3239.81 39.81 39.81 ... 39.83 39.83
array([[[39.805546, 39.805546, 39.805546, ..., 39.805546, 39.805546, 39.805546], [40.202858, 40.202858, 40.202858, ..., 40.202858, 40.202858, 40.202858], [39.895542, 39.895542, 39.895542, ..., 39.895542, 39.895542, 39.895542], ..., [39.94468 , 39.94468 , 39.94468 , ..., 39.94468 , 39.94468 , 39.94468 ], [39.964466, 39.964466, 39.964466, ..., 39.964466, 39.964466, 39.964466], [40.107815, 40.107815, 40.107815, ..., 40.107815, 40.107815, 40.107815]], [[39.68019 , 39.68019 , 39.68019 , ..., 39.68019 , 39.68019 , 39.68019 ], [39.28548 , 39.28548 , 39.28548 , ..., 39.28548 , 39.28548 , 39.28548 ], [40.511932, 40.511932, 40.511932, ..., 40.511932, 40.511932, 40.511932], ... [40.66157 , 40.66157 , 40.66157 , ..., 40.66157 , 40.66157 , 40.66157 ], [39.975204, 39.975204, 39.975204, ..., 39.975204, 39.975204, 39.975204], [40.146324, 40.146324, 40.146324, ..., 40.146324, 40.146324, 40.146324]], [[40.161083, 40.161083, 40.161083, ..., 40.161083, 40.161083, 40.161083], [39.8784 , 39.8784 , 39.8784 , ..., 39.8784 , 39.8784 , 39.8784 ], [39.639874, 39.639874, 39.639874, ..., 39.639874, 39.639874, 39.639874], ..., [40.078964, 40.078964, 40.078964, ..., 40.078964, 40.078964, 40.078964], [39.921 , 39.921 , 39.921 , ..., 39.921 , 39.921 , 39.921 ], [39.832256, 39.832256, 39.832256, ..., 39.832256, 39.832256, 39.832256]]], dtype=float32) - s_2022_23_age_elderly(chain, draw)float3239.81 40.2 39.9 ... 39.92 39.83
array([[39.805546, 40.202858, 39.895542, 40.031776, 39.6489 , 40.341618, 39.625412, 40.249054, 39.51706 , 40.439342, 40.01976 , 40.144352, 39.730274, 39.938118, 39.86447 , 39.603687, 39.535675, 39.369328, 39.890957, 39.973804, 39.915184, 40.05497 , 40.170063, 39.42937 , 39.29383 , 39.90594 , 39.546463, 39.526947, 39.379406, 39.52159 , 39.841877, 39.74723 , 40.218613, 39.189987, 40.335068, 39.7331 , 39.336758, 39.628395, 39.65342 , 39.66683 , 39.66683 , 39.658768, 39.658768, 39.658768, 39.658768, 39.688915, 39.713768, 39.75145 , 39.75145 , 39.75145 , 39.73952 , 39.73952 , 39.73952 , 39.73952 , 39.73952 , 39.731575, 39.731575, 39.693684, 39.693684, 39.693684, 39.672596, 39.672596, 39.672596, 39.672596, 39.672596, 39.672596, 39.68213 , 39.68213 , 39.649513, 39.649513, 39.614864, 39.59656 , 39.597466, 39.569378, 39.555794, 39.555794, 39.57634 , 39.57634 , 39.57634 , 39.57634 , 39.57688 , 39.57688 , 39.57688 , 39.56575 , 39.56575 , 39.549923, 39.549923, 39.549923, 39.549923, 39.524353, 39.524353, 39.524353, 39.503185, 39.503185, 39.503185, 39.503185, 39.503185, 39.503185, 39.503185, 39.506897, 39.506897, 39.506897, 39.506897, 39.506897, 39.529408, 39.529408, 39.529408, 39.503353, 39.528805, 39.528805, 39.545338, 39.51887 , 39.54061 , 39.481266, 40.53615 , 40.642952, 40.055008, 39.944492, 40.172916, 40.0521 , ... 40.523315, 40.346176, 39.931393, 39.67907 , 40.20266 , 40.322945, 39.908123, 40.010998, 39.78311 , 40.198074, 40.12277 , 39.794212, 39.91797 , 39.740124, 40.56364 , 39.35724 , 39.64879 , 40.553093, 39.514 , 40.55593 , 40.089417, 40.18685 , 39.817978, 39.555786, 40.38376 , 40.21706 , 39.82275 , 40.179615, 39.77329 , 40.33927 , 40.42664 , 39.81003 , 40.197533, 40.020138, 40.184505, 39.967655, 40.092236, 39.417484, 39.52042 , 40.478477, 40.094112, 40.36621 , 39.663452, 39.60496 , 40.569267, 39.755554, 39.825516, 39.856293, 40.23715 , 40.511726, 39.81599 , 39.7199 , 39.63695 , 39.769367, 40.060017, 40.19614 , 40.097496, 39.8059 , 39.81422 , 40.203648, 39.93226 , 40.355278, 39.38571 , 40.570934, 39.40612 , 40.058533, 40.005943, 40.301586, 39.697292, 39.84412 , 39.669598, 40.565025, 40.68828 , 39.81037 , 40.00997 , 39.863842, 40.472324, 39.896477, 39.405228, 40.234634, 39.50035 , 40.184982, 39.88012 , 40.055805, 40.48995 , 40.422646, 40.305016, 40.148037, 39.791862, 40.00393 , 39.72356 , 39.764656, 40.133118, 39.49265 , 40.351036, 40.01244 , 40.446365, 39.668987, 40.107113, 40.38336 , 39.948112, 40.01014 , 40.05046 , 39.74578 , 40.125633, 39.65385 , 40.375668, 40.337597, 39.80121 , 40.14743 , 40.243874, 39.937016, 40.499153, 40.398422, 39.463562, 40.078964, 39.921 , 39.832256]], dtype=float32) - s_2022_23_age_elderly_daily(chain, draw, days_2022_23)float3239.81 39.81 39.81 ... 39.83 39.83
array([[[39.805546, 39.805546, 39.805546, ..., 39.805546, 39.805546, 39.805546], [40.202858, 40.202858, 40.202858, ..., 40.202858, 40.202858, 40.202858], [39.895542, 39.895542, 39.895542, ..., 39.895542, 39.895542, 39.895542], ..., [39.94468 , 39.94468 , 39.94468 , ..., 39.94468 , 39.94468 , 39.94468 ], [39.964466, 39.964466, 39.964466, ..., 39.964466, 39.964466, 39.964466], [40.107815, 40.107815, 40.107815, ..., 40.107815, 40.107815, 40.107815]], [[39.68019 , 39.68019 , 39.68019 , ..., 39.68019 , 39.68019 , 39.68019 ], [39.28548 , 39.28548 , 39.28548 , ..., 39.28548 , 39.28548 , 39.28548 ], [40.511932, 40.511932, 40.511932, ..., 40.511932, 40.511932, 40.511932], ... [40.66157 , 40.66157 , 40.66157 , ..., 40.66157 , 40.66157 , 40.66157 ], [39.975204, 39.975204, 39.975204, ..., 39.975204, 39.975204, 39.975204], [40.146324, 40.146324, 40.146324, ..., 40.146324, 40.146324, 40.146324]], [[40.161083, 40.161083, 40.161083, ..., 40.161083, 40.161083, 40.161083], [39.8784 , 39.8784 , 39.8784 , ..., 39.8784 , 39.8784 , 39.8784 ], [39.639874, 39.639874, 39.639874, ..., 39.639874, 39.639874, 39.639874], ..., [40.078964, 40.078964, 40.078964, ..., 40.078964, 40.078964, 40.078964], [39.921 , 39.921 , 39.921 , ..., 39.921 , 39.921 , 39.921 ], [39.832256, 39.832256, 39.832256, ..., 39.832256, 39.832256, 39.832256]]], dtype=float32) - s_2022_23_age_youth(chain, draw)float3239.81 40.2 39.9 ... 39.92 39.83
array([[39.805546, 40.202858, 39.895542, 40.031776, 39.6489 , 40.341618, 39.625412, 40.249054, 39.51706 , 40.439342, 40.01976 , 40.144352, 39.730274, 39.938118, 39.86447 , 39.603687, 39.535675, 39.369328, 39.890957, 39.973804, 39.915184, 40.05497 , 40.170063, 39.42937 , 39.29383 , 39.90594 , 39.546463, 39.526947, 39.379406, 39.52159 , 39.841877, 39.74723 , 40.218613, 39.189987, 40.335068, 39.7331 , 39.336758, 39.628395, 39.65342 , 39.66683 , 39.66683 , 39.658768, 39.658768, 39.658768, 39.658768, 39.688915, 39.713768, 39.75145 , 39.75145 , 39.75145 , 39.73952 , 39.73952 , 39.73952 , 39.73952 , 39.73952 , 39.731575, 39.731575, 39.693684, 39.693684, 39.693684, 39.672596, 39.672596, 39.672596, 39.672596, 39.672596, 39.672596, 39.68213 , 39.68213 , 39.649513, 39.649513, 39.614864, 39.59656 , 39.597466, 39.569378, 39.555794, 39.555794, 39.57634 , 39.57634 , 39.57634 , 39.57634 , 39.57688 , 39.57688 , 39.57688 , 39.56575 , 39.56575 , 39.549923, 39.549923, 39.549923, 39.549923, 39.524353, 39.524353, 39.524353, 39.503185, 39.503185, 39.503185, 39.503185, 39.503185, 39.503185, 39.503185, 39.506897, 39.506897, 39.506897, 39.506897, 39.506897, 39.529408, 39.529408, 39.529408, 39.503353, 39.528805, 39.528805, 39.545338, 39.51887 , 39.54061 , 39.481266, 40.53615 , 40.642952, 40.055008, 39.944492, 40.172916, 40.0521 , ... 40.523315, 40.346176, 39.931393, 39.67907 , 40.20266 , 40.322945, 39.908123, 40.010998, 39.78311 , 40.198074, 40.12277 , 39.794212, 39.91797 , 39.740124, 40.56364 , 39.35724 , 39.64879 , 40.553093, 39.514 , 40.55593 , 40.089417, 40.18685 , 39.817978, 39.555786, 40.38376 , 40.21706 , 39.82275 , 40.179615, 39.77329 , 40.33927 , 40.42664 , 39.81003 , 40.197533, 40.020138, 40.184505, 39.967655, 40.092236, 39.417484, 39.52042 , 40.478477, 40.094112, 40.36621 , 39.663452, 39.60496 , 40.569267, 39.755554, 39.825516, 39.856293, 40.23715 , 40.511726, 39.81599 , 39.7199 , 39.63695 , 39.769367, 40.060017, 40.19614 , 40.097496, 39.8059 , 39.81422 , 40.203648, 39.93226 , 40.355278, 39.38571 , 40.570934, 39.40612 , 40.058533, 40.005943, 40.301586, 39.697292, 39.84412 , 39.669598, 40.565025, 40.68828 , 39.81037 , 40.00997 , 39.863842, 40.472324, 39.896477, 39.405228, 40.234634, 39.50035 , 40.184982, 39.88012 , 40.055805, 40.48995 , 40.422646, 40.305016, 40.148037, 39.791862, 40.00393 , 39.72356 , 39.764656, 40.133118, 39.49265 , 40.351036, 40.01244 , 40.446365, 39.668987, 40.107113, 40.38336 , 39.948112, 40.01014 , 40.05046 , 39.74578 , 40.125633, 39.65385 , 40.375668, 40.337597, 39.80121 , 40.14743 , 40.243874, 39.937016, 40.499153, 40.398422, 39.463562, 40.078964, 39.921 , 39.832256]], dtype=float32) - s_2022_23_age_youth_daily(chain, draw, days_2022_23)float3239.81 39.81 39.81 ... 39.83 39.83
array([[[39.805546, 39.805546, 39.805546, ..., 39.805546, 39.805546, 39.805546], [40.202858, 40.202858, 40.202858, ..., 40.202858, 40.202858, 40.202858], [39.895542, 39.895542, 39.895542, ..., 39.895542, 39.895542, 39.895542], ..., [39.94468 , 39.94468 , 39.94468 , ..., 39.94468 , 39.94468 , 39.94468 ], [39.964466, 39.964466, 39.964466, ..., 39.964466, 39.964466, 39.964466], [40.107815, 40.107815, 40.107815, ..., 40.107815, 40.107815, 40.107815]], [[39.68019 , 39.68019 , 39.68019 , ..., 39.68019 , 39.68019 , 39.68019 ], [39.28548 , 39.28548 , 39.28548 , ..., 39.28548 , 39.28548 , 39.28548 ], [40.511932, 40.511932, 40.511932, ..., 40.511932, 40.511932, 40.511932], ... [40.66157 , 40.66157 , 40.66157 , ..., 40.66157 , 40.66157 , 40.66157 ], [39.975204, 39.975204, 39.975204, ..., 39.975204, 39.975204, 39.975204], [40.146324, 40.146324, 40.146324, ..., 40.146324, 40.146324, 40.146324]], [[40.161083, 40.161083, 40.161083, ..., 40.161083, 40.161083, 40.161083], [39.8784 , 39.8784 , 39.8784 , ..., 39.8784 , 39.8784 , 39.8784 ], [39.639874, 39.639874, 39.639874, ..., 39.639874, 39.639874, 39.639874], ..., [40.078964, 40.078964, 40.078964, ..., 40.078964, 40.078964, 40.078964], [39.921 , 39.921 , 39.921 , ..., 39.921 , 39.921 , 39.921 ], [39.832256, 39.832256, 39.832256, ..., 39.832256, 39.832256, 39.832256]]], dtype=float32) - s_2023_24_age_adult(chain, draw)float3241.92 41.72 41.8 ... 41.79 41.73
array([[41.91523 , 41.715145, 41.79713 , 42.07404 , 41.822582, 41.88286 , 42.10096 , 41.855385, 42.05166 , 41.82196 , 42.11976 , 42.157795, 41.479637, 42.078564, 42.10296 , 41.64453 , 41.62194 , 41.691933, 42.04003 , 42.22925 , 42.30923 , 41.65817 , 41.842403, 41.8172 , 41.953594, 41.805008, 42.034718, 42.091824, 41.83703 , 42.313736, 42.052494, 41.604122, 42.27791 , 42.1277 , 41.774185, 41.279285, 41.759052, 41.540096, 41.573124, 41.55748 , 41.55748 , 41.550007, 41.550007, 41.550007, 41.550007, 41.53993 , 41.535557, 41.554375, 41.554375, 41.554375, 41.573803, 41.573803, 41.573803, 41.573803, 41.573803, 41.597065, 41.597065, 41.580387, 41.580387, 41.580387, 41.5874 , 41.5874 , 41.5874 , 41.5874 , 41.5874 , 41.5874 , 41.5981 , 41.5981 , 41.578075, 41.578075, 41.583443, 41.57704 , 41.560005, 41.561543, 41.5161 , 41.5161 , 41.519768, 41.519768, 41.519768, 41.519768, 41.48513 , 41.48513 , 41.48513 , 41.48696 , 41.48696 , 41.474094, 41.474094, 41.474094, 41.474094, 41.456696, 41.456696, 41.456696, 41.431385, 41.431385, 41.431385, 41.431385, 41.431385, 41.431385, 41.431385, 41.438984, 41.438984, 41.438984, 41.438984, 41.438984, 41.434242, 41.434242, 41.434242, 41.456017, 41.47133 , 41.47133 , 41.458363, 41.443104, 41.464813, 41.46979 , 42.104984, 42.189777, 42.249207, 41.59209 , 41.899567, 42.005817, ... 41.979084, 41.559864, 42.30994 , 41.555946, 41.627636, 41.772896, 41.935726, 41.92655 , 41.847725, 41.85199 , 42.166534, 41.467735, 41.713352, 41.670307, 42.048145, 41.72742 , 42.095993, 41.517014, 41.723713, 42.00737 , 41.855648, 42.114536, 41.44293 , 40.99103 , 42.43354 , 42.425285, 42.251217, 41.714054, 42.023495, 41.820522, 41.959282, 42.160465, 41.50537 , 42.019077, 41.36371 , 41.45489 , 42.103943, 41.786835, 41.77937 , 41.72994 , 42.226242, 42.004387, 41.44807 , 41.464207, 42.236446, 41.51609 , 42.062885, 42.106796, 41.93009 , 41.392334, 42.32089 , 42.010513, 41.613094, 41.919785, 41.63802 , 41.331966, 42.411976, 42.00416 , 41.85988 , 42.142845, 41.650673, 41.91112 , 41.81291 , 41.910873, 42.39535 , 41.442936, 41.621635, 41.850708, 41.72063 , 41.7499 , 42.055016, 41.105026, 41.269543, 42.113323, 42.283333, 41.44512 , 41.151314, 41.337666, 41.643272, 41.87373 , 41.811142, 41.872288, 41.62885 , 41.91213 , 41.95787 , 41.909565, 41.760193, 41.42975 , 42.166294, 42.03394 , 42.2515 , 42.115948, 41.824905, 42.159027, 41.64798 , 41.791744, 42.174072, 41.101566, 41.65208 , 41.492058, 42.05017 , 41.84498 , 41.904182, 41.73832 , 42.138878, 42.363728, 41.774967, 41.641598, 42.054375, 41.365314, 41.91704 , 41.577442, 42.20465 , 42.432793, 41.842197, 41.77399 , 41.78881 , 41.726143]], dtype=float32) - s_2023_24_age_adult_daily(chain, draw, days_2023_24)float3241.92 41.92 41.92 ... 41.73 41.73
array([[[41.91523 , 41.91523 , 41.91523 , ..., 41.91523 , 41.91523 , 41.91523 ], [41.715145, 41.715145, 41.715145, ..., 41.715145, 41.715145, 41.715145], [41.79713 , 41.79713 , 41.79713 , ..., 41.79713 , 41.79713 , 41.79713 ], ..., [41.237236, 41.237236, 41.237236, ..., 41.237236, 41.237236, 41.237236], [41.30212 , 41.30212 , 41.30212 , ..., 41.30212 , 41.30212 , 41.30212 ], [42.32175 , 42.32175 , 42.32175 , ..., 42.32175 , 42.32175 , 42.32175 ]], [[42.25001 , 42.25001 , 42.25001 , ..., 42.25001 , 42.25001 , 42.25001 ], [42.16407 , 42.16407 , 42.16407 , ..., 42.16407 , 42.16407 , 42.16407 ], [41.86665 , 41.86665 , 41.86665 , ..., 41.86665 , 41.86665 , 41.86665 ], ... [41.66754 , 41.66754 , 41.66754 , ..., 41.66754 , 41.66754 , 41.66754 ], [41.870758, 41.870758, 41.870758, ..., 41.870758, 41.870758, 41.870758], [41.766373, 41.766373, 41.766373, ..., 41.766373, 41.766373, 41.766373]], [[42.190807, 42.190807, 42.190807, ..., 42.190807, 42.190807, 42.190807], [41.302322, 41.302322, 41.302322, ..., 41.302322, 41.302322, 41.302322], [42.44664 , 42.44664 , 42.44664 , ..., 42.44664 , 42.44664 , 42.44664 ], ..., [41.77399 , 41.77399 , 41.77399 , ..., 41.77399 , 41.77399 , 41.77399 ], [41.78881 , 41.78881 , 41.78881 , ..., 41.78881 , 41.78881 , 41.78881 ], [41.726143, 41.726143, 41.726143, ..., 41.726143, 41.726143, 41.726143]]], dtype=float32) - s_2023_24_age_elderly(chain, draw)float3241.92 41.72 41.8 ... 41.79 41.73
array([[41.91523 , 41.715145, 41.79713 , 42.07404 , 41.822582, 41.88286 , 42.10096 , 41.855385, 42.05166 , 41.82196 , 42.11976 , 42.157795, 41.479637, 42.078564, 42.10296 , 41.64453 , 41.62194 , 41.691933, 42.04003 , 42.22925 , 42.30923 , 41.65817 , 41.842403, 41.8172 , 41.953594, 41.805008, 42.034718, 42.091824, 41.83703 , 42.313736, 42.052494, 41.604122, 42.27791 , 42.1277 , 41.774185, 41.279285, 41.759052, 41.540096, 41.573124, 41.55748 , 41.55748 , 41.550007, 41.550007, 41.550007, 41.550007, 41.53993 , 41.535557, 41.554375, 41.554375, 41.554375, 41.573803, 41.573803, 41.573803, 41.573803, 41.573803, 41.597065, 41.597065, 41.580387, 41.580387, 41.580387, 41.5874 , 41.5874 , 41.5874 , 41.5874 , 41.5874 , 41.5874 , 41.5981 , 41.5981 , 41.578075, 41.578075, 41.583443, 41.57704 , 41.560005, 41.561543, 41.5161 , 41.5161 , 41.519768, 41.519768, 41.519768, 41.519768, 41.48513 , 41.48513 , 41.48513 , 41.48696 , 41.48696 , 41.474094, 41.474094, 41.474094, 41.474094, 41.456696, 41.456696, 41.456696, 41.431385, 41.431385, 41.431385, 41.431385, 41.431385, 41.431385, 41.431385, 41.438984, 41.438984, 41.438984, 41.438984, 41.438984, 41.434242, 41.434242, 41.434242, 41.456017, 41.47133 , 41.47133 , 41.458363, 41.443104, 41.464813, 41.46979 , 42.104984, 42.189777, 42.249207, 41.59209 , 41.899567, 42.005817, ... 41.979084, 41.559864, 42.30994 , 41.555946, 41.627636, 41.772896, 41.935726, 41.92655 , 41.847725, 41.85199 , 42.166534, 41.467735, 41.713352, 41.670307, 42.048145, 41.72742 , 42.095993, 41.517014, 41.723713, 42.00737 , 41.855648, 42.114536, 41.44293 , 40.99103 , 42.43354 , 42.425285, 42.251217, 41.714054, 42.023495, 41.820522, 41.959282, 42.160465, 41.50537 , 42.019077, 41.36371 , 41.45489 , 42.103943, 41.786835, 41.77937 , 41.72994 , 42.226242, 42.004387, 41.44807 , 41.464207, 42.236446, 41.51609 , 42.062885, 42.106796, 41.93009 , 41.392334, 42.32089 , 42.010513, 41.613094, 41.919785, 41.63802 , 41.331966, 42.411976, 42.00416 , 41.85988 , 42.142845, 41.650673, 41.91112 , 41.81291 , 41.910873, 42.39535 , 41.442936, 41.621635, 41.850708, 41.72063 , 41.7499 , 42.055016, 41.105026, 41.269543, 42.113323, 42.283333, 41.44512 , 41.151314, 41.337666, 41.643272, 41.87373 , 41.811142, 41.872288, 41.62885 , 41.91213 , 41.95787 , 41.909565, 41.760193, 41.42975 , 42.166294, 42.03394 , 42.2515 , 42.115948, 41.824905, 42.159027, 41.64798 , 41.791744, 42.174072, 41.101566, 41.65208 , 41.492058, 42.05017 , 41.84498 , 41.904182, 41.73832 , 42.138878, 42.363728, 41.774967, 41.641598, 42.054375, 41.365314, 41.91704 , 41.577442, 42.20465 , 42.432793, 41.842197, 41.77399 , 41.78881 , 41.726143]], dtype=float32) - s_2023_24_age_elderly_daily(chain, draw, days_2023_24)float3241.92 41.92 41.92 ... 41.73 41.73
array([[[41.91523 , 41.91523 , 41.91523 , ..., 41.91523 , 41.91523 , 41.91523 ], [41.715145, 41.715145, 41.715145, ..., 41.715145, 41.715145, 41.715145], [41.79713 , 41.79713 , 41.79713 , ..., 41.79713 , 41.79713 , 41.79713 ], ..., [41.237236, 41.237236, 41.237236, ..., 41.237236, 41.237236, 41.237236], [41.30212 , 41.30212 , 41.30212 , ..., 41.30212 , 41.30212 , 41.30212 ], [42.32175 , 42.32175 , 42.32175 , ..., 42.32175 , 42.32175 , 42.32175 ]], [[42.25001 , 42.25001 , 42.25001 , ..., 42.25001 , 42.25001 , 42.25001 ], [42.16407 , 42.16407 , 42.16407 , ..., 42.16407 , 42.16407 , 42.16407 ], [41.86665 , 41.86665 , 41.86665 , ..., 41.86665 , 41.86665 , 41.86665 ], ... [41.66754 , 41.66754 , 41.66754 , ..., 41.66754 , 41.66754 , 41.66754 ], [41.870758, 41.870758, 41.870758, ..., 41.870758, 41.870758, 41.870758], [41.766373, 41.766373, 41.766373, ..., 41.766373, 41.766373, 41.766373]], [[42.190807, 42.190807, 42.190807, ..., 42.190807, 42.190807, 42.190807], [41.302322, 41.302322, 41.302322, ..., 41.302322, 41.302322, 41.302322], [42.44664 , 42.44664 , 42.44664 , ..., 42.44664 , 42.44664 , 42.44664 ], ..., [41.77399 , 41.77399 , 41.77399 , ..., 41.77399 , 41.77399 , 41.77399 ], [41.78881 , 41.78881 , 41.78881 , ..., 41.78881 , 41.78881 , 41.78881 ], [41.726143, 41.726143, 41.726143, ..., 41.726143, 41.726143, 41.726143]]], dtype=float32) - s_2023_24_age_youth(chain, draw)float3241.92 41.72 41.8 ... 41.79 41.73
array([[41.91523 , 41.715145, 41.79713 , 42.07404 , 41.822582, 41.88286 , 42.10096 , 41.855385, 42.05166 , 41.82196 , 42.11976 , 42.157795, 41.479637, 42.078564, 42.10296 , 41.64453 , 41.62194 , 41.691933, 42.04003 , 42.22925 , 42.30923 , 41.65817 , 41.842403, 41.8172 , 41.953594, 41.805008, 42.034718, 42.091824, 41.83703 , 42.313736, 42.052494, 41.604122, 42.27791 , 42.1277 , 41.774185, 41.279285, 41.759052, 41.540096, 41.573124, 41.55748 , 41.55748 , 41.550007, 41.550007, 41.550007, 41.550007, 41.53993 , 41.535557, 41.554375, 41.554375, 41.554375, 41.573803, 41.573803, 41.573803, 41.573803, 41.573803, 41.597065, 41.597065, 41.580387, 41.580387, 41.580387, 41.5874 , 41.5874 , 41.5874 , 41.5874 , 41.5874 , 41.5874 , 41.5981 , 41.5981 , 41.578075, 41.578075, 41.583443, 41.57704 , 41.560005, 41.561543, 41.5161 , 41.5161 , 41.519768, 41.519768, 41.519768, 41.519768, 41.48513 , 41.48513 , 41.48513 , 41.48696 , 41.48696 , 41.474094, 41.474094, 41.474094, 41.474094, 41.456696, 41.456696, 41.456696, 41.431385, 41.431385, 41.431385, 41.431385, 41.431385, 41.431385, 41.431385, 41.438984, 41.438984, 41.438984, 41.438984, 41.438984, 41.434242, 41.434242, 41.434242, 41.456017, 41.47133 , 41.47133 , 41.458363, 41.443104, 41.464813, 41.46979 , 42.104984, 42.189777, 42.249207, 41.59209 , 41.899567, 42.005817, ... 41.979084, 41.559864, 42.30994 , 41.555946, 41.627636, 41.772896, 41.935726, 41.92655 , 41.847725, 41.85199 , 42.166534, 41.467735, 41.713352, 41.670307, 42.048145, 41.72742 , 42.095993, 41.517014, 41.723713, 42.00737 , 41.855648, 42.114536, 41.44293 , 40.99103 , 42.43354 , 42.425285, 42.251217, 41.714054, 42.023495, 41.820522, 41.959282, 42.160465, 41.50537 , 42.019077, 41.36371 , 41.45489 , 42.103943, 41.786835, 41.77937 , 41.72994 , 42.226242, 42.004387, 41.44807 , 41.464207, 42.236446, 41.51609 , 42.062885, 42.106796, 41.93009 , 41.392334, 42.32089 , 42.010513, 41.613094, 41.919785, 41.63802 , 41.331966, 42.411976, 42.00416 , 41.85988 , 42.142845, 41.650673, 41.91112 , 41.81291 , 41.910873, 42.39535 , 41.442936, 41.621635, 41.850708, 41.72063 , 41.7499 , 42.055016, 41.105026, 41.269543, 42.113323, 42.283333, 41.44512 , 41.151314, 41.337666, 41.643272, 41.87373 , 41.811142, 41.872288, 41.62885 , 41.91213 , 41.95787 , 41.909565, 41.760193, 41.42975 , 42.166294, 42.03394 , 42.2515 , 42.115948, 41.824905, 42.159027, 41.64798 , 41.791744, 42.174072, 41.101566, 41.65208 , 41.492058, 42.05017 , 41.84498 , 41.904182, 41.73832 , 42.138878, 42.363728, 41.774967, 41.641598, 42.054375, 41.365314, 41.91704 , 41.577442, 42.20465 , 42.432793, 41.842197, 41.77399 , 41.78881 , 41.726143]], dtype=float32) - s_2023_24_age_youth_daily(chain, draw, days_2023_24)float3241.92 41.92 41.92 ... 41.73 41.73
array([[[41.91523 , 41.91523 , 41.91523 , ..., 41.91523 , 41.91523 , 41.91523 ], [41.715145, 41.715145, 41.715145, ..., 41.715145, 41.715145, 41.715145], [41.79713 , 41.79713 , 41.79713 , ..., 41.79713 , 41.79713 , 41.79713 ], ..., [41.237236, 41.237236, 41.237236, ..., 41.237236, 41.237236, 41.237236], [41.30212 , 41.30212 , 41.30212 , ..., 41.30212 , 41.30212 , 41.30212 ], [42.32175 , 42.32175 , 42.32175 , ..., 42.32175 , 42.32175 , 42.32175 ]], [[42.25001 , 42.25001 , 42.25001 , ..., 42.25001 , 42.25001 , 42.25001 ], [42.16407 , 42.16407 , 42.16407 , ..., 42.16407 , 42.16407 , 42.16407 ], [41.86665 , 41.86665 , 41.86665 , ..., 41.86665 , 41.86665 , 41.86665 ], ... [41.66754 , 41.66754 , 41.66754 , ..., 41.66754 , 41.66754 , 41.66754 ], [41.870758, 41.870758, 41.870758, ..., 41.870758, 41.870758, 41.870758], [41.766373, 41.766373, 41.766373, ..., 41.766373, 41.766373, 41.766373]], [[42.190807, 42.190807, 42.190807, ..., 42.190807, 42.190807, 42.190807], [41.302322, 41.302322, 41.302322, ..., 41.302322, 41.302322, 41.302322], [42.44664 , 42.44664 , 42.44664 , ..., 42.44664 , 42.44664 , 42.44664 ], ..., [41.77399 , 41.77399 , 41.77399 , ..., 41.77399 , 41.77399 , 41.77399 ], [41.78881 , 41.78881 , 41.78881 , ..., 41.78881 , 41.78881 , 41.78881 ], [41.726143, 41.726143, 41.726143, ..., 41.726143, 41.726143, 41.726143]]], dtype=float32) - s_2024_25_age_adult(chain, draw)float3241.19 41.15 41.05 ... 40.75 40.87
array([[41.18753 , 41.15166 , 41.050137, 41.06374 , 40.951702, 41.065033, 40.650738, 40.887905, 40.82905 , 41.110027, 40.773758, 40.68852 , 40.689835, 40.727375, 40.78481 , 41.377518, 41.35563 , 41.51633 , 41.186474, 41.182 , 41.12944 , 40.757137, 40.82263 , 40.642242, 40.94296 , 40.90541 , 40.895725, 40.839886, 41.617504, 40.61862 , 40.681767, 40.842354, 41.131413, 41.181805, 40.82996 , 41.02787 , 41.05977 , 40.69015 , 40.687847, 40.65952 , 40.65952 , 40.632496, 40.632496, 40.632496, 40.632496, 40.640255, 40.663315, 40.77605 , 40.77605 , 40.77605 , 40.714024, 40.714024, 40.714024, 40.714024, 40.714024, 40.70432 , 40.70432 , 40.674034, 40.674034, 40.674034, 40.652203, 40.652203, 40.652203, 40.652203, 40.652203, 40.652203, 40.6834 , 40.6834 , 40.628494, 40.628494, 40.62509 , 40.627502, 40.612335, 40.577644, 40.54938 , 40.54938 , 40.545246, 40.545246, 40.545246, 40.545246, 40.590294, 40.590294, 40.590294, 40.59901 , 40.59901 , 40.53689 , 40.53689 , 40.53689 , 40.53689 , 40.563828, 40.563828, 40.563828, 40.57054 , 40.57054 , 40.57054 , 40.57054 , 40.57054 , 40.57054 , 40.57054 , 40.539288, 40.539288, 40.539288, 40.539288, 40.539288, 40.55298 , 40.55298 , 40.55298 , 40.55912 , 40.411537, 40.411537, 40.41662 , 40.405727, 40.383842, 40.385918, 41.114826, 41.03827 , 40.908337, 40.991184, 41.45621 , 41.5642 , ... 41.106503, 41.051243, 40.867676, 40.371014, 40.496372, 40.965065, 40.266445, 40.228817, 41.953014, 40.57778 , 41.113487, 41.353207, 41.06724 , 40.51835 , 40.706326, 40.681534, 40.04235 , 40.78534 , 40.806587, 40.797363, 40.512318, 40.700222, 40.870003, 40.801414, 40.87977 , 40.67447 , 40.528637, 41.042213, 41.014782, 40.909515, 41.29262 , 40.868824, 40.89678 , 40.58725 , 40.94791 , 41.06061 , 40.689606, 40.93221 , 40.577267, 40.99787 , 41.176716, 41.109676, 40.975483, 40.97002 , 40.787354, 40.956635, 41.27041 , 41.199135, 41.236885, 40.99664 , 40.513725, 40.584286, 40.495884, 40.981636, 40.46142 , 41.109673, 40.714287, 41.18686 , 41.38437 , 41.34301 , 40.469826, 40.77153 , 40.645535, 40.855583, 40.91298 , 40.59273 , 40.821777, 40.902767, 40.1495 , 40.27286 , 40.59786 , 41.671043, 40.934425, 41.362556, 40.9508 , 40.591267, 40.41157 , 40.63436 , 39.99489 , 41.431103, 40.4675 , 41.49779 , 40.67197 , 40.45775 , 41.08002 , 41.23884 , 40.75013 , 40.702526, 41.222965, 41.36474 , 41.083775, 41.26785 , 40.639595, 41.354275, 40.77755 , 40.64074 , 41.039436, 40.28872 , 40.20125 , 39.863148, 41.282887, 41.004707, 40.790943, 41.54962 , 40.61894 , 41.0393 , 40.698868, 40.640694, 41.4782 , 40.720615, 40.680733, 41.08846 , 40.652687, 40.335133, 40.239407, 40.98635 , 40.751297, 40.865074]], dtype=float32) - s_2024_25_age_adult_daily(chain, draw, days_2024_25)float3241.19 41.19 41.19 ... 40.87 40.87
array([[[41.18753 , 41.18753 , 41.18753 , ..., 41.18753 , 41.18753 , 41.18753 ], [41.15166 , 41.15166 , 41.15166 , ..., 41.15166 , 41.15166 , 41.15166 ], [41.050137, 41.050137, 41.050137, ..., 41.050137, 41.050137, 41.050137], ..., [40.9953 , 40.9953 , 40.9953 , ..., 40.9953 , 40.9953 , 40.9953 ], [41.085106, 41.085106, 41.085106, ..., 41.085106, 41.085106, 41.085106], [41.09227 , 41.09227 , 41.09227 , ..., 41.09227 , 41.09227 , 41.09227 ]], [[40.853333, 40.853333, 40.853333, ..., 40.853333, 40.853333, 40.853333], [40.590942, 40.590942, 40.590942, ..., 40.590942, 40.590942, 40.590942], [40.824795, 40.824795, 40.824795, ..., 40.824795, 40.824795, 40.824795], ... [40.28737 , 40.28737 , 40.28737 , ..., 40.28737 , 40.28737 , 40.28737 ], [40.50013 , 40.50013 , 40.50013 , ..., 40.50013 , 40.50013 , 40.50013 ], [40.894386, 40.894386, 40.894386, ..., 40.894386, 40.894386, 40.894386]], [[41.727753, 41.727753, 41.727753, ..., 41.727753, 41.727753, 41.727753], [40.33105 , 40.33105 , 40.33105 , ..., 40.33105 , 40.33105 , 40.33105 ], [40.839237, 40.839237, 40.839237, ..., 40.839237, 40.839237, 40.839237], ..., [40.98635 , 40.98635 , 40.98635 , ..., 40.98635 , 40.98635 , 40.98635 ], [40.751297, 40.751297, 40.751297, ..., 40.751297, 40.751297, 40.751297], [40.865074, 40.865074, 40.865074, ..., 40.865074, 40.865074, 40.865074]]], dtype=float32) - s_2024_25_age_elderly(chain, draw)float3241.19 41.15 41.05 ... 40.75 40.87
array([[41.18753 , 41.15166 , 41.050137, 41.06374 , 40.951702, 41.065033, 40.650738, 40.887905, 40.82905 , 41.110027, 40.773758, 40.68852 , 40.689835, 40.727375, 40.78481 , 41.377518, 41.35563 , 41.51633 , 41.186474, 41.182 , 41.12944 , 40.757137, 40.82263 , 40.642242, 40.94296 , 40.90541 , 40.895725, 40.839886, 41.617504, 40.61862 , 40.681767, 40.842354, 41.131413, 41.181805, 40.82996 , 41.02787 , 41.05977 , 40.69015 , 40.687847, 40.65952 , 40.65952 , 40.632496, 40.632496, 40.632496, 40.632496, 40.640255, 40.663315, 40.77605 , 40.77605 , 40.77605 , 40.714024, 40.714024, 40.714024, 40.714024, 40.714024, 40.70432 , 40.70432 , 40.674034, 40.674034, 40.674034, 40.652203, 40.652203, 40.652203, 40.652203, 40.652203, 40.652203, 40.6834 , 40.6834 , 40.628494, 40.628494, 40.62509 , 40.627502, 40.612335, 40.577644, 40.54938 , 40.54938 , 40.545246, 40.545246, 40.545246, 40.545246, 40.590294, 40.590294, 40.590294, 40.59901 , 40.59901 , 40.53689 , 40.53689 , 40.53689 , 40.53689 , 40.563828, 40.563828, 40.563828, 40.57054 , 40.57054 , 40.57054 , 40.57054 , 40.57054 , 40.57054 , 40.57054 , 40.539288, 40.539288, 40.539288, 40.539288, 40.539288, 40.55298 , 40.55298 , 40.55298 , 40.55912 , 40.411537, 40.411537, 40.41662 , 40.405727, 40.383842, 40.385918, 41.114826, 41.03827 , 40.908337, 40.991184, 41.45621 , 41.5642 , ... 41.106503, 41.051243, 40.867676, 40.371014, 40.496372, 40.965065, 40.266445, 40.228817, 41.953014, 40.57778 , 41.113487, 41.353207, 41.06724 , 40.51835 , 40.706326, 40.681534, 40.04235 , 40.78534 , 40.806587, 40.797363, 40.512318, 40.700222, 40.870003, 40.801414, 40.87977 , 40.67447 , 40.528637, 41.042213, 41.014782, 40.909515, 41.29262 , 40.868824, 40.89678 , 40.58725 , 40.94791 , 41.06061 , 40.689606, 40.93221 , 40.577267, 40.99787 , 41.176716, 41.109676, 40.975483, 40.97002 , 40.787354, 40.956635, 41.27041 , 41.199135, 41.236885, 40.99664 , 40.513725, 40.584286, 40.495884, 40.981636, 40.46142 , 41.109673, 40.714287, 41.18686 , 41.38437 , 41.34301 , 40.469826, 40.77153 , 40.645535, 40.855583, 40.91298 , 40.59273 , 40.821777, 40.902767, 40.1495 , 40.27286 , 40.59786 , 41.671043, 40.934425, 41.362556, 40.9508 , 40.591267, 40.41157 , 40.63436 , 39.99489 , 41.431103, 40.4675 , 41.49779 , 40.67197 , 40.45775 , 41.08002 , 41.23884 , 40.75013 , 40.702526, 41.222965, 41.36474 , 41.083775, 41.26785 , 40.639595, 41.354275, 40.77755 , 40.64074 , 41.039436, 40.28872 , 40.20125 , 39.863148, 41.282887, 41.004707, 40.790943, 41.54962 , 40.61894 , 41.0393 , 40.698868, 40.640694, 41.4782 , 40.720615, 40.680733, 41.08846 , 40.652687, 40.335133, 40.239407, 40.98635 , 40.751297, 40.865074]], dtype=float32) - s_2024_25_age_elderly_daily(chain, draw, days_2024_25)float3241.19 41.19 41.19 ... 40.87 40.87
array([[[41.18753 , 41.18753 , 41.18753 , ..., 41.18753 , 41.18753 , 41.18753 ], [41.15166 , 41.15166 , 41.15166 , ..., 41.15166 , 41.15166 , 41.15166 ], [41.050137, 41.050137, 41.050137, ..., 41.050137, 41.050137, 41.050137], ..., [40.9953 , 40.9953 , 40.9953 , ..., 40.9953 , 40.9953 , 40.9953 ], [41.085106, 41.085106, 41.085106, ..., 41.085106, 41.085106, 41.085106], [41.09227 , 41.09227 , 41.09227 , ..., 41.09227 , 41.09227 , 41.09227 ]], [[40.853333, 40.853333, 40.853333, ..., 40.853333, 40.853333, 40.853333], [40.590942, 40.590942, 40.590942, ..., 40.590942, 40.590942, 40.590942], [40.824795, 40.824795, 40.824795, ..., 40.824795, 40.824795, 40.824795], ... [40.28737 , 40.28737 , 40.28737 , ..., 40.28737 , 40.28737 , 40.28737 ], [40.50013 , 40.50013 , 40.50013 , ..., 40.50013 , 40.50013 , 40.50013 ], [40.894386, 40.894386, 40.894386, ..., 40.894386, 40.894386, 40.894386]], [[41.727753, 41.727753, 41.727753, ..., 41.727753, 41.727753, 41.727753], [40.33105 , 40.33105 , 40.33105 , ..., 40.33105 , 40.33105 , 40.33105 ], [40.839237, 40.839237, 40.839237, ..., 40.839237, 40.839237, 40.839237], ..., [40.98635 , 40.98635 , 40.98635 , ..., 40.98635 , 40.98635 , 40.98635 ], [40.751297, 40.751297, 40.751297, ..., 40.751297, 40.751297, 40.751297], [40.865074, 40.865074, 40.865074, ..., 40.865074, 40.865074, 40.865074]]], dtype=float32) - s_2024_25_age_youth(chain, draw)float3241.19 41.15 41.05 ... 40.75 40.87
array([[41.18753 , 41.15166 , 41.050137, 41.06374 , 40.951702, 41.065033, 40.650738, 40.887905, 40.82905 , 41.110027, 40.773758, 40.68852 , 40.689835, 40.727375, 40.78481 , 41.377518, 41.35563 , 41.51633 , 41.186474, 41.182 , 41.12944 , 40.757137, 40.82263 , 40.642242, 40.94296 , 40.90541 , 40.895725, 40.839886, 41.617504, 40.61862 , 40.681767, 40.842354, 41.131413, 41.181805, 40.82996 , 41.02787 , 41.05977 , 40.69015 , 40.687847, 40.65952 , 40.65952 , 40.632496, 40.632496, 40.632496, 40.632496, 40.640255, 40.663315, 40.77605 , 40.77605 , 40.77605 , 40.714024, 40.714024, 40.714024, 40.714024, 40.714024, 40.70432 , 40.70432 , 40.674034, 40.674034, 40.674034, 40.652203, 40.652203, 40.652203, 40.652203, 40.652203, 40.652203, 40.6834 , 40.6834 , 40.628494, 40.628494, 40.62509 , 40.627502, 40.612335, 40.577644, 40.54938 , 40.54938 , 40.545246, 40.545246, 40.545246, 40.545246, 40.590294, 40.590294, 40.590294, 40.59901 , 40.59901 , 40.53689 , 40.53689 , 40.53689 , 40.53689 , 40.563828, 40.563828, 40.563828, 40.57054 , 40.57054 , 40.57054 , 40.57054 , 40.57054 , 40.57054 , 40.57054 , 40.539288, 40.539288, 40.539288, 40.539288, 40.539288, 40.55298 , 40.55298 , 40.55298 , 40.55912 , 40.411537, 40.411537, 40.41662 , 40.405727, 40.383842, 40.385918, 41.114826, 41.03827 , 40.908337, 40.991184, 41.45621 , 41.5642 , ... 41.106503, 41.051243, 40.867676, 40.371014, 40.496372, 40.965065, 40.266445, 40.228817, 41.953014, 40.57778 , 41.113487, 41.353207, 41.06724 , 40.51835 , 40.706326, 40.681534, 40.04235 , 40.78534 , 40.806587, 40.797363, 40.512318, 40.700222, 40.870003, 40.801414, 40.87977 , 40.67447 , 40.528637, 41.042213, 41.014782, 40.909515, 41.29262 , 40.868824, 40.89678 , 40.58725 , 40.94791 , 41.06061 , 40.689606, 40.93221 , 40.577267, 40.99787 , 41.176716, 41.109676, 40.975483, 40.97002 , 40.787354, 40.956635, 41.27041 , 41.199135, 41.236885, 40.99664 , 40.513725, 40.584286, 40.495884, 40.981636, 40.46142 , 41.109673, 40.714287, 41.18686 , 41.38437 , 41.34301 , 40.469826, 40.77153 , 40.645535, 40.855583, 40.91298 , 40.59273 , 40.821777, 40.902767, 40.1495 , 40.27286 , 40.59786 , 41.671043, 40.934425, 41.362556, 40.9508 , 40.591267, 40.41157 , 40.63436 , 39.99489 , 41.431103, 40.4675 , 41.49779 , 40.67197 , 40.45775 , 41.08002 , 41.23884 , 40.75013 , 40.702526, 41.222965, 41.36474 , 41.083775, 41.26785 , 40.639595, 41.354275, 40.77755 , 40.64074 , 41.039436, 40.28872 , 40.20125 , 39.863148, 41.282887, 41.004707, 40.790943, 41.54962 , 40.61894 , 41.0393 , 40.698868, 40.640694, 41.4782 , 40.720615, 40.680733, 41.08846 , 40.652687, 40.335133, 40.239407, 40.98635 , 40.751297, 40.865074]], dtype=float32) - s_2024_25_age_youth_daily(chain, draw, days_2024_25)float3241.19 41.19 41.19 ... 40.87 40.87
array([[[41.18753 , 41.18753 , 41.18753 , ..., 41.18753 , 41.18753 , 41.18753 ], [41.15166 , 41.15166 , 41.15166 , ..., 41.15166 , 41.15166 , 41.15166 ], [41.050137, 41.050137, 41.050137, ..., 41.050137, 41.050137, 41.050137], ..., [40.9953 , 40.9953 , 40.9953 , ..., 40.9953 , 40.9953 , 40.9953 ], [41.085106, 41.085106, 41.085106, ..., 41.085106, 41.085106, 41.085106], [41.09227 , 41.09227 , 41.09227 , ..., 41.09227 , 41.09227 , 41.09227 ]], [[40.853333, 40.853333, 40.853333, ..., 40.853333, 40.853333, 40.853333], [40.590942, 40.590942, 40.590942, ..., 40.590942, 40.590942, 40.590942], [40.824795, 40.824795, 40.824795, ..., 40.824795, 40.824795, 40.824795], ... [40.28737 , 40.28737 , 40.28737 , ..., 40.28737 , 40.28737 , 40.28737 ], [40.50013 , 40.50013 , 40.50013 , ..., 40.50013 , 40.50013 , 40.50013 ], [40.894386, 40.894386, 40.894386, ..., 40.894386, 40.894386, 40.894386]], [[41.727753, 41.727753, 41.727753, ..., 41.727753, 41.727753, 41.727753], [40.33105 , 40.33105 , 40.33105 , ..., 40.33105 , 40.33105 , 40.33105 ], [40.839237, 40.839237, 40.839237, ..., 40.839237, 40.839237, 40.839237], ..., [40.98635 , 40.98635 , 40.98635 , ..., 40.98635 , 40.98635 , 40.98635 ], [40.751297, 40.751297, 40.751297, ..., 40.751297, 40.751297, 40.751297], [40.865074, 40.865074, 40.865074, ..., 40.865074, 40.865074, 40.865074]]], dtype=float32)
- created_at :
- 2026-03-31T21:18:01.297918+00:00
- arviz_version :
- 0.23.4
- inference_library :
- numpyro
- inference_library_version :
- 0.20.1
<xarray.Dataset> Size: 15MB Dimensions: (chain: 4, draw: 250, season: 3, age_categories: 3, date_ranges_2022_23: 18, incidence_2022_23_age_adult_prevalence_penalty_dim_0: 0, ... incidence_2024_25_age_elderly_prevalence_penalty_dim_0: 0, incidence_2024_25_age_youth_prevalence_penalty_dim_0: 0, days_2022_23: 126, days_2023_24: 126, days_2024_25: 119, observation: 159) Coordinates: (12/20) * chain (chain) int64 32B ... * draw (draw) int64 2kB ... * season (season) <U7 84B ... * age_categories (age_categories) <U7 84B ... * date_ranges_2022_23 (date_ranges_2022_23) <U21 2kB ... * incidence_2022_23_age_adult_prevalence_penalty_dim_0 (incidence_2022_23_age_adult_prevalence_penalty_dim_0) int64 0B ... ... ... * incidence_2024_25_age_elderly_prevalence_penalty_dim_0 (incidence_2024_25_age_elderly_prevalence_penalty_dim_0) int64 0B ... * incidence_2024_25_age_youth_prevalence_penalty_dim_0 (incidence_2024_25_age_youth_prevalence_penalty_dim_0) int64 0B ... * days_2022_23 (days_2022_23) <U10 5kB ... * days_2023_24 (days_2023_24) <U10 5kB ... * days_2024_25 (days_2024_25) <U10 5kB ... * observation (observation) <U41 26kB ... Data variables: (12/78) covariate_values_m_age (chain, draw, season, age_categories) float32 36kB ... covariate_values_m_season (chain, draw, season) float32 12kB ... covariate_values_r_season (chain, draw, season) float32 12kB ... covariate_values_s_season (chain, draw, season) float32 12kB ... incidence_2022_23_age_adult (chain, draw, date_ranges_2022_23) float32 72kB ... incidence_2022_23_age_adult_prevalence_penalty (chain, draw, incidence_2022_23_age_adult_prevalence_penalty_dim_0) float32 0B ... ... ... s_2024_25_age_adult (chain, draw) float32 4kB ... s_2024_25_age_adult_daily (chain, draw, days_2024_25) float32 476kB ... s_2024_25_age_elderly (chain, draw) float32 4kB ... s_2024_25_age_elderly_daily (chain, draw, days_2024_25) float32 476kB ... s_2024_25_age_youth (chain, draw) float32 4kB ... s_2024_25_age_youth_daily (chain, draw, days_2024_25) float32 476kB ... Attributes: created_at: 2026-03-31T21:18:01.297918+00:00 arviz_version: 0.23.4 inference_library: numpyro inference_library_version: 0.20.1xarray.Dataset -
- chain: 4
- draw: 250
- observation: 159
- chain(chain)int640 1 2 3
array([0, 1, 2, 3])
- draw(draw)int640 1 2 3 4 5 ... 245 246 247 248 249
array([ 0, 1, 2, ..., 247, 248, 249])
- observation(chain, draw, observation)float325.65 5.542 5.708 ... 5.777 5.861
array([[[5.6496577, 5.542327 , 5.708348 , ..., 5.7605734, 5.753174 , 5.6745896], [5.612613 , 5.5970154, 5.6570215, ..., 5.74565 , 5.71808 , 5.6538568], [5.5427094, 5.617528 , 5.6102276, ..., 5.849655 , 5.849382 , 5.8070197], ..., [5.6604824, 5.3377404, 5.716873 , ..., 5.7008576, 5.4732685, 5.7047133], [5.677233 , 5.2197146, 5.706109 , ..., 5.680143 , 5.437501 , 5.6769114], [5.6523685, 5.6574917, 5.7131996, ..., 5.7942123, 5.5628448, 5.7769527]], [[5.597153 , 5.6729484, 5.7090907, ..., 5.763923 , 5.677828 , 5.7653904], [5.679039 , 5.0005474, 5.7051034, ..., 5.699884 , 5.637401 , 5.707192 ], [5.4550543, 5.8132825, 5.4284835, ..., 5.831013 , 5.8400464, 5.79495 ], ... [5.2532544, 5.792911 , 5.129469 , ..., 5.83202 , 5.6171956, 5.842008 ], [5.4177074, 5.6215706, 5.4799867, ..., 5.7678356, 5.5989537, 5.7580175], [5.510527 , 5.6899166, 5.5424123, ..., 5.785209 , 5.69526 , 5.7827353]], [[5.5531545, 5.6315017, 5.4813523, ..., 5.7484927, 5.7458873, 5.6118393], [5.703103 , 5.4077554, 5.8019085, ..., 5.758362 , 5.435719 , 5.64305 ], [5.578129 , 5.4836607, 5.745796 , ..., 5.7493124, 5.727044 , 5.6882005], ..., [5.4931545, 5.6180286, 5.1279235, ..., 5.7828674, 5.7078104, 5.7855935], [5.6260657, 5.5674114, 5.864096 , ..., 5.8685565, 5.7909555, 5.855222 ], [5.742185 , 5.355575 , 5.8655415, ..., 5.8664966, 5.777295 , 5.860916 ]]], dtype=float32)
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array([], dtype=float32)
- incidence_2024_25_age_youth_prevalence_penalty(incidence_2024_25_age_youth_prevalence_penalty_dim_0)float32
array([], dtype=float32)
- incidence_2024_25_age_adult_prevalence_penalty(incidence_2024_25_age_adult_prevalence_penalty_dim_0)float32
array([], dtype=float32)
- incidence_2024_25_age_elderly_prevalence_penalty(incidence_2024_25_age_elderly_prevalence_penalty_dim_0)float32
array([], dtype=float32)
- created_at :
- 2026-03-31T21:18:01.307456+00:00
- arviz_version :
- 0.23.4
- inference_library :
- numpyro
- inference_library_version :
- 0.20.1
<xarray.Dataset> Size: 636B Dimensions: ( incidence_2022_23_age_youth_prevalence_penalty_dim_0: 0, incidence_2022_23_age_adult_prevalence_penalty_dim_0: 0, incidence_2022_23_age_elderly_prevalence_penalty_dim_0: 0, incidence_2023_24_age_youth_prevalence_penalty_dim_0: 0, incidence_2023_24_age_adult_prevalence_penalty_dim_0: 0, incidence_2023_24_age_elderly_prevalence_penalty_dim_0: 0, incidence_2024_25_age_youth_prevalence_penalty_dim_0: 0, incidence_2024_25_age_adult_prevalence_penalty_dim_0: 0, incidence_2024_25_age_elderly_prevalence_penalty_dim_0: 0, observation: 159) Coordinates: * incidence_2022_23_age_youth_prevalence_penalty_dim_0 (incidence_2022_23_age_youth_prevalence_penalty_dim_0) int64 0B ... * incidence_2022_23_age_adult_prevalence_penalty_dim_0 (incidence_2022_23_age_adult_prevalence_penalty_dim_0) int64 0B ... * incidence_2022_23_age_elderly_prevalence_penalty_dim_0 (incidence_2022_23_age_elderly_prevalence_penalty_dim_0) int64 0B ... * incidence_2023_24_age_youth_prevalence_penalty_dim_0 (incidence_2023_24_age_youth_prevalence_penalty_dim_0) int64 0B ... * incidence_2023_24_age_adult_prevalence_penalty_dim_0 (incidence_2023_24_age_adult_prevalence_penalty_dim_0) int64 0B ... * incidence_2023_24_age_elderly_prevalence_penalty_dim_0 (incidence_2023_24_age_elderly_prevalence_penalty_dim_0) int64 0B ... * incidence_2024_25_age_youth_prevalence_penalty_dim_0 (incidence_2024_25_age_youth_prevalence_penalty_dim_0) int64 0B ... * incidence_2024_25_age_adult_prevalence_penalty_dim_0 (incidence_2024_25_age_adult_prevalence_penalty_dim_0) int64 0B ... * incidence_2024_25_age_elderly_prevalence_penalty_dim_0 (incidence_2024_25_age_elderly_prevalence_penalty_dim_0) int64 0B ... * observation (observation) float32 636B ... Data variables: incidence_2022_23_age_youth_prevalence_penalty (incidence_2022_23_age_youth_prevalence_penalty_dim_0) float32 0B ... incidence_2022_23_age_adult_prevalence_penalty (incidence_2022_23_age_adult_prevalence_penalty_dim_0) float32 0B ... incidence_2022_23_age_elderly_prevalence_penalty (incidence_2022_23_age_elderly_prevalence_penalty_dim_0) float32 0B ... incidence_2023_24_age_youth_prevalence_penalty (incidence_2023_24_age_youth_prevalence_penalty_dim_0) float32 0B ... incidence_2023_24_age_adult_prevalence_penalty (incidence_2023_24_age_adult_prevalence_penalty_dim_0) float32 0B ... incidence_2023_24_age_elderly_prevalence_penalty (incidence_2023_24_age_elderly_prevalence_penalty_dim_0) float32 0B ... incidence_2024_25_age_youth_prevalence_penalty (incidence_2024_25_age_youth_prevalence_penalty_dim_0) float32 0B ... incidence_2024_25_age_adult_prevalence_penalty (incidence_2024_25_age_adult_prevalence_penalty_dim_0) float32 0B ... incidence_2024_25_age_elderly_prevalence_penalty (incidence_2024_25_age_elderly_prevalence_penalty_dim_0) float32 0B ... Attributes: created_at: 2026-03-31T21:18:01.307456+00:00 arviz_version: 0.23.4 inference_library: numpyro inference_library_version: 0.20.1xarray.Dataset
In [15]:
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vaxflux_idata.posterior_observations
vaxflux_idata.posterior_observations
Out[15]:
| chain | draw | season | season_start_date | season_end_date | start_date | end_date | report_date | age | type | value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 2022/23 | 2022-10-03 | 2023-02-05 | 2022-10-03 | 2022-10-09 | 2022-10-09 | youth | incidence | 0.015771 |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 2022/23 | 2022-10-03 | 2023-02-05 | 2022-11-21 | 2022-11-27 | 2022-11-27 | youth | incidence | 0.024992 |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 2022/23 | 2022-10-03 | 2023-02-05 | 2022-10-10 | 2022-10-16 | 2022-10-16 | youth | incidence | 0.018696 |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 2022/23 | 2022-10-03 | 2023-02-05 | 2023-01-30 | 2023-02-05 | 2023-02-05 | youth | incidence | 0.003411 |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 2022/23 | 2022-10-03 | 2023-02-05 | 2022-12-26 | 2023-01-01 | 2023-01-01 | youth | incidence | 0.011726 |
| ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... |
| 158995 | 3 | 249 | 2024/25 | 2024-10-07 | 2025-02-02 | 2024-10-14 | 2024-10-20 | 2024-10-20 | elderly | incidence | 0.037947 |
| 158996 | 3 | 249 | 2024/25 | 2024-10-07 | 2025-02-02 | 2025-01-06 | 2025-01-12 | 2025-01-12 | elderly | incidence | 0.022495 |
| 158997 | 3 | 249 | 2024/25 | 2024-10-07 | 2025-02-02 | 2024-11-11 | 2024-11-17 | 2024-11-17 | elderly | incidence | 0.051258 |
| 158998 | 3 | 249 | 2024/25 | 2024-10-07 | 2025-02-02 | 2025-01-20 | 2025-01-26 | 2025-01-26 | elderly | incidence | 0.014929 |
| 158999 | 3 | 249 | 2024/25 | 2024-10-07 | 2025-02-02 | 2024-12-30 | 2025-01-05 | 2025-01-05 | elderly | incidence | 0.027057 |
159000 rows × 11 columns
In [16]:
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az.plot_trace(
vaxflux_idata,
var_names=[
"covariate_values_m_age",
"covariate_values_m_season",
"covariate_values_r_season",
"covariate_values_s_season",
"m_age",
"m_age_mu",
"m_age_sigma",
"m_season",
"m_season_mu",
"m_season_sigma",
"r_season",
"r_season_mu",
"r_season_sigma",
"s_season",
"s_season_mu",
"s_season_sigma",
"observation_sigma",
],
)
plt.show()
az.plot_trace(
vaxflux_idata,
var_names=[
"covariate_values_m_age",
"covariate_values_m_season",
"covariate_values_r_season",
"covariate_values_s_season",
"m_age",
"m_age_mu",
"m_age_sigma",
"m_season",
"m_season_mu",
"m_season_sigma",
"r_season",
"r_season_mu",
"r_season_sigma",
"s_season",
"s_season_mu",
"s_season_sigma",
"observation_sigma",
],
)
plt.show()
/Users/twillard/Desktop/GitHub/ACCIDDA/vaxflux/.venv/lib/python3.11/site-packages/arviz/stats/density_utils.py:488: UserWarning: Your data appears to have a single value or no finite values
warnings.warn("Your data appears to have a single value or no finite values")
In [17]:
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vaxflux_idata.plot_posterior_predictive()
plt.show()
vaxflux_idata.plot_posterior_predictive()
plt.show()
In [ ]:
Copied!