NIS-FRVM Survey
In [1]:
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import arviz as az
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
import numpyro
import pandas as pd
from vaxflux import (
CovariateCategories,
LogisticCurve,
PartiallyPooledGaussianCovariate,
SeasonRange,
SeasonVaryingPartiallyPooledGaussianCovariate,
VaxfluxModel,
VaxfluxObservations,
)
from vaxflux.data import get_ncird_nis_frvm_flu_vaccination_coverage
numpyro.set_host_device_count(8)
az.style.use("arviz-docgrid")
import arviz as az
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
import numpyro
import pandas as pd
from vaxflux import (
CovariateCategories,
LogisticCurve,
PartiallyPooledGaussianCovariate,
SeasonRange,
SeasonVaryingPartiallyPooledGaussianCovariate,
VaxfluxModel,
VaxfluxObservations,
)
from vaxflux.data import get_ncird_nis_frvm_flu_vaccination_coverage
numpyro.set_host_device_count(8)
az.style.use("arviz-docgrid")
In [2]:
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observations = VaxfluxObservations.from_dataframe(
get_ncird_nis_frvm_flu_vaccination_coverage(include_age_groups=True)
)
observations.data.head()
observations = VaxfluxObservations.from_dataframe(
get_ncird_nis_frvm_flu_vaccination_coverage(include_age_groups=True)
)
observations.data.head()
Out[2]:
| season | season_start_date | season_end_date | start_date | end_date | report_date | age | type | value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2021/22 | 2021-08-01 | 2022-03-31 | 2021-08-01 | 2021-10-30 | 2021-10-30 | 18-49 years | incidence | 0.170 |
| 1 | 2021/22 | 2021-08-01 | 2022-03-31 | 2021-10-30 | 2021-11-27 | 2021-11-27 | 18-49 years | incidence | 0.109 |
| 2 | 2021/22 | 2021-08-01 | 2022-03-31 | 2021-11-27 | 2021-12-31 | 2021-12-31 | 18-49 years | incidence | 0.043 |
| 3 | 2021/22 | 2021-08-01 | 2022-03-31 | 2021-12-31 | 2022-01-29 | 2022-01-29 | 18-49 years | incidence | 0.024 |
| 4 | 2021/22 | 2021-08-01 | 2022-03-31 | 2022-01-29 | 2022-02-26 | 2022-02-26 | 18-49 years | incidence | 0.004 |
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observations.data.groupby(["season", "age"], as_index=False)["value"].sum()
observations.data.groupby(["season", "age"], as_index=False)["value"].sum()
Out[3]:
| season | age | value | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2021/22 | 18-49 years | 0.363 |
| 1 | 2021/22 | 50-64 years | 0.488 |
| 2 | 2021/22 | 65+ years | 0.655 |
| 3 | 2022/23 | 18-49 years | 0.358 |
| 4 | 2022/23 | 50-64 years | 0.503 |
| 5 | 2022/23 | 65+ years | 0.684 |
| 6 | 2023/24 | 18-49 years | 0.366 |
| 7 | 2023/24 | 50-64 years | 0.502 |
| 8 | 2023/24 | 65+ years | 0.715 |
| 9 | 2024/25 | 18-49 years | 0.363 |
| 10 | 2024/25 | 50-64 years | 0.483 |
| 11 | 2024/25 | 65+ years | 0.717 |
| 12 | 2025/26 | 18-49 years | 0.376 |
| 13 | 2025/26 | 50-64 years | 0.454 |
| 14 | 2025/26 | 65+ years | 0.690 |
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plot_data = observations.data.copy()
plot_data["start_date"] = pd.to_datetime(plot_data["start_date"])
plot_data["end_date"] = pd.to_datetime(plot_data["end_date"])
plot_data["mid_date"] = (
plot_data["start_date"] + (plot_data["end_date"] - plot_data["start_date"]) / 2
)
plot_data = plot_data.sort_values("mid_date")
plot_data["prevalence"] = plot_data.groupby(["season", "age"])["value"].cumsum()
fig, (ax_inc, ax_prev) = plt.subplots(2, 1, figsize=(10, 8), sharex=True)
for (season, age), group in plot_data.groupby(["season", "age"]):
label = f"{season} | {age}"
ax_inc.plot(group["mid_date"], group["value"], label=label)
ax_prev.plot(group["mid_date"], group["prevalence"], label=label)
ax_inc.set_title("Sample observations by season and age")
ax_inc.set_ylabel("Incidence")
ax_prev.set_title("Cumulative prevalence by season and age")
ax_prev.set_ylabel("Prevalence")
ax_prev.set_xlabel("Date")
handles, labels = ax_inc.get_legend_handles_labels()
fig.legend(handles, labels, loc="center left", bbox_to_anchor=(1.0, 0.5))
for label in ax_prev.get_xticklabels():
label.set_rotation(30)
fig.tight_layout(rect=(0, 0, 0.85, 1))
plt.show()
plot_data = observations.data.copy()
plot_data["start_date"] = pd.to_datetime(plot_data["start_date"])
plot_data["end_date"] = pd.to_datetime(plot_data["end_date"])
plot_data["mid_date"] = (
plot_data["start_date"] + (plot_data["end_date"] - plot_data["start_date"]) / 2
)
plot_data = plot_data.sort_values("mid_date")
plot_data["prevalence"] = plot_data.groupby(["season", "age"])["value"].cumsum()
fig, (ax_inc, ax_prev) = plt.subplots(2, 1, figsize=(10, 8), sharex=True)
for (season, age), group in plot_data.groupby(["season", "age"]):
label = f"{season} | {age}"
ax_inc.plot(group["mid_date"], group["value"], label=label)
ax_prev.plot(group["mid_date"], group["prevalence"], label=label)
ax_inc.set_title("Sample observations by season and age")
ax_inc.set_ylabel("Incidence")
ax_prev.set_title("Cumulative prevalence by season and age")
ax_prev.set_ylabel("Prevalence")
ax_prev.set_xlabel("Date")
handles, labels = ax_inc.get_legend_handles_labels()
fig.legend(handles, labels, loc="center left", bbox_to_anchor=(1.0, 0.5))
for label in ax_prev.get_xticklabels():
label.set_rotation(30)
fig.tight_layout(rect=(0, 0, 0.85, 1))
plt.show()
/var/folders/2z/h3pc0p7s3ng1tvxrgsw5kr680000gp/T/ipykernel_18290/996366010.py:28: UserWarning: The figure layout has changed to tight fig.tight_layout(rect=(0, 0, 0.85, 1))
In [5]:
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season_bounds = (
observations.data.groupby("season", as_index=False)
.agg(
season_start_date=("season_start_date", "min"),
season_end_date=("season_end_date", "max"),
)
.sort_values("season")
)
seasons = [
SeasonRange(
season=row.season,
start_date=row.season_start_date.date(),
end_date=row.season_end_date.date(),
)
for row in season_bounds.itertuples(index=False)
]
age_covariate_categories = CovariateCategories(
covariate="age",
categories=tuple(observations.data["age"].drop_duplicates().tolist()),
)
season_bounds = (
observations.data.groupby("season", as_index=False)
.agg(
season_start_date=("season_start_date", "min"),
season_end_date=("season_end_date", "max"),
)
.sort_values("season")
)
seasons = [
SeasonRange(
season=row.season,
start_date=row.season_start_date.date(),
end_date=row.season_end_date.date(),
)
for row in season_bounds.itertuples(index=False)
]
age_covariate_categories = CovariateCategories(
covariate="age",
categories=tuple(observations.data["age"].drop_duplicates().tolist()),
)
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covariates = [
PartiallyPooledGaussianCovariate(
parameter="m",
covariate=None,
mu_mu=-0.5,
mu_sigma=0.5,
sigma=0.5,
),
PartiallyPooledGaussianCovariate(
parameter="r",
covariate=None,
mu_mu=-3.5,
mu_sigma=0.5,
sigma=0.5,
),
PartiallyPooledGaussianCovariate(
parameter="s",
covariate=None,
mu_mu=60.0,
mu_sigma=10.0,
sigma=10.0,
),
SeasonVaryingPartiallyPooledGaussianCovariate(
parameter="m",
covariate="age",
mu_mu=1.5,
mu_sigma=0.5,
sigma=0.5,
),
SeasonVaryingPartiallyPooledGaussianCovariate(
parameter="r",
covariate="age",
mu_mu=0.5,
mu_sigma=0.5,
sigma=0.5,
),
SeasonVaryingPartiallyPooledGaussianCovariate(
parameter="s",
covariate="age",
mu_mu=0.0,
mu_sigma=10.0,
sigma=10.0,
),
]
covariates = [
PartiallyPooledGaussianCovariate(
parameter="m",
covariate=None,
mu_mu=-0.5,
mu_sigma=0.5,
sigma=0.5,
),
PartiallyPooledGaussianCovariate(
parameter="r",
covariate=None,
mu_mu=-3.5,
mu_sigma=0.5,
sigma=0.5,
),
PartiallyPooledGaussianCovariate(
parameter="s",
covariate=None,
mu_mu=60.0,
mu_sigma=10.0,
sigma=10.0,
),
SeasonVaryingPartiallyPooledGaussianCovariate(
parameter="m",
covariate="age",
mu_mu=1.5,
mu_sigma=0.5,
sigma=0.5,
),
SeasonVaryingPartiallyPooledGaussianCovariate(
parameter="r",
covariate="age",
mu_mu=0.5,
mu_sigma=0.5,
sigma=0.5,
),
SeasonVaryingPartiallyPooledGaussianCovariate(
parameter="s",
covariate="age",
mu_mu=0.0,
mu_sigma=10.0,
sigma=10.0,
),
]
In [7]:
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curve = LogisticCurve()
curve
curve = LogisticCurve()
curve
Out[7]:
<vaxflux._curves.LogisticCurve at 0x1465acd90>
In [8]:
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model = (
VaxfluxModel(curve=curve)
.add_seasons(seasons)
.add_covariate_categories(age_covariate_categories)
.add_covariates(covariates)
.add_observations(observations)
.add_observation_process(
kind="normal",
noise=0.01,
)
)
model
model = (
VaxfluxModel(curve=curve)
.add_seasons(seasons)
.add_covariate_categories(age_covariate_categories)
.add_covariates(covariates)
.add_observations(observations)
.add_observation_process(
kind="normal",
noise=0.01,
)
)
model
Out[8]:
<vaxflux.VaxfluxModel object at 0x146728110>
In [9]:
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prior_samples = 500
vaxflux_prior_idata = model.sample(samples=None, prior_samples=prior_samples)
vaxflux_prior_idata
prior_samples = 500
vaxflux_prior_idata = model.sample(samples=None, prior_samples=prior_samples)
vaxflux_prior_idata
Out[9]:
arviz.InferenceData
-
- chain: 1
- draw: 500
- season: 5
- age_categories: 3
- date_ranges_2021_22: 7
- date_ranges_2022_23: 7
- date_ranges_2023_24: 28
- date_ranges_2024_25: 33
- date_ranges_2025_26: 20
- days_2021_22: 243
- days_2022_23: 243
- days_2023_24: 244
- days_2024_25: 243
- days_2025_26: 243
- age_categories_short: 2
- observation: 285
- chain(chain)int640
array([0])
- draw(draw)int640 1 2 3 4 5 ... 495 496 497 498 499
array([ 0, 1, 2, ..., 497, 498, 499])
- season(season)<U7'2021/22' '2022/23' ... '2025/26'
array(['2021/22', '2022/23', '2023/24', '2024/25', '2025/26'], dtype='<U7')
- age_categories(age_categories)<U11'18-49 years' ... '65+ years'
array(['18-49 years', '50-64 years', '65+ years'], dtype='<U11')
- date_ranges_2021_22(date_ranges_2021_22)<U21'2021-08-01_2021-10-30' ... '202...
array(['2021-08-01_2021-10-30', '2021-10-30_2021-11-27', '2021-11-27_2021-12-31', '2021-12-31_2022-01-29', '2022-01-29_2022-02-26', '2022-02-26_2022-03-26', '2022-03-26_2022-04-30'], dtype='<U21') - date_ranges_2022_23(date_ranges_2022_23)<U21'2022-08-01_2022-10-29' ... '202...
array(['2022-08-01_2022-10-29', '2022-10-29_2022-11-26', '2022-11-26_2022-12-31', '2022-12-31_2023-01-28', '2023-01-28_2023-02-25', '2023-02-25_2023-03-25', '2023-03-25_2023-04-29'], dtype='<U21') - date_ranges_2023_24(date_ranges_2023_24)<U21'2023-08-01_2023-09-30' ... '202...
array(['2023-08-01_2023-09-30', '2023-09-30_2023-10-07', '2023-10-07_2023-10-14', '2023-10-14_2023-10-21', '2023-10-21_2023-10-28', '2023-10-28_2023-11-04', '2023-11-04_2023-11-11', '2023-11-11_2023-11-18', '2023-11-18_2023-11-25', '2023-11-25_2023-12-02', '2023-12-02_2023-12-09', '2023-12-09_2023-12-16', '2023-12-16_2023-12-23', '2023-12-23_2023-12-30', '2023-12-30_2024-01-06', '2024-01-06_2024-01-13', '2024-01-13_2024-01-20', '2024-01-20_2024-01-27', '2024-01-27_2024-02-03', '2024-02-03_2024-02-10', '2024-02-10_2024-02-17', '2024-02-17_2024-02-24', '2024-02-24_2024-03-02', '2024-03-02_2024-03-09', '2024-03-09_2024-03-16', '2024-03-16_2024-03-23', '2024-03-23_2024-03-31', '2024-03-31_2024-04-06'], dtype='<U21') - date_ranges_2024_25(date_ranges_2024_25)<U21'2024-08-01_2024-08-24' ... '202...
array(['2024-08-01_2024-08-24', '2024-08-24_2024-08-31', '2024-08-31_2024-09-07', '2024-09-07_2024-09-14', '2024-09-14_2024-09-21', '2024-09-21_2024-09-28', '2024-09-28_2024-10-05', '2024-10-05_2024-10-12', '2024-10-12_2024-10-19', '2024-10-19_2024-10-26', '2024-10-26_2024-11-02', '2024-11-02_2024-11-09', '2024-11-09_2024-11-16', '2024-11-16_2024-11-23', '2024-11-23_2024-11-30', '2024-11-30_2024-12-07', '2024-12-07_2024-12-14', '2024-12-14_2024-12-21', '2024-12-21_2024-12-28', '2024-12-28_2025-01-04', '2025-01-04_2025-01-11', '2025-01-11_2025-01-18', '2025-01-18_2025-01-25', '2025-01-25_2025-02-01', '2025-02-01_2025-02-08', '2025-02-08_2025-02-15', '2025-02-15_2025-02-22', '2025-02-22_2025-03-01', '2025-03-01_2025-03-08', '2025-03-08_2025-03-15', '2025-03-15_2025-03-22', '2025-03-22_2025-03-29', '2025-03-29_2025-04-05'], dtype='<U21') - date_ranges_2025_26(date_ranges_2025_26)<U21'2025-08-01_2025-10-11' ... '202...
array(['2025-08-01_2025-10-11', '2025-10-11_2025-10-18', '2025-10-18_2025-10-25', '2025-10-25_2025-11-01', '2025-11-01_2025-11-08', '2025-11-08_2025-11-15', '2025-11-15_2025-11-22', '2025-11-22_2025-11-29', '2025-11-29_2025-12-06', '2025-12-06_2025-12-13', '2025-12-13_2025-12-20', '2025-12-20_2025-12-27', '2025-12-27_2026-01-03', '2026-01-03_2026-01-10', '2026-01-10_2026-01-17', '2026-01-17_2026-01-24', '2026-01-24_2026-01-31', '2026-01-31_2026-02-07', '2026-02-07_2026-02-14', '2026-02-14_2026-02-21'], dtype='<U21') - days_2021_22(days_2021_22)<U10'2021-08-01' ... '2022-03-31'
array(['2021-08-01', '2021-08-02', '2021-08-03', ..., '2022-03-29', '2022-03-30', '2022-03-31'], dtype='<U10') - days_2022_23(days_2022_23)<U10'2022-08-01' ... '2023-03-31'
array(['2022-08-01', '2022-08-02', '2022-08-03', ..., '2023-03-29', '2023-03-30', '2023-03-31'], dtype='<U10') - days_2023_24(days_2023_24)<U10'2023-08-01' ... '2024-03-31'
array(['2023-08-01', '2023-08-02', '2023-08-03', ..., '2024-03-29', '2024-03-30', '2024-03-31'], dtype='<U10') - days_2024_25(days_2024_25)<U10'2024-08-01' ... '2025-03-31'
array(['2024-08-01', '2024-08-02', '2024-08-03', ..., '2025-03-29', '2025-03-30', '2025-03-31'], dtype='<U10') - days_2025_26(days_2025_26)<U10'2025-08-01' ... '2026-03-31'
array(['2025-08-01', '2025-08-02', '2025-08-03', ..., '2026-03-29', '2026-03-30', '2026-03-31'], dtype='<U10') - age_categories_short(age_categories_short)<U11'50-64 years' '65+ years'
array(['50-64 years', '65+ years'], dtype='<U11')
- observation(observation)<U45'2021/22|2021-08-01|2021-10-30|a...
array(['2021/22|2021-08-01|2021-10-30|age=18-49 years', '2021/22|2021-10-30|2021-11-27|age=18-49 years', '2021/22|2021-11-27|2021-12-31|age=18-49 years', ..., '2025/26|2026-01-31|2026-02-07|age=65+ years', '2025/26|2026-02-07|2026-02-14|age=65+ years', '2025/26|2026-02-14|2026-02-21|age=65+ years'], dtype='<U45')
- covariate_values_m_age(chain, draw, season, age_categories)float320.0 0.3258 1.838 ... 1.635 1.683
array([[[[ 0. , 0.32583916, 1.8376346 ], [ 0. , 1.0748571 , 1.8627225 ], [ 0. , 1.6788173 , 1.8596348 ], [ 0. , 1.0561543 , 1.8468723 ], [ 0. , 1.2590773 , 1.8467348 ]], [[ 0. , 2.5335717 , 1.2610706 ], [ 0. , 2.4365482 , 1.4397029 ], [ 0. , 1.3489932 , 1.3934 ], [ 0. , 2.5684774 , 1.2940474 ], [ 0. , 3.0662384 , 1.5530709 ]], [[ 0. , 1.3417635 , 2.31696 ], [ 0. , 0.71573204, 1.9335843 ], [ 0. , 1.0665332 , 2.4305685 ], [ 0. , 1.1103238 , 2.2381315 ], [ 0. , 2.3968215 , 1.9476753 ]], ..., [[ 0. , 1.4710071 , 1.4084173 ], [ 0. , 1.3594916 , 1.439977 ], [ 0. , 1.3311818 , 1.1183536 ], [ 0. , 1.3255581 , 1.3212206 ], [ 0. , 1.4430246 , 1.2016752 ]], [[ 0. , 0.8014445 , 2.1253746 ], [ 0. , 0.284535 , 2.3540075 ], [ 0. , -0.12624142, 1.3232377 ], [ 0. , 1.0343435 , 1.9955207 ], [ 0. , -0.08014673, 2.0191338 ]], [[ 0. , 0.7775865 , 2.141632 ], [ 0. , 1.6118557 , 2.5370374 ], [ 0. , 1.292161 , 1.7566073 ], [ 0. , 1.0080538 , 2.0356877 ], [ 0. , 1.6346748 , 1.6829295 ]]]], dtype=float32) - covariate_values_m_season(chain, draw, season)float32-0.9921 -0.4075 ... -0.8567 -0.9036
array([[[-0.99214756, -0.40747857, -0.9564661 , 0.32746893, -0.96854544], [ 0.19031283, -1.0226377 , 0.25622872, -0.92845386, -0.5423182 ], [-0.05335523, -0.36986536, -0.2850695 , -0.6110731 , -0.31624866], ..., [-0.3442569 , -0.258696 , -0.6549709 , -1.0648416 , -0.5728099 ], [-0.62547463, -0.7647765 , 0.4890467 , -0.21470912, -0.38871273], [-0.81287575, -0.92673236, -0.9362566 , -0.8566669 , -0.90362555]]], dtype=float32) - covariate_values_r_age(chain, draw, season, age_categories)float320.0 0.1861 1.139 ... 1.828 0.1222
array([[[[ 0. , 0.18611565, 1.1394103 ], [ 0. , 0.17679907, 1.4605075 ], [ 0. , 0.17130722, 1.4526812 ], [ 0. , 0.17736417, 1.0335448 ], [ 0. , 0.1728645 , 1.3084959 ]], [[ 0. , 0.76815766, 0.0639394 ], [ 0. , 1.0491449 , 0.02675051], [ 0. , 0.17994314, 0.02488456], [ 0. , 0.48475903, 0.02445935], [ 0. , 1.2386867 , 0.03737846]], [[ 0. , -0.40425378, 1.0065833 ], [ 0. , -0.5085544 , 0.76347464], [ 0. , -0.53518397, 0.8538844 ], [ 0. , -0.4175384 , 0.8873648 ], [ 0. , -0.49957168, 0.9778066 ]], ..., [[ 0. , 0.32678264, 0.7722484 ], [ 0. , 0.44674408, 0.82298446], [ 0. , 0.45385244, 0.8138637 ], [ 0. , 0.6240154 , 0.73404807], [ 0. , 0.40326938, 0.7177017 ]], [[ 0. , -0.04288454, -0.94389415], [ 0. , 0.1856336 , -0.9616962 ], [ 0. , 0.7432915 , 1.314642 ], [ 0. , 2.010442 , -0.27163306], [ 0. , -0.09336914, -0.90481704]], [[ 0. , -0.3161029 , 0.70299584], [ 0. , 0.14241175, 0.19096892], [ 0. , -0.0109986 , -0.35056338], [ 0. , -0.45997664, 0.75937086], [ 0. , 1.8278235 , 0.12221474]]]], dtype=float32) - covariate_values_r_season(chain, draw, season)float32-3.742 -3.357 ... -3.83 -3.846
array([[[-3.7419562, -3.357396 , -3.7250867, -3.5690439, -3.971393 ], [-3.8916922, -3.7342978, -2.6635175, -3.402442 , -3.204922 ], [-3.6004744, -3.6572776, -3.557551 , -3.5144646, -3.5460706], ..., [-2.8962238, -2.973376 , -5.0084248, -3.2058113, -3.6265173], [-3.5139394, -4.0795345, -2.9898896, -3.438918 , -4.02687 ], [-3.8483748, -3.8526266, -3.822377 , -3.829622 , -3.846245 ]]], dtype=float32) - covariate_values_s_age(chain, draw, season, age_categories)float320.0 9.711 -10.46 ... 27.49 -14.26
array([[[[ 0. , 9.710589 , -10.458059 ], [ 0. , 13.979965 , -7.352627 ], [ 0. , 45.966454 , -3.7796235 ], [ 0. , 40.631935 , -5.986898 ], [ 0. , 19.747038 , -4.3519073 ]], [[ 0. , -8.251357 , 13.647961 ], [ 0. , -8.710799 , 9.113638 ], [ 0. , -6.377485 , -1.3697124 ], [ 0. , -4.89401 , -8.715519 ], [ 0. , 10.454047 , 18.263653 ]], [[ 0. , 30.713425 , -8.943445 ], [ 0. , 36.212967 , -6.1174507 ], [ 0. , 30.035088 , -3.1769528 ], [ 0. , 24.821354 , 2.6268 ], [ 0. , 27.198025 , 0.38653308]], ..., [[ 0. , -14.343247 , -3.6934984 ], [ 0. , -10.032489 , -20.630646 ], [ 0. , -13.97826 , 43.330097 ], [ 0. , -13.709903 , 45.91945 ], [ 0. , -7.8259244 , -3.4633865 ]], [[ 0. , 0.9084242 , -10.301269 ], [ 0. , -4.3798513 , 38.058777 ], [ 0. , -7.6330767 , 41.284733 ], [ 0. , -6.2683187 , 30.125168 ], [ 0. , -0.5933686 , 40.668373 ]], [[ 0. , -10.90203 , -14.418397 ], [ 0. , 10.952829 , 30.021166 ], [ 0. , 9.230531 , 7.2006197 ], [ 0. , -5.756243 , 1.0459715 ], [ 0. , 27.489447 , -14.259653 ]]]], dtype=float32) - covariate_values_s_season(chain, draw, season)float3272.54 75.4 76.08 ... 38.86 48.48
array([[[ 72.536545, 75.40084 , 76.07912 , 69.48807 , 71.22178 ], [ 63.42619 , 105.931854, 61.745766, 83.93075 , 61.18064 ], [ 41.807564, 52.43216 , 44.225742, 49.35205 , 42.215874], ..., [ 52.81976 , 48.57903 , 64.8322 , 36.63556 , 50.090157], [ 38.699142, 38.119453, 36.3045 , 37.834774, 35.335815], [ 53.1385 , 53.52778 , 32.249317, 38.860847, 48.483704]]], dtype=float32) - incidence_2021_22_age_18_49_years(chain, draw, date_ranges_2021_22)float320.1229 0.04033 ... 0.004888 0.00321
array([[[1.2293638e-01, 4.0334191e-02, 3.3967301e-02, ..., 9.2924414e-03, 5.0488212e-03, 3.0926135e-03], [2.3067808e-01, 6.8295762e-02, 5.9880167e-02, ..., 1.9544374e-02, 1.1700825e-02, 7.9785353e-03], [2.6830938e-01, 5.0667312e-02, 3.2085579e-02, ..., 5.8355555e-03, 2.7638269e-03, 1.4844217e-03], ..., [3.4803584e-01, 3.7583571e-02, 9.6521741e-03, ..., 2.8636603e-04, 6.1049854e-05, 1.4053017e-05], [2.0442070e-01, 3.3296432e-02, 1.9060908e-02, ..., 2.8941662e-03, 1.2719576e-03, 6.3166535e-04], [1.3749860e-01, 3.5793845e-02, 2.9175662e-02, ..., 8.4964009e-03, 4.8879031e-03, 3.2099329e-03]]], dtype=float32) - incidence_2021_22_age_50_64_years(chain, draw, date_ranges_2021_22)float320.1604 0.06323 ... 0.01194 0.00954
array([[[1.6037031e-01, 6.3231446e-02, 5.0583169e-02, ..., 1.0613322e-02, 4.9960716e-03, 2.6186837e-03], [7.0015550e-01, 1.1525567e-01, 4.4006225e-02, ..., 2.7106481e-03, 7.9357164e-04, 2.5551915e-04], [2.9178870e-01, 9.5093735e-02, 9.1712102e-02, ..., 3.6447242e-02, 2.3725750e-02, 1.7614072e-02], ..., [7.0510727e-01, 1.3230947e-02, 1.6516685e-03, ..., 1.2720145e-05, 1.4892016e-06, 1.6546697e-07], [3.0933586e-01, 5.3759038e-02, 3.2295164e-02, ..., 5.3584226e-03, 2.4446384e-03, 1.2627613e-03], [1.6666976e-01, 4.4243541e-02, 4.1364972e-02, ..., 1.7328845e-02, 1.1936338e-02, 9.5396349e-03]]], dtype=float32) - incidence_2021_22_age_65__years(chain, draw, date_ranges_2021_22)float320.617 0.07056 ... 0.0001249
array([[[6.16969049e-01, 7.05569237e-02, 1.04763303e-02, ..., 9.56388103e-05, 1.20422565e-05, 1.60029481e-06], [3.37425351e-01, 1.16708823e-01, 1.06098227e-01, ..., 3.42184529e-02, 1.99354813e-02, 1.31071443e-02], [8.24647844e-01, 1.14570744e-02, 1.50082493e-03, ..., 1.29511809e-05, 1.60579782e-06, 1.85594942e-07], ..., [7.36276031e-01, 5.71979396e-03, 2.06130891e-04, ..., 8.47698445e-08, 0.00000000e+00, 0.00000000e+00], [2.08853960e-01, 5.69581315e-02, 5.78465760e-02, ..., 3.04450430e-02, 2.36565936e-02, 2.16712300e-02], [5.90501368e-01, 5.51622175e-02, 1.98889654e-02, ..., 1.25607790e-03, 3.77020624e-04, 1.24874568e-04]]], dtype=float32) - incidence_2022_23_age_18_49_years(chain, draw, date_ranges_2022_23)float320.2213 0.08005 ... 0.003089
array([[[2.21311808e-01, 8.00480470e-02, 5.15497886e-02, ..., 6.52729394e-03, 2.51724920e-03, 1.07645046e-03], [8.73373747e-02, 4.53082323e-02, 5.02082743e-02, ..., 1.79036353e-02, 1.02782696e-02, 6.48245448e-03], [2.12096542e-01, 5.12987114e-02, 3.69276255e-02, ..., 7.67835556e-03, 3.83372419e-03, 2.16875295e-03], ..., [3.55068803e-01, 3.76009569e-02, 1.09759672e-02, ..., 4.16350027e-04, 9.95838709e-05, 2.59015742e-05], [1.15073085e-01, 2.91923340e-02, 2.65609119e-02, ..., 9.77433100e-03, 6.41397154e-03, 4.86947456e-03], [1.25066444e-01, 3.34366113e-02, 2.80872360e-02, ..., 8.11090413e-03, 4.68572136e-03, 3.08904657e-03]]], dtype=float32) - incidence_2022_23_age_50_64_years(chain, draw, date_ranges_2022_23)float320.3159 0.1798 ... 0.009759 0.0058
array([[[3.1587517e-01, 1.7980888e-01, 1.1700842e-01, ..., 1.0607965e-02, 3.3829275e-03, 1.1785943e-03], [2.9763156e-01, 3.5716525e-01, 1.5211874e-01, ..., 2.5207037e-03, 3.7461548e-04, 5.8883506e-05], [1.7734130e-01, 6.4806566e-02, 7.1941391e-02, ..., 3.6037914e-02, 2.6322206e-02, 2.1995923e-02], ..., [7.0614463e-01, 1.2230433e-02, 1.3905542e-03, ..., 8.6514365e-06, 9.1519900e-07, 7.8649975e-08], [1.6222902e-01, 3.5617601e-02, 2.8515223e-02, ..., 8.0995830e-03, 4.7357446e-03, 3.1838657e-03], [3.1855294e-01, 9.4780959e-02, 7.6317184e-02, ..., 1.8554339e-02, 9.7592799e-03, 5.8002444e-03]]], dtype=float32) - incidence_2022_23_age_65__years(chain, draw, date_ranges_2022_23)float320.7796 0.03551 ... 0.01707 0.009864
array([[[7.79606819e-01, 3.55064347e-02, 5.61236346e-04, ..., 0.00000000e+00, 0.00000000e+00, 0.00000000e+00], [1.76481724e-01, 1.03902556e-01, 1.24129415e-01, ..., 4.75486852e-02, 2.73825210e-02, 1.71233341e-02], [6.99951112e-01, 5.71842864e-02, 1.43265575e-02, ..., 4.14318842e-04, 8.79841537e-05, 2.01705770e-05], ..., [7.37709701e-01, 6.39767619e-04, 2.50441281e-05, ..., 0.00000000e+00, 0.00000000e+00, 0.00000000e+00], [1.18753515e-01, 3.86128053e-02, 4.66036983e-02, ..., 3.37728187e-02, 3.14070433e-02, 3.53657715e-02], [3.62281501e-01, 1.44562349e-01, 1.29010871e-01, ..., 3.29696685e-02, 1.70709994e-02, 9.86350514e-03]]], dtype=float32) - incidence_2023_24_age_18_49_years(chain, draw, date_ranges_2023_24)float320.07519 0.01307 ... 0.0003948
array([[[7.5194404e-02, 1.3073303e-02, 1.3315380e-02, ..., 1.2066398e-03, 1.1420476e-03, 7.5432466e-04], [2.6236162e-01, 7.7800930e-02, 7.1364492e-02, ..., 2.3185478e-06, 1.5503871e-06, 7.3538132e-07], [1.6978142e-01, 2.2695297e-02, 2.1322966e-02, ..., 4.6645795e-04, 4.2477137e-04, 2.7070235e-04], ..., [3.4252606e-02, 4.5679989e-03, 4.5664520e-03, ..., 3.4005372e-03, 3.7281725e-03, 2.8283971e-03], [3.9410588e-01, 4.0356819e-02, 3.2177709e-02, ..., 1.3686867e-05, 1.0583998e-05, 5.7677521e-06], [9.0576611e-02, 1.0983623e-02, 1.0391260e-02, ..., 6.1553402e-04, 5.9014175e-04, 3.9480167e-04]]], dtype=float32) - incidence_2023_24_age_50_64_years(chain, draw, date_ranges_2023_24)float320.0791 0.02048 ... 0.001042
array([[[7.9104193e-02, 2.0479122e-02, 2.3352837e-02, ..., 6.1820494e-03, 5.7063573e-03, 3.6748615e-03], [4.9640387e-01, 1.2336377e-01, 9.5493600e-02, ..., 2.4022506e-07, 1.4082161e-07, 5.7985375e-08], [1.5076807e-01, 2.2711471e-02, 2.2872461e-02, ..., 5.7734419e-03, 5.8239140e-03, 4.0831673e-03], ..., [1.0420832e-01, 1.3882430e-02, 1.3796148e-02, ..., 6.3131968e-03, 6.6953069e-03, 4.9220561e-03], [5.4427338e-01, 1.2235546e-02, 6.0016187e-03, ..., 0.0000000e+00, 0.0000000e+00, 0.0000000e+00], [1.8471095e-01, 2.4043106e-02, 2.3084300e-02, ..., 1.6162653e-03, 1.5539274e-03, 1.0421813e-03]]], dtype=float32) - incidence_2023_24_age_65__years(chain, draw, date_ranges_2023_24)float320.1623 0.1194 ... 0.004067 0.002865
array([[[1.6226609e-01, 1.1944776e-01, 1.4348167e-01, ..., 5.2457086e-08, 0.0000000e+00, 0.0000000e+00], [4.1059288e-01, 1.1764551e-01, 1.0502161e-01, ..., 2.3866578e-06, 1.5720533e-06, 7.5029902e-07], [6.5171623e-01, 7.1461745e-02, 5.1644523e-02, ..., 1.4077666e-06, 9.6471433e-07, 4.7163843e-07], ..., [1.0128320e-01, 1.6556747e-02, 1.7090103e-02, ..., 8.6337375e-03, 8.9307092e-03, 6.4055524e-03], [3.3619225e-02, 8.4717691e-02, 2.1310711e-01, ..., 0.0000000e+00, 0.0000000e+00, 0.0000000e+00], [1.5939444e-01, 2.0670688e-02, 2.0210270e-02, ..., 4.0141391e-03, 4.0673423e-03, 2.8652479e-03]]], dtype=float32) - incidence_2024_25_age_18_49_years(chain, draw, date_ranges_2024_25)float320.05387 0.02316 ... 0.0005948
array([[[5.38727492e-02, 2.31614802e-02, 2.55820453e-02, ..., 1.41322869e-03, 1.16476486e-03, 9.59318364e-04], [1.73405204e-02, 8.47048033e-03, 1.00022545e-02, ..., 5.85163769e-04, 4.65036923e-04, 3.69321118e-04], [4.63484675e-02, 1.86809823e-02, 1.97997149e-02, ..., 3.90278146e-04, 3.17437603e-04, 2.58107611e-04], ..., [4.82742712e-02, 1.98905058e-02, 2.06529200e-02, ..., 3.36345329e-05, 2.53330727e-05, 1.90752417e-05], [7.18307719e-02, 2.77045667e-02, 2.84902900e-02, ..., 2.43680523e-04, 1.94810462e-04, 1.55710601e-04], [3.54497880e-02, 1.27074923e-02, 1.28937252e-02, ..., 7.99558358e-04, 6.89849490e-04, 5.94826648e-04]]], dtype=float32) - incidence_2024_25_age_50_64_years(chain, draw, date_ranges_2024_25)float320.02224 0.01151 ... 0.002957
array([[[2.2242483e-02, 1.1512064e-02, 1.4138649e-02, ..., 3.7487869e-03, 2.9843044e-03, 2.3720299e-03], [2.8417295e-02, 1.8988779e-02, 2.6342493e-02, ..., 1.0703523e-04, 7.3321513e-05, 5.0236918e-05], [5.1257093e-02, 1.9756131e-02, 2.0891465e-02, ..., 4.2355428e-03, 3.7359276e-03, 3.2904902e-03], ..., [2.0647924e-01, 8.3309032e-02, 7.2801977e-02, ..., 5.6020532e-08, 4.0742208e-08, 1.5278328e-08], [8.7275170e-02, 2.3208696e-01, 2.9667285e-01, ..., 0.0000000e+00, 0.0000000e+00, 0.0000000e+00], [4.3191440e-02, 1.4712445e-02, 1.4742495e-02, ..., 3.5040535e-03, 3.2207065e-03, 2.9572917e-03]]], dtype=float32) - incidence_2024_25_age_65__years(chain, draw, date_ranges_2024_25)float320.03062 0.02767 ... 2.251e-05
array([[[3.0619966e-02, 2.7672719e-02, 4.4629306e-02, ..., 1.1193563e-06, 6.4447840e-07, 3.7311929e-07], [4.4878587e-02, 2.1614332e-02, 2.5216877e-02, ..., 8.2800991e-04, 6.5355236e-04, 5.1560602e-04], [7.6177903e-02, 5.7312377e-02, 7.9687126e-02, ..., 1.3107812e-06, 7.7782715e-07, 4.6813702e-07], ..., [3.3165053e-03, 3.3513771e-03, 5.9634466e-03, ..., 1.5888270e-06, 8.7953094e-07, 4.8799836e-07], [8.0678470e-02, 3.2703824e-02, 3.5218358e-02, ..., 3.1028732e-03, 2.6301744e-03, 2.2274267e-03], [1.4178996e-01, 6.4402744e-02, 6.9256298e-02, ..., 4.3084576e-05, 3.1132888e-05, 2.2507413e-05]]], dtype=float32) - incidence_2025_26_age_18_49_years(chain, draw, date_ranges_2025_26)float320.08138 0.01036 ... 0.001777
array([[[0.0813757 , 0.01035766, 0.01027101, ..., 0.00380952, 0.00342485, 0.00307017], [0.19390668, 0.02770312, 0.02525324, ..., 0.00073362, 0.00055398, 0.00041802], [0.19964586, 0.01971437, 0.01791883, ..., 0.00147346, 0.00121095, 0.00099419], ..., [0.15584408, 0.01728864, 0.01618527, ..., 0.00193517, 0.00162057, 0.00135512], [0.12539339, 0.01278122, 0.01221581, ..., 0.00341658, 0.00306106, 0.00273798], [0.10394927, 0.01140703, 0.01089923, ..., 0.00233461, 0.00203859, 0.00177681]]], dtype=float32) - incidence_2025_26_age_50_64_years(chain, draw, date_ranges_2025_26)float320.1594 0.02477 ... 5.346e-08
array([[[1.59351215e-01, 2.47677732e-02, 2.53331158e-02, ..., 9.66180488e-03, 8.51841737e-03, 7.47964066e-03], [4.58497316e-01, 2.43525028e-01, 1.66638434e-01, ..., 1.23592727e-07, 1.54490909e-08, 0.00000000e+00], [2.50506997e-01, 3.10383551e-02, 3.07550188e-02, ..., 1.25902612e-02, 1.14384228e-02, 1.03633031e-02], ..., [4.28562373e-01, 3.81378755e-02, 3.21856737e-02, ..., 7.17146497e-04, 5.43522940e-04, 4.11775894e-04], [1.09411918e-01, 1.12812808e-02, 1.08571192e-02, ..., 3.61347850e-03, 3.28028318e-03, 2.97275884e-03], [2.40012720e-01, 1.73772588e-01, 1.54940665e-01, ..., 3.20751269e-07, 1.17608835e-07, 5.34585674e-08]]], dtype=float32) - incidence_2025_26_age_65__years(chain, draw, date_ranges_2025_26)float320.4034 0.09142 ... 0.002311
array([[[4.03398156e-01, 9.14177075e-02, 7.65999779e-02, ..., 9.49153036e-05, 5.82695320e-05, 3.57672034e-05], [2.81371087e-01, 6.09414205e-02, 6.14851043e-02, ..., 2.67489697e-03, 2.00333539e-03, 1.49822480e-03], [7.24498987e-01, 3.79779898e-02, 2.38135569e-02, ..., 8.42359168e-06, 4.92271465e-06, 2.87414309e-06], ..., [4.72314060e-01, 4.19381447e-02, 3.22420374e-02, ..., 1.39326323e-04, 9.51463444e-05, 6.49682406e-05], [1.05748884e-01, 1.20644486e-02, 1.20600648e-02, ..., 1.03345746e-02, 1.01333298e-02, 9.92536824e-03], [2.80356169e-01, 2.63511632e-02, 2.42861211e-02, ..., 3.19458498e-03, 2.71891430e-03, 2.31134379e-03]]], dtype=float32) - m_2021_22_age_18_49_years(chain, draw)float32-0.9921 0.1903 ... -0.6255 -0.8129
array([[-9.92147565e-01, 1.90312833e-01, -5.33552282e-02, -5.67600131e-01, -4.41203982e-01, -9.25937653e-01, -1.35270253e-01, -3.01736206e-01, -1.08050966e+00, -3.95554692e-01, 5.40635228e-01, 4.36706752e-01, -2.46813208e-01, -1.11433705e-02, -1.19172084e+00, -9.89781857e-01, -5.21961987e-01, -4.09618691e-02, -4.54738170e-01, -5.57063758e-01, 5.51008321e-02, 5.93219221e-01, 3.17036845e-02, -5.23517609e-01, -7.03344882e-01, -3.39194834e-01, -3.05180639e-01, -1.05779445e+00, -3.78951043e-01, -4.76291031e-01, -2.93559998e-01, -1.81479299e+00, -1.00487602e+00, -1.67577076e+00, -1.46963096e+00, -7.63393283e-01, -1.95445761e-01, -6.74131870e-01, -9.34677184e-01, -8.70035738e-02, -5.03773212e-01, -4.73696083e-01, -5.81386626e-01, -4.32826400e-01, -7.30564415e-01, -5.98785281e-01, 5.92772886e-02, -9.80664670e-01, -4.81854439e-01, -1.38143852e-01, -5.46965361e-01, 1.01480328e-01, -5.78863442e-01, 4.29567158e-01, -5.02497971e-01, 7.11582243e-01, -1.03323281e+00, -3.29065651e-01, -2.40114141e+00, 4.87925053e-01, ... -7.74872959e-01, -2.71898746e-01, -7.91306317e-01, -1.11061561e+00, -1.76362324e+00, -3.44857603e-01, 1.43302515e-01, -1.58399141e+00, 6.21283352e-02, -3.21075737e-01, -9.18490887e-01, -8.99694085e-01, -1.25558722e+00, -7.61933208e-01, 2.90428460e-01, -1.57721654e-01, -7.91354418e-01, -9.63066757e-01, 7.72095263e-01, -1.21489286e+00, 5.13743520e-01, 1.79249331e-01, -1.97146997e-01, -5.34012973e-01, -6.52090430e-01, 4.49163496e-01, -1.04919577e+00, 3.61479633e-03, -1.30934322e+00, -1.09067702e+00, -2.79721707e-01, -2.48370394e-01, -2.28776082e-01, 1.83613658e-01, 6.86563849e-01, -4.67018425e-01, -1.40117109e-01, -7.89942503e-01, -1.38526893e+00, -3.50574404e-01, -3.43646944e-01, 3.88940284e-03, -4.89244461e-01, -7.26593316e-01, -6.02515876e-01, -6.26407146e-01, 3.35674912e-01, -2.03859612e-01, 7.45829821e-01, -2.83070296e-01, 1.78434834e-01, -4.49334323e-01, -8.94239843e-01, -5.15979052e-01, -4.11063731e-01, -5.52884698e-01, -3.44256908e-01, -6.25474632e-01, -8.12875748e-01]], dtype=float32) - m_2021_22_age_18_49_years_daily(chain, draw, days_2021_22)float32-0.9921 -0.9921 ... -0.8129 -0.8129
array([[[-0.99214756, -0.99214756, -0.99214756, ..., -0.99214756, -0.99214756, -0.99214756], [ 0.19031283, 0.19031283, 0.19031283, ..., 0.19031283, 0.19031283, 0.19031283], [-0.05335523, -0.05335523, -0.05335523, ..., -0.05335523, -0.05335523, -0.05335523], ..., [-0.3442569 , -0.3442569 , -0.3442569 , ..., -0.3442569 , -0.3442569 , -0.3442569 ], [-0.62547463, -0.62547463, -0.62547463, ..., -0.62547463, -0.62547463, -0.62547463], [-0.81287575, -0.81287575, -0.81287575, ..., -0.81287575, -0.81287575, -0.81287575]]], dtype=float32) - m_2021_22_age_50_64_years(chain, draw)float32-0.6663 2.724 ... 0.176 -0.03529
array([[-0.6663084 , 2.7238846 , 1.2884083 , 0.9857255 , 1.3846769 , -0.19886035, 1.7666107 , 1.1007766 , -0.06751609, 1.1990558 , 1.8542982 , 2.1644454 , 0.44425026, 1.685728 , 0.9679071 , 0.08940363, 1.2498302 , 0.9271566 , 1.2370466 , 0.9105422 , 2.183461 , 1.5792534 , 1.1617804 , 1.3643811 , 1.1150298 , 2.1577764 , 0.99440193, 0.8543761 , 1.623714 , 1.1205962 , -0.00876492, 0.55920994, 1.9213568 , -1.0380039 , 0.7944937 , 1.2741674 , 0.9727981 , 1.1853759 , 0.9275579 , 1.2641695 , 1.5000517 , 0.49307987, 0.5470479 , 1.5269951 , 1.6496673 , 1.1631036 , 2.41513 , 0.24216288, 0.91039765, 1.0169516 , 0.8884337 , 1.7905238 , 2.3399704 , 2.5074975 , 1.2349141 , 1.062552 , -0.128281 , 1.2342079 , -1.544463 , 2.7000349 , 1.1500118 , 0.40709496, 2.2901444 , -1.9189271 , -0.04060125, 2.2252889 , 3.0282607 , 0.26236022, -0.79285693, 1.3058426 , 1.0267036 , -0.07510066, -0.14281166, 0.7809918 , 0.56353486, 0.9739827 , -0.08496886, 0.11810124, 0.84688324, -0.21240592, -0.877895 , 0.83907676, -1.0317458 , 1.3374958 , 1.3266249 , 0.04567711, -0.21383739, -0.10022032, 2.1049275 , 2.2625933 , 1.7935693 , 1.6486461 , 0.22221595, 1.4252676 , 1.9176892 , 0.60404783, 1.3073766 , -0.15992928, 2.8459964 , 2.5369039 , ... 0.22864747, 1.2448299 , 0.3975209 , 1.0696155 , 2.523404 , -0.51306546, 0.39121807, 1.302261 , 1.0475459 , 2.9823825 , -0.42078573, 1.2246262 , 0.93019843, 1.411714 , 1.201288 , -1.7878584 , 1.7069292 , 0.53566116, 0.35750228, 2.315128 , 0.43106052, 1.1098037 , 0.16443998, 1.6240336 , 0.30162144, 1.0151473 , 1.7957985 , 1.3259242 , 2.754287 , 3.459149 , 1.7199268 , 1.462645 , 2.6764934 , 0.37283373, -0.88335395, 0.9288736 , 0.5202418 , 1.5732152 , 0.13274008, 0.05415773, -0.61528015, 0.9784405 , 1.7967008 , -3.358743 , 2.443872 , 1.734241 , 0.28605258, 0.64573205, -0.21921074, 0.40824115, 1.3307724 , 1.6815021 , 0.70697355, -0.35973954, 3.0465486 , 0.21240866, 1.6931257 , 1.3146998 , 0.8560256 , 1.0062022 , 0.5263177 , 2.4463825 , 0.34407866, 2.3018153 , 0.5262555 , -0.87452936, 1.5095646 , 1.2832243 , 1.4485866 , 2.5892587 , 3.2505975 , -0.38671613, 2.036636 , 0.7236452 , 0.1303463 , 1.0388995 , 1.6555657 , 1.7625163 , 0.67308545, 1.7162545 , 0.6550178 , 1.8723621 , 2.3295138 , 0.82047313, 1.5688269 , 1.5508631 , 1.9105394 , 1.6797223 , 1.5929942 , 1.1251551 , 2.0708623 , 1.8660513 , 1.1267502 , 0.17596984, -0.03528923]], dtype=float32) - m_2021_22_age_50_64_years_daily(chain, draw, days_2021_22)float32-0.6663 -0.6663 ... -0.03529
array([[[-0.6663084 , -0.6663084 , -0.6663084 , ..., -0.6663084 , -0.6663084 , -0.6663084 ], [ 2.7238846 , 2.7238846 , 2.7238846 , ..., 2.7238846 , 2.7238846 , 2.7238846 ], [ 1.2884083 , 1.2884083 , 1.2884083 , ..., 1.2884083 , 1.2884083 , 1.2884083 ], ..., [ 1.1267502 , 1.1267502 , 1.1267502 , ..., 1.1267502 , 1.1267502 , 1.1267502 ], [ 0.17596984, 0.17596984, 0.17596984, ..., 0.17596984, 0.17596984, 0.17596984], [-0.03528923, -0.03528923, -0.03528923, ..., -0.03528923, -0.03528923, -0.03528923]]], dtype=float32) - m_2021_22_age_65__years(chain, draw)float320.8455 1.451 2.264 ... 1.5 1.329
array([[ 8.4548700e-01, 1.4513835e+00, 2.2636049e+00, 1.5083050e+00, 1.5469134e+00, 6.0276508e-01, -5.3638309e-01, 1.9654967e+00, -5.3810185e-01, -9.8252177e-02, 5.7865483e-01, 3.2957475e+00, 3.1464878e-01, 2.2806847e+00, 5.3758383e-01, 2.6486626e+00, 1.2395394e+00, 2.4062240e+00, 3.6767814e-01, 5.3371787e-02, 1.1918526e+00, 3.2162220e+00, 1.6746829e+00, 5.3198934e-01, 1.0179298e+00, 1.6182182e+00, 1.4375070e+00, 6.0475850e-01, -3.1823218e-01, 1.2014698e+00, 1.7420883e+00, -1.4780903e-01, -9.4073421e-01, 6.3548088e-02, -3.1795049e-01, -5.3971374e-01, 1.4913374e+00, 5.8665550e-01, 6.8636817e-01, 1.8166645e+00, 1.9746230e+00, 1.5325044e+00, 9.8240256e-02, 4.6979582e-01, 6.4933342e-01, 1.5465163e+00, 7.7252340e-01, 6.0708946e-01, 2.0560877e+00, 8.6439675e-01, 1.1936249e+00, 1.4639907e+00, 2.4903464e-01, 1.8157125e+00, 1.7245204e+00, 1.5669248e+00, 4.2054057e-01, 1.4918777e+00, -8.3699310e-01, 2.2495155e+00, 1.4816166e+00, -1.1337830e+00, 1.9957094e+00, 1.2339355e+00, -1.2027812e-01, 2.0775015e+00, 1.6459134e+00, -2.7892840e-01, -7.4184954e-01, 3.8607204e+00, 1.1418301e+00, 1.2261477e+00, 2.0470977e-01, 7.7321386e-01, 1.8569682e+00, 9.6860993e-01, 3.0044931e-01, 9.8998666e-02, 1.6434922e+00, 2.0885241e-01, ... 3.6690831e-03, 1.1004671e+00, 3.7497419e-01, -1.0482467e+00, 2.4836695e+00, -1.6373721e+00, 2.1087761e+00, -3.6754295e-01, 7.5513273e-01, 1.5005295e+00, 1.6951015e+00, 1.5722709e+00, 9.9488026e-01, 1.2103381e+00, -5.8787537e-01, -1.3635129e+00, 1.3213205e+00, -1.4099073e-01, 6.7985803e-01, 9.4082111e-01, -6.7006683e-01, -1.2869042e+00, 1.3544724e+00, 8.7130105e-01, -6.1358976e-01, 1.7774867e+00, 1.5422571e+00, 4.1987753e-01, 3.4019256e-01, -3.6153066e-01, 9.1085517e-01, 1.9026577e+00, 1.6466792e-01, 7.2397697e-01, 8.1962746e-01, 3.3984904e+00, -5.2042603e-02, 1.3937728e+00, 2.0979509e+00, 6.4346814e-01, 1.3614326e+00, 4.1026294e-01, 2.0681758e+00, 1.1510396e-01, 8.1320757e-01, 5.4240537e-01, 1.8343937e-01, 1.1022747e+00, 1.4815919e+00, 1.5019269e-01, 7.6565236e-01, 3.1673222e+00, 1.1598630e+00, 2.1713593e+00, 1.1720564e+00, -8.4459782e-03, 9.3307227e-02, 1.1250710e+00, 6.2945169e-01, -4.1663617e-02, 1.5991945e+00, 8.5190612e-01, -2.0051613e-01, 1.7797147e+00, 9.8563439e-01, 2.5470080e+00, 1.5573435e+00, 1.2102001e+00, 3.1969088e-01, 1.1579685e+00, 1.3530422e+00, 1.3691561e+00, 1.0014910e+00, 1.0641605e+00, 1.4998999e+00, 1.3287563e+00]], dtype=float32) - m_2021_22_age_65__years_daily(chain, draw, days_2021_22)float320.8455 0.8455 ... 1.329 1.329
array([[[0.845487 , 0.845487 , 0.845487 , ..., 0.845487 , 0.845487 , 0.845487 ], [1.4513835, 1.4513835, 1.4513835, ..., 1.4513835, 1.4513835, 1.4513835], [2.2636049, 2.2636049, 2.2636049, ..., 2.2636049, 2.2636049, 2.2636049], ..., [1.0641605, 1.0641605, 1.0641605, ..., 1.0641605, 1.0641605, 1.0641605], [1.4998999, 1.4998999, 1.4998999, ..., 1.4998999, 1.4998999, 1.4998999], [1.3287563, 1.3287563, 1.3287563, ..., 1.3287563, 1.3287563, 1.3287563]]], dtype=float32) - m_2022_23_age_18_49_years(chain, draw)float32-0.4075 -1.023 ... -0.7648 -0.9267
array([[-4.07478571e-01, -1.02263772e+00, -3.69865358e-01, -4.42728698e-01, -6.22249961e-01, -7.89519787e-01, -6.42370880e-01, -9.84137237e-01, -9.77686465e-01, -4.22657311e-01, 4.77988034e-01, 3.77220452e-01, -7.72280693e-01, 4.33911793e-02, -1.19421077e+00, -1.09900439e+00, -4.76272613e-01, 7.82371089e-02, -1.07566226e+00, -5.49370229e-01, 1.59935266e-01, -3.14345419e-01, 6.47149906e-02, -5.71467757e-01, -4.79600251e-01, -4.15383667e-01, 7.82451272e-01, -8.51731658e-01, 1.11282840e-02, 3.62089038e-01, -1.17156076e+00, -1.46754789e+00, -6.19601011e-01, -1.05686867e+00, -7.22068846e-01, -7.73446679e-01, -2.89038301e-01, -5.71804523e-01, -1.13076377e+00, -6.84002638e-02, -5.53199708e-01, -1.39904690e+00, 1.34182096e-01, 8.36669952e-02, -8.78318608e-01, -5.38119137e-01, 1.85329705e-01, -1.00078356e+00, -6.21308267e-01, 7.08519995e-01, -7.59548187e-01, 3.45480591e-01, -2.95484066e-01, 6.11550093e-01, -6.23838723e-01, 8.22651088e-01, -1.05060244e+00, -3.85397851e-01, -6.93145990e-01, 1.13920175e-01, ... -8.74525845e-01, 1.85673952e-01, -7.75017142e-01, -1.05671763e+00, -1.46106100e+00, -2.12825418e-01, 1.32371292e-01, -1.80098131e-01, 6.31526038e-02, 4.97191735e-02, -4.00030851e-01, -8.31423283e-01, -5.98116040e-01, -8.02488387e-01, 2.76921809e-01, -1.56293482e-01, -7.86185384e-01, -1.29254186e+00, 5.55369556e-01, -1.08834386e+00, 7.28304014e-02, -7.68935159e-02, -4.57559854e-01, -5.14318824e-01, 6.13545954e-01, 5.15467644e-01, -1.01109970e+00, 2.24906310e-01, -5.08563221e-01, -9.15935934e-01, -1.15955114e+00, 1.98684394e-01, -5.17047226e-01, 2.00868726e-01, 3.09587181e-01, 1.03836052e-01, -2.46578664e-01, -6.80207193e-01, -4.24003750e-01, -2.53782630e-01, 3.66347104e-01, -6.48746789e-02, -5.07929862e-01, -2.18475318e+00, 4.88804400e-01, -2.41797641e-01, 2.57986307e-01, -1.43997931e+00, 8.26791450e-02, -6.27811015e-01, 1.01249732e-01, 1.90102756e+00, -9.78888094e-01, -8.75075281e-01, -7.48708189e-01, -1.30739284e+00, -2.58695990e-01, -7.64776528e-01, -9.26732361e-01]], dtype=float32) - m_2022_23_age_18_49_years_daily(chain, draw, days_2022_23)float32-0.4075 -0.4075 ... -0.9267 -0.9267
array([[[-0.40747857, -0.40747857, -0.40747857, ..., -0.40747857, -0.40747857, -0.40747857], [-1.0226377 , -1.0226377 , -1.0226377 , ..., -1.0226377 , -1.0226377 , -1.0226377 ], [-0.36986536, -0.36986536, -0.36986536, ..., -0.36986536, -0.36986536, -0.36986536], ..., [-0.258696 , -0.258696 , -0.258696 , ..., -0.258696 , -0.258696 , -0.258696 ], [-0.7647765 , -0.7647765 , -0.7647765 , ..., -0.7647765 , -0.7647765 , -0.7647765 ], [-0.92673236, -0.92673236, -0.92673236, ..., -0.92673236, -0.92673236, -0.92673236]]], dtype=float32) - m_2022_23_age_50_64_years(chain, draw)float320.6674 1.414 ... -0.4802 0.6851
array([[ 6.67378545e-01, 1.41391051e+00, 3.45866680e-01, 1.16209054e+00, 2.85466909e-02, 3.74593019e-01, 1.11600113e+00, 4.28152740e-01, 4.06695008e-02, 4.21366453e-01, 1.79308605e+00, 2.09814310e+00, -8.30839276e-02, 1.76790357e+00, 8.05822134e-01, 3.73810887e-01, 1.30007470e+00, 1.97089899e+00, 6.15988970e-01, 5.56047559e-02, 2.30672216e+00, 8.69872868e-01, 1.23273087e+00, 9.78968382e-01, 1.48023605e+00, 1.76720011e+00, 2.68121910e+00, 3.49635482e-01, 1.78074455e+00, 1.87928402e+00, -1.30052149e+00, 3.30444098e-01, 1.97777748e+00, -7.21374154e-02, 1.30424666e+00, 1.69462907e+00, 7.74468660e-01, 1.02675819e+00, 5.06757617e-01, 9.08925772e-01, 1.39127588e+00, -3.23955536e-01, 1.21689177e+00, 1.72963524e+00, 1.50054741e+00, 1.24239373e+00, 2.54350829e+00, 1.78442955e-01, 3.48170817e-01, 1.90637207e+00, 1.20582998e+00, 2.01962328e+00, 1.13728476e+00, 1.53771150e+00, 1.29580402e+00, 1.82250178e+00, 6.14237070e-01, 2.10349739e-01, 5.18590212e-01, 2.44700789e+00, ... 1.18063509e-01, 1.46088469e+00, 1.27535880e-01, 8.75031352e-01, -2.56656647e-01, 1.04559553e+00, 1.61156332e+00, 3.29337120e-01, 1.86600900e+00, 2.13303113e+00, 6.18807435e-01, 4.84832764e-01, 6.66653037e-01, 2.85039365e-01, 1.16571569e+00, 1.55146182e+00, 5.84047914e-01, -2.15103626e-02, 2.10320807e+00, 4.21680212e-01, 2.35062385e+00, 9.38050091e-01, 5.27666569e-01, 1.41181660e+00, 1.06832218e+00, 2.32612896e+00, 6.30187988e-01, 2.76158547e+00, 1.69102859e+00, -7.24490643e-01, 7.68484116e-01, 1.67549467e+00, 8.71910751e-01, 1.86435306e+00, 2.81119370e+00, 1.61462176e+00, 1.90350771e+00, 1.08175898e+00, 1.51059306e+00, 1.10522056e+00, 2.18480086e+00, 9.17815447e-01, 6.52526915e-01, -3.63196492e-01, 2.05787277e+00, 1.82137203e+00, 2.25207901e+00, -2.72273302e-01, 9.25045729e-01, 4.69396055e-01, 1.39787376e+00, 3.97218561e+00, 1.44634604e+00, 8.12524736e-01, 1.37680483e+00, 7.85597801e-01, 1.10079563e+00, -4.80241537e-01, 6.85123384e-01]], dtype=float32) - m_2022_23_age_50_64_years_daily(chain, draw, days_2022_23)float320.6674 0.6674 ... 0.6851 0.6851
array([[[ 0.66737854, 0.66737854, 0.66737854, ..., 0.66737854, 0.66737854, 0.66737854], [ 1.4139105 , 1.4139105 , 1.4139105 , ..., 1.4139105 , 1.4139105 , 1.4139105 ], [ 0.34586668, 0.34586668, 0.34586668, ..., 0.34586668, 0.34586668, 0.34586668], ..., [ 1.1007956 , 1.1007956 , 1.1007956 , ..., 1.1007956 , 1.1007956 , 1.1007956 ], [-0.48024154, -0.48024154, -0.48024154, ..., -0.48024154, -0.48024154, -0.48024154], [ 0.6851234 , 0.6851234 , 0.6851234 , ..., 0.6851234 , 0.6851234 , 0.6851234 ]]], dtype=float32) - m_2022_23_age_65__years(chain, draw)float321.455 0.4171 1.564 ... 1.589 1.61
array([[ 1.455244 , 0.41706514, 1.563719 , 1.6096201 , 1.6326429 , 0.7388365 , 0.6408592 , 0.9651999 , -0.40307736, 0.57080966, 2.9673688 , 1.5183649 , 0.25858796, 1.9990025 , 0.02372575, 0.48701668, 1.3082905 , 2.4275692 , -0.44736552, 0.50573283, 2.1590886 , 1.8425345 , 2.9198453 , 0.44387877, 1.4020462 , 1.7832133 , 2.2708273 , 0.896152 , 0.9494178 , 2.553061 , 0.46702623, -1.493788 , -0.6872799 , 0.74169827, 0.1361925 , 0.28730452, 1.2315054 , 0.68315923, 0.44870353, 2.0336747 , 2.3752482 , 0.6387241 , 1.0840312 , 0.7713043 , 0.43544072, 1.3483388 , 0.7930243 , 0.20230138, 1.0088096 , 1.960788 , 0.9019834 , 1.754756 , 0.9225358 , 1.9637352 , 0.92695004, 2.11927 , 1.4870236 , 0.48509878, 0.69040024, 1.8523328 , 1.1142722 , 1.4864923 , -1.3319781 , 1.1775804 , 0.37428302, 1.7023894 , 1.1716982 , 1.2574431 , 1.3127787 , 2.4069233 , 0.7179029 , 1.2988731 , -1.1013886 , 1.0244379 , 0.5088904 , 0.8059621 , 0.55468434, -0.5899986 , 1.635789 , 0.06500864, 1.603575 , 1.0381522 , -1.5319834 , 2.0062623 , 1.3895338 , 1.1890193 , 1.0641012 , -0.12894511, 0.908266 , 3.4108086 , 0.2993748 , 0.67812526, 0.09884346, 3.41863 , 0.5347273 , 1.4752762 , 1.316954 , 1.7441871 , 0.01221478, 2.586064 , ... 0.85755855, 0.2793579 , 0.04075336, 0.957739 , 1.5574504 , -1.3168464 , 0.19355845, 1.1430911 , 2.524172 , 2.6505592 , 1.4679152 , -0.38726476, -0.21467614, -0.12543792, -0.64134264, -0.8185184 , 2.2502508 , 0.38156977, 1.9889252 , -0.48699528, 1.6300101 , 0.85240716, -0.03357524, 1.696747 , 2.0103602 , 1.4597586 , -0.34277022, 0.88318 , 1.3550721 , 0.5982427 , -0.08627161, 1.0203481 , 1.3701208 , 1.1546004 , -1.4142475 , 1.1355624 , 0.01145554, 0.33999223, 0.79226935, -0.00970447, -1.0656874 , 0.755904 , 2.4165561 , 0.97209555, 1.3104717 , 1.5083628 , 0.95699203, 0.37465584, 0.83197045, 0.9118771 , 1.8936415 , 0.15973204, 0.74643147, 1.4271687 , 2.698856 , 0.3132198 , 1.4373797 , 1.9847295 , 0.6294962 , 0.7641237 , 1.677784 , 2.7333782 , 1.0323225 , 1.0366555 , 1.3771985 , 0.14603645, 0.20789778, 1.5902684 , -0.324157 , 1.2018685 , 1.2199006 , 0.7682071 , 1.1855834 , 1.2390289 , 1.0353888 , -0.01591706, 0.94036543, 0.9024626 , -0.0326139 , 0.21133113, 2.1273084 , 1.7429826 , 1.3938146 , -0.250525 , 1.7781128 , 0.19913334, 1.1047398 , 3.016146 , 0.9346536 , 0.88771015, 0.62112385, -0.04726207, 1.1812811 , 1.589231 , 1.6103051 ]], dtype=float32) - m_2022_23_age_65__years_daily(chain, draw, days_2022_23)float321.455 1.455 1.455 ... 1.61 1.61
array([[[1.455244 , 1.455244 , 1.455244 , ..., 1.455244 , 1.455244 , 1.455244 ], [0.41706514, 0.41706514, 0.41706514, ..., 0.41706514, 0.41706514, 0.41706514], [1.563719 , 1.563719 , 1.563719 , ..., 1.563719 , 1.563719 , 1.563719 ], ..., [1.1812811 , 1.1812811 , 1.1812811 , ..., 1.1812811 , 1.1812811 , 1.1812811 ], [1.589231 , 1.589231 , 1.589231 , ..., 1.589231 , 1.589231 , 1.589231 ], [1.6103051 , 1.6103051 , 1.6103051 , ..., 1.6103051 , 1.6103051 , 1.6103051 ]]], dtype=float32) - m_2023_24_age_18_49_years(chain, draw)float32-0.9565 0.2562 ... 0.489 -0.9363
array([[-9.56466079e-01, 2.56228715e-01, -2.85069495e-01, -4.69044924e-01, -1.19204390e+00, -7.31229782e-01, -1.51248205e+00, -4.93044630e-02, -1.09662938e+00, -4.03763086e-01, 4.09071863e-01, -5.16081989e-01, -2.27312058e-01, -1.65845543e-01, -1.17251706e+00, -1.81996965e+00, -3.27963918e-01, 2.41802409e-01, -2.41568613e+00, -7.27902591e-01, 7.23299742e-01, 7.84274697e-01, 1.44180924e-01, -4.26288098e-01, 7.21005023e-01, -3.29465091e-01, 5.24358928e-01, -5.02207220e-01, -7.98554048e-02, -5.91713190e-01, -7.47163370e-02, -2.87239641e-01, -6.67357683e-01, -1.02972031e+00, -9.77650285e-01, -7.70197392e-01, -2.90966332e-01, -5.68888307e-01, -1.19563222e+00, -9.42351222e-02, -5.32206893e-01, -4.83836621e-01, -4.99254018e-01, -1.01991546e+00, 6.69224083e-01, -3.37377578e-01, 3.76358405e-02, -9.55957532e-01, -3.72162610e-01, -1.99169531e-01, -7.92682946e-01, 1.05200015e-01, -8.28558624e-01, 5.52934408e-01, -1.88898861e-01, 5.13249338e-01, -1.13377702e+00, -2.52443194e-01, -2.30288863e+00, 8.48467648e-02, ... -9.93116081e-01, -5.51059723e-01, -7.65387833e-01, -8.92347157e-01, -2.06321168e+00, 9.29947436e-01, 1.45799384e-01, -1.40587437e+00, 8.78670439e-02, 1.76234230e-01, -7.93904781e-01, -1.90158033e+00, -9.87465441e-01, -7.41929948e-01, 2.92154342e-01, -1.54026270e-01, -8.02211583e-01, -1.61447251e+00, -2.59453565e-01, -1.40065837e+00, 7.91472316e-01, -1.45276141e+00, -3.35918099e-01, -5.22345126e-01, -1.74264818e-01, -2.90106952e-01, -1.08550239e+00, 2.04624370e-01, -1.50651127e-01, -6.12416744e-01, -3.97066623e-01, -1.92731202e+00, 2.02828094e-01, 3.76113802e-02, 2.38648310e-01, 1.81761116e-01, -2.11689129e-01, -5.82757175e-01, -1.26368070e+00, -3.77753496e-01, -1.17548406e+00, -2.67886609e-01, -5.12233853e-01, -1.13830853e+00, -2.21750975e-01, -1.17074466e+00, -9.12540734e-01, -2.04125106e-01, 1.31936312e-01, -4.18828249e-01, -1.32683623e+00, -1.05287433e+00, -7.21643806e-01, -8.16050887e-01, -3.46247643e-01, -1.36742795e+00, -6.54970884e-01, 4.89046693e-01, -9.36256588e-01]], dtype=float32) - m_2023_24_age_18_49_years_daily(chain, draw, days_2023_24)float32-0.9565 -0.9565 ... -0.9363 -0.9363
array([[[-0.9564661 , -0.9564661 , -0.9564661 , ..., -0.9564661 , -0.9564661 , -0.9564661 ], [ 0.25622872, 0.25622872, 0.25622872, ..., 0.25622872, 0.25622872, 0.25622872], [-0.2850695 , -0.2850695 , -0.2850695 , ..., -0.2850695 , -0.2850695 , -0.2850695 ], ..., [-0.6549709 , -0.6549709 , -0.6549709 , ..., -0.6549709 , -0.6549709 , -0.6549709 ], [ 0.4890467 , 0.4890467 , 0.4890467 , ..., 0.4890467 , 0.4890467 , 0.4890467 ], [-0.9362566 , -0.9362566 , -0.9362566 , ..., -0.9362566 , -0.9362566 , -0.9362566 ]]], dtype=float32) - m_2023_24_age_50_64_years(chain, draw)float320.7224 1.605 ... 0.3628 0.3559
array([[ 7.22351193e-01, 1.60522187e+00, 7.81463742e-01, 1.06741440e+00, -2.66861498e-01, 4.31538701e-01, 1.49976885e+00, 1.56742084e+00, -3.96705925e-01, 1.90875143e-01, 1.61260605e+00, 1.20920086e+00, 4.52769488e-01, 1.49088323e+00, 1.46534419e+00, -4.34482455e-01, 1.44395864e+00, 1.36016119e+00, -7.41621137e-01, 3.71650398e-01, 2.86589289e+00, 1.54895401e+00, 1.70898104e+00, 1.26486766e+00, 2.78423691e+00, 2.43139935e+00, 1.72592402e+00, 1.24203610e+00, 1.38411200e+00, 1.22166181e+00, 1.67695451e+00, 2.05188751e+00, 8.28554988e-01, -3.65753174e-02, 7.24272013e-01, 4.59075570e-01, 8.92030060e-01, 6.71427846e-01, -2.99925148e-01, 1.14684153e+00, 1.49549305e+00, 1.04437679e-01, 7.43351579e-01, 8.49195123e-01, 3.04879093e+00, 1.41603184e+00, 2.37494588e+00, 1.69777632e-01, 1.47803879e+00, 9.53736305e-01, 1.32733011e+00, 1.60974252e+00, -9.47772264e-01, 1.63591850e+00, 9.83911574e-01, 1.30671823e+00, -1.65818930e-02, 1.44942451e+00, -3.17553759e-01, 2.40073609e+00, ... 1.79150271e+00, -4.70965654e-01, 2.52552092e-01, 9.31933343e-01, -8.39428186e-01, 2.45765781e+00, 1.71882045e+00, -2.80627251e-01, 7.49262929e-01, 2.00843763e+00, 2.13945985e-01, -8.49043012e-01, 1.33949459e-01, 1.28483176e+00, 1.30612838e+00, 1.77579498e+00, 8.37326229e-01, -9.50673282e-01, 5.74396610e-01, 2.54283428e+00, 2.90199471e+00, -1.61800027e-01, 7.70198464e-01, 8.80335569e-02, 5.53253174e-01, 1.50665879e+00, 4.05288815e-01, 2.63848495e+00, 1.77261353e+00, -3.35300505e-01, 1.60081530e+00, -4.31269288e-01, 1.90995812e+00, 1.45023179e+00, 2.78317785e+00, 1.46036303e+00, 1.27859390e+00, 1.27049279e+00, 3.91931415e-01, 9.97112870e-01, 4.74238396e-02, 1.46296835e+00, 5.53272486e-01, 3.22311640e-01, 1.19618964e+00, 1.33846879e+00, 1.08133578e+00, 8.48855913e-01, 9.76954281e-01, 2.13924348e-01, 3.26528072e-01, 1.04456520e+00, 1.72752821e+00, 7.85061598e-01, 2.09416175e+00, 8.21374536e-01, 6.76210880e-01, 3.62805277e-01, 3.55904400e-01]], dtype=float32) - m_2023_24_age_50_64_years_daily(chain, draw, days_2023_24)float320.7224 0.7224 ... 0.3559 0.3559
array([[[0.7223512 , 0.7223512 , 0.7223512 , ..., 0.7223512 , 0.7223512 , 0.7223512 ], [1.6052219 , 1.6052219 , 1.6052219 , ..., 1.6052219 , 1.6052219 , 1.6052219 ], [0.78146374, 0.78146374, 0.78146374, ..., 0.78146374, 0.78146374, 0.78146374], ..., [0.6762109 , 0.6762109 , 0.6762109 , ..., 0.6762109 , 0.6762109 , 0.6762109 ], [0.36280528, 0.36280528, 0.36280528, ..., 0.36280528, 0.36280528, 0.36280528], [0.3559044 , 0.3559044 , 0.3559044 , ..., 0.3559044 , 0.3559044 , 0.3559044 ]]], dtype=float32) - m_2023_24_age_65__years(chain, draw)float320.9032 1.65 2.145 ... 1.812 0.8204
array([[ 9.03168678e-01, 1.64962864e+00, 2.14549899e+00, 1.58767271e+00, 8.83913875e-01, 7.96982408e-01, 6.93089843e-01, 2.22422719e+00, -4.57380891e-01, -1.06832981e-02, 1.56222582e+00, 3.77902865e-01, 1.21089387e+00, 1.67162991e+00, 1.58179402e-01, -1.08667779e+00, 1.64989316e+00, 2.31129861e+00, -1.39315057e+00, -3.00743818e-01, 2.77130580e+00, 1.88187814e+00, 2.16967559e+00, 4.26953048e-01, 2.58966374e+00, 1.96832681e+00, 2.68804312e+00, 1.25559163e+00, -7.04276562e-02, 1.03864229e+00, 1.02493203e+00, -8.68911982e-01, -5.64068556e-02, 7.72454977e-01, -1.11193597e-01, -5.92520833e-02, 1.03556132e+00, 6.70581937e-01, 4.14871335e-01, 2.05078745e+00, 1.83197415e+00, 6.58941150e-01, 3.79815668e-01, 5.19355655e-01, 2.08315158e+00, 2.60182858e+00, 8.23019922e-01, 3.85176301e-01, 8.47417831e-01, 1.20348895e+00, 1.33419895e+00, 1.53435016e+00, 2.72458851e-01, 1.96397007e+00, 1.42740488e+00, 1.47829056e+00, -2.15638876e-02, 1.20434618e+00, -8.36176157e-01, 1.73857474e+00, ... -9.10199046e-01, 1.89514220e-01, 8.35533082e-01, 1.13599956e-01, -1.70237303e+00, 2.03270650e+00, 3.54011178e+00, -4.67052102e-01, 1.41180658e+00, 1.72316468e+00, 5.37797213e-01, -5.59495091e-01, 1.15458071e-01, 1.05828166e+00, 1.92090797e+00, 1.60354286e-01, 7.33815372e-01, -1.58769011e-01, 2.08062792e+00, -8.47608626e-01, 1.80747116e+00, 6.79728985e-01, 5.40620089e-01, 1.19946265e+00, 8.85181189e-01, 1.41231799e+00, 4.34586167e-01, 9.94459271e-01, 1.60882092e+00, 6.80648565e-01, 1.14529073e+00, -4.03852463e-01, 5.88076711e-01, 8.55562150e-01, 2.18898630e+00, -5.51450849e-01, 1.30584812e+00, 1.37502360e+00, 1.39268517e-01, -1.15942276e+00, -4.44081306e-01, 7.92540669e-01, 4.12280917e-01, 1.10285449e+00, 1.57383931e+00, 7.04489470e-01, 8.76319468e-01, 8.41095150e-01, 2.03361464e+00, 1.13949180e-03, -3.12130928e-01, 2.29095936e-01, 1.59496272e+00, 8.36220264e-01, 9.76848006e-01, 2.96268821e-01, 4.63382721e-01, 1.81228435e+00, 8.20350707e-01]], dtype=float32) - m_2023_24_age_65__years_daily(chain, draw, days_2023_24)float320.9032 0.9032 ... 0.8204 0.8204
array([[[0.9031687 , 0.9031687 , 0.9031687 , ..., 0.9031687 , 0.9031687 , 0.9031687 ], [1.6496286 , 1.6496286 , 1.6496286 , ..., 1.6496286 , 1.6496286 , 1.6496286 ], [2.145499 , 2.145499 , 2.145499 , ..., 2.145499 , 2.145499 , 2.145499 ], ..., [0.46338272, 0.46338272, 0.46338272, ..., 0.46338272, 0.46338272, 0.46338272], [1.8122844 , 1.8122844 , 1.8122844 , ..., 1.8122844 , 1.8122844 , 1.8122844 ], [0.8203507 , 0.8203507 , 0.8203507 , ..., 0.8203507 , 0.8203507 , 0.8203507 ]]], dtype=float32) - m_2024_25_age_18_49_years(chain, draw)float320.3275 -0.9285 ... -0.2147 -0.8567
array([[ 3.27468932e-01, -9.28453863e-01, -6.11073077e-01, -5.00554800e-01, -5.19455492e-01, -8.79660308e-01, -7.84990728e-01, 2.53197014e-01, -1.12182379e+00, -5.31209528e-01, 3.97219151e-01, -1.99872199e-02, -8.80866647e-01, 1.62846819e-01, -1.19525313e+00, -3.50084272e-03, 4.88645971e-01, -1.47834107e-01, -1.81156263e-01, -4.35858250e-01, 1.01379645e+00, -4.34839457e-01, 1.18940108e-01, -4.38106269e-01, -7.29812205e-01, -2.59683520e-01, -9.85563815e-01, -8.21455359e-01, 2.80165106e-01, 9.91754159e-02, -6.98800385e-01, -1.00152612e+00, -7.30988324e-01, -1.26321065e+00, -1.50406897e+00, -7.63505936e-01, -2.65681356e-01, -5.91308653e-01, -9.44726288e-01, -3.27778071e-01, -3.92429322e-01, -4.25618261e-01, -7.61249185e-01, -8.42859447e-01, 6.28097236e-01, -7.29270518e-01, 9.56872758e-03, -1.02468443e+00, -6.78656101e-01, -1.61554322e-01, -7.50955701e-01, 2.17165500e-01, -6.49539351e-01, 5.70451379e-01, -4.41980660e-01, 7.74221063e-01, -1.20531535e+00, -1.52981430e-01, -2.10515678e-01, 1.32868099e+00, ... -8.67608368e-01, -2.30893597e-01, -7.57695198e-01, -1.54157996e+00, -2.58166552e+00, 3.38946491e-01, 1.38925269e-01, -1.17950916e+00, 5.40975407e-02, -7.09605366e-02, -1.36019647e+00, -1.13377559e+00, -1.10606658e+00, -6.48434877e-01, 3.37948501e-01, -1.56899050e-01, -8.20374370e-01, -4.88525629e-01, -4.46122855e-01, -1.16205204e+00, 2.49576643e-01, -1.59967318e-01, -3.66169870e-01, -5.30574381e-01, -7.60091007e-01, 5.27810216e-01, -9.68287945e-01, 1.92653928e-02, 1.72567237e-02, -1.09961045e+00, -2.41078186e+00, 2.37290263e-01, -2.38594130e-01, -1.37033135e-01, -5.09025790e-02, -5.61283708e-01, -1.65816903e-01, -7.54799068e-01, -1.27470648e+00, -5.31474292e-01, -6.77306533e-01, 1.60708264e-01, -4.93313938e-01, -6.25841737e-01, 6.22478843e-01, -9.53117907e-01, -4.51829404e-01, 4.08073723e-01, -2.64453441e-01, -4.25676584e-01, -1.60952711e+00, -4.13875043e-01, -6.85893774e-01, 1.50309101e-01, -1.14892054e+00, -7.96260655e-01, -1.06484163e+00, -2.14709118e-01, -8.56666923e-01]], dtype=float32) - m_2024_25_age_18_49_years_daily(chain, draw, days_2024_25)float320.3275 0.3275 ... -0.8567 -0.8567
array([[[ 0.32746893, 0.32746893, 0.32746893, ..., 0.32746893, 0.32746893, 0.32746893], [-0.92845386, -0.92845386, -0.92845386, ..., -0.92845386, -0.92845386, -0.92845386], [-0.6110731 , -0.6110731 , -0.6110731 , ..., -0.6110731 , -0.6110731 , -0.6110731 ], ..., [-1.0648416 , -1.0648416 , -1.0648416 , ..., -1.0648416 , -1.0648416 , -1.0648416 ], [-0.21470912, -0.21470912, -0.21470912, ..., -0.21470912, -0.21470912, -0.21470912], [-0.8566669 , -0.8566669 , -0.8566669 , ..., -0.8566669 , -0.8566669 , -0.8566669 ]]], dtype=float32) - m_2024_25_age_50_64_years(chain, draw)float321.384 1.64 0.4993 ... 0.8196 0.1514
array([[ 1.3836231 , 1.6400235 , 0.4992507 , 1.0372515 , 1.3749521 , 0.1014939 , 2.972265 , 2.0582862 , -0.6272569 , 2.6162443 , 1.800419 , 1.6230121 , -0.17061383, 1.9311541 , 1.6632118 , 1.4635677 , 2.2743735 , 0.6348875 , 1.4715557 , 1.4936738 , 3.137858 , 0.37262586, 1.449508 , 1.1480083 , 1.1511419 , 2.135242 , 0.74019736, 0.8379296 , 2.6785412 , 1.7598984 , 0.14128846, 1.174974 , 1.0230968 , -0.2637878 , 0.6777247 , 0.9399903 , 0.86124086, 1.4205885 , 0.28263432, 0.6321566 , 1.5945573 , 0.33810738, 0.72865534, 0.9212459 , 3.0104449 , 1.0715165 , 1.7880579 , 0.23236716, 0.2694707 , 1.0716773 , 0.5474421 , 1.9265977 , -0.00829059, 2.6425142 , 0.538021 , 1.4944271 , 0.3028592 , 1.7324902 , 1.4647031 , 3.0210438 , 0.91923654, 0.3595116 , 0.9014385 , -1.7176278 , 0.27935946, 2.356682 , -0.8912225 , -0.08706713, 1.0030217 , 1.7667009 , 0.79719347, 0.23496413, 0.18966681, 0.14094639, 1.0306203 , 1.6097435 , 0.23385668, 0.8359943 , 1.0220652 , 0.09366202, -0.10516185, 0.8514633 , 0.58641064, 1.5991503 , 0.8132179 , 1.6420486 , -0.519184 , 0.80903065, 0.97757584, 1.896232 , 3.5668426 , 1.6405547 , 0.2973284 , 1.087541 , 2.6512504 , 1.7091463 , 0.99295306, 1.1156979 , 1.6505622 , 1.5677843 , ... 1.2432587 , 0.5860015 , 0.395414 , 1.3427329 , 3.895428 , -0.19858503, 0.68681526, 0.49231002, 0.98716044, 1.4111917 , -0.39424872, 0.7837384 , 0.3238541 , 1.3093951 , -1.0798738 , 1.0589561 , -0.23773795, 0.22731823, 1.7960895 , 3.6799233 , 1.3700205 , 0.6086151 , 0.25151366, 1.3341241 , 1.5889109 , -0.8938507 , 2.390905 , 0.7016432 , 1.6332946 , 3.6846035 , 0.7743516 , 1.404983 , 0.4950428 , 2.2252674 , -0.2868452 , 0.98954326, 1.5313499 , 0.90032005, 0.22470754, -0.22340453, -1.4070288 , 1.5396087 , 1.7435046 , -0.39608723, 1.5585766 , 1.5719446 , -0.40187544, 0.18681145, 0.35764194, 0.38150728, 1.4034152 , 1.2449986 , 0.92417467, -0.15277696, 1.1074123 , 0.29862356, 0.60485345, 1.0403647 , 0.770168 , 2.42754 , -0.6378882 , 2.4122882 , 0.44509268, 2.4453576 , 2.5253644 , -0.35918856, -0.45291948, 1.6984289 , 1.6647571 , 1.6530466 , 2.501397 , 0.9782847 , 1.5482494 , 0.75144416, 0.61011505, 0.8659163 , 1.0925115 , 2.4468517 , 0.7156068 , 1.642645 , 2.0620403 , 0.44985002, 1.5235953 , 1.3721952 , 0.57628095, 0.8549117 , -0.15905166, 1.672373 , 1.5140965 , 1.8636578 , 2.010164 , 1.2549875 , 0.26071644, 0.8196344 , 0.15138686]], dtype=float32) - m_2024_25_age_50_64_years_daily(chain, draw, days_2024_25)float321.384 1.384 1.384 ... 0.1514 0.1514
array([[[1.3836231 , 1.3836231 , 1.3836231 , ..., 1.3836231 , 1.3836231 , 1.3836231 ], [1.6400235 , 1.6400235 , 1.6400235 , ..., 1.6400235 , 1.6400235 , 1.6400235 ], [0.4992507 , 0.4992507 , 0.4992507 , ..., 0.4992507 , 0.4992507 , 0.4992507 ], ..., [0.26071644, 0.26071644, 0.26071644, ..., 0.26071644, 0.26071644, 0.26071644], [0.8196344 , 0.8196344 , 0.8196344 , ..., 0.8196344 , 0.8196344 , 0.8196344 ], [0.15138686, 0.15138686, 0.15138686, ..., 0.15138686, 0.15138686, 0.15138686]]], dtype=float32) - m_2024_25_age_65__years(chain, draw)float322.174 0.3656 1.627 ... 1.781 1.179
array([[ 2.17434120e+00, 3.65593493e-01, 1.62705851e+00, 1.57863569e+00, 1.37516308e+00, 6.49738491e-01, 1.67066669e+00, 1.26896262e+00, -6.10656977e-01, -7.70002604e-03, 1.79172695e+00, 6.43200696e-01, 5.84629774e-02, 2.22864699e+00, 3.62236619e-01, 2.25253510e+00, 2.29002929e+00, 9.69244778e-01, 5.62931776e-01, 4.04531121e-01, 2.02984428e+00, 1.62473631e+00, 2.02953482e+00, 7.49135494e-01, 1.30241656e+00, 1.75148189e+00, 1.08755016e+00, 3.86146426e-01, 1.71721637e+00, 2.04398227e+00, 3.01829040e-01, -1.01996386e+00, -3.60131174e-01, 8.84154201e-01, -3.31344724e-01, 6.06058359e-01, 1.21862614e+00, 6.52049124e-01, 7.04438150e-01, 1.89139104e+00, 1.79725599e+00, 1.28270304e+00, 4.29386139e-01, -6.03616238e-02, 1.96988988e+00, 2.41096091e+00, 8.30481768e-01, -2.24301219e-01, 2.84583759e+00, 1.07687747e+00, -1.65901482e-01, 1.67022324e+00, 1.38891757e-01, 1.96798134e+00, 1.03083801e+00, 1.93948996e+00, 1.05545282e-01, 1.15333951e+00, 1.28317547e+00, 3.02622843e+00, ... 3.24340880e-01, 1.28666162e+00, 8.86644483e-01, -5.90016246e-01, -2.26938200e+00, 6.06894851e-01, 1.49595666e+00, -8.10672045e-02, 1.81684780e+00, 1.28827822e+00, -2.52488852e-02, 1.53872848e-01, 5.60353041e-01, 1.03806269e+00, 1.97294974e+00, 1.58999607e-01, 7.55518079e-01, 1.20210731e+00, 2.16376567e+00, -7.71380901e-01, 1.32482409e+00, 1.87903154e+00, 5.96486330e-01, 1.05971289e+00, 3.06223810e-01, 1.53202474e+00, 5.56483388e-01, 8.50706458e-01, 1.92530918e+00, -5.10467708e-01, -8.54548573e-01, 2.22693110e+00, -4.47300971e-02, 1.89199418e-01, 2.94390488e+00, -2.49438381e+00, 4.45396841e-01, 1.35360122e+00, 1.40567780e-01, 2.70611763e-01, 6.72023416e-01, 9.59107816e-01, -5.99027038e-01, 2.02282190e+00, 2.13707972e+00, -1.38401687e-01, 2.08357263e+00, 1.54333115e+00, 1.71123719e+00, 9.54462051e-01, -5.71791530e-01, 6.52209938e-01, 9.33601260e-01, 1.85598075e+00, 4.37150955e-01, 3.88743937e-01, 2.56379008e-01, 1.78081155e+00, 1.17902076e+00]], dtype=float32) - m_2024_25_age_65__years_daily(chain, draw, days_2024_25)float322.174 2.174 2.174 ... 1.179 1.179
array([[[2.1743412, 2.1743412, 2.1743412, ..., 2.1743412, 2.1743412, 2.1743412], [0.3655935, 0.3655935, 0.3655935, ..., 0.3655935, 0.3655935, 0.3655935], [1.6270585, 1.6270585, 1.6270585, ..., 1.6270585, 1.6270585, 1.6270585], ..., [0.256379 , 0.256379 , 0.256379 , ..., 0.256379 , 0.256379 , 0.256379 ], [1.7808115, 1.7808115, 1.7808115, ..., 1.7808115, 1.7808115, 1.7808115], [1.1790208, 1.1790208, 1.1790208, ..., 1.1790208, 1.1790208, 1.1790208]]], dtype=float32) - m_2025_26_age_18_49_years(chain, draw)float32-0.9685 -0.5423 ... -0.3887 -0.9036
array([[-9.68545437e-01, -5.42318225e-01, -3.16248655e-01, -6.38048410e-01, -1.27121472e+00, -5.60325623e-01, -9.57510889e-01, 7.78334141e-02, -1.19249523e+00, -5.94870687e-01, 4.15151089e-01, -5.11729121e-01, -4.30655777e-01, -2.09106401e-01, -1.20692956e+00, 4.22382951e-01, -1.21237957e+00, 1.95116661e-02, 2.45842203e-01, -9.22824442e-01, 1.09246433e+00, 1.42464653e-01, 1.80372708e-02, -5.07963002e-01, -7.22797692e-01, -2.94762433e-01, 1.01391757e+00, -6.93977475e-01, 2.85324603e-01, -1.06876230e+00, -1.94019258e-01, -6.75225735e-01, -7.85448611e-01, -8.49412203e-01, -9.11087096e-01, -7.69697666e-01, -1.79193288e-01, -5.86981535e-01, -1.09246218e+00, -5.18024027e-01, -4.17826146e-01, -4.85796958e-01, -5.11082828e-01, -2.24331856e+00, -2.93327898e-01, -6.91862345e-01, 3.45825739e-02, -9.07328427e-01, -6.83661103e-01, -3.41455936e-01, -8.05988908e-01, 5.58461905e-01, -5.46578407e-01, 5.05648255e-01, -1.20489024e-01, 3.85455221e-01, -1.30139327e+00, -3.23283076e-01, -2.86100984e-01, 1.14787662e+00, ... -3.62561077e-01, 2.72091717e-01, -7.67221868e-01, -9.89564180e-01, -1.41302717e+00, 1.63278818e-01, 1.44544676e-01, 7.65825987e-01, 7.49474764e-02, 3.50404739e-01, -1.00744677e+00, -2.32490635e+00, 8.84475559e-02, -6.45464420e-01, 2.45260656e-01, -1.55190647e-01, -7.88837790e-01, -1.34941387e+00, -6.29949272e-01, -1.15923023e+00, -1.04915030e-01, 5.81686087e-02, -4.36727673e-01, -5.13154685e-01, 2.32361421e-01, 5.65706909e-01, -1.07978356e+00, 5.37533462e-01, 9.20433849e-02, -1.31523311e+00, 9.55545187e-01, 4.66773838e-01, -6.34759605e-01, 9.46736522e-03, 1.77515537e-01, -7.14369416e-01, -1.11728936e-01, -7.03962505e-01, -1.09594607e+00, -6.96193516e-01, -4.68401015e-01, -1.22755572e-01, -5.03328800e-01, -1.40717828e+00, -5.38627505e-01, -1.98227108e+00, 1.03326070e+00, -1.75838041e+00, -8.37456714e-03, -1.02943814e+00, -1.46347857e+00, -6.94603860e-01, -1.12659264e+00, 3.32383841e-01, -1.18954182e+00, -8.26412976e-01, -5.72809875e-01, -3.88712734e-01, -9.03625548e-01]], dtype=float32) - m_2025_26_age_18_49_years_daily(chain, draw, days_2025_26)float32-0.9685 -0.9685 ... -0.9036 -0.9036
array([[[-0.96854544, -0.96854544, -0.96854544, ..., -0.96854544, -0.96854544, -0.96854544], [-0.5423182 , -0.5423182 , -0.5423182 , ..., -0.5423182 , -0.5423182 , -0.5423182 ], [-0.31624866, -0.31624866, -0.31624866, ..., -0.31624866, -0.31624866, -0.31624866], ..., [-0.5728099 , -0.5728099 , -0.5728099 , ..., -0.5728099 , -0.5728099 , -0.5728099 ], [-0.38871273, -0.38871273, -0.38871273, ..., -0.38871273, -0.38871273, -0.38871273], [-0.90362555, -0.90362555, -0.90362555, ..., -0.90362555, -0.90362555, -0.90362555]]], dtype=float32) - m_2025_26_age_50_64_years(chain, draw)float320.2905 2.524 ... -0.4689 0.731
array([[ 0.29053187, 2.52392 , 2.0805728 , 0.88737977, -0.87920046, 0.7184737 , 1.1298044 , 1.4641476 , -0.9334393 , 1.3073144 , 1.7526568 , 1.1432664 , 0.16649568, 1.5713121 , -0.6377307 , 1.6657505 , 0.5647063 , -0.05140782, 1.9388788 , -1.3213592 , 3.2190118 , 0.97320026, 1.7956318 , 0.9202021 , 1.2776444 , 1.9997118 , 1.5038059 , 0.8780265 , 2.2552352 , 0.6204512 , -0.04724564, 1.7121491 , 0.9873368 , 0.38577282, 0.41918188, 0.42683423, 0.8727379 , 1.1147634 , 0.85251606, 0.33021402, 1.6452279 , 0.5378326 , 0.8832901 , -0.43435812, 2.0826406 , 1.0738487 , 2.0639863 , 0.39195853, 0.5839013 , 0.843436 , 1.1879512 , 2.290813 , -0.04730093, 1.4852458 , 1.5094862 , 1.1767229 , 0.8671844 , 0.64464337, 1.7716311 , 2.4608436 , 1.172075 , 0.40531117, 0.45611155, -2.4977639 , -0.1015718 , 1.9797554 , 1.9813862 , 0.19711554, 0.398454 , 1.1822085 , 0.6490375 , 0.80481315, -0.16894102, 1.152499 , -1.3333697 , 0.30468738, 0.45692366, 0.95294255, 0.8049123 , -0.14584112, -0.4107886 , 0.82225305, -0.42254722, 2.5196643 , 1.1170217 , 1.2835841 , -0.24302876, 0.00890219, 1.7366849 , 1.1277465 , 1.6682197 , -0.95390236, 1.6086754 , 0.89478195, 2.4207473 , 2.0517573 , 0.6094532 , 0.6497681 , 2.8859725 , 1.6174392 , ... 0.6513376 , 1.3837793 , 0.17237103, 0.31450635, 0.9053512 , -1.070853 , -0.9087519 , 1.1826711 , 0.80913496, 0.9741951 , 1.4806906 , 0.7148981 , 0.9855858 , 0.947033 , 0.15102732, 0.15208256, 1.3373542 , 0.4225614 , 1.3479536 , 1.7051258 , 2.5079796 , 0.11868054, -0.2460658 , 1.2891057 , 1.3687989 , 0.4473397 , 1.7090961 , 2.259808 , 1.8027815 , 2.2161644 , 3.7826958 , 1.4035577 , 1.8169062 , 1.4086337 , 0.94669175, 0.6824043 , 1.9130415 , 1.0723212 , 0.20171314, 0.39986324, -0.23611474, 1.6902728 , 1.7663506 , 4.201207 , 2.1187792 , 1.9388562 , 0.23743224, -0.87608683, 1.41296 , 0.9979446 , 1.5901234 , 1.2231569 , 0.94111454, -0.6145284 , 0.89103335, 0.13111973, 1.0610156 , 0.44357857, 0.7495513 , 1.7153094 , 0.8300851 , 2.3011396 , 0.35385406, 2.8004851 , 1.9350308 , -0.93948925, 2.5298376 , 1.9405276 , 0.53379065, 1.0379328 , 2.5645454 , 0.43778455, 1.4843274 , 0.88110846, 1.0571833 , 0.69259125, 1.6624746 , 1.8758436 , 0.5686339 , -0.00902998, 1.0061332 , 0.2544309 , 3.0150776 , -0.7091811 , 0.92879313, -0.40095812, 0.17760873, 1.3864813 , 1.1270111 , 1.9643619 , 0.97023106, 0.7746051 , 0.87021476, -0.46885946, 0.73104924]], dtype=float32) - m_2025_26_age_50_64_years_daily(chain, draw, days_2025_26)float320.2905 0.2905 ... 0.731 0.731
array([[[ 0.29053187, 0.29053187, 0.29053187, ..., 0.29053187, 0.29053187, 0.29053187], [ 2.52392 , 2.52392 , 2.52392 , ..., 2.52392 , 2.52392 , 2.52392 ], [ 2.0805728 , 2.0805728 , 2.0805728 , ..., 2.0805728 , 2.0805728 , 2.0805728 ], ..., [ 0.87021476, 0.87021476, 0.87021476, ..., 0.87021476, 0.87021476, 0.87021476], [-0.46885946, -0.46885946, -0.46885946, ..., -0.46885946, -0.46885946, -0.46885946], [ 0.73104924, 0.73104924, 0.73104924, ..., 0.73104924, 0.73104924, 0.73104924]]], dtype=float32) - m_2025_26_age_65__years(chain, draw)float320.8782 1.011 1.631 ... 1.63 0.7793
array([[ 8.7818933e-01, 1.0107527e+00, 1.6314267e+00, 1.4136121e+00, 4.9325097e-01, 9.6705830e-01, 3.2994062e-01, 1.3282512e+00, -6.3445520e-01, -1.5962496e-01, 1.1690122e+00, 8.2973218e-01, 1.3601463e+00, 1.6949534e+00, -4.0075684e-01, 3.7677946e+00, 7.4487734e-01, 1.8529720e+00, 1.2074375e+00, -3.9038318e-01, 2.6735444e+00, 2.4946163e+00, 2.0998824e+00, 2.7924645e-01, 1.1560965e+00, 1.3038321e+00, 2.5826063e+00, 1.1762223e+00, 5.7268548e-01, 7.5784743e-01, 6.8089604e-01, 1.2774110e-02, 2.6927918e-01, 7.8748524e-01, -1.6146243e-02, 1.0823263e+00, 1.4933046e+00, 6.6606367e-01, 4.3714738e-01, 1.6446044e+00, 2.6731181e+00, 1.5617106e+00, 4.5945674e-01, -1.1385821e+00, 1.0660611e+00, 1.7542925e+00, 4.3433502e-01, 1.4914125e-01, 1.7450110e+00, 9.5230722e-01, -3.5091218e-01, 1.9603249e+00, 4.3974048e-01, 1.8264506e+00, 1.6525407e+00, 1.3840090e+00, 1.1132481e+00, 1.3778301e+00, 1.1547154e+00, 2.8314672e+00, 2.7386608e+00, 5.9838897e-01, 1.7689424e+00, 6.9504523e-01, 3.6681294e-02, 2.7715900e+00, 7.4654770e-01, 9.8444200e-01, 7.1695131e-01, 3.1521523e+00, 5.5237818e-01, 1.1464726e+00, -1.7712498e-01, 9.5964772e-01, 1.1059186e+00, 1.0962241e+00, 4.8550469e-01, 1.4577931e+00, 2.0044198e+00, 7.0845294e-01, ... -1.4772999e-01, 7.4660051e-01, 5.0482798e-01, 1.8226655e+00, 2.5404673e+00, 8.8601518e-01, 1.6028616e+00, 1.4048368e-01, 6.3701165e-01, 8.3336067e-01, 1.5605259e+00, 1.9500231e+00, 8.4770334e-01, 3.0739145e+00, -7.3838913e-01, 5.8969796e-02, 1.0719974e+00, 1.1427623e+00, 1.5077959e+00, 7.4342984e-01, -9.9783123e-02, -1.3177615e+00, 1.0822670e+00, 1.9242221e+00, 1.8635254e+00, 1.5809546e+00, 1.7984762e+00, 3.0740345e-01, -1.0248754e+00, 1.7949090e+00, 1.2306075e+00, 1.8745630e+00, 1.7044070e-01, 5.1470971e-01, -1.9331133e-01, 1.8164465e+00, -3.4983498e-01, 9.8437965e-01, 2.1889136e+00, 9.6972156e-01, 9.7016960e-01, 1.2901859e+00, 2.7189424e+00, -7.4733639e-01, 1.3469064e+00, 1.8389500e+00, -4.4899547e-01, 2.3847377e+00, 2.4792030e+00, 2.5622308e-01, 5.3605974e-01, 2.3143780e+00, 5.9339035e-01, 1.4830736e+00, 1.2368677e+00, 7.1660030e-01, 5.4699749e-01, 5.0448883e-01, 9.2304915e-01, -4.6134859e-02, 1.6864952e+00, 1.2403951e+00, -8.3222723e-01, 1.8825340e+00, -5.0850105e-01, 1.7605828e+00, -1.2676179e-01, -4.3899739e-01, 2.2195894e-01, 8.2759547e-01, 2.2248323e+00, 2.3729682e-01, 5.8366162e-01, 6.2886530e-01, 1.6304210e+00, 7.7930397e-01]], dtype=float32) - m_2025_26_age_65__years_daily(chain, draw, days_2025_26)float320.8782 0.8782 ... 0.7793 0.7793
array([[[0.8781893 , 0.8781893 , 0.8781893 , ..., 0.8781893 , 0.8781893 , 0.8781893 ], [1.0107527 , 1.0107527 , 1.0107527 , ..., 1.0107527 , 1.0107527 , 1.0107527 ], [1.6314267 , 1.6314267 , 1.6314267 , ..., 1.6314267 , 1.6314267 , 1.6314267 ], ..., [0.6288653 , 0.6288653 , 0.6288653 , ..., 0.6288653 , 0.6288653 , 0.6288653 ], [1.630421 , 1.630421 , 1.630421 , ..., 1.630421 , 1.630421 , 1.630421 ], [0.77930397, 0.77930397, 0.77930397, ..., 0.77930397, 0.77930397, 0.77930397]]], dtype=float32) - m_age(chain, draw, season, age_categories_short)float320.3258 1.838 1.075 ... 1.635 1.683
array([[[[ 0.32583916, 1.8376346 ], [ 1.0748571 , 1.8627225 ], [ 1.6788173 , 1.8596348 ], [ 1.0561543 , 1.8468723 ], [ 1.2590773 , 1.8467348 ]], [[ 2.5335717 , 1.2610706 ], [ 2.4365482 , 1.4397029 ], [ 1.3489932 , 1.3934 ], [ 2.5684774 , 1.2940474 ], [ 3.0662384 , 1.5530709 ]], [[ 1.3417635 , 2.31696 ], [ 0.71573204, 1.9335843 ], [ 1.0665332 , 2.4305685 ], [ 1.1103238 , 2.2381315 ], [ 2.3968215 , 1.9476753 ]], ..., [[ 1.4710071 , 1.4084173 ], [ 1.3594916 , 1.439977 ], [ 1.3311818 , 1.1183536 ], [ 1.3255581 , 1.3212206 ], [ 1.4430246 , 1.2016752 ]], [[ 0.8014445 , 2.1253746 ], [ 0.284535 , 2.3540075 ], [-0.12624142, 1.3232377 ], [ 1.0343435 , 1.9955207 ], [-0.08014673, 2.0191338 ]], [[ 0.7775865 , 2.141632 ], [ 1.6118557 , 2.5370374 ], [ 1.292161 , 1.7566073 ], [ 1.0080538 , 2.0356877 ], [ 1.6346748 , 1.6829295 ]]]], dtype=float32) - m_age_mu(chain, draw, age_categories_short)float320.936 1.856 1.572 ... 1.565 1.87
array([[[ 0.93604624, 1.8562648 ], [ 1.5723896 , 1.3461368 ], [ 0.858074 , 2.0106688 ], [ 1.5503024 , 2.0645998 ], [ 1.5456796 , 2.0165393 ], [ 0.938324 , 1.5286336 ], [ 2.1858573 , 1.1533877 ], [ 1.5353197 , 1.6356802 ], [ 0.68789184, 0.5574598 ], [ 1.9370226 , 0.8901855 ], [ 1.3100706 , 1.1525984 ], [ 1.7276142 , 1.1165751 ], [ 0.65739334, 1.1516062 ], [ 1.7394246 , 1.9580697 ], [ 1.6584812 , 1.2693512 ], [ 1.341133 , 1.3625563 ], [ 1.7776946 , 1.7826043 ], [ 0.7592628 , 2.2686539 ], [ 1.6833408 , 0.7014221 ], [ 1.0293604 , 0.77410847], ... [ 1.3942472 , 0.81579965], [ 1.9229101 , 1.0986077 ], [ 1.6921493 , 0.783316 ], [ 1.1614882 , 0.45058402], [ 1.721121 , 2.3084044 ], [ 1.3645965 , 1.7591445 ], [ 1.7702118 , 1.4591196 ], [ 1.9864585 , 1.7756325 ], [ 1.0124525 , 1.1571332 ], [ 0.8531742 , 1.7882131 ], [ 0.94533384, 0.8745558 ], [ 1.6690897 , 1.043855 ], [ 2.0857863 , 1.0991553 ], [ 2.3823633 , 1.8415465 ], [ 1.628757 , 1.7203431 ], [ 2.4811447 , 1.5704422 ], [ 2.2376776 , 1.4559367 ], [ 1.4564687 , 1.2178482 ], [ 1.1863079 , 1.6581005 ], [ 1.5653375 , 1.869604 ]]], dtype=float32) - m_age_sigma(chain, draw, age_categories_short)float320.4976 0.0206 ... 0.2045 0.4139
array([[[4.97550875e-01, 2.05952935e-02], [8.71124625e-01, 1.11054406e-01], [5.59948325e-01, 2.56964833e-01], [3.63994651e-02, 1.23293540e-02], [5.90170145e-01, 1.88712493e-01], [3.18829805e-01, 7.10690452e-04], [9.51590121e-01, 7.38542259e-01], [1.47347718e-01, 4.78331864e-01], [3.01069140e-01, 4.70389836e-02], [8.60549629e-01, 4.63116139e-01], [1.43829107e-01, 8.86424839e-01], [4.46991622e-02, 1.22681224e+00], [3.78270894e-02, 7.08165526e-01], [4.37529311e-02, 1.35287881e-01], [6.73723459e-01, 2.09551394e-01], [1.72927573e-01, 1.04191720e+00], [3.66008561e-03, 1.60369232e-01], [8.26891303e-01, 1.14888990e+00], [1.48087023e-02, 2.65184790e-01], [6.06809914e-01, 3.15277189e-01], ... [1.70482509e-02, 6.22321427e-01], [3.43296647e-01, 4.35665905e-01], [3.19152594e-01, 2.28148386e-01], [9.21706259e-02, 2.59339929e-01], [5.61578810e-01, 6.49003148e-01], [1.39514565e-01, 1.87596336e-01], [7.94160247e-01, 1.27806020e+00], [1.29948771e-02, 6.52251303e-01], [1.08030193e-01, 1.15004733e-01], [3.71197574e-02, 7.33430684e-02], [9.23387170e-01, 4.06470895e-01], [2.90725529e-01, 4.50868607e-02], [1.91562679e-02, 4.34403121e-01], [1.05669521e-01, 2.79214233e-01], [4.88849320e-02, 7.47277811e-02], [4.64676172e-01, 1.50106296e-01], [4.95223016e-01, 3.22301209e-01], [1.79743260e-01, 2.04261601e-01], [5.87926924e-01, 7.90552020e-01], [2.04474941e-01, 4.13869441e-01]]], dtype=float32) - m_season(chain, draw, season)float32-0.9921 -0.4075 ... -0.8567 -0.9036
array([[[-0.99214756, -0.40747857, -0.9564661 , 0.32746893, -0.96854544], [ 0.19031283, -1.0226377 , 0.25622872, -0.92845386, -0.5423182 ], [-0.05335523, -0.36986536, -0.2850695 , -0.6110731 , -0.31624866], ..., [-0.3442569 , -0.258696 , -0.6549709 , -1.0648416 , -0.5728099 ], [-0.62547463, -0.7647765 , 0.4890467 , -0.21470912, -0.38871273], [-0.81287575, -0.92673236, -0.9362566 , -0.8566669 , -0.90362555]]], dtype=float32) - m_season_mu(chain, draw)float32-0.4452 -0.2614 ... -0.5652 -0.9396
array([[-0.44522944, -0.2614038 , -0.05037722, -0.39813763, -0.88132465, -0.6848092 , -1.063207 , -0.1805869 , -1.1169863 , -0.43885547, 0.3375248 , -0.26205355, -0.6326362 , 0.05019254, -1.1905767 , -0.49693546, -0.6351286 , 0.12405603, -0.4858696 , -0.5678281 , -0.12437481, 0.44675636, 0.05646483, -0.5198887 , -0.4447549 , -0.34021777, -0.41289958, -0.80004716, -0.1696262 , -0.09664918, -0.62494546, -0.74464715, -0.7661015 , -1.233509 , -0.8299088 , -0.76260567, -0.2342203 , -0.5924848 , -0.9214604 , -0.31067732, -0.4575201 , -0.667285 , -0.3797577 , -1.2079316 , -0.36476374, -0.6520021 , -0.02260885, -0.9358807 , -0.5151868 , -0.16101465, -0.6555639 , 0.08804926, -0.6548695 , 0.5375635 , -0.49596146, 0.72411996, -1.1187322 , -0.29282618, -0.76156604, 0.23535737, 0.31503624, -1.0023187 , -0.7907188 , -0.9870497 , -1.2736356 , 0.00840166, -1.110083 , -1.4014169 , -0.73329645, -0.48259774, -0.27233893, -0.9701329 , -1.4137635 , -0.6110609 , -0.78300476, -1.1384327 , -0.44894233, -0.49445865, -0.17807966, -1.3316139 , -0.94630474, -0.34286994, -0.69081765, 0.26771343, -0.23106162, -0.2661436 , -1.1364728 , -0.6587022 , -0.03775706, 0.23022507, -0.45529312, -0.10209578, -0.9243627 , -0.26381493, -0.37062013, -0.3548058 , -0.6637174 , -0.6481211 , -0.07567768, 0.27889776, ... -0.77158254, -0.88625455, -0.78521377, -0.518079 , 0.26045918, -1.6279358 , -0.70623314, -0.46029752, -0.38822082, -0.01935604, -1.061612 , -0.70081204, -1.5090089 , -0.5760768 , -1.6843182 , -0.7529888 , -0.67483705, -0.13654089, -0.28299588, -0.02746425, -0.6933283 , -0.761397 , -0.75653416, -0.348276 , -0.3532799 , -1.2922393 , -0.609514 , -0.3595405 , -0.0279497 , 0.1100156 , 0.23769577, -0.72638863, 0.22455034, -0.46579352, -1.5927757 , -0.7784263 , -0.55716413, -0.10572378, -0.7685442 , -1.0706292 , -1.2475667 , 0.29406652, 0.14283843, -0.96363825, 0.06466859, 0.02307698, -0.92958975, -0.84674597, -0.7165179 , -0.6903956 , 0.29465723, -0.15566796, -0.7920377 , -0.69209707, 0.1297687 , -1.1840216 , 0.22687036, -0.4297448 , -0.39870593, -0.5208159 , 0.15700631, -0.03206555, -0.984513 , 0.37692198, -0.18913944, -1.0313993 , -0.51485527, -0.3420059 , -0.39131185, -0.22242425, 0.10330127, -0.40225843, -0.16592568, -0.64373577, -0.9907998 , -0.45719022, -0.67255145, -0.09368601, -0.49676305, -1.2037859 , -0.3716196 , -1.179267 , 0.01132969, -0.6782722 , 0.0429931 , -0.49992347, -0.37866196, -0.50019836, -0.9272142 , -0.50104177, -0.3361902 , -0.8939667 , -0.59290713, -0.5651802 , -0.9396451 ]], dtype=float32) - m_season_sigma(chain, draw)float320.366 0.5728 ... 0.3658 0.05387
array([[3.65998715e-01, 5.72826266e-01, 3.34566891e-01, 1.67412415e-01, 2.54670590e-01, 1.31833002e-01, 6.83544934e-01, 7.32668579e-01, 1.24660842e-01, 1.98265240e-01, 1.17569223e-01, 3.30394506e-01, 3.43139410e-01, 2.14818880e-01, 1.71505064e-02, 6.15936816e-01, 6.12936020e-01, 2.43836716e-01, 8.62235248e-01, 1.07088991e-01, 1.04915512e+00, 5.53504825e-01, 9.61619765e-02, 6.06268235e-02, 6.94849491e-01, 1.07542381e-01, 9.12589788e-01, 2.15503573e-01, 3.18257600e-01, 6.22214615e-01, 3.21705490e-01, 4.82583612e-01, 1.16341904e-01, 3.47050786e-01, 6.48532331e-01, 1.01426821e-02, 4.63024937e-02, 4.29395735e-02, 2.73664951e-01, 2.06396386e-01, 9.59736332e-02, 5.26868761e-01, 2.70196378e-01, 7.05927610e-01, 8.81365716e-01, 1.64876655e-01, 1.35237738e-01, 6.02810457e-02, 1.16070367e-01, 8.04560959e-01, 1.54049113e-01, 2.77276188e-01, 2.42513567e-01, 6.63082898e-02, 2.05611065e-01, 2.85228521e-01, 9.25076306e-02, 6.64452985e-02, 1.08116353e+00, 8.01312804e-01, 2.53133059e-01, 4.16775167e-01, 4.97701198e-01, 4.57758188e-01, 4.47646737e-01, 5.14492571e-01, 5.38432658e-01, 4.96369541e-01, 5.21532357e-01, 3.80982198e-02, 1.80631042e-01, 7.45078847e-02, 4.31228966e-01, 3.78005892e-01, 7.04790950e-01, 4.09709036e-01, 1.73771113e-01, 3.45162243e-01, 6.00207746e-02, 1.52095377e-01, ... 9.63405967e-01, 7.16834426e-01, 9.13249776e-02, 9.56897512e-02, 3.23060930e-01, 6.17311656e-01, 8.64830554e-01, 4.27479208e-01, 4.92000431e-01, 3.46031338e-01, 1.39894798e-01, 4.13358152e-01, 4.75890115e-02, 1.03032660e+00, 7.64985263e-01, 9.02741253e-01, 5.40290058e-01, 1.79777443e-01, 8.75303864e-01, 2.51218323e-02, 3.01728874e-01, 1.23807597e+00, 5.54360747e-01, 6.10008975e-03, 1.01580524e+00, 1.87803153e-02, 2.93871939e-01, 5.52629292e-01, 8.08667362e-01, 6.87274754e-01, 1.23894222e-01, 2.22624857e-02, 1.46280543e-03, 1.79853067e-02, 7.10049450e-01, 3.92060935e-01, 1.02446966e-01, 2.65214592e-01, 4.90565956e-01, 1.20218858e-01, 1.18650869e-02, 6.87872827e-01, 5.21107137e-01, 9.58380401e-02, 4.16567504e-01, 4.76543248e-01, 1.88788548e-01, 8.48543048e-01, 4.68936920e-01, 3.61067146e-01, 4.71905440e-01, 1.97376043e-01, 8.35454822e-01, 5.64171523e-02, 6.66082427e-02, 5.48264146e-01, 3.39589477e-01, 5.64138055e-01, 2.60533065e-01, 8.01851414e-03, 5.85162759e-01, 7.64178574e-01, 5.30366063e-01, 4.98363912e-01, 8.87340784e-01, 4.89778668e-01, 3.76209080e-01, 1.14170158e+00, 9.59595799e-01, 1.70438096e-01, 7.06194401e-01, 4.07816738e-01, 4.54129159e-01, 3.69602174e-01, 3.65766823e-01, 5.38742989e-02]], dtype=float32) - observation_mean(chain, draw, observation)float320.1229 0.04033 ... 0.002311
array([[[1.2293638e-01, 4.0334191e-02, 3.3967301e-02, ..., 9.4915304e-05, 5.8269532e-05, 3.5767203e-05], [2.3067808e-01, 6.8295762e-02, 5.9880167e-02, ..., 2.6748970e-03, 2.0033354e-03, 1.4982248e-03], [2.6830938e-01, 5.0667312e-02, 3.2085579e-02, ..., 8.4235917e-06, 4.9227147e-06, 2.8741431e-06], ..., [3.4803584e-01, 3.7583571e-02, 9.6521741e-03, ..., 1.3932632e-04, 9.5146344e-05, 6.4968241e-05], [2.0442070e-01, 3.3296432e-02, 1.9060908e-02, ..., 1.0334575e-02, 1.0133330e-02, 9.9253682e-03], [1.3749860e-01, 3.5793845e-02, 2.9175662e-02, ..., 3.1945850e-03, 2.7189143e-03, 2.3113438e-03]]], dtype=float32) - observation_sigma(chain, draw, season)float320.03204 0.007694 ... 0.01271
array([[[0.03203672, 0.00769403, 0.00482387, 0.01709324, 0.04039548], [0.00330908, 0.00334365, 0.00510745, 0.0157971 , 0.00520435], [0.00242481, 0.00375158, 0.02844165, 0.00669565, 0.00422574], ..., [0.01621793, 0.00914132, 0.00325398, 0.01063901, 0.00214408], [0.01188203, 0.00622852, 0.00421041, 0.01362809, 0.00694613], [0.00308813, 0.00272668, 0.02615469, 0.00585923, 0.01270652]]], dtype=float32) - observation_sim(chain, draw, observation)float320.3509 0.01424 ... -0.02463 -0.0143
array([[[ 0.35088876, 0.01424039, 0.06391263, ..., -0.04437942, -0.1181312 , -0.05099687], [ 0.22173876, 0.07662021, 0.04112608, ..., 0.01207273, 0.01256284, 0.00215432], [ 0.2811409 , 0.06272268, 0.02033861, ..., 0.00242156, 0.01354313, 0.0035948 ], ..., [ 0.35634238, 0.10327189, -0.0251462 , ..., -0.00334223, 0.00799147, 0.00750309], [ 0.22864336, -0.02976361, 0.03312235, ..., 0.0020005 , 0.00739271, -0.02045402], [ 0.15178975, 0.02157804, 0.0296366 , ..., -0.00806835, -0.0246283 , -0.0142996 ]]], dtype=float32) - r_2021_22_age_18_49_years(chain, draw)float32-3.742 -3.892 ... -3.514 -3.848
array([[-3.7419562, -3.8916922, -3.6004744, -3.7784758, -2.0486047, -3.4921215, -3.4937837, -3.4905906, -3.4475245, -3.7966702, -3.7005746, -3.4266548, -3.393794 , -3.2509618, -2.9867852, -3.81826 , -2.7595334, -2.9144335, -3.3710644, -4.3549876, -2.3940372, -3.4026887, -3.2307804, -3.2214441, -3.0248718, -2.4924479, -2.9978454, -3.6448596, -2.5844066, -2.206268 , -3.2458308, -4.198235 , -4.1163344, -3.2084558, -2.7622175, -3.0270681, -2.7316628, -4.0192623, -3.6138482, -4.0274653, -3.2836933, -3.3168669, -4.1114326, -3.651217 , -2.9628289, -3.0009804, -4.200495 , -4.139352 , -2.3413658, -2.9889734, -3.6579952, -3.137413 , -4.1402206, -4.064604 , -2.9593854, -2.5664318, -2.9743738, -4.2591977, -3.5529811, -1.9597548, -3.277086 , -3.4608605, -3.3034759, -3.1816547, -2.8787227, -3.3236876, -0.2721649, -1.7214797, -3.9116929, -3.0039086, -3.8906536, -3.4492462, -4.5542936, -2.9595234, -3.9624877, -3.0184605, -4.0852933, -3.348345 , -3.40475 , -3.8897183, -3.916575 , -3.8534203, -3.3142364, -2.191291 , -4.0226417, -3.3487697, -3.793732 , -2.952234 , -3.6956549, -3.294676 , -3.5728161, -3.6823664, -3.3896298, -4.86294 , -2.5469131, -3.594124 , -4.5012865, -3.4936314, -3.1347187, -3.768456 , ... -3.6855628, -3.7453682, -3.5550542, -3.139478 , -3.7833152, -3.919403 , -3.126308 , -3.290084 , -3.7697358, -3.227046 , -4.2484503, -3.125468 , -3.2604516, -2.695322 , -3.4492636, -3.5223076, -3.0590582, -3.33493 , -3.513761 , -2.45534 , -3.2621686, -3.495353 , -2.9773753, -3.34047 , -3.265 , -2.9120708, -3.4271095, -3.2097423, -3.9509745, -4.782359 , -3.987635 , -4.243799 , -3.7152767, -4.6034536, -4.5941877, -2.4386528, -3.0182874, -3.5528195, -3.2668576, -2.7668686, -2.904251 , -2.1577728, -3.6093824, -3.7558734, -3.3517213, -3.3358572, -4.045011 , -3.0009606, -3.3822997, -3.4423103, -3.5832305, -3.087155 , -4.2155757, -3.1744933, -4.3227797, -3.2736974, -3.5003157, -4.5822906, -2.7740119, -4.186046 , -3.8531513, -3.3889995, -3.8126266, -3.6531944, -3.8830626, -3.305981 , -1.8576881, -3.3688912, -3.8420396, -3.4365997, -3.4270635, -3.50928 , -4.48651 , -3.05117 , -3.029089 , -5.3550773, -2.4908965, -3.9568334, -3.43373 , -3.920782 , -3.0761824, -3.6801448, -5.306569 , -4.6656504, -4.2589755, -3.8321345, -3.254105 , -3.5760424, -2.939736 , -4.1921124, -4.290463 , -3.8418107, -2.8962238, -3.5139394, -3.8483748]], dtype=float32) - r_2021_22_age_18_49_years_daily(chain, draw, days_2021_22)float32-3.742 -3.742 ... -3.848 -3.848
array([[[-3.7419562, -3.7419562, -3.7419562, ..., -3.7419562, -3.7419562, -3.7419562], [-3.8916922, -3.8916922, -3.8916922, ..., -3.8916922, -3.8916922, -3.8916922], [-3.6004744, -3.6004744, -3.6004744, ..., -3.6004744, -3.6004744, -3.6004744], ..., [-2.8962238, -2.8962238, -2.8962238, ..., -2.8962238, -2.8962238, -2.8962238], [-3.5139394, -3.5139394, -3.5139394, ..., -3.5139394, -3.5139394, -3.5139394], [-3.8483748, -3.8483748, -3.8483748, ..., -3.8483748, -3.8483748, -3.8483748]]], dtype=float32) - r_2021_22_age_50_64_years(chain, draw)float32-3.556 -3.124 ... -3.557 -4.164
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array([[-3.971393 , -3.204922 , -3.5460706, -1.7293302, -2.7942152, -4.082868 , -2.9126737, -3.4420335, -3.5571764, -3.7114358, -3.4585476, -3.0237865, -3.466666 , -2.779335 , -2.8273041, -3.5048637, -3.813459 , -2.8302798, -3.669765 , -4.0728045, -2.601432 , -2.7381797, -3.3630974, -3.3518744, -3.341778 , -2.2052877, -2.053282 , -3.397102 , -2.6281514, -4.4676948, -3.9261506, -3.9152126, -3.7541478, -3.1623898, -2.7597206, -4.1853943, -4.031753 , -3.5960124, -2.6525953, -3.8706014, -2.8265378, -2.6469378, -3.4372628, -3.7562618, -2.962633 , -3.2052436, -3.839134 , -2.708609 , -2.821338 , -3.9325879, -2.5963192, -2.8791392, -3.0616548, -4.065005 , -3.065514 , -1.9237612, -4.0541015, -4.2648134, -3.5745964, -4.0493035, -4.4844513, -3.6018043, -3.9098508, -3.1828568, -3.4055593, -3.169675 , -1.521228 , -2.2163217, -4.0244164, -3.253225 , -3.8134902, -3.3301187, -5.1640663, -2.7745376, -3.814542 , -3.2867024, -2.9709704, -3.6571262, -3.9682765, -4.306655 , -4.071216 , -3.1976764, -3.4877105, -2.2584753, -3.8814125, -3.383051 , -3.6314678, -3.7375264, -2.347313 , -3.1334975, -3.7328792, -3.6548648, -3.4747095, -3.8709612, -2.9731321, -3.3609328, -4.0233855, -3.3613796, -3.362104 , -5.141769 , ... -2.031816 , -3.8014245, -3.5576935, -3.389525 , -4.0912676, -4.520426 , -4.001346 , -3.395773 , -3.7141874, -3.5924385, -4.3456273, -3.1753929, -3.2592773, -2.553107 , -3.3517709, -3.7198246, -3.2347434, -3.3262267, -3.0077024, -4.5055094, -2.6892903, -3.3192556, -3.1202662, -3.483296 , -3.0517957, -3.724517 , -3.1771958, -2.9414415, -3.9204772, -4.846866 , -4.0877156, -2.2942326, -3.7292252, -3.3936818, -4.4385037, -2.763811 , -2.9910984, -3.4365106, -3.6092665, -2.3852909, -3.9975023, -2.507684 , -3.459698 , -3.4328163, -3.130438 , -3.2949157, -3.4989593, -2.888428 , -3.0897722, -3.4756098, -2.7923114, -3.087749 , -4.051315 , -4.719899 , -4.3582783, -3.4301534, -4.941814 , -5.0531435, -3.1443393, -2.9548633, -4.007044 , -3.7989779, -4.0422935, -4.6583543, -3.7518926, -3.8782985, -2.2454767, -3.6535714, -3.7360954, -3.5605578, -3.435921 , -3.4912024, -3.9550483, -3.1148915, -3.117371 , -4.5041685, -1.819956 , -3.0383272, -4.7197123, -3.9695141, -3.587439 , -3.9082317, -5.146174 , -4.4367266, -3.935112 , -3.7468934, -3.966392 , -3.754476 , -2.744462 , -4.306264 , -5.04379 , -3.4716158, -3.6265173, -4.02687 , -3.846245 ]], dtype=float32) - r_2025_26_age_18_49_years_daily(chain, draw, days_2025_26)float32-3.971 -3.971 ... -3.846 -3.846
array([[[-3.971393 , -3.971393 , -3.971393 , ..., -3.971393 , -3.971393 , -3.971393 ], [-3.204922 , -3.204922 , -3.204922 , ..., -3.204922 , -3.204922 , -3.204922 ], [-3.5460706, -3.5460706, -3.5460706, ..., -3.5460706, -3.5460706, -3.5460706], ..., [-3.6265173, -3.6265173, -3.6265173, ..., -3.6265173, -3.6265173, -3.6265173], [-4.02687 , -4.02687 , -4.02687 , ..., -4.02687 , -4.02687 , -4.02687 ], [-3.846245 , -3.846245 , -3.846245 , ..., -3.846245 , -3.846245 , -3.846245 ]]], dtype=float32) - r_2025_26_age_50_64_years(chain, draw)float32-3.799 -1.966 ... -4.12 -2.018
array([[-3.7985287 , -1.9662353 , -4.0456424 , -0.6757177 , -3.0267692 , -3.1038432 , -2.8996627 , -3.1335278 , -4.401334 , -2.8853362 , -2.5880432 , -4.2427278 , -2.8676696 , -1.8180395 , -2.815437 , -3.0557704 , -3.0248992 , -1.8412505 , -3.2080393 , -4.153127 , -1.6151077 , -3.0422983 , -3.2100468 , -4.179595 , -1.4675839 , -1.6556948 , -0.8940042 , -4.1297493 , -2.2649293 , -4.973797 , -3.3484552 , -3.7128751 , -2.6476567 , -2.6582692 , -2.4784665 , -4.3579173 , -4.2844553 , -3.911002 , -2.5275264 , -4.2241282 , -2.3741357 , -1.786602 , -2.3362365 , -2.6851711 , -4.1851554 , -2.1063933 , -4.0133085 , -2.9978793 , -2.372633 , -4.5686502 , -0.8430687 , -2.9839423 , -3.0161417 , -3.902512 , -2.2913468 , -2.4608436 , -4.7955947 , -3.3601816 , -3.2655196 , -3.3052373 , -3.5354354 , -2.7638426 , -3.7033162 , -2.8135316 , -3.520688 , -3.2915869 , -0.91441774, -1.3273692 , -5.3711195 , -2.7018948 , -2.9480028 , -4.1550493 , -4.482533 , -0.584033 , -2.923397 , -2.9006112 , -2.9643137 , -2.8741412 , -2.6429958 , -3.200391 , -3.6161354 , -3.678974 , -3.3305562 , -2.3653612 , -4.522138 , -3.1162243 , -3.8072028 , -1.2165558 , -1.9282596 , -2.2544887 , -3.3214989 , -2.855256 , -3.0434527 , -3.116888 , -3.0934448 , -2.7087944 , -3.1682677 , -3.260539 , -3.447421 , -4.100114 , ... -1.6325955 , -3.8024344 , -3.7187614 , -2.4919446 , -3.4256575 , -4.2006474 , -3.6105065 , -2.4554718 , -2.9427073 , -3.5651824 , -4.174827 , -2.492281 , -2.1633334 , -0.9647764 , -3.7253652 , -3.0966477 , -2.7627506 , -2.9677246 , -2.4670696 , -3.218823 , -2.80238 , -2.1487982 , -3.2225468 , -3.6009252 , -4.0838947 , -2.5981417 , -3.472417 , -2.975996 , -3.4323423 , -4.5464 , -3.6747339 , -2.4896135 , -3.6086643 , -2.913242 , -4.234857 , -2.5239048 , -2.4042616 , -3.5328457 , -1.9934638 , -1.6344659 , -3.4785426 , -2.0765245 , -3.0877209 , -2.1926818 , -2.019235 , -2.2114768 , -3.2112248 , -3.5353582 , -3.4386673 , -2.5998113 , -0.9103223 , -2.1229165 , -4.2478356 , -4.254001 , -5.30721 , -1.9698404 , -5.281377 , -3.8045416 , -2.1043422 , -0.4729867 , -4.672132 , -3.5449672 , -2.6135435 , -4.672058 , -2.9961963 , -2.8064728 , -2.0873625 , -3.3645856 , -4.706652 , -3.1705902 , -2.9145036 , -2.1436057 , -4.075627 , -2.639668 , -2.1957183 , -3.9492073 , -1.6885897 , -1.9857141 , -4.2467537 , -3.1697972 , -1.8089799 , -2.2883415 , -4.4509478 , -3.3170238 , -3.4194164 , -2.91621 , -3.16977 , -2.921114 , -1.274686 , -3.3848658 , -4.543664 , -1.3603289 , -3.223248 , -4.120239 , -2.0184216 ]], dtype=float32) - r_2025_26_age_50_64_years_daily(chain, draw, days_2025_26)float32-3.799 -3.799 ... -2.018 -2.018
array([[[-3.7985287, -3.7985287, -3.7985287, ..., -3.7985287, -3.7985287, -3.7985287], [-1.9662353, -1.9662353, -1.9662353, ..., -1.9662353, -1.9662353, -1.9662353], [-4.0456424, -4.0456424, -4.0456424, ..., -4.0456424, -4.0456424, -4.0456424], ..., [-3.223248 , -3.223248 , -3.223248 , ..., -3.223248 , -3.223248 , -3.223248 ], [-4.120239 , -4.120239 , -4.120239 , ..., -4.120239 , -4.120239 , -4.120239 ], [-2.0184216, -2.0184216, -2.0184216, ..., -2.0184216, -2.0184216, -2.0184216]]], dtype=float32) - r_2025_26_age_65__years(chain, draw)float32-2.663 -3.168 ... -4.932 -3.724
array([[-2.662897 , -3.1675434 , -2.568264 , -1.1726674 , -2.129445 , -3.4727764 , -1.9400383 , -2.9171185 , -3.43958 , -3.0866504 , -3.3569305 , -2.6392198 , -2.6253712 , -2.6350217 , -1.7910408 , -3.0050201 , -3.0603666 , -2.8941994 , -3.7022722 , -3.8857162 , -1.9893123 , -2.1490848 , -3.488033 , -2.8688223 , -3.4656944 , -2.4209914 , -2.2592673 , -0.41769576, -2.1945338 , -3.781385 , -3.0783994 , -4.275463 , -4.426047 , -3.1329734 , -2.1262121 , -4.491083 , -2.510479 , -4.4030905 , -1.8100946 , -2.9811127 , -2.1365047 , -2.3774455 , -3.3020544 , -4.255729 , -2.1603909 , -3.2787533 , -3.4661028 , -3.010662 , -2.6249833 , -4.063283 , -3.980826 , -2.3788865 , -2.128444 , -3.3963013 , -4.3191833 , -2.5149555 , -3.7730417 , -3.12001 , -2.059703 , -4.2463865 , -4.26069 , -4.0075483 , -3.011853 , -3.1154723 , -2.4435937 , -3.2481077 , -1.260911 , -1.7350131 , -3.4920676 , -2.836366 , -3.2195835 , -3.6799526 , -5.065138 , -3.715136 , -4.086482 , -2.4582765 , -3.0614486 , -3.0377998 , -3.4022026 , -2.506153 , -2.646091 , -2.747518 , -2.4608383 , -1.4997911 , -3.0958173 , -2.7174435 , -2.3121524 , -3.2394328 , -1.6210332 , -2.679075 , -3.0180187 , -2.6993055 , -2.9903905 , -2.3499165 , -2.7367513 , -3.3358572 , -2.985617 , -3.453115 , -2.6744418 , -4.84392 , ... -1.1107345 , -3.021294 , -3.0120978 , -1.4431866 , -3.6022274 , -5.383959 , -3.3078706 , -1.2787566 , -4.7689896 , -2.3140686 , -3.9445221 , -2.006949 , -3.0541358 , -2.5700283 , -2.5228405 , -2.8959875 , -1.7143127 , -1.1944251 , -3.1801243 , -3.9067898 , -3.8769307 , -3.2374516 , -2.2922552 , -2.7283468 , -2.5882258 , -2.6324139 , -2.973676 , -2.50042 , -3.3590207 , -4.289125 , -2.5532095 , -2.5146925 , -3.3669932 , -3.9211783 , -4.4105377 , -0.56497407, -2.482932 , -2.4004688 , -3.3483176 , -2.6294916 , -3.8557658 , -2.984842 , -1.5712458 , -2.8157744 , -2.0019112 , -4.2267313 , -4.2385216 , -2.107777 , -2.5434365 , -3.4681823 , -1.6996396 , -2.4044902 , -3.9696844 , -3.9118614 , -4.66246 , -3.116296 , -4.615618 , -4.478564 , -2.2891486 , -2.655079 , -3.8582206 , -3.1575735 , -2.2121964 , -4.3293896 , -3.2482445 , -3.9546928 , -0.6011964 , -3.215458 , -3.4074535 , -3.7127695 , -3.905836 , -3.4791691 , -5.402484 , -2.6564083 , -1.7899848 , -4.2842455 , -0.6732764 , -1.7771456 , -4.960504 , -4.8779097 , -3.125351 , -3.5995545 , -4.7510366 , -5.4020176 , -3.3757846 , -2.802456 , -2.5651584 , -3.4330494 , -2.1216998 , -3.7900786 , -4.8052998 , -3.0985947 , -2.9088156 , -4.931687 , -3.7240303 ]], dtype=float32) - r_2025_26_age_65__years_daily(chain, draw, days_2025_26)float32-2.663 -2.663 ... -3.724 -3.724
array([[[-2.662897 , -2.662897 , -2.662897 , ..., -2.662897 , -2.662897 , -2.662897 ], [-3.1675434, -3.1675434, -3.1675434, ..., -3.1675434, -3.1675434, -3.1675434], [-2.568264 , -2.568264 , -2.568264 , ..., -2.568264 , -2.568264 , -2.568264 ], ..., [-2.9088156, -2.9088156, -2.9088156, ..., -2.9088156, -2.9088156, -2.9088156], [-4.931687 , -4.931687 , -4.931687 , ..., -4.931687 , -4.931687 , -4.931687 ], [-3.7240303, -3.7240303, -3.7240303, ..., -3.7240303, -3.7240303, -3.7240303]]], dtype=float32) - r_age(chain, draw, season, age_categories_short)float320.1861 1.139 ... 1.828 0.1222
array([[[[ 0.18611565, 1.1394103 ], [ 0.17679907, 1.4605075 ], [ 0.17130722, 1.4526812 ], [ 0.17736417, 1.0335448 ], [ 0.1728645 , 1.3084959 ]], [[ 0.76815766, 0.0639394 ], [ 1.0491449 , 0.02675051], [ 0.17994314, 0.02488456], [ 0.48475903, 0.02445935], [ 1.2386867 , 0.03737846]], [[-0.40425378, 1.0065833 ], [-0.5085544 , 0.76347464], [-0.53518397, 0.8538844 ], [-0.4175384 , 0.8873648 ], [-0.49957168, 0.9778066 ]], ..., [[ 0.32678264, 0.7722484 ], [ 0.44674408, 0.82298446], [ 0.45385244, 0.8138637 ], [ 0.6240154 , 0.73404807], [ 0.40326938, 0.7177017 ]], [[-0.04288454, -0.94389415], [ 0.1856336 , -0.9616962 ], [ 0.7432915 , 1.314642 ], [ 2.010442 , -0.27163306], [-0.09336914, -0.90481704]], [[-0.3161029 , 0.70299584], [ 0.14241175, 0.19096892], [-0.0109986 , -0.35056338], [-0.45997664, 0.75937086], [ 1.8278235 , 0.12221474]]]], dtype=float32) - r_age_mu(chain, draw, age_categories_short)float320.1788 1.295 ... 0.6683 0.2214
array([[[ 1.78812653e-01, 1.29503822e+00], [ 4.07632589e-01, 4.37210500e-02], [-4.60762173e-01, 8.87401164e-01], [ 6.34132087e-01, 5.36813438e-01], [-1.01639898e-02, 5.80576807e-02], [ 9.94507134e-01, 6.18605375e-01], [-2.26565693e-02, 3.86433572e-01], [ 1.83265597e-01, 1.02392748e-01], [ 5.69108784e-01, 4.77840245e-01], [ 1.11511540e+00, 7.80201018e-01], [ 8.60049665e-01, 6.25338033e-02], [-1.01858422e-01, 3.40634137e-01], [ 5.13650477e-01, 4.93757814e-01], [ 8.46054316e-01, 7.21054077e-01], [ 2.13247851e-01, 1.16808295e+00], [ 4.11189288e-01, 3.32175434e-01], [ 3.22946727e-01, 7.24540532e-01], [ 5.67244112e-01, 3.23594779e-01], [ 5.15075803e-01, -9.16779339e-02], [-3.81233513e-01, 2.06931993e-01], ... [ 5.97745240e-01, 3.80178958e-01], [ 2.76725832e-02, 1.04545760e+00], [ 6.64588451e-01, 1.03178799e+00], [ 2.72919089e-01, 7.03458488e-02], [ 1.33440816e+00, -8.50182354e-01], [ 1.03499401e+00, 3.98307949e-01], [ 7.94011354e-01, 2.07698226e-01], [ 5.60930967e-01, 3.79632890e-01], [ 1.10304117e+00, -1.08055606e-01], [ 5.19778132e-01, 5.96208751e-01], [ 4.41525340e-01, 1.30132091e+00], [-1.09945685e-01, 1.21826744e+00], [ 2.09101930e-01, 2.68987566e-01], [ 1.78315198e+00, 2.76863337e-01], [ 1.03932774e+00, 6.71206653e-01], [ 5.36402702e-01, 3.90834898e-01], [ 8.93514931e-01, 5.20406425e-01], [ 4.43980455e-01, 7.67670691e-01], [ 7.15971649e-01, 2.36186206e-01], [ 6.68263018e-01, 2.21430302e-01]]], dtype=float32) - r_age_sigma(chain, draw, age_categories_short)float320.009831 0.1439 ... 0.6118 0.4766
array([[[9.83058475e-03, 1.43914059e-01], [5.28863609e-01, 1.64542496e-02], [1.27917826e-01, 1.21563092e-01], [2.71694243e-01, 2.06423979e-02], [3.79092395e-01, 7.60029793e-01], [2.83498988e-02, 3.57101075e-02], [5.70581928e-02, 5.33997059e-01], [1.18532941e-01, 2.31046349e-01], [7.76771784e-01, 4.27317321e-01], [1.96853742e-01, 2.85961956e-01], [2.81757098e-02, 2.23256573e-01], [9.64226305e-01, 6.09324463e-02], [5.21854937e-01, 3.18379194e-01], [1.13344915e-01, 4.19641882e-01], [3.62423956e-01, 2.57493973e-01], [5.23533881e-01, 1.26696691e-01], [1.06926572e+00, 2.91890025e-01], [2.81526029e-01, 3.88361216e-01], [5.49752593e-01, 4.53675464e-02], [3.42150986e-01, 2.07130909e-01], ... [7.11529136e-01, 6.62532866e-01], [4.76897597e-01, 1.89418048e-01], [4.70845371e-01, 7.98593938e-01], [2.42122665e-01, 3.89738858e-01], [6.35987997e-01, 2.44784683e-01], [3.66498888e-01, 2.53049940e-01], [8.74418318e-01, 3.69597852e-01], [5.99326551e-01, 4.58253622e-02], [4.44199741e-01, 7.13820159e-01], [5.05598262e-02, 3.49839702e-02], [1.91256434e-01, 6.07427776e-01], [3.56575221e-01, 2.85961330e-01], [1.30993605e+00, 1.52765960e-01], [5.23740947e-01, 1.94546252e-01], [2.47206196e-01, 3.30637753e-01], [5.37652075e-01, 8.34622085e-01], [4.57814574e-01, 1.44311264e-01], [1.17640577e-01, 8.17151070e-02], [6.51290536e-01, 8.80344868e-01], [6.11849844e-01, 4.76576000e-01]]], dtype=float32) - r_season(chain, draw, season)float32-3.742 -3.357 ... -3.83 -3.846
array([[[-3.7419562, -3.357396 , -3.7250867, -3.5690439, -3.971393 ], [-3.8916922, -3.7342978, -2.6635175, -3.402442 , -3.204922 ], [-3.6004744, -3.6572776, -3.557551 , -3.5144646, -3.5460706], ..., [-2.8962238, -2.973376 , -5.0084248, -3.2058113, -3.6265173], [-3.5139394, -4.0795345, -2.9898896, -3.438918 , -4.02687 ], [-3.8483748, -3.8526266, -3.822377 , -3.829622 , -3.846245 ]]], dtype=float32) - r_season_mu(chain, draw)float32-3.907 -3.356 ... -3.528 -3.834
array([[-3.9066753, -3.3556156, -3.5391326, -3.3748045, -2.6037052, -4.204107 , -3.3237646, -3.5033479, -3.2375636, -3.7433767, -4.015553 , -3.3091154, -3.504176 , -3.296004 , -2.9339685, -3.6871042, -3.9924314, -2.9254022, -3.3669515, -3.815609 , -2.971867 , -3.5186934, -3.3953283, -3.1262395, -3.657207 , -3.5546198, -2.9359634, -3.2973807, -2.611412 , -3.2152135, -3.475544 , -3.8193367, -3.8310492, -3.1838617, -2.8028772, -3.8108053, -3.899776 , -3.9383738, -2.9957414, -4.1280217, -3.2752123, -2.7721753, -4.140527 , -3.323136 , -2.978744 , -3.146997 , -3.8737123, -3.5976121, -3.0960968, -3.5922022, -3.6268506, -3.2049646, -3.751848 , -3.9708772, -3.2437994, -2.6122696, -3.2867265, -4.255336 , -3.5516808, -2.7793543, -4.3521543, -3.8012848, -3.5330522, -3.2117665, -3.2280283, -3.3199143, -2.660605 , -3.175846 , -3.8782158, -3.2246466, -3.8389316, -3.3353891, -5.3162503, -3.3169386, -4.049234 , -3.4507673, -3.6776786, -3.640194 , -3.3083525, -3.964647 , -4.154181 , -3.6228006, -3.432129 , -3.0488355, -3.8087897, -3.3591418, -3.7591732, -3.8771863, -2.9545395, -3.7371206, -3.7081966, -3.6800692, -3.324475 , -3.639917 , -3.3234951, -3.7658632, -3.952313 , -3.5416484, -3.872437 , -4.0259666, ... -3.2406414, -3.8088439, -3.5520716, -3.2769437, -3.8307104, -3.7324266, -3.8644357, -3.2434096, -4.0087857, -3.8087387, -3.8926187, -3.027991 , -3.2592816, -2.6385214, -3.4266782, -3.663827 , -3.0581527, -3.329736 , -3.437301 , -3.7085822, -3.0747445, -3.3152912, -3.049189 , -3.472669 , -3.063332 , -3.1572404, -3.7428098, -3.36954 , -3.879793 , -4.840631 , -4.1088314, -3.5669918, -3.703478 , -4.0518622, -4.2715683, -3.1532655, -2.9981546, -3.4598234, -3.4263673, -3.4673138, -3.9612887, -2.2311957, -3.888052 , -3.784273 , -3.258339 , -3.6261356, -3.6636515, -2.8455691, -3.6066902, -3.3814359, -2.3876457, -3.1171162, -4.1417747, -3.2679112, -3.4357934, -3.426881 , -3.710837 , -5.1024165, -2.8743308, -3.3099203, -3.9514494, -3.3305447, -3.7529979, -4.0235023, -4.209396 , -3.737345 , -3.0400195, -3.3556862, -3.7287068, -3.9002619, -3.4455178, -3.4891405, -4.398606 , -3.0634804, -3.536831 , -3.9657001, -2.8951051, -3.3979325, -3.8560705, -3.5105672, -3.124443 , -3.586779 , -3.4715788, -4.5572352, -3.0827146, -3.8302662, -3.4617558, -3.7424738, -2.7167194, -4.2464004, -3.9268057, -4.056808 , -3.4655378, -3.528361 , -3.833977 ]], dtype=float32) - r_season_sigma(chain, draw)float320.375 0.5813 ... 0.4613 0.01984
array([[0.37500605, 0.58126813, 0.053861 , 0.61148137, 0.4257425 , 0.72529894, 0.44913203, 0.07899613, 0.32842812, 0.18254808, 0.7513307 , 0.37520495, 0.07492812, 0.43092316, 0.30302578, 0.15194485, 0.7021233 , 0.4307019 , 0.48791307, 0.34482887, 0.6959869 , 0.67246747, 0.13033284, 0.09980576, 0.5048472 , 1.1478821 , 0.8514245 , 0.42463043, 0.08106242, 1.1458744 , 0.69469273, 0.56261104, 0.137738 , 0.07123528, 0.11164797, 0.35961536, 0.69832575, 0.24638534, 0.7374257 , 0.36906245, 0.6334249 , 0.7473648 , 0.43952137, 0.55078363, 0.0696922 , 0.2785829 , 0.301706 , 0.57015806, 0.796109 , 0.37777656, 0.8897222 , 0.53396356, 0.5660037 , 0.82785 , 0.26377115, 0.47596136, 0.9242956 , 0.01096684, 0.01922968, 0.7038571 , 0.44124252, 0.24372698, 0.6184855 , 0.0328343 , 0.48077145, 0.06580362, 1.0115423 , 0.7965584 , 0.2358436 , 0.25512588, 0.19554806, 0.04483604, 1.1854559 , 0.4476802 , 0.263427 , 0.23194 , 0.38801506, 1.1069599 , 0.37385517, 0.42655212, 0.20932573, 0.5983757 , 0.13178381, 0.4209672 , 0.18218063, 0.07400876, 0.40546545, 0.46071187, 0.5201538 , 0.7114081 , 0.13000719, 0.05534115, 0.30006748, 0.5228495 , 0.6905728 , 0.41723636, 0.34222972, 0.1379752 , 0.81342876, 0.69085294, ... 0.68425673, 0.48809767, 0.02131001, 0.42347366, 0.3689618 , 0.6245043 , 0.528362 , 0.3603051 , 0.24211048, 0.38533697, 0.5971433 , 0.4262608 , 0.00359225, 0.17099857, 0.47338662, 0.55144584, 0.23685251, 0.00749075, 0.33433786, 1.1150186 , 0.21208295, 0.708554 , 0.11059932, 0.25832403, 0.18306352, 0.43925595, 0.48521695, 0.54173946, 0.4515772 , 0.08788939, 0.09399165, 0.70893806, 0.04836966, 0.7063553 , 0.36644834, 0.44207475, 0.02358845, 0.1910196 , 0.1748446 , 0.86594063, 0.6620438 , 0.18571515, 0.58357155, 0.19938055, 0.50164026, 0.4643699 , 0.36103922, 0.18561198, 0.5028806 , 0.12595397, 0.5174929 , 0.04096825, 0.23369724, 0.5416809 , 0.6303027 , 0.613971 , 1.1803435 , 0.29759312, 0.21776707, 0.8366429 , 0.20399106, 0.3143298 , 0.40804932, 0.37072355, 0.9450699 , 0.341903 , 1.3703239 , 0.23952146, 0.25666666, 0.4372689 , 0.8426985 , 0.07207629, 0.36429664, 0.1307902 , 0.9030631 , 1.3763906 , 1.0855565 , 0.60513186, 0.7915512 , 0.4599181 , 0.48858342, 0.32415867, 1.1364259 , 0.83566546, 0.7108545 , 0.13281539, 0.3565807 , 0.09182978, 0.14678693, 0.11585502, 0.43043125, 0.8779107 , 0.63181233, 0.46126947, 0.01983711]], dtype=float32) - s_2021_22_age_18_49_years(chain, draw)float3272.54 63.43 41.81 ... 38.7 53.14
array([[ 72.536545 , 63.42619 , 41.807564 , 68.22628 , 64.8867 , 84.69978 , 68.16281 , 54.75197 , 61.908314 , 45.91317 , 44.042526 , 74.53037 , 43.55277 , 65.2766 , 62.822643 , 68.63029 , 67.60901 , 61.981197 , 62.59036 , 38.438297 , 56.775852 , 58.67931 , 58.125816 , 50.434086 , 46.487373 , 86.55538 , 120.92392 , 42.03732 , 55.945374 , 57.474056 , 48.879616 , 73.809845 , 49.532738 , 54.371105 , 64.683525 , 58.20872 , 67.51328 , 56.697495 , 50.435467 , 64.89516 , 54.751194 , 57.68804 , 84.88178 , 75.16604 , 49.355743 , 52.39029 , 66.75683 , 59.690434 , 56.551563 , 47.42762 , 69.71932 , 43.724716 , 52.573784 , 56.08241 , 53.610497 , 77.55167 , 57.36654 , 38.360577 , 63.798344 , 46.018093 , 57.504322 , 66.2801 , 63.180096 , 45.786057 , 54.62599 , 75.18819 , 49.032192 , 58.175045 , 78.37623 , 75.48615 , 62.221874 , 73.86061 , 73.54683 , 61.905605 , 58.593327 , 59.470985 , 62.854008 , 53.781837 , 40.066628 , 43.139595 , 44.518787 , 61.81431 , 64.68795 , 37.50119 , 59.771652 , 78.90243 , 62.448463 , 62.72723 , 56.698948 , 63.70196 , 33.096085 , 51.952957 , 59.297447 , 57.048164 , 62.18195 , 38.887753 , 59.58919 , 57.600857 , 65.89772 , 69.54344 , ... 57.797092 , 56.32145 , 55.670982 , 82.858955 , 83.19177 , 45.933697 , 65.69365 , 81.25698 , 68.10315 , 56.851322 , 68.2943 , 77.82473 , 49.522358 , 53.271454 , 87.09145 , 108.674805 , 66.2704 , 59.530277 , 48.51313 , 49.855785 , 68.44587 , 63.80607 , 45.690544 , 73.89242 , 58.12698 , 51.86689 , 63.56219 , 56.56907 , 75.4762 , 66.12469 , 66.579834 , 48.85387 , 58.043182 , 44.52092 , 59.967182 , 64.77859 , 53.501877 , 43.449642 , 82.55545 , 49.322216 , 88.30618 , 59.92891 , 50.10804 , 46.181736 , 63.49743 , 48.404594 , 53.38091 , 32.642624 , 64.1874 , 39.95479 , 65.92879 , 65.53437 , 47.412273 , 67.189545 , 47.092762 , 55.085274 , 59.517014 , 94.939064 , 60.108986 , 80.12941 , 58.10659 , 64.08565 , 62.2163 , 58.43193 , 62.27404 , 55.067562 , 59.172844 , 56.128643 , 48.013775 , 81.04251 , 74.10283 , 52.69043 , 56.79911 , 62.8918 , 68.29547 , 34.773937 , 83.02796 , 52.929585 , 46.32496 , 69.68781 , 61.605694 , 74.48342 , 74.42463 , 65.40494 , 55.441147 , 52.25774 , 43.026478 , 51.141624 , 55.981434 , 53.9695 , 74.77939 , 54.605995 , 52.81976 , 38.699142 , 53.1385 ]], dtype=float32) - s_2021_22_age_18_49_years_daily(chain, draw, days_2021_22)float3272.54 72.54 72.54 ... 53.14 53.14
array([[[72.536545, 72.536545, 72.536545, ..., 72.536545, 72.536545, 72.536545], [63.42619 , 63.42619 , 63.42619 , ..., 63.42619 , 63.42619 , 63.42619 ], [41.807564, 41.807564, 41.807564, ..., 41.807564, 41.807564, 41.807564], ..., [52.81976 , 52.81976 , 52.81976 , ..., 52.81976 , 52.81976 , 52.81976 ], [38.699142, 38.699142, 38.699142, ..., 38.699142, 38.699142, 38.699142], [53.1385 , 53.1385 , 53.1385 , ..., 53.1385 , 53.1385 , 53.1385 ]]], dtype=float32) - s_2021_22_age_50_64_years(chain, draw)float3282.25 55.17 72.52 ... 39.61 42.24
array([[ 82.24713 , 55.17483 , 72.52099 , 59.37941 , 57.085304 , 100.4997 , 84.427765 , 80.644165 , 68.21187 , 59.878506 , 33.611298 , 67.661125 , 33.542953 , 83.60396 , 59.921368 , 89.38217 , 60.76937 , 53.665756 , 64.78761 , 40.709854 , 65.5925 , 60.374935 , 52.54195 , 74.06293 , 52.05587 , 89.18745 , 114.81652 , 17.85455 , 55.823223 , 60.66652 , 60.026554 , 74.6962 , 57.067753 , 59.98123 , 73.70087 , 46.54689 , 57.9574 , 57.414967 , 43.241337 , 68.51784 , 57.94998 , 74.4309 , 93.59754 , 70.35553 , 28.524702 , 56.337 , 39.12222 , 51.536755 , 67.011505 , 56.305454 , 29.952454 , 47.124283 , 59.667065 , 42.8242 , 56.511787 , 90.63369 , 65.308205 , 38.024063 , 86.67064 , 58.133022 , 65.319855 , 69.7806 , 57.687027 , 9.002739 , 42.857903 , 110.53537 , 38.77444 , 60.545307 , 92.66529 , 75.735725 , 56.70902 , 75.251785 , 66.79948 , 38.57956 , 83.59277 , 60.68536 , 68.058914 , 39.325146 , 44.02072 , 24.519178 , 66.92885 , 59.153164 , 65.87128 , 30.443855 , 52.354965 , 64.90423 , 60.765633 , 52.201797 , 63.73098 , 84.34523 , 33.77769 , 56.13176 , 50.66713 , 61.217094 , 87.740295 , 34.910263 , 76.56008 , 65.81414 , 70.77052 , 80.80859 , ... 32.573254 , 62.464355 , 39.239838 , 78.30749 , 100.37773 , 60.561752 , 78.292694 , 76.25945 , 47.591385 , 48.41564 , 65.03533 , 59.08693 , 50.015972 , 37.16018 , 86.76256 , 91.437546 , 60.381435 , 48.638695 , 38.412174 , 48.29217 , 56.91388 , 62.543743 , 44.834923 , 84.788315 , 76.79762 , 57.013752 , 81.90599 , 57.68308 , 122.9706 , 55.174072 , 54.41553 , 29.085798 , 55.695038 , 67.42339 , 55.648693 , 26.003853 , 47.03192 , 43.842056 , 75.751274 , 55.02795 , 103.03499 , 71.62445 , 40.810673 , 64.37837 , 58.454674 , 46.99547 , 82.97097 , 13.602629 , 77.39125 , 32.632324 , 54.182243 , 48.789734 , 28.492184 , 85.041306 , 47.006058 , 83.61423 , 38.72682 , 92.23643 , 61.526375 , 78.41216 , 72.95094 , 58.044933 , 53.797733 , 49.353424 , 57.900784 , 54.635895 , 54.739998 , 65.18883 , 43.244843 , 82.212875 , 75.70476 , 66.70808 , 69.866776 , 68.89665 , 67.78113 , 15.173859 , 102.02931 , 41.714638 , 66.3623 , 86.342896 , 53.337852 , 83.193054 , 79.13509 , 80.26722 , 64.34465 , 44.091343 , 31.1269 , 44.349293 , 51.80056 , -23.081333 , 76.39262 , 47.246628 , 38.476513 , 39.607567 , 42.23647 ]], dtype=float32) - s_2021_22_age_50_64_years_daily(chain, draw, days_2021_22)float3282.25 82.25 82.25 ... 42.24 42.24
array([[[82.24713 , 82.24713 , 82.24713 , ..., 82.24713 , 82.24713 , 82.24713 ], [55.17483 , 55.17483 , 55.17483 , ..., 55.17483 , 55.17483 , 55.17483 ], [72.52099 , 72.52099 , 72.52099 , ..., 72.52099 , 72.52099 , 72.52099 ], ..., [38.476513, 38.476513, 38.476513, ..., 38.476513, 38.476513, 38.476513], [39.607567, 39.607567, 39.607567, ..., 39.607567, 39.607567, 39.607567], [42.23647 , 42.23647 , 42.23647 , ..., 42.23647 , 42.23647 , 42.23647 ]]], dtype=float32) - s_2021_22_age_65__years(chain, draw)float3262.08 77.07 32.86 ... 28.4 38.72
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array([[[62.078484, 62.078484, 62.078484, ..., 62.078484, 62.078484, 62.078484], [77.07415 , 77.07415 , 77.07415 , ..., 77.07415 , 77.07415 , 77.07415 ], [32.86412 , 32.86412 , 32.86412 , ..., 32.86412 , 32.86412 , 32.86412 ], ..., [49.126263, 49.126263, 49.126263, ..., 49.126263, 49.126263, 49.126263], [28.397873, 28.397873, 28.397873, ..., 28.397873, 28.397873, 28.397873], [38.720104, 38.720104, 38.720104, ..., 38.720104, 38.720104, 38.720104]]], dtype=float32) - s_2022_23_age_18_49_years(chain, draw)float3275.4 105.9 52.43 ... 38.12 53.53
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array([[[ 75.40084 , 75.40084 , 75.40084 , ..., 75.40084 , 75.40084 , 75.40084 ], [105.931854, 105.931854, 105.931854, ..., 105.931854, 105.931854, 105.931854], [ 52.43216 , 52.43216 , 52.43216 , ..., 52.43216 , 52.43216 , 52.43216 ], ..., [ 48.57903 , 48.57903 , 48.57903 , ..., 48.57903 , 48.57903 , 48.57903 ], [ 38.119453, 38.119453, 38.119453, ..., 38.119453, 38.119453, 38.119453], [ 53.52778 , 53.52778 , 53.52778 , ..., 53.52778 , 53.52778 , 53.52778 ]]], dtype=float32) - s_2022_23_age_50_64_years(chain, draw)float3289.38 97.22 88.65 ... 33.74 64.48
array([[ 89.380806 , 97.221054 , 88.64513 , 30.392107 , 41.049217 , 61.172726 , 106.83878 , 87.63218 , 61.575607 , 57.38124 , 43.36895 , 82.81906 , 44.703335 , 71.261215 , 75.42658 , 75.9207 , 49.216747 , 44.370224 , 55.038223 , 29.459663 , 76.572784 , 115.409164 , 80.30476 , 83.453316 , 64.02234 , 100.72862 , 53.715473 , 43.508003 , 34.44339 , 61.370815 , 46.701263 , 70.918976 , 47.07849 , 66.61032 , 87.764404 , 41.49204 , 62.148228 , 89.735 , 41.284492 , 95.34117 , 62.725784 , 60.492435 , 92.50762 , 67.184425 , 31.700354 , 65.19846 , 41.233604 , 39.158398 , 62.46236 , 50.135365 , 54.17193 , 44.714252 , 63.19699 , 54.157146 , 43.156258 , 96.59628 , 53.311382 , 47.91242 , 100.73151 , 82.413345 , 50.847263 , 81.48212 , 54.651485 , 70.77088 , 36.431732 , 99.78435 , 27.629942 , 63.661694 , 41.18788 , 85.20542 , 63.795036 , 18.415936 , 61.381107 , 61.66119 , 55.42616 , 59.095356 , 68.749245 , 56.695053 , 44.218704 , 11.4556465, 47.810104 , 48.200905 , 65.45034 , 26.496717 , 58.945515 , 22.14449 , 65.62292 , 67.98642 , 56.482224 , 54.77754 , 66.50023 , 29.529945 , 49.58011 , 60.99499 , 55.613197 , 50.932568 , 84.2963 , 67.70319 , 116.79681 , 79.775475 , ... 56.82811 , 45.280632 , 44.363365 , 90.440285 , 62.678375 , 67.56944 , 66.59065 , 51.51907 , 62.17357 , 54.297337 , 62.13146 , 34.34153 , 64.53972 , 33.44642 , 55.55165 , 71.00969 , 46.13777 , 59.23314 , 67.38667 , 55.713455 , 71.23485 , 62.29889 , 47.92639 , 57.325264 , 44.079277 , 35.12844 , 52.74905 , 54.42345 , 73.49267 , 52.99162 , 48.657303 , 102.75679 , 22.531544 , 90.26 , 69.43998 , 51.30119 , 55.34659 , 54.71093 , 78.65257 , 69.33722 , 82.905914 , 73.619896 , 42.91878 , 51.848392 , 61.447662 , 72.043076 , 81.83229 , 22.961302 , 43.30595 , 82.443214 , 58.217995 , 50.7437 , -20.268778 , 92.52511 , 36.879883 , 69.300224 , 69.33855 , 72.80475 , 56.05465 , 74.1998 , 70.54999 , 50.314083 , 78.06728 , 56.626984 , 43.728973 , 50.19397 , 56.30483 , 63.120792 , 25.670885 , 77.49123 , 87.67301 , 80.29659 , 67.629654 , 60.824654 , 67.15494 , 39.060326 , 94.64621 , 44.285656 , 68.88161 , 76.90726 , 52.829227 , 73.076546 , 47.936596 , 75.86218 , 68.05897 , 50.461205 , 68.48528 , 59.611855 , 84.53105 , 22.221857 , 74.810265 , 59.246067 , 38.54654 , 33.7396 , 64.480606 ]], dtype=float32) - s_2022_23_age_50_64_years_daily(chain, draw, days_2022_23)float3289.38 89.38 89.38 ... 64.48 64.48
array([[[89.380806, 89.380806, 89.380806, ..., 89.380806, 89.380806, 89.380806], [97.221054, 97.221054, 97.221054, ..., 97.221054, 97.221054, 97.221054], [88.64513 , 88.64513 , 88.64513 , ..., 88.64513 , 88.64513 , 88.64513 ], ..., [38.54654 , 38.54654 , 38.54654 , ..., 38.54654 , 38.54654 , 38.54654 ], [33.7396 , 33.7396 , 33.7396 , ..., 33.7396 , 33.7396 , 33.7396 ], [64.480606, 64.480606, 64.480606, ..., 64.480606, 64.480606, 64.480606]]], dtype=float32) - s_2022_23_age_65__years(chain, draw)float3268.05 115.0 46.31 ... 76.18 83.55
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array([[[ 68.04822 , 68.04822 , 68.04822 , ..., 68.04822 , 68.04822 , 68.04822 ], [115.045494, 115.045494, 115.045494, ..., 115.045494, 115.045494, 115.045494], [ 46.31471 , 46.31471 , 46.31471 , ..., 46.31471 , 46.31471 , 46.31471 ], ..., [ 27.948383, 27.948383, 27.948383, ..., 27.948383, 27.948383, 27.948383], [ 76.17823 , 76.17823 , 76.17823 , ..., 76.17823 , 76.17823 , 76.17823 ], [ 83.54894 , 83.54894 , 83.54894 , ..., 83.54894 , 83.54894 , 83.54894 ]]], dtype=float32) - s_2023_24_age_18_49_years(chain, draw)float3276.08 61.75 44.23 ... 36.3 32.25
array([[ 76.07912 , 61.745766, 44.225742, 65.57868 , 58.913013, 80.0077 , 64.61204 , 56.872456, 63.279022, 46.00326 , 38.706173, 80.43308 , 48.687984, 74.005554, 61.848434, 69.94135 , 68.97918 , 42.893917, 49.444324, 63.025135, 62.076527, 72.10476 , 56.269207, 51.94097 , 67.804085, 67.8025 , 87.338486, 45.21575 , 78.76143 , 59.235878, 40.07939 , 92.60307 , 39.075447, 69.875336, 62.140022, 47.845085, 68.678894, 59.82731 , 64.35546 , 56.323288, 50.63692 , 66.2148 , 85.81787 , 79.71699 , 52.060413, 46.572987, 81.73817 , 57.13724 , 59.83738 , 50.14586 , 47.89958 , 45.847775, 55.733112, 43.12726 , 50.56958 , 72.829285, 43.335052, 41.77871 , 73.552574, 55.787533, 73.70077 , 49.98154 , 60.660652, 48.12265 , 60.482475, 74.53851 , 41.97263 , 57.545418, 56.854256, 73.99233 , 57.73778 , 100.604576, 72.08179 , 71.30479 , 60.70829 , 60.164406, 63.407627, 59.59867 , 38.498814, 53.252174, 55.02204 , 70.00093 , 65.005165, 32.278374, 58.05885 , 66.98584 , 69.529854, 84.41809 , 55.30675 , 64.617775, 59.28149 , 101.23754 , 50.102146, 75.123764, 63.30186 , 50.452293, 59.55778 , 58.712868, 83.321106, 56.35866 , ... 49.306534, 47.83188 , 54.681072, 83.720535, 69.15057 , 45.63806 , 61.785114, 82.56835 , 65.10046 , 56.48173 , 69.331955, 63.8282 , 63.51858 , 65.10702 , 48.33347 , 82.54088 , 50.32061 , 65.340904, 81.18742 , 56.807346, 57.270706, 65.666306, 48.053303, 62.408123, 54.501396, 55.65839 , 36.641933, 46.19662 , 48.331593, 65.844505, 110.94882 , 42.949932, 55.04991 , 44.99248 , 58.867355, 71.13767 , 65.62901 , 52.55995 , 85.4258 , 82.968765, 83.612946, 65.61361 , 67.475914, 55.834095, 60.47877 , 72.78977 , 51.468388, 21.233988, 52.41434 , 68.30156 , 64.344315, 57.931232, 37.591488, 28.117243, 49.915565, 55.221073, 75.21499 , 76.358536, 49.487396, 57.013992, 57.983795, 52.047607, 61.84843 , 66.91002 , 57.83557 , 54.630917, 54.432076, 57.68646 , 37.65899 , 80.16472 , 81.85346 , 56.27944 , 56.44504 , 61.273724, 63.721996, 36.787254, 78.990585, 62.683407, 68.525696, 70.51722 , 54.264046, 60.867485, 65.86897 , 49.55062 , 59.24682 , 52.91357 , 44.920757, 59.38956 , 64.49508 , 52.534992, 73.84874 , 46.208916, 64.8322 , 36.3045 , 32.249317]], dtype=float32) - s_2023_24_age_18_49_years_daily(chain, draw, days_2023_24)float3276.08 76.08 76.08 ... 32.25 32.25
array([[[76.07912 , 76.07912 , 76.07912 , ..., 76.07912 , 76.07912 , 76.07912 ], [61.745766, 61.745766, 61.745766, ..., 61.745766, 61.745766, 61.745766], [44.225742, 44.225742, 44.225742, ..., 44.225742, 44.225742, 44.225742], ..., [64.8322 , 64.8322 , 64.8322 , ..., 64.8322 , 64.8322 , 64.8322 ], [36.3045 , 36.3045 , 36.3045 , ..., 36.3045 , 36.3045 , 36.3045 ], [32.249317, 32.249317, 32.249317, ..., 32.249317, 32.249317, 32.249317]]], dtype=float32) - s_2023_24_age_50_64_years(chain, draw)float32122.0 55.37 74.26 ... 28.67 41.48
array([[122.04557 , 55.368282 , 74.26083 , 53.708626 , 46.830273 , 84.4332 , 80.3857 , 78.80362 , 64.37163 , 61.79305 , 25.030748 , 74.181206 , 55.136253 , 87.82691 , 51.592697 , 68.319496 , 49.07145 , 37.054935 , 44.77398 , 64.39304 , 73.279625 , 79.16326 , 52.298527 , 77.22032 , 32.96649 , 52.52733 , 84.90506 , 74.63969 , 74.10215 , 64.95324 , 40.707535 , 91.43822 , 44.756683 , 78.49076 , 65.3896 , 37.085316 , 58.20481 , 62.382042 , 59.61199 , 75.84014 , 56.839798 , 64.24876 , 94.46318 , 57.076077 , 33.555485 , 61.587532 , 63.65065 , 78.64988 , 64.122955 , 72.59325 , 46.343864 , 41.990295 , 61.38709 , 38.829475 , 53.320152 , 79.60089 , 48.715794 , 44.60873 , 97.9098 , 64.97596 , 77.46624 , 37.536953 , 62.350025 , 42.309826 , 48.173485 , 91.98879 , 21.582098 , 51.127956 , 49.794525 , 93.25846 , 42.74885 , 104.11682 , 64.98207 , 49.962753 , 65.47915 , 48.064384 , 75.7759 , 49.646164 , 41.999924 , 32.00731 , 40.1156 , 63.02666 , 65.4884 , 31.394035 , 71.51376 , 42.332783 , 67.81654 , 79.68258 , 61.770363 , 65.500275 , 67.590355 , 103.76574 , 58.185196 , 85.904755 , 93.912735 , 52.25999 , 69.86886 , 64.33378 , 81.277054 , 81.77533 , ... 33.844936 , 40.107475 , 42.07122 , 84.74485 , 72.55878 , 65.3931 , 74.76456 , 78.16929 , 49.858345 , 50.044147 , 65.19843 , 71.48682 , 63.474133 , 52.004166 , 52.54841 , 86.39561 , 49.384296 , 62.777817 , 85.728584 , 54.78585 , 40.88808 , 74.18897 , 50.49418 , 61.26328 , 70.39065 , 46.007538 , 44.13445 , 47.48849 , 78.8642 , 54.90516 , 99.081726 , 42.442635 , 48.542442 , 75.93701 , 44.553238 , 25.685947 , 57.39878 , 57.753056 , 83.38755 , 90.99231 , 98.87216 , 75.23611 , 56.974342 , 67.99703 , 86.866 , 60.308884 , 80.92199 , 1.9270725, 46.84133 , 68.78692 , 56.466957 , 43.631245 , 29.19474 , 48.001587 , 54.040802 , 53.088524 , 51.922943 , 73.1255 , 66.01125 , 53.112133 , 80.76726 , 42.34236 , 52.888733 , 58.883614 , 44.072212 , 43.743507 , 46.605606 , 65.477295 , 35.717678 , 81.42164 , 103.63916 , 75.19699 , 76.4853 , 52.585262 , 68.11457 , 18.094635 , 101.52646 , 42.10605 , 51.476875 , 84.36018 , 44.935272 , 66.276985 , 51.853947 , 63.50853 , 67.09087 , 37.348835 , 45.673275 , 45.16131 , 55.24508 , 51.374393 , 77.73189 , 56.38997 , 50.85394 , 28.671425 , 41.479847 ]], dtype=float32) - s_2023_24_age_50_64_years_daily(chain, draw, days_2023_24)float32122.0 122.0 122.0 ... 41.48 41.48
array([[[122.04557 , 122.04557 , 122.04557 , ..., 122.04557 , 122.04557 , 122.04557 ], [ 55.368282, 55.368282, 55.368282, ..., 55.368282, 55.368282, 55.368282], [ 74.26083 , 74.26083 , 74.26083 , ..., 74.26083 , 74.26083 , 74.26083 ], ..., [ 50.85394 , 50.85394 , 50.85394 , ..., 50.85394 , 50.85394 , 50.85394 ], [ 28.671425, 28.671425, 28.671425, ..., 28.671425, 28.671425, 28.671425], [ 41.479847, 41.479847, 41.479847, ..., 41.479847, 41.479847, 41.479847]]], dtype=float32) - s_2023_24_age_65__years(chain, draw)float3272.3 60.38 41.05 ... 77.59 39.45
array([[ 72.29949 , 60.376053, 41.04879 , 79.32903 , 46.145782, 84.40437 , 65.388855, 57.78509 , 48.594868, 56.605614, 6.644066, 77.65691 , 49.134464, 80.21149 , 80.229385, 101.1888 , 64.8931 , 43.70892 , 53.928738, 81.93991 , 67.41571 , 67.11902 , 54.810047, 59.865715, 58.329414, 80.010635, 69.56794 , 69.80816 , 93.27232 , 68.65398 , 44.31027 , 73.07788 , 55.522675, 73.4884 , 50.406555, 43.341682, 66.00939 , 66.97511 , 56.314316, 40.47394 , 34.729595, 72.504074, 86.271736, 75.43363 , 47.372086, 42.706306, 61.824543, 53.365158, 44.462337, 41.752125, 54.3771 , 35.20592 , 55.252106, 35.517548, 36.486507, 68.548134, 61.952606, 44.36157 , 87.017334, 59.093296, 75.7796 , 62.60253 , 62.043564, 45.106125, 73.85942 , 97.67862 , 30.132809, 43.284058, 57.850468, 81.7987 , 45.651836, 100.81899 , 82.82747 , 78.79861 , 66.7597 , 39.133442, 75.69885 , 53.169262, 31.83996 , 62.227573, 65.669044, 52.10022 , 48.135628, 41.816788, 57.74536 , 82.78338 , 69.31276 , 108.22685 , 55.993965, 16.362995, 50.602814, 115.048546, 52.844807, 85.772736, 80.60034 , 58.771378, 55.709286, 53.62407 , 78.31237 , 52.179768, ... 44.14989 , 59.913918, 79.251175, 86.42074 , 86.33327 , 47.953663, 76.28356 , 84.90341 , 68.97673 , 60.969994, 79.22704 , 59.969055, 46.48932 , 44.12793 , 64.061 , 76.63736 , 82.20695 , 56.13299 , 111.75626 , 42.230892, 79.323524, 78.3515 , 84.2657 , 38.39811 , 63.833996, 54.65555 , 41.78235 , 55.11649 , 44.239365, 62.46596 , 79.601555, 59.971107, 43.650166, 41.70267 , 74.66335 , 80.425476, 68.653435, 65.24276 , 58.69408 , 85.38299 , 75.0545 , 85.641106, 50.95108 , 69.22417 , 60.831394, 72.11864 , 26.782001, 13.893076, 64.673546, 70.4976 , 65.06903 , 51.921284, 44.594288, 20.689312, 60.106747, 32.814903, 87.27381 , 60.648098, 59.30579 , 69.09172 , 57.59642 , 45.750324, 51.339497, 59.879612, 52.10459 , 60.38634 , 43.478428, 43.168434, 48.54877 , 108.019684, 82.67302 , 74.4282 , 45.436287, 78.566826, 58.55765 , 33.82218 , 87.78824 , 70.364265, 70.260056, 84.77387 , 64.158966, 62.186176, 53.246613, 43.169098, 67.93887 , 57.6701 , 45.091156, 51.559887, 74.809135, 50.48356 , 57.534847, 49.661633, 108.16229 , 77.58923 , 39.449936]], dtype=float32) - s_2023_24_age_65__years_daily(chain, draw, days_2023_24)float3272.3 72.3 72.3 ... 39.45 39.45
array([[[ 72.29949 , 72.29949 , 72.29949 , ..., 72.29949 , 72.29949 , 72.29949 ], [ 60.376053, 60.376053, 60.376053, ..., 60.376053, 60.376053, 60.376053], [ 41.04879 , 41.04879 , 41.04879 , ..., 41.04879 , 41.04879 , 41.04879 ], ..., [108.16229 , 108.16229 , 108.16229 , ..., 108.16229 , 108.16229 , 108.16229 ], [ 77.58923 , 77.58923 , 77.58923 , ..., 77.58923 , 77.58923 , 77.58923 ], [ 39.449936, 39.449936, 39.449936, ..., 39.449936, 39.449936, 39.449936]]], dtype=float32) - s_2024_25_age_18_49_years(chain, draw)float3269.49 83.93 49.35 ... 37.83 38.86
array([[ 69.48807 , 83.93075 , 49.35205 , 85.49734 , 64.598305, 72.44013 , 73.201324, 75.920235, 63.28716 , 45.996 , 46.135902, 84.7288 , 41.834568, 111.76379 , 63.765465, 67.85205 , 66.43117 , 45.064873, 32.819115, 24.525488, 58.38036 , 23.715834, 55.7027 , 77.98107 , 69.369545, 56.075012, 44.29837 , 44.775265, 46.970066, 59.907135, 49.651962, 67.44748 , 50.326393, 59.783012, 56.62623 , 61.718643, 69.26915 , 92.04454 , 43.86715 , 65.6973 , 50.066593, 54.306137, 85.84725 , 78.355255, 37.51354 , 57.533092, 70.97042 , 54.719448, 64.131096, 53.72973 , 62.588272, 45.109726, 64.11915 , 45.103714, 54.811775, 64.34983 , 62.446316, 30.224428, 71.47404 , 48.873806, 36.39774 , 60.40215 , 61.47795 , 56.577084, 59.30744 , 76.145905, 41.310356, 58.66216 , 76.31033 , 73.24253 , 56.803574, 52.54339 , 71.06939 , 61.734825, 51.515846, 61.47525 , 65.000694, 52.62028 , 34.399277, 46.435894, 27.703928, 69.380295, 65.83384 , 39.10088 , 59.86573 , 76.66428 , 65.17806 , 63.650684, 58.28647 , 64.03264 , 58.013657, 24.423298, 59.043907, 76.69114 , 63.39378 , 47.4022 , 59.947433, 58.342056, 82.54628 , 70.800064, ... 40.324505, 48.827854, 56.64781 , 80.890526, 61.89131 , 45.421234, 63.875572, 67.32685 , 35.38739 , 56.633877, 72.226425, 64.57546 , 69.237595, 52.368767, 65.178696, 68.99665 , 74.96707 , 60.01668 , 62.784508, 57.28595 , 72.22712 , 61.80292 , 44.309803, 61.41743 , 75.16906 , 53.20196 , 55.83183 , 49.598038, 73.56888 , 63.842102, 73.84554 , 56.02103 , 45.306427, 59.46363 , 60.552666, 66.214676, 70.58262 , 46.07472 , 81.1357 , 63.86995 , 61.30077 , 57.643 , 63.20175 , 47.49519 , 60.85715 , 51.343933, 52.020435, 24.829441, 49.1345 , 58.76981 , 74.10422 , 61.007763, 47.199127, 64.67414 , 60.010166, 74.54676 , 44.508453, 78.28453 , 60.56162 , 99.71221 , 58.020832, 71.789604, 76.76146 , 37.444843, 55.41284 , 74.99201 , 60.471924, 55.62682 , 48.755066, 71.244255, 71.49965 , 54.85874 , 56.539696, 47.343845, 64.1786 , 38.039013, 76.04678 , 61.0882 , 57.196762, 63.12743 , 60.4493 , 57.9886 , 58.210003, 61.559742, 65.78411 , 59.997932, 47.25134 , 55.16091 , 55.363335, 54.645584, 74.310074, 52.399815, 36.63556 , 37.834774, 38.860847]], dtype=float32) - s_2024_25_age_18_49_years_daily(chain, draw, days_2024_25)float3269.49 69.49 69.49 ... 38.86 38.86
array([[[69.48807 , 69.48807 , 69.48807 , ..., 69.48807 , 69.48807 , 69.48807 ], [83.93075 , 83.93075 , 83.93075 , ..., 83.93075 , 83.93075 , 83.93075 ], [49.35205 , 49.35205 , 49.35205 , ..., 49.35205 , 49.35205 , 49.35205 ], ..., [36.63556 , 36.63556 , 36.63556 , ..., 36.63556 , 36.63556 , 36.63556 ], [37.834774, 37.834774, 37.834774, ..., 37.834774, 37.834774, 37.834774], [38.860847, 38.860847, 38.860847, ..., 38.860847, 38.860847, 38.860847]]], dtype=float32) - s_2024_25_age_50_64_years(chain, draw)float32110.1 79.04 74.17 ... 31.57 33.1
array([[110.12 , 79.036736 , 74.1734 , 64.49459 , 60.93065 , 78.504196 , 83.154335 , 98.30516 , 78.02021 , 61.624355 , 38.68399 , 85.192924 , 37.64761 , 157.1679 , 67.20119 , 86.17168 , 34.623833 , 37.72164 , 45.31658 , 25.664532 , 70.06825 , 35.47915 , 51.720028 , 104.25855 , 83.927864 , 64.020256 , 43.93262 , 56.124424 , 39.793877 , 72.70199 , 61.904354 , 68.65036 , 54.92225 , 65.777596 , 76.84359 , 50.023823 , 63.220924 , 97.87584 , 35.89035 , 73.004005 , 60.21257 , 45.16176 , 96.1814 , 73.31623 , 14.830297 , 52.41077 , 40.423355 , -19.476826 , 66.008026 , 29.382364 , 93.882774 , 54.623108 , 71.6116 , 61.064476 , 56.196877 , 72.45479 , 71.02975 , 31.254417 , 89.63533 , 58.030792 , 44.78424 , 65.49588 , 85.22663 , 19.47437 , 47.56773 , 95.60022 , 38.745865 , 68.041565 , 92.09597 , 64.740005 , 57.328957 , 54.308388 , 65.79811 , 43.404556 , 78.12178 , 69.27913 , 65.7558 , 38.623276 , 38.63685 , 24.044552 , 46.63953 , 65.12129 , 69.476036 , 32.048996 , 64.50428 , 58.59844 , 62.898594 , 49.64127 , 62.224392 , 62.283108 , 68.22596 , 26.309158 , 57.722664 , 75.44365 , 101.04553 , 43.864346 , 47.429214 , 34.5362 , 95.53575 , 84.88966 , ... 20.157835 , 50.328217 , 44.363716 , 81.45059 , 65.75836 , 58.996307 , 67.97311 , 61.416634 , 20.245932 , 47.91071 , 67.88794 , 56.515587 , 76.08301 , 49.81549 , 68.60074 , 62.535206 , 76.390045 , 62.87837 , 55.93875 , 54.87697 , 60.710358 , 57.92759 , 39.300957 , 51.878586 , 51.439537 , 44.707226 , 63.510616 , 49.967896 , 97.49349 , 52.877396 , 60.42267 , 56.542603 , 45.84152 , 10.898403 , 57.825405 , 27.087364 , 60.66642 , 50.21635 , 74.45123 , 70.24695 , 79.13607 , 68.92613 , 49.352085 , 68.513405 , 77.398964 , 44.776634 , 81.44644 , 4.3568325, 47.275806 , 62.954994 , 61.52498 , 44.90321 , 42.015846 , 85.663155 , 56.989487 , 85.742744 , 32.265144 , 69.590576 , 79.36601 , 101.065956 , 71.155914 , 76.182205 , 85.171585 , 34.610016 , 51.882683 , 62.066757 , 55.391872 , 65.43443 , 35.89553 , 69.84452 , 92.03976 , 70.56173 , 69.87147 , 56.994602 , 73.4184 , 20.945127 , 74.13069 , 52.869392 , 68.843796 , 74.788055 , 51.335503 , 68.84486 , 44.53817 , 75.81995 , 69.45472 , 23.705513 , 53.36039 , 50.106346 , 52.61727 , 17.618725 , 77.67033 , 62.741863 , 22.925655 , 31.566456 , 33.104603 ]], dtype=float32) - s_2024_25_age_50_64_years_daily(chain, draw, days_2024_25)float32110.1 110.1 110.1 ... 33.1 33.1
array([[[110.12 , 110.12 , 110.12 , ..., 110.12 , 110.12 , 110.12 ], [ 79.036736, 79.036736, 79.036736, ..., 79.036736, 79.036736, 79.036736], [ 74.1734 , 74.1734 , 74.1734 , ..., 74.1734 , 74.1734 , 74.1734 ], ..., [ 22.925655, 22.925655, 22.925655, ..., 22.925655, 22.925655, 22.925655], [ 31.566456, 31.566456, 31.566456, ..., 31.566456, 31.566456, 31.566456], [ 33.104603, 33.104603, 33.104603, ..., 33.104603, 33.104603, 33.104603]]], dtype=float32) - s_2024_25_age_65__years(chain, draw)float3263.5 75.22 51.98 ... 67.96 39.91
array([[ 63.50117 , 75.215225 , 51.97885 , 86.3411 , 51.15855 , 76.05478 , 74.30184 , 82.97557 , 65.4574 , 58.702347 , 41.944386 , 91.37715 , 39.250496 , 119.047356 , 75.715965 , 53.437683 , 60.544632 , 58.14485 , 35.2269 , 35.18523 , 57.941208 , 20.952173 , 58.654373 , 72.84689 , 39.175888 , 64.35964 , 22.290611 , 58.943417 , 55.653694 , 78.008415 , 60.9948 , 47.592358 , 49.420727 , 75.195755 , 30.691307 , 72.00058 , 62.359203 , 92.40917 , 37.731922 , 79.37918 , 64.6512 , 49.38207 , 89.79943 , 87.75454 , 44.974125 , 53.365936 , 79.54845 , 51.983482 , 48.580185 , 32.097595 , 41.75336 , 49.127598 , 26.399246 , 45.378708 , 44.738678 , 70.6892 , 49.07891 , 40.400024 , 98.88934 , 52.550476 , 38.793167 , 73.79122 , 60.749435 , 53.085323 , 71.1758 , 120.83531 , 29.037462 , 64.77158 , 75.97338 , 72.60097 , 42.399967 , 48.108532 , 78.82594 , 69.09329 , 67.158226 , 49.293182 , 84.856346 , 37.06649 , 30.404854 , 60.87535 , 47.053085 , 57.487453 , 72.53695 , 52.378117 , 74.61218 , 86.19382 , 71.823654 , 88.06697 , 55.651253 , 29.751793 , 51.71457 , 24.384945 , 34.432484 , 82.914085 , 55.31053 , 48.809223 , 55.663883 , 41.783623 , 87.020836 , 54.81529 , ... 37.445675 , 56.723614 , 52.921722 , 76.42584 , 81.64609 , 56.355225 , 66.7233 , 68.98078 , 37.001534 , 61.597473 , 76.00429 , 63.571148 , 51.993023 , 42.82792 , 82.42485 , 73.02312 , 96.677475 , 50.669716 , 76.32679 , 58.552036 , 99.35431 , 77.67273 , 36.65084 , 36.336956 , 87.120636 , 50.368286 , 63.765495 , 60.153316 , 68.501305 , 48.86707 , 54.760513 , 74.474846 , 35.832623 , 56.95592 , 84.16948 , 75.36078 , 73.2234 , 67.70823 , 60.70781 , 74.79269 , 55.055893 , 73.73008 , 57.340096 , 58.362617 , 59.93225 , 50.003876 , 48.197838 , 40.641983 , 61.583332 , 60.031425 , 71.68853 , 57.984196 , 54.44162 , 75.17822 , 79.93144 , 56.71575 , 51.14681 , 66.20006 , 82.02899 , 107.17398 , 62.761642 , 70.946945 , 77.56371 , 2.7565613, 51.77253 , 83.756836 , 47.19317 , 42.548042 , 57.7815 , 99.11615 , 66.97632 , 54.634224 , 19.701939 , 3.3196106, 57.66565 , 3.1888428, 101.18808 , 66.28513 , 46.60978 , 80.58845 , 52.496056 , 64.25228 , 41.564827 , 55.550747 , 81.25052 , 63.640106 , 48.81332 , 61.661907 , 82.50755 , 54.85878 , 59.860672 , 54.245163 , 82.55501 , 67.959946 , 39.90682 ]], dtype=float32) - s_2024_25_age_65__years_daily(chain, draw, days_2024_25)float3263.5 63.5 63.5 ... 39.91 39.91
array([[[63.50117 , 63.50117 , 63.50117 , ..., 63.50117 , 63.50117 , 63.50117 ], [75.215225, 75.215225, 75.215225, ..., 75.215225, 75.215225, 75.215225], [51.97885 , 51.97885 , 51.97885 , ..., 51.97885 , 51.97885 , 51.97885 ], ..., [82.55501 , 82.55501 , 82.55501 , ..., 82.55501 , 82.55501 , 82.55501 ], [67.959946, 67.959946, 67.959946, ..., 67.959946, 67.959946, 67.959946], [39.90682 , 39.90682 , 39.90682 , ..., 39.90682 , 39.90682 , 39.90682 ]]], dtype=float32) - s_2025_26_age_18_49_years(chain, draw)float3271.22 61.18 42.22 ... 35.34 48.48
array([[ 71.22178 , 61.18064 , 42.215874, 38.15518 , 55.685715, 76.33836 , 68.28115 , 58.896473, 63.65134 , 45.86012 , 41.2588 , 85.61778 , 46.84088 , 111.18072 , 66.76324 , 69.18065 , 65.50406 , 61.637558, 44.35337 , 45.946182, 58.54267 , 74.79741 , 59.014713, 40.98844 , 117.233406, 75.16579 , 85.01046 , 66.23723 , 77.05637 , 57.502434, 38.83839 , 72.7247 , 45.5351 , 72.43497 , 60.327736, 60.410725, 70.96295 , 56.792274, 47.84039 , 48.705456, 48.831997, 63.75467 , 85.020676, 76.11468 , 56.909416, 65.3849 , 55.199444, 50.02668 , 68.688896, 49.472126, 54.352196, 43.194138, 59.78625 , 33.858727, 47.991287, 85.26997 , 65.697495, 36.19231 , 90.76144 , 63.65159 , 68.74441 , 70.7925 , 48.611153, 58.47399 , 66.925385, 76.088135, 62.269398, 58.582497, 57.061226, 71.56741 , 55.43534 , 43.30796 , 73.273 , 59.9433 , 57.42862 , 60.859123, 64.214516, 61.114742, 41.057537, 53.015114, 42.66785 , 64.14779 , 65.356636, 72.231155, 42.047497, 64.88163 , 79.48682 , 66.43053 , 56.829456, 66.72297 , 52.72561 , 79.2668 , 55.66828 , 42.99528 , 65.26125 , 52.914898, 60.41295 , 59.30014 , 74.77224 , 50.495445, ... 65.473885, 64.19522 , 55.97708 , 78.377075, 83.52057 , 45.902 , 62.065125, 84.85079 , 44.035366, 57.028893, 87.96248 , 33.884075, 47.271152, 53.467003, 70.24884 , 76.612564, 57.752327, 57.576645, 60.95923 , 61.941376, 80.75565 , 58.332996, 46.829407, 79.38813 , 55.03845 , 53.56644 , 41.644787, 58.006832, 81.35833 , 65.5444 , 71.596 , 77.75165 , 40.6559 , 47.628735, 60.757965, 66.2629 , 58.85976 , 59.033382, 81.504585, 56.529903, 88.30738 , 53.22742 , 59.23511 , 51.638336, 66.10688 , 57.98642 , 50.58544 , 38.967403, 36.464664, 38.296894, 65.69145 , 52.699146, 45.084755, 50.611584, 51.421463, 67.56572 , 106.3228 , 64.713425, 93.298775, 127.72893 , 57.9745 , 55.06537 , 62.7505 , 84.638695, 57.02662 , 68.31394 , 57.773438, 54.40105 , 54.282516, 73.923615, 72.16742 , 55.937542, 57.512703, 58.916687, 65.283264, 57.551353, 73.46224 , 52.931065, 83.214386, 55.65262 , 62.551697, 37.301083, 75.761086, 45.3351 , 60.062016, 62.798077, 47.23585 , 59.57436 , 58.36418 , 52.602364, 74.04602 , 63.045097, 50.090157, 35.335815, 48.483704]], dtype=float32) - s_2025_26_age_18_49_years_daily(chain, draw, days_2025_26)float3271.22 71.22 71.22 ... 48.48 48.48
array([[[71.22178 , 71.22178 , 71.22178 , ..., 71.22178 , 71.22178 , 71.22178 ], [61.18064 , 61.18064 , 61.18064 , ..., 61.18064 , 61.18064 , 61.18064 ], [42.215874, 42.215874, 42.215874, ..., 42.215874, 42.215874, 42.215874], ..., [50.090157, 50.090157, 50.090157, ..., 50.090157, 50.090157, 50.090157], [35.335815, 35.335815, 35.335815, ..., 35.335815, 35.335815, 35.335815], [48.483704, 48.483704, 48.483704, ..., 48.483704, 48.483704, 48.483704]]], dtype=float32) - s_2025_26_age_50_64_years(chain, draw)float3290.97 71.63 69.41 ... 34.74 75.97
array([[ 90.96882 , 71.63469 , 69.413895, 13.786566, 47.10585 , 86.076515, 74.0585 , 59.572586, 68.88917 , 60.870667, 39.135456, 81.78255 , 60.601063, 103.791504, 61.123455, 65.19593 , 53.09755 , 63.472393, 44.654236, 48.147472, 77.29257 , 81.42045 , 64.32366 , 65.73532 , 113.78986 , 82.10706 , 87.23841 , 74.77381 , 66.257774, 65.758835, 40.03234 , 69.008766, 52.82654 , 78.87598 , 58.976677, 49.165043, 64.26555 , 68.954834, 40.918976, 58.21929 , 60.712395, 81.19256 , 94.28427 , 70.73377 , 32.697067, 55.721474, 26.83555 , 53.924004, 84.60584 , 37.483402, 68.92178 , 44.920315, 57.28591 , 38.828297, 49.802563, 102.412346, 75.43861 , 35.41386 , 109.73926 , 91.20863 , 79.00838 , 93.603455, 75.91343 , 35.1362 , 54.582233, 99.87165 , 68.418976, 55.49227 , 68.74728 , 57.592663, 54.018024, 47.173363, 65.67668 , 54.996834, 78.94681 , 62.068115, 74.02702 , 31.639387, 38.381596, 33.16337 , 52.76739 , 53.07582 , 67.82511 , 67.94522 , 75.86036 , 40.68934 , 77.28353 , 58.52187 , 62.849518, 63.88675 , 58.452095, 79.337036, 63.19136 , 46.48457 , 107.82528 , 51.336216, 41.15615 , 36.85639 , 103.55473 , 67.95737 , ... 38.550316, 55.54803 , 50.50162 , 72.69823 , 98.769936, 66.52633 , 66.41751 , 75.83364 , 32.01056 , 50.085564, 82.92712 , 18.674051, 46.09701 , 44.893105, 50.776726, 61.013844, 54.90674 , 46.966446, 60.399967, 58.118683, 67.52991 , 58.091137, 39.738937, 80.60585 , 58.18176 , 28.564005, 49.38238 , 57.980618, 101.76472 , 54.73376 , 58.684273, 95.626045, 42.662216, 39.115894, 40.429306, 32.203396, 51.47455 , 65.10654 , 78.15959 , 62.518013, 100.656586, 73.15488 , 47.580147, 65.09691 , 70.08644 , 49.874428, 79.96755 , 19.150257, 32.730152, 46.643127, 61.742588, 37.36725 , 69.19055 , 70.39691 , 53.166477, 81.249466, 95.87819 , 59.20033 , 97.40278 , 124.79756 , 101.565445, 40.811295, 59.42648 , 73.7139 , 43.987064, 69.98515 , 57.125397, 58.488003, 54.756115, 74.93656 , 86.2251 , 71.306496, 71.41796 , 55.339645, 58.260674, 42.18349 , 96.84249 , 55.400097, 88.48057 , 61.742752, 53.519325, 42.750565, 68.25041 , 58.013527, 69.78667 , 55.60367 , 67.41098 , 61.36047 , 43.447197, 24.609976, 73.810295, 70.969025, 42.264233, 34.742447, 75.97315 ]], dtype=float32) - s_2025_26_age_50_64_years_daily(chain, draw, days_2025_26)float3290.97 90.97 90.97 ... 75.97 75.97
array([[[90.96882 , 90.96882 , 90.96882 , ..., 90.96882 , 90.96882 , 90.96882 ], [71.63469 , 71.63469 , 71.63469 , ..., 71.63469 , 71.63469 , 71.63469 ], [69.413895, 69.413895, 69.413895, ..., 69.413895, 69.413895, 69.413895], ..., [42.264233, 42.264233, 42.264233, ..., 42.264233, 42.264233, 42.264233], [34.742447, 34.742447, 34.742447, ..., 34.742447, 34.742447, 34.742447], [75.97315 , 75.97315 , 75.97315 , ..., 75.97315 , 75.97315 , 75.97315 ]]], dtype=float32) - s_2025_26_age_65__years(chain, draw)float3266.87 79.44 42.6 ... 76.0 34.22
array([[ 66.86987 , 79.44429 , 42.602406 , 49.24776 , 43.894257 , 79.28822 , 67.073845 , 61.2329 , 67.96443 , 55.149075 , 15.499159 , 90.32333 , 32.222374 , 113.493484 , 78.94415 , 92.78848 , 57.508003 , 65.155754 , 47.98941 , 65.62607 , 74.85773 , 79.51073 , 96.17662 , 40.119072 , 104.125336 , 80.27272 , 61.62358 , 82.5853 , 97.09225 , 71.42115 , 53.718708 , 47.81376 , 27.460947 , 78.558365 , 51.51215 , 59.159622 , 69.32144 , 71.815216 , 44.932358 , 58.880993 , 51.120037 , 67.71704 , 92.791855 , 89.061264 , 38.952488 , 64.219185 , 55.979706 , 49.53285 , 53.20055 , 26.121677 , 54.674324 , 38.28812 , 43.62279 , 38.05195 , 28.27647 , 80.05538 , 57.49044 , 39.541004 , 124.25592 , 74.15225 , 70.75213 , 82.82057 , 52.311066 , 54.58225 , 81.405525 , 106.751144 , 50.048668 , 62.681137 , 42.69262 , 72.32686 , 51.72826 , 42.22617 , 83.11164 , 67.08734 , 68.13174 , 55.937286 , 82.96026 , 73.22444 , 22.205082 , 60.011223 , 70.26438 , 70.08032 , 65.320175 , 82.41674 , 69.73065 , 66.3871 , 95.40974 , 90.13954 , 52.427986 , 83.29049 , 48.837803 , 78.244415 , 32.1809 , 50.413204 , 68.81712 , 60.946144 , 57.67277 , 48.994003 , 78.98971 , 43.59765 , ... 69.451645 , 71.45088 , 78.42281 , 70.04334 , 113.13925 , 49.88357 , 50.242203 , 86.2435 , 47.250523 , 49.66873 , 89.117065 , 22.687813 , 30.080437 , 47.405304 , 84.03434 , 77.67241 , 82.01648 , 46.997078 , 21.525051 , 54.568733 , 100.659004 , 69.97628 , 54.147633 , 58.702587 , 71.09763 , 50.24575 , 47.45876 , 65.3116 , 82.674576 , 55.55471 , 49.175068 , 86.39999 , 32.235912 , 44.322353 , 99.871086 , 75.57323 , 54.7959 , 70.677704 , 63.25425 , 70.220795 , 76.27801 , 70.91415 , 33.158913 , 58.33731 , 66.18399 , 55.914623 , 20.117437 , 55.450195 , 43.271397 , 31.879885 , 72.80504 , 48.700626 , 50.555523 , 62.542896 , 64.034904 , 53.146175 , 112.91387 , 45.56932 , 120.17351 , 141.55524 , 61.57145 , 48.84228 , 64.80889 , 42.95027 , 52.6178 , 77.94931 , 44.744164 , 40.76246 , 64.15906 , 72.37922 , 64.86578 , 61.9213 , 41.051277 , 66.25672 , 60.98558 , 63.727898 , 88.450775 , 60.601624 , 78.71485 , 77.77336 , 76.097626 , 35.227993 , 70.85308 , 51.85574 , 64.76845 , 66.45535 , 39.34531 , 50.22587 , 72.817795 , 52.746487 , 53.617977 , 66.49035 , 46.62677 , 76.00419 , 34.224052 ]], dtype=float32) - s_2025_26_age_65__years_daily(chain, draw, days_2025_26)float3266.87 66.87 66.87 ... 34.22 34.22
array([[[66.86987 , 66.86987 , 66.86987 , ..., 66.86987 , 66.86987 , 66.86987 ], [79.44429 , 79.44429 , 79.44429 , ..., 79.44429 , 79.44429 , 79.44429 ], [42.602406, 42.602406, 42.602406, ..., 42.602406, 42.602406, 42.602406], ..., [46.62677 , 46.62677 , 46.62677 , ..., 46.62677 , 46.62677 , 46.62677 ], [76.00419 , 76.00419 , 76.00419 , ..., 76.00419 , 76.00419 , 76.00419 ], [34.224052, 34.224052, 34.224052, ..., 34.224052, 34.224052, 34.224052]]], dtype=float32) - s_age(chain, draw, season, age_categories_short)float329.711 -10.46 13.98 ... 27.49 -14.26
array([[[[ 9.710589 , -10.458059 ], [ 13.979965 , -7.352627 ], [ 45.966454 , -3.7796235 ], [ 40.631935 , -5.986898 ], [ 19.747038 , -4.3519073 ]], [[ -8.251357 , 13.647961 ], [ -8.710799 , 9.113638 ], [ -6.377485 , -1.3697124 ], [ -4.89401 , -8.715519 ], [ 10.454047 , 18.263653 ]], [[ 30.713425 , -8.943445 ], [ 36.212967 , -6.1174507 ], [ 30.035088 , -3.1769528 ], [ 24.821354 , 2.6268 ], [ 27.198025 , 0.38653308]], ..., [[-14.343247 , -3.6934984 ], [-10.032489 , -20.630646 ], [-13.97826 , 43.330097 ], [-13.709903 , 45.91945 ], [ -7.8259244 , -3.4633865 ]], [[ 0.9084242 , -10.301269 ], [ -4.3798513 , 38.058777 ], [ -7.6330767 , 41.284733 ], [ -6.2683187 , 30.125168 ], [ -0.5933686 , 40.668373 ]], [[-10.90203 , -14.418397 ], [ 10.952829 , 30.021166 ], [ 9.230531 , 7.2006197 ], [ -5.756243 , 1.0459715 ], [ 27.489447 , -14.259653 ]]]], dtype=float32) - s_age_mu(chain, draw, age_categories_short)float3215.99 -6.051 ... 5.154 -2.018
array([[[ 1.59863234e+01, -6.05137205e+00], [-3.10213041e+00, 6.57698917e+00], [ 2.99394855e+01, -3.28543842e-01], [-7.86091995e+00, 6.44253588e+00], [-1.07478447e+01, -1.28971252e+01], [ 4.21280861e+00, 8.52822781e+00], [ 1.06461763e+01, 5.51040268e+00], [ 1.31468163e+01, 3.47950578e+00], [ 4.06050301e+00, 1.96016777e+00], [ 1.41970882e+01, 9.35757446e+00], [-1.02706861e+01, -9.98472118e+00], [-2.76673746e+00, -3.27772403e+00], [ 5.15065575e+00, -8.70762539e+00], [ 1.45692368e+01, 4.61863470e+00], [ 2.12965536e+00, 1.21952639e+01], [ 2.46594024e+00, 1.38906336e+00], [-1.31291494e+01, -2.49253106e+00], [-4.43270731e+00, 8.31648445e+00], [ 2.68523812e+00, 4.39705801e+00], [ 1.72833061e+00, 4.70909691e+00], ... [-1.65653210e+01, -3.95415998e+00], [ 1.87921448e+01, 1.48703957e+00], [-1.66532269e+01, 1.76829662e+01], [ 1.00293751e+01, 4.39361191e+00], [ 1.18055391e+01, 1.80928116e+01], [-8.67543888e+00, -8.33913028e-01], [ 1.02728062e+01, 8.57371390e-01], [-6.32957983e+00, -1.37441244e+01], [ 1.45224228e+01, -4.03683758e+00], [ 7.21490240e+00, 8.52588177e+00], [-5.62877464e+00, 3.87686825e+00], [-5.31976461e-01, -5.59720945e+00], [-5.94874978e-01, -7.74664104e-01], [ 3.00858617e+00, 1.72269592e+01], [-1.11624870e+01, -1.87972888e-01], [ 1.88110888e+00, -1.97045937e+01], [-1.32801211e+00, 3.08379173e+00], [-1.08761158e+01, -2.16342378e+00], [-4.96396637e+00, 9.18032646e+00], [ 5.15370321e+00, -2.01831603e+00]]], dtype=float32) - s_age_sigma(chain, draw, age_categories_short)float3213.39 2.66 7.431 ... 11.85 23.52
array([[[13.392686 , 2.659846 ], [ 7.431333 , 8.848369 ], [ 2.7985733 , 4.613936 ], [13.477722 , 10.74385 ], [ 7.2206116 , 1.3138238 ], [ 6.2134614 , 4.952753 ], [ 6.043214 , 4.028284 ], [14.332769 , 2.916801 ], [ 4.0288663 , 12.371127 ], [ 3.5775032 , 2.3354628 ], [ 5.9267473 , 9.906696 ], [ 2.8053513 , 7.5179152 ], [ 7.8375487 , 5.1012006 ], [12.190293 , 3.2360332 ], [ 6.6153193 , 10.746216 ], [ 9.75225 , 23.078287 ], [ 9.48694 , 3.680753 ], [ 3.9698584 , 6.1138554 ], [ 6.8294406 , 1.1701865 ], [ 0.87163764, 15.591095 ], ... [ 3.3424556 , 21.871313 ], [16.845352 , 14.437508 ], [ 8.654843 , 12.575109 ], [14.187488 , 15.029747 ], [ 5.095426 , 6.996103 ], [ 2.2431517 , 6.9480743 ], [ 5.9541383 , 2.4799721 ], [ 7.465092 , 4.3932896 ], [ 1.5840724 , 5.956843 ], [ 2.252923 , 5.720838 ], [12.634563 , 0.8820614 ], [13.368209 , 6.8966303 ], [ 7.588079 , 17.643465 ], [25.944334 , 6.651241 ], [23.67997 , 2.363313 ], [ 1.6269574 , 2.827026 ], [11.174759 , 0.84191185], [ 3.2827709 , 17.86189 ], [ 7.619873 , 17.380816 ], [11.846715 , 23.51696 ]]], dtype=float32) - s_season(chain, draw, season)float3272.54 75.4 76.08 ... 38.86 48.48
array([[[ 72.536545, 75.40084 , 76.07912 , 69.48807 , 71.22178 ], [ 63.42619 , 105.931854, 61.745766, 83.93075 , 61.18064 ], [ 41.807564, 52.43216 , 44.225742, 49.35205 , 42.215874], ..., [ 52.81976 , 48.57903 , 64.8322 , 36.63556 , 50.090157], [ 38.699142, 38.119453, 36.3045 , 37.834774, 35.335815], [ 53.1385 , 53.52778 , 32.249317, 38.860847, 48.483704]]], dtype=float32) - s_season_mu(chain, draw)float3271.47 74.29 53.64 ... 37.83 53.52
array([[71.46691 , 74.29441 , 53.638615, 52.19412 , 62.07216 , 68.149475, 66.94473 , 60.664642, 64.03087 , 45.954937, 48.81329 , 83.84611 , 44.193806, 54.151833, 64.546425, 68.66791 , 65.53931 , 53.660774, 42.432114, 49.99503 , 61.350174, 65.4168 , 55.24645 , 61.270287, 61.01706 , 66.527435, 66.784355, 55.755623, 52.28578 , 59.616543, 44.265007, 77.11723 , 45.67491 , 63.580723, 60.826996, 62.31101 , 69.36626 , 66.50987 , 50.01291 , 61.464947, 51.57636 , 62.91033 , 84.865364, 76.09431 , 58.34855 , 53.13429 , 60.62441 , 53.483784, 63.283756, 52.128307, 59.463303, 43.588234, 55.50045 , 55.87441 , 55.308506, 74.09666 , 54.686424, 48.40246 , 76.0057 , 49.453785, 57.136574, 55.67385 , 54.734447, 51.728004, 59.25213 , 75.65398 , 49.31067 , 58.334522, 67.85446 , 74.49019 , 58.020016, 55.572845, 69.31199 , 65.46698 , 58.632423, 60.30851 , 64.07498 , 52.59375 , 36.33787 , 55.88224 , 48.39813 , 64.77854 , 64.96027 , 51.293606, 42.5633 , 65.17968 , 69.61564 , 71.168785, 55.440334, 63.70605 , 49.60115 , 62.297375, 58.040493, 59.71468 , 61.412678, 45.89549 , 59.86829 , 57.932247, 77.125175, 63.90351 , 73.11639 , 41.3646 , 45.685204, 62.575436, 46.582764, 50.02441 , 59.98487 , 66.55094 , 49.331337, 71.46746 , 65.565674, 55.872734, 61.541 , 52.480015, 47.764072, 57.75685 , 60.739967, 55.167458, 66.705345, 72.60072 , ... 60.521744, 66.61569 , 72.92296 , 56.47631 , 56.857296, 58.952923, 67.77374 , 68.226204, 65.333496, 69.2409 , 51.999516, 71.46525 , 56.610462, 68.12085 , 51.45901 , 59.017086, 88.11761 , 47.919373, 58.393993, 61.029675, 67.70594 , 59.522522, 48.993496, 55.45417 , 82.44089 , 68.147964, 45.83337 , 63.653713, 75.32291 , 69.07699 , 56.339138, 73.8321 , 70.63422 , 58.28761 , 53.276554, 71.96903 , 77.61014 , 56.832123, 59.35936 , 63.981632, 57.483192, 68.08245 , 61.271553, 48.040134, 79.84686 , 58.869343, 54.44535 , 61.392418, 54.58593 , 72.90598 , 64.815865, 63.983128, 57.12042 , 45.723026, 56.540993, 60.01436 , 65.754776, 56.05963 , 53.098385, 82.48899 , 63.159935, 74.16057 , 60.075207, 59.534214, 51.668766, 61.274307, 55.342854, 51.833397, 33.944424, 49.757862, 61.791275, 66.78906 , 60.784824, 44.844494, 53.07963 , 48.8974 , 63.695873, 75.57486 , 73.959496, 48.164738, 70.26367 , 58.00281 , 56.833576, 60.74093 , 62.700264, 57.09625 , 61.4102 , 58.6489 , 56.451733, 50.693504, 76.78725 , 74.2995 , 53.594395, 56.723576, 58.39204 , 63.38217 , 44.985256, 72.330795, 57.96509 , 64.17425 , 67.53093 , 60.697823, 59.727753, 64.73412 , 55.507214, 59.702553, 62.019253, 49.226795, 56.6347 , 57.05601 , 53.088833, 73.871315, 55.381958, 48.664318, 37.832504, 53.518192]], dtype=float32) - s_season_sigma(chain, draw)float323.286 15.65 8.416 ... 1.283 12.23
array([[ 3.285636 , 15.650557 , 8.416422 , 15.22462 , 3.6862245 , 13.254757 , 10.913202 , 9.947434 , 2.6933584 , 0.05675019, 5.4588876 , 5.007628 , 4.7986174 , 29.61966 , 1.6346853 , 1.565289 , 2.702144 , 6.2761245 , 7.7858143 , 11.91107 , 4.1196203 , 25.164507 , 2.0915923 , 7.717516 , 40.6008 , 12.8549595 , 21.651897 , 14.261718 , 15.554587 , 0.94669116, 6.9617844 , 9.619397 , 4.0369825 , 7.949688 , 10.349078 , 4.9223766 , 0.9382495 , 12.020113 , 5.7295475 , 10.3099785 , 3.084323 , 11.502882 , 0.54831403, 1.5469544 , 11.888464 , 11.388412 , 17.506044 , 6.381636 , 4.0563827 , 7.4892836 , 9.469018 , 2.1223521 , 5.2323422 , 10.080886 , 8.931575 , 4.943695 , 7.730752 , 11.877967 , 10.425659 , 9.950859 , 13.483951 , 10.892698 , 4.90998 , 7.709288 , 9.822285 , 1.1918818 , 13.17002 , 0.537089 , 8.554717 , 2.7984366 , 3.0836082 , 20.676662 , 4.5185256 , 4.9086432 , 2.5886123 , 0.592823 , 2.3412085 , 6.718425 , 2.9106703 , 12.596169 , 15.993288 , 2.9083009 , 0.88674873, 13.740418 , 20.538092 , 6.65364 , 5.915985 , 5.50341 , 3.8559718 , 1.80951 , 8.778538 , 27.305796 , 4.3029838 , 9.562617 , 5.393076 , 11.7780285 , 0.9921956 , 0.71978486, 10.866145 , 7.5774655 , ... 12.727835 , 7.5828614 , 0.64144284, 4.6181393 , 11.412762 , 0.25160572, 1.7520694 , 9.395264 , 15.792657 , 0.87292296, 7.5315533 , 15.279116 , 8.022519 , 7.746321 , 15.414865 , 11.547036 , 12.690216 , 3.1686502 , 8.228019 , 4.520955 , 9.330764 , 2.3553228 , 2.9536974 , 11.87532 , 9.372311 , 1.2517881 , 10.7534685 , 9.8506 , 14.451387 , 0.9175139 , 22.002733 , 17.588955 , 12.659429 , 9.673113 , 1.539068 , 3.4497974 , 7.968385 , 7.361878 , 1.4870002 , 14.909597 , 11.397287 , 7.5765815 , 6.180251 , 5.732539 , 4.095438 , 12.865217 , 1.5269727 , 8.694013 , 12.088453 , 12.9560175 , 3.3750653 , 4.250783 , 14.500176 , 15.026724 , 8.529013 , 11.362676 , 18.916147 , 20.077595 , 19.311367 , 22.197496 , 0.24103348, 16.706347 , 8.403059 , 20.90466 , 4.5564265 , 10.850175 , 9.314961 , 1.1321143 , 5.4052725 , 6.0835223 , 4.956042 , 6.410936 , 0.5077848 , 5.9452844 , 4.5521007 , 10.239252 , 8.532003 , 8.53223 , 12.84297 , 4.238003 , 2.8351686 , 9.415039 , 6.1306143 , 9.550777 , 3.2055964 , 6.0995054 , 3.3864093 , 3.594612 , 3.034025 , 2.2758915 , 0.63973904, 5.548866 , 10.154971 , 1.2826229 , 12.228763 ]], dtype=float32)
- created_at :
- 2026-03-31T21:09:25.360338+00:00
- arviz_version :
- 0.23.4
- inference_library :
- numpyro
- inference_library_version :
- 0.20.1
<xarray.Dataset> Size: 24MB Dimensions: (chain: 1, draw: 500, season: 5, age_categories: 3, date_ranges_2021_22: 7, date_ranges_2022_23: 7, date_ranges_2023_24: 28, date_ranges_2024_25: 33, date_ranges_2025_26: 20, days_2021_22: 243, days_2022_23: 243, days_2023_24: 244, days_2024_25: 243, days_2025_26: 243, age_categories_short: 2, observation: 285) Coordinates: (12/16) * chain (chain) int64 8B 0 * draw (draw) int64 4kB 0 1 2 3 ... 497 498 499 * season (season) <U7 140B '2021/22' ... '2025/26' * age_categories (age_categories) <U11 132B '18-49 year... * date_ranges_2021_22 (date_ranges_2021_22) <U21 588B '2021-... * date_ranges_2022_23 (date_ranges_2022_23) <U21 588B '2022-... ... ... * days_2022_23 (days_2022_23) <U10 10kB '2022-08-01' ... * days_2023_24 (days_2023_24) <U10 10kB '2023-08-01' ... * days_2024_25 (days_2024_25) <U10 10kB '2024-08-01' ... * days_2025_26 (days_2025_26) <U10 10kB '2025-08-01' ... * age_categories_short (age_categories_short) <U11 88B '50-64... * observation (observation) <U45 51kB '2021/22|2021-... Data variables: (12/132) covariate_values_m_age (chain, draw, season, age_categories) float32 30kB ... covariate_values_m_season (chain, draw, season) float32 10kB -0.... covariate_values_r_age (chain, draw, season, age_categories) float32 30kB ... covariate_values_r_season (chain, draw, season) float32 10kB -3.... covariate_values_s_age (chain, draw, season, age_categories) float32 30kB ... covariate_values_s_season (chain, draw, season) float32 10kB 72.... ... ... s_age (chain, draw, season, age_categories_short) float32 20kB ... s_age_mu (chain, draw, age_categories_short) float32 4kB ... s_age_sigma (chain, draw, age_categories_short) float32 4kB ... s_season (chain, draw, season) float32 10kB 72.... s_season_mu (chain, draw) float32 2kB 71.47 ... 53.52 s_season_sigma (chain, draw) float32 2kB 3.286 ... 12.23 Attributes: created_at: 2026-03-31T21:09:25.360338+00:00 arviz_version: 0.23.4 inference_library: numpyro inference_library_version: 0.20.1xarray.Dataset
In [10]:
Copied!
vaxflux_prior_idata.prior_observations
vaxflux_prior_idata.prior_observations
Out[10]:
| chain | draw | season | season_start_date | season_end_date | start_date | end_date | report_date | age | type | value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 2021/22 | 2021-08-01 | 2022-03-31 | 2021-08-01 | 2021-10-30 | 2021-10-30 | 18-49 years | incidence | 0.122936 |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 2021/22 | 2021-08-01 | 2022-03-31 | 2021-10-30 | 2021-11-27 | 2021-11-27 | 18-49 years | incidence | 0.040334 |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 2021/22 | 2021-08-01 | 2022-03-31 | 2021-11-27 | 2021-12-31 | 2021-12-31 | 18-49 years | incidence | 0.033967 |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 2021/22 | 2021-08-01 | 2022-03-31 | 2021-12-31 | 2022-01-29 | 2022-01-29 | 18-49 years | incidence | 0.017063 |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 2021/22 | 2021-08-01 | 2022-03-31 | 2022-01-29 | 2022-02-26 | 2022-02-26 | 18-49 years | incidence | 0.009292 |
| ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... |
| 142495 | 0 | 499 | 2025/26 | 2025-08-01 | 2026-03-31 | 2026-01-17 | 2026-01-24 | 2026-01-24 | 65+ years | incidence | 0.004391 |
| 142496 | 0 | 499 | 2025/26 | 2025-08-01 | 2026-03-31 | 2026-01-24 | 2026-01-31 | 2026-01-31 | 65+ years | incidence | 0.003748 |
| 142497 | 0 | 499 | 2025/26 | 2025-08-01 | 2026-03-31 | 2026-01-31 | 2026-02-07 | 2026-02-07 | 65+ years | incidence | 0.003195 |
| 142498 | 0 | 499 | 2025/26 | 2025-08-01 | 2026-03-31 | 2026-02-07 | 2026-02-14 | 2026-02-14 | 65+ years | incidence | 0.002719 |
| 142499 | 0 | 499 | 2025/26 | 2025-08-01 | 2026-03-31 | 2026-02-14 | 2026-02-21 | 2026-02-21 | 65+ years | incidence | 0.002311 |
142500 rows × 11 columns
In [11]:
Copied!
vaxflux_prior_idata.plot_prior_predictive()
plt.show()
vaxflux_prior_idata.plot_prior_predictive()
plt.show()
In [12]:
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warmup = 500
samples = 500
chains = 4
vaxflux_idata = model.sample(
warmup=warmup, samples=samples, prior_samples=None, chains=chains
)
vaxflux_idata
warmup = 500
samples = 500
chains = 4
vaxflux_idata = model.sample(
warmup=warmup, samples=samples, prior_samples=None, chains=chains
)
vaxflux_idata
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Out[12]:
arviz.InferenceData
-
- chain: 4
- draw: 500
- season: 5
- age_categories: 3
- date_ranges_2021_22: 7
- date_ranges_2022_23: 7
- date_ranges_2023_24: 28
- date_ranges_2024_25: 33
- date_ranges_2025_26: 20
- days_2021_22: 243
- days_2022_23: 243
- days_2023_24: 244
- days_2024_25: 243
- days_2025_26: 243
- age_categories_short: 2
- observation: 285
- chain(chain)int640 1 2 3
array([0, 1, 2, 3])
- draw(draw)int640 1 2 3 4 5 ... 495 496 497 498 499
array([ 0, 1, 2, ..., 497, 498, 499])
- season(season)<U7'2021/22' '2022/23' ... '2025/26'
array(['2021/22', '2022/23', '2023/24', '2024/25', '2025/26'], dtype='<U7')
- age_categories(age_categories)<U11'18-49 years' ... '65+ years'
array(['18-49 years', '50-64 years', '65+ years'], dtype='<U11')
- date_ranges_2021_22(date_ranges_2021_22)<U21'2021-11-27_2021-12-31' ... '202...
array(['2021-11-27_2021-12-31', '2022-03-26_2022-04-30', '2021-10-30_2021-11-27', '2022-02-26_2022-03-26', '2021-08-01_2021-10-30', '2021-12-31_2022-01-29', '2022-01-29_2022-02-26'], dtype='<U21') - date_ranges_2022_23(date_ranges_2022_23)<U21'2023-03-25_2023-04-29' ... '202...
array(['2023-03-25_2023-04-29', '2022-10-29_2022-11-26', '2023-01-28_2023-02-25', '2022-08-01_2022-10-29', '2022-11-26_2022-12-31', '2023-02-25_2023-03-25', '2022-12-31_2023-01-28'], dtype='<U21') - date_ranges_2023_24(date_ranges_2023_24)<U21'2024-01-06_2024-01-13' ... '202...
array(['2024-01-06_2024-01-13', '2023-12-30_2024-01-06', '2024-03-09_2024-03-16', '2024-02-03_2024-02-10', '2023-11-18_2023-11-25', '2023-10-21_2023-10-28', '2023-11-04_2023-11-11', '2023-09-30_2023-10-07', '2023-12-09_2023-12-16', '2024-03-02_2024-03-09', '2024-03-23_2024-03-31', '2023-10-14_2023-10-21', '2024-03-16_2024-03-23', '2024-02-17_2024-02-24', '2023-12-02_2023-12-09', '2023-10-28_2023-11-04', '2023-11-25_2023-12-02', '2024-02-10_2024-02-17', '2023-12-23_2023-12-30', '2024-01-27_2024-02-03', '2023-08-01_2023-09-30', '2024-02-24_2024-03-02', '2023-12-16_2023-12-23', '2024-03-31_2024-04-06', '2024-01-20_2024-01-27', '2023-11-11_2023-11-18', '2024-01-13_2024-01-20', '2023-10-07_2023-10-14'], dtype='<U21') - date_ranges_2024_25(date_ranges_2024_25)<U21'2025-03-01_2025-03-08' ... '202...
array(['2025-03-01_2025-03-08', '2024-09-21_2024-09-28', '2024-09-14_2024-09-21', '2025-03-15_2025-03-22', '2024-10-12_2024-10-19', '2024-11-23_2024-11-30', '2025-03-08_2025-03-15', '2024-12-28_2025-01-04', '2024-11-09_2024-11-16', '2025-01-04_2025-01-11', '2025-01-18_2025-01-25', '2024-12-14_2024-12-21', '2024-11-02_2024-11-09', '2024-12-21_2024-12-28', '2025-01-11_2025-01-18', '2024-11-16_2024-11-23', '2024-09-07_2024-09-14', '2024-12-07_2024-12-14', '2025-03-22_2025-03-29', '2025-02-22_2025-03-01', '2024-08-31_2024-09-07', '2024-11-30_2024-12-07', '2024-09-28_2024-10-05', '2024-08-24_2024-08-31', '2024-10-05_2024-10-12', '2024-10-19_2024-10-26', '2024-08-01_2024-08-24', '2025-02-15_2025-02-22', '2025-03-29_2025-04-05', '2024-10-26_2024-11-02', '2025-01-25_2025-02-01', '2025-02-08_2025-02-15', '2025-02-01_2025-02-08'], dtype='<U21') - date_ranges_2025_26(date_ranges_2025_26)<U21'2025-12-13_2025-12-20' ... '202...
array(['2025-12-13_2025-12-20', '2025-10-25_2025-11-01', '2025-12-27_2026-01-03', '2025-11-15_2025-11-22', '2026-01-10_2026-01-17', '2025-11-01_2025-11-08', '2025-12-06_2025-12-13', '2025-12-20_2025-12-27', '2025-10-11_2025-10-18', '2026-01-17_2026-01-24', '2026-01-24_2026-01-31', '2026-02-07_2026-02-14', '2025-11-29_2025-12-06', '2026-01-31_2026-02-07', '2026-01-03_2026-01-10', '2025-08-01_2025-10-11', '2025-11-08_2025-11-15', '2025-11-22_2025-11-29', '2026-02-14_2026-02-21', '2025-10-18_2025-10-25'], dtype='<U21') - days_2021_22(days_2021_22)<U10'2021-08-01' ... '2022-03-31'
array(['2021-08-01', '2021-08-02', '2021-08-03', ..., '2022-03-29', '2022-03-30', '2022-03-31'], dtype='<U10') - days_2022_23(days_2022_23)<U10'2022-08-01' ... '2023-03-31'
array(['2022-08-01', '2022-08-02', '2022-08-03', ..., '2023-03-29', '2023-03-30', '2023-03-31'], dtype='<U10') - days_2023_24(days_2023_24)<U10'2023-08-01' ... '2024-03-31'
array(['2023-08-01', '2023-08-02', '2023-08-03', ..., '2024-03-29', '2024-03-30', '2024-03-31'], dtype='<U10') - days_2024_25(days_2024_25)<U10'2024-08-01' ... '2025-03-31'
array(['2024-08-01', '2024-08-02', '2024-08-03', ..., '2025-03-29', '2025-03-30', '2025-03-31'], dtype='<U10') - days_2025_26(days_2025_26)<U10'2025-08-01' ... '2026-03-31'
array(['2025-08-01', '2025-08-02', '2025-08-03', ..., '2026-03-29', '2026-03-30', '2026-03-31'], dtype='<U10') - age_categories_short(age_categories_short)<U11'50-64 years' '65+ years'
array(['50-64 years', '65+ years'], dtype='<U11')
- observation(observation)<U45'2021/22|2021-08-01|2021-10-30|a...
array(['2021/22|2021-08-01|2021-10-30|age=18-49 years', '2021/22|2021-10-30|2021-11-27|age=18-49 years', '2021/22|2021-11-27|2021-12-31|age=18-49 years', ..., '2025/26|2026-01-31|2026-02-07|age=65+ years', '2025/26|2026-02-07|2026-02-14|age=65+ years', '2025/26|2026-02-14|2026-02-21|age=65+ years'], dtype='<U45')
- covariate_values_m_age(chain, draw, season, age_categories)float320.0 0.6141 1.332 ... 0.5595 1.496
array([[[[0. , 0.61406034, 1.3324646 ], [0. , 0.5888564 , 1.2772889 ], [0. , 0.42581522, 1.2917755 ], [0. , 0.34850338, 1.3142785 ], [0. , 0.45960635, 1.2890402 ]], [[0. , 0.48038858, 1.3379977 ], [0. , 0.57530695, 1.3613492 ], [0. , 0.5433065 , 1.2516235 ], [0. , 0.5269088 , 1.321597 ], [0. , 0.48869517, 1.344554 ]], [[0. , 0.5371674 , 1.1124697 ], [0. , 0.6702291 , 1.2970269 ], [0. , 0.6267789 , 1.2330073 ], [0. , 0.56315535, 1.0989206 ], [0. , 0.50932014, 1.1436615 ]], ..., ... ..., [[0. , 0.7037841 , 1.2900041 ], [0. , 0.66805434, 1.367309 ], [0. , 0.7129712 , 1.2929591 ], [0. , 0.7305721 , 1.3058699 ], [0. , 0.6933942 , 1.204295 ]], [[0. , 0.57988644, 1.3486536 ], [0. , 0.64596957, 1.3430994 ], [0. , 0.5534388 , 1.4569474 ], [0. , 0.6425554 , 1.3960074 ], [0. , 0.5920013 , 1.4827917 ]], [[0. , 0.5768635 , 1.3337688 ], [0. , 0.62888885, 1.3263533 ], [0. , 0.5546267 , 1.4805769 ], [0. , 0.58458245, 1.3795625 ], [0. , 0.5595088 , 1.4960169 ]]]], dtype=float32) - covariate_values_m_season(chain, draw, season)float32-0.6659 -0.6009 ... -0.8928 -0.9495
array([[[-0.6659173 , -0.6008781 , -0.8330322 , -0.72119015, -0.7460687 ], [-0.66676694, -0.6243777 , -0.6655928 , -0.7379301 , -0.86058867], [-0.6759527 , -0.6313408 , -0.6759381 , -0.7174644 , -0.63214386], ..., [-0.5809914 , -0.53264546, -0.5779692 , -0.6719996 , -0.48041096], [-0.53357977, -0.5496062 , -0.58976215, -0.59864354, -0.45496097], [-0.54999626, -0.56627446, -0.5786864 , -0.54789484, -0.45506638]], [[-0.61172664, -0.5586274 , -0.6901408 , -0.6529152 , -0.50893337], [-0.55649954, -0.57846475, -0.6506097 , -0.7213359 , -0.6817337 ], [-0.5804412 , -0.57332075, -0.65878546, -0.66269886, -0.6509375 ], ... [-0.72800696, -0.59309083, -0.792033 , -1.0188992 , -0.658474 ], [-0.68638307, -0.64634997, -0.7518171 , -0.662904 , -0.73230875], [-0.6104085 , -0.5885206 , -0.6500955 , -0.74947804, -0.6668891 ]], [[-0.7937727 , -0.69717777, -0.9431632 , -1.0700535 , -0.7942544 ], [-0.6740931 , -0.6715874 , -0.81835645, -0.81939703, -0.7627954 ], [-0.7153082 , -0.70230716, -0.7766861 , -1.1197625 , -0.945003 ], ..., [-0.65241146, -0.6468777 , -0.8992613 , -0.81350595, -0.61154246], [-0.74794 , -0.62881917, -0.8333825 , -0.9049599 , -0.9372587 ], [-0.74850905, -0.6327635 , -0.85024244, -0.892784 , -0.9495183 ]]], dtype=float32) - covariate_values_r_age(chain, draw, season, age_categories)float320.0 0.115 0.2187 ... 0.05919 0.1692
array([[[[ 0.00000000e+00, 1.15020625e-01, 2.18734726e-01], [ 0.00000000e+00, 1.17779955e-01, 3.26980472e-01], [ 0.00000000e+00, 1.12170227e-01, 1.64751023e-01], [ 0.00000000e+00, 1.01583652e-01, 2.81769931e-01], [ 0.00000000e+00, 1.15680456e-01, 1.26692593e-01]], [[ 0.00000000e+00, 1.35048881e-01, 2.24267915e-01], [ 0.00000000e+00, 1.60289422e-01, 2.21956819e-01], [ 0.00000000e+00, 1.41495183e-01, 2.27110580e-01], [ 0.00000000e+00, 1.44250214e-01, 2.78850794e-01], [ 0.00000000e+00, 1.66766241e-01, 2.37560228e-01]], [[ 0.00000000e+00, 6.72965646e-02, 2.78527856e-01], [ 0.00000000e+00, 7.76554421e-02, 3.50435257e-01], [ 0.00000000e+00, 6.46635666e-02, 2.19646916e-01], [ 0.00000000e+00, 1.39919907e-01, 1.86471298e-01], [ 0.00000000e+00, 7.97731057e-02, 2.95432121e-01]], ..., ... ..., [[ 0.00000000e+00, -1.04859293e-01, 1.92826211e-01], [ 0.00000000e+00, 9.08472463e-02, 2.40529016e-01], [ 0.00000000e+00, 7.06571573e-03, 3.04287821e-01], [ 0.00000000e+00, -3.37746963e-02, 2.41905257e-01], [ 0.00000000e+00, 1.66153703e-02, 2.36812070e-01]], [[ 0.00000000e+00, 1.31980240e-01, 2.25628048e-01], [ 0.00000000e+00, 9.65188667e-02, 2.52592057e-01], [ 0.00000000e+00, 8.41005519e-02, 2.01705858e-01], [ 0.00000000e+00, 6.05982319e-02, 2.20410615e-01], [ 0.00000000e+00, 6.25696182e-02, 1.71814516e-01]], [[ 0.00000000e+00, 1.32938743e-01, 2.01858878e-01], [ 0.00000000e+00, 1.10183544e-01, 2.59173602e-01], [ 0.00000000e+00, 7.94042945e-02, 1.94530010e-01], [ 0.00000000e+00, 6.01743273e-02, 2.05956146e-01], [ 0.00000000e+00, 5.91896735e-02, 1.69165105e-01]]]], dtype=float32) - covariate_values_r_season(chain, draw, season)float32-3.166 -3.093 ... -3.148 -3.182
array([[[-3.1660154, -3.0934458, -3.1164834, -3.2263775, -3.2541728], [-3.154062 , -3.0618496, -3.2200449, -3.257231 , -3.3076668], [-3.028673 , -3.0599172, -3.0867252, -3.2460299, -3.204595 ], ..., [-3.2307434, -3.1359987, -3.2509205, -3.4211807, -3.5009103], [-3.1968222, -3.144258 , -3.2456672, -3.3396626, -3.4632819], [-3.193497 , -3.1911402, -3.2378936, -3.3864334, -3.3746648]], [[-3.1355376, -3.1435385, -3.1818032, -3.356787 , -3.486962 ], [-3.2335124, -3.1265361, -3.2767978, -3.4164035, -3.385911 ], [-3.2700043, -3.1009352, -3.202923 , -3.399478 , -3.3826609], ..., [-3.0750935, -3.0440962, -3.0605135, -3.3430898, -3.143317 ], [-3.0853484, -3.0578828, -3.1645586, -3.1263702, -3.3063598], [-3.0386035, -3.064735 , -3.0259862, -3.158463 , -3.1839457]], [[-3.112759 , -3.0602112, -3.1049187, -3.2311132, -3.1434963], [-2.986023 , -3.0963447, -3.1412141, -3.2585313, -3.4372365], [-3.07924 , -3.0711234, -3.1601353, -3.2814808, -3.406121 ], ..., [-3.1612844, -3.1128798, -3.1039765, -3.270879 , -3.1851113], [-3.0545495, -3.0632057, -3.0519032, -3.2024276, -3.2175875], [-3.1380117, -3.0949109, -3.109902 , -3.1692784, -3.0748281]], [[-3.118751 , -2.989205 , -2.9856985, -3.1785028, -3.2126472], [-2.960428 , -3.0187747, -3.1085987, -3.1292045, -3.144879 ], [-3.0790606, -2.9590774, -2.9245577, -3.1187935, -3.1894877], ..., [-3.0744758, -3.022514 , -3.0991557, -3.2310624, -3.384639 ], [-3.1115537, -3.016501 , -3.0481 , -3.1293814, -3.1793823], [-3.116073 , -3.019637 , -3.0618048, -3.1478546, -3.1821923]]], dtype=float32) - covariate_values_s_age(chain, draw, season, age_categories)float320.0 -3.982 -10.62 ... 0.6255 -6.66
array([[[[ 0.0000000e+00, -3.9821978e+00, -1.0621008e+01], [ 0.0000000e+00, 8.0238038e-01, -7.1115084e+00], [ 0.0000000e+00, -5.1290302e+00, -7.5913658e+00], [ 0.0000000e+00, -4.6370034e+00, -1.3009297e+01], [ 0.0000000e+00, -6.3288236e+00, -6.6616082e+00]], [[ 0.0000000e+00, -3.8570118e-01, -1.1190118e+01], [ 0.0000000e+00, -1.7520187e+00, -8.6411753e+00], [ 0.0000000e+00, -3.0024308e-01, -9.3932343e+00], [ 0.0000000e+00, -9.4722586e+00, -1.2013289e+01], [ 0.0000000e+00, -3.4719748e+00, -8.4173365e+00]], [[ 0.0000000e+00, -1.7020932e+00, -9.4371777e+00], [ 0.0000000e+00, -1.1037022e+00, -7.2270827e+00], [ 0.0000000e+00, -7.5619137e-01, -7.7485676e+00], [ 0.0000000e+00, 1.7504157e+00, -5.7891512e+00], [ 0.0000000e+00, -4.8544059e+00, -7.6545401e+00]], ..., ... ..., [[ 0.0000000e+00, 1.0379530e+00, -5.5517383e+00], [ 0.0000000e+00, 1.2636968e+00, -5.9622393e+00], [ 0.0000000e+00, 5.4409236e-01, -6.2379122e+00], [ 0.0000000e+00, 1.5600443e+00, -6.2175040e+00], [ 0.0000000e+00, 1.8053200e+00, -5.7364826e+00]], [[ 0.0000000e+00, 2.4967803e-01, -6.2250328e+00], [ 0.0000000e+00, 2.0655107e+00, -6.9985123e+00], [ 0.0000000e+00, 1.4297918e+00, -6.7719660e+00], [ 0.0000000e+00, 1.0808555e+00, -6.2306089e+00], [ 0.0000000e+00, 2.8340885e-01, -7.3958859e+00]], [[ 0.0000000e+00, 3.5573727e-01, -6.4651570e+00], [ 0.0000000e+00, 1.9864677e+00, -6.8418927e+00], [ 0.0000000e+00, 1.3482924e+00, -6.8154101e+00], [ 0.0000000e+00, 6.9950885e-01, -6.3887691e+00], [ 0.0000000e+00, 6.2545961e-01, -6.6603317e+00]]]], dtype=float32) - covariate_values_s_season(chain, draw, season)float3290.58 86.7 73.26 ... 71.28 72.01
array([[[90.5804 , 86.69961 , 73.2591 , 78.08662 , 73.12312 ], [90.48313 , 87.55288 , 74.16604 , 79.03918 , 72.9714 ], [90.29811 , 87.03023 , 74.22843 , 72.65172 , 73.64458 ], ..., [86.65999 , 86.312256, 70.89484 , 72.76214 , 73.834595], [87.658714, 86.5959 , 74.29915 , 73.879105, 72.53985 ], [87.11589 , 86.404945, 73.737755, 74.36872 , 73.89719 ]], [[89.19126 , 86.318016, 71.97224 , 75.74946 , 68.74504 ], [91.043304, 86.42193 , 70.01615 , 71.6643 , 79.37195 ], [91.064545, 85.63714 , 73.79845 , 73.64526 , 76.278275], ..., [86.74735 , 86.68108 , 71.10288 , 73.872696, 71.41377 ], [85.74488 , 86.035484, 71.97555 , 67.61248 , 70.440895], [88.24116 , 83.87757 , 69.38999 , 72.401085, 66.46325 ]], [[86.72818 , 87.30662 , 72.258804, 74.319565, 70.82625 ], [87.31889 , 85.46278 , 74.01957 , 74.01964 , 70.621506], [87.89506 , 85.57038 , 73.85365 , 72.595406, 72.42921 ], ..., [89.294975, 87.29841 , 70.868416, 71.73501 , 67.28103 ], [84.99156 , 84.157425, 68.919914, 71.736 , 71.87437 ], [86.01112 , 85.68023 , 72.025955, 73.69533 , 67.64128 ]], [[85.72465 , 85.57606 , 73.73195 , 73.5954 , 72.523994], [87.344925, 84.43095 , 72.21935 , 74.88951 , 70.029076], [87.743996, 82.45362 , 71.87271 , 71.2962 , 70.145096], ..., [85.87982 , 85.8935 , 74.81473 , 72.159775, 71.19988 ], [86.40367 , 86.175224, 69.30068 , 71.371895, 72.329475], [87.12876 , 86.176865, 69.112114, 71.282104, 72.00702 ]]], dtype=float32) - incidence_2021_22_age_18_49_years(chain, draw, date_ranges_2021_22)float320.05932 0.0005619 ... 0.003628
array([[[5.93204200e-02, 5.61926106e-04, 9.36358646e-02, ..., 1.62283763e-01, 1.69680566e-02, 5.24649723e-03], [5.89376390e-02, 5.22130227e-04, 9.43908244e-02, ..., 1.62828907e-01, 1.65292900e-02, 5.02688624e-03], [5.54531142e-02, 2.35423082e-04, 1.03218392e-01, ..., 1.65287882e-01, 1.25552351e-02, 3.18543334e-03], ..., [5.70791550e-02, 7.26502913e-04, 8.99453312e-02, ..., 1.81851432e-01, 1.74158905e-02, 5.80505375e-03], [5.98844066e-02, 6.45797059e-04, 9.62716565e-02, ..., 1.85783178e-01, 1.75086260e-02, 5.59876859e-03], [5.82739078e-02, 6.13468932e-04, 9.48752761e-02, ..., 1.85831785e-01, 1.68753657e-02, 5.36553608e-03]], [[5.84099554e-02, 4.59151604e-04, 9.78048593e-02, ..., 1.73853531e-01, 1.57160815e-02, 4.64376993e-03], [6.52642474e-02, 8.89883726e-04, 9.55132991e-02, ..., 1.70617968e-01, 2.07559690e-02, 7.02557713e-03], [6.44975230e-02, 1.05820503e-03, 9.12297815e-02, ..., 1.66767359e-01, 2.16088127e-02, 7.66079640e-03], ... [5.47285192e-02, 4.96949651e-04, 8.88832286e-02, ..., 1.59880087e-01, 1.53585002e-02, 4.70260670e-03], [4.61361334e-02, 2.16007524e-04, 9.24936384e-02, ..., 1.83192477e-01, 1.04490472e-02, 2.72627594e-03], [5.29176183e-02, 4.06404637e-04, 9.35737938e-02, ..., 1.84988096e-01, 1.39148096e-02, 4.09550965e-03]], [[4.58984114e-02, 3.15233483e-04, 8.35157186e-02, ..., 1.65322125e-01, 1.16672916e-02, 3.34161357e-03], [4.73525934e-02, 1.25819439e-04, 1.03320025e-01, ..., 1.79023355e-01, 9.19039734e-03, 2.08529690e-03], [5.07138558e-02, 2.83083122e-04, 9.33893546e-02, ..., 1.69038162e-01, 1.22603383e-02, 3.33308498e-03], ..., [4.94059883e-02, 2.62931309e-04, 9.48471054e-02, ..., 1.83226600e-01, 1.16673773e-02, 3.13899061e-03], [4.82512452e-02, 3.20438296e-04, 8.75084847e-02, ..., 1.68682605e-01, 1.21864034e-02, 3.46022449e-03], [4.95219193e-02, 3.40240163e-04, 8.81410539e-02, ..., 1.66082546e-01, 1.26775308e-02, 3.62823787e-03]]], dtype=float32) - incidence_2021_22_age_50_64_years(chain, draw, date_ranges_2021_22)float320.071 0.0003309 ... 0.003135
array([[[7.10002780e-02, 3.30925686e-04, 1.38660371e-01, ..., 2.58155167e-01, 1.61874276e-02, 4.21409402e-03], [7.36753494e-02, 2.93844554e-04, 1.39458954e-01, ..., 2.23637044e-01, 1.63601656e-02, 4.08847351e-03], [6.87441900e-02, 1.86338337e-04, 1.45594090e-01, ..., 2.39550859e-01, 1.35133369e-02, 3.07751447e-03], ..., [6.88465461e-02, 3.97765776e-04, 1.29379228e-01, ..., 2.49627754e-01, 1.66693479e-02, 4.57519013e-03], [7.10344836e-02, 3.81638354e-04, 1.36326373e-01, ..., 2.64608830e-01, 1.68125387e-02, 4.53408202e-03], [6.85351267e-02, 3.95296403e-04, 1.32494137e-01, ..., 2.72650093e-01, 1.64463408e-02, 4.51710634e-03]], [[6.55392408e-02, 1.95261338e-04, 1.40484318e-01, ..., 2.49614134e-01, 1.31276324e-02, 3.06369248e-03], [7.93910325e-02, 5.21391863e-04, 1.40186727e-01, ..., 2.53312647e-01, 2.01713573e-02, 5.70541620e-03], [7.71929994e-02, 5.23379887e-04, 1.36529043e-01, ..., 2.51902223e-01, 1.97426416e-02, 5.62990177e-03], ... [7.00891986e-02, 3.13935976e-04, 1.35181606e-01, ..., 2.39601672e-01, 1.58942025e-02, 4.09410475e-03], [7.37271458e-02, 4.52255015e-04, 1.33188814e-01, ..., 2.43550584e-01, 1.83153432e-02, 5.09596989e-03], [7.57785961e-02, 4.32571833e-04, 1.39959335e-01, ..., 2.58114666e-01, 1.83957014e-02, 5.03013749e-03]], [[7.37576410e-02, 7.52293738e-04, 1.22191295e-01, ..., 2.44552940e-01, 2.10877322e-02, 6.65497733e-03], [6.73398897e-02, 2.58032087e-04, 1.35140300e-01, ..., 2.39420027e-01, 1.45638669e-02, 3.61203053e-03], [7.89154992e-02, 6.42251514e-04, 1.33111939e-01, ..., 2.44817674e-01, 2.13449188e-02, 6.36462402e-03], ..., [8.07857886e-02, 7.86487828e-04, 1.34051338e-01, ..., 2.62350768e-01, 2.28517912e-02, 7.12731853e-03], [6.34653568e-02, 1.89572616e-04, 1.36722311e-01, ..., 2.45957538e-01, 1.27026122e-02, 2.96712341e-03], [6.56699240e-02, 2.02497802e-04, 1.38238549e-01, ..., 2.40764573e-01, 1.33255515e-02, 3.13453935e-03]]], dtype=float32) - incidence_2021_22_age_65__years(chain, draw, date_ranges_2021_22)float320.06649 0.0001516 ... 0.002251
array([[[6.64884672e-02, 1.51596818e-04, 1.72143385e-01, ..., 4.09941673e-01, 1.19242193e-02, 2.62260204e-03], [6.31024465e-02, 1.27511667e-04, 1.70282990e-01, ..., 4.17865992e-01, 1.08945593e-02, 2.32849852e-03], [4.71004024e-02, 2.61221121e-05, 1.71675310e-01, ..., 3.91101241e-01, 5.59837325e-03, 8.76263774e-04], ..., [5.86119927e-02, 8.50727447e-05, 1.71615019e-01, ..., 4.18679833e-01, 9.18776169e-03, 1.81337807e-03], [6.18818812e-02, 7.79056500e-05, 1.82413965e-01, ..., 4.10548389e-01, 9.36066918e-03, 1.78309577e-03], [6.03665970e-02, 6.94665505e-05, 1.82259142e-01, ..., 4.11436588e-01, 8.89123231e-03, 1.65760645e-03]], [[5.32128960e-02, 4.17248521e-05, 1.77619666e-01, ..., 4.04270589e-01, 6.99912850e-03, 1.19028531e-03], [5.36826327e-02, 6.59377911e-05, 1.66644692e-01, ..., 4.25996006e-01, 7.98686873e-03, 1.51531945e-03], [5.92852496e-02, 1.15577808e-04, 1.61232144e-01, ..., 3.94216299e-01, 1.01311551e-02, 2.14658910e-03], ... [6.51271567e-02, 1.27462161e-04, 1.73399657e-01, ..., 4.01114345e-01, 1.11941090e-02, 2.37207767e-03], [6.41659126e-02, 1.69293882e-04, 1.61329225e-01, ..., 3.92283976e-01, 1.19914245e-02, 2.73273163e-03], [5.67608364e-02, 8.10553611e-05, 1.67758450e-01, ..., 4.15341139e-01, 8.84492788e-03, 1.73916528e-03]], [[6.35875687e-02, 1.62875629e-04, 1.64432302e-01, ..., 4.23840433e-01, 1.17223281e-02, 2.65465374e-03], [6.49391413e-02, 1.44569451e-04, 1.70040622e-01, ..., 4.10788983e-01, 1.15503231e-02, 2.52631400e-03], [6.42580837e-02, 1.24836151e-04, 1.73382446e-01, ..., 4.13739324e-01, 1.09916981e-02, 2.32612574e-03], ..., [6.11809269e-02, 8.96550700e-05, 1.75925866e-01, ..., 4.10920471e-01, 9.64953471e-03, 1.90760067e-03], [6.03334494e-02, 9.10013187e-05, 1.72692880e-01, ..., 4.06339347e-01, 9.59093682e-03, 1.90937845e-03], [6.38925284e-02, 1.17440097e-04, 1.72521517e-01, ..., 3.97077948e-01, 1.07849678e-02, 2.25088885e-03]]], dtype=float32) - incidence_2022_23_age_18_49_years(chain, draw, date_ranges_2022_23)float320.000334 0.09961 ... 0.01029
array([[[3.33976379e-04, 9.96067896e-02, 3.78171750e-03, ..., 5.57724610e-02, 1.07676641e-03, 1.28443073e-02], [2.79148051e-04, 1.01622164e-01, 3.44416522e-03, ..., 5.56035079e-02, 9.40429978e-04, 1.22102620e-02], [2.67748750e-04, 1.00514665e-01, 3.32267350e-03, ..., 5.42818159e-02, 9.04607296e-04, 1.18246470e-02], ..., [4.46389167e-04, 1.00336246e-01, 4.51702019e-03, ..., 5.87530062e-02, 1.35888997e-03, 1.44850919e-02], [4.69874794e-04, 9.90503505e-02, 4.65272320e-03, ..., 5.88700101e-02, 1.41477119e-03, 1.47466380e-02], [6.06233138e-04, 9.44066569e-02, 5.33161778e-03, ..., 5.89965731e-02, 1.71824789e-03, 1.58963930e-02]], [[4.59647330e-04, 9.81662124e-02, 4.56110062e-03, ..., 5.80052808e-02, 1.38537865e-03, 1.44790225e-02], [4.11272515e-04, 9.82790440e-02, 4.26540338e-03, ..., 5.70126884e-02, 1.26782875e-03, 1.38509404e-02], [3.39789607e-04, 9.92633328e-02, 3.77390068e-03, ..., 5.49890399e-02, 1.08450698e-03, 1.27127171e-02], ... [3.89383029e-04, 9.95375440e-02, 4.18348191e-03, ..., 5.77366166e-02, 1.22240244e-03, 1.38142696e-02], [2.36911015e-04, 9.47396606e-02, 2.91887182e-03, ..., 4.85836044e-02, 7.97016663e-04, 1.03948107e-02], [3.24479042e-04, 9.87764746e-02, 3.66255990e-03, ..., 5.43466657e-02, 1.04422681e-03, 1.24399709e-02]], [[1.46918814e-04, 9.84786004e-02, 2.23469408e-03, ..., 4.68276329e-02, 5.50538069e-04, 8.84788018e-03], [1.74167566e-04, 9.62617099e-02, 2.43182923e-03, ..., 4.66487072e-02, 6.24619366e-04, 9.23036970e-03], [9.99193799e-05, 9.36041549e-02, 1.66562700e-03, ..., 3.98538224e-02, 3.92197398e-04, 6.93644211e-03], ..., [1.95114873e-04, 1.00216098e-01, 2.69300281e-03, ..., 5.02923615e-02, 6.95797324e-04, 1.01402719e-02], [1.92000734e-04, 1.02307253e-01, 2.69583543e-03, ..., 5.12138680e-02, 6.90749497e-04, 1.02363387e-02], [1.95731511e-04, 1.01834349e-01, 2.72347499e-03, ..., 5.12010232e-02, 7.00932171e-04, 1.02934381e-02]]], dtype=float32) - incidence_2022_23_age_50_64_years(chain, draw, date_ranges_2022_23)float320.0002197 0.1537 ... 0.01209
array([[[2.1967388e-04, 1.5373774e-01, 3.4752218e-03, ..., 7.4794702e-02, 8.4011140e-04, 1.4000385e-02], [1.1262634e-04, 1.5308988e-01, 2.2430383e-03, ..., 6.4011000e-02, 4.8434688e-04, 1.0184527e-02], [2.1808760e-04, 1.5265103e-01, 3.3857611e-03, ..., 7.2401494e-02, 8.2587235e-04, 1.3539382e-02], ..., [2.7958627e-04, 1.5575349e-01, 4.0564993e-03, ..., 7.8981295e-02, 1.0230951e-03, 1.5632404e-02], [2.9601922e-04, 1.5430848e-01, 4.2045219e-03, ..., 7.9605006e-02, 1.0715874e-03, 1.6018337e-02], [4.3531536e-04, 1.4472407e-01, 5.1802211e-03, ..., 8.0315553e-02, 1.4397281e-03, 1.8029066e-02]], [[1.8425104e-04, 1.5913399e-01, 3.1880927e-03, ..., 7.5514741e-02, 7.3770894e-04, 1.3431492e-02], [1.9702804e-04, 1.5499018e-01, 3.2362200e-03, ..., 7.3139623e-02, 7.6804322e-04, 1.3300817e-02], [1.9766449e-04, 1.5327397e-01, 3.2184774e-03, ..., 7.2200865e-02, 7.6704641e-04, 1.3174230e-02], ... [3.2342906e-04, 1.4873764e-01, 4.3215193e-03, ..., 7.7113435e-02, 1.1346288e-03, 1.5983196e-02], [2.3536282e-04, 1.5629181e-01, 3.6394431e-03, ..., 7.6469488e-02, 8.8966294e-04, 1.4496615e-02], [2.6788728e-04, 1.5736406e-01, 3.9318302e-03, ..., 7.8140318e-02, 9.8593894e-04, 1.5258561e-02]], [[2.6333434e-04, 1.4808236e-01, 3.7950904e-03, ..., 7.3952325e-02, 9.6015783e-04, 1.4593797e-02], [2.1770713e-04, 1.6023505e-01, 3.5540943e-03, ..., 7.8534581e-02, 8.4619672e-04, 1.4529441e-02], [1.6977117e-04, 1.5678681e-01, 2.9593138e-03, ..., 7.1712770e-02, 6.8215706e-04, 1.2539665e-02], ..., [1.5850592e-04, 1.5996316e-01, 2.8689043e-03, ..., 7.2380587e-02, 6.4927479e-04, 1.2386659e-02], [1.5341173e-04, 1.6411984e-01, 2.8788890e-03, ..., 7.4907646e-02, 6.4022589e-04, 1.2642217e-02], [1.3946593e-04, 1.6333483e-01, 2.7059461e-03, ..., 7.3233336e-02, 5.9200631e-04, 1.2087951e-02]]], dtype=float32) - incidence_2022_23_age_65__years(chain, draw, date_ranges_2022_23)float323.279e-05 0.185 ... 0.00576
array([[[3.2793436e-05, 1.8499547e-01, 1.0360685e-03, ..., 5.2554350e-02, 1.7844763e-04, 5.9643094e-03], [6.3072970e-05, 1.8162957e-01, 1.5414227e-03, ..., 5.8625620e-02, 3.0098367e-04, 7.8083742e-03], [1.8902192e-05, 1.8757771e-01, 7.3911290e-04, ..., 4.7622297e-02, 1.1475943e-04, 4.7281981e-03], ..., [3.7177299e-05, 1.8776107e-01, 1.1305126e-03, ..., 5.4797433e-02, 1.9842567e-04, 6.3828453e-03], [4.1643620e-05, 1.8239887e-01, 1.1954251e-03, ..., 5.4423664e-02, 2.1580061e-04, 6.5600392e-03], [7.6245160e-05, 1.7902048e-01, 1.7326369e-03, ..., 6.0533497e-02, 3.5055826e-04, 8.4611848e-03]], [[5.4698332e-05, 1.8672313e-01, 1.4400166e-03, ..., 5.9196029e-02, 2.7116234e-04, 7.5655761e-03], [3.0033496e-05, 1.8567714e-01, 9.8537491e-04, ..., 5.2059017e-02, 1.6662816e-04, 5.7788198e-03], [3.6050693e-05, 1.8803960e-01, 1.1104746e-03, ..., 5.4599997e-02, 1.9366105e-04, 6.3103600e-03], ... [4.5508838e-05, 1.9526033e-01, 1.3099335e-03, ..., 5.9469700e-02, 2.3612865e-04, 7.1951742e-03], [6.0736736e-05, 1.8401313e-01, 1.5228343e-03, ..., 5.9374139e-02, 2.9367130e-04, 7.8096343e-03], [4.9434766e-05, 1.8370049e-01, 1.3414690e-03, ..., 5.7130978e-02, 2.4888071e-04, 7.1564065e-03]], [[6.8468449e-05, 1.8779659e-01, 1.6549503e-03, ..., 6.1873235e-02, 3.2492125e-04, 8.3328495e-03], [4.9035905e-05, 1.9074972e-01, 1.3547272e-03, ..., 5.8845364e-02, 2.4916336e-04, 7.2911726e-03], [5.0688202e-05, 1.8848099e-01, 1.3798759e-03, ..., 5.8862511e-02, 2.5563873e-04, 7.3708324e-03], ..., [3.9362258e-05, 1.8930310e-01, 1.1761980e-03, ..., 5.5876568e-02, 2.0818081e-04, 6.5834946e-03], [3.1573978e-05, 1.8474674e-01, 1.0070322e-03, ..., 5.1750064e-02, 1.7264986e-04, 5.8255284e-03], [3.0632084e-05, 1.8462558e-01, 9.8963035e-04, ..., 5.1534947e-02, 1.6861019e-04, 5.7601491e-03]]], dtype=float32) - incidence_2023_24_age_18_49_years(chain, draw, date_ranges_2023_24)float320.002078 0.002793 ... 0.02791
array([[[2.0779581e-03, 2.7930471e-03, 1.3231637e-04, ..., 1.6755590e-02, 1.5401134e-03, 2.6685812e-02], [3.1295137e-03, 4.0605166e-03, 2.6705320e-04, ..., 1.8760528e-02, 2.4009838e-03, 2.6926555e-02], [2.2194153e-03, 3.0128311e-03, 1.2958286e-04, ..., 1.9221218e-02, 1.6288311e-03, 3.0480873e-02], ..., [3.1499669e-03, 4.0566786e-03, 2.8972910e-04, ..., 1.8311568e-02, 2.4356481e-03, 2.7788924e-02], [3.4977300e-03, 4.5008981e-03, 3.1968870e-04, ..., 1.9603739e-02, 2.7053230e-03, 2.7575368e-02], [3.3926943e-03, 4.3783411e-03, 3.0337903e-04, ..., 1.9558445e-02, 2.6168860e-03, 2.8027933e-02]], [[2.5811829e-03, 3.3962575e-03, 1.9753471e-04, ..., 1.7691929e-02, 1.9539187e-03, 2.7641131e-02], [3.0873113e-03, 3.9467490e-03, 3.0305277e-04, ..., 1.7032843e-02, 2.4048756e-03, 2.5834167e-02], [2.9795163e-03, 3.8884480e-03, 2.4252768e-04, ..., 1.8782476e-02, 2.2730103e-03, 2.7536647e-02], ... [1.8621045e-03, 2.5173847e-03, 1.1386935e-04, ..., 1.6132055e-02, 1.3728054e-03, 2.7899534e-02], [1.4940123e-03, 2.0595097e-03, 7.7898083e-05, ..., 1.5529596e-02, 1.0808104e-03, 3.0162057e-02], [2.1906327e-03, 2.9534569e-03, 1.3655299e-04, ..., 1.8342752e-02, 1.6190794e-03, 3.0481704e-02]], [[1.3223401e-03, 1.8641520e-03, 5.6176908e-05, ..., 1.5796892e-02, 9.3520974e-04, 2.8029166e-02], [1.9642862e-03, 2.6491950e-03, 1.2201353e-04, ..., 1.6462158e-02, 1.4512605e-03, 2.7232895e-02], [1.0904699e-03, 1.5760446e-03, 3.7636182e-05, ..., 1.6441140e-02, 7.5273972e-04, 3.3654813e-02], ..., [2.0217760e-03, 2.7314078e-03, 1.2263682e-04, ..., 1.6721519e-02, 1.4906436e-03, 2.5766704e-02], [1.4198044e-03, 1.9595681e-03, 7.3198207e-05, ..., 1.4855642e-02, 1.0258678e-03, 2.8639834e-02], [1.4539616e-03, 1.9969826e-03, 7.8165387e-05, ..., 1.4627572e-02, 1.0556026e-03, 2.7914537e-02]]], dtype=float32) - incidence_2023_24_age_50_64_years(chain, draw, date_ranges_2023_24)float320.001527 0.002143 ... 0.04309
array([[[1.52739091e-03, 2.14344030e-03, 6.85276464e-05, ..., 1.86068267e-02, 1.08582852e-03, 3.93546075e-02], [2.97102169e-03, 4.04585199e-03, 1.69137915e-04, ..., 2.65162736e-02, 2.17382610e-03, 4.28401269e-02], [2.55615520e-03, 3.55454558e-03, 1.22070822e-04, ..., 2.72933356e-02, 1.83233758e-03, 4.71116528e-02], ..., [2.72240164e-03, 3.65870586e-03, 1.75920912e-04, ..., 2.27916874e-02, 2.01917021e-03, 4.04737927e-02], [3.15362238e-03, 4.25259024e-03, 1.94707856e-04, ..., 2.58368365e-02, 2.32960307e-03, 4.02781367e-02], [3.38631286e-03, 4.53713443e-03, 2.20505230e-04, ..., 2.62587070e-02, 2.51723500e-03, 4.01021838e-02]], [[2.08720122e-03, 2.91816634e-03, 9.57789453e-05, ..., 2.38287020e-02, 1.48863427e-03, 4.46027182e-02], [3.57818976e-03, 4.66667442e-03, 2.97717430e-04, ..., 2.33614780e-02, 2.73327064e-03, 3.79589275e-02], [2.38632015e-03, 3.29686748e-03, 1.21328798e-04, ..., 2.47415435e-02, 1.72210194e-03, 4.52772155e-02], ... [1.93515990e-03, 2.67942948e-03, 9.74104769e-05, ..., 2.10507754e-02, 1.39403564e-03, 4.26036306e-02], [1.85074389e-03, 2.63915560e-03, 7.16037466e-05, ..., 2.47804727e-02, 1.29449216e-03, 4.79634590e-02], [3.48587660e-03, 4.63114167e-03, 2.45274539e-04, ..., 2.56611258e-02, 2.61354935e-03, 4.02387269e-02]], [[2.21190695e-03, 3.09908902e-03, 9.88836837e-05, ..., 2.49725934e-02, 1.57374016e-03, 4.29816097e-02], [2.17146217e-03, 3.01962649e-03, 1.04046390e-04, ..., 2.34621167e-02, 1.55678298e-03, 4.19675112e-02], [3.76314367e-03, 4.98921238e-03, 2.68198724e-04, ..., 2.69146282e-02, 2.82662455e-03, 4.06952500e-02], ..., [3.18427756e-03, 4.31123096e-03, 1.89286249e-04, ..., 2.66452655e-02, 2.34258454e-03, 4.05867100e-02], [1.62210793e-03, 2.30919733e-03, 6.39408681e-05, ..., 2.17611454e-02, 1.13668258e-03, 4.42783870e-02], [1.69295480e-03, 2.39327690e-03, 7.08970838e-05, ..., 2.14601979e-02, 1.19455066e-03, 4.30903770e-02]]], dtype=float32) - incidence_2023_24_age_65__years(chain, draw, date_ranges_2023_24)float320.001702 0.002439 ... 0.07006
array([[[1.70232356e-03, 2.43940647e-03, 6.41441875e-05, ..., 2.53339186e-02, 1.18579227e-03, 6.28038123e-02], [1.99886155e-03, 2.82049016e-03, 8.62049201e-05, ..., 2.62662787e-02, 1.41381449e-03, 6.29204139e-02], [1.30104553e-03, 1.92848186e-03, 3.65079031e-05, ..., 2.56838091e-02, 8.76457256e-04, 7.10800812e-02], ..., [1.49650313e-03, 2.18471442e-03, 4.80182971e-05, ..., 2.61687133e-02, 1.02348102e-03, 7.06536919e-02], [1.45366217e-03, 2.13168096e-03, 4.47952189e-05, ..., 2.61985920e-02, 9.89736989e-04, 6.96476996e-02], [1.72544736e-03, 2.50769244e-03, 5.73330981e-05, ..., 2.85263248e-02, 1.18509063e-03, 7.03444481e-02]], [[1.38789241e-03, 2.05635489e-03, 3.89833149e-05, ..., 2.69347094e-02, 9.35226155e-04, 7.02063218e-02], [1.13872695e-03, 1.68910972e-03, 3.18550592e-05, ..., 2.29817554e-02, 7.66675861e-04, 6.85306266e-02], [1.64966343e-03, 2.40566675e-03, 5.31600417e-05, ..., 2.78971568e-02, 1.12919090e-03, 6.79595992e-02], ... [1.36686559e-03, 2.01124325e-03, 4.09048989e-05, ..., 2.53942385e-02, 9.27516841e-04, 6.88125789e-02], [1.23697880e-03, 1.83554715e-03, 3.44185210e-05, ..., 2.48311237e-02, 8.32449878e-04, 7.13133216e-02], [1.14081509e-03, 1.71231653e-03, 2.86960985e-05, ..., 2.51351409e-02, 7.59060786e-04, 7.41317049e-02]], [[1.38737727e-03, 2.04674993e-03, 4.05069186e-05, ..., 2.61139367e-02, 9.38931014e-04, 6.87430948e-02], [2.08452321e-03, 3.00135207e-03, 7.48518360e-05, ..., 3.13690864e-02, 1.44475803e-03, 7.07623288e-02], [1.18435151e-03, 1.76947645e-03, 3.09865463e-05, ..., 2.49033310e-02, 7.91592291e-04, 6.97276816e-02], ..., [9.99810640e-04, 1.52795890e-03, 2.14152642e-05, ..., 2.51672715e-02, 6.53370691e-04, 7.23992437e-02], [9.68768087e-04, 1.44971209e-03, 2.51562451e-05, ..., 2.14015655e-02, 6.46678149e-04, 7.14152753e-02], [1.05570140e-03, 1.56617339e-03, 2.95852024e-05, ..., 2.16936730e-02, 7.10781373e-04, 7.00579211e-02]]], dtype=float32) - incidence_2024_25_age_18_49_years(chain, draw, date_ranges_2024_25)float320.000442 0.021 ... 0.0006727
array([[[0.00044196, 0.02100156, 0.01833634, ..., 0.00172845, 0.00100603, 0.00131997], [0.00051766, 0.02006377, 0.01758196, ..., 0.00193313, 0.00114672, 0.00149051], [0.00039126, 0.02256427, 0.02025815, ..., 0.00149439, 0.00087752, 0.00114611], ..., [0.00081999, 0.02021428, 0.01870328, ..., 0.00247254, 0.00159871, 0.00199055], [0.00065746, 0.02237149, 0.02034511, ..., 0.00220128, 0.00136406, 0.00173468], [0.00082555, 0.02216253, 0.02028377, ..., 0.00259705, 0.00165087, 0.00207305]], [[0.00072346, 0.02084458, 0.01888694, ..., 0.00236222, 0.0014793 , 0.00187154], [0.00075284, 0.01983712, 0.01840856, ..., 0.00228692, 0.00147397, 0.00183808], [0.00078504, 0.02052185, 0.01886878, ..., 0.00243065, 0.00155497, 0.00194641], ... [0.00034137, 0.01810815, 0.01640219, ..., 0.00125935, 0.00074992, 0.00097264], [0.00031943, 0.02448644, 0.02187904, ..., 0.00130171, 0.00074441, 0.0009851 ], [0.00027809, 0.02299522, 0.0201985 , ..., 0.00119003, 0.00066734, 0.0008918 ]], [[0.00023056, 0.01821101, 0.01603916, ..., 0.00097283, 0.00054866, 0.00073112], [0.00022811, 0.02204951, 0.01905701, ..., 0.00103859, 0.00056803, 0.00076861], [0.00014846, 0.01898253, 0.01668193, ..., 0.0006888 , 0.0003737 , 0.00050764], ..., [0.00033575, 0.02151377, 0.01929911, ..., 0.00131111, 0.00076294, 0.00100095], [0.00018444, 0.02202255, 0.0193944 , ..., 0.00084138, 0.00045962, 0.00062223], [0.00020407, 0.02194046, 0.01941491, ..., 0.00090423, 0.00049981, 0.00067268]]], dtype=float32) - incidence_2024_25_age_50_64_years(chain, draw, date_ranges_2024_25)float320.0002792 0.03025 ... 0.0007921
array([[[0.00027921, 0.03024762, 0.02630993, ..., 0.00128143, 0.00069846, 0.00094666], [0.00024237, 0.03557842, 0.03153426, ..., 0.00113611, 0.00061373, 0.00083546], [0.00029873, 0.03405527, 0.02932561, ..., 0.00141209, 0.00076059, 0.001037 ], ..., [0.00059997, 0.02914471, 0.02655015, ..., 0.00214945, 0.00129523, 0.00167003], [0.00049456, 0.0329334 , 0.02955263, ..., 0.00194449, 0.00112833, 0.00148238], [0.00061272, 0.03261939, 0.0296155 , ..., 0.00225115, 0.00134268, 0.00174005]], [[0.00031585, 0.031548 , 0.02723568, ..., 0.00145001, 0.00079037, 0.00107126], [0.0005187 , 0.03215556, 0.02928538, ..., 0.00195197, 0.00115274, 0.00150121], [0.00032556, 0.03526976, 0.03100935, ..., 0.00146282, 0.00080408, 0.00108522], ... [0.00027492, 0.03238438, 0.02863702, ..., 0.00124113, 0.00068083, 0.00091978], [0.0005769 , 0.02944613, 0.02613072, ..., 0.00220589, 0.00129517, 0.00169183], [0.00062432, 0.03222468, 0.02875323, ..., 0.00236438, 0.0013935 , 0.00181679]], [[0.0003757 , 0.03144631, 0.02832851, ..., 0.00153253, 0.0008759 , 0.00115938], [0.00058067, 0.03049112, 0.02681625, ..., 0.00227629, 0.00132327, 0.00173717], [0.00014463, 0.0322471 , 0.02852592, ..., 0.00073689, 0.00038482, 0.00053273], ..., [0.00064746, 0.03205733, 0.02875753, ..., 0.00240474, 0.00142844, 0.00185509], [0.00021014, 0.03407095, 0.02936278, ..., 0.00105759, 0.00055527, 0.00076671], [0.00022256, 0.03303974, 0.02869738, ..., 0.00108575, 0.00057726, 0.00079209]]], dtype=float32) - incidence_2024_25_age_65__years(chain, draw, date_ranges_2024_25)float329.96e-05 0.06262 ... 0.000407
array([[[9.9603865e-05, 6.2617898e-02, 5.5040881e-02, ..., 6.2584411e-04, 3.0032019e-04, 4.3362952e-04], [1.3773660e-04, 5.8964647e-02, 5.1459089e-02, ..., 8.1297226e-04, 4.0008352e-04, 5.7047390e-04], [2.0985561e-04, 5.1199395e-02, 4.5604546e-02, ..., 1.0752280e-03, 5.6020275e-04, 7.7639881e-04], ..., [2.8258888e-04, 5.3892065e-02, 4.8607536e-02, ..., 1.3511922e-03, 7.2388037e-04, 9.8941859e-04], [1.9252399e-04, 5.5731341e-02, 4.9402885e-02, ..., 1.0277765e-03, 5.2667793e-04, 7.3599501e-04], [1.7274846e-04, 5.9289664e-02, 5.2258901e-02, ..., 9.6182479e-04, 4.8458329e-04, 6.8292831e-04]], [[2.3543766e-04, 5.3844225e-02, 4.7360547e-02, ..., 1.2173548e-03, 6.3199789e-04, 8.7749248e-04], [1.4572837e-04, 5.4775316e-02, 4.9966741e-02, ..., 7.8266690e-04, 3.9999984e-04, 5.5967586e-04], [1.8019974e-04, 5.4024078e-02, 4.7989476e-02, ..., 9.6521078e-04, 4.9394305e-04, 6.9071102e-04], ... [1.2557626e-04, 5.2146938e-02, 4.4861522e-02, ..., 7.5454166e-04, 3.6870872e-04, 5.2760565e-04], [2.9141663e-04, 5.2147657e-02, 4.6327230e-02, ..., 1.4129311e-03, 7.5284060e-04, 1.0318394e-03], [2.1493192e-04, 5.2805785e-02, 4.6186246e-02, ..., 1.1376499e-03, 5.8508699e-04, 8.1617729e-04]], [[2.1600875e-04, 4.9936473e-02, 4.4821482e-02, ..., 1.0812926e-03, 5.6865608e-04, 7.8445242e-04], [1.9246081e-04, 5.8465261e-02, 5.1906031e-02, ..., 1.0343990e-03, 5.2861677e-04, 7.3971000e-04], [9.4921947e-05, 5.3286966e-02, 4.5983113e-02, ..., 6.0057751e-04, 2.8741377e-04, 4.1556594e-04], ..., [1.3525398e-04, 5.7423245e-02, 5.0665863e-02, ..., 7.8322267e-04, 3.8839414e-04, 5.5169925e-04], [7.4915115e-05, 6.2082883e-02, 5.4051556e-02, ..., 5.0360576e-04, 2.3518252e-04, 3.4421956e-04], [9.3100716e-05, 6.0508542e-02, 5.3234272e-02, ..., 5.8794912e-04, 2.8155118e-04, 4.0695482e-04]]], dtype=float32) - incidence_2025_26_age_18_49_years(chain, draw, date_ranges_2025_26)float320.007066 0.02274 ... 0.02223
array([[[0.00706634, 0.0227415 , 0.00439576, ..., 0.01321432, 0.00071865, 0.02415957], [0.00686278, 0.02006326, 0.00441309, ..., 0.01222504, 0.00080503, 0.02120099], [0.00732561, 0.02570934, 0.00441653, ..., 0.01433395, 0.00065026, 0.0274032 ], ..., [0.01028774, 0.02194396, 0.00738213, ..., 0.01563609, 0.00193797, 0.0227275 ], [0.0099542 , 0.02283807, 0.0069845 , ..., 0.01565242, 0.00170807, 0.02381926], [0.00973463, 0.02494838, 0.00652807, ..., 0.01627851, 0.0013626 , 0.02608992]], [[0.00891614, 0.02097689, 0.00627912, ..., 0.01404836, 0.00157888, 0.02209549], [0.00979776, 0.02217151, 0.00671074, ..., 0.01568334, 0.00146273, 0.02267313], [0.00921197, 0.02227566, 0.00624403, ..., 0.01508334, 0.00133536, 0.02306333], ... [0.00557236, 0.02338906, 0.00327166, ..., 0.01154783, 0.00045431, 0.02587207], [0.00655033, 0.02329203, 0.00396724, ..., 0.01279335, 0.00059785, 0.02501867], [0.00462024, 0.02503041, 0.00251159, ..., 0.01077994, 0.00027108, 0.02827911]], [[0.00638254, 0.02260038, 0.00385864, ..., 0.01247698, 0.00057634, 0.02420936], [0.00540627, 0.02344882, 0.00310398, ..., 0.01151282, 0.00039637, 0.02573939], [0.00511285, 0.02002665, 0.00302768, ..., 0.01038113, 0.00042728, 0.02180158], ..., [0.00825767, 0.02187698, 0.00553329, ..., 0.01390989, 0.00116601, 0.02309526], [0.00548785, 0.02092746, 0.00324267, ..., 0.01111165, 0.00044999, 0.0225452 ], [0.00539699, 0.02060849, 0.00319283, ..., 0.01091784, 0.00044547, 0.02223255]]], dtype=float32) - incidence_2025_26_age_50_64_years(chain, draw, date_ranges_2025_26)float320.006357 0.03 ... 0.0005095 0.03415
array([[[0.00635734, 0.02999866, 0.00361199, ..., 0.01387687, 0.00045158, 0.03358676], [0.00675265, 0.0299085 , 0.00386218, ..., 0.01448612, 0.00048818, 0.0329554 ], [0.00735116, 0.03434307, 0.00415149, ..., 0.01611336, 0.00050501, 0.03811743], ..., [0.01168452, 0.03222288, 0.00777733, ..., 0.01995591, 0.00161557, 0.03427659], [0.01138431, 0.03234974, 0.00742033, ..., 0.01992466, 0.00142109, 0.03421785], [0.01116418, 0.03467549, 0.00697641, ..., 0.02065058, 0.00114909, 0.03655814]], [[0.01003932, 0.02986958, 0.00660946, ..., 0.01757038, 0.00134537, 0.03228162], [0.01254584, 0.0324359 , 0.00823171, ..., 0.02142387, 0.00156638, 0.03350524], [0.00971235, 0.03616517, 0.00573246, ..., 0.01960065, 0.00078635, 0.03863069], ... [0.00703283, 0.02874793, 0.0041796 , ..., 0.01433976, 0.00060616, 0.03183641], [0.00928705, 0.03828325, 0.00528957, ..., 0.01975227, 0.00064481, 0.04105171], [0.00766041, 0.02793444, 0.00465786, ..., 0.01497583, 0.00071921, 0.0303428 ]], [[0.00898324, 0.03503941, 0.00527278, ..., 0.01837948, 0.00071637, 0.03782175], [0.00826638, 0.0322476 , 0.00497757, ..., 0.01650933, 0.00075265, 0.0355362 ], [0.00745202, 0.03028265, 0.00434667, ..., 0.01545131, 0.00058207, 0.03295897], ..., [0.01267313, 0.03338628, 0.00844767, ..., 0.02142198, 0.00173543, 0.0350585 ], [0.00745699, 0.0324742 , 0.0042193 , ..., 0.01611758, 0.00050801, 0.03525852], [0.00733783, 0.03148701, 0.00417058, ..., 0.01575007, 0.00050947, 0.03414904]]], dtype=float32) - incidence_2025_26_age_65__years(chain, draw, date_ranges_2025_26)float320.00907 0.04424 ... 0.05329
array([[[0.0090702 , 0.04424085, 0.00511081, ..., 0.02007166, 0.00062272, 0.04974462], [0.00730859, 0.04276919, 0.0039403 , ..., 0.01741005, 0.00041844, 0.04931129], [0.00534531, 0.04777641, 0.0025465 , ..., 0.01542666, 0.00017926, 0.05718395], ..., [0.01051278, 0.0478721 , 0.00602994, ..., 0.02259861, 0.00077684, 0.05337997], [0.0088774 , 0.04557132, 0.00495108, ..., 0.02001448, 0.00058567, 0.05169896], [0.00841908, 0.04943043, 0.00448089, ..., 0.02032801, 0.00045209, 0.0563664 ]], [[0.00856317, 0.03917647, 0.00504886, ..., 0.0179405 , 0.00073068, 0.0448111 ], [0.006521 , 0.04679532, 0.00327064, ..., 0.01726389, 0.00027124, 0.05424814], [0.00782124, 0.04187914, 0.00433934, ..., 0.0178481 , 0.00050752, 0.04800861], ... [0.0076834 , 0.04937151, 0.00399026, ..., 0.01929316, 0.00037188, 0.05684471], [0.00718958, 0.04679008, 0.00374548, ..., 0.0180311 , 0.00035435, 0.05429774], [0.00643376, 0.04763674, 0.00323067, ..., 0.01709204, 0.0002707 , 0.05596193]], [[0.00878939, 0.04338463, 0.00497657, ..., 0.01939739, 0.00062038, 0.04919799], [0.00751742, 0.05332294, 0.0037865 , ..., 0.01977903, 0.00031865, 0.06180987], [0.00775258, 0.04449102, 0.00414725, ..., 0.01855468, 0.00042498, 0.05055783], ..., [0.00921306, 0.04367604, 0.00525663, ..., 0.0200438 , 0.00066953, 0.04916031], [0.00660333, 0.04534179, 0.00339879, ..., 0.01690594, 0.00030969, 0.05305919], [0.00682099, 0.04573539, 0.00352753, ..., 0.01731507, 0.00032605, 0.05328834]]], dtype=float32) - m_2021_22_age_18_49_years(chain, draw)float32-0.6659 -0.6668 ... -0.7479 -0.7485
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array([[0.6665473 , 0.67123073, 0.436517 , ..., 0.6416502 , 0.66006976, 0.6523725 ], [0.5540154 , 0.6228828 , 0.5073362 , ..., 0.6065244 , 0.68681157, 0.56760514], [0.57922494, 0.6523397 , 0.7301661 , ..., 0.61626446, 0.53920645, 0.6008964 ], [0.6912266 , 0.65242076, 0.6689236 , ..., 0.6375927 , 0.60071355, 0.5852598 ]], dtype=float32) - m_2021_22_age_65__years_daily(chain, draw, days_2021_22)float320.6665 0.6665 ... 0.5853 0.5853
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array([[-0.01202172, -0.04907078, 0.03888828, ..., 0.05432659, 0.03476906, 0.00962347], [-0.00972688, 0.00720048, -0.00156361, ..., 0.02903825, -0.02927583, -0.00548959], [ 0.04971039, 0.02203572, -0.05804193, ..., 0.02730185, 0.03972578, 0.09525162], [-0.01522756, 0.02361989, 0.0088017 , ..., 0.02117664, 0.0171504 , -0.00387466]], dtype=float32) - m_2022_23_age_50_64_years_daily(chain, draw, days_2022_23)float32-0.01202 -0.01202 ... -0.003875
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array([[-0.37268677, -0.2110213 , -0.15430903, ..., -0.27357933, -0.13259557, -0.09318811], [-0.25799018, -0.17360616, -0.12179637, ..., -0.09699869, -0.2864412 , -0.3692161 ], [-0.3467668 , -0.19401169, -0.2346484 , ..., -0.31150687, -0.2298477 , -0.07733548], [-0.2921639 , -0.15547359, -0.48471278, ..., -0.08293384, -0.2624045 , -0.30820155]], dtype=float32) - m_2024_25_age_50_64_years_daily(chain, draw, days_2024_25)float32-0.3727 -0.3727 ... -0.3082 -0.3082
array([[[-0.37268677, -0.37268677, -0.37268677, ..., -0.37268677, -0.37268677, -0.37268677], [-0.2110213 , -0.2110213 , -0.2110213 , ..., -0.2110213 , -0.2110213 , -0.2110213 ], [-0.15430903, -0.15430903, -0.15430903, ..., -0.15430903, -0.15430903, -0.15430903], ..., [-0.27357933, -0.27357933, -0.27357933, ..., -0.27357933, -0.27357933, -0.27357933], [-0.13259557, -0.13259557, -0.13259557, ..., -0.13259557, -0.13259557, -0.13259557], [-0.09318811, -0.09318811, -0.09318811, ..., -0.09318811, -0.09318811, -0.09318811]], [[-0.25799018, -0.25799018, -0.25799018, ..., -0.25799018, -0.25799018, -0.25799018], [-0.17360616, -0.17360616, -0.17360616, ..., -0.17360616, -0.17360616, -0.17360616], [-0.12179637, -0.12179637, -0.12179637, ..., -0.12179637, -0.12179637, -0.12179637], ... [-0.31150687, -0.31150687, -0.31150687, ..., -0.31150687, -0.31150687, -0.31150687], [-0.2298477 , -0.2298477 , -0.2298477 , ..., -0.2298477 , -0.2298477 , -0.2298477 ], [-0.07733548, -0.07733548, -0.07733548, ..., -0.07733548, -0.07733548, -0.07733548]], [[-0.2921639 , -0.2921639 , -0.2921639 , ..., -0.2921639 , -0.2921639 , -0.2921639 ], [-0.15547359, -0.15547359, -0.15547359, ..., -0.15547359, -0.15547359, -0.15547359], [-0.48471278, -0.48471278, -0.48471278, ..., -0.48471278, -0.48471278, -0.48471278], ..., [-0.08293384, -0.08293384, -0.08293384, ..., -0.08293384, -0.08293384, -0.08293384], [-0.2624045 , -0.2624045 , -0.2624045 , ..., -0.2624045 , -0.2624045 , -0.2624045 ], [-0.30820155, -0.30820155, -0.30820155, ..., -0.30820155, -0.30820155, -0.30820155]]], dtype=float32) - m_2024_25_age_65__years(chain, draw)float320.5931 0.5837 ... 0.491 0.4868
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array([[-0.7460687 , -0.86058867, -0.63214386, ..., -0.48041096, -0.45496097, -0.45506638], [-0.50893337, -0.6817337 , -0.6509375 , ..., -0.7464268 , -0.7794493 , -0.61698014], [-0.71903414, -0.5306432 , -0.5396216 , ..., -0.658474 , -0.73230875, -0.6668891 ], [-0.7942544 , -0.7627954 , -0.945003 , ..., -0.61154246, -0.9372587 , -0.9495183 ]], dtype=float32) - m_2025_26_age_18_49_years_daily(chain, draw, days_2025_26)float32-0.7461 -0.7461 ... -0.9495 -0.9495
array([[[-0.7460687 , -0.7460687 , -0.7460687 , ..., -0.7460687 , -0.7460687 , -0.7460687 ], [-0.86058867, -0.86058867, -0.86058867, ..., -0.86058867, -0.86058867, -0.86058867], [-0.63214386, -0.63214386, -0.63214386, ..., -0.63214386, -0.63214386, -0.63214386], ..., [-0.48041096, -0.48041096, -0.48041096, ..., -0.48041096, -0.48041096, -0.48041096], [-0.45496097, -0.45496097, -0.45496097, ..., -0.45496097, -0.45496097, -0.45496097], [-0.45506638, -0.45506638, -0.45506638, ..., -0.45506638, -0.45506638, -0.45506638]], [[-0.50893337, -0.50893337, -0.50893337, ..., -0.50893337, -0.50893337, -0.50893337], [-0.6817337 , -0.6817337 , -0.6817337 , ..., -0.6817337 , -0.6817337 , -0.6817337 ], [-0.6509375 , -0.6509375 , -0.6509375 , ..., -0.6509375 , -0.6509375 , -0.6509375 ], ... [-0.658474 , -0.658474 , -0.658474 , ..., -0.658474 , -0.658474 , -0.658474 ], [-0.73230875, -0.73230875, -0.73230875, ..., -0.73230875, -0.73230875, -0.73230875], [-0.6668891 , -0.6668891 , -0.6668891 , ..., -0.6668891 , -0.6668891 , -0.6668891 ]], [[-0.7942544 , -0.7942544 , -0.7942544 , ..., -0.7942544 , -0.7942544 , -0.7942544 ], [-0.7627954 , -0.7627954 , -0.7627954 , ..., -0.7627954 , -0.7627954 , -0.7627954 ], [-0.945003 , -0.945003 , -0.945003 , ..., -0.945003 , -0.945003 , -0.945003 ], ..., [-0.61154246, -0.61154246, -0.61154246, ..., -0.61154246, -0.61154246, -0.61154246], [-0.9372587 , -0.9372587 , -0.9372587 , ..., -0.9372587 , -0.9372587 , -0.9372587 ], [-0.9495183 , -0.9495183 , -0.9495183 , ..., -0.9495183 , -0.9495183 , -0.9495183 ]]], dtype=float32) - m_2025_26_age_50_64_years(chain, draw)float32-0.2865 -0.3719 ... -0.3453 -0.39
array([[-0.28646237, -0.3718935 , -0.12282372, ..., 0.10476699, -0.02371141, -0.06699884], [ 0.04174781, -0.13526899, -0.10658491, ..., -0.14303792, -0.17252302, -0.21987927], [-0.41150072, -0.03723237, 0.04573637, ..., -0.2726633 , -0.09099334, -0.37210497], [-0.12624401, -0.0453704 , -0.3596822 , ..., 0.08185172, -0.3452574 , -0.39000952]], dtype=float32) - m_2025_26_age_50_64_years_daily(chain, draw, days_2025_26)float32-0.2865 -0.2865 ... -0.39 -0.39
array([[[-0.28646237, -0.28646237, -0.28646237, ..., -0.28646237, -0.28646237, -0.28646237], [-0.3718935 , -0.3718935 , -0.3718935 , ..., -0.3718935 , -0.3718935 , -0.3718935 ], [-0.12282372, -0.12282372, -0.12282372, ..., -0.12282372, -0.12282372, -0.12282372], ..., [ 0.10476699, 0.10476699, 0.10476699, ..., 0.10476699, 0.10476699, 0.10476699], [-0.02371141, -0.02371141, -0.02371141, ..., -0.02371141, -0.02371141, -0.02371141], [-0.06699884, -0.06699884, -0.06699884, ..., -0.06699884, -0.06699884, -0.06699884]], [[ 0.04174781, 0.04174781, 0.04174781, ..., 0.04174781, 0.04174781, 0.04174781], [-0.13526899, -0.13526899, -0.13526899, ..., -0.13526899, -0.13526899, -0.13526899], [-0.10658491, -0.10658491, -0.10658491, ..., -0.10658491, -0.10658491, -0.10658491], ... [-0.2726633 , -0.2726633 , -0.2726633 , ..., -0.2726633 , -0.2726633 , -0.2726633 ], [-0.09099334, -0.09099334, -0.09099334, ..., -0.09099334, -0.09099334, -0.09099334], [-0.37210497, -0.37210497, -0.37210497, ..., -0.37210497, -0.37210497, -0.37210497]], [[-0.12624401, -0.12624401, -0.12624401, ..., -0.12624401, -0.12624401, -0.12624401], [-0.0453704 , -0.0453704 , -0.0453704 , ..., -0.0453704 , -0.0453704 , -0.0453704 ], [-0.3596822 , -0.3596822 , -0.3596822 , ..., -0.3596822 , -0.3596822 , -0.3596822 ], ..., [ 0.08185172, 0.08185172, 0.08185172, ..., 0.08185172, 0.08185172, 0.08185172], [-0.3452574 , -0.3452574 , -0.3452574 , ..., -0.3452574 , -0.3452574 , -0.3452574 ], [-0.39000952, -0.39000952, -0.39000952, ..., -0.39000952, -0.39000952, -0.39000952]]], dtype=float32) - m_2025_26_age_65__years(chain, draw)float320.543 0.484 ... 0.5455 0.5465
array([[0.5429715 , 0.48396528, 0.51151764, ..., 0.7846972 , 0.67019236, 0.68871254], [0.744852 , 0.39849114, 0.5294723 , ..., 0.48309994, 0.59703785, 0.56994253], [0.61319023, 0.82037735, 0.7928846 , ..., 0.65236753, 0.6055876 , 0.58554554], [0.61831903, 0.78615993, 0.3940068 , ..., 0.5927526 , 0.54553294, 0.54649854]], dtype=float32) - m_2025_26_age_65__years_daily(chain, draw, days_2025_26)float320.543 0.543 0.543 ... 0.5465 0.5465
array([[[0.5429715 , 0.5429715 , 0.5429715 , ..., 0.5429715 , 0.5429715 , 0.5429715 ], [0.48396528, 0.48396528, 0.48396528, ..., 0.48396528, 0.48396528, 0.48396528], [0.51151764, 0.51151764, 0.51151764, ..., 0.51151764, 0.51151764, 0.51151764], ..., [0.7846972 , 0.7846972 , 0.7846972 , ..., 0.7846972 , 0.7846972 , 0.7846972 ], [0.67019236, 0.67019236, 0.67019236, ..., 0.67019236, 0.67019236, 0.67019236], [0.68871254, 0.68871254, 0.68871254, ..., 0.68871254, 0.68871254, 0.68871254]], [[0.744852 , 0.744852 , 0.744852 , ..., 0.744852 , 0.744852 , 0.744852 ], [0.39849114, 0.39849114, 0.39849114, ..., 0.39849114, 0.39849114, 0.39849114], [0.5294723 , 0.5294723 , 0.5294723 , ..., 0.5294723 , 0.5294723 , 0.5294723 ], ... [0.65236753, 0.65236753, 0.65236753, ..., 0.65236753, 0.65236753, 0.65236753], [0.6055876 , 0.6055876 , 0.6055876 , ..., 0.6055876 , 0.6055876 , 0.6055876 ], [0.58554554, 0.58554554, 0.58554554, ..., 0.58554554, 0.58554554, 0.58554554]], [[0.61831903, 0.61831903, 0.61831903, ..., 0.61831903, 0.61831903, 0.61831903], [0.78615993, 0.78615993, 0.78615993, ..., 0.78615993, 0.78615993, 0.78615993], [0.3940068 , 0.3940068 , 0.3940068 , ..., 0.3940068 , 0.3940068 , 0.3940068 ], ..., [0.5927526 , 0.5927526 , 0.5927526 , ..., 0.5927526 , 0.5927526 , 0.5927526 ], [0.54553294, 0.54553294, 0.54553294, ..., 0.54553294, 0.54553294, 0.54553294], [0.54649854, 0.54649854, 0.54649854, ..., 0.54649854, 0.54649854, 0.54649854]]], dtype=float32) - m_age(chain, draw, season, age_categories_short)float320.6141 1.332 ... 0.5595 1.496
array([[[[0.61406034, 1.3324646 ], [0.5888564 , 1.2772889 ], [0.42581522, 1.2917755 ], [0.34850338, 1.3142785 ], [0.45960635, 1.2890402 ]], [[0.48038858, 1.3379977 ], [0.57530695, 1.3613492 ], [0.5433065 , 1.2516235 ], [0.5269088 , 1.321597 ], [0.48869517, 1.344554 ]], [[0.5371674 , 1.1124697 ], [0.6702291 , 1.2970269 ], [0.6267789 , 1.2330073 ], [0.56315535, 1.0989206 ], [0.50932014, 1.1436615 ]], ..., ... ..., [[0.7037841 , 1.2900041 ], [0.66805434, 1.367309 ], [0.7129712 , 1.2929591 ], [0.7305721 , 1.3058699 ], [0.6933942 , 1.204295 ]], [[0.57988644, 1.3486536 ], [0.64596957, 1.3430994 ], [0.5534388 , 1.4569474 ], [0.6425554 , 1.3960074 ], [0.5920013 , 1.4827917 ]], [[0.5768635 , 1.3337688 ], [0.62888885, 1.3263533 ], [0.5546267 , 1.4805769 ], [0.58458245, 1.3795625 ], [0.5595088 , 1.4960169 ]]]], dtype=float32) - m_age_mu(chain, draw, age_categories_short)float320.5359 1.29 0.5436 ... 0.5738 1.376
array([[[0.5358659 , 1.2902144 ], [0.5436095 , 1.3656299 ], [0.60258204, 1.2066871 ], ..., [0.49261546, 1.2030311 ], [0.5010188 , 1.218621 ], [0.5614571 , 1.1521586 ]], [[0.47441927, 1.2428052 ], [0.5687621 , 1.1703199 ], [0.57551134, 1.1390444 ], ..., [0.6351088 , 1.2382565 ], [0.6012324 , 1.3775481 ], [0.5473353 , 1.1755048 ]], [[0.70143294, 1.3042649 ], [0.5668259 , 1.3430438 ], [0.52944165, 1.3274784 ], ..., [0.5514841 , 1.3312807 ], [0.54064685, 1.2597299 ], [0.53587943, 1.2226084 ]], [[0.66631925, 1.3864622 ], [0.60015166, 1.4461699 ], [0.6606021 , 1.3207626 ], ..., [0.693568 , 1.2553128 ], [0.58678085, 1.366602 ], [0.5737687 , 1.3755788 ]]], dtype=float32) - m_age_sigma(chain, draw, age_categories_short)float320.1431 0.02256 ... 0.08124 0.06233
array([[[0.14311102, 0.02255649], [0.08775275, 0.12728728], [0.05929714, 0.073348 ], ..., [0.07877475, 0.06360822], [0.1953834 , 0.0478014 ], [0.13667057, 0.03951425]], [[0.0549974 , 0.03588494], [0.04014904, 0.06177587], [0.02663028, 0.07108691], ..., [0.02576537, 0.13666897], [0.06511342, 0.04287683], [0.10874417, 0.04007766]], [[0.3311219 , 0.02009787], [0.080745 , 0.01271869], [0.04038789, 0.02611467], ..., [0.10846683, 0.02161352], [0.07868668, 0.0801225 ], [0.17504245, 0.03685318]], [[0.09469491, 0.08154742], [0.06812616, 0.140229 ], [0.06141805, 0.14454325], ..., [0.01899036, 0.0524408 ], [0.09479028, 0.0686938 ], [0.08124094, 0.06233361]]], dtype=float32) - m_season(chain, draw, season)float32-0.6659 -0.6009 ... -0.8928 -0.9495
array([[[-0.6659173 , -0.6008781 , -0.8330322 , -0.72119015, -0.7460687 ], [-0.66676694, -0.6243777 , -0.6655928 , -0.7379301 , -0.86058867], [-0.6759527 , -0.6313408 , -0.6759381 , -0.7174644 , -0.63214386], ..., [-0.5809914 , -0.53264546, -0.5779692 , -0.6719996 , -0.48041096], [-0.53357977, -0.5496062 , -0.58976215, -0.59864354, -0.45496097], [-0.54999626, -0.56627446, -0.5786864 , -0.54789484, -0.45506638]], [[-0.61172664, -0.5586274 , -0.6901408 , -0.6529152 , -0.50893337], [-0.55649954, -0.57846475, -0.6506097 , -0.7213359 , -0.6817337 ], [-0.5804412 , -0.57332075, -0.65878546, -0.66269886, -0.6509375 ], ... [-0.72800696, -0.59309083, -0.792033 , -1.0188992 , -0.658474 ], [-0.68638307, -0.64634997, -0.7518171 , -0.662904 , -0.73230875], [-0.6104085 , -0.5885206 , -0.6500955 , -0.74947804, -0.6668891 ]], [[-0.7937727 , -0.69717777, -0.9431632 , -1.0700535 , -0.7942544 ], [-0.6740931 , -0.6715874 , -0.81835645, -0.81939703, -0.7627954 ], [-0.7153082 , -0.70230716, -0.7766861 , -1.1197625 , -0.945003 ], ..., [-0.65241146, -0.6468777 , -0.8992613 , -0.81350595, -0.61154246], [-0.74794 , -0.62881917, -0.8333825 , -0.9049599 , -0.9372587 ], [-0.74850905, -0.6327635 , -0.85024244, -0.892784 , -0.9495183 ]]], dtype=float32) - m_season_mu(chain, draw)float32-0.7446 -0.6834 ... -0.7943 -0.7878
array([[-0.7445809 , -0.68343544, -0.6498294 , ..., -0.526952 , -0.6116911 , -0.5930206 ], [-0.64489955, -0.5979586 , -0.67719746, ..., -0.68128574, -0.7850366 , -0.68623906], [-0.7139505 , -0.6319802 , -0.62484986, ..., -0.7188904 , -0.71303403, -0.6425102 ], [-1.0432522 , -0.81269604, -0.9588437 , ..., -0.7434186 , -0.79427564, -0.78780335]], dtype=float32) - m_season_sigma(chain, draw)float320.09086 0.0869 ... 0.1235 0.1426
array([[0.09085797, 0.08689947, 0.03558308, ..., 0.04573327, 0.19260108, 0.20800933], [0.07899887, 0.08621338, 0.05606705, ..., 0.16939437, 0.06295568, 0.05458542], [0.03624719, 0.04094986, 0.06574084, ..., 0.14718877, 0.02855531, 0.10793338], [0.19693612, 0.2151681 , 0.17268005, ..., 0.14065926, 0.12345764, 0.142636 ]], dtype=float32) - observation_mean(chain, draw, observation)float320.1623 0.09364 ... 0.000326
array([[[1.62283763e-01, 9.36358646e-02, 5.93204200e-02, ..., 1.14467554e-03, 8.44588678e-04, 6.22715277e-04], [1.62828907e-01, 9.43908244e-02, 5.89376390e-02, ..., 7.98708468e-04, 5.78264648e-04, 4.18443728e-04], [1.65287882e-01, 1.03218392e-01, 5.54531142e-02, ..., 3.83989565e-04, 2.62397138e-04, 1.79258728e-04], ..., [1.81851432e-01, 8.99453312e-02, 5.70791550e-02, ..., 1.40632794e-03, 1.04564708e-03, 7.76835950e-04], [1.85783178e-01, 9.62716565e-02, 5.98844066e-02, ..., 1.08510721e-03, 7.97459390e-04, 5.85669943e-04], [1.85831785e-01, 9.48752761e-02, 5.82739078e-02, ..., 8.75934260e-04, 6.29462942e-04, 4.52086097e-04]], [[1.73853531e-01, 9.78048593e-02, 5.84099554e-02, ..., 1.27792184e-03, 9.66661260e-04, 7.30683969e-04], [1.70617968e-01, 9.55132991e-02, 6.52642474e-02, ..., 5.55130246e-04, 3.88111686e-04, 2.71236524e-04], [1.66767359e-01, 9.12297815e-02, 6.44975230e-02, ..., 9.42859333e-04, 6.91968075e-04, 5.07523306e-04], ... [1.59880087e-01, 8.88832286e-02, 5.47285192e-02, ..., 7.36584363e-04, 5.23495662e-04, 3.71878763e-04], [1.83192477e-01, 9.24936384e-02, 4.61361334e-02, ..., 6.98696473e-04, 4.97702335e-04, 3.54349788e-04], [1.84988096e-01, 9.35737938e-02, 5.29176183e-02, ..., 5.52202400e-04, 3.86703439e-04, 2.70704564e-04]], [[1.65322125e-01, 8.35157186e-02, 4.58984114e-02, ..., 1.13250653e-03, 8.38501845e-04, 6.20381616e-04], [1.79023355e-01, 1.03320025e-01, 4.73525934e-02, ..., 6.49479858e-04, 4.55014408e-04, 3.18645820e-04], [1.69038162e-01, 9.33893546e-02, 5.07138558e-02, ..., 8.19935289e-04, 5.90471318e-04, 4.24978847e-04], ..., [1.83226600e-01, 9.48471054e-02, 4.94059883e-02, ..., 1.21530739e-03, 9.02375148e-04, 6.69526577e-04], [1.68682605e-01, 8.75084847e-02, 4.82512452e-02, ..., 6.16976351e-04, 4.37215698e-04, 3.09690775e-04], [1.66082546e-01, 8.81410539e-02, 4.95219193e-02, ..., 6.47030713e-04, 4.59402101e-04, 3.26045061e-04]]], dtype=float32) - observation_sigma(chain, draw, season)float320.001202 0.0006173 ... 0.002819
array([[[0.00120231, 0.0006173 , 0.00184883, 0.00263236, 0.00282283], [0.0019576 , 0.0009999 , 0.00211362, 0.00249459, 0.00233938], [0.00162147, 0.00068852, 0.00206262, 0.00246077, 0.00282332], ..., [0.00122485, 0.00076619, 0.00198246, 0.00212692, 0.00275724], [0.00150325, 0.00102683, 0.001919 , 0.00227636, 0.00244418], [0.00158427, 0.00097879, 0.00192575, 0.00232778, 0.00248136]], [[0.00147719, 0.00080871, 0.00191927, 0.00245053, 0.00278786], [0.00147355, 0.00043163, 0.00205759, 0.00260238, 0.00279967], [0.00143265, 0.00053794, 0.00195741, 0.00256405, 0.00298757], ..., [0.00137983, 0.00061939, 0.00218784, 0.00238842, 0.00243501], [0.00163464, 0.00070199, 0.00197728, 0.00273422, 0.00237802], [0.00111185, 0.00090032, 0.00260634, 0.00240045, 0.00292179]], [[0.00137301, 0.00090025, 0.00185234, 0.00273709, 0.00268476], [0.00110629, 0.00069028, 0.00223866, 0.00233083, 0.00255328], [0.00108506, 0.00067988, 0.00229915, 0.00232464, 0.00253832], ..., [0.00136117, 0.00101612, 0.00194545, 0.00295103, 0.0027136 ], [0.00177984, 0.00047877, 0.00218459, 0.00219906, 0.00238396], [0.00119518, 0.00139096, 0.00207034, 0.0027547 , 0.00295541]], [[0.00158053, 0.00078164, 0.00217331, 0.00243897, 0.00236465], [0.00113254, 0.0007635 , 0.00197703, 0.00260075, 0.00292206], [0.00134279, 0.00093998, 0.00194064, 0.00240642, 0.00241794], ..., [0.00207401, 0.00070091, 0.00209615, 0.00272824, 0.00254016], [0.00159357, 0.00082443, 0.00224523, 0.00279109, 0.00276028], [0.0015115 , 0.00084232, 0.00222658, 0.0027891 , 0.00281934]]], dtype=float32) - r_2021_22_age_18_49_years(chain, draw)float32-3.166 -3.154 ... -3.112 -3.116
array([[-3.1660154, -3.154062 , -3.028673 , ..., -3.2307434, -3.1968222, -3.193497 ], [-3.1355376, -3.2335124, -3.2700043, ..., -3.0750935, -3.0853484, -3.0386035], [-3.112759 , -2.986023 , -3.07924 , ..., -3.1612844, -3.0545495, -3.1380117], [-3.118751 , -2.960428 , -3.0790606, ..., -3.0744758, -3.1115537, -3.116073 ]], dtype=float32) - r_2021_22_age_18_49_years_daily(chain, draw, days_2021_22)float32-3.166 -3.166 ... -3.116 -3.116
array([[[-3.1660154, -3.1660154, -3.1660154, ..., -3.1660154, -3.1660154, -3.1660154], [-3.154062 , -3.154062 , -3.154062 , ..., -3.154062 , -3.154062 , -3.154062 ], [-3.028673 , -3.028673 , -3.028673 , ..., -3.028673 , -3.028673 , -3.028673 ], ..., [-3.2307434, -3.2307434, -3.2307434, ..., -3.2307434, -3.2307434, -3.2307434], [-3.1968222, -3.1968222, -3.1968222, ..., -3.1968222, -3.1968222, -3.1968222], [-3.193497 , -3.193497 , -3.193497 , ..., -3.193497 , -3.193497 , -3.193497 ]], [[-3.1355376, -3.1355376, -3.1355376, ..., -3.1355376, -3.1355376, -3.1355376], [-3.2335124, -3.2335124, -3.2335124, ..., -3.2335124, -3.2335124, -3.2335124], [-3.2700043, -3.2700043, -3.2700043, ..., -3.2700043, -3.2700043, -3.2700043], ... [-3.1612844, -3.1612844, -3.1612844, ..., -3.1612844, -3.1612844, -3.1612844], [-3.0545495, -3.0545495, -3.0545495, ..., -3.0545495, -3.0545495, -3.0545495], [-3.1380117, -3.1380117, -3.1380117, ..., -3.1380117, -3.1380117, -3.1380117]], [[-3.118751 , -3.118751 , -3.118751 , ..., -3.118751 , -3.118751 , -3.118751 ], [-2.960428 , -2.960428 , -2.960428 , ..., -2.960428 , -2.960428 , -2.960428 ], [-3.0790606, -3.0790606, -3.0790606, ..., -3.0790606, -3.0790606, -3.0790606], ..., [-3.0744758, -3.0744758, -3.0744758, ..., -3.0744758, -3.0744758, -3.0744758], [-3.1115537, -3.1115537, -3.1115537, ..., -3.1115537, -3.1115537, -3.1115537], [-3.116073 , -3.116073 , -3.116073 , ..., -3.116073 , -3.116073 , -3.116073 ]]], dtype=float32) - r_2021_22_age_50_64_years(chain, draw)float32-3.051 -3.019 ... -2.98 -2.983
array([[-3.0509949, -3.0190132, -2.9613764, ..., -3.0880904, -3.0762784, -3.0909712], [-2.978692 , -3.1060338, -3.1126177, ..., -2.9853303, -2.9974148, -3.028149 ], [-3.0437791, -2.9569247, -3.0450888, ..., -3.0422502, -3.0952687, -3.0837502], [-3.18922 , -3.0174928, -3.1437085, ..., -3.179335 , -2.9795735, -2.9831343]], dtype=float32) - r_2021_22_age_50_64_years_daily(chain, draw, days_2021_22)float32-3.051 -3.051 ... -2.983 -2.983
array([[[-3.0509949, -3.0509949, -3.0509949, ..., -3.0509949, -3.0509949, -3.0509949], [-3.0190132, -3.0190132, -3.0190132, ..., -3.0190132, -3.0190132, -3.0190132], [-2.9613764, -2.9613764, -2.9613764, ..., -2.9613764, -2.9613764, -2.9613764], ..., [-3.0880904, -3.0880904, -3.0880904, ..., -3.0880904, -3.0880904, -3.0880904], [-3.0762784, -3.0762784, -3.0762784, ..., -3.0762784, -3.0762784, -3.0762784], [-3.0909712, -3.0909712, -3.0909712, ..., -3.0909712, -3.0909712, -3.0909712]], [[-2.978692 , -2.978692 , -2.978692 , ..., -2.978692 , -2.978692 , -2.978692 ], [-3.1060338, -3.1060338, -3.1060338, ..., -3.1060338, -3.1060338, -3.1060338], [-3.1126177, -3.1126177, -3.1126177, ..., -3.1126177, -3.1126177, -3.1126177], ... [-3.0422502, -3.0422502, -3.0422502, ..., -3.0422502, -3.0422502, -3.0422502], [-3.0952687, -3.0952687, -3.0952687, ..., -3.0952687, -3.0952687, -3.0952687], [-3.0837502, -3.0837502, -3.0837502, ..., -3.0837502, -3.0837502, -3.0837502]], [[-3.18922 , -3.18922 , -3.18922 , ..., -3.18922 , -3.18922 , -3.18922 ], [-3.0174928, -3.0174928, -3.0174928, ..., -3.0174928, -3.0174928, -3.0174928], [-3.1437085, -3.1437085, -3.1437085, ..., -3.1437085, -3.1437085, -3.1437085], ..., [-3.179335 , -3.179335 , -3.179335 , ..., -3.179335 , -3.179335 , -3.179335 ], [-2.9795735, -2.9795735, -2.9795735, ..., -2.9795735, -2.9795735, -2.9795735], [-2.9831343, -2.9831343, -2.9831343, ..., -2.9831343, -2.9831343, -2.9831343]]], dtype=float32) - r_2021_22_age_65__years(chain, draw)float32-2.947 -2.93 ... -2.886 -2.914
array([[-2.9472806, -2.929794 , -2.750145 , ..., -2.8811803, -2.8593416, -2.8468773], [-2.7950509, -2.8583043, -2.9243438, ..., -2.9305437, -2.8437073, -2.9058015], [-2.863559 , -2.9114373, -2.941233 , ..., -2.923628 , -2.9702318, -2.879103 ], [-2.967144 , -2.944008 , -2.9232657, ..., -2.8816495, -2.8859255, -2.9142141]], dtype=float32) - r_2021_22_age_65__years_daily(chain, draw, days_2021_22)float32-2.947 -2.947 ... -2.914 -2.914
array([[[-2.9472806, -2.9472806, -2.9472806, ..., -2.9472806, -2.9472806, -2.9472806], [-2.929794 , -2.929794 , -2.929794 , ..., -2.929794 , -2.929794 , -2.929794 ], [-2.750145 , -2.750145 , -2.750145 , ..., -2.750145 , -2.750145 , -2.750145 ], ..., [-2.8811803, -2.8811803, -2.8811803, ..., -2.8811803, -2.8811803, -2.8811803], [-2.8593416, -2.8593416, -2.8593416, ..., -2.8593416, -2.8593416, -2.8593416], [-2.8468773, -2.8468773, -2.8468773, ..., -2.8468773, -2.8468773, -2.8468773]], [[-2.7950509, -2.7950509, -2.7950509, ..., -2.7950509, -2.7950509, -2.7950509], [-2.8583043, -2.8583043, -2.8583043, ..., -2.8583043, -2.8583043, -2.8583043], [-2.9243438, -2.9243438, -2.9243438, ..., -2.9243438, -2.9243438, -2.9243438], ... [-2.923628 , -2.923628 , -2.923628 , ..., -2.923628 , -2.923628 , -2.923628 ], [-2.9702318, -2.9702318, -2.9702318, ..., -2.9702318, -2.9702318, -2.9702318], [-2.879103 , -2.879103 , -2.879103 , ..., -2.879103 , -2.879103 , -2.879103 ]], [[-2.967144 , -2.967144 , -2.967144 , ..., -2.967144 , -2.967144 , -2.967144 ], [-2.944008 , -2.944008 , -2.944008 , ..., -2.944008 , -2.944008 , -2.944008 ], [-2.9232657, -2.9232657, -2.9232657, ..., -2.9232657, -2.9232657, -2.9232657], ..., [-2.8816495, -2.8816495, -2.8816495, ..., -2.8816495, -2.8816495, -2.8816495], [-2.8859255, -2.8859255, -2.8859255, ..., -2.8859255, -2.8859255, -2.8859255], [-2.9142141, -2.9142141, -2.9142141, ..., -2.9142141, -2.9142141, -2.9142141]]], dtype=float32) - r_2022_23_age_18_49_years(chain, draw)float32-3.093 -3.062 ... -3.017 -3.02
array([[-3.0934458, -3.0618496, -3.0599172, ..., -3.1359987, -3.144258 , -3.1911402], [-3.1435385, -3.1265361, -3.1009352, ..., -3.0440962, -3.0578828, -3.064735 ], [-3.0602112, -3.0963447, -3.0711234, ..., -3.1128798, -3.0632057, -3.0949109], [-2.989205 , -3.0187747, -2.9590774, ..., -3.022514 , -3.016501 , -3.019637 ]], dtype=float32) - r_2022_23_age_18_49_years_daily(chain, draw, days_2022_23)float32-3.093 -3.093 ... -3.02 -3.02
array([[[-3.0934458, -3.0934458, -3.0934458, ..., -3.0934458, -3.0934458, -3.0934458], [-3.0618496, -3.0618496, -3.0618496, ..., -3.0618496, -3.0618496, -3.0618496], [-3.0599172, -3.0599172, -3.0599172, ..., -3.0599172, -3.0599172, -3.0599172], ..., [-3.1359987, -3.1359987, -3.1359987, ..., -3.1359987, -3.1359987, -3.1359987], [-3.144258 , -3.144258 , -3.144258 , ..., -3.144258 , -3.144258 , -3.144258 ], [-3.1911402, -3.1911402, -3.1911402, ..., -3.1911402, -3.1911402, -3.1911402]], [[-3.1435385, -3.1435385, -3.1435385, ..., -3.1435385, -3.1435385, -3.1435385], [-3.1265361, -3.1265361, -3.1265361, ..., -3.1265361, -3.1265361, -3.1265361], [-3.1009352, -3.1009352, -3.1009352, ..., -3.1009352, -3.1009352, -3.1009352], ... [-3.1128798, -3.1128798, -3.1128798, ..., -3.1128798, -3.1128798, -3.1128798], [-3.0632057, -3.0632057, -3.0632057, ..., -3.0632057, -3.0632057, -3.0632057], [-3.0949109, -3.0949109, -3.0949109, ..., -3.0949109, -3.0949109, -3.0949109]], [[-2.989205 , -2.989205 , -2.989205 , ..., -2.989205 , -2.989205 , -2.989205 ], [-3.0187747, -3.0187747, -3.0187747, ..., -3.0187747, -3.0187747, -3.0187747], [-2.9590774, -2.9590774, -2.9590774, ..., -2.9590774, -2.9590774, -2.9590774], ..., [-3.022514 , -3.022514 , -3.022514 , ..., -3.022514 , -3.022514 , -3.022514 ], [-3.016501 , -3.016501 , -3.016501 , ..., -3.016501 , -3.016501 , -3.016501 ], [-3.019637 , -3.019637 , -3.019637 , ..., -3.019637 , -3.019637 , -3.019637 ]]], dtype=float32) - r_2022_23_age_50_64_years(chain, draw)float32-2.976 -2.902 ... -2.92 -2.909
array([[-2.9756658, -2.90156 , -2.9822617, ..., -3.004925 , -3.012167 , -3.0749948], [-2.9460213, -2.9633088, -2.9662237, ..., -3.0173385, -2.9571126, -3.0466402], [-3.0138643, -2.974623 , -2.9391406, ..., -3.033698 , -2.983353 , -3.0011246], [-3.0074074, -2.9650517, -2.943851 , ..., -2.9316669, -2.9199822, -2.9094536]], dtype=float32) - r_2022_23_age_50_64_years_daily(chain, draw, days_2022_23)float32-2.976 -2.976 ... -2.909 -2.909
array([[[-2.9756658, -2.9756658, -2.9756658, ..., -2.9756658, -2.9756658, -2.9756658], [-2.90156 , -2.90156 , -2.90156 , ..., -2.90156 , -2.90156 , -2.90156 ], [-2.9822617, -2.9822617, -2.9822617, ..., -2.9822617, -2.9822617, -2.9822617], ..., [-3.004925 , -3.004925 , -3.004925 , ..., -3.004925 , -3.004925 , -3.004925 ], [-3.012167 , -3.012167 , -3.012167 , ..., -3.012167 , -3.012167 , -3.012167 ], [-3.0749948, -3.0749948, -3.0749948, ..., -3.0749948, -3.0749948, -3.0749948]], [[-2.9460213, -2.9460213, -2.9460213, ..., -2.9460213, -2.9460213, -2.9460213], [-2.9633088, -2.9633088, -2.9633088, ..., -2.9633088, -2.9633088, -2.9633088], [-2.9662237, -2.9662237, -2.9662237, ..., -2.9662237, -2.9662237, -2.9662237], ... [-3.033698 , -3.033698 , -3.033698 , ..., -3.033698 , -3.033698 , -3.033698 ], [-2.983353 , -2.983353 , -2.983353 , ..., -2.983353 , -2.983353 , -2.983353 ], [-3.0011246, -3.0011246, -3.0011246, ..., -3.0011246, -3.0011246, -3.0011246]], [[-3.0074074, -3.0074074, -3.0074074, ..., -3.0074074, -3.0074074, -3.0074074], [-2.9650517, -2.9650517, -2.9650517, ..., -2.9650517, -2.9650517, -2.9650517], [-2.943851 , -2.943851 , -2.943851 , ..., -2.943851 , -2.943851 , -2.943851 ], ..., [-2.9316669, -2.9316669, -2.9316669, ..., -2.9316669, -2.9316669, -2.9316669], [-2.9199822, -2.9199822, -2.9199822, ..., -2.9199822, -2.9199822, -2.9199822], [-2.9094536, -2.9094536, -2.9094536, ..., -2.9094536, -2.9094536, -2.9094536]]], dtype=float32) - r_2022_23_age_65__years(chain, draw)float32-2.766 -2.84 ... -2.764 -2.76
array([[-2.7664652, -2.8398929, -2.709482 , ..., -2.7771745, -2.793357 , -2.861599 ], [-2.818041 , -2.756103 , -2.7735276, ..., -2.8344853, -2.8109603, -2.8321145], [-2.7662988, -2.832198 , -2.8080735, ..., -2.7924058, -2.832333 , -2.80928 ], [-2.8431373, -2.8041801, -2.8084211, ..., -2.781985 , -2.7639089, -2.7604635]], dtype=float32) - r_2022_23_age_65__years_daily(chain, draw, days_2022_23)float32-2.766 -2.766 ... -2.76 -2.76
array([[[-2.7664652, -2.7664652, -2.7664652, ..., -2.7664652, -2.7664652, -2.7664652], [-2.8398929, -2.8398929, -2.8398929, ..., -2.8398929, -2.8398929, -2.8398929], [-2.709482 , -2.709482 , -2.709482 , ..., -2.709482 , -2.709482 , -2.709482 ], ..., [-2.7771745, -2.7771745, -2.7771745, ..., -2.7771745, -2.7771745, -2.7771745], [-2.793357 , -2.793357 , -2.793357 , ..., -2.793357 , -2.793357 , -2.793357 ], [-2.861599 , -2.861599 , -2.861599 , ..., -2.861599 , -2.861599 , -2.861599 ]], [[-2.818041 , -2.818041 , -2.818041 , ..., -2.818041 , -2.818041 , -2.818041 ], [-2.756103 , -2.756103 , -2.756103 , ..., -2.756103 , -2.756103 , -2.756103 ], [-2.7735276, -2.7735276, -2.7735276, ..., -2.7735276, -2.7735276, -2.7735276], ... [-2.7924058, -2.7924058, -2.7924058, ..., -2.7924058, -2.7924058, -2.7924058], [-2.832333 , -2.832333 , -2.832333 , ..., -2.832333 , -2.832333 , -2.832333 ], [-2.80928 , -2.80928 , -2.80928 , ..., -2.80928 , -2.80928 , -2.80928 ]], [[-2.8431373, -2.8431373, -2.8431373, ..., -2.8431373, -2.8431373, -2.8431373], [-2.8041801, -2.8041801, -2.8041801, ..., -2.8041801, -2.8041801, -2.8041801], [-2.8084211, -2.8084211, -2.8084211, ..., -2.8084211, -2.8084211, -2.8084211], ..., [-2.781985 , -2.781985 , -2.781985 , ..., -2.781985 , -2.781985 , -2.781985 ], [-2.7639089, -2.7639089, -2.7639089, ..., -2.7639089, -2.7639089, -2.7639089], [-2.7604635, -2.7604635, -2.7604635, ..., -2.7604635, -2.7604635, -2.7604635]]], dtype=float32) - r_2023_24_age_18_49_years(chain, draw)float32-3.116 -3.22 ... -3.048 -3.062
array([[-3.1164834, -3.2200449, -3.0867252, ..., -3.2509205, -3.2456672, -3.2378936], [-3.1818032, -3.2767978, -3.202923 , ..., -3.0605135, -3.1645586, -3.0259862], [-3.1049187, -3.1412141, -3.1601353, ..., -3.1039765, -3.0519032, -3.109902 ], [-2.9856985, -3.1085987, -2.9245577, ..., -3.0991557, -3.0481 , -3.0618048]], dtype=float32) - r_2023_24_age_18_49_years_daily(chain, draw, days_2023_24)float32-3.116 -3.116 ... -3.062 -3.062
array([[[-3.1164834, -3.1164834, -3.1164834, ..., -3.1164834, -3.1164834, -3.1164834], [-3.2200449, -3.2200449, -3.2200449, ..., -3.2200449, -3.2200449, -3.2200449], [-3.0867252, -3.0867252, -3.0867252, ..., -3.0867252, -3.0867252, -3.0867252], ..., [-3.2509205, -3.2509205, -3.2509205, ..., -3.2509205, -3.2509205, -3.2509205], [-3.2456672, -3.2456672, -3.2456672, ..., -3.2456672, -3.2456672, -3.2456672], [-3.2378936, -3.2378936, -3.2378936, ..., -3.2378936, -3.2378936, -3.2378936]], [[-3.1818032, -3.1818032, -3.1818032, ..., -3.1818032, -3.1818032, -3.1818032], [-3.2767978, -3.2767978, -3.2767978, ..., -3.2767978, -3.2767978, -3.2767978], [-3.202923 , -3.202923 , -3.202923 , ..., -3.202923 , -3.202923 , -3.202923 ], ... [-3.1039765, -3.1039765, -3.1039765, ..., -3.1039765, -3.1039765, -3.1039765], [-3.0519032, -3.0519032, -3.0519032, ..., -3.0519032, -3.0519032, -3.0519032], [-3.109902 , -3.109902 , -3.109902 , ..., -3.109902 , -3.109902 , -3.109902 ]], [[-2.9856985, -2.9856985, -2.9856985, ..., -2.9856985, -2.9856985, -2.9856985], [-3.1085987, -3.1085987, -3.1085987, ..., -3.1085987, -3.1085987, -3.1085987], [-2.9245577, -2.9245577, -2.9245577, ..., -2.9245577, -2.9245577, -2.9245577], ..., [-3.0991557, -3.0991557, -3.0991557, ..., -3.0991557, -3.0991557, -3.0991557], [-3.0481 , -3.0481 , -3.0481 , ..., -3.0481 , -3.0481 , -3.0481 ], [-3.0618048, -3.0618048, -3.0618048, ..., -3.0618048, -3.0618048, -3.0618048]]], dtype=float32) - r_2023_24_age_50_64_years(chain, draw)float32-3.004 -3.079 ... -2.964 -2.982
array([[-3.0043132, -3.0785496, -3.0220616, ..., -3.1236415, -3.1054232, -3.1234083], [-3.010285 , -3.214247 , -3.0429268, ..., -3.0474946, -3.0680027, -2.9762921], [-3.0757966, -2.9357553, -3.067112 , ..., -3.0408306, -2.9579902, -3.151352 ], [-3.0012116, -3.0235262, -3.1550949, ..., -3.09209 , -2.9639995, -2.9824004]], dtype=float32) - r_2023_24_age_50_64_years_daily(chain, draw, days_2023_24)float32-3.004 -3.004 ... -2.982 -2.982
array([[[-3.0043132, -3.0043132, -3.0043132, ..., -3.0043132, -3.0043132, -3.0043132], [-3.0785496, -3.0785496, -3.0785496, ..., -3.0785496, -3.0785496, -3.0785496], [-3.0220616, -3.0220616, -3.0220616, ..., -3.0220616, -3.0220616, -3.0220616], ..., [-3.1236415, -3.1236415, -3.1236415, ..., -3.1236415, -3.1236415, -3.1236415], [-3.1054232, -3.1054232, -3.1054232, ..., -3.1054232, -3.1054232, -3.1054232], [-3.1234083, -3.1234083, -3.1234083, ..., -3.1234083, -3.1234083, -3.1234083]], [[-3.010285 , -3.010285 , -3.010285 , ..., -3.010285 , -3.010285 , -3.010285 ], [-3.214247 , -3.214247 , -3.214247 , ..., -3.214247 , -3.214247 , -3.214247 ], [-3.0429268, -3.0429268, -3.0429268, ..., -3.0429268, -3.0429268, -3.0429268], ... [-3.0408306, -3.0408306, -3.0408306, ..., -3.0408306, -3.0408306, -3.0408306], [-2.9579902, -2.9579902, -2.9579902, ..., -2.9579902, -2.9579902, -2.9579902], [-3.151352 , -3.151352 , -3.151352 , ..., -3.151352 , -3.151352 , -3.151352 ]], [[-3.0012116, -3.0012116, -3.0012116, ..., -3.0012116, -3.0012116, -3.0012116], [-3.0235262, -3.0235262, -3.0235262, ..., -3.0235262, -3.0235262, -3.0235262], [-3.1550949, -3.1550949, -3.1550949, ..., -3.1550949, -3.1550949, -3.1550949], ..., [-3.09209 , -3.09209 , -3.09209 , ..., -3.09209 , -3.09209 , -3.09209 ], [-2.9639995, -2.9639995, -2.9639995, ..., -2.9639995, -2.9639995, -2.9639995], [-2.9824004, -2.9824004, -2.9824004, ..., -2.9824004, -2.9824004, -2.9824004]]], dtype=float32) - r_2023_24_age_65__years(chain, draw)float32-2.952 -2.993 ... -2.846 -2.867
array([[-2.9517324, -2.9929342, -2.8670783, ..., -2.9048882, -2.8932283, -2.9145799], [-2.8671215, -2.8664584, -2.9056602, ..., -2.801859 , -3.021327 , -2.9670293], [-2.9790847, -3.0228121, -3.0168025, ..., -2.884986 , -2.8649397, -2.8374858], [-2.8779588, -2.9368 , -2.8478982, ..., -2.7948678, -2.846394 , -2.8672748]], dtype=float32) - r_2023_24_age_65__years_daily(chain, draw, days_2023_24)float32-2.952 -2.952 ... -2.867 -2.867
array([[[-2.9517324, -2.9517324, -2.9517324, ..., -2.9517324, -2.9517324, -2.9517324], [-2.9929342, -2.9929342, -2.9929342, ..., -2.9929342, -2.9929342, -2.9929342], [-2.8670783, -2.8670783, -2.8670783, ..., -2.8670783, -2.8670783, -2.8670783], ..., [-2.9048882, -2.9048882, -2.9048882, ..., -2.9048882, -2.9048882, -2.9048882], [-2.8932283, -2.8932283, -2.8932283, ..., -2.8932283, -2.8932283, -2.8932283], [-2.9145799, -2.9145799, -2.9145799, ..., -2.9145799, -2.9145799, -2.9145799]], [[-2.8671215, -2.8671215, -2.8671215, ..., -2.8671215, -2.8671215, -2.8671215], [-2.8664584, -2.8664584, -2.8664584, ..., -2.8664584, -2.8664584, -2.8664584], [-2.9056602, -2.9056602, -2.9056602, ..., -2.9056602, -2.9056602, -2.9056602], ... [-2.884986 , -2.884986 , -2.884986 , ..., -2.884986 , -2.884986 , -2.884986 ], [-2.8649397, -2.8649397, -2.8649397, ..., -2.8649397, -2.8649397, -2.8649397], [-2.8374858, -2.8374858, -2.8374858, ..., -2.8374858, -2.8374858, -2.8374858]], [[-2.8779588, -2.8779588, -2.8779588, ..., -2.8779588, -2.8779588, -2.8779588], [-2.9368 , -2.9368 , -2.9368 , ..., -2.9368 , -2.9368 , -2.9368 ], [-2.8478982, -2.8478982, -2.8478982, ..., -2.8478982, -2.8478982, -2.8478982], ..., [-2.7948678, -2.7948678, -2.7948678, ..., -2.7948678, -2.7948678, -2.7948678], [-2.846394 , -2.846394 , -2.846394 , ..., -2.846394 , -2.846394 , -2.846394 ], [-2.8672748, -2.8672748, -2.8672748, ..., -2.8672748, -2.8672748, -2.8672748]]], dtype=float32) - r_2024_25_age_18_49_years(chain, draw)float32-3.226 -3.257 ... -3.129 -3.148
array([[-3.2263775, -3.257231 , -3.2460299, ..., -3.4211807, -3.3396626, -3.3864334], [-3.356787 , -3.4164035, -3.399478 , ..., -3.3430898, -3.1263702, -3.158463 ], [-3.2311132, -3.2585313, -3.2814808, ..., -3.270879 , -3.2024276, -3.1692784], [-3.1785028, -3.1292045, -3.1187935, ..., -3.2310624, -3.1293814, -3.1478546]], dtype=float32) - r_2024_25_age_18_49_years_daily(chain, draw, days_2024_25)float32-3.226 -3.226 ... -3.148 -3.148
array([[[-3.2263775, -3.2263775, -3.2263775, ..., -3.2263775, -3.2263775, -3.2263775], [-3.257231 , -3.257231 , -3.257231 , ..., -3.257231 , -3.257231 , -3.257231 ], [-3.2460299, -3.2460299, -3.2460299, ..., -3.2460299, -3.2460299, -3.2460299], ..., [-3.4211807, -3.4211807, -3.4211807, ..., -3.4211807, -3.4211807, -3.4211807], [-3.3396626, -3.3396626, -3.3396626, ..., -3.3396626, -3.3396626, -3.3396626], [-3.3864334, -3.3864334, -3.3864334, ..., -3.3864334, -3.3864334, -3.3864334]], [[-3.356787 , -3.356787 , -3.356787 , ..., -3.356787 , -3.356787 , -3.356787 ], [-3.4164035, -3.4164035, -3.4164035, ..., -3.4164035, -3.4164035, -3.4164035], [-3.399478 , -3.399478 , -3.399478 , ..., -3.399478 , -3.399478 , -3.399478 ], ... [-3.270879 , -3.270879 , -3.270879 , ..., -3.270879 , -3.270879 , -3.270879 ], [-3.2024276, -3.2024276, -3.2024276, ..., -3.2024276, -3.2024276, -3.2024276], [-3.1692784, -3.1692784, -3.1692784, ..., -3.1692784, -3.1692784, -3.1692784]], [[-3.1785028, -3.1785028, -3.1785028, ..., -3.1785028, -3.1785028, -3.1785028], [-3.1292045, -3.1292045, -3.1292045, ..., -3.1292045, -3.1292045, -3.1292045], [-3.1187935, -3.1187935, -3.1187935, ..., -3.1187935, -3.1187935, -3.1187935], ..., [-3.2310624, -3.2310624, -3.2310624, ..., -3.2310624, -3.2310624, -3.2310624], [-3.1293814, -3.1293814, -3.1293814, ..., -3.1293814, -3.1293814, -3.1293814], [-3.1478546, -3.1478546, -3.1478546, ..., -3.1478546, -3.1478546, -3.1478546]]], dtype=float32) - r_2024_25_age_50_64_years(chain, draw)float32-3.125 -3.113 ... -3.069 -3.088
array([[-3.1247938, -3.1129808, -3.1061099, ..., -3.2920632, -3.2265482, -3.2740371], [-3.124038 , -3.2579205, -3.1386616, ..., -3.3096404, -3.1073248, -3.1418626], [-3.2310324, -3.2317965, -3.2417142, ..., -3.136122 , -3.2436635, -3.2508886], [-3.202565 , -3.2259312, -3.0626237, ..., -3.264837 , -3.0687833, -3.0876803]], dtype=float32) - r_2024_25_age_50_64_years_daily(chain, draw, days_2024_25)float32-3.125 -3.125 ... -3.088 -3.088
array([[[-3.1247938, -3.1247938, -3.1247938, ..., -3.1247938, -3.1247938, -3.1247938], [-3.1129808, -3.1129808, -3.1129808, ..., -3.1129808, -3.1129808, -3.1129808], [-3.1061099, -3.1061099, -3.1061099, ..., -3.1061099, -3.1061099, -3.1061099], ..., [-3.2920632, -3.2920632, -3.2920632, ..., -3.2920632, -3.2920632, -3.2920632], [-3.2265482, -3.2265482, -3.2265482, ..., -3.2265482, -3.2265482, -3.2265482], [-3.2740371, -3.2740371, -3.2740371, ..., -3.2740371, -3.2740371, -3.2740371]], [[-3.124038 , -3.124038 , -3.124038 , ..., -3.124038 , -3.124038 , -3.124038 ], [-3.2579205, -3.2579205, -3.2579205, ..., -3.2579205, -3.2579205, -3.2579205], [-3.1386616, -3.1386616, -3.1386616, ..., -3.1386616, -3.1386616, -3.1386616], ... [-3.136122 , -3.136122 , -3.136122 , ..., -3.136122 , -3.136122 , -3.136122 ], [-3.2436635, -3.2436635, -3.2436635, ..., -3.2436635, -3.2436635, -3.2436635], [-3.2508886, -3.2508886, -3.2508886, ..., -3.2508886, -3.2508886, -3.2508886]], [[-3.202565 , -3.202565 , -3.202565 , ..., -3.202565 , -3.202565 , -3.202565 ], [-3.2259312, -3.2259312, -3.2259312, ..., -3.2259312, -3.2259312, -3.2259312], [-3.0626237, -3.0626237, -3.0626237, ..., -3.0626237, -3.0626237, -3.0626237], ..., [-3.264837 , -3.264837 , -3.264837 , ..., -3.264837 , -3.264837 , -3.264837 ], [-3.0687833, -3.0687833, -3.0687833, ..., -3.0687833, -3.0687833, -3.0687833], [-3.0876803, -3.0876803, -3.0876803, ..., -3.0876803, -3.0876803, -3.0876803]]], dtype=float32) - r_2024_25_age_65__years(chain, draw)float32-2.945 -2.978 ... -2.909 -2.942
array([[-2.9446075, -2.9783802, -3.0595586, ..., -3.1016083, -3.0354185, -3.0111663], [-3.053764 , -3.0326097, -3.0335536, ..., -3.055543 , -2.9773529, -2.9612916], [-3.0718362, -3.010385 , -3.095532 , ..., -2.968356 , -3.0924945, -3.039955 ], [-3.0736647, -3.0315428, -2.940634 , ..., -2.9891572, -2.9089708, -2.9418983]], dtype=float32) - r_2024_25_age_65__years_daily(chain, draw, days_2024_25)float32-2.945 -2.945 ... -2.942 -2.942
array([[[-2.9446075, -2.9446075, -2.9446075, ..., -2.9446075, -2.9446075, -2.9446075], [-2.9783802, -2.9783802, -2.9783802, ..., -2.9783802, -2.9783802, -2.9783802], [-3.0595586, -3.0595586, -3.0595586, ..., -3.0595586, -3.0595586, -3.0595586], ..., [-3.1016083, -3.1016083, -3.1016083, ..., -3.1016083, -3.1016083, -3.1016083], [-3.0354185, -3.0354185, -3.0354185, ..., -3.0354185, -3.0354185, -3.0354185], [-3.0111663, -3.0111663, -3.0111663, ..., -3.0111663, -3.0111663, -3.0111663]], [[-3.053764 , -3.053764 , -3.053764 , ..., -3.053764 , -3.053764 , -3.053764 ], [-3.0326097, -3.0326097, -3.0326097, ..., -3.0326097, -3.0326097, -3.0326097], [-3.0335536, -3.0335536, -3.0335536, ..., -3.0335536, -3.0335536, -3.0335536], ... [-2.968356 , -2.968356 , -2.968356 , ..., -2.968356 , -2.968356 , -2.968356 ], [-3.0924945, -3.0924945, -3.0924945, ..., -3.0924945, -3.0924945, -3.0924945], [-3.039955 , -3.039955 , -3.039955 , ..., -3.039955 , -3.039955 , -3.039955 ]], [[-3.0736647, -3.0736647, -3.0736647, ..., -3.0736647, -3.0736647, -3.0736647], [-3.0315428, -3.0315428, -3.0315428, ..., -3.0315428, -3.0315428, -3.0315428], [-2.940634 , -2.940634 , -2.940634 , ..., -2.940634 , -2.940634 , -2.940634 ], ..., [-2.9891572, -2.9891572, -2.9891572, ..., -2.9891572, -2.9891572, -2.9891572], [-2.9089708, -2.9089708, -2.9089708, ..., -2.9089708, -2.9089708, -2.9089708], [-2.9418983, -2.9418983, -2.9418983, ..., -2.9418983, -2.9418983, -2.9418983]]], dtype=float32) - r_2025_26_age_18_49_years(chain, draw)float32-3.254 -3.308 ... -3.179 -3.182
array([[-3.2541728, -3.3076668, -3.204595 , ..., -3.5009103, -3.4632819, -3.3746648], [-3.486962 , -3.385911 , -3.3826609, ..., -3.143317 , -3.3063598, -3.1839457], [-3.1434963, -3.4372365, -3.406121 , ..., -3.1851113, -3.2175875, -3.0748281], [-3.2126472, -3.144879 , -3.1894877, ..., -3.384639 , -3.1793823, -3.1821923]], dtype=float32) - r_2025_26_age_18_49_years_daily(chain, draw, days_2025_26)float32-3.254 -3.254 ... -3.182 -3.182
array([[[-3.2541728, -3.2541728, -3.2541728, ..., -3.2541728, -3.2541728, -3.2541728], [-3.3076668, -3.3076668, -3.3076668, ..., -3.3076668, -3.3076668, -3.3076668], [-3.204595 , -3.204595 , -3.204595 , ..., -3.204595 , -3.204595 , -3.204595 ], ..., [-3.5009103, -3.5009103, -3.5009103, ..., -3.5009103, -3.5009103, -3.5009103], [-3.4632819, -3.4632819, -3.4632819, ..., -3.4632819, -3.4632819, -3.4632819], [-3.3746648, -3.3746648, -3.3746648, ..., -3.3746648, -3.3746648, -3.3746648]], [[-3.486962 , -3.486962 , -3.486962 , ..., -3.486962 , -3.486962 , -3.486962 ], [-3.385911 , -3.385911 , -3.385911 , ..., -3.385911 , -3.385911 , -3.385911 ], [-3.3826609, -3.3826609, -3.3826609, ..., -3.3826609, -3.3826609, -3.3826609], ... [-3.1851113, -3.1851113, -3.1851113, ..., -3.1851113, -3.1851113, -3.1851113], [-3.2175875, -3.2175875, -3.2175875, ..., -3.2175875, -3.2175875, -3.2175875], [-3.0748281, -3.0748281, -3.0748281, ..., -3.0748281, -3.0748281, -3.0748281]], [[-3.2126472, -3.2126472, -3.2126472, ..., -3.2126472, -3.2126472, -3.2126472], [-3.144879 , -3.144879 , -3.144879 , ..., -3.144879 , -3.144879 , -3.144879 ], [-3.1894877, -3.1894877, -3.1894877, ..., -3.1894877, -3.1894877, -3.1894877], ..., [-3.384639 , -3.384639 , -3.384639 , ..., -3.384639 , -3.384639 , -3.384639 ], [-3.1793823, -3.1793823, -3.1793823, ..., -3.1793823, -3.1793823, -3.1793823], [-3.1821923, -3.1821923, -3.1821923, ..., -3.1821923, -3.1821923, -3.1821923]]], dtype=float32) - r_2025_26_age_50_64_years(chain, draw)float32-3.138 -3.141 ... -3.117 -3.123
array([[-3.1384923, -3.1409006, -3.124822 , ..., -3.3803043, -3.3335354, -3.2554684], [-3.3759966, -3.3200305, -3.1722145, ..., -3.191309 , -3.3173337, -3.2077923], [-3.1943932, -3.2882288, -3.2898648, ..., -3.206141 , -3.1201503, -3.232229 ], [-3.1700127, -3.2254217, -3.1650202, ..., -3.3680236, -3.1168127, -3.1230028]], dtype=float32) - r_2025_26_age_50_64_years_daily(chain, draw, days_2025_26)float32-3.138 -3.138 ... -3.123 -3.123
array([[[-3.1384923, -3.1384923, -3.1384923, ..., -3.1384923, -3.1384923, -3.1384923], [-3.1409006, -3.1409006, -3.1409006, ..., -3.1409006, -3.1409006, -3.1409006], [-3.124822 , -3.124822 , -3.124822 , ..., -3.124822 , -3.124822 , -3.124822 ], ..., [-3.3803043, -3.3803043, -3.3803043, ..., -3.3803043, -3.3803043, -3.3803043], [-3.3335354, -3.3335354, -3.3335354, ..., -3.3335354, -3.3335354, -3.3335354], [-3.2554684, -3.2554684, -3.2554684, ..., -3.2554684, -3.2554684, -3.2554684]], [[-3.3759966, -3.3759966, -3.3759966, ..., -3.3759966, -3.3759966, -3.3759966], [-3.3200305, -3.3200305, -3.3200305, ..., -3.3200305, -3.3200305, -3.3200305], [-3.1722145, -3.1722145, -3.1722145, ..., -3.1722145, -3.1722145, -3.1722145], ... [-3.206141 , -3.206141 , -3.206141 , ..., -3.206141 , -3.206141 , -3.206141 ], [-3.1201503, -3.1201503, -3.1201503, ..., -3.1201503, -3.1201503, -3.1201503], [-3.232229 , -3.232229 , -3.232229 , ..., -3.232229 , -3.232229 , -3.232229 ]], [[-3.1700127, -3.1700127, -3.1700127, ..., -3.1700127, -3.1700127, -3.1700127], [-3.2254217, -3.2254217, -3.2254217, ..., -3.2254217, -3.2254217, -3.2254217], [-3.1650202, -3.1650202, -3.1650202, ..., -3.1650202, -3.1650202, -3.1650202], ..., [-3.3680236, -3.3680236, -3.3680236, ..., -3.3680236, -3.3680236, -3.3680236], [-3.1168127, -3.1168127, -3.1168127, ..., -3.1168127, -3.1168127, -3.1168127], [-3.1230028, -3.1230028, -3.1230028, ..., -3.1230028, -3.1230028, -3.1230028]]], dtype=float32) - r_2025_26_age_65__years(chain, draw)float32-3.127 -3.07 ... -3.008 -3.013
array([[-3.1274803, -3.0701065, -2.909163 , ..., -3.151562 , -3.115448 , -3.047273 ], [-3.2115283, -2.9695206, -3.1117415, ..., -3.044193 , -3.1347947, -3.041 ], [-3.1267595, -3.2909565, -3.1890836, ..., -3.0154295, -3.0222208, -2.9744291], [-3.139104 , -2.975229 , -3.053441 , ..., -3.147827 , -3.007568 , -3.0130272]], dtype=float32) - r_2025_26_age_65__years_daily(chain, draw, days_2025_26)float32-3.127 -3.127 ... -3.013 -3.013
array([[[-3.1274803, -3.1274803, -3.1274803, ..., -3.1274803, -3.1274803, -3.1274803], [-3.0701065, -3.0701065, -3.0701065, ..., -3.0701065, -3.0701065, -3.0701065], [-2.909163 , -2.909163 , -2.909163 , ..., -2.909163 , -2.909163 , -2.909163 ], ..., [-3.151562 , -3.151562 , -3.151562 , ..., -3.151562 , -3.151562 , -3.151562 ], [-3.115448 , -3.115448 , -3.115448 , ..., -3.115448 , -3.115448 , -3.115448 ], [-3.047273 , -3.047273 , -3.047273 , ..., -3.047273 , -3.047273 , -3.047273 ]], [[-3.2115283, -3.2115283, -3.2115283, ..., -3.2115283, -3.2115283, -3.2115283], [-2.9695206, -2.9695206, -2.9695206, ..., -2.9695206, -2.9695206, -2.9695206], [-3.1117415, -3.1117415, -3.1117415, ..., -3.1117415, -3.1117415, -3.1117415], ... [-3.0154295, -3.0154295, -3.0154295, ..., -3.0154295, -3.0154295, -3.0154295], [-3.0222208, -3.0222208, -3.0222208, ..., -3.0222208, -3.0222208, -3.0222208], [-2.9744291, -2.9744291, -2.9744291, ..., -2.9744291, -2.9744291, -2.9744291]], [[-3.139104 , -3.139104 , -3.139104 , ..., -3.139104 , -3.139104 , -3.139104 ], [-2.975229 , -2.975229 , -2.975229 , ..., -2.975229 , -2.975229 , -2.975229 ], [-3.053441 , -3.053441 , -3.053441 , ..., -3.053441 , -3.053441 , -3.053441 ], ..., [-3.147827 , -3.147827 , -3.147827 , ..., -3.147827 , -3.147827 , -3.147827 ], [-3.007568 , -3.007568 , -3.007568 , ..., -3.007568 , -3.007568 , -3.007568 ], [-3.0130272, -3.0130272, -3.0130272, ..., -3.0130272, -3.0130272, -3.0130272]]], dtype=float32) - r_age(chain, draw, season, age_categories_short)float320.115 0.2187 ... 0.05919 0.1692
array([[[[ 1.15020625e-01, 2.18734726e-01], [ 1.17779955e-01, 3.26980472e-01], [ 1.12170227e-01, 1.64751023e-01], [ 1.01583652e-01, 2.81769931e-01], [ 1.15680456e-01, 1.26692593e-01]], [[ 1.35048881e-01, 2.24267915e-01], [ 1.60289422e-01, 2.21956819e-01], [ 1.41495183e-01, 2.27110580e-01], [ 1.44250214e-01, 2.78850794e-01], [ 1.66766241e-01, 2.37560228e-01]], [[ 6.72965646e-02, 2.78527856e-01], [ 7.76554421e-02, 3.50435257e-01], [ 6.46635666e-02, 2.19646916e-01], [ 1.39919907e-01, 1.86471298e-01], [ 7.97731057e-02, 2.95432121e-01]], ..., ... ..., [[-1.04859293e-01, 1.92826211e-01], [ 9.08472463e-02, 2.40529016e-01], [ 7.06571573e-03, 3.04287821e-01], [-3.37746963e-02, 2.41905257e-01], [ 1.66153703e-02, 2.36812070e-01]], [[ 1.31980240e-01, 2.25628048e-01], [ 9.65188667e-02, 2.52592057e-01], [ 8.41005519e-02, 2.01705858e-01], [ 6.05982319e-02, 2.20410615e-01], [ 6.25696182e-02, 1.71814516e-01]], [[ 1.32938743e-01, 2.01858878e-01], [ 1.10183544e-01, 2.59173602e-01], [ 7.94042945e-02, 1.94530010e-01], [ 6.01743273e-02, 2.05956146e-01], [ 5.91896735e-02, 1.69165105e-01]]]], dtype=float32) - r_age_mu(chain, draw, age_categories_short)float320.112 0.2306 ... 0.1086 0.1798
array([[[ 0.11204042, 0.23057836], [ 0.1385688 , 0.25625426], [ 0.09945761, 0.31597835], ..., [ 0.13148737, 0.34612152], [ 0.12634774, 0.33957133], [ 0.11070599, 0.34065628]], [[ 0.18790412, 0.32113898], [ 0.12134105, 0.38543275], [ 0.16958034, 0.33990356], ..., [ 0.0262616 , 0.1941453 ], [ 0.06306022, 0.17688955], [ 0.02447061, 0.14921205]], [[ 0.00777052, 0.13357471], [ 0.16379558, 0.19976068], [ 0.08757928, 0.20735036], ..., [ 0.03994129, 0.24002056], [ 0.022045 , 0.19096218], [-0.02020276, 0.2239953 ]], [[ 0.04077891, 0.09282742], [-0.02163524, 0.12101124], [-0.07540005, 0.16218288], ..., [ 0.05213741, 0.21540922], [ 0.12132514, 0.17630878], [ 0.10859994, 0.17979386]]], dtype=float32) - r_age_sigma(chain, draw, age_categories_short)float320.01226 0.07134 ... 0.04812 0.07199
array([[[0.01226143, 0.07133729], [0.01799748, 0.05169352], [0.03219907, 0.07229748], ..., [0.01445437, 0.01948677], [0.01020428, 0.01347138], [0.01056692, 0.02195162]], [[0.03225631, 0.02182102], [0.06764016, 0.02378378], [0.08071753, 0.04488246], ..., [0.04559316, 0.07321609], [0.10714045, 0.0364456 ], [0.03987996, 0.06579111]], [[0.05849595, 0.13868676], [0.09037478, 0.09643613], [0.06510068, 0.06413449], ..., [0.05974668, 0.06242037], [0.09429544, 0.06006038], [0.17395756, 0.08727322]], [[0.1086657 , 0.06244519], [0.06022227, 0.10205341], [0.13561538, 0.09103727], ..., [0.12752195, 0.08926836], [0.06143201, 0.06427214], [0.04812079, 0.07199438]]], dtype=float32) - r_season(chain, draw, season)float32-3.166 -3.093 ... -3.148 -3.182
array([[[-3.1660154, -3.0934458, -3.1164834, -3.2263775, -3.2541728], [-3.154062 , -3.0618496, -3.2200449, -3.257231 , -3.3076668], [-3.028673 , -3.0599172, -3.0867252, -3.2460299, -3.204595 ], ..., [-3.2307434, -3.1359987, -3.2509205, -3.4211807, -3.5009103], [-3.1968222, -3.144258 , -3.2456672, -3.3396626, -3.4632819], [-3.193497 , -3.1911402, -3.2378936, -3.3864334, -3.3746648]], [[-3.1355376, -3.1435385, -3.1818032, -3.356787 , -3.486962 ], [-3.2335124, -3.1265361, -3.2767978, -3.4164035, -3.385911 ], [-3.2700043, -3.1009352, -3.202923 , -3.399478 , -3.3826609], ..., [-3.0750935, -3.0440962, -3.0605135, -3.3430898, -3.143317 ], [-3.0853484, -3.0578828, -3.1645586, -3.1263702, -3.3063598], [-3.0386035, -3.064735 , -3.0259862, -3.158463 , -3.1839457]], [[-3.112759 , -3.0602112, -3.1049187, -3.2311132, -3.1434963], [-2.986023 , -3.0963447, -3.1412141, -3.2585313, -3.4372365], [-3.07924 , -3.0711234, -3.1601353, -3.2814808, -3.406121 ], ..., [-3.1612844, -3.1128798, -3.1039765, -3.270879 , -3.1851113], [-3.0545495, -3.0632057, -3.0519032, -3.2024276, -3.2175875], [-3.1380117, -3.0949109, -3.109902 , -3.1692784, -3.0748281]], [[-3.118751 , -2.989205 , -2.9856985, -3.1785028, -3.2126472], [-2.960428 , -3.0187747, -3.1085987, -3.1292045, -3.144879 ], [-3.0790606, -2.9590774, -2.9245577, -3.1187935, -3.1894877], ..., [-3.0744758, -3.022514 , -3.0991557, -3.2310624, -3.384639 ], [-3.1115537, -3.016501 , -3.0481 , -3.1293814, -3.1793823], [-3.116073 , -3.019637 , -3.0618048, -3.1478546, -3.1821923]]], dtype=float32) - r_season_mu(chain, draw)float32-3.185 -3.149 ... -3.23 -3.223
array([[-3.1849358, -3.1485803, -3.1222377, ..., -3.3668678, -3.1376367, -3.285146 ], [-3.061396 , -3.0257401, -3.1336677, ..., -3.068956 , -3.1812036, -3.1115787], [-3.1040852, -3.168795 , -3.1568496, ..., -3.2643995, -3.1207693, -3.176164 ], [-3.2136273, -3.019414 , -3.11547 , ..., -3.2660635, -3.2296748, -3.2231116]], dtype=float32) - r_season_sigma(chain, draw)float320.08053 0.158 ... 0.2594 0.2772
array([[0.08052582, 0.15797931, 0.07636686, ..., 0.21481878, 0.16590178, 0.15158665], [0.2446537 , 0.37609768, 0.29620594, ..., 0.11153974, 0.20768143, 0.39662796], [0.08497418, 0.20808603, 0.13034624, ..., 0.17400803, 0.08571448, 0.08457842], [0.20435096, 0.0761302 , 0.17285103, ..., 0.14008139, 0.25938144, 0.27720407]], dtype=float32) - s_2021_22_age_18_49_years(chain, draw)float3290.58 90.48 90.3 ... 86.4 87.13
array([[90.5804 , 90.48313 , 90.29811 , ..., 86.65999 , 87.658714, 87.11589 ], [89.19126 , 91.043304, 91.064545, ..., 86.74735 , 85.74488 , 88.24116 ], [86.72818 , 87.31889 , 87.89506 , ..., 89.294975, 84.99156 , 86.01112 ], [85.72465 , 87.344925, 87.743996, ..., 85.87982 , 86.40367 , 87.12876 ]], dtype=float32) - s_2021_22_age_18_49_years_daily(chain, draw, days_2021_22)float3290.58 90.58 90.58 ... 87.13 87.13
array([[[90.5804 , 90.5804 , 90.5804 , ..., 90.5804 , 90.5804 , 90.5804 ], [90.48313 , 90.48313 , 90.48313 , ..., 90.48313 , 90.48313 , 90.48313 ], [90.29811 , 90.29811 , 90.29811 , ..., 90.29811 , 90.29811 , 90.29811 ], ..., [86.65999 , 86.65999 , 86.65999 , ..., 86.65999 , 86.65999 , 86.65999 ], [87.658714, 87.658714, 87.658714, ..., 87.658714, 87.658714, 87.658714], [87.11589 , 87.11589 , 87.11589 , ..., 87.11589 , 87.11589 , 87.11589 ]], [[89.19126 , 89.19126 , 89.19126 , ..., 89.19126 , 89.19126 , 89.19126 ], [91.043304, 91.043304, 91.043304, ..., 91.043304, 91.043304, 91.043304], [91.064545, 91.064545, 91.064545, ..., 91.064545, 91.064545, 91.064545], ... [89.294975, 89.294975, 89.294975, ..., 89.294975, 89.294975, 89.294975], [84.99156 , 84.99156 , 84.99156 , ..., 84.99156 , 84.99156 , 84.99156 ], [86.01112 , 86.01112 , 86.01112 , ..., 86.01112 , 86.01112 , 86.01112 ]], [[85.72465 , 85.72465 , 85.72465 , ..., 85.72465 , 85.72465 , 85.72465 ], [87.344925, 87.344925, 87.344925, ..., 87.344925, 87.344925, 87.344925], [87.743996, 87.743996, 87.743996, ..., 87.743996, 87.743996, 87.743996], ..., [85.87982 , 85.87982 , 85.87982 , ..., 85.87982 , 85.87982 , 85.87982 ], [86.40367 , 86.40367 , 86.40367 , ..., 86.40367 , 86.40367 , 86.40367 ], [87.12876 , 87.12876 , 87.12876 , ..., 87.12876 , 87.12876 , 87.12876 ]]], dtype=float32) - s_2021_22_age_50_64_years(chain, draw)float3286.6 90.1 88.6 ... 86.65 87.48
array([[86.5982 , 90.09743 , 88.596016, ..., 86.077194, 85.77063 , 84.31504 ], [86.944756, 88.2018 , 87.69427 , ..., 86.59155 , 85.52448 , 89.30275 ], [87.1322 , 86.49276 , 88.66595 , ..., 87.79672 , 87.6928 , 87.28625 ], [86.34987 , 87.48041 , 88.28764 , ..., 86.91778 , 86.65335 , 87.4845 ]], dtype=float32) - s_2021_22_age_50_64_years_daily(chain, draw, days_2021_22)float3286.6 86.6 86.6 ... 87.48 87.48
array([[[86.5982 , 86.5982 , 86.5982 , ..., 86.5982 , 86.5982 , 86.5982 ], [90.09743 , 90.09743 , 90.09743 , ..., 90.09743 , 90.09743 , 90.09743 ], [88.596016, 88.596016, 88.596016, ..., 88.596016, 88.596016, 88.596016], ..., [86.077194, 86.077194, 86.077194, ..., 86.077194, 86.077194, 86.077194], [85.77063 , 85.77063 , 85.77063 , ..., 85.77063 , 85.77063 , 85.77063 ], [84.31504 , 84.31504 , 84.31504 , ..., 84.31504 , 84.31504 , 84.31504 ]], [[86.944756, 86.944756, 86.944756, ..., 86.944756, 86.944756, 86.944756], [88.2018 , 88.2018 , 88.2018 , ..., 88.2018 , 88.2018 , 88.2018 ], [87.69427 , 87.69427 , 87.69427 , ..., 87.69427 , 87.69427 , 87.69427 ], ... [87.79672 , 87.79672 , 87.79672 , ..., 87.79672 , 87.79672 , 87.79672 ], [87.6928 , 87.6928 , 87.6928 , ..., 87.6928 , 87.6928 , 87.6928 ], [87.28625 , 87.28625 , 87.28625 , ..., 87.28625 , 87.28625 , 87.28625 ]], [[86.34987 , 86.34987 , 86.34987 , ..., 86.34987 , 86.34987 , 86.34987 ], [87.48041 , 87.48041 , 87.48041 , ..., 87.48041 , 87.48041 , 87.48041 ], [88.28764 , 88.28764 , 88.28764 , ..., 88.28764 , 88.28764 , 88.28764 ], ..., [86.91778 , 86.91778 , 86.91778 , ..., 86.91778 , 86.91778 , 86.91778 ], [86.65335 , 86.65335 , 86.65335 , ..., 86.65335 , 86.65335 , 86.65335 ], [87.4845 , 87.4845 , 87.4845 , ..., 87.4845 , 87.4845 , 87.4845 ]]], dtype=float32) - s_2021_22_age_65__years(chain, draw)float3279.96 79.29 80.86 ... 80.18 80.66
array([[79.95939 , 79.293015, 80.86093 , ..., 79.4392 , 81.065704, 80.99687 ], [80.8389 , 78.539154, 79.37253 , ..., 79.64503 , 80.5511 , 80.493225], [79.091446, 78.966125, 79.809875, ..., 80.56807 , 79.51052 , 79.14197 ], [78.18468 , 79.63846 , 79.89614 , ..., 80.32809 , 80.178635, 80.663605]], dtype=float32) - s_2021_22_age_65__years_daily(chain, draw, days_2021_22)float3279.96 79.96 79.96 ... 80.66 80.66
array([[[79.95939 , 79.95939 , 79.95939 , ..., 79.95939 , 79.95939 , 79.95939 ], [79.293015, 79.293015, 79.293015, ..., 79.293015, 79.293015, 79.293015], [80.86093 , 80.86093 , 80.86093 , ..., 80.86093 , 80.86093 , 80.86093 ], ..., [79.4392 , 79.4392 , 79.4392 , ..., 79.4392 , 79.4392 , 79.4392 ], [81.065704, 81.065704, 81.065704, ..., 81.065704, 81.065704, 81.065704], [80.99687 , 80.99687 , 80.99687 , ..., 80.99687 , 80.99687 , 80.99687 ]], [[80.8389 , 80.8389 , 80.8389 , ..., 80.8389 , 80.8389 , 80.8389 ], [78.539154, 78.539154, 78.539154, ..., 78.539154, 78.539154, 78.539154], [79.37253 , 79.37253 , 79.37253 , ..., 79.37253 , 79.37253 , 79.37253 ], ... [80.56807 , 80.56807 , 80.56807 , ..., 80.56807 , 80.56807 , 80.56807 ], [79.51052 , 79.51052 , 79.51052 , ..., 79.51052 , 79.51052 , 79.51052 ], [79.14197 , 79.14197 , 79.14197 , ..., 79.14197 , 79.14197 , 79.14197 ]], [[78.18468 , 78.18468 , 78.18468 , ..., 78.18468 , 78.18468 , 78.18468 ], [79.63846 , 79.63846 , 79.63846 , ..., 79.63846 , 79.63846 , 79.63846 ], [79.89614 , 79.89614 , 79.89614 , ..., 79.89614 , 79.89614 , 79.89614 ], ..., [80.32809 , 80.32809 , 80.32809 , ..., 80.32809 , 80.32809 , 80.32809 ], [80.178635, 80.178635, 80.178635, ..., 80.178635, 80.178635, 80.178635], [80.663605, 80.663605, 80.663605, ..., 80.663605, 80.663605, 80.663605]]], dtype=float32) - s_2022_23_age_18_49_years(chain, draw)float3286.7 87.55 87.03 ... 86.18 86.18
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array([[[65.66774 , 65.66774 , 65.66774 , ..., 65.66774 , 65.66774 , 65.66774 ], [64.772804, 64.772804, 64.772804, ..., 64.772804, 64.772804, 64.772804], [66.479866, 66.479866, 66.479866, ..., 66.479866, 66.479866, 66.479866], ..., [65.41267 , 65.41267 , 65.41267 , ..., 65.41267 , 65.41267 , 65.41267 ], [66.36619 , 66.36619 , 66.36619 , ..., 66.36619 , 66.36619 , 66.36619 ], [67.44895 , 67.44895 , 67.44895 , ..., 67.44895 , 67.44895 , 67.44895 ]], [[67.981544, 67.981544, 67.981544, ..., 67.981544, 67.981544, 67.981544], [64.55309 , 64.55309 , 64.55309 , ..., 64.55309 , 64.55309 , 64.55309 ], [68.13601 , 68.13601 , 68.13601 , ..., 68.13601 , 68.13601 , 68.13601 ], ... [66.2283 , 66.2283 , 66.2283 , ..., 66.2283 , 66.2283 , 66.2283 ], [65.62097 , 65.62097 , 65.62097 , ..., 65.62097 , 65.62097 , 65.62097 ], [66.2043 , 66.2043 , 66.2043 , ..., 66.2043 , 66.2043 , 66.2043 ]], [[67.28498 , 67.28498 , 67.28498 , ..., 67.28498 , 67.28498 , 67.28498 ], [68.94271 , 68.94271 , 68.94271 , ..., 68.94271 , 68.94271 , 68.94271 ], [67.02546 , 67.02546 , 67.02546 , ..., 67.02546 , 67.02546 , 67.02546 ], ..., [68.57681 , 68.57681 , 68.57681 , ..., 68.57681 , 68.57681 , 68.57681 ], [62.528717, 62.528717, 62.528717, ..., 62.528717, 62.528717, 62.528717], [62.296703, 62.296703, 62.296703, ..., 62.296703, 62.296703, 62.296703]]], dtype=float32) - s_2024_25_age_18_49_years(chain, draw)float3278.09 79.04 72.65 ... 71.37 71.28
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array([[[73.449615, 73.449615, 73.449615, ..., 73.449615, 73.449615, 73.449615], [69.56692 , 69.56692 , 69.56692 , ..., 69.56692 , 69.56692 , 69.56692 ], [74.40213 , 74.40213 , 74.40213 , ..., 74.40213 , 74.40213 , 74.40213 ], ..., [71.300766, 71.300766, 71.300766, ..., 71.300766, 71.300766, 71.300766], [71.89092 , 71.89092 , 71.89092 , ..., 71.89092 , 71.89092 , 71.89092 ], [71.32946 , 71.32946 , 71.32946 , ..., 71.32946 , 71.32946 , 71.32946 ]], [[74.84008 , 74.84008 , 74.84008 , ..., 74.84008 , 74.84008 , 74.84008 ], [69.96711 , 69.96711 , 69.96711 , ..., 69.96711 , 69.96711 , 69.96711 ], [72.08474 , 72.08474 , 72.08474 , ..., 72.08474 , 72.08474 , 72.08474 ], ... [70.91113 , 70.91113 , 70.91113 , ..., 70.91113 , 70.91113 , 70.91113 ], [75.20283 , 75.20283 , 75.20283 , ..., 75.20283 , 75.20283 , 75.20283 ], [74.29431 , 74.29431 , 74.29431 , ..., 74.29431 , 74.29431 , 74.29431 ]], [[70.07651 , 70.07651 , 70.07651 , ..., 70.07651 , 70.07651 , 70.07651 ], [76.34592 , 76.34592 , 76.34592 , ..., 76.34592 , 76.34592 , 76.34592 ], [68.01172 , 68.01172 , 68.01172 , ..., 68.01172 , 68.01172 , 68.01172 ], ..., [73.71982 , 73.71982 , 73.71982 , ..., 73.71982 , 73.71982 , 73.71982 ], [72.45275 , 72.45275 , 72.45275 , ..., 72.45275 , 72.45275 , 72.45275 ], [71.98161 , 71.98161 , 71.98161 , ..., 71.98161 , 71.98161 , 71.98161 ]]], dtype=float32) - s_2024_25_age_65__years(chain, draw)float3265.08 67.03 66.86 ... 65.14 64.89
array([[65.07732 , 67.02589 , 66.862564, ..., 66.28111 , 66.77615 , 66.78093 ], [68.56223 , 62.72723 , 66.418236, ..., 67.15703 , 65.96284 , 63.563713], [66.976295, 65.71431 , 64.9103 , ..., 68.55871 , 68.41038 , 68.90082 ], [66.161064, 66.43199 , 67.18344 , ..., 65.94227 , 65.14129 , 64.89333 ]], dtype=float32) - s_2024_25_age_65__years_daily(chain, draw, days_2024_25)float3265.08 65.08 65.08 ... 64.89 64.89
array([[[65.07732 , 65.07732 , 65.07732 , ..., 65.07732 , 65.07732 , 65.07732 ], [67.02589 , 67.02589 , 67.02589 , ..., 67.02589 , 67.02589 , 67.02589 ], [66.862564, 66.862564, 66.862564, ..., 66.862564, 66.862564, 66.862564], ..., [66.28111 , 66.28111 , 66.28111 , ..., 66.28111 , 66.28111 , 66.28111 ], [66.77615 , 66.77615 , 66.77615 , ..., 66.77615 , 66.77615 , 66.77615 ], [66.78093 , 66.78093 , 66.78093 , ..., 66.78093 , 66.78093 , 66.78093 ]], [[68.56223 , 68.56223 , 68.56223 , ..., 68.56223 , 68.56223 , 68.56223 ], [62.72723 , 62.72723 , 62.72723 , ..., 62.72723 , 62.72723 , 62.72723 ], [66.418236, 66.418236, 66.418236, ..., 66.418236, 66.418236, 66.418236], ... [68.55871 , 68.55871 , 68.55871 , ..., 68.55871 , 68.55871 , 68.55871 ], [68.41038 , 68.41038 , 68.41038 , ..., 68.41038 , 68.41038 , 68.41038 ], [68.90082 , 68.90082 , 68.90082 , ..., 68.90082 , 68.90082 , 68.90082 ]], [[66.161064, 66.161064, 66.161064, ..., 66.161064, 66.161064, 66.161064], [66.43199 , 66.43199 , 66.43199 , ..., 66.43199 , 66.43199 , 66.43199 ], [67.18344 , 67.18344 , 67.18344 , ..., 67.18344 , 67.18344 , 67.18344 ], ..., [65.94227 , 65.94227 , 65.94227 , ..., 65.94227 , 65.94227 , 65.94227 ], [65.14129 , 65.14129 , 65.14129 , ..., 65.14129 , 65.14129 , 65.14129 ], [64.89333 , 64.89333 , 64.89333 , ..., 64.89333 , 64.89333 , 64.89333 ]]], dtype=float32) - s_2025_26_age_18_49_years(chain, draw)float3273.12 72.97 73.64 ... 72.33 72.01
array([[73.12312 , 72.9714 , 73.64458 , ..., 73.834595, 72.53985 , 73.89719 ], [68.74504 , 79.37195 , 76.278275, ..., 71.41377 , 70.440895, 66.46325 ], [70.82625 , 70.621506, 72.42921 , ..., 67.28103 , 71.87437 , 67.64128 ], [72.523994, 70.029076, 70.145096, ..., 71.19988 , 72.329475, 72.00702 ]], dtype=float32) - s_2025_26_age_18_49_years_daily(chain, draw, days_2025_26)float3273.12 73.12 73.12 ... 72.01 72.01
array([[[73.12312 , 73.12312 , 73.12312 , ..., 73.12312 , 73.12312 , 73.12312 ], [72.9714 , 72.9714 , 72.9714 , ..., 72.9714 , 72.9714 , 72.9714 ], [73.64458 , 73.64458 , 73.64458 , ..., 73.64458 , 73.64458 , 73.64458 ], ..., [73.834595, 73.834595, 73.834595, ..., 73.834595, 73.834595, 73.834595], [72.53985 , 72.53985 , 72.53985 , ..., 72.53985 , 72.53985 , 72.53985 ], [73.89719 , 73.89719 , 73.89719 , ..., 73.89719 , 73.89719 , 73.89719 ]], [[68.74504 , 68.74504 , 68.74504 , ..., 68.74504 , 68.74504 , 68.74504 ], [79.37195 , 79.37195 , 79.37195 , ..., 79.37195 , 79.37195 , 79.37195 ], [76.278275, 76.278275, 76.278275, ..., 76.278275, 76.278275, 76.278275], ... [67.28103 , 67.28103 , 67.28103 , ..., 67.28103 , 67.28103 , 67.28103 ], [71.87437 , 71.87437 , 71.87437 , ..., 71.87437 , 71.87437 , 71.87437 ], [67.64128 , 67.64128 , 67.64128 , ..., 67.64128 , 67.64128 , 67.64128 ]], [[72.523994, 72.523994, 72.523994, ..., 72.523994, 72.523994, 72.523994], [70.029076, 70.029076, 70.029076, ..., 70.029076, 70.029076, 70.029076], [70.145096, 70.145096, 70.145096, ..., 70.145096, 70.145096, 70.145096], ..., [71.19988 , 71.19988 , 71.19988 , ..., 71.19988 , 71.19988 , 71.19988 ], [72.329475, 72.329475, 72.329475, ..., 72.329475, 72.329475, 72.329475], [72.00702 , 72.00702 , 72.00702 , ..., 72.00702 , 72.00702 , 72.00702 ]]], dtype=float32) - s_2025_26_age_50_64_years(chain, draw)float3266.79 69.5 68.79 ... 72.61 72.63
array([[66.7943 , 69.49942 , 68.79017 , ..., 69.31884 , 72.09219 , 74.63412 ], [65.190384, 77.82391 , 73.9927 , ..., 71.51956 , 70.627846, 67.51378 ], [69.3201 , 67.69147 , 70.21419 , ..., 66.2592 , 74.48769 , 69.23658 ], [72.227 , 66.5224 , 70.91024 , ..., 73.0052 , 72.612885, 72.63248 ]], dtype=float32) - s_2025_26_age_50_64_years_daily(chain, draw, days_2025_26)float3266.79 66.79 66.79 ... 72.63 72.63
array([[[66.7943 , 66.7943 , 66.7943 , ..., 66.7943 , 66.7943 , 66.7943 ], [69.49942 , 69.49942 , 69.49942 , ..., 69.49942 , 69.49942 , 69.49942 ], [68.79017 , 68.79017 , 68.79017 , ..., 68.79017 , 68.79017 , 68.79017 ], ..., [69.31884 , 69.31884 , 69.31884 , ..., 69.31884 , 69.31884 , 69.31884 ], [72.09219 , 72.09219 , 72.09219 , ..., 72.09219 , 72.09219 , 72.09219 ], [74.63412 , 74.63412 , 74.63412 , ..., 74.63412 , 74.63412 , 74.63412 ]], [[65.190384, 65.190384, 65.190384, ..., 65.190384, 65.190384, 65.190384], [77.82391 , 77.82391 , 77.82391 , ..., 77.82391 , 77.82391 , 77.82391 ], [73.9927 , 73.9927 , 73.9927 , ..., 73.9927 , 73.9927 , 73.9927 ], ... [66.2592 , 66.2592 , 66.2592 , ..., 66.2592 , 66.2592 , 66.2592 ], [74.48769 , 74.48769 , 74.48769 , ..., 74.48769 , 74.48769 , 74.48769 ], [69.23658 , 69.23658 , 69.23658 , ..., 69.23658 , 69.23658 , 69.23658 ]], [[72.227 , 72.227 , 72.227 , ..., 72.227 , 72.227 , 72.227 ], [66.5224 , 66.5224 , 66.5224 , ..., 66.5224 , 66.5224 , 66.5224 ], [70.91024 , 70.91024 , 70.91024 , ..., 70.91024 , 70.91024 , 70.91024 ], ..., [73.0052 , 73.0052 , 73.0052 , ..., 73.0052 , 73.0052 , 73.0052 ], [72.612885, 72.612885, 72.612885, ..., 72.612885, 72.612885, 72.612885], [72.63248 , 72.63248 , 72.63248 , ..., 72.63248 , 72.63248 , 72.63248 ]]], dtype=float32) - s_2025_26_age_65__years(chain, draw)float3266.46 64.55 65.99 ... 64.93 65.35
array([[66.46152 , 64.55406 , 65.990036, ..., 67.03372 , 65.38154 , 67.22188 ], [59.082924, 67.75555 , 63.690445, ..., 69.72624 , 62.793938, 64.19895 ], [62.573463, 62.73725 , 65.00427 , ..., 66.994156, 65.566826, 65.768814], [64.4521 , 67.55874 , 67.522064, ..., 65.4634 , 64.933586, 65.34669 ]], dtype=float32) - s_2025_26_age_65__years_daily(chain, draw, days_2025_26)float3266.46 66.46 66.46 ... 65.35 65.35
array([[[66.46152 , 66.46152 , 66.46152 , ..., 66.46152 , 66.46152 , 66.46152 ], [64.55406 , 64.55406 , 64.55406 , ..., 64.55406 , 64.55406 , 64.55406 ], [65.990036, 65.990036, 65.990036, ..., 65.990036, 65.990036, 65.990036], ..., [67.03372 , 67.03372 , 67.03372 , ..., 67.03372 , 67.03372 , 67.03372 ], [65.38154 , 65.38154 , 65.38154 , ..., 65.38154 , 65.38154 , 65.38154 ], [67.22188 , 67.22188 , 67.22188 , ..., 67.22188 , 67.22188 , 67.22188 ]], [[59.082924, 59.082924, 59.082924, ..., 59.082924, 59.082924, 59.082924], [67.75555 , 67.75555 , 67.75555 , ..., 67.75555 , 67.75555 , 67.75555 ], [63.690445, 63.690445, 63.690445, ..., 63.690445, 63.690445, 63.690445], ... [66.994156, 66.994156, 66.994156, ..., 66.994156, 66.994156, 66.994156], [65.566826, 65.566826, 65.566826, ..., 65.566826, 65.566826, 65.566826], [65.768814, 65.768814, 65.768814, ..., 65.768814, 65.768814, 65.768814]], [[64.4521 , 64.4521 , 64.4521 , ..., 64.4521 , 64.4521 , 64.4521 ], [67.55874 , 67.55874 , 67.55874 , ..., 67.55874 , 67.55874 , 67.55874 ], [67.522064, 67.522064, 67.522064, ..., 67.522064, 67.522064, 67.522064], ..., [65.4634 , 65.4634 , 65.4634 , ..., 65.4634 , 65.4634 , 65.4634 ], [64.933586, 64.933586, 64.933586, ..., 64.933586, 64.933586, 64.933586], [65.34669 , 65.34669 , 65.34669 , ..., 65.34669 , 65.34669 , 65.34669 ]]], dtype=float32) - s_age(chain, draw, season, age_categories_short)float32-3.982 -10.62 ... 0.6255 -6.66
array([[[[-3.9821978e+00, -1.0621008e+01], [ 8.0238038e-01, -7.1115084e+00], [-5.1290302e+00, -7.5913658e+00], [-4.6370034e+00, -1.3009297e+01], [-6.3288236e+00, -6.6616082e+00]], [[-3.8570118e-01, -1.1190118e+01], [-1.7520187e+00, -8.6411753e+00], [-3.0024308e-01, -9.3932343e+00], [-9.4722586e+00, -1.2013289e+01], [-3.4719748e+00, -8.4173365e+00]], [[-1.7020932e+00, -9.4371777e+00], [-1.1037022e+00, -7.2270827e+00], [-7.5619137e-01, -7.7485676e+00], [ 1.7504157e+00, -5.7891512e+00], [-4.8544059e+00, -7.6545401e+00]], ..., ... ..., [[ 1.0379530e+00, -5.5517383e+00], [ 1.2636968e+00, -5.9622393e+00], [ 5.4409236e-01, -6.2379122e+00], [ 1.5600443e+00, -6.2175040e+00], [ 1.8053200e+00, -5.7364826e+00]], [[ 2.4967803e-01, -6.2250328e+00], [ 2.0655107e+00, -6.9985123e+00], [ 1.4297918e+00, -6.7719660e+00], [ 1.0808555e+00, -6.2306089e+00], [ 2.8340885e-01, -7.3958859e+00]], [[ 3.5573727e-01, -6.4651570e+00], [ 1.9864677e+00, -6.8418927e+00], [ 1.3482924e+00, -6.8154101e+00], [ 6.9950885e-01, -6.3887691e+00], [ 6.2545961e-01, -6.6603317e+00]]]], dtype=float32) - s_age_mu(chain, draw, age_categories_short)float32-1.172 -8.299 ... 0.8454 -6.939
array([[[-1.1716968 , -8.299088 ], [-2.5077314 , -8.66871 ], [-1.2539765 , -7.9063177 ], ..., [-1.4500061 , -6.7559204 ], [-2.4405248 , -7.3465514 ], [-1.8348368 , -6.645161 ]], [[-1.908539 , -4.515251 ], [-1.5975968 , -5.0110416 ], [-1.7729186 , -5.963417 ], ..., [ 0.01115335, -6.743526 ], [-0.70060456, -1.4597925 ], [ 1.0212121 , -5.328388 ]], [[ 0.8800209 , -6.8065343 ], [-4.361953 , -7.163718 ], [-2.7676713 , -7.870305 ], ..., [-1.7999996 , -6.148946 ], [ 3.205392 , -5.4347076 ], [ 1.1827378 , -5.680516 ]], [[ 1.81468 , -7.972502 ], [-0.9655621 , -5.342609 ], [ 2.9052227 , -5.2664332 ], ..., [ 1.6961807 , -5.9855623 ], [ 0.85028416, -6.737808 ], [ 0.8453927 , -6.9390926 ]]], dtype=float32) - s_age_sigma(chain, draw, age_categories_short)float324.974 2.301 4.579 ... 1.177 0.5716
array([[[4.974145 , 2.301226 ], [4.5792775 , 2.9857278 ], [3.8724174 , 2.1395 ], ..., [2.070257 , 0.6254896 ], [3.127623 , 0.7178421 ], [3.5829551 , 0.48381895]], [[3.077347 , 4.286443 ], [1.4120226 , 4.8494062 ], [1.7876959 , 6.7849827 ], ..., [1.0091013 , 1.4595886 ], [2.7200358 , 4.543414 ], [3.5514212 , 2.8899763 ]], [[1.7130016 , 1.093005 ], [4.6590104 , 0.85695696], [4.9592505 , 0.89440066], ..., [1.6893276 , 3.8029058 ], [0.500349 , 2.4623508 ], [0.30469114, 2.026096 ]], [[2.2155998 , 2.7822938 ], [2.5020156 , 2.859693 ], [3.710383 , 2.0332432 ], ..., [0.6251525 , 0.35534734], [1.3837274 , 0.62908125], [1.1768022 , 0.57156146]]], dtype=float32) - s_season(chain, draw, season)float3290.58 86.7 73.26 ... 71.28 72.01
array([[[90.5804 , 86.69961 , 73.2591 , 78.08662 , 73.12312 ], [90.48313 , 87.55288 , 74.16604 , 79.03918 , 72.9714 ], [90.29811 , 87.03023 , 74.22843 , 72.65172 , 73.64458 ], ..., [86.65999 , 86.312256, 70.89484 , 72.76214 , 73.834595], [87.658714, 86.5959 , 74.29915 , 73.879105, 72.53985 ], [87.11589 , 86.404945, 73.737755, 74.36872 , 73.89719 ]], [[89.19126 , 86.318016, 71.97224 , 75.74946 , 68.74504 ], [91.043304, 86.42193 , 70.01615 , 71.6643 , 79.37195 ], [91.064545, 85.63714 , 73.79845 , 73.64526 , 76.278275], ..., [86.74735 , 86.68108 , 71.10288 , 73.872696, 71.41377 ], [85.74488 , 86.035484, 71.97555 , 67.61248 , 70.440895], [88.24116 , 83.87757 , 69.38999 , 72.401085, 66.46325 ]], [[86.72818 , 87.30662 , 72.258804, 74.319565, 70.82625 ], [87.31889 , 85.46278 , 74.01957 , 74.01964 , 70.621506], [87.89506 , 85.57038 , 73.85365 , 72.595406, 72.42921 ], ..., [89.294975, 87.29841 , 70.868416, 71.73501 , 67.28103 ], [84.99156 , 84.157425, 68.919914, 71.736 , 71.87437 ], [86.01112 , 85.68023 , 72.025955, 73.69533 , 67.64128 ]], [[85.72465 , 85.57606 , 73.73195 , 73.5954 , 72.523994], [87.344925, 84.43095 , 72.21935 , 74.88951 , 70.029076], [87.743996, 82.45362 , 71.87271 , 71.2962 , 70.145096], ..., [85.87982 , 85.8935 , 74.81473 , 72.159775, 71.19988 ], [86.40367 , 86.175224, 69.30068 , 71.371895, 72.329475], [87.12876 , 86.176865, 69.112114, 71.282104, 72.00702 ]]], dtype=float32) - s_season_mu(chain, draw)float3272.5 79.48 78.9 ... 77.55 77.59
array([[72.49675 , 79.47788 , 78.90074 , ..., 76.63441 , 77.80465 , 80.55627 ], [68.40163 , 78.13235 , 78.43929 , ..., 78.87074 , 74.06128 , 70.970665], [81.909645, 74.670296, 72.45082 , ..., 71.899796, 75.409096, 72.34099 ], [70.04748 , 78.35332 , 73.50958 , ..., 73.602585, 77.554 , 77.59286 ]], dtype=float32) - s_season_sigma(chain, draw)float329.599 10.87 7.946 ... 7.558 6.679
array([[ 9.598778 , 10.869226 , 7.945711 , ..., 5.0394974, 5.7869854, 6.192798 ], [12.778433 , 7.704722 , 11.123519 , ..., 8.166702 , 7.389183 , 12.611792 ], [11.261583 , 20.893677 , 15.897065 , ..., 15.572218 , 6.0629625, 9.786909 ], [ 8.882356 , 8.850826 , 6.7372217, ..., 8.698458 , 7.5575476, 6.6786046]], dtype=float32)
- created_at :
- 2026-03-31T21:20:16.609886+00:00
- arviz_version :
- 0.23.4
- inference_library :
- numpyro
- inference_library_version :
- 0.20.1
<xarray.Dataset> Size: 94MB Dimensions: (chain: 4, draw: 500, season: 5, age_categories: 3, date_ranges_2021_22: 7, date_ranges_2022_23: 7, date_ranges_2023_24: 28, date_ranges_2024_25: 33, date_ranges_2025_26: 20, days_2021_22: 243, days_2022_23: 243, days_2023_24: 244, days_2024_25: 243, days_2025_26: 243, age_categories_short: 2, observation: 285) Coordinates: (12/16) * chain (chain) int64 32B 0 1 2 3 * draw (draw) int64 4kB 0 1 2 3 ... 497 498 499 * season (season) <U7 140B '2021/22' ... '2025/26' * age_categories (age_categories) <U11 132B '18-49 year... * date_ranges_2021_22 (date_ranges_2021_22) <U21 588B '2021-... * date_ranges_2022_23 (date_ranges_2022_23) <U21 588B '2023-... ... ... * days_2022_23 (days_2022_23) <U10 10kB '2022-08-01' ... * days_2023_24 (days_2023_24) <U10 10kB '2023-08-01' ... * days_2024_25 (days_2024_25) <U10 10kB '2024-08-01' ... * days_2025_26 (days_2025_26) <U10 10kB '2025-08-01' ... * age_categories_short (age_categories_short) <U11 88B '50-64... * observation (observation) <U45 51kB '2021/22|2021-... Data variables: (12/131) covariate_values_m_age (chain, draw, season, age_categories) float32 120kB ... covariate_values_m_season (chain, draw, season) float32 40kB -0.... covariate_values_r_age (chain, draw, season, age_categories) float32 120kB ... covariate_values_r_season (chain, draw, season) float32 40kB -3.... covariate_values_s_age (chain, draw, season, age_categories) float32 120kB ... covariate_values_s_season (chain, draw, season) float32 40kB 90.... ... ... s_age (chain, draw, season, age_categories_short) float32 80kB ... s_age_mu (chain, draw, age_categories_short) float32 16kB ... s_age_sigma (chain, draw, age_categories_short) float32 16kB ... s_season (chain, draw, season) float32 40kB 90.... s_season_mu (chain, draw) float32 8kB 72.5 ... 77.59 s_season_sigma (chain, draw) float32 8kB 9.599 ... 6.679 Attributes: created_at: 2026-03-31T21:20:16.609886+00:00 arviz_version: 0.23.4 inference_library: numpyro inference_library_version: 0.20.1xarray.Dataset -
- chain: 4
- draw: 500
- season: 5
- age_categories: 3
- date_ranges_2021_22: 7
- date_ranges_2022_23: 7
- date_ranges_2023_24: 28
- date_ranges_2024_25: 33
- date_ranges_2025_26: 20
- days_2021_22: 243
- days_2022_23: 243
- days_2023_24: 244
- days_2024_25: 243
- days_2025_26: 243
- observation: 285
- chain(chain)int640 1 2 3
array([0, 1, 2, 3])
- draw(draw)int640 1 2 3 4 5 ... 495 496 497 498 499
array([ 0, 1, 2, ..., 497, 498, 499])
- season(season)<U7'2021/22' '2022/23' ... '2025/26'
array(['2021/22', '2022/23', '2023/24', '2024/25', '2025/26'], dtype='<U7')
- age_categories(age_categories)<U11'18-49 years' ... '65+ years'
array(['18-49 years', '50-64 years', '65+ years'], dtype='<U11')
- date_ranges_2021_22(date_ranges_2021_22)<U21'2021-11-27_2021-12-31' ... '202...
array(['2021-11-27_2021-12-31', '2022-03-26_2022-04-30', '2021-10-30_2021-11-27', '2022-02-26_2022-03-26', '2021-08-01_2021-10-30', '2021-12-31_2022-01-29', '2022-01-29_2022-02-26'], dtype='<U21') - date_ranges_2022_23(date_ranges_2022_23)<U21'2023-03-25_2023-04-29' ... '202...
array(['2023-03-25_2023-04-29', '2022-10-29_2022-11-26', '2023-01-28_2023-02-25', '2022-08-01_2022-10-29', '2022-11-26_2022-12-31', '2023-02-25_2023-03-25', '2022-12-31_2023-01-28'], dtype='<U21') - date_ranges_2023_24(date_ranges_2023_24)<U21'2024-01-06_2024-01-13' ... '202...
array(['2024-01-06_2024-01-13', '2023-12-30_2024-01-06', '2024-03-09_2024-03-16', '2024-02-03_2024-02-10', '2023-11-18_2023-11-25', '2023-10-21_2023-10-28', '2023-11-04_2023-11-11', '2023-09-30_2023-10-07', '2023-12-09_2023-12-16', '2024-03-02_2024-03-09', '2024-03-23_2024-03-31', '2023-10-14_2023-10-21', '2024-03-16_2024-03-23', '2024-02-17_2024-02-24', '2023-12-02_2023-12-09', '2023-10-28_2023-11-04', '2023-11-25_2023-12-02', '2024-02-10_2024-02-17', '2023-12-23_2023-12-30', '2024-01-27_2024-02-03', '2023-08-01_2023-09-30', '2024-02-24_2024-03-02', '2023-12-16_2023-12-23', '2024-03-31_2024-04-06', '2024-01-20_2024-01-27', '2023-11-11_2023-11-18', '2024-01-13_2024-01-20', '2023-10-07_2023-10-14'], dtype='<U21') - date_ranges_2024_25(date_ranges_2024_25)<U21'2025-03-01_2025-03-08' ... '202...
array(['2025-03-01_2025-03-08', '2024-09-21_2024-09-28', '2024-09-14_2024-09-21', '2025-03-15_2025-03-22', '2024-10-12_2024-10-19', '2024-11-23_2024-11-30', '2025-03-08_2025-03-15', '2024-12-28_2025-01-04', '2024-11-09_2024-11-16', '2025-01-04_2025-01-11', '2025-01-18_2025-01-25', '2024-12-14_2024-12-21', '2024-11-02_2024-11-09', '2024-12-21_2024-12-28', '2025-01-11_2025-01-18', '2024-11-16_2024-11-23', '2024-09-07_2024-09-14', '2024-12-07_2024-12-14', '2025-03-22_2025-03-29', '2025-02-22_2025-03-01', '2024-08-31_2024-09-07', '2024-11-30_2024-12-07', '2024-09-28_2024-10-05', '2024-08-24_2024-08-31', '2024-10-05_2024-10-12', '2024-10-19_2024-10-26', '2024-08-01_2024-08-24', '2025-02-15_2025-02-22', '2025-03-29_2025-04-05', '2024-10-26_2024-11-02', '2025-01-25_2025-02-01', '2025-02-08_2025-02-15', '2025-02-01_2025-02-08'], dtype='<U21') - date_ranges_2025_26(date_ranges_2025_26)<U21'2025-12-13_2025-12-20' ... '202...
array(['2025-12-13_2025-12-20', '2025-10-25_2025-11-01', '2025-12-27_2026-01-03', '2025-11-15_2025-11-22', '2026-01-10_2026-01-17', '2025-11-01_2025-11-08', '2025-12-06_2025-12-13', '2025-12-20_2025-12-27', '2025-10-11_2025-10-18', '2026-01-17_2026-01-24', '2026-01-24_2026-01-31', '2026-02-07_2026-02-14', '2025-11-29_2025-12-06', '2026-01-31_2026-02-07', '2026-01-03_2026-01-10', '2025-08-01_2025-10-11', '2025-11-08_2025-11-15', '2025-11-22_2025-11-29', '2026-02-14_2026-02-21', '2025-10-18_2025-10-25'], dtype='<U21') - days_2021_22(days_2021_22)<U10'2021-08-01' ... '2022-03-31'
array(['2021-08-01', '2021-08-02', '2021-08-03', ..., '2022-03-29', '2022-03-30', '2022-03-31'], dtype='<U10') - days_2022_23(days_2022_23)<U10'2022-08-01' ... '2023-03-31'
array(['2022-08-01', '2022-08-02', '2022-08-03', ..., '2023-03-29', '2023-03-30', '2023-03-31'], dtype='<U10') - days_2023_24(days_2023_24)<U10'2023-08-01' ... '2024-03-31'
array(['2023-08-01', '2023-08-02', '2023-08-03', ..., '2024-03-29', '2024-03-30', '2024-03-31'], dtype='<U10') - days_2024_25(days_2024_25)<U10'2024-08-01' ... '2025-03-31'
array(['2024-08-01', '2024-08-02', '2024-08-03', ..., '2025-03-29', '2025-03-30', '2025-03-31'], dtype='<U10') - days_2025_26(days_2025_26)<U10'2025-08-01' ... '2026-03-31'
array(['2025-08-01', '2025-08-02', '2025-08-03', ..., '2026-03-29', '2026-03-30', '2026-03-31'], dtype='<U10') - observation(observation)<U45'2021/22|2021-08-01|2021-10-30|a...
array(['2021/22|2021-08-01|2021-10-30|age=18-49 years', '2021/22|2021-10-30|2021-11-27|age=18-49 years', '2021/22|2021-11-27|2021-12-31|age=18-49 years', ..., '2025/26|2026-01-31|2026-02-07|age=65+ years', '2025/26|2026-02-07|2026-02-14|age=65+ years', '2025/26|2026-02-14|2026-02-21|age=65+ years'], dtype='<U45')
- covariate_values_m_age(chain, draw, season, age_categories)float320.0 0.6141 1.332 ... 0.5595 1.496
array([[[[0. , 0.61406034, 1.3324646 ], [0. , 0.5888564 , 1.2772889 ], [0. , 0.42581522, 1.2917755 ], [0. , 0.34850338, 1.3142785 ], [0. , 0.45960635, 1.2890402 ]], [[0. , 0.48038858, 1.3379977 ], [0. , 0.57530695, 1.3613492 ], [0. , 0.5433065 , 1.2516235 ], [0. , 0.5269088 , 1.321597 ], [0. , 0.48869517, 1.344554 ]], [[0. , 0.5371674 , 1.1124697 ], [0. , 0.6702291 , 1.2970269 ], [0. , 0.6267789 , 1.2330073 ], [0. , 0.56315535, 1.0989206 ], [0. , 0.50932014, 1.1436615 ]], ..., ... ..., [[0. , 0.7037841 , 1.2900041 ], [0. , 0.66805434, 1.367309 ], [0. , 0.7129712 , 1.2929591 ], [0. , 0.7305721 , 1.3058699 ], [0. , 0.6933942 , 1.204295 ]], [[0. , 0.57988644, 1.3486536 ], [0. , 0.64596957, 1.3430994 ], [0. , 0.5534388 , 1.4569474 ], [0. , 0.6425554 , 1.3960074 ], [0. , 0.5920013 , 1.4827917 ]], [[0. , 0.5768635 , 1.3337688 ], [0. , 0.62888885, 1.3263533 ], [0. , 0.5546267 , 1.4805769 ], [0. , 0.58458245, 1.3795625 ], [0. , 0.5595088 , 1.4960169 ]]]], dtype=float32) - covariate_values_m_season(chain, draw, season)float32-0.6659 -0.6009 ... -0.8928 -0.9495
array([[[-0.6659173 , -0.6008781 , -0.8330322 , -0.72119015, -0.7460687 ], [-0.66676694, -0.6243777 , -0.6655928 , -0.7379301 , -0.86058867], [-0.6759527 , -0.6313408 , -0.6759381 , -0.7174644 , -0.63214386], ..., [-0.5809914 , -0.53264546, -0.5779692 , -0.6719996 , -0.48041096], [-0.53357977, -0.5496062 , -0.58976215, -0.59864354, -0.45496097], [-0.54999626, -0.56627446, -0.5786864 , -0.54789484, -0.45506638]], [[-0.61172664, -0.5586274 , -0.6901408 , -0.6529152 , -0.50893337], [-0.55649954, -0.57846475, -0.6506097 , -0.7213359 , -0.6817337 ], [-0.5804412 , -0.57332075, -0.65878546, -0.66269886, -0.6509375 ], ... [-0.72800696, -0.59309083, -0.792033 , -1.0188992 , -0.658474 ], [-0.68638307, -0.64634997, -0.7518171 , -0.662904 , -0.73230875], [-0.6104085 , -0.5885206 , -0.6500955 , -0.74947804, -0.6668891 ]], [[-0.7937727 , -0.69717777, -0.9431632 , -1.0700535 , -0.7942544 ], [-0.6740931 , -0.6715874 , -0.81835645, -0.81939703, -0.7627954 ], [-0.7153082 , -0.70230716, -0.7766861 , -1.1197625 , -0.945003 ], ..., [-0.65241146, -0.6468777 , -0.8992613 , -0.81350595, -0.61154246], [-0.74794 , -0.62881917, -0.8333825 , -0.9049599 , -0.9372587 ], [-0.74850905, -0.6327635 , -0.85024244, -0.892784 , -0.9495183 ]]], dtype=float32) - covariate_values_r_age(chain, draw, season, age_categories)float320.0 0.115 0.2187 ... 0.05919 0.1692
array([[[[ 0.00000000e+00, 1.15020625e-01, 2.18734726e-01], [ 0.00000000e+00, 1.17779955e-01, 3.26980472e-01], [ 0.00000000e+00, 1.12170227e-01, 1.64751023e-01], [ 0.00000000e+00, 1.01583652e-01, 2.81769931e-01], [ 0.00000000e+00, 1.15680456e-01, 1.26692593e-01]], [[ 0.00000000e+00, 1.35048881e-01, 2.24267915e-01], [ 0.00000000e+00, 1.60289422e-01, 2.21956819e-01], [ 0.00000000e+00, 1.41495183e-01, 2.27110580e-01], [ 0.00000000e+00, 1.44250214e-01, 2.78850794e-01], [ 0.00000000e+00, 1.66766241e-01, 2.37560228e-01]], [[ 0.00000000e+00, 6.72965646e-02, 2.78527856e-01], [ 0.00000000e+00, 7.76554421e-02, 3.50435257e-01], [ 0.00000000e+00, 6.46635666e-02, 2.19646916e-01], [ 0.00000000e+00, 1.39919907e-01, 1.86471298e-01], [ 0.00000000e+00, 7.97731057e-02, 2.95432121e-01]], ..., ... ..., [[ 0.00000000e+00, -1.04859293e-01, 1.92826211e-01], [ 0.00000000e+00, 9.08472463e-02, 2.40529016e-01], [ 0.00000000e+00, 7.06571573e-03, 3.04287821e-01], [ 0.00000000e+00, -3.37746963e-02, 2.41905257e-01], [ 0.00000000e+00, 1.66153703e-02, 2.36812070e-01]], [[ 0.00000000e+00, 1.31980240e-01, 2.25628048e-01], [ 0.00000000e+00, 9.65188667e-02, 2.52592057e-01], [ 0.00000000e+00, 8.41005519e-02, 2.01705858e-01], [ 0.00000000e+00, 6.05982319e-02, 2.20410615e-01], [ 0.00000000e+00, 6.25696182e-02, 1.71814516e-01]], [[ 0.00000000e+00, 1.32938743e-01, 2.01858878e-01], [ 0.00000000e+00, 1.10183544e-01, 2.59173602e-01], [ 0.00000000e+00, 7.94042945e-02, 1.94530010e-01], [ 0.00000000e+00, 6.01743273e-02, 2.05956146e-01], [ 0.00000000e+00, 5.91896735e-02, 1.69165105e-01]]]], dtype=float32) - covariate_values_r_season(chain, draw, season)float32-3.166 -3.093 ... -3.148 -3.182
array([[[-3.1660154, -3.0934458, -3.1164834, -3.2263775, -3.2541728], [-3.154062 , -3.0618496, -3.2200449, -3.257231 , -3.3076668], [-3.028673 , -3.0599172, -3.0867252, -3.2460299, -3.204595 ], ..., [-3.2307434, -3.1359987, -3.2509205, -3.4211807, -3.5009103], [-3.1968222, -3.144258 , -3.2456672, -3.3396626, -3.4632819], [-3.193497 , -3.1911402, -3.2378936, -3.3864334, -3.3746648]], [[-3.1355376, -3.1435385, -3.1818032, -3.356787 , -3.486962 ], [-3.2335124, -3.1265361, -3.2767978, -3.4164035, -3.385911 ], [-3.2700043, -3.1009352, -3.202923 , -3.399478 , -3.3826609], ..., [-3.0750935, -3.0440962, -3.0605135, -3.3430898, -3.143317 ], [-3.0853484, -3.0578828, -3.1645586, -3.1263702, -3.3063598], [-3.0386035, -3.064735 , -3.0259862, -3.158463 , -3.1839457]], [[-3.112759 , -3.0602112, -3.1049187, -3.2311132, -3.1434963], [-2.986023 , -3.0963447, -3.1412141, -3.2585313, -3.4372365], [-3.07924 , -3.0711234, -3.1601353, -3.2814808, -3.406121 ], ..., [-3.1612844, -3.1128798, -3.1039765, -3.270879 , -3.1851113], [-3.0545495, -3.0632057, -3.0519032, -3.2024276, -3.2175875], [-3.1380117, -3.0949109, -3.109902 , -3.1692784, -3.0748281]], [[-3.118751 , -2.989205 , -2.9856985, -3.1785028, -3.2126472], [-2.960428 , -3.0187747, -3.1085987, -3.1292045, -3.144879 ], [-3.0790606, -2.9590774, -2.9245577, -3.1187935, -3.1894877], ..., [-3.0744758, -3.022514 , -3.0991557, -3.2310624, -3.384639 ], [-3.1115537, -3.016501 , -3.0481 , -3.1293814, -3.1793823], [-3.116073 , -3.019637 , -3.0618048, -3.1478546, -3.1821923]]], dtype=float32) - covariate_values_s_age(chain, draw, season, age_categories)float320.0 -3.982 -10.62 ... 0.6255 -6.66
array([[[[ 0.0000000e+00, -3.9821978e+00, -1.0621008e+01], [ 0.0000000e+00, 8.0238038e-01, -7.1115084e+00], [ 0.0000000e+00, -5.1290302e+00, -7.5913658e+00], [ 0.0000000e+00, -4.6370034e+00, -1.3009297e+01], [ 0.0000000e+00, -6.3288236e+00, -6.6616082e+00]], [[ 0.0000000e+00, -3.8570118e-01, -1.1190118e+01], [ 0.0000000e+00, -1.7520187e+00, -8.6411753e+00], [ 0.0000000e+00, -3.0024308e-01, -9.3932343e+00], [ 0.0000000e+00, -9.4722586e+00, -1.2013289e+01], [ 0.0000000e+00, -3.4719748e+00, -8.4173365e+00]], [[ 0.0000000e+00, -1.7020932e+00, -9.4371777e+00], [ 0.0000000e+00, -1.1037022e+00, -7.2270827e+00], [ 0.0000000e+00, -7.5619137e-01, -7.7485676e+00], [ 0.0000000e+00, 1.7504157e+00, -5.7891512e+00], [ 0.0000000e+00, -4.8544059e+00, -7.6545401e+00]], ..., ... ..., [[ 0.0000000e+00, 1.0379530e+00, -5.5517383e+00], [ 0.0000000e+00, 1.2636968e+00, -5.9622393e+00], [ 0.0000000e+00, 5.4409236e-01, -6.2379122e+00], [ 0.0000000e+00, 1.5600443e+00, -6.2175040e+00], [ 0.0000000e+00, 1.8053200e+00, -5.7364826e+00]], [[ 0.0000000e+00, 2.4967803e-01, -6.2250328e+00], [ 0.0000000e+00, 2.0655107e+00, -6.9985123e+00], [ 0.0000000e+00, 1.4297918e+00, -6.7719660e+00], [ 0.0000000e+00, 1.0808555e+00, -6.2306089e+00], [ 0.0000000e+00, 2.8340885e-01, -7.3958859e+00]], [[ 0.0000000e+00, 3.5573727e-01, -6.4651570e+00], [ 0.0000000e+00, 1.9864677e+00, -6.8418927e+00], [ 0.0000000e+00, 1.3482924e+00, -6.8154101e+00], [ 0.0000000e+00, 6.9950885e-01, -6.3887691e+00], [ 0.0000000e+00, 6.2545961e-01, -6.6603317e+00]]]], dtype=float32) - covariate_values_s_season(chain, draw, season)float3290.58 86.7 73.26 ... 71.28 72.01
array([[[90.5804 , 86.69961 , 73.2591 , 78.08662 , 73.12312 ], [90.48313 , 87.55288 , 74.16604 , 79.03918 , 72.9714 ], [90.29811 , 87.03023 , 74.22843 , 72.65172 , 73.64458 ], ..., [86.65999 , 86.312256, 70.89484 , 72.76214 , 73.834595], [87.658714, 86.5959 , 74.29915 , 73.879105, 72.53985 ], [87.11589 , 86.404945, 73.737755, 74.36872 , 73.89719 ]], [[89.19126 , 86.318016, 71.97224 , 75.74946 , 68.74504 ], [91.043304, 86.42193 , 70.01615 , 71.6643 , 79.37195 ], [91.064545, 85.63714 , 73.79845 , 73.64526 , 76.278275], ..., [86.74735 , 86.68108 , 71.10288 , 73.872696, 71.41377 ], [85.74488 , 86.035484, 71.97555 , 67.61248 , 70.440895], [88.24116 , 83.87757 , 69.38999 , 72.401085, 66.46325 ]], [[86.72818 , 87.30662 , 72.258804, 74.319565, 70.82625 ], [87.31889 , 85.46278 , 74.01957 , 74.01964 , 70.621506], [87.89506 , 85.57038 , 73.85365 , 72.595406, 72.42921 ], ..., [89.294975, 87.29841 , 70.868416, 71.73501 , 67.28103 ], [84.99156 , 84.157425, 68.919914, 71.736 , 71.87437 ], [86.01112 , 85.68023 , 72.025955, 73.69533 , 67.64128 ]], [[85.72465 , 85.57606 , 73.73195 , 73.5954 , 72.523994], [87.344925, 84.43095 , 72.21935 , 74.88951 , 70.029076], [87.743996, 82.45362 , 71.87271 , 71.2962 , 70.145096], ..., [85.87982 , 85.8935 , 74.81473 , 72.159775, 71.19988 ], [86.40367 , 86.175224, 69.30068 , 71.371895, 72.329475], [87.12876 , 86.176865, 69.112114, 71.282104, 72.00702 ]]], dtype=float32) - incidence_2021_22_age_18_49_years(chain, draw, date_ranges_2021_22)float320.05932 0.0005619 ... 0.003628
array([[[5.93204200e-02, 5.61926106e-04, 9.36358646e-02, ..., 1.62283763e-01, 1.69680566e-02, 5.24649723e-03], [5.89376390e-02, 5.22130227e-04, 9.43908244e-02, ..., 1.62828907e-01, 1.65292900e-02, 5.02688624e-03], [5.54531142e-02, 2.35423082e-04, 1.03218392e-01, ..., 1.65287882e-01, 1.25552351e-02, 3.18543334e-03], ..., [5.70791550e-02, 7.26502913e-04, 8.99453312e-02, ..., 1.81851432e-01, 1.74158905e-02, 5.80505375e-03], [5.98844066e-02, 6.45797059e-04, 9.62716565e-02, ..., 1.85783178e-01, 1.75086260e-02, 5.59876859e-03], [5.82739078e-02, 6.13468932e-04, 9.48752761e-02, ..., 1.85831785e-01, 1.68753657e-02, 5.36553608e-03]], [[5.84099554e-02, 4.59151604e-04, 9.78048593e-02, ..., 1.73853531e-01, 1.57160815e-02, 4.64376993e-03], [6.52642474e-02, 8.89883726e-04, 9.55132991e-02, ..., 1.70617968e-01, 2.07559690e-02, 7.02557713e-03], [6.44975230e-02, 1.05820503e-03, 9.12297815e-02, ..., 1.66767359e-01, 2.16088127e-02, 7.66079640e-03], ... [5.47285192e-02, 4.96949651e-04, 8.88832286e-02, ..., 1.59880087e-01, 1.53585002e-02, 4.70260670e-03], [4.61361334e-02, 2.16007524e-04, 9.24936384e-02, ..., 1.83192477e-01, 1.04490472e-02, 2.72627594e-03], [5.29176183e-02, 4.06404637e-04, 9.35737938e-02, ..., 1.84988096e-01, 1.39148096e-02, 4.09550965e-03]], [[4.58984114e-02, 3.15233483e-04, 8.35157186e-02, ..., 1.65322125e-01, 1.16672916e-02, 3.34161357e-03], [4.73525934e-02, 1.25819439e-04, 1.03320025e-01, ..., 1.79023355e-01, 9.19039734e-03, 2.08529690e-03], [5.07138558e-02, 2.83083122e-04, 9.33893546e-02, ..., 1.69038162e-01, 1.22603383e-02, 3.33308498e-03], ..., [4.94059883e-02, 2.62931309e-04, 9.48471054e-02, ..., 1.83226600e-01, 1.16673773e-02, 3.13899061e-03], [4.82512452e-02, 3.20438296e-04, 8.75084847e-02, ..., 1.68682605e-01, 1.21864034e-02, 3.46022449e-03], [4.95219193e-02, 3.40240163e-04, 8.81410539e-02, ..., 1.66082546e-01, 1.26775308e-02, 3.62823787e-03]]], dtype=float32) - incidence_2021_22_age_50_64_years(chain, draw, date_ranges_2021_22)float320.071 0.0003309 ... 0.003135
array([[[7.10002780e-02, 3.30925686e-04, 1.38660371e-01, ..., 2.58155167e-01, 1.61874276e-02, 4.21409402e-03], [7.36753494e-02, 2.93844554e-04, 1.39458954e-01, ..., 2.23637044e-01, 1.63601656e-02, 4.08847351e-03], [6.87441900e-02, 1.86338337e-04, 1.45594090e-01, ..., 2.39550859e-01, 1.35133369e-02, 3.07751447e-03], ..., [6.88465461e-02, 3.97765776e-04, 1.29379228e-01, ..., 2.49627754e-01, 1.66693479e-02, 4.57519013e-03], [7.10344836e-02, 3.81638354e-04, 1.36326373e-01, ..., 2.64608830e-01, 1.68125387e-02, 4.53408202e-03], [6.85351267e-02, 3.95296403e-04, 1.32494137e-01, ..., 2.72650093e-01, 1.64463408e-02, 4.51710634e-03]], [[6.55392408e-02, 1.95261338e-04, 1.40484318e-01, ..., 2.49614134e-01, 1.31276324e-02, 3.06369248e-03], [7.93910325e-02, 5.21391863e-04, 1.40186727e-01, ..., 2.53312647e-01, 2.01713573e-02, 5.70541620e-03], [7.71929994e-02, 5.23379887e-04, 1.36529043e-01, ..., 2.51902223e-01, 1.97426416e-02, 5.62990177e-03], ... [7.00891986e-02, 3.13935976e-04, 1.35181606e-01, ..., 2.39601672e-01, 1.58942025e-02, 4.09410475e-03], [7.37271458e-02, 4.52255015e-04, 1.33188814e-01, ..., 2.43550584e-01, 1.83153432e-02, 5.09596989e-03], [7.57785961e-02, 4.32571833e-04, 1.39959335e-01, ..., 2.58114666e-01, 1.83957014e-02, 5.03013749e-03]], [[7.37576410e-02, 7.52293738e-04, 1.22191295e-01, ..., 2.44552940e-01, 2.10877322e-02, 6.65497733e-03], [6.73398897e-02, 2.58032087e-04, 1.35140300e-01, ..., 2.39420027e-01, 1.45638669e-02, 3.61203053e-03], [7.89154992e-02, 6.42251514e-04, 1.33111939e-01, ..., 2.44817674e-01, 2.13449188e-02, 6.36462402e-03], ..., [8.07857886e-02, 7.86487828e-04, 1.34051338e-01, ..., 2.62350768e-01, 2.28517912e-02, 7.12731853e-03], [6.34653568e-02, 1.89572616e-04, 1.36722311e-01, ..., 2.45957538e-01, 1.27026122e-02, 2.96712341e-03], [6.56699240e-02, 2.02497802e-04, 1.38238549e-01, ..., 2.40764573e-01, 1.33255515e-02, 3.13453935e-03]]], dtype=float32) - incidence_2021_22_age_65__years(chain, draw, date_ranges_2021_22)float320.06649 0.0001516 ... 0.002251
array([[[6.64884672e-02, 1.51596818e-04, 1.72143385e-01, ..., 4.09941673e-01, 1.19242193e-02, 2.62260204e-03], [6.31024465e-02, 1.27511667e-04, 1.70282990e-01, ..., 4.17865992e-01, 1.08945593e-02, 2.32849852e-03], [4.71004024e-02, 2.61221121e-05, 1.71675310e-01, ..., 3.91101241e-01, 5.59837325e-03, 8.76263774e-04], ..., [5.86119927e-02, 8.50727447e-05, 1.71615019e-01, ..., 4.18679833e-01, 9.18776169e-03, 1.81337807e-03], [6.18818812e-02, 7.79056500e-05, 1.82413965e-01, ..., 4.10548389e-01, 9.36066918e-03, 1.78309577e-03], [6.03665970e-02, 6.94665505e-05, 1.82259142e-01, ..., 4.11436588e-01, 8.89123231e-03, 1.65760645e-03]], [[5.32128960e-02, 4.17248521e-05, 1.77619666e-01, ..., 4.04270589e-01, 6.99912850e-03, 1.19028531e-03], [5.36826327e-02, 6.59377911e-05, 1.66644692e-01, ..., 4.25996006e-01, 7.98686873e-03, 1.51531945e-03], [5.92852496e-02, 1.15577808e-04, 1.61232144e-01, ..., 3.94216299e-01, 1.01311551e-02, 2.14658910e-03], ... [6.51271567e-02, 1.27462161e-04, 1.73399657e-01, ..., 4.01114345e-01, 1.11941090e-02, 2.37207767e-03], [6.41659126e-02, 1.69293882e-04, 1.61329225e-01, ..., 3.92283976e-01, 1.19914245e-02, 2.73273163e-03], [5.67608364e-02, 8.10553611e-05, 1.67758450e-01, ..., 4.15341139e-01, 8.84492788e-03, 1.73916528e-03]], [[6.35875687e-02, 1.62875629e-04, 1.64432302e-01, ..., 4.23840433e-01, 1.17223281e-02, 2.65465374e-03], [6.49391413e-02, 1.44569451e-04, 1.70040622e-01, ..., 4.10788983e-01, 1.15503231e-02, 2.52631400e-03], [6.42580837e-02, 1.24836151e-04, 1.73382446e-01, ..., 4.13739324e-01, 1.09916981e-02, 2.32612574e-03], ..., [6.11809269e-02, 8.96550700e-05, 1.75925866e-01, ..., 4.10920471e-01, 9.64953471e-03, 1.90760067e-03], [6.03334494e-02, 9.10013187e-05, 1.72692880e-01, ..., 4.06339347e-01, 9.59093682e-03, 1.90937845e-03], [6.38925284e-02, 1.17440097e-04, 1.72521517e-01, ..., 3.97077948e-01, 1.07849678e-02, 2.25088885e-03]]], dtype=float32) - incidence_2022_23_age_18_49_years(chain, draw, date_ranges_2022_23)float320.000334 0.09961 ... 0.01029
array([[[3.33976379e-04, 9.96067896e-02, 3.78171750e-03, ..., 5.57724610e-02, 1.07676641e-03, 1.28443073e-02], [2.79148051e-04, 1.01622164e-01, 3.44416522e-03, ..., 5.56035079e-02, 9.40429978e-04, 1.22102620e-02], [2.67748750e-04, 1.00514665e-01, 3.32267350e-03, ..., 5.42818159e-02, 9.04607296e-04, 1.18246470e-02], ..., [4.46389167e-04, 1.00336246e-01, 4.51702019e-03, ..., 5.87530062e-02, 1.35888997e-03, 1.44850919e-02], [4.69874794e-04, 9.90503505e-02, 4.65272320e-03, ..., 5.88700101e-02, 1.41477119e-03, 1.47466380e-02], [6.06233138e-04, 9.44066569e-02, 5.33161778e-03, ..., 5.89965731e-02, 1.71824789e-03, 1.58963930e-02]], [[4.59647330e-04, 9.81662124e-02, 4.56110062e-03, ..., 5.80052808e-02, 1.38537865e-03, 1.44790225e-02], [4.11272515e-04, 9.82790440e-02, 4.26540338e-03, ..., 5.70126884e-02, 1.26782875e-03, 1.38509404e-02], [3.39789607e-04, 9.92633328e-02, 3.77390068e-03, ..., 5.49890399e-02, 1.08450698e-03, 1.27127171e-02], ... [3.89383029e-04, 9.95375440e-02, 4.18348191e-03, ..., 5.77366166e-02, 1.22240244e-03, 1.38142696e-02], [2.36911015e-04, 9.47396606e-02, 2.91887182e-03, ..., 4.85836044e-02, 7.97016663e-04, 1.03948107e-02], [3.24479042e-04, 9.87764746e-02, 3.66255990e-03, ..., 5.43466657e-02, 1.04422681e-03, 1.24399709e-02]], [[1.46918814e-04, 9.84786004e-02, 2.23469408e-03, ..., 4.68276329e-02, 5.50538069e-04, 8.84788018e-03], [1.74167566e-04, 9.62617099e-02, 2.43182923e-03, ..., 4.66487072e-02, 6.24619366e-04, 9.23036970e-03], [9.99193799e-05, 9.36041549e-02, 1.66562700e-03, ..., 3.98538224e-02, 3.92197398e-04, 6.93644211e-03], ..., [1.95114873e-04, 1.00216098e-01, 2.69300281e-03, ..., 5.02923615e-02, 6.95797324e-04, 1.01402719e-02], [1.92000734e-04, 1.02307253e-01, 2.69583543e-03, ..., 5.12138680e-02, 6.90749497e-04, 1.02363387e-02], [1.95731511e-04, 1.01834349e-01, 2.72347499e-03, ..., 5.12010232e-02, 7.00932171e-04, 1.02934381e-02]]], dtype=float32) - incidence_2022_23_age_50_64_years(chain, draw, date_ranges_2022_23)float320.0002197 0.1537 ... 0.01209
array([[[2.1967388e-04, 1.5373774e-01, 3.4752218e-03, ..., 7.4794702e-02, 8.4011140e-04, 1.4000385e-02], [1.1262634e-04, 1.5308988e-01, 2.2430383e-03, ..., 6.4011000e-02, 4.8434688e-04, 1.0184527e-02], [2.1808760e-04, 1.5265103e-01, 3.3857611e-03, ..., 7.2401494e-02, 8.2587235e-04, 1.3539382e-02], ..., [2.7958627e-04, 1.5575349e-01, 4.0564993e-03, ..., 7.8981295e-02, 1.0230951e-03, 1.5632404e-02], [2.9601922e-04, 1.5430848e-01, 4.2045219e-03, ..., 7.9605006e-02, 1.0715874e-03, 1.6018337e-02], [4.3531536e-04, 1.4472407e-01, 5.1802211e-03, ..., 8.0315553e-02, 1.4397281e-03, 1.8029066e-02]], [[1.8425104e-04, 1.5913399e-01, 3.1880927e-03, ..., 7.5514741e-02, 7.3770894e-04, 1.3431492e-02], [1.9702804e-04, 1.5499018e-01, 3.2362200e-03, ..., 7.3139623e-02, 7.6804322e-04, 1.3300817e-02], [1.9766449e-04, 1.5327397e-01, 3.2184774e-03, ..., 7.2200865e-02, 7.6704641e-04, 1.3174230e-02], ... [3.2342906e-04, 1.4873764e-01, 4.3215193e-03, ..., 7.7113435e-02, 1.1346288e-03, 1.5983196e-02], [2.3536282e-04, 1.5629181e-01, 3.6394431e-03, ..., 7.6469488e-02, 8.8966294e-04, 1.4496615e-02], [2.6788728e-04, 1.5736406e-01, 3.9318302e-03, ..., 7.8140318e-02, 9.8593894e-04, 1.5258561e-02]], [[2.6333434e-04, 1.4808236e-01, 3.7950904e-03, ..., 7.3952325e-02, 9.6015783e-04, 1.4593797e-02], [2.1770713e-04, 1.6023505e-01, 3.5540943e-03, ..., 7.8534581e-02, 8.4619672e-04, 1.4529441e-02], [1.6977117e-04, 1.5678681e-01, 2.9593138e-03, ..., 7.1712770e-02, 6.8215706e-04, 1.2539665e-02], ..., [1.5850592e-04, 1.5996316e-01, 2.8689043e-03, ..., 7.2380587e-02, 6.4927479e-04, 1.2386659e-02], [1.5341173e-04, 1.6411984e-01, 2.8788890e-03, ..., 7.4907646e-02, 6.4022589e-04, 1.2642217e-02], [1.3946593e-04, 1.6333483e-01, 2.7059461e-03, ..., 7.3233336e-02, 5.9200631e-04, 1.2087951e-02]]], dtype=float32) - incidence_2022_23_age_65__years(chain, draw, date_ranges_2022_23)float323.279e-05 0.185 ... 0.00576
array([[[3.2793436e-05, 1.8499547e-01, 1.0360685e-03, ..., 5.2554350e-02, 1.7844763e-04, 5.9643094e-03], [6.3072970e-05, 1.8162957e-01, 1.5414227e-03, ..., 5.8625620e-02, 3.0098367e-04, 7.8083742e-03], [1.8902192e-05, 1.8757771e-01, 7.3911290e-04, ..., 4.7622297e-02, 1.1475943e-04, 4.7281981e-03], ..., [3.7177299e-05, 1.8776107e-01, 1.1305126e-03, ..., 5.4797433e-02, 1.9842567e-04, 6.3828453e-03], [4.1643620e-05, 1.8239887e-01, 1.1954251e-03, ..., 5.4423664e-02, 2.1580061e-04, 6.5600392e-03], [7.6245160e-05, 1.7902048e-01, 1.7326369e-03, ..., 6.0533497e-02, 3.5055826e-04, 8.4611848e-03]], [[5.4698332e-05, 1.8672313e-01, 1.4400166e-03, ..., 5.9196029e-02, 2.7116234e-04, 7.5655761e-03], [3.0033496e-05, 1.8567714e-01, 9.8537491e-04, ..., 5.2059017e-02, 1.6662816e-04, 5.7788198e-03], [3.6050693e-05, 1.8803960e-01, 1.1104746e-03, ..., 5.4599997e-02, 1.9366105e-04, 6.3103600e-03], ... [4.5508838e-05, 1.9526033e-01, 1.3099335e-03, ..., 5.9469700e-02, 2.3612865e-04, 7.1951742e-03], [6.0736736e-05, 1.8401313e-01, 1.5228343e-03, ..., 5.9374139e-02, 2.9367130e-04, 7.8096343e-03], [4.9434766e-05, 1.8370049e-01, 1.3414690e-03, ..., 5.7130978e-02, 2.4888071e-04, 7.1564065e-03]], [[6.8468449e-05, 1.8779659e-01, 1.6549503e-03, ..., 6.1873235e-02, 3.2492125e-04, 8.3328495e-03], [4.9035905e-05, 1.9074972e-01, 1.3547272e-03, ..., 5.8845364e-02, 2.4916336e-04, 7.2911726e-03], [5.0688202e-05, 1.8848099e-01, 1.3798759e-03, ..., 5.8862511e-02, 2.5563873e-04, 7.3708324e-03], ..., [3.9362258e-05, 1.8930310e-01, 1.1761980e-03, ..., 5.5876568e-02, 2.0818081e-04, 6.5834946e-03], [3.1573978e-05, 1.8474674e-01, 1.0070322e-03, ..., 5.1750064e-02, 1.7264986e-04, 5.8255284e-03], [3.0632084e-05, 1.8462558e-01, 9.8963035e-04, ..., 5.1534947e-02, 1.6861019e-04, 5.7601491e-03]]], dtype=float32) - incidence_2023_24_age_18_49_years(chain, draw, date_ranges_2023_24)float320.002078 0.002793 ... 0.02791
array([[[2.0779581e-03, 2.7930471e-03, 1.3231637e-04, ..., 1.6755590e-02, 1.5401134e-03, 2.6685812e-02], [3.1295137e-03, 4.0605166e-03, 2.6705320e-04, ..., 1.8760528e-02, 2.4009838e-03, 2.6926555e-02], [2.2194153e-03, 3.0128311e-03, 1.2958286e-04, ..., 1.9221218e-02, 1.6288311e-03, 3.0480873e-02], ..., [3.1499669e-03, 4.0566786e-03, 2.8972910e-04, ..., 1.8311568e-02, 2.4356481e-03, 2.7788924e-02], [3.4977300e-03, 4.5008981e-03, 3.1968870e-04, ..., 1.9603739e-02, 2.7053230e-03, 2.7575368e-02], [3.3926943e-03, 4.3783411e-03, 3.0337903e-04, ..., 1.9558445e-02, 2.6168860e-03, 2.8027933e-02]], [[2.5811829e-03, 3.3962575e-03, 1.9753471e-04, ..., 1.7691929e-02, 1.9539187e-03, 2.7641131e-02], [3.0873113e-03, 3.9467490e-03, 3.0305277e-04, ..., 1.7032843e-02, 2.4048756e-03, 2.5834167e-02], [2.9795163e-03, 3.8884480e-03, 2.4252768e-04, ..., 1.8782476e-02, 2.2730103e-03, 2.7536647e-02], ... [1.8621045e-03, 2.5173847e-03, 1.1386935e-04, ..., 1.6132055e-02, 1.3728054e-03, 2.7899534e-02], [1.4940123e-03, 2.0595097e-03, 7.7898083e-05, ..., 1.5529596e-02, 1.0808104e-03, 3.0162057e-02], [2.1906327e-03, 2.9534569e-03, 1.3655299e-04, ..., 1.8342752e-02, 1.6190794e-03, 3.0481704e-02]], [[1.3223401e-03, 1.8641520e-03, 5.6176908e-05, ..., 1.5796892e-02, 9.3520974e-04, 2.8029166e-02], [1.9642862e-03, 2.6491950e-03, 1.2201353e-04, ..., 1.6462158e-02, 1.4512605e-03, 2.7232895e-02], [1.0904699e-03, 1.5760446e-03, 3.7636182e-05, ..., 1.6441140e-02, 7.5273972e-04, 3.3654813e-02], ..., [2.0217760e-03, 2.7314078e-03, 1.2263682e-04, ..., 1.6721519e-02, 1.4906436e-03, 2.5766704e-02], [1.4198044e-03, 1.9595681e-03, 7.3198207e-05, ..., 1.4855642e-02, 1.0258678e-03, 2.8639834e-02], [1.4539616e-03, 1.9969826e-03, 7.8165387e-05, ..., 1.4627572e-02, 1.0556026e-03, 2.7914537e-02]]], dtype=float32) - incidence_2023_24_age_50_64_years(chain, draw, date_ranges_2023_24)float320.001527 0.002143 ... 0.04309
array([[[1.52739091e-03, 2.14344030e-03, 6.85276464e-05, ..., 1.86068267e-02, 1.08582852e-03, 3.93546075e-02], [2.97102169e-03, 4.04585199e-03, 1.69137915e-04, ..., 2.65162736e-02, 2.17382610e-03, 4.28401269e-02], [2.55615520e-03, 3.55454558e-03, 1.22070822e-04, ..., 2.72933356e-02, 1.83233758e-03, 4.71116528e-02], ..., [2.72240164e-03, 3.65870586e-03, 1.75920912e-04, ..., 2.27916874e-02, 2.01917021e-03, 4.04737927e-02], [3.15362238e-03, 4.25259024e-03, 1.94707856e-04, ..., 2.58368365e-02, 2.32960307e-03, 4.02781367e-02], [3.38631286e-03, 4.53713443e-03, 2.20505230e-04, ..., 2.62587070e-02, 2.51723500e-03, 4.01021838e-02]], [[2.08720122e-03, 2.91816634e-03, 9.57789453e-05, ..., 2.38287020e-02, 1.48863427e-03, 4.46027182e-02], [3.57818976e-03, 4.66667442e-03, 2.97717430e-04, ..., 2.33614780e-02, 2.73327064e-03, 3.79589275e-02], [2.38632015e-03, 3.29686748e-03, 1.21328798e-04, ..., 2.47415435e-02, 1.72210194e-03, 4.52772155e-02], ... [1.93515990e-03, 2.67942948e-03, 9.74104769e-05, ..., 2.10507754e-02, 1.39403564e-03, 4.26036306e-02], [1.85074389e-03, 2.63915560e-03, 7.16037466e-05, ..., 2.47804727e-02, 1.29449216e-03, 4.79634590e-02], [3.48587660e-03, 4.63114167e-03, 2.45274539e-04, ..., 2.56611258e-02, 2.61354935e-03, 4.02387269e-02]], [[2.21190695e-03, 3.09908902e-03, 9.88836837e-05, ..., 2.49725934e-02, 1.57374016e-03, 4.29816097e-02], [2.17146217e-03, 3.01962649e-03, 1.04046390e-04, ..., 2.34621167e-02, 1.55678298e-03, 4.19675112e-02], [3.76314367e-03, 4.98921238e-03, 2.68198724e-04, ..., 2.69146282e-02, 2.82662455e-03, 4.06952500e-02], ..., [3.18427756e-03, 4.31123096e-03, 1.89286249e-04, ..., 2.66452655e-02, 2.34258454e-03, 4.05867100e-02], [1.62210793e-03, 2.30919733e-03, 6.39408681e-05, ..., 2.17611454e-02, 1.13668258e-03, 4.42783870e-02], [1.69295480e-03, 2.39327690e-03, 7.08970838e-05, ..., 2.14601979e-02, 1.19455066e-03, 4.30903770e-02]]], dtype=float32) - incidence_2023_24_age_65__years(chain, draw, date_ranges_2023_24)float320.001702 0.002439 ... 0.07006
array([[[1.70232356e-03, 2.43940647e-03, 6.41441875e-05, ..., 2.53339186e-02, 1.18579227e-03, 6.28038123e-02], [1.99886155e-03, 2.82049016e-03, 8.62049201e-05, ..., 2.62662787e-02, 1.41381449e-03, 6.29204139e-02], [1.30104553e-03, 1.92848186e-03, 3.65079031e-05, ..., 2.56838091e-02, 8.76457256e-04, 7.10800812e-02], ..., [1.49650313e-03, 2.18471442e-03, 4.80182971e-05, ..., 2.61687133e-02, 1.02348102e-03, 7.06536919e-02], [1.45366217e-03, 2.13168096e-03, 4.47952189e-05, ..., 2.61985920e-02, 9.89736989e-04, 6.96476996e-02], [1.72544736e-03, 2.50769244e-03, 5.73330981e-05, ..., 2.85263248e-02, 1.18509063e-03, 7.03444481e-02]], [[1.38789241e-03, 2.05635489e-03, 3.89833149e-05, ..., 2.69347094e-02, 9.35226155e-04, 7.02063218e-02], [1.13872695e-03, 1.68910972e-03, 3.18550592e-05, ..., 2.29817554e-02, 7.66675861e-04, 6.85306266e-02], [1.64966343e-03, 2.40566675e-03, 5.31600417e-05, ..., 2.78971568e-02, 1.12919090e-03, 6.79595992e-02], ... [1.36686559e-03, 2.01124325e-03, 4.09048989e-05, ..., 2.53942385e-02, 9.27516841e-04, 6.88125789e-02], [1.23697880e-03, 1.83554715e-03, 3.44185210e-05, ..., 2.48311237e-02, 8.32449878e-04, 7.13133216e-02], [1.14081509e-03, 1.71231653e-03, 2.86960985e-05, ..., 2.51351409e-02, 7.59060786e-04, 7.41317049e-02]], [[1.38737727e-03, 2.04674993e-03, 4.05069186e-05, ..., 2.61139367e-02, 9.38931014e-04, 6.87430948e-02], [2.08452321e-03, 3.00135207e-03, 7.48518360e-05, ..., 3.13690864e-02, 1.44475803e-03, 7.07623288e-02], [1.18435151e-03, 1.76947645e-03, 3.09865463e-05, ..., 2.49033310e-02, 7.91592291e-04, 6.97276816e-02], ..., [9.99810640e-04, 1.52795890e-03, 2.14152642e-05, ..., 2.51672715e-02, 6.53370691e-04, 7.23992437e-02], [9.68768087e-04, 1.44971209e-03, 2.51562451e-05, ..., 2.14015655e-02, 6.46678149e-04, 7.14152753e-02], [1.05570140e-03, 1.56617339e-03, 2.95852024e-05, ..., 2.16936730e-02, 7.10781373e-04, 7.00579211e-02]]], dtype=float32) - incidence_2024_25_age_18_49_years(chain, draw, date_ranges_2024_25)float320.000442 0.021 ... 0.0006727
array([[[0.00044196, 0.02100156, 0.01833634, ..., 0.00172845, 0.00100603, 0.00131997], [0.00051766, 0.02006377, 0.01758196, ..., 0.00193313, 0.00114672, 0.00149051], [0.00039126, 0.02256427, 0.02025815, ..., 0.00149439, 0.00087752, 0.00114611], ..., [0.00081999, 0.02021428, 0.01870328, ..., 0.00247254, 0.00159871, 0.00199055], [0.00065746, 0.02237149, 0.02034511, ..., 0.00220128, 0.00136406, 0.00173468], [0.00082555, 0.02216253, 0.02028377, ..., 0.00259705, 0.00165087, 0.00207305]], [[0.00072346, 0.02084458, 0.01888694, ..., 0.00236222, 0.0014793 , 0.00187154], [0.00075284, 0.01983712, 0.01840856, ..., 0.00228692, 0.00147397, 0.00183808], [0.00078504, 0.02052185, 0.01886878, ..., 0.00243065, 0.00155497, 0.00194641], ... [0.00034137, 0.01810815, 0.01640219, ..., 0.00125935, 0.00074992, 0.00097264], [0.00031943, 0.02448644, 0.02187904, ..., 0.00130171, 0.00074441, 0.0009851 ], [0.00027809, 0.02299522, 0.0201985 , ..., 0.00119003, 0.00066734, 0.0008918 ]], [[0.00023056, 0.01821101, 0.01603916, ..., 0.00097283, 0.00054866, 0.00073112], [0.00022811, 0.02204951, 0.01905701, ..., 0.00103859, 0.00056803, 0.00076861], [0.00014846, 0.01898253, 0.01668193, ..., 0.0006888 , 0.0003737 , 0.00050764], ..., [0.00033575, 0.02151377, 0.01929911, ..., 0.00131111, 0.00076294, 0.00100095], [0.00018444, 0.02202255, 0.0193944 , ..., 0.00084138, 0.00045962, 0.00062223], [0.00020407, 0.02194046, 0.01941491, ..., 0.00090423, 0.00049981, 0.00067268]]], dtype=float32) - incidence_2024_25_age_50_64_years(chain, draw, date_ranges_2024_25)float320.0002792 0.03025 ... 0.0007921
array([[[0.00027921, 0.03024762, 0.02630993, ..., 0.00128143, 0.00069846, 0.00094666], [0.00024237, 0.03557842, 0.03153426, ..., 0.00113611, 0.00061373, 0.00083546], [0.00029873, 0.03405527, 0.02932561, ..., 0.00141209, 0.00076059, 0.001037 ], ..., [0.00059997, 0.02914471, 0.02655015, ..., 0.00214945, 0.00129523, 0.00167003], [0.00049456, 0.0329334 , 0.02955263, ..., 0.00194449, 0.00112833, 0.00148238], [0.00061272, 0.03261939, 0.0296155 , ..., 0.00225115, 0.00134268, 0.00174005]], [[0.00031585, 0.031548 , 0.02723568, ..., 0.00145001, 0.00079037, 0.00107126], [0.0005187 , 0.03215556, 0.02928538, ..., 0.00195197, 0.00115274, 0.00150121], [0.00032556, 0.03526976, 0.03100935, ..., 0.00146282, 0.00080408, 0.00108522], ... [0.00027492, 0.03238438, 0.02863702, ..., 0.00124113, 0.00068083, 0.00091978], [0.0005769 , 0.02944613, 0.02613072, ..., 0.00220589, 0.00129517, 0.00169183], [0.00062432, 0.03222468, 0.02875323, ..., 0.00236438, 0.0013935 , 0.00181679]], [[0.0003757 , 0.03144631, 0.02832851, ..., 0.00153253, 0.0008759 , 0.00115938], [0.00058067, 0.03049112, 0.02681625, ..., 0.00227629, 0.00132327, 0.00173717], [0.00014463, 0.0322471 , 0.02852592, ..., 0.00073689, 0.00038482, 0.00053273], ..., [0.00064746, 0.03205733, 0.02875753, ..., 0.00240474, 0.00142844, 0.00185509], [0.00021014, 0.03407095, 0.02936278, ..., 0.00105759, 0.00055527, 0.00076671], [0.00022256, 0.03303974, 0.02869738, ..., 0.00108575, 0.00057726, 0.00079209]]], dtype=float32) - incidence_2024_25_age_65__years(chain, draw, date_ranges_2024_25)float329.96e-05 0.06262 ... 0.000407
array([[[9.9603865e-05, 6.2617898e-02, 5.5040881e-02, ..., 6.2584411e-04, 3.0032019e-04, 4.3362952e-04], [1.3773660e-04, 5.8964647e-02, 5.1459089e-02, ..., 8.1297226e-04, 4.0008352e-04, 5.7047390e-04], [2.0985561e-04, 5.1199395e-02, 4.5604546e-02, ..., 1.0752280e-03, 5.6020275e-04, 7.7639881e-04], ..., [2.8258888e-04, 5.3892065e-02, 4.8607536e-02, ..., 1.3511922e-03, 7.2388037e-04, 9.8941859e-04], [1.9252399e-04, 5.5731341e-02, 4.9402885e-02, ..., 1.0277765e-03, 5.2667793e-04, 7.3599501e-04], [1.7274846e-04, 5.9289664e-02, 5.2258901e-02, ..., 9.6182479e-04, 4.8458329e-04, 6.8292831e-04]], [[2.3543766e-04, 5.3844225e-02, 4.7360547e-02, ..., 1.2173548e-03, 6.3199789e-04, 8.7749248e-04], [1.4572837e-04, 5.4775316e-02, 4.9966741e-02, ..., 7.8266690e-04, 3.9999984e-04, 5.5967586e-04], [1.8019974e-04, 5.4024078e-02, 4.7989476e-02, ..., 9.6521078e-04, 4.9394305e-04, 6.9071102e-04], ... [1.2557626e-04, 5.2146938e-02, 4.4861522e-02, ..., 7.5454166e-04, 3.6870872e-04, 5.2760565e-04], [2.9141663e-04, 5.2147657e-02, 4.6327230e-02, ..., 1.4129311e-03, 7.5284060e-04, 1.0318394e-03], [2.1493192e-04, 5.2805785e-02, 4.6186246e-02, ..., 1.1376499e-03, 5.8508699e-04, 8.1617729e-04]], [[2.1600875e-04, 4.9936473e-02, 4.4821482e-02, ..., 1.0812926e-03, 5.6865608e-04, 7.8445242e-04], [1.9246081e-04, 5.8465261e-02, 5.1906031e-02, ..., 1.0343990e-03, 5.2861677e-04, 7.3971000e-04], [9.4921947e-05, 5.3286966e-02, 4.5983113e-02, ..., 6.0057751e-04, 2.8741377e-04, 4.1556594e-04], ..., [1.3525398e-04, 5.7423245e-02, 5.0665863e-02, ..., 7.8322267e-04, 3.8839414e-04, 5.5169925e-04], [7.4915115e-05, 6.2082883e-02, 5.4051556e-02, ..., 5.0360576e-04, 2.3518252e-04, 3.4421956e-04], [9.3100716e-05, 6.0508542e-02, 5.3234272e-02, ..., 5.8794912e-04, 2.8155118e-04, 4.0695482e-04]]], dtype=float32) - incidence_2025_26_age_18_49_years(chain, draw, date_ranges_2025_26)float320.007066 0.02274 ... 0.02223
array([[[0.00706634, 0.0227415 , 0.00439576, ..., 0.01321432, 0.00071865, 0.02415957], [0.00686278, 0.02006326, 0.00441309, ..., 0.01222504, 0.00080503, 0.02120099], [0.00732561, 0.02570934, 0.00441653, ..., 0.01433395, 0.00065026, 0.0274032 ], ..., [0.01028774, 0.02194396, 0.00738213, ..., 0.01563609, 0.00193797, 0.0227275 ], [0.0099542 , 0.02283807, 0.0069845 , ..., 0.01565242, 0.00170807, 0.02381926], [0.00973463, 0.02494838, 0.00652807, ..., 0.01627851, 0.0013626 , 0.02608992]], [[0.00891614, 0.02097689, 0.00627912, ..., 0.01404836, 0.00157888, 0.02209549], [0.00979776, 0.02217151, 0.00671074, ..., 0.01568334, 0.00146273, 0.02267313], [0.00921197, 0.02227566, 0.00624403, ..., 0.01508334, 0.00133536, 0.02306333], ... [0.00557236, 0.02338906, 0.00327166, ..., 0.01154783, 0.00045431, 0.02587207], [0.00655033, 0.02329203, 0.00396724, ..., 0.01279335, 0.00059785, 0.02501867], [0.00462024, 0.02503041, 0.00251159, ..., 0.01077994, 0.00027108, 0.02827911]], [[0.00638254, 0.02260038, 0.00385864, ..., 0.01247698, 0.00057634, 0.02420936], [0.00540627, 0.02344882, 0.00310398, ..., 0.01151282, 0.00039637, 0.02573939], [0.00511285, 0.02002665, 0.00302768, ..., 0.01038113, 0.00042728, 0.02180158], ..., [0.00825767, 0.02187698, 0.00553329, ..., 0.01390989, 0.00116601, 0.02309526], [0.00548785, 0.02092746, 0.00324267, ..., 0.01111165, 0.00044999, 0.0225452 ], [0.00539699, 0.02060849, 0.00319283, ..., 0.01091784, 0.00044547, 0.02223255]]], dtype=float32) - incidence_2025_26_age_50_64_years(chain, draw, date_ranges_2025_26)float320.006357 0.03 ... 0.0005095 0.03415
array([[[0.00635734, 0.02999866, 0.00361199, ..., 0.01387687, 0.00045158, 0.03358676], [0.00675265, 0.0299085 , 0.00386218, ..., 0.01448612, 0.00048818, 0.0329554 ], [0.00735116, 0.03434307, 0.00415149, ..., 0.01611336, 0.00050501, 0.03811743], ..., [0.01168452, 0.03222288, 0.00777733, ..., 0.01995591, 0.00161557, 0.03427659], [0.01138431, 0.03234974, 0.00742033, ..., 0.01992466, 0.00142109, 0.03421785], [0.01116418, 0.03467549, 0.00697641, ..., 0.02065058, 0.00114909, 0.03655814]], [[0.01003932, 0.02986958, 0.00660946, ..., 0.01757038, 0.00134537, 0.03228162], [0.01254584, 0.0324359 , 0.00823171, ..., 0.02142387, 0.00156638, 0.03350524], [0.00971235, 0.03616517, 0.00573246, ..., 0.01960065, 0.00078635, 0.03863069], ... [0.00703283, 0.02874793, 0.0041796 , ..., 0.01433976, 0.00060616, 0.03183641], [0.00928705, 0.03828325, 0.00528957, ..., 0.01975227, 0.00064481, 0.04105171], [0.00766041, 0.02793444, 0.00465786, ..., 0.01497583, 0.00071921, 0.0303428 ]], [[0.00898324, 0.03503941, 0.00527278, ..., 0.01837948, 0.00071637, 0.03782175], [0.00826638, 0.0322476 , 0.00497757, ..., 0.01650933, 0.00075265, 0.0355362 ], [0.00745202, 0.03028265, 0.00434667, ..., 0.01545131, 0.00058207, 0.03295897], ..., [0.01267313, 0.03338628, 0.00844767, ..., 0.02142198, 0.00173543, 0.0350585 ], [0.00745699, 0.0324742 , 0.0042193 , ..., 0.01611758, 0.00050801, 0.03525852], [0.00733783, 0.03148701, 0.00417058, ..., 0.01575007, 0.00050947, 0.03414904]]], dtype=float32) - incidence_2025_26_age_65__years(chain, draw, date_ranges_2025_26)float320.00907 0.04424 ... 0.05329
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array([[-0.6659173 , -0.66676694, -0.6759527 , ..., -0.5809914 , -0.53357977, -0.54999626], [-0.61172664, -0.55649954, -0.5804412 , ..., -0.6668964 , -0.69568825, -0.64501846], [-0.7264688 , -0.6777811 , -0.6124433 , ..., -0.72800696, -0.68638307, -0.6104085 ], [-0.7937727 , -0.6740931 , -0.7153082 , ..., -0.65241146, -0.74794 , -0.74850905]], dtype=float32) - m_2021_22_age_18_49_years_daily(chain, draw, days_2021_22)float32-0.6659 -0.6659 ... -0.7485 -0.7485
array([[[-0.6659173 , -0.6659173 , -0.6659173 , ..., -0.6659173 , -0.6659173 , -0.6659173 ], [-0.66676694, -0.66676694, -0.66676694, ..., -0.66676694, -0.66676694, -0.66676694], [-0.6759527 , -0.6759527 , -0.6759527 , ..., -0.6759527 , -0.6759527 , -0.6759527 ], ..., [-0.5809914 , -0.5809914 , -0.5809914 , ..., -0.5809914 , -0.5809914 , -0.5809914 ], [-0.53357977, -0.53357977, -0.53357977, ..., -0.53357977, -0.53357977, -0.53357977], [-0.54999626, -0.54999626, -0.54999626, ..., -0.54999626, -0.54999626, -0.54999626]], [[-0.61172664, -0.61172664, -0.61172664, ..., -0.61172664, -0.61172664, -0.61172664], [-0.55649954, -0.55649954, -0.55649954, ..., -0.55649954, -0.55649954, -0.55649954], [-0.5804412 , -0.5804412 , -0.5804412 , ..., -0.5804412 , -0.5804412 , -0.5804412 ], ... [-0.72800696, -0.72800696, -0.72800696, ..., -0.72800696, -0.72800696, -0.72800696], [-0.68638307, -0.68638307, -0.68638307, ..., -0.68638307, -0.68638307, -0.68638307], [-0.6104085 , -0.6104085 , -0.6104085 , ..., -0.6104085 , -0.6104085 , -0.6104085 ]], [[-0.7937727 , -0.7937727 , -0.7937727 , ..., -0.7937727 , -0.7937727 , -0.7937727 ], [-0.6740931 , -0.6740931 , -0.6740931 , ..., -0.6740931 , -0.6740931 , -0.6740931 ], [-0.7153082 , -0.7153082 , -0.7153082 , ..., -0.7153082 , -0.7153082 , -0.7153082 ], ..., [-0.65241146, -0.65241146, -0.65241146, ..., -0.65241146, -0.65241146, -0.65241146], [-0.74794 , -0.74794 , -0.74794 , ..., -0.74794 , -0.74794 , -0.74794 ], [-0.74850905, -0.74850905, -0.74850905, ..., -0.74850905, -0.74850905, -0.74850905]]], dtype=float32) - m_2021_22_age_50_64_years(chain, draw)float32-0.05186 -0.1864 ... -0.1716
array([[-0.05185694, -0.18637836, -0.1387853 , ..., -0.12075195, -0.02524507, -0.01387447], [-0.12869638, -0.00233692, -0.03114045, ..., -0.03088534, -0.10944444, -0.15609485], [-0.08351862, -0.1488899 , -0.05968851, ..., -0.14879602, -0.10326201, -0.01097912], [-0.10246295, -0.17117256, -0.05144942, ..., 0.05137265, -0.16805357, -0.17164552]], dtype=float32) - m_2021_22_age_50_64_years_daily(chain, draw, days_2021_22)float32-0.05186 -0.05186 ... -0.1716
array([[[-0.05185694, -0.05185694, -0.05185694, ..., -0.05185694, -0.05185694, -0.05185694], [-0.18637836, -0.18637836, -0.18637836, ..., -0.18637836, -0.18637836, -0.18637836], [-0.1387853 , -0.1387853 , -0.1387853 , ..., -0.1387853 , -0.1387853 , -0.1387853 ], ..., [-0.12075195, -0.12075195, -0.12075195, ..., -0.12075195, -0.12075195, -0.12075195], [-0.02524507, -0.02524507, -0.02524507, ..., -0.02524507, -0.02524507, -0.02524507], [-0.01387447, -0.01387447, -0.01387447, ..., -0.01387447, -0.01387447, -0.01387447]], [[-0.12869638, -0.12869638, -0.12869638, ..., -0.12869638, -0.12869638, -0.12869638], [-0.00233692, -0.00233692, -0.00233692, ..., -0.00233692, -0.00233692, -0.00233692], [-0.03114045, -0.03114045, -0.03114045, ..., -0.03114045, -0.03114045, -0.03114045], ... [-0.14879602, -0.14879602, -0.14879602, ..., -0.14879602, -0.14879602, -0.14879602], [-0.10326201, -0.10326201, -0.10326201, ..., -0.10326201, -0.10326201, -0.10326201], [-0.01097912, -0.01097912, -0.01097912, ..., -0.01097912, -0.01097912, -0.01097912]], [[-0.10246295, -0.10246295, -0.10246295, ..., -0.10246295, -0.10246295, -0.10246295], [-0.17117256, -0.17117256, -0.17117256, ..., -0.17117256, -0.17117256, -0.17117256], [-0.05144942, -0.05144942, -0.05144942, ..., -0.05144942, -0.05144942, -0.05144942], ..., [ 0.05137265, 0.05137265, 0.05137265, ..., 0.05137265, 0.05137265, 0.05137265], [-0.16805357, -0.16805357, -0.16805357, ..., -0.16805357, -0.16805357, -0.16805357], [-0.17164552, -0.17164552, -0.17164552, ..., -0.17164552, -0.17164552, -0.17164552]]], dtype=float32) - m_2021_22_age_65__years(chain, draw)float320.6665 0.6712 ... 0.6007 0.5853
array([[0.6665473 , 0.67123073, 0.436517 , ..., 0.6416502 , 0.66006976, 0.6523725 ], [0.5540154 , 0.6228828 , 0.5073362 , ..., 0.6065244 , 0.68681157, 0.56760514], [0.57922494, 0.6523397 , 0.7301661 , ..., 0.61626446, 0.53920645, 0.6008964 ], [0.6912266 , 0.65242076, 0.6689236 , ..., 0.6375927 , 0.60071355, 0.5852598 ]], dtype=float32) - m_2021_22_age_65__years_daily(chain, draw, days_2021_22)float320.6665 0.6665 ... 0.5853 0.5853
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array([[-0.6008781 , -0.6243777 , -0.6313408 , ..., -0.53264546, -0.5496062 , -0.56627446], [-0.5586274 , -0.57846475, -0.57332075, ..., -0.58047175, -0.70188737, -0.61545205], [-0.69972193, -0.6007601 , -0.6263884 , ..., -0.59309083, -0.64634997, -0.5885206 ], [-0.69717777, -0.6715874 , -0.70230716, ..., -0.6468777 , -0.62881917, -0.6327635 ]], dtype=float32) - m_2022_23_age_18_49_years_daily(chain, draw, days_2022_23)float32-0.6009 -0.6009 ... -0.6328 -0.6328
array([[[-0.6008781 , -0.6008781 , -0.6008781 , ..., -0.6008781 , -0.6008781 , -0.6008781 ], [-0.6243777 , -0.6243777 , -0.6243777 , ..., -0.6243777 , -0.6243777 , -0.6243777 ], [-0.6313408 , -0.6313408 , -0.6313408 , ..., -0.6313408 , -0.6313408 , -0.6313408 ], ..., [-0.53264546, -0.53264546, -0.53264546, ..., -0.53264546, -0.53264546, -0.53264546], [-0.5496062 , -0.5496062 , -0.5496062 , ..., -0.5496062 , -0.5496062 , -0.5496062 ], [-0.56627446, -0.56627446, -0.56627446, ..., -0.56627446, -0.56627446, -0.56627446]], [[-0.5586274 , -0.5586274 , -0.5586274 , ..., -0.5586274 , -0.5586274 , -0.5586274 ], [-0.57846475, -0.57846475, -0.57846475, ..., -0.57846475, -0.57846475, -0.57846475], [-0.57332075, -0.57332075, -0.57332075, ..., -0.57332075, -0.57332075, -0.57332075], ... [-0.59309083, -0.59309083, -0.59309083, ..., -0.59309083, -0.59309083, -0.59309083], [-0.64634997, -0.64634997, -0.64634997, ..., -0.64634997, -0.64634997, -0.64634997], [-0.5885206 , -0.5885206 , -0.5885206 , ..., -0.5885206 , -0.5885206 , -0.5885206 ]], [[-0.69717777, -0.69717777, -0.69717777, ..., -0.69717777, -0.69717777, -0.69717777], [-0.6715874 , -0.6715874 , -0.6715874 , ..., -0.6715874 , -0.6715874 , -0.6715874 ], [-0.70230716, -0.70230716, -0.70230716, ..., -0.70230716, -0.70230716, -0.70230716], ..., [-0.6468777 , -0.6468777 , -0.6468777 , ..., -0.6468777 , -0.6468777 , -0.6468777 ], [-0.62881917, -0.62881917, -0.62881917, ..., -0.62881917, -0.62881917, -0.62881917], [-0.6327635 , -0.6327635 , -0.6327635 , ..., -0.6327635 , -0.6327635 , -0.6327635 ]]], dtype=float32) - m_2022_23_age_50_64_years(chain, draw)float32-0.01202 -0.04907 ... -0.003875
array([[-0.01202172, -0.04907078, 0.03888828, ..., 0.05432659, 0.03476906, 0.00962347], [-0.00972688, 0.00720048, -0.00156361, ..., 0.02903825, -0.02927583, -0.00548959], [ 0.04971039, 0.02203572, -0.05804193, ..., 0.02730185, 0.03972578, 0.09525162], [-0.01522756, 0.02361989, 0.0088017 , ..., 0.02117664, 0.0171504 , -0.00387466]], dtype=float32) - m_2022_23_age_50_64_years_daily(chain, draw, days_2022_23)float32-0.01202 -0.01202 ... -0.003875
array([[[-0.01202172, -0.01202172, -0.01202172, ..., -0.01202172, -0.01202172, -0.01202172], [-0.04907078, -0.04907078, -0.04907078, ..., -0.04907078, -0.04907078, -0.04907078], [ 0.03888828, 0.03888828, 0.03888828, ..., 0.03888828, 0.03888828, 0.03888828], ..., [ 0.05432659, 0.05432659, 0.05432659, ..., 0.05432659, 0.05432659, 0.05432659], [ 0.03476906, 0.03476906, 0.03476906, ..., 0.03476906, 0.03476906, 0.03476906], [ 0.00962347, 0.00962347, 0.00962347, ..., 0.00962347, 0.00962347, 0.00962347]], [[-0.00972688, -0.00972688, -0.00972688, ..., -0.00972688, -0.00972688, -0.00972688], [ 0.00720048, 0.00720048, 0.00720048, ..., 0.00720048, 0.00720048, 0.00720048], [-0.00156361, -0.00156361, -0.00156361, ..., -0.00156361, -0.00156361, -0.00156361], ... [ 0.02730185, 0.02730185, 0.02730185, ..., 0.02730185, 0.02730185, 0.02730185], [ 0.03972578, 0.03972578, 0.03972578, ..., 0.03972578, 0.03972578, 0.03972578], [ 0.09525162, 0.09525162, 0.09525162, ..., 0.09525162, 0.09525162, 0.09525162]], [[-0.01522756, -0.01522756, -0.01522756, ..., -0.01522756, -0.01522756, -0.01522756], [ 0.02361989, 0.02361989, 0.02361989, ..., 0.02361989, 0.02361989, 0.02361989], [ 0.0088017 , 0.0088017 , 0.0088017 , ..., 0.0088017 , 0.0088017 , 0.0088017 ], ..., [ 0.02117664, 0.02117664, 0.02117664, ..., 0.02117664, 0.02117664, 0.02117664], [ 0.0171504 , 0.0171504 , 0.0171504 , ..., 0.0171504 , 0.0171504 , 0.0171504 ], [-0.00387466, -0.00387466, -0.00387466, ..., -0.00387466, -0.00387466, -0.00387466]]], dtype=float32) - m_2022_23_age_65__years(chain, draw)float320.6764 0.737 ... 0.7143 0.6936
array([[0.6764108 , 0.7369715 , 0.6656861 , ..., 0.7009337 , 0.6696795 , 0.67972237], [0.69729656, 0.645787 , 0.69315696, ..., 0.70441544, 0.6880065 , 0.6154946 ], [0.6220201 , 0.75055647, 0.7021753 , ..., 0.7736307 , 0.70628685, 0.6532679 ], [0.7746762 , 0.7555737 , 0.7033182 , ..., 0.72043127, 0.7142802 , 0.6935898 ]], dtype=float32) - m_2022_23_age_65__years_daily(chain, draw, days_2022_23)float320.6764 0.6764 ... 0.6936 0.6936
array([[[0.6764108 , 0.6764108 , 0.6764108 , ..., 0.6764108 , 0.6764108 , 0.6764108 ], [0.7369715 , 0.7369715 , 0.7369715 , ..., 0.7369715 , 0.7369715 , 0.7369715 ], [0.6656861 , 0.6656861 , 0.6656861 , ..., 0.6656861 , 0.6656861 , 0.6656861 ], ..., [0.7009337 , 0.7009337 , 0.7009337 , ..., 0.7009337 , 0.7009337 , 0.7009337 ], [0.6696795 , 0.6696795 , 0.6696795 , ..., 0.6696795 , 0.6696795 , 0.6696795 ], [0.67972237, 0.67972237, 0.67972237, ..., 0.67972237, 0.67972237, 0.67972237]], [[0.69729656, 0.69729656, 0.69729656, ..., 0.69729656, 0.69729656, 0.69729656], [0.645787 , 0.645787 , 0.645787 , ..., 0.645787 , 0.645787 , 0.645787 ], [0.69315696, 0.69315696, 0.69315696, ..., 0.69315696, 0.69315696, 0.69315696], ... [0.7736307 , 0.7736307 , 0.7736307 , ..., 0.7736307 , 0.7736307 , 0.7736307 ], [0.70628685, 0.70628685, 0.70628685, ..., 0.70628685, 0.70628685, 0.70628685], [0.6532679 , 0.6532679 , 0.6532679 , ..., 0.6532679 , 0.6532679 , 0.6532679 ]], [[0.7746762 , 0.7746762 , 0.7746762 , ..., 0.7746762 , 0.7746762 , 0.7746762 ], [0.7555737 , 0.7555737 , 0.7555737 , ..., 0.7555737 , 0.7555737 , 0.7555737 ], [0.7033182 , 0.7033182 , 0.7033182 , ..., 0.7033182 , 0.7033182 , 0.7033182 ], ..., [0.72043127, 0.72043127, 0.72043127, ..., 0.72043127, 0.72043127, 0.72043127], [0.7142802 , 0.7142802 , 0.7142802 , ..., 0.7142802 , 0.7142802 , 0.7142802 ], [0.6935898 , 0.6935898 , 0.6935898 , ..., 0.6935898 , 0.6935898 , 0.6935898 ]]], dtype=float32) - m_2023_24_age_18_49_years(chain, draw)float32-0.833 -0.6656 ... -0.8334 -0.8502
array([[-0.8330322 , -0.6655928 , -0.6759381 , ..., -0.5779692 , -0.58976215, -0.5786864 ], [-0.6901408 , -0.6506097 , -0.65878546, ..., -0.81731325, -0.68954057, -0.7445216 ], [-0.7561958 , -0.6655172 , -0.59371716, ..., -0.792033 , -0.7518171 , -0.6500955 ], [-0.9431632 , -0.81835645, -0.7766861 , ..., -0.8992613 , -0.8333825 , -0.85024244]], dtype=float32) - m_2023_24_age_18_49_years_daily(chain, draw, days_2023_24)float32-0.833 -0.833 ... -0.8502 -0.8502
array([[[-0.8330322 , -0.8330322 , -0.8330322 , ..., -0.8330322 , -0.8330322 , -0.8330322 ], [-0.6655928 , -0.6655928 , -0.6655928 , ..., -0.6655928 , -0.6655928 , -0.6655928 ], [-0.6759381 , -0.6759381 , -0.6759381 , ..., -0.6759381 , -0.6759381 , -0.6759381 ], ..., [-0.5779692 , -0.5779692 , -0.5779692 , ..., -0.5779692 , -0.5779692 , -0.5779692 ], [-0.58976215, -0.58976215, -0.58976215, ..., -0.58976215, -0.58976215, -0.58976215], [-0.5786864 , -0.5786864 , -0.5786864 , ..., -0.5786864 , -0.5786864 , -0.5786864 ]], [[-0.6901408 , -0.6901408 , -0.6901408 , ..., -0.6901408 , -0.6901408 , -0.6901408 ], [-0.6506097 , -0.6506097 , -0.6506097 , ..., -0.6506097 , -0.6506097 , -0.6506097 ], [-0.65878546, -0.65878546, -0.65878546, ..., -0.65878546, -0.65878546, -0.65878546], ... [-0.792033 , -0.792033 , -0.792033 , ..., -0.792033 , -0.792033 , -0.792033 ], [-0.7518171 , -0.7518171 , -0.7518171 , ..., -0.7518171 , -0.7518171 , -0.7518171 ], [-0.6500955 , -0.6500955 , -0.6500955 , ..., -0.6500955 , -0.6500955 , -0.6500955 ]], [[-0.9431632 , -0.9431632 , -0.9431632 , ..., -0.9431632 , -0.9431632 , -0.9431632 ], [-0.81835645, -0.81835645, -0.81835645, ..., -0.81835645, -0.81835645, -0.81835645], [-0.7766861 , -0.7766861 , -0.7766861 , ..., -0.7766861 , -0.7766861 , -0.7766861 ], ..., [-0.8992613 , -0.8992613 , -0.8992613 , ..., -0.8992613 , -0.8992613 , -0.8992613 ], [-0.8333825 , -0.8333825 , -0.8333825 , ..., -0.8333825 , -0.8333825 , -0.8333825 ], [-0.85024244, -0.85024244, -0.85024244, ..., -0.85024244, -0.85024244, -0.85024244]]], dtype=float32) - m_2023_24_age_50_64_years(chain, draw)float32-0.4072 -0.1223 ... -0.2799 -0.2956
array([[-0.40721697, -0.12228626, -0.04915923, ..., -0.15437272, -0.18506104, -0.15923926], [-0.18336523, -0.10579276, -0.09540212, ..., -0.15999937, -0.18437064, -0.13923442], [-0.09945601, -0.17357928, -0.09685478, ..., -0.20646709, -0.14243186, -0.11059147], [-0.25300568, -0.2665168 , -0.07602715, ..., -0.18629009, -0.2799437 , -0.29561573]], dtype=float32) - m_2023_24_age_50_64_years_daily(chain, draw, days_2023_24)float32-0.4072 -0.4072 ... -0.2956 -0.2956
array([[[-0.40721697, -0.40721697, -0.40721697, ..., -0.40721697, -0.40721697, -0.40721697], [-0.12228626, -0.12228626, -0.12228626, ..., -0.12228626, -0.12228626, -0.12228626], [-0.04915923, -0.04915923, -0.04915923, ..., -0.04915923, -0.04915923, -0.04915923], ..., [-0.15437272, -0.15437272, -0.15437272, ..., -0.15437272, -0.15437272, -0.15437272], [-0.18506104, -0.18506104, -0.18506104, ..., -0.18506104, -0.18506104, -0.18506104], [-0.15923926, -0.15923926, -0.15923926, ..., -0.15923926, -0.15923926, -0.15923926]], [[-0.18336523, -0.18336523, -0.18336523, ..., -0.18336523, -0.18336523, -0.18336523], [-0.10579276, -0.10579276, -0.10579276, ..., -0.10579276, -0.10579276, -0.10579276], [-0.09540212, -0.09540212, -0.09540212, ..., -0.09540212, -0.09540212, -0.09540212], ... [-0.20646709, -0.20646709, -0.20646709, ..., -0.20646709, -0.20646709, -0.20646709], [-0.14243186, -0.14243186, -0.14243186, ..., -0.14243186, -0.14243186, -0.14243186], [-0.11059147, -0.11059147, -0.11059147, ..., -0.11059147, -0.11059147, -0.11059147]], [[-0.25300568, -0.25300568, -0.25300568, ..., -0.25300568, -0.25300568, -0.25300568], [-0.2665168 , -0.2665168 , -0.2665168 , ..., -0.2665168 , -0.2665168 , -0.2665168 ], [-0.07602715, -0.07602715, -0.07602715, ..., -0.07602715, -0.07602715, -0.07602715], ..., [-0.18629009, -0.18629009, -0.18629009, ..., -0.18629009, -0.18629009, -0.18629009], [-0.2799437 , -0.2799437 , -0.2799437 , ..., -0.2799437 , -0.2799437 , -0.2799437 ], [-0.29561573, -0.29561573, -0.29561573, ..., -0.29561573, -0.29561573, -0.29561573]]], dtype=float32) - m_2023_24_age_65__years(chain, draw)float320.4587 0.586 ... 0.6236 0.6303
array([[0.45874327, 0.5860307 , 0.5570692 , ..., 0.6642581 , 0.57260424, 0.64343435], [0.5027146 , 0.4981081 , 0.51542914, ..., 0.34681624, 0.7423648 , 0.5120667 ], [0.55562127, 0.6893854 , 0.7242183 , ..., 0.52041155, 0.5772548 , 0.599942 ], [0.48343903, 0.7114325 , 0.44802582, ..., 0.3936978 , 0.62356496, 0.63033444]], dtype=float32) - m_2023_24_age_65__years_daily(chain, draw, days_2023_24)float320.4587 0.4587 ... 0.6303 0.6303
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array([[-0.72119015, -0.7379301 , -0.7174644 , ..., -0.6719996 , -0.59864354, -0.54789484], [-0.6529152 , -0.7213359 , -0.66269886, ..., -0.7151064 , -0.79472053, -0.79000235], [-0.7179115 , -0.6763077 , -0.7168444 , ..., -1.0188992 , -0.662904 , -0.74947804], [-1.0700535 , -0.81939703, -1.1197625 , ..., -0.81350595, -0.9049599 , -0.892784 ]], dtype=float32) - m_2024_25_age_18_49_years_daily(chain, draw, days_2024_25)float32-0.7212 -0.7212 ... -0.8928 -0.8928
array([[[-0.72119015, -0.72119015, -0.72119015, ..., -0.72119015, -0.72119015, -0.72119015], [-0.7379301 , -0.7379301 , -0.7379301 , ..., -0.7379301 , -0.7379301 , -0.7379301 ], [-0.7174644 , -0.7174644 , -0.7174644 , ..., -0.7174644 , -0.7174644 , -0.7174644 ], ..., [-0.6719996 , -0.6719996 , -0.6719996 , ..., -0.6719996 , -0.6719996 , -0.6719996 ], [-0.59864354, -0.59864354, -0.59864354, ..., -0.59864354, -0.59864354, -0.59864354], [-0.54789484, -0.54789484, -0.54789484, ..., -0.54789484, -0.54789484, -0.54789484]], [[-0.6529152 , -0.6529152 , -0.6529152 , ..., -0.6529152 , -0.6529152 , -0.6529152 ], [-0.7213359 , -0.7213359 , -0.7213359 , ..., -0.7213359 , -0.7213359 , -0.7213359 ], [-0.66269886, -0.66269886, -0.66269886, ..., -0.66269886, -0.66269886, -0.66269886], ... [-1.0188992 , -1.0188992 , -1.0188992 , ..., -1.0188992 , -1.0188992 , -1.0188992 ], [-0.662904 , -0.662904 , -0.662904 , ..., -0.662904 , -0.662904 , -0.662904 ], [-0.74947804, -0.74947804, -0.74947804, ..., -0.74947804, -0.74947804, -0.74947804]], [[-1.0700535 , -1.0700535 , -1.0700535 , ..., -1.0700535 , -1.0700535 , -1.0700535 ], [-0.81939703, -0.81939703, -0.81939703, ..., -0.81939703, -0.81939703, -0.81939703], [-1.1197625 , -1.1197625 , -1.1197625 , ..., -1.1197625 , -1.1197625 , -1.1197625 ], ..., [-0.81350595, -0.81350595, -0.81350595, ..., -0.81350595, -0.81350595, -0.81350595], [-0.9049599 , -0.9049599 , -0.9049599 , ..., -0.9049599 , -0.9049599 , -0.9049599 ], [-0.892784 , -0.892784 , -0.892784 , ..., -0.892784 , -0.892784 , -0.892784 ]]], dtype=float32) - m_2024_25_age_50_64_years(chain, draw)float32-0.3727 -0.211 ... -0.2624 -0.3082
array([[-0.37268677, -0.2110213 , -0.15430903, ..., -0.27357933, -0.13259557, -0.09318811], [-0.25799018, -0.17360616, -0.12179637, ..., -0.09699869, -0.2864412 , -0.3692161 ], [-0.3467668 , -0.19401169, -0.2346484 , ..., -0.31150687, -0.2298477 , -0.07733548], [-0.2921639 , -0.15547359, -0.48471278, ..., -0.08293384, -0.2624045 , -0.30820155]], dtype=float32) - m_2024_25_age_50_64_years_daily(chain, draw, days_2024_25)float32-0.3727 -0.3727 ... -0.3082 -0.3082
array([[[-0.37268677, -0.37268677, -0.37268677, ..., -0.37268677, -0.37268677, -0.37268677], [-0.2110213 , -0.2110213 , -0.2110213 , ..., -0.2110213 , -0.2110213 , -0.2110213 ], [-0.15430903, -0.15430903, -0.15430903, ..., -0.15430903, -0.15430903, -0.15430903], ..., [-0.27357933, -0.27357933, -0.27357933, ..., -0.27357933, -0.27357933, -0.27357933], [-0.13259557, -0.13259557, -0.13259557, ..., -0.13259557, -0.13259557, -0.13259557], [-0.09318811, -0.09318811, -0.09318811, ..., -0.09318811, -0.09318811, -0.09318811]], [[-0.25799018, -0.25799018, -0.25799018, ..., -0.25799018, -0.25799018, -0.25799018], [-0.17360616, -0.17360616, -0.17360616, ..., -0.17360616, -0.17360616, -0.17360616], [-0.12179637, -0.12179637, -0.12179637, ..., -0.12179637, -0.12179637, -0.12179637], ... [-0.31150687, -0.31150687, -0.31150687, ..., -0.31150687, -0.31150687, -0.31150687], [-0.2298477 , -0.2298477 , -0.2298477 , ..., -0.2298477 , -0.2298477 , -0.2298477 ], [-0.07733548, -0.07733548, -0.07733548, ..., -0.07733548, -0.07733548, -0.07733548]], [[-0.2921639 , -0.2921639 , -0.2921639 , ..., -0.2921639 , -0.2921639 , -0.2921639 ], [-0.15547359, -0.15547359, -0.15547359, ..., -0.15547359, -0.15547359, -0.15547359], [-0.48471278, -0.48471278, -0.48471278, ..., -0.48471278, -0.48471278, -0.48471278], ..., [-0.08293384, -0.08293384, -0.08293384, ..., -0.08293384, -0.08293384, -0.08293384], [-0.2624045 , -0.2624045 , -0.2624045 , ..., -0.2624045 , -0.2624045 , -0.2624045 ], [-0.30820155, -0.30820155, -0.30820155, ..., -0.30820155, -0.30820155, -0.30820155]]], dtype=float32) - m_2024_25_age_65__years(chain, draw)float320.5931 0.5837 ... 0.491 0.4868
array([[0.5930883 , 0.58366686, 0.3814562 , ..., 0.5906652 , 0.546185 , 0.6650914 ], [0.56251067, 0.37452292, 0.44708264, ..., 0.62271196, 0.53792596, 0.37646532], [0.586555 , 0.6684514 , 0.6173615 , ..., 0.31375837, 0.5531571 , 0.49505955], [0.328305 , 0.65928596, 0.25937736, ..., 0.492364 , 0.4910475 , 0.4867785 ]], dtype=float32) - m_2024_25_age_65__years_daily(chain, draw, days_2024_25)float320.5931 0.5931 ... 0.4868 0.4868
array([[[0.5930883 , 0.5930883 , 0.5930883 , ..., 0.5930883 , 0.5930883 , 0.5930883 ], [0.58366686, 0.58366686, 0.58366686, ..., 0.58366686, 0.58366686, 0.58366686], [0.3814562 , 0.3814562 , 0.3814562 , ..., 0.3814562 , 0.3814562 , 0.3814562 ], ..., [0.5906652 , 0.5906652 , 0.5906652 , ..., 0.5906652 , 0.5906652 , 0.5906652 ], [0.546185 , 0.546185 , 0.546185 , ..., 0.546185 , 0.546185 , 0.546185 ], [0.6650914 , 0.6650914 , 0.6650914 , ..., 0.6650914 , 0.6650914 , 0.6650914 ]], [[0.56251067, 0.56251067, 0.56251067, ..., 0.56251067, 0.56251067, 0.56251067], [0.37452292, 0.37452292, 0.37452292, ..., 0.37452292, 0.37452292, 0.37452292], [0.44708264, 0.44708264, 0.44708264, ..., 0.44708264, 0.44708264, 0.44708264], ... [0.31375837, 0.31375837, 0.31375837, ..., 0.31375837, 0.31375837, 0.31375837], [0.5531571 , 0.5531571 , 0.5531571 , ..., 0.5531571 , 0.5531571 , 0.5531571 ], [0.49505955, 0.49505955, 0.49505955, ..., 0.49505955, 0.49505955, 0.49505955]], [[0.328305 , 0.328305 , 0.328305 , ..., 0.328305 , 0.328305 , 0.328305 ], [0.65928596, 0.65928596, 0.65928596, ..., 0.65928596, 0.65928596, 0.65928596], [0.25937736, 0.25937736, 0.25937736, ..., 0.25937736, 0.25937736, 0.25937736], ..., [0.492364 , 0.492364 , 0.492364 , ..., 0.492364 , 0.492364 , 0.492364 ], [0.4910475 , 0.4910475 , 0.4910475 , ..., 0.4910475 , 0.4910475 , 0.4910475 ], [0.4867785 , 0.4867785 , 0.4867785 , ..., 0.4867785 , 0.4867785 , 0.4867785 ]]], dtype=float32) - m_2025_26_age_18_49_years(chain, draw)float32-0.7461 -0.8606 ... -0.9373 -0.9495
array([[-0.7460687 , -0.86058867, -0.63214386, ..., -0.48041096, -0.45496097, -0.45506638], [-0.50893337, -0.6817337 , -0.6509375 , ..., -0.7464268 , -0.7794493 , -0.61698014], [-0.71903414, -0.5306432 , -0.5396216 , ..., -0.658474 , -0.73230875, -0.6668891 ], [-0.7942544 , -0.7627954 , -0.945003 , ..., -0.61154246, -0.9372587 , -0.9495183 ]], dtype=float32) - m_2025_26_age_18_49_years_daily(chain, draw, days_2025_26)float32-0.7461 -0.7461 ... -0.9495 -0.9495
array([[[-0.7460687 , -0.7460687 , -0.7460687 , ..., -0.7460687 , -0.7460687 , -0.7460687 ], [-0.86058867, -0.86058867, -0.86058867, ..., -0.86058867, -0.86058867, -0.86058867], [-0.63214386, -0.63214386, -0.63214386, ..., -0.63214386, -0.63214386, -0.63214386], ..., [-0.48041096, -0.48041096, -0.48041096, ..., -0.48041096, -0.48041096, -0.48041096], [-0.45496097, -0.45496097, -0.45496097, ..., -0.45496097, -0.45496097, -0.45496097], [-0.45506638, -0.45506638, -0.45506638, ..., -0.45506638, -0.45506638, -0.45506638]], [[-0.50893337, -0.50893337, -0.50893337, ..., -0.50893337, -0.50893337, -0.50893337], [-0.6817337 , -0.6817337 , -0.6817337 , ..., -0.6817337 , -0.6817337 , -0.6817337 ], [-0.6509375 , -0.6509375 , -0.6509375 , ..., -0.6509375 , -0.6509375 , -0.6509375 ], ... [-0.658474 , -0.658474 , -0.658474 , ..., -0.658474 , -0.658474 , -0.658474 ], [-0.73230875, -0.73230875, -0.73230875, ..., -0.73230875, -0.73230875, -0.73230875], [-0.6668891 , -0.6668891 , -0.6668891 , ..., -0.6668891 , -0.6668891 , -0.6668891 ]], [[-0.7942544 , -0.7942544 , -0.7942544 , ..., -0.7942544 , -0.7942544 , -0.7942544 ], [-0.7627954 , -0.7627954 , -0.7627954 , ..., -0.7627954 , -0.7627954 , -0.7627954 ], [-0.945003 , -0.945003 , -0.945003 , ..., -0.945003 , -0.945003 , -0.945003 ], ..., [-0.61154246, -0.61154246, -0.61154246, ..., -0.61154246, -0.61154246, -0.61154246], [-0.9372587 , -0.9372587 , -0.9372587 , ..., -0.9372587 , -0.9372587 , -0.9372587 ], [-0.9495183 , -0.9495183 , -0.9495183 , ..., -0.9495183 , -0.9495183 , -0.9495183 ]]], dtype=float32) - m_2025_26_age_50_64_years(chain, draw)float32-0.2865 -0.3719 ... -0.3453 -0.39
array([[-0.28646237, -0.3718935 , -0.12282372, ..., 0.10476699, -0.02371141, -0.06699884], [ 0.04174781, -0.13526899, -0.10658491, ..., -0.14303792, -0.17252302, -0.21987927], [-0.41150072, -0.03723237, 0.04573637, ..., -0.2726633 , -0.09099334, -0.37210497], [-0.12624401, -0.0453704 , -0.3596822 , ..., 0.08185172, -0.3452574 , -0.39000952]], dtype=float32) - m_2025_26_age_50_64_years_daily(chain, draw, days_2025_26)float32-0.2865 -0.2865 ... -0.39 -0.39
array([[[-0.28646237, -0.28646237, -0.28646237, ..., -0.28646237, -0.28646237, -0.28646237], [-0.3718935 , -0.3718935 , -0.3718935 , ..., -0.3718935 , -0.3718935 , -0.3718935 ], [-0.12282372, -0.12282372, -0.12282372, ..., -0.12282372, -0.12282372, -0.12282372], ..., [ 0.10476699, 0.10476699, 0.10476699, ..., 0.10476699, 0.10476699, 0.10476699], [-0.02371141, -0.02371141, -0.02371141, ..., -0.02371141, -0.02371141, -0.02371141], [-0.06699884, -0.06699884, -0.06699884, ..., -0.06699884, -0.06699884, -0.06699884]], [[ 0.04174781, 0.04174781, 0.04174781, ..., 0.04174781, 0.04174781, 0.04174781], [-0.13526899, -0.13526899, -0.13526899, ..., -0.13526899, -0.13526899, -0.13526899], [-0.10658491, -0.10658491, -0.10658491, ..., -0.10658491, -0.10658491, -0.10658491], ... [-0.2726633 , -0.2726633 , -0.2726633 , ..., -0.2726633 , -0.2726633 , -0.2726633 ], [-0.09099334, -0.09099334, -0.09099334, ..., -0.09099334, -0.09099334, -0.09099334], [-0.37210497, -0.37210497, -0.37210497, ..., -0.37210497, -0.37210497, -0.37210497]], [[-0.12624401, -0.12624401, -0.12624401, ..., -0.12624401, -0.12624401, -0.12624401], [-0.0453704 , -0.0453704 , -0.0453704 , ..., -0.0453704 , -0.0453704 , -0.0453704 ], [-0.3596822 , -0.3596822 , -0.3596822 , ..., -0.3596822 , -0.3596822 , -0.3596822 ], ..., [ 0.08185172, 0.08185172, 0.08185172, ..., 0.08185172, 0.08185172, 0.08185172], [-0.3452574 , -0.3452574 , -0.3452574 , ..., -0.3452574 , -0.3452574 , -0.3452574 ], [-0.39000952, -0.39000952, -0.39000952, ..., -0.39000952, -0.39000952, -0.39000952]]], dtype=float32) - m_2025_26_age_65__years(chain, draw)float320.543 0.484 ... 0.5455 0.5465
array([[0.5429715 , 0.48396528, 0.51151764, ..., 0.7846972 , 0.67019236, 0.68871254], [0.744852 , 0.39849114, 0.5294723 , ..., 0.48309994, 0.59703785, 0.56994253], [0.61319023, 0.82037735, 0.7928846 , ..., 0.65236753, 0.6055876 , 0.58554554], [0.61831903, 0.78615993, 0.3940068 , ..., 0.5927526 , 0.54553294, 0.54649854]], dtype=float32) - m_2025_26_age_65__years_daily(chain, draw, days_2025_26)float320.543 0.543 0.543 ... 0.5465 0.5465
array([[[0.5429715 , 0.5429715 , 0.5429715 , ..., 0.5429715 , 0.5429715 , 0.5429715 ], [0.48396528, 0.48396528, 0.48396528, ..., 0.48396528, 0.48396528, 0.48396528], [0.51151764, 0.51151764, 0.51151764, ..., 0.51151764, 0.51151764, 0.51151764], ..., [0.7846972 , 0.7846972 , 0.7846972 , ..., 0.7846972 , 0.7846972 , 0.7846972 ], [0.67019236, 0.67019236, 0.67019236, ..., 0.67019236, 0.67019236, 0.67019236], [0.68871254, 0.68871254, 0.68871254, ..., 0.68871254, 0.68871254, 0.68871254]], [[0.744852 , 0.744852 , 0.744852 , ..., 0.744852 , 0.744852 , 0.744852 ], [0.39849114, 0.39849114, 0.39849114, ..., 0.39849114, 0.39849114, 0.39849114], [0.5294723 , 0.5294723 , 0.5294723 , ..., 0.5294723 , 0.5294723 , 0.5294723 ], ... [0.65236753, 0.65236753, 0.65236753, ..., 0.65236753, 0.65236753, 0.65236753], [0.6055876 , 0.6055876 , 0.6055876 , ..., 0.6055876 , 0.6055876 , 0.6055876 ], [0.58554554, 0.58554554, 0.58554554, ..., 0.58554554, 0.58554554, 0.58554554]], [[0.61831903, 0.61831903, 0.61831903, ..., 0.61831903, 0.61831903, 0.61831903], [0.78615993, 0.78615993, 0.78615993, ..., 0.78615993, 0.78615993, 0.78615993], [0.3940068 , 0.3940068 , 0.3940068 , ..., 0.3940068 , 0.3940068 , 0.3940068 ], ..., [0.5927526 , 0.5927526 , 0.5927526 , ..., 0.5927526 , 0.5927526 , 0.5927526 ], [0.54553294, 0.54553294, 0.54553294, ..., 0.54553294, 0.54553294, 0.54553294], [0.54649854, 0.54649854, 0.54649854, ..., 0.54649854, 0.54649854, 0.54649854]]], dtype=float32) - observation_mean(chain, draw, observation)float320.1623 0.09364 ... 0.000326
array([[[1.62283763e-01, 9.36358646e-02, 5.93204200e-02, ..., 1.14467554e-03, 8.44588678e-04, 6.22715277e-04], [1.62828907e-01, 9.43908244e-02, 5.89376390e-02, ..., 7.98708468e-04, 5.78264648e-04, 4.18443728e-04], [1.65287882e-01, 1.03218392e-01, 5.54531142e-02, ..., 3.83989565e-04, 2.62397138e-04, 1.79258728e-04], ..., [1.81851432e-01, 8.99453312e-02, 5.70791550e-02, ..., 1.40632794e-03, 1.04564708e-03, 7.76835950e-04], [1.85783178e-01, 9.62716565e-02, 5.98844066e-02, ..., 1.08510721e-03, 7.97459390e-04, 5.85669943e-04], [1.85831785e-01, 9.48752761e-02, 5.82739078e-02, ..., 8.75934260e-04, 6.29462942e-04, 4.52086097e-04]], [[1.73853531e-01, 9.78048593e-02, 5.84099554e-02, ..., 1.27792184e-03, 9.66661260e-04, 7.30683969e-04], [1.70617968e-01, 9.55132991e-02, 6.52642474e-02, ..., 5.55130246e-04, 3.88111686e-04, 2.71236524e-04], [1.66767359e-01, 9.12297815e-02, 6.44975230e-02, ..., 9.42859333e-04, 6.91968075e-04, 5.07523306e-04], ... [1.59880087e-01, 8.88832286e-02, 5.47285192e-02, ..., 7.36584363e-04, 5.23495662e-04, 3.71878763e-04], [1.83192477e-01, 9.24936384e-02, 4.61361334e-02, ..., 6.98696473e-04, 4.97702335e-04, 3.54349788e-04], [1.84988096e-01, 9.35737938e-02, 5.29176183e-02, ..., 5.52202400e-04, 3.86703439e-04, 2.70704564e-04]], [[1.65322125e-01, 8.35157186e-02, 4.58984114e-02, ..., 1.13250653e-03, 8.38501845e-04, 6.20381616e-04], [1.79023355e-01, 1.03320025e-01, 4.73525934e-02, ..., 6.49479858e-04, 4.55014408e-04, 3.18645820e-04], [1.69038162e-01, 9.33893546e-02, 5.07138558e-02, ..., 8.19935289e-04, 5.90471318e-04, 4.24978847e-04], ..., [1.83226600e-01, 9.48471054e-02, 4.94059883e-02, ..., 1.21530739e-03, 9.02375148e-04, 6.69526577e-04], [1.68682605e-01, 8.75084847e-02, 4.82512452e-02, ..., 6.16976351e-04, 4.37215698e-04, 3.09690775e-04], [1.66082546e-01, 8.81410539e-02, 4.95219193e-02, ..., 6.47030713e-04, 4.59402101e-04, 3.26045061e-04]]], dtype=float32) - observation_sim(chain, draw, observation)float320.1494 0.09382 ... 0.001462
array([[[ 1.4943093e-01, 9.3823560e-02, 7.5224146e-02, ..., 3.5280746e-03, -3.4984145e-03, -5.9456336e-03], [ 1.8311436e-01, 9.8697297e-02, 5.7232823e-02, ..., -4.3700347e-03, -7.9543740e-03, 5.2251335e-04], [ 1.6289493e-01, 9.5301300e-02, 5.3558774e-02, ..., -1.9036464e-03, -4.0720594e-03, -9.4042259e-04], ..., [ 2.0022734e-01, 8.4629685e-02, 5.6871668e-02, ..., -1.0274115e-02, -1.2308000e-02, 3.4740783e-04], [ 1.7746457e-01, 8.6471707e-02, 4.3926105e-02, ..., 2.8377241e-03, -3.3795598e-03, -7.8103412e-03], [ 2.0818883e-01, 8.3308578e-02, 5.6045827e-02, ..., 1.8016852e-02, -6.2447642e-03, -1.4287298e-02]], [[ 1.6799597e-01, 9.1105551e-02, 4.9920708e-02, ..., 2.9473444e-03, 3.0104332e-03, -5.1506474e-03], [ 1.6809841e-01, 1.0079105e-01, 5.7390753e-02, ..., 1.6885104e-03, -5.8666756e-03, 4.8830025e-03], [ 1.7895621e-01, 8.4047049e-02, 5.9028335e-02, ..., 7.9391077e-03, -3.3050410e-03, -1.5271787e-02], ... [ 1.6399118e-01, 9.2622951e-02, 4.0518697e-02, ..., -1.7043268e-03, -8.8138888e-03, -1.0019419e-02], [ 1.8186766e-01, 8.6980164e-02, 4.8921056e-02, ..., -2.0076539e-03, -1.1425207e-02, -5.1751658e-03], [ 1.9656922e-01, 9.1161244e-02, 5.0394028e-02, ..., -6.3257459e-05, 1.2636268e-02, -1.1184668e-03]], [[ 1.7016509e-01, 9.1002055e-02, 3.3688489e-02, ..., -3.6595033e-03, 7.4505531e-03, 1.5347383e-03], [ 1.9925565e-01, 1.1221511e-01, 5.1916018e-02, ..., 9.8998775e-04, 9.4826687e-03, -1.1188416e-02], [ 1.5229467e-01, 8.6388350e-02, 5.2749444e-02, ..., 2.9303201e-03, 1.1455920e-02, 2.8512804e-03], ..., [ 2.3678809e-01, 1.0847345e-01, 4.1959960e-02, ..., 8.2385754e-03, -8.6296191e-03, 7.6858918e-03], [ 1.6541487e-01, 8.8969059e-02, 5.9481688e-02, ..., 2.7243085e-03, -2.3895488e-03, 9.2077786e-03], [ 1.4637829e-01, 9.9758387e-02, 6.2683657e-02, ..., 9.9935839e-03, -1.4221221e-02, 1.4623324e-03]]], dtype=float32) - r_2021_22_age_18_49_years(chain, draw)float32-3.166 -3.154 ... -3.112 -3.116
array([[-3.1660154, -3.154062 , -3.028673 , ..., -3.2307434, -3.1968222, -3.193497 ], [-3.1355376, -3.2335124, -3.2700043, ..., -3.0750935, -3.0853484, -3.0386035], [-3.112759 , -2.986023 , -3.07924 , ..., -3.1612844, -3.0545495, -3.1380117], [-3.118751 , -2.960428 , -3.0790606, ..., -3.0744758, -3.1115537, -3.116073 ]], dtype=float32) - r_2021_22_age_18_49_years_daily(chain, draw, days_2021_22)float32-3.166 -3.166 ... -3.116 -3.116
array([[[-3.1660154, -3.1660154, -3.1660154, ..., -3.1660154, -3.1660154, -3.1660154], [-3.154062 , -3.154062 , -3.154062 , ..., -3.154062 , -3.154062 , -3.154062 ], [-3.028673 , -3.028673 , -3.028673 , ..., -3.028673 , -3.028673 , -3.028673 ], ..., [-3.2307434, -3.2307434, -3.2307434, ..., -3.2307434, -3.2307434, -3.2307434], [-3.1968222, -3.1968222, -3.1968222, ..., -3.1968222, -3.1968222, -3.1968222], [-3.193497 , -3.193497 , -3.193497 , ..., -3.193497 , -3.193497 , -3.193497 ]], [[-3.1355376, -3.1355376, -3.1355376, ..., -3.1355376, -3.1355376, -3.1355376], [-3.2335124, -3.2335124, -3.2335124, ..., -3.2335124, -3.2335124, -3.2335124], [-3.2700043, -3.2700043, -3.2700043, ..., -3.2700043, -3.2700043, -3.2700043], ... [-3.1612844, -3.1612844, -3.1612844, ..., -3.1612844, -3.1612844, -3.1612844], [-3.0545495, -3.0545495, -3.0545495, ..., -3.0545495, -3.0545495, -3.0545495], [-3.1380117, -3.1380117, -3.1380117, ..., -3.1380117, -3.1380117, -3.1380117]], [[-3.118751 , -3.118751 , -3.118751 , ..., -3.118751 , -3.118751 , -3.118751 ], [-2.960428 , -2.960428 , -2.960428 , ..., -2.960428 , -2.960428 , -2.960428 ], [-3.0790606, -3.0790606, -3.0790606, ..., -3.0790606, -3.0790606, -3.0790606], ..., [-3.0744758, -3.0744758, -3.0744758, ..., -3.0744758, -3.0744758, -3.0744758], [-3.1115537, -3.1115537, -3.1115537, ..., -3.1115537, -3.1115537, -3.1115537], [-3.116073 , -3.116073 , -3.116073 , ..., -3.116073 , -3.116073 , -3.116073 ]]], dtype=float32) - r_2021_22_age_50_64_years(chain, draw)float32-3.051 -3.019 ... -2.98 -2.983
array([[-3.0509949, -3.0190132, -2.9613764, ..., -3.0880904, -3.0762784, -3.0909712], [-2.978692 , -3.1060338, -3.1126177, ..., -2.9853303, -2.9974148, -3.028149 ], [-3.0437791, -2.9569247, -3.0450888, ..., -3.0422502, -3.0952687, -3.0837502], [-3.18922 , -3.0174928, -3.1437085, ..., -3.179335 , -2.9795735, -2.9831343]], dtype=float32) - r_2021_22_age_50_64_years_daily(chain, draw, days_2021_22)float32-3.051 -3.051 ... -2.983 -2.983
array([[[-3.0509949, -3.0509949, -3.0509949, ..., -3.0509949, -3.0509949, -3.0509949], [-3.0190132, -3.0190132, -3.0190132, ..., -3.0190132, -3.0190132, -3.0190132], [-2.9613764, -2.9613764, -2.9613764, ..., -2.9613764, -2.9613764, -2.9613764], ..., [-3.0880904, -3.0880904, -3.0880904, ..., -3.0880904, -3.0880904, -3.0880904], [-3.0762784, -3.0762784, -3.0762784, ..., -3.0762784, -3.0762784, -3.0762784], [-3.0909712, -3.0909712, -3.0909712, ..., -3.0909712, -3.0909712, -3.0909712]], [[-2.978692 , -2.978692 , -2.978692 , ..., -2.978692 , -2.978692 , -2.978692 ], [-3.1060338, -3.1060338, -3.1060338, ..., -3.1060338, -3.1060338, -3.1060338], [-3.1126177, -3.1126177, -3.1126177, ..., -3.1126177, -3.1126177, -3.1126177], ... [-3.0422502, -3.0422502, -3.0422502, ..., -3.0422502, -3.0422502, -3.0422502], [-3.0952687, -3.0952687, -3.0952687, ..., -3.0952687, -3.0952687, -3.0952687], [-3.0837502, -3.0837502, -3.0837502, ..., -3.0837502, -3.0837502, -3.0837502]], [[-3.18922 , -3.18922 , -3.18922 , ..., -3.18922 , -3.18922 , -3.18922 ], [-3.0174928, -3.0174928, -3.0174928, ..., -3.0174928, -3.0174928, -3.0174928], [-3.1437085, -3.1437085, -3.1437085, ..., -3.1437085, -3.1437085, -3.1437085], ..., [-3.179335 , -3.179335 , -3.179335 , ..., -3.179335 , -3.179335 , -3.179335 ], [-2.9795735, -2.9795735, -2.9795735, ..., -2.9795735, -2.9795735, -2.9795735], [-2.9831343, -2.9831343, -2.9831343, ..., -2.9831343, -2.9831343, -2.9831343]]], dtype=float32) - r_2021_22_age_65__years(chain, draw)float32-2.947 -2.93 ... -2.886 -2.914
array([[-2.9472806, -2.929794 , -2.750145 , ..., -2.8811803, -2.8593416, -2.8468773], [-2.7950509, -2.8583043, -2.9243438, ..., -2.9305437, -2.8437073, -2.9058015], [-2.863559 , -2.9114373, -2.941233 , ..., -2.923628 , -2.9702318, -2.879103 ], [-2.967144 , -2.944008 , -2.9232657, ..., -2.8816495, -2.8859255, -2.9142141]], dtype=float32) - r_2021_22_age_65__years_daily(chain, draw, days_2021_22)float32-2.947 -2.947 ... -2.914 -2.914
array([[[-2.9472806, -2.9472806, -2.9472806, ..., -2.9472806, -2.9472806, -2.9472806], [-2.929794 , -2.929794 , -2.929794 , ..., -2.929794 , -2.929794 , -2.929794 ], [-2.750145 , -2.750145 , -2.750145 , ..., -2.750145 , -2.750145 , -2.750145 ], ..., [-2.8811803, -2.8811803, -2.8811803, ..., -2.8811803, -2.8811803, -2.8811803], [-2.8593416, -2.8593416, -2.8593416, ..., -2.8593416, -2.8593416, -2.8593416], [-2.8468773, -2.8468773, -2.8468773, ..., -2.8468773, -2.8468773, -2.8468773]], [[-2.7950509, -2.7950509, -2.7950509, ..., -2.7950509, -2.7950509, -2.7950509], [-2.8583043, -2.8583043, -2.8583043, ..., -2.8583043, -2.8583043, -2.8583043], [-2.9243438, -2.9243438, -2.9243438, ..., -2.9243438, -2.9243438, -2.9243438], ... [-2.923628 , -2.923628 , -2.923628 , ..., -2.923628 , -2.923628 , -2.923628 ], [-2.9702318, -2.9702318, -2.9702318, ..., -2.9702318, -2.9702318, -2.9702318], [-2.879103 , -2.879103 , -2.879103 , ..., -2.879103 , -2.879103 , -2.879103 ]], [[-2.967144 , -2.967144 , -2.967144 , ..., -2.967144 , -2.967144 , -2.967144 ], [-2.944008 , -2.944008 , -2.944008 , ..., -2.944008 , -2.944008 , -2.944008 ], [-2.9232657, -2.9232657, -2.9232657, ..., -2.9232657, -2.9232657, -2.9232657], ..., [-2.8816495, -2.8816495, -2.8816495, ..., -2.8816495, -2.8816495, -2.8816495], [-2.8859255, -2.8859255, -2.8859255, ..., -2.8859255, -2.8859255, -2.8859255], [-2.9142141, -2.9142141, -2.9142141, ..., -2.9142141, -2.9142141, -2.9142141]]], dtype=float32) - r_2022_23_age_18_49_years(chain, draw)float32-3.093 -3.062 ... -3.017 -3.02
array([[-3.0934458, -3.0618496, -3.0599172, ..., -3.1359987, -3.144258 , -3.1911402], [-3.1435385, -3.1265361, -3.1009352, ..., -3.0440962, -3.0578828, -3.064735 ], [-3.0602112, -3.0963447, -3.0711234, ..., -3.1128798, -3.0632057, -3.0949109], [-2.989205 , -3.0187747, -2.9590774, ..., -3.022514 , -3.016501 , -3.019637 ]], dtype=float32) - r_2022_23_age_18_49_years_daily(chain, draw, days_2022_23)float32-3.093 -3.093 ... -3.02 -3.02
array([[[-3.0934458, -3.0934458, -3.0934458, ..., -3.0934458, -3.0934458, -3.0934458], [-3.0618496, -3.0618496, -3.0618496, ..., -3.0618496, -3.0618496, -3.0618496], [-3.0599172, -3.0599172, -3.0599172, ..., -3.0599172, -3.0599172, -3.0599172], ..., [-3.1359987, -3.1359987, -3.1359987, ..., -3.1359987, -3.1359987, -3.1359987], [-3.144258 , -3.144258 , -3.144258 , ..., -3.144258 , -3.144258 , -3.144258 ], [-3.1911402, -3.1911402, -3.1911402, ..., -3.1911402, -3.1911402, -3.1911402]], [[-3.1435385, -3.1435385, -3.1435385, ..., -3.1435385, -3.1435385, -3.1435385], [-3.1265361, -3.1265361, -3.1265361, ..., -3.1265361, -3.1265361, -3.1265361], [-3.1009352, -3.1009352, -3.1009352, ..., -3.1009352, -3.1009352, -3.1009352], ... [-3.1128798, -3.1128798, -3.1128798, ..., -3.1128798, -3.1128798, -3.1128798], [-3.0632057, -3.0632057, -3.0632057, ..., -3.0632057, -3.0632057, -3.0632057], [-3.0949109, -3.0949109, -3.0949109, ..., -3.0949109, -3.0949109, -3.0949109]], [[-2.989205 , -2.989205 , -2.989205 , ..., -2.989205 , -2.989205 , -2.989205 ], [-3.0187747, -3.0187747, -3.0187747, ..., -3.0187747, -3.0187747, -3.0187747], [-2.9590774, -2.9590774, -2.9590774, ..., -2.9590774, -2.9590774, -2.9590774], ..., [-3.022514 , -3.022514 , -3.022514 , ..., -3.022514 , -3.022514 , -3.022514 ], [-3.016501 , -3.016501 , -3.016501 , ..., -3.016501 , -3.016501 , -3.016501 ], [-3.019637 , -3.019637 , -3.019637 , ..., -3.019637 , -3.019637 , -3.019637 ]]], dtype=float32) - r_2022_23_age_50_64_years(chain, draw)float32-2.976 -2.902 ... -2.92 -2.909
array([[-2.9756658, -2.90156 , -2.9822617, ..., -3.004925 , -3.012167 , -3.0749948], [-2.9460213, -2.9633088, -2.9662237, ..., -3.0173385, -2.9571126, -3.0466402], [-3.0138643, -2.974623 , -2.9391406, ..., -3.033698 , -2.983353 , -3.0011246], [-3.0074074, -2.9650517, -2.943851 , ..., -2.9316669, -2.9199822, -2.9094536]], dtype=float32) - r_2022_23_age_50_64_years_daily(chain, draw, days_2022_23)float32-2.976 -2.976 ... -2.909 -2.909
array([[[-2.9756658, -2.9756658, -2.9756658, ..., -2.9756658, -2.9756658, -2.9756658], [-2.90156 , -2.90156 , -2.90156 , ..., -2.90156 , -2.90156 , -2.90156 ], [-2.9822617, -2.9822617, -2.9822617, ..., -2.9822617, -2.9822617, -2.9822617], ..., [-3.004925 , -3.004925 , -3.004925 , ..., -3.004925 , -3.004925 , -3.004925 ], [-3.012167 , -3.012167 , -3.012167 , ..., -3.012167 , -3.012167 , -3.012167 ], [-3.0749948, -3.0749948, -3.0749948, ..., -3.0749948, -3.0749948, -3.0749948]], [[-2.9460213, -2.9460213, -2.9460213, ..., -2.9460213, -2.9460213, -2.9460213], [-2.9633088, -2.9633088, -2.9633088, ..., -2.9633088, -2.9633088, -2.9633088], [-2.9662237, -2.9662237, -2.9662237, ..., -2.9662237, -2.9662237, -2.9662237], ... [-3.033698 , -3.033698 , -3.033698 , ..., -3.033698 , -3.033698 , -3.033698 ], [-2.983353 , -2.983353 , -2.983353 , ..., -2.983353 , -2.983353 , -2.983353 ], [-3.0011246, -3.0011246, -3.0011246, ..., -3.0011246, -3.0011246, -3.0011246]], [[-3.0074074, -3.0074074, -3.0074074, ..., -3.0074074, -3.0074074, -3.0074074], [-2.9650517, -2.9650517, -2.9650517, ..., -2.9650517, -2.9650517, -2.9650517], [-2.943851 , -2.943851 , -2.943851 , ..., -2.943851 , -2.943851 , -2.943851 ], ..., [-2.9316669, -2.9316669, -2.9316669, ..., -2.9316669, -2.9316669, -2.9316669], [-2.9199822, -2.9199822, -2.9199822, ..., -2.9199822, -2.9199822, -2.9199822], [-2.9094536, -2.9094536, -2.9094536, ..., -2.9094536, -2.9094536, -2.9094536]]], dtype=float32) - r_2022_23_age_65__years(chain, draw)float32-2.766 -2.84 ... -2.764 -2.76
array([[-2.7664652, -2.8398929, -2.709482 , ..., -2.7771745, -2.793357 , -2.861599 ], [-2.818041 , -2.756103 , -2.7735276, ..., -2.8344853, -2.8109603, -2.8321145], [-2.7662988, -2.832198 , -2.8080735, ..., -2.7924058, -2.832333 , -2.80928 ], [-2.8431373, -2.8041801, -2.8084211, ..., -2.781985 , -2.7639089, -2.7604635]], dtype=float32) - r_2022_23_age_65__years_daily(chain, draw, days_2022_23)float32-2.766 -2.766 ... -2.76 -2.76
array([[[-2.7664652, -2.7664652, -2.7664652, ..., -2.7664652, -2.7664652, -2.7664652], [-2.8398929, -2.8398929, -2.8398929, ..., -2.8398929, -2.8398929, -2.8398929], [-2.709482 , -2.709482 , -2.709482 , ..., -2.709482 , -2.709482 , -2.709482 ], ..., [-2.7771745, -2.7771745, -2.7771745, ..., -2.7771745, -2.7771745, -2.7771745], [-2.793357 , -2.793357 , -2.793357 , ..., -2.793357 , -2.793357 , -2.793357 ], [-2.861599 , -2.861599 , -2.861599 , ..., -2.861599 , -2.861599 , -2.861599 ]], [[-2.818041 , -2.818041 , -2.818041 , ..., -2.818041 , -2.818041 , -2.818041 ], [-2.756103 , -2.756103 , -2.756103 , ..., -2.756103 , -2.756103 , -2.756103 ], [-2.7735276, -2.7735276, -2.7735276, ..., -2.7735276, -2.7735276, -2.7735276], ... [-2.7924058, -2.7924058, -2.7924058, ..., -2.7924058, -2.7924058, -2.7924058], [-2.832333 , -2.832333 , -2.832333 , ..., -2.832333 , -2.832333 , -2.832333 ], [-2.80928 , -2.80928 , -2.80928 , ..., -2.80928 , -2.80928 , -2.80928 ]], [[-2.8431373, -2.8431373, -2.8431373, ..., -2.8431373, -2.8431373, -2.8431373], [-2.8041801, -2.8041801, -2.8041801, ..., -2.8041801, -2.8041801, -2.8041801], [-2.8084211, -2.8084211, -2.8084211, ..., -2.8084211, -2.8084211, -2.8084211], ..., [-2.781985 , -2.781985 , -2.781985 , ..., -2.781985 , -2.781985 , -2.781985 ], [-2.7639089, -2.7639089, -2.7639089, ..., -2.7639089, -2.7639089, -2.7639089], [-2.7604635, -2.7604635, -2.7604635, ..., -2.7604635, -2.7604635, -2.7604635]]], dtype=float32) - r_2023_24_age_18_49_years(chain, draw)float32-3.116 -3.22 ... -3.048 -3.062
array([[-3.1164834, -3.2200449, -3.0867252, ..., -3.2509205, -3.2456672, -3.2378936], [-3.1818032, -3.2767978, -3.202923 , ..., -3.0605135, -3.1645586, -3.0259862], [-3.1049187, -3.1412141, -3.1601353, ..., -3.1039765, -3.0519032, -3.109902 ], [-2.9856985, -3.1085987, -2.9245577, ..., -3.0991557, -3.0481 , -3.0618048]], dtype=float32) - r_2023_24_age_18_49_years_daily(chain, draw, days_2023_24)float32-3.116 -3.116 ... -3.062 -3.062
array([[[-3.1164834, -3.1164834, -3.1164834, ..., -3.1164834, -3.1164834, -3.1164834], [-3.2200449, -3.2200449, -3.2200449, ..., -3.2200449, -3.2200449, -3.2200449], [-3.0867252, -3.0867252, -3.0867252, ..., -3.0867252, -3.0867252, -3.0867252], ..., [-3.2509205, -3.2509205, -3.2509205, ..., -3.2509205, -3.2509205, -3.2509205], [-3.2456672, -3.2456672, -3.2456672, ..., -3.2456672, -3.2456672, -3.2456672], [-3.2378936, -3.2378936, -3.2378936, ..., -3.2378936, -3.2378936, -3.2378936]], [[-3.1818032, -3.1818032, -3.1818032, ..., -3.1818032, -3.1818032, -3.1818032], [-3.2767978, -3.2767978, -3.2767978, ..., -3.2767978, -3.2767978, -3.2767978], [-3.202923 , -3.202923 , -3.202923 , ..., -3.202923 , -3.202923 , -3.202923 ], ... [-3.1039765, -3.1039765, -3.1039765, ..., -3.1039765, -3.1039765, -3.1039765], [-3.0519032, -3.0519032, -3.0519032, ..., -3.0519032, -3.0519032, -3.0519032], [-3.109902 , -3.109902 , -3.109902 , ..., -3.109902 , -3.109902 , -3.109902 ]], [[-2.9856985, -2.9856985, -2.9856985, ..., -2.9856985, -2.9856985, -2.9856985], [-3.1085987, -3.1085987, -3.1085987, ..., -3.1085987, -3.1085987, -3.1085987], [-2.9245577, -2.9245577, -2.9245577, ..., -2.9245577, -2.9245577, -2.9245577], ..., [-3.0991557, -3.0991557, -3.0991557, ..., -3.0991557, -3.0991557, -3.0991557], [-3.0481 , -3.0481 , -3.0481 , ..., -3.0481 , -3.0481 , -3.0481 ], [-3.0618048, -3.0618048, -3.0618048, ..., -3.0618048, -3.0618048, -3.0618048]]], dtype=float32) - r_2023_24_age_50_64_years(chain, draw)float32-3.004 -3.079 ... -2.964 -2.982
array([[-3.0043132, -3.0785496, -3.0220616, ..., -3.1236415, -3.1054232, -3.1234083], [-3.010285 , -3.214247 , -3.0429268, ..., -3.0474946, -3.0680027, -2.9762921], [-3.0757966, -2.9357553, -3.067112 , ..., -3.0408306, -2.9579902, -3.151352 ], [-3.0012116, -3.0235262, -3.1550949, ..., -3.09209 , -2.9639995, -2.9824004]], dtype=float32) - r_2023_24_age_50_64_years_daily(chain, draw, days_2023_24)float32-3.004 -3.004 ... -2.982 -2.982
array([[[-3.0043132, -3.0043132, -3.0043132, ..., -3.0043132, -3.0043132, -3.0043132], [-3.0785496, -3.0785496, -3.0785496, ..., -3.0785496, -3.0785496, -3.0785496], [-3.0220616, -3.0220616, -3.0220616, ..., -3.0220616, -3.0220616, -3.0220616], ..., [-3.1236415, -3.1236415, -3.1236415, ..., -3.1236415, -3.1236415, -3.1236415], [-3.1054232, -3.1054232, -3.1054232, ..., -3.1054232, -3.1054232, -3.1054232], [-3.1234083, -3.1234083, -3.1234083, ..., -3.1234083, -3.1234083, -3.1234083]], [[-3.010285 , -3.010285 , -3.010285 , ..., -3.010285 , -3.010285 , -3.010285 ], [-3.214247 , -3.214247 , -3.214247 , ..., -3.214247 , -3.214247 , -3.214247 ], [-3.0429268, -3.0429268, -3.0429268, ..., -3.0429268, -3.0429268, -3.0429268], ... [-3.0408306, -3.0408306, -3.0408306, ..., -3.0408306, -3.0408306, -3.0408306], [-2.9579902, -2.9579902, -2.9579902, ..., -2.9579902, -2.9579902, -2.9579902], [-3.151352 , -3.151352 , -3.151352 , ..., -3.151352 , -3.151352 , -3.151352 ]], [[-3.0012116, -3.0012116, -3.0012116, ..., -3.0012116, -3.0012116, -3.0012116], [-3.0235262, -3.0235262, -3.0235262, ..., -3.0235262, -3.0235262, -3.0235262], [-3.1550949, -3.1550949, -3.1550949, ..., -3.1550949, -3.1550949, -3.1550949], ..., [-3.09209 , -3.09209 , -3.09209 , ..., -3.09209 , -3.09209 , -3.09209 ], [-2.9639995, -2.9639995, -2.9639995, ..., -2.9639995, -2.9639995, -2.9639995], [-2.9824004, -2.9824004, -2.9824004, ..., -2.9824004, -2.9824004, -2.9824004]]], dtype=float32) - r_2023_24_age_65__years(chain, draw)float32-2.952 -2.993 ... -2.846 -2.867
array([[-2.9517324, -2.9929342, -2.8670783, ..., -2.9048882, -2.8932283, -2.9145799], [-2.8671215, -2.8664584, -2.9056602, ..., -2.801859 , -3.021327 , -2.9670293], [-2.9790847, -3.0228121, -3.0168025, ..., -2.884986 , -2.8649397, -2.8374858], [-2.8779588, -2.9368 , -2.8478982, ..., -2.7948678, -2.846394 , -2.8672748]], dtype=float32) - r_2023_24_age_65__years_daily(chain, draw, days_2023_24)float32-2.952 -2.952 ... -2.867 -2.867
array([[[-2.9517324, -2.9517324, -2.9517324, ..., -2.9517324, -2.9517324, -2.9517324], [-2.9929342, -2.9929342, -2.9929342, ..., -2.9929342, -2.9929342, -2.9929342], [-2.8670783, -2.8670783, -2.8670783, ..., -2.8670783, -2.8670783, -2.8670783], ..., [-2.9048882, -2.9048882, -2.9048882, ..., -2.9048882, -2.9048882, -2.9048882], [-2.8932283, -2.8932283, -2.8932283, ..., -2.8932283, -2.8932283, -2.8932283], [-2.9145799, -2.9145799, -2.9145799, ..., -2.9145799, -2.9145799, -2.9145799]], [[-2.8671215, -2.8671215, -2.8671215, ..., -2.8671215, -2.8671215, -2.8671215], [-2.8664584, -2.8664584, -2.8664584, ..., -2.8664584, -2.8664584, -2.8664584], [-2.9056602, -2.9056602, -2.9056602, ..., -2.9056602, -2.9056602, -2.9056602], ... [-2.884986 , -2.884986 , -2.884986 , ..., -2.884986 , -2.884986 , -2.884986 ], [-2.8649397, -2.8649397, -2.8649397, ..., -2.8649397, -2.8649397, -2.8649397], [-2.8374858, -2.8374858, -2.8374858, ..., -2.8374858, -2.8374858, -2.8374858]], [[-2.8779588, -2.8779588, -2.8779588, ..., -2.8779588, -2.8779588, -2.8779588], [-2.9368 , -2.9368 , -2.9368 , ..., -2.9368 , -2.9368 , -2.9368 ], [-2.8478982, -2.8478982, -2.8478982, ..., -2.8478982, -2.8478982, -2.8478982], ..., [-2.7948678, -2.7948678, -2.7948678, ..., -2.7948678, -2.7948678, -2.7948678], [-2.846394 , -2.846394 , -2.846394 , ..., -2.846394 , -2.846394 , -2.846394 ], [-2.8672748, -2.8672748, -2.8672748, ..., -2.8672748, -2.8672748, -2.8672748]]], dtype=float32) - r_2024_25_age_18_49_years(chain, draw)float32-3.226 -3.257 ... -3.129 -3.148
array([[-3.2263775, -3.257231 , -3.2460299, ..., -3.4211807, -3.3396626, -3.3864334], [-3.356787 , -3.4164035, -3.399478 , ..., -3.3430898, -3.1263702, -3.158463 ], [-3.2311132, -3.2585313, -3.2814808, ..., -3.270879 , -3.2024276, -3.1692784], [-3.1785028, -3.1292045, -3.1187935, ..., -3.2310624, -3.1293814, -3.1478546]], dtype=float32) - r_2024_25_age_18_49_years_daily(chain, draw, days_2024_25)float32-3.226 -3.226 ... -3.148 -3.148
array([[[-3.2263775, -3.2263775, -3.2263775, ..., -3.2263775, -3.2263775, -3.2263775], [-3.257231 , -3.257231 , -3.257231 , ..., -3.257231 , -3.257231 , -3.257231 ], [-3.2460299, -3.2460299, -3.2460299, ..., -3.2460299, -3.2460299, -3.2460299], ..., [-3.4211807, -3.4211807, -3.4211807, ..., -3.4211807, -3.4211807, -3.4211807], [-3.3396626, -3.3396626, -3.3396626, ..., -3.3396626, -3.3396626, -3.3396626], [-3.3864334, -3.3864334, -3.3864334, ..., -3.3864334, -3.3864334, -3.3864334]], [[-3.356787 , -3.356787 , -3.356787 , ..., -3.356787 , -3.356787 , -3.356787 ], [-3.4164035, -3.4164035, -3.4164035, ..., -3.4164035, -3.4164035, -3.4164035], [-3.399478 , -3.399478 , -3.399478 , ..., -3.399478 , -3.399478 , -3.399478 ], ... [-3.270879 , -3.270879 , -3.270879 , ..., -3.270879 , -3.270879 , -3.270879 ], [-3.2024276, -3.2024276, -3.2024276, ..., -3.2024276, -3.2024276, -3.2024276], [-3.1692784, -3.1692784, -3.1692784, ..., -3.1692784, -3.1692784, -3.1692784]], [[-3.1785028, -3.1785028, -3.1785028, ..., -3.1785028, -3.1785028, -3.1785028], [-3.1292045, -3.1292045, -3.1292045, ..., -3.1292045, -3.1292045, -3.1292045], [-3.1187935, -3.1187935, -3.1187935, ..., -3.1187935, -3.1187935, -3.1187935], ..., [-3.2310624, -3.2310624, -3.2310624, ..., -3.2310624, -3.2310624, -3.2310624], [-3.1293814, -3.1293814, -3.1293814, ..., -3.1293814, -3.1293814, -3.1293814], [-3.1478546, -3.1478546, -3.1478546, ..., -3.1478546, -3.1478546, -3.1478546]]], dtype=float32) - r_2024_25_age_50_64_years(chain, draw)float32-3.125 -3.113 ... -3.069 -3.088
array([[-3.1247938, -3.1129808, -3.1061099, ..., -3.2920632, -3.2265482, -3.2740371], [-3.124038 , -3.2579205, -3.1386616, ..., -3.3096404, -3.1073248, -3.1418626], [-3.2310324, -3.2317965, -3.2417142, ..., -3.136122 , -3.2436635, -3.2508886], [-3.202565 , -3.2259312, -3.0626237, ..., -3.264837 , -3.0687833, -3.0876803]], dtype=float32) - r_2024_25_age_50_64_years_daily(chain, draw, days_2024_25)float32-3.125 -3.125 ... -3.088 -3.088
array([[[-3.1247938, -3.1247938, -3.1247938, ..., -3.1247938, -3.1247938, -3.1247938], [-3.1129808, -3.1129808, -3.1129808, ..., -3.1129808, -3.1129808, -3.1129808], [-3.1061099, -3.1061099, -3.1061099, ..., -3.1061099, -3.1061099, -3.1061099], ..., [-3.2920632, -3.2920632, -3.2920632, ..., -3.2920632, -3.2920632, -3.2920632], [-3.2265482, -3.2265482, -3.2265482, ..., -3.2265482, -3.2265482, -3.2265482], [-3.2740371, -3.2740371, -3.2740371, ..., -3.2740371, -3.2740371, -3.2740371]], [[-3.124038 , -3.124038 , -3.124038 , ..., -3.124038 , -3.124038 , -3.124038 ], [-3.2579205, -3.2579205, -3.2579205, ..., -3.2579205, -3.2579205, -3.2579205], [-3.1386616, -3.1386616, -3.1386616, ..., -3.1386616, -3.1386616, -3.1386616], ... [-3.136122 , -3.136122 , -3.136122 , ..., -3.136122 , -3.136122 , -3.136122 ], [-3.2436635, -3.2436635, -3.2436635, ..., -3.2436635, -3.2436635, -3.2436635], [-3.2508886, -3.2508886, -3.2508886, ..., -3.2508886, -3.2508886, -3.2508886]], [[-3.202565 , -3.202565 , -3.202565 , ..., -3.202565 , -3.202565 , -3.202565 ], [-3.2259312, -3.2259312, -3.2259312, ..., -3.2259312, -3.2259312, -3.2259312], [-3.0626237, -3.0626237, -3.0626237, ..., -3.0626237, -3.0626237, -3.0626237], ..., [-3.264837 , -3.264837 , -3.264837 , ..., -3.264837 , -3.264837 , -3.264837 ], [-3.0687833, -3.0687833, -3.0687833, ..., -3.0687833, -3.0687833, -3.0687833], [-3.0876803, -3.0876803, -3.0876803, ..., -3.0876803, -3.0876803, -3.0876803]]], dtype=float32) - r_2024_25_age_65__years(chain, draw)float32-2.945 -2.978 ... -2.909 -2.942
array([[-2.9446075, -2.9783802, -3.0595586, ..., -3.1016083, -3.0354185, -3.0111663], [-3.053764 , -3.0326097, -3.0335536, ..., -3.055543 , -2.9773529, -2.9612916], [-3.0718362, -3.010385 , -3.095532 , ..., -2.968356 , -3.0924945, -3.039955 ], [-3.0736647, -3.0315428, -2.940634 , ..., -2.9891572, -2.9089708, -2.9418983]], dtype=float32) - r_2024_25_age_65__years_daily(chain, draw, days_2024_25)float32-2.945 -2.945 ... -2.942 -2.942
array([[[-2.9446075, -2.9446075, -2.9446075, ..., -2.9446075, -2.9446075, -2.9446075], [-2.9783802, -2.9783802, -2.9783802, ..., -2.9783802, -2.9783802, -2.9783802], [-3.0595586, -3.0595586, -3.0595586, ..., -3.0595586, -3.0595586, -3.0595586], ..., [-3.1016083, -3.1016083, -3.1016083, ..., -3.1016083, -3.1016083, -3.1016083], [-3.0354185, -3.0354185, -3.0354185, ..., -3.0354185, -3.0354185, -3.0354185], [-3.0111663, -3.0111663, -3.0111663, ..., -3.0111663, -3.0111663, -3.0111663]], [[-3.053764 , -3.053764 , -3.053764 , ..., -3.053764 , -3.053764 , -3.053764 ], [-3.0326097, -3.0326097, -3.0326097, ..., -3.0326097, -3.0326097, -3.0326097], [-3.0335536, -3.0335536, -3.0335536, ..., -3.0335536, -3.0335536, -3.0335536], ... [-2.968356 , -2.968356 , -2.968356 , ..., -2.968356 , -2.968356 , -2.968356 ], [-3.0924945, -3.0924945, -3.0924945, ..., -3.0924945, -3.0924945, -3.0924945], [-3.039955 , -3.039955 , -3.039955 , ..., -3.039955 , -3.039955 , -3.039955 ]], [[-3.0736647, -3.0736647, -3.0736647, ..., -3.0736647, -3.0736647, -3.0736647], [-3.0315428, -3.0315428, -3.0315428, ..., -3.0315428, -3.0315428, -3.0315428], [-2.940634 , -2.940634 , -2.940634 , ..., -2.940634 , -2.940634 , -2.940634 ], ..., [-2.9891572, -2.9891572, -2.9891572, ..., -2.9891572, -2.9891572, -2.9891572], [-2.9089708, -2.9089708, -2.9089708, ..., -2.9089708, -2.9089708, -2.9089708], [-2.9418983, -2.9418983, -2.9418983, ..., -2.9418983, -2.9418983, -2.9418983]]], dtype=float32) - r_2025_26_age_18_49_years(chain, draw)float32-3.254 -3.308 ... -3.179 -3.182
array([[-3.2541728, -3.3076668, -3.204595 , ..., -3.5009103, -3.4632819, -3.3746648], [-3.486962 , -3.385911 , -3.3826609, ..., -3.143317 , -3.3063598, -3.1839457], [-3.1434963, -3.4372365, -3.406121 , ..., -3.1851113, -3.2175875, -3.0748281], [-3.2126472, -3.144879 , -3.1894877, ..., -3.384639 , -3.1793823, -3.1821923]], dtype=float32) - r_2025_26_age_18_49_years_daily(chain, draw, days_2025_26)float32-3.254 -3.254 ... -3.182 -3.182
array([[[-3.2541728, -3.2541728, -3.2541728, ..., -3.2541728, -3.2541728, -3.2541728], [-3.3076668, -3.3076668, -3.3076668, ..., -3.3076668, -3.3076668, -3.3076668], [-3.204595 , -3.204595 , -3.204595 , ..., -3.204595 , -3.204595 , -3.204595 ], ..., [-3.5009103, -3.5009103, -3.5009103, ..., -3.5009103, -3.5009103, -3.5009103], [-3.4632819, -3.4632819, -3.4632819, ..., -3.4632819, -3.4632819, -3.4632819], [-3.3746648, -3.3746648, -3.3746648, ..., -3.3746648, -3.3746648, -3.3746648]], [[-3.486962 , -3.486962 , -3.486962 , ..., -3.486962 , -3.486962 , -3.486962 ], [-3.385911 , -3.385911 , -3.385911 , ..., -3.385911 , -3.385911 , -3.385911 ], [-3.3826609, -3.3826609, -3.3826609, ..., -3.3826609, -3.3826609, -3.3826609], ... [-3.1851113, -3.1851113, -3.1851113, ..., -3.1851113, -3.1851113, -3.1851113], [-3.2175875, -3.2175875, -3.2175875, ..., -3.2175875, -3.2175875, -3.2175875], [-3.0748281, -3.0748281, -3.0748281, ..., -3.0748281, -3.0748281, -3.0748281]], [[-3.2126472, -3.2126472, -3.2126472, ..., -3.2126472, -3.2126472, -3.2126472], [-3.144879 , -3.144879 , -3.144879 , ..., -3.144879 , -3.144879 , -3.144879 ], [-3.1894877, -3.1894877, -3.1894877, ..., -3.1894877, -3.1894877, -3.1894877], ..., [-3.384639 , -3.384639 , -3.384639 , ..., -3.384639 , -3.384639 , -3.384639 ], [-3.1793823, -3.1793823, -3.1793823, ..., -3.1793823, -3.1793823, -3.1793823], [-3.1821923, -3.1821923, -3.1821923, ..., -3.1821923, -3.1821923, -3.1821923]]], dtype=float32) - r_2025_26_age_50_64_years(chain, draw)float32-3.138 -3.141 ... -3.117 -3.123
array([[-3.1384923, -3.1409006, -3.124822 , ..., -3.3803043, -3.3335354, -3.2554684], [-3.3759966, -3.3200305, -3.1722145, ..., -3.191309 , -3.3173337, -3.2077923], [-3.1943932, -3.2882288, -3.2898648, ..., -3.206141 , -3.1201503, -3.232229 ], [-3.1700127, -3.2254217, -3.1650202, ..., -3.3680236, -3.1168127, -3.1230028]], dtype=float32) - r_2025_26_age_50_64_years_daily(chain, draw, days_2025_26)float32-3.138 -3.138 ... -3.123 -3.123
array([[[-3.1384923, -3.1384923, -3.1384923, ..., -3.1384923, -3.1384923, -3.1384923], [-3.1409006, -3.1409006, -3.1409006, ..., -3.1409006, -3.1409006, -3.1409006], [-3.124822 , -3.124822 , -3.124822 , ..., -3.124822 , -3.124822 , -3.124822 ], ..., [-3.3803043, -3.3803043, -3.3803043, ..., -3.3803043, -3.3803043, -3.3803043], [-3.3335354, -3.3335354, -3.3335354, ..., -3.3335354, -3.3335354, -3.3335354], [-3.2554684, -3.2554684, -3.2554684, ..., -3.2554684, -3.2554684, -3.2554684]], [[-3.3759966, -3.3759966, -3.3759966, ..., -3.3759966, -3.3759966, -3.3759966], [-3.3200305, -3.3200305, -3.3200305, ..., -3.3200305, -3.3200305, -3.3200305], [-3.1722145, -3.1722145, -3.1722145, ..., -3.1722145, -3.1722145, -3.1722145], ... [-3.206141 , -3.206141 , -3.206141 , ..., -3.206141 , -3.206141 , -3.206141 ], [-3.1201503, -3.1201503, -3.1201503, ..., -3.1201503, -3.1201503, -3.1201503], [-3.232229 , -3.232229 , -3.232229 , ..., -3.232229 , -3.232229 , -3.232229 ]], [[-3.1700127, -3.1700127, -3.1700127, ..., -3.1700127, -3.1700127, -3.1700127], [-3.2254217, -3.2254217, -3.2254217, ..., -3.2254217, -3.2254217, -3.2254217], [-3.1650202, -3.1650202, -3.1650202, ..., -3.1650202, -3.1650202, -3.1650202], ..., [-3.3680236, -3.3680236, -3.3680236, ..., -3.3680236, -3.3680236, -3.3680236], [-3.1168127, -3.1168127, -3.1168127, ..., -3.1168127, -3.1168127, -3.1168127], [-3.1230028, -3.1230028, -3.1230028, ..., -3.1230028, -3.1230028, -3.1230028]]], dtype=float32) - r_2025_26_age_65__years(chain, draw)float32-3.127 -3.07 ... -3.008 -3.013
array([[-3.1274803, -3.0701065, -2.909163 , ..., -3.151562 , -3.115448 , -3.047273 ], [-3.2115283, -2.9695206, -3.1117415, ..., -3.044193 , -3.1347947, -3.041 ], [-3.1267595, -3.2909565, -3.1890836, ..., -3.0154295, -3.0222208, -2.9744291], [-3.139104 , -2.975229 , -3.053441 , ..., -3.147827 , -3.007568 , -3.0130272]], dtype=float32) - r_2025_26_age_65__years_daily(chain, draw, days_2025_26)float32-3.127 -3.127 ... -3.013 -3.013
array([[[-3.1274803, -3.1274803, -3.1274803, ..., -3.1274803, -3.1274803, -3.1274803], [-3.0701065, -3.0701065, -3.0701065, ..., -3.0701065, -3.0701065, -3.0701065], [-2.909163 , -2.909163 , -2.909163 , ..., -2.909163 , -2.909163 , -2.909163 ], ..., [-3.151562 , -3.151562 , -3.151562 , ..., -3.151562 , -3.151562 , -3.151562 ], [-3.115448 , -3.115448 , -3.115448 , ..., -3.115448 , -3.115448 , -3.115448 ], [-3.047273 , -3.047273 , -3.047273 , ..., -3.047273 , -3.047273 , -3.047273 ]], [[-3.2115283, -3.2115283, -3.2115283, ..., -3.2115283, -3.2115283, -3.2115283], [-2.9695206, -2.9695206, -2.9695206, ..., -2.9695206, -2.9695206, -2.9695206], [-3.1117415, -3.1117415, -3.1117415, ..., -3.1117415, -3.1117415, -3.1117415], ... [-3.0154295, -3.0154295, -3.0154295, ..., -3.0154295, -3.0154295, -3.0154295], [-3.0222208, -3.0222208, -3.0222208, ..., -3.0222208, -3.0222208, -3.0222208], [-2.9744291, -2.9744291, -2.9744291, ..., -2.9744291, -2.9744291, -2.9744291]], [[-3.139104 , -3.139104 , -3.139104 , ..., -3.139104 , -3.139104 , -3.139104 ], [-2.975229 , -2.975229 , -2.975229 , ..., -2.975229 , -2.975229 , -2.975229 ], [-3.053441 , -3.053441 , -3.053441 , ..., -3.053441 , -3.053441 , -3.053441 ], ..., [-3.147827 , -3.147827 , -3.147827 , ..., -3.147827 , -3.147827 , -3.147827 ], [-3.007568 , -3.007568 , -3.007568 , ..., -3.007568 , -3.007568 , -3.007568 ], [-3.0130272, -3.0130272, -3.0130272, ..., -3.0130272, -3.0130272, -3.0130272]]], dtype=float32) - s_2021_22_age_18_49_years(chain, draw)float3290.58 90.48 90.3 ... 86.4 87.13
array([[90.5804 , 90.48313 , 90.29811 , ..., 86.65999 , 87.658714, 87.11589 ], [89.19126 , 91.043304, 91.064545, ..., 86.74735 , 85.74488 , 88.24116 ], [86.72818 , 87.31889 , 87.89506 , ..., 89.294975, 84.99156 , 86.01112 ], [85.72465 , 87.344925, 87.743996, ..., 85.87982 , 86.40367 , 87.12876 ]], dtype=float32) - s_2021_22_age_18_49_years_daily(chain, draw, days_2021_22)float3290.58 90.58 90.58 ... 87.13 87.13
array([[[90.5804 , 90.5804 , 90.5804 , ..., 90.5804 , 90.5804 , 90.5804 ], [90.48313 , 90.48313 , 90.48313 , ..., 90.48313 , 90.48313 , 90.48313 ], [90.29811 , 90.29811 , 90.29811 , ..., 90.29811 , 90.29811 , 90.29811 ], ..., [86.65999 , 86.65999 , 86.65999 , ..., 86.65999 , 86.65999 , 86.65999 ], [87.658714, 87.658714, 87.658714, ..., 87.658714, 87.658714, 87.658714], [87.11589 , 87.11589 , 87.11589 , ..., 87.11589 , 87.11589 , 87.11589 ]], [[89.19126 , 89.19126 , 89.19126 , ..., 89.19126 , 89.19126 , 89.19126 ], [91.043304, 91.043304, 91.043304, ..., 91.043304, 91.043304, 91.043304], [91.064545, 91.064545, 91.064545, ..., 91.064545, 91.064545, 91.064545], ... [89.294975, 89.294975, 89.294975, ..., 89.294975, 89.294975, 89.294975], [84.99156 , 84.99156 , 84.99156 , ..., 84.99156 , 84.99156 , 84.99156 ], [86.01112 , 86.01112 , 86.01112 , ..., 86.01112 , 86.01112 , 86.01112 ]], [[85.72465 , 85.72465 , 85.72465 , ..., 85.72465 , 85.72465 , 85.72465 ], [87.344925, 87.344925, 87.344925, ..., 87.344925, 87.344925, 87.344925], [87.743996, 87.743996, 87.743996, ..., 87.743996, 87.743996, 87.743996], ..., [85.87982 , 85.87982 , 85.87982 , ..., 85.87982 , 85.87982 , 85.87982 ], [86.40367 , 86.40367 , 86.40367 , ..., 86.40367 , 86.40367 , 86.40367 ], [87.12876 , 87.12876 , 87.12876 , ..., 87.12876 , 87.12876 , 87.12876 ]]], dtype=float32) - s_2021_22_age_50_64_years(chain, draw)float3286.6 90.1 88.6 ... 86.65 87.48
array([[86.5982 , 90.09743 , 88.596016, ..., 86.077194, 85.77063 , 84.31504 ], [86.944756, 88.2018 , 87.69427 , ..., 86.59155 , 85.52448 , 89.30275 ], [87.1322 , 86.49276 , 88.66595 , ..., 87.79672 , 87.6928 , 87.28625 ], [86.34987 , 87.48041 , 88.28764 , ..., 86.91778 , 86.65335 , 87.4845 ]], dtype=float32) - s_2021_22_age_50_64_years_daily(chain, draw, days_2021_22)float3286.6 86.6 86.6 ... 87.48 87.48
array([[[86.5982 , 86.5982 , 86.5982 , ..., 86.5982 , 86.5982 , 86.5982 ], [90.09743 , 90.09743 , 90.09743 , ..., 90.09743 , 90.09743 , 90.09743 ], [88.596016, 88.596016, 88.596016, ..., 88.596016, 88.596016, 88.596016], ..., [86.077194, 86.077194, 86.077194, ..., 86.077194, 86.077194, 86.077194], [85.77063 , 85.77063 , 85.77063 , ..., 85.77063 , 85.77063 , 85.77063 ], [84.31504 , 84.31504 , 84.31504 , ..., 84.31504 , 84.31504 , 84.31504 ]], [[86.944756, 86.944756, 86.944756, ..., 86.944756, 86.944756, 86.944756], [88.2018 , 88.2018 , 88.2018 , ..., 88.2018 , 88.2018 , 88.2018 ], [87.69427 , 87.69427 , 87.69427 , ..., 87.69427 , 87.69427 , 87.69427 ], ... [87.79672 , 87.79672 , 87.79672 , ..., 87.79672 , 87.79672 , 87.79672 ], [87.6928 , 87.6928 , 87.6928 , ..., 87.6928 , 87.6928 , 87.6928 ], [87.28625 , 87.28625 , 87.28625 , ..., 87.28625 , 87.28625 , 87.28625 ]], [[86.34987 , 86.34987 , 86.34987 , ..., 86.34987 , 86.34987 , 86.34987 ], [87.48041 , 87.48041 , 87.48041 , ..., 87.48041 , 87.48041 , 87.48041 ], [88.28764 , 88.28764 , 88.28764 , ..., 88.28764 , 88.28764 , 88.28764 ], ..., [86.91778 , 86.91778 , 86.91778 , ..., 86.91778 , 86.91778 , 86.91778 ], [86.65335 , 86.65335 , 86.65335 , ..., 86.65335 , 86.65335 , 86.65335 ], [87.4845 , 87.4845 , 87.4845 , ..., 87.4845 , 87.4845 , 87.4845 ]]], dtype=float32) - s_2021_22_age_65__years(chain, draw)float3279.96 79.29 80.86 ... 80.18 80.66
array([[79.95939 , 79.293015, 80.86093 , ..., 79.4392 , 81.065704, 80.99687 ], [80.8389 , 78.539154, 79.37253 , ..., 79.64503 , 80.5511 , 80.493225], [79.091446, 78.966125, 79.809875, ..., 80.56807 , 79.51052 , 79.14197 ], [78.18468 , 79.63846 , 79.89614 , ..., 80.32809 , 80.178635, 80.663605]], dtype=float32) - s_2021_22_age_65__years_daily(chain, draw, days_2021_22)float3279.96 79.96 79.96 ... 80.66 80.66
array([[[79.95939 , 79.95939 , 79.95939 , ..., 79.95939 , 79.95939 , 79.95939 ], [79.293015, 79.293015, 79.293015, ..., 79.293015, 79.293015, 79.293015], [80.86093 , 80.86093 , 80.86093 , ..., 80.86093 , 80.86093 , 80.86093 ], ..., [79.4392 , 79.4392 , 79.4392 , ..., 79.4392 , 79.4392 , 79.4392 ], [81.065704, 81.065704, 81.065704, ..., 81.065704, 81.065704, 81.065704], [80.99687 , 80.99687 , 80.99687 , ..., 80.99687 , 80.99687 , 80.99687 ]], [[80.8389 , 80.8389 , 80.8389 , ..., 80.8389 , 80.8389 , 80.8389 ], [78.539154, 78.539154, 78.539154, ..., 78.539154, 78.539154, 78.539154], [79.37253 , 79.37253 , 79.37253 , ..., 79.37253 , 79.37253 , 79.37253 ], ... [80.56807 , 80.56807 , 80.56807 , ..., 80.56807 , 80.56807 , 80.56807 ], [79.51052 , 79.51052 , 79.51052 , ..., 79.51052 , 79.51052 , 79.51052 ], [79.14197 , 79.14197 , 79.14197 , ..., 79.14197 , 79.14197 , 79.14197 ]], [[78.18468 , 78.18468 , 78.18468 , ..., 78.18468 , 78.18468 , 78.18468 ], [79.63846 , 79.63846 , 79.63846 , ..., 79.63846 , 79.63846 , 79.63846 ], [79.89614 , 79.89614 , 79.89614 , ..., 79.89614 , 79.89614 , 79.89614 ], ..., [80.32809 , 80.32809 , 80.32809 , ..., 80.32809 , 80.32809 , 80.32809 ], [80.178635, 80.178635, 80.178635, ..., 80.178635, 80.178635, 80.178635], [80.663605, 80.663605, 80.663605, ..., 80.663605, 80.663605, 80.663605]]], dtype=float32) - s_2022_23_age_18_49_years(chain, draw)float3286.7 87.55 87.03 ... 86.18 86.18
array([[86.69961 , 87.55288 , 87.03023 , ..., 86.312256, 86.5959 , 86.404945], [86.318016, 86.42193 , 85.63714 , ..., 86.68108 , 86.035484, 83.87757 ], [87.30662 , 85.46278 , 85.57038 , ..., 87.29841 , 84.157425, 85.68023 ], [85.57606 , 84.43095 , 82.45362 , ..., 85.8935 , 86.175224, 86.176865]], dtype=float32) - s_2022_23_age_18_49_years_daily(chain, draw, days_2022_23)float3286.7 86.7 86.7 ... 86.18 86.18
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array([[[65.66774 , 65.66774 , 65.66774 , ..., 65.66774 , 65.66774 , 65.66774 ], [64.772804, 64.772804, 64.772804, ..., 64.772804, 64.772804, 64.772804], [66.479866, 66.479866, 66.479866, ..., 66.479866, 66.479866, 66.479866], ..., [65.41267 , 65.41267 , 65.41267 , ..., 65.41267 , 65.41267 , 65.41267 ], [66.36619 , 66.36619 , 66.36619 , ..., 66.36619 , 66.36619 , 66.36619 ], [67.44895 , 67.44895 , 67.44895 , ..., 67.44895 , 67.44895 , 67.44895 ]], [[67.981544, 67.981544, 67.981544, ..., 67.981544, 67.981544, 67.981544], [64.55309 , 64.55309 , 64.55309 , ..., 64.55309 , 64.55309 , 64.55309 ], [68.13601 , 68.13601 , 68.13601 , ..., 68.13601 , 68.13601 , 68.13601 ], ... [66.2283 , 66.2283 , 66.2283 , ..., 66.2283 , 66.2283 , 66.2283 ], [65.62097 , 65.62097 , 65.62097 , ..., 65.62097 , 65.62097 , 65.62097 ], [66.2043 , 66.2043 , 66.2043 , ..., 66.2043 , 66.2043 , 66.2043 ]], [[67.28498 , 67.28498 , 67.28498 , ..., 67.28498 , 67.28498 , 67.28498 ], [68.94271 , 68.94271 , 68.94271 , ..., 68.94271 , 68.94271 , 68.94271 ], [67.02546 , 67.02546 , 67.02546 , ..., 67.02546 , 67.02546 , 67.02546 ], ..., [68.57681 , 68.57681 , 68.57681 , ..., 68.57681 , 68.57681 , 68.57681 ], [62.528717, 62.528717, 62.528717, ..., 62.528717, 62.528717, 62.528717], [62.296703, 62.296703, 62.296703, ..., 62.296703, 62.296703, 62.296703]]], dtype=float32) - s_2024_25_age_18_49_years(chain, draw)float3278.09 79.04 72.65 ... 71.37 71.28
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array([[[78.08662 , 78.08662 , 78.08662 , ..., 78.08662 , 78.08662 , 78.08662 ], [79.03918 , 79.03918 , 79.03918 , ..., 79.03918 , 79.03918 , 79.03918 ], [72.65172 , 72.65172 , 72.65172 , ..., 72.65172 , 72.65172 , 72.65172 ], ..., [72.76214 , 72.76214 , 72.76214 , ..., 72.76214 , 72.76214 , 72.76214 ], [73.879105, 73.879105, 73.879105, ..., 73.879105, 73.879105, 73.879105], [74.36872 , 74.36872 , 74.36872 , ..., 74.36872 , 74.36872 , 74.36872 ]], [[75.74946 , 75.74946 , 75.74946 , ..., 75.74946 , 75.74946 , 75.74946 ], [71.6643 , 71.6643 , 71.6643 , ..., 71.6643 , 71.6643 , 71.6643 ], [73.64526 , 73.64526 , 73.64526 , ..., 73.64526 , 73.64526 , 73.64526 ], ... [71.73501 , 71.73501 , 71.73501 , ..., 71.73501 , 71.73501 , 71.73501 ], [71.736 , 71.736 , 71.736 , ..., 71.736 , 71.736 , 71.736 ], [73.69533 , 73.69533 , 73.69533 , ..., 73.69533 , 73.69533 , 73.69533 ]], [[73.5954 , 73.5954 , 73.5954 , ..., 73.5954 , 73.5954 , 73.5954 ], [74.88951 , 74.88951 , 74.88951 , ..., 74.88951 , 74.88951 , 74.88951 ], [71.2962 , 71.2962 , 71.2962 , ..., 71.2962 , 71.2962 , 71.2962 ], ..., [72.159775, 72.159775, 72.159775, ..., 72.159775, 72.159775, 72.159775], [71.371895, 71.371895, 71.371895, ..., 71.371895, 71.371895, 71.371895], [71.282104, 71.282104, 71.282104, ..., 71.282104, 71.282104, 71.282104]]], dtype=float32) - s_2024_25_age_50_64_years(chain, draw)float3273.45 69.57 74.4 ... 72.45 71.98
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array([[65.07732 , 67.02589 , 66.862564, ..., 66.28111 , 66.77615 , 66.78093 ], [68.56223 , 62.72723 , 66.418236, ..., 67.15703 , 65.96284 , 63.563713], [66.976295, 65.71431 , 64.9103 , ..., 68.55871 , 68.41038 , 68.90082 ], [66.161064, 66.43199 , 67.18344 , ..., 65.94227 , 65.14129 , 64.89333 ]], dtype=float32) - s_2024_25_age_65__years_daily(chain, draw, days_2024_25)float3265.08 65.08 65.08 ... 64.89 64.89
array([[[65.07732 , 65.07732 , 65.07732 , ..., 65.07732 , 65.07732 , 65.07732 ], [67.02589 , 67.02589 , 67.02589 , ..., 67.02589 , 67.02589 , 67.02589 ], [66.862564, 66.862564, 66.862564, ..., 66.862564, 66.862564, 66.862564], ..., [66.28111 , 66.28111 , 66.28111 , ..., 66.28111 , 66.28111 , 66.28111 ], [66.77615 , 66.77615 , 66.77615 , ..., 66.77615 , 66.77615 , 66.77615 ], [66.78093 , 66.78093 , 66.78093 , ..., 66.78093 , 66.78093 , 66.78093 ]], [[68.56223 , 68.56223 , 68.56223 , ..., 68.56223 , 68.56223 , 68.56223 ], [62.72723 , 62.72723 , 62.72723 , ..., 62.72723 , 62.72723 , 62.72723 ], [66.418236, 66.418236, 66.418236, ..., 66.418236, 66.418236, 66.418236], ... [68.55871 , 68.55871 , 68.55871 , ..., 68.55871 , 68.55871 , 68.55871 ], [68.41038 , 68.41038 , 68.41038 , ..., 68.41038 , 68.41038 , 68.41038 ], [68.90082 , 68.90082 , 68.90082 , ..., 68.90082 , 68.90082 , 68.90082 ]], [[66.161064, 66.161064, 66.161064, ..., 66.161064, 66.161064, 66.161064], [66.43199 , 66.43199 , 66.43199 , ..., 66.43199 , 66.43199 , 66.43199 ], [67.18344 , 67.18344 , 67.18344 , ..., 67.18344 , 67.18344 , 67.18344 ], ..., [65.94227 , 65.94227 , 65.94227 , ..., 65.94227 , 65.94227 , 65.94227 ], [65.14129 , 65.14129 , 65.14129 , ..., 65.14129 , 65.14129 , 65.14129 ], [64.89333 , 64.89333 , 64.89333 , ..., 64.89333 , 64.89333 , 64.89333 ]]], dtype=float32) - s_2025_26_age_18_49_years(chain, draw)float3273.12 72.97 73.64 ... 72.33 72.01
array([[73.12312 , 72.9714 , 73.64458 , ..., 73.834595, 72.53985 , 73.89719 ], [68.74504 , 79.37195 , 76.278275, ..., 71.41377 , 70.440895, 66.46325 ], [70.82625 , 70.621506, 72.42921 , ..., 67.28103 , 71.87437 , 67.64128 ], [72.523994, 70.029076, 70.145096, ..., 71.19988 , 72.329475, 72.00702 ]], dtype=float32) - s_2025_26_age_18_49_years_daily(chain, draw, days_2025_26)float3273.12 73.12 73.12 ... 72.01 72.01
array([[[73.12312 , 73.12312 , 73.12312 , ..., 73.12312 , 73.12312 , 73.12312 ], [72.9714 , 72.9714 , 72.9714 , ..., 72.9714 , 72.9714 , 72.9714 ], [73.64458 , 73.64458 , 73.64458 , ..., 73.64458 , 73.64458 , 73.64458 ], ..., [73.834595, 73.834595, 73.834595, ..., 73.834595, 73.834595, 73.834595], [72.53985 , 72.53985 , 72.53985 , ..., 72.53985 , 72.53985 , 72.53985 ], [73.89719 , 73.89719 , 73.89719 , ..., 73.89719 , 73.89719 , 73.89719 ]], [[68.74504 , 68.74504 , 68.74504 , ..., 68.74504 , 68.74504 , 68.74504 ], [79.37195 , 79.37195 , 79.37195 , ..., 79.37195 , 79.37195 , 79.37195 ], [76.278275, 76.278275, 76.278275, ..., 76.278275, 76.278275, 76.278275], ... [67.28103 , 67.28103 , 67.28103 , ..., 67.28103 , 67.28103 , 67.28103 ], [71.87437 , 71.87437 , 71.87437 , ..., 71.87437 , 71.87437 , 71.87437 ], [67.64128 , 67.64128 , 67.64128 , ..., 67.64128 , 67.64128 , 67.64128 ]], [[72.523994, 72.523994, 72.523994, ..., 72.523994, 72.523994, 72.523994], [70.029076, 70.029076, 70.029076, ..., 70.029076, 70.029076, 70.029076], [70.145096, 70.145096, 70.145096, ..., 70.145096, 70.145096, 70.145096], ..., [71.19988 , 71.19988 , 71.19988 , ..., 71.19988 , 71.19988 , 71.19988 ], [72.329475, 72.329475, 72.329475, ..., 72.329475, 72.329475, 72.329475], [72.00702 , 72.00702 , 72.00702 , ..., 72.00702 , 72.00702 , 72.00702 ]]], dtype=float32) - s_2025_26_age_50_64_years(chain, draw)float3266.79 69.5 68.79 ... 72.61 72.63
array([[66.7943 , 69.49942 , 68.79017 , ..., 69.31884 , 72.09219 , 74.63412 ], [65.190384, 77.82391 , 73.9927 , ..., 71.51956 , 70.627846, 67.51378 ], [69.3201 , 67.69147 , 70.21419 , ..., 66.2592 , 74.48769 , 69.23658 ], [72.227 , 66.5224 , 70.91024 , ..., 73.0052 , 72.612885, 72.63248 ]], dtype=float32) - s_2025_26_age_50_64_years_daily(chain, draw, days_2025_26)float3266.79 66.79 66.79 ... 72.63 72.63
array([[[66.7943 , 66.7943 , 66.7943 , ..., 66.7943 , 66.7943 , 66.7943 ], [69.49942 , 69.49942 , 69.49942 , ..., 69.49942 , 69.49942 , 69.49942 ], [68.79017 , 68.79017 , 68.79017 , ..., 68.79017 , 68.79017 , 68.79017 ], ..., [69.31884 , 69.31884 , 69.31884 , ..., 69.31884 , 69.31884 , 69.31884 ], [72.09219 , 72.09219 , 72.09219 , ..., 72.09219 , 72.09219 , 72.09219 ], [74.63412 , 74.63412 , 74.63412 , ..., 74.63412 , 74.63412 , 74.63412 ]], [[65.190384, 65.190384, 65.190384, ..., 65.190384, 65.190384, 65.190384], [77.82391 , 77.82391 , 77.82391 , ..., 77.82391 , 77.82391 , 77.82391 ], [73.9927 , 73.9927 , 73.9927 , ..., 73.9927 , 73.9927 , 73.9927 ], ... [66.2592 , 66.2592 , 66.2592 , ..., 66.2592 , 66.2592 , 66.2592 ], [74.48769 , 74.48769 , 74.48769 , ..., 74.48769 , 74.48769 , 74.48769 ], [69.23658 , 69.23658 , 69.23658 , ..., 69.23658 , 69.23658 , 69.23658 ]], [[72.227 , 72.227 , 72.227 , ..., 72.227 , 72.227 , 72.227 ], [66.5224 , 66.5224 , 66.5224 , ..., 66.5224 , 66.5224 , 66.5224 ], [70.91024 , 70.91024 , 70.91024 , ..., 70.91024 , 70.91024 , 70.91024 ], ..., [73.0052 , 73.0052 , 73.0052 , ..., 73.0052 , 73.0052 , 73.0052 ], [72.612885, 72.612885, 72.612885, ..., 72.612885, 72.612885, 72.612885], [72.63248 , 72.63248 , 72.63248 , ..., 72.63248 , 72.63248 , 72.63248 ]]], dtype=float32) - s_2025_26_age_65__years(chain, draw)float3266.46 64.55 65.99 ... 64.93 65.35
array([[66.46152 , 64.55406 , 65.990036, ..., 67.03372 , 65.38154 , 67.22188 ], [59.082924, 67.75555 , 63.690445, ..., 69.72624 , 62.793938, 64.19895 ], [62.573463, 62.73725 , 65.00427 , ..., 66.994156, 65.566826, 65.768814], [64.4521 , 67.55874 , 67.522064, ..., 65.4634 , 64.933586, 65.34669 ]], dtype=float32) - s_2025_26_age_65__years_daily(chain, draw, days_2025_26)float3266.46 66.46 66.46 ... 65.35 65.35
array([[[66.46152 , 66.46152 , 66.46152 , ..., 66.46152 , 66.46152 , 66.46152 ], [64.55406 , 64.55406 , 64.55406 , ..., 64.55406 , 64.55406 , 64.55406 ], [65.990036, 65.990036, 65.990036, ..., 65.990036, 65.990036, 65.990036], ..., [67.03372 , 67.03372 , 67.03372 , ..., 67.03372 , 67.03372 , 67.03372 ], [65.38154 , 65.38154 , 65.38154 , ..., 65.38154 , 65.38154 , 65.38154 ], [67.22188 , 67.22188 , 67.22188 , ..., 67.22188 , 67.22188 , 67.22188 ]], [[59.082924, 59.082924, 59.082924, ..., 59.082924, 59.082924, 59.082924], [67.75555 , 67.75555 , 67.75555 , ..., 67.75555 , 67.75555 , 67.75555 ], [63.690445, 63.690445, 63.690445, ..., 63.690445, 63.690445, 63.690445], ... [66.994156, 66.994156, 66.994156, ..., 66.994156, 66.994156, 66.994156], [65.566826, 65.566826, 65.566826, ..., 65.566826, 65.566826, 65.566826], [65.768814, 65.768814, 65.768814, ..., 65.768814, 65.768814, 65.768814]], [[64.4521 , 64.4521 , 64.4521 , ..., 64.4521 , 64.4521 , 64.4521 ], [67.55874 , 67.55874 , 67.55874 , ..., 67.55874 , 67.55874 , 67.55874 ], [67.522064, 67.522064, 67.522064, ..., 67.522064, 67.522064, 67.522064], ..., [65.4634 , 65.4634 , 65.4634 , ..., 65.4634 , 65.4634 , 65.4634 ], [64.933586, 64.933586, 64.933586, ..., 64.933586, 64.933586, 64.933586], [65.34669 , 65.34669 , 65.34669 , ..., 65.34669 , 65.34669 , 65.34669 ]]], dtype=float32)
- created_at :
- 2026-03-31T21:20:26.164864+00:00
- arviz_version :
- 0.23.4
- inference_library :
- numpyro
- inference_library_version :
- 0.20.1
<xarray.Dataset> Size: 95MB Dimensions: (chain: 4, draw: 500, season: 5, age_categories: 3, date_ranges_2021_22: 7, date_ranges_2022_23: 7, date_ranges_2023_24: 28, date_ranges_2024_25: 33, date_ranges_2025_26: 20, days_2021_22: 243, days_2022_23: 243, days_2023_24: 244, days_2024_25: 243, days_2025_26: 243, observation: 285) Coordinates: (12/15) * chain (chain) int64 32B 0 1 2 3 * draw (draw) int64 4kB 0 1 2 3 ... 497 498 499 * season (season) <U7 140B '2021/22' ... '2025/26' * age_categories (age_categories) <U11 132B '18-49 year... * date_ranges_2021_22 (date_ranges_2021_22) <U21 588B '2021-... * date_ranges_2022_23 (date_ranges_2022_23) <U21 588B '2023-... ... ... * days_2021_22 (days_2021_22) <U10 10kB '2021-08-01' ... * days_2022_23 (days_2022_23) <U10 10kB '2022-08-01' ... * days_2023_24 (days_2023_24) <U10 10kB '2023-08-01' ... * days_2024_25 (days_2024_25) <U10 10kB '2024-08-01' ... * days_2025_26 (days_2025_26) <U10 10kB '2025-08-01' ... * observation (observation) <U45 51kB '2021/22|2021-... Data variables: (12/113) covariate_values_m_age (chain, draw, season, age_categories) float32 120kB ... covariate_values_m_season (chain, draw, season) float32 40kB -0.... covariate_values_r_age (chain, draw, season, age_categories) float32 120kB ... covariate_values_r_season (chain, draw, season) float32 40kB -3.... covariate_values_s_age (chain, draw, season, age_categories) float32 120kB ... covariate_values_s_season (chain, draw, season) float32 40kB 90.... ... ... s_2025_26_age_18_49_years (chain, draw) float32 8kB 73.12 ... 72.01 s_2025_26_age_18_49_years_daily (chain, draw, days_2025_26) float32 2MB ... s_2025_26_age_50_64_years (chain, draw) float32 8kB 66.79 ... 72.63 s_2025_26_age_50_64_years_daily (chain, draw, days_2025_26) float32 2MB ... s_2025_26_age_65__years (chain, draw) float32 8kB 66.46 ... 65.35 s_2025_26_age_65__years_daily (chain, draw, days_2025_26) float32 2MB ... Attributes: created_at: 2026-03-31T21:20:26.164864+00:00 arviz_version: 0.23.4 inference_library: numpyro inference_library_version: 0.20.1xarray.Dataset -
- chain: 4
- draw: 500
- chain(chain)int640 1 2 3
array([0, 1, 2, 3])
- draw(draw)int640 1 2 3 4 5 ... 495 496 497 498 499
array([ 0, 1, 2, ..., 497, 498, 499])
- diverging(chain, draw)boolTrue False False ... False True
array([[ True, False, False, ..., False, False, False], [False, False, False, ..., False, False, False], [False, False, True, ..., False, False, False], [False, False, False, ..., False, False, True]])
- created_at :
- 2026-03-31T21:20:16.630265+00:00
- arviz_version :
- 0.23.4
- inference_library :
- numpyro
- inference_library_version :
- 0.20.1
<xarray.Dataset> Size: 6kB Dimensions: (chain: 4, draw: 500) Coordinates: * chain (chain) int64 32B 0 1 2 3 * draw (draw) int64 4kB 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 ... 493 494 495 496 497 498 499 Data variables: diverging (chain, draw) bool 2kB True False False ... False False True Attributes: created_at: 2026-03-31T21:20:16.630265+00:00 arviz_version: 0.23.4 inference_library: numpyro inference_library_version: 0.20.1xarray.Dataset
In [13]:
Copied!
vaxflux_idata.posterior_observations
vaxflux_idata.posterior_observations
Out[13]:
| chain | draw | season | season_start_date | season_end_date | start_date | end_date | report_date | age | type | value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 2021/22 | 2021-08-01 | 2022-03-31 | 2021-11-27 | 2021-12-31 | 2021-12-31 | 18-49 years | incidence | 0.059320 |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 2021/22 | 2021-08-01 | 2022-03-31 | 2022-03-26 | 2022-04-30 | 2022-04-30 | 18-49 years | incidence | 0.000562 |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 2021/22 | 2021-08-01 | 2022-03-31 | 2021-10-30 | 2021-11-27 | 2021-11-27 | 18-49 years | incidence | 0.093636 |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 2021/22 | 2021-08-01 | 2022-03-31 | 2022-02-26 | 2022-03-26 | 2022-03-26 | 18-49 years | incidence | 0.001643 |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 2021/22 | 2021-08-01 | 2022-03-31 | 2021-08-01 | 2021-10-30 | 2021-10-30 | 18-49 years | incidence | 0.162284 |
| ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... |
| 569995 | 3 | 499 | 2025/26 | 2025-08-01 | 2026-03-31 | 2025-08-01 | 2025-10-11 | 2025-10-11 | 65+ years | incidence | 0.340219 |
| 569996 | 3 | 499 | 2025/26 | 2025-08-01 | 2026-03-31 | 2025-11-08 | 2025-11-15 | 2025-11-15 | 65+ years | incidence | 0.029804 |
| 569997 | 3 | 499 | 2025/26 | 2025-08-01 | 2026-03-31 | 2025-11-22 | 2025-11-29 | 2025-11-29 | 65+ years | incidence | 0.017315 |
| 569998 | 3 | 499 | 2025/26 | 2025-08-01 | 2026-03-31 | 2026-02-14 | 2026-02-21 | 2026-02-21 | 65+ years | incidence | 0.000326 |
| 569999 | 3 | 499 | 2025/26 | 2025-08-01 | 2026-03-31 | 2025-10-18 | 2025-10-25 | 2025-10-25 | 65+ years | incidence | 0.053288 |
570000 rows × 11 columns
In [14]:
Copied!
az.plot_trace(
vaxflux_idata,
var_names=[
"m_age",
"m_age_mu",
"m_age_sigma",
"r_age",
"r_age_mu",
"r_age_sigma",
"s_age",
"s_age_mu",
"s_age_sigma",
"m_season",
"m_season_mu",
"m_season_sigma",
"r_season",
"r_season_mu",
"r_season_sigma",
"s_season",
"s_season_mu",
"s_season_sigma",
"observation_sigma",
],
)
plt.show()
az.plot_trace(
vaxflux_idata,
var_names=[
"m_age",
"m_age_mu",
"m_age_sigma",
"r_age",
"r_age_mu",
"r_age_sigma",
"s_age",
"s_age_mu",
"s_age_sigma",
"m_season",
"m_season_mu",
"m_season_sigma",
"r_season",
"r_season_mu",
"r_season_sigma",
"s_season",
"s_season_mu",
"s_season_sigma",
"observation_sigma",
],
)
plt.show()
